london as a global city
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London as a Global City. Yolande Barnes, Director, Savills World Research 9 th June 2014. Everyone comes to London. ... making it one of the UHNWI hotspots. ... but this isn’t just about posh houses. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
savills.com
London as a Global CityYolande Barnes, Director, Savills World Research
9th June 2014
Everyone comes to London
... making it one of the UHNWI hotspots
... but this isn’t just about posh houses
34%
66%
London primeresidential
InternationalDomestic
Source: Savills World Research, Office/Retail/Hotel: RCA (transactions in 2013), UK quoted shares: ONS (holdings in 2012), Infrastructure: OFT (2010 ownership)
43%63%
London retail
7%
63%
London mainstream residential invest-
ment
54%63%
London hotel
57%63%
London office
53%63%
UK quoted shares
38%
63%
UK infrastructure & utilities
London is globally prominent & active
... and London’s economy is nationally dominant
New York
Shangh
ai
Hong K
ong
Mumba
i
Tokyo
Moscow
Rio de J
aneir
o
Lond
onParis
Sydney
Singapo
reDubai
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Country GDP City GDP City share
Source: Brookings Institute 2012, IMF 2012
...although higher resi price bands are most ‘global’
Source: Savills (2010-2013)
Lower Mainstream (Less than £450psf)
Mid Mainstream (£450psf to £700psf)
Upper Mainstream (£700psf to £1000psf)
Lower Prime (£1000psf to £1500psf)
Upper Prime (£1500psf to £2000psf)
Super Prime (£2000psf+)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
74.7%62.8%
37.8%26.3%
13.1% 10.6%
13.4%27.6%
40.5%49.1%
53.4%
18.1%
UK China and Pacific Asia Eastern Europe and The CIS
North Africa and the Middle East Western Europe including Nordic Countries Africa
South Asian sub-continent North America Latin America
Pro
porti
on o
f Pur
chas
ers
Why London?
Personal safety
Security of tenure
Politically stable
English language
Quality of education
CosmopolitanFavourable tax regime
Established judicial system
Strategic time zone
Culture and heritage
Globally connected
Open for investment
Secure title
Ease of doing Business
Market transparency
Market liquidity
Established investment track record
Global purchasers are not a new phenomenon
1980 1990 2000 2013/140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
42%29%
48% 49%
Prime Central London Buyer Profiles
International UK
Source: Savills Research
London has high no. of residents born outside the UK
Source: Census 2001 & 2011
... as shown by second languages
So is ‘lights out London’ real?
Source: Savills Research
Is London Overheated?
Source: Savills World Research
Price Growth varies across London
RBKC
H'smith
& Fulha
m
Islingto
n
Southwark
Lambe
th
Haringe
y
Tower H
amlets
Ealing
Lewish
am
Walt
ham Fore
st
Hounslo
w
Harrow
Sutton
Green
wich
Croydon
Bexley
Barking
& D
'ham
0%
30%
60%
90%
120%
150%Since June 05
Source: Land Registry
... so non-prime London still looks good value
Key drivers: quality of place
travel time to centre
Source: Savills
... so expect more of this
Source: Savills Research
19% of developments over 200 units in inner London currently under construction were funded by overseas entities