lower your cost income ratio in the digital age - pwc · 16-6-2015...
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18 June 2015Amsterdam
Lower your cost income ratio in the Digital age
Operation find the money
Ken van Ierlant
Advisory
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
All ‘commodity’ businesses face the challenge of increasing C/I ratios…ING experienced a strong incline in their cost/income ratio in 2012. Mr. Hommen CEO said 60% of our clients has gone mobile in 6 months leaving € 1,5 billion in investments idle
63,40%
75,70%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12
Underlying cost/income ratio (in %)
Cost/income ratio excl.market impacts & CVA/DVA
Cost/income ratio
2
Digital Transformation •
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
... conventional response, protecting the top-line is no longer possible when disruptive market change occurs... and conventional (time and capex intensive!) transformation approaches won’t work anymore due to required speed and financial constraints
Time
Today
Capex
Cost base
Revenue base
Cash flow
Company X manages a Legacy profit pool
A classic transformation program is announced,
absorbing cash and resources
Disruptive market change
occurs
... but financing capacity to fund the transformation is limited or
absent
Price increases help boost short term profits ...
... while efficiency measures drive under-investment in the business ...
So the legacy profit pool evaporates rapidly and
financial distress is close ...
3
Digital Transformation •
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
While more and more businesses are experiencing disruptive market changes, creating the need to move to an agile E2E operating model, @ lean & flexible cost structures ...
Traditional operating models have high fixed costs and are asset heavy
New operating models are agile, and geared towards rapid adaptation ...
Operating model
Revenues
Cost structure
Assets
Transaction based
Transaction based
Subscription based
High fixed costs
Flexible costs Flexible costs
HeavyTangibles
Intangibles Poor
Light
Rich (data!)
Averse
Rich (data!)
Customer proposition
Purchase &Ownership
PurchaseOwn / Rent
Subscription &Usage “as a service”
“Ownership” “Usage”
DisruptionDisruptiondisrupts the
disruptor
4
Digital Transformation •
Case study
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
... the conventional PAVLOV response; investing heavily in on premise IT, independent from disruptive market changes actually increases the C/I ratio while making the IT vulnerable to cyber breaches
5
Digital Transformation •
• Supply-based value proposition
• Linear customer journeys
• Limited range revenue models
• Static pricing & rebate structures
1
• Static /siloed digital presence
• Scattered landscape of legacy IT
• Siloed (customer) databases
• Capexed and outsourced IT
• Siloed operating model
• Classical E2E supply chain
• Diverse functional departments
• Capex & working capital rich
3
2
Revenues
Costs
Capital base
C/I ratio
RoIC
Customer Experience
Target Operating
Model
Enabling technology
Traditional business response has a negative effect on the C/I ratio and RoIC
Source: PwC analysis, Forrester Research
Medium and long term effects
The risk of data breaches increases as well as the financial and reputational impact
46% of the security incidents were related to loss or theft.
15% of the security incidents were caused by internal abuse of
information and rights.
12% of the incidents were caused by “unintended” actions which
resulted in uncovering of confidential information.
75% of the higher management expect reputational damage because of
data breaches
The EU is developing new legislation in order to increase the protection of personal information; the key points of the concept privacy regulation EU are:
• 2%-5% or 100 million euro of the world wide revenue in case of regulatory offence
• Appoint an employee for data protection compulsory when dealing with data of more than 5000 people per year
Source: PwC analysis, IBM cost of data breach study
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
Integrated customer journey designCustomer lifetime management
Data analytics & machine learningProduct development / R&D
“Vertical” (industry specific) SaaS
The new “Digital proof” operating models are geared towards homogenous customer interaction across channels, and across organisational siloes ...
Traditional operating models have high fixed costs and are asset heavy
New operating models are agile, and geared towards rapid adaptation ...
Operating model
Sto
re
Co
nta
ct c
ente
r
Web
Ap
p
Siloed functional departments
Siloed IT on premise (=capex!)
Sales & marketing organized per
channel
Market / Customer
Master data managementIaaS / PaaS
ERP as a service
CRM as a service
Sto
re
We
b
Ap
p
Cu
sto
me
r c
on
tac
t c
en
ter
Fu
nct
ion
al
dep
art
men
ts
Homogenous UX(physical + online)
across channels
KPI’s aligned across channel
Opex lean & capexaverse!
KPI”s per channel
6
Digital Transformation •
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
The Digital Value Chain Transformation emphasizes on a step change journey to free up working capital by reducing costs and increasing revenue by making the operating model fit for the digital customer journey…
Long term customer value chain
Finance
CustomersMarket strategy
Business model
PeopleTechnology/
ITOperating
model
Digital transformation
7
Digital Transformation •
It creates momentum for drastic cost reductions and makes the operating model fit
for the digital customer journey
Pricing strategies & Demand Analytics help identifying unaddressed value to customers +
revenue potential
Pr
od
uc
t m
ar
gin
Products
High profitability
products
Low profitability
products
Negative
profitability products
Products with a negative
margin, even when taking into
account their cross-sell impact
Products
Products with negative margins
could drive sales in other
products
Pr
od
uc
t m
ar
gin
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
... enabled by full replacement of operational and IT legacy, based on IT “as a service”, i.e. capex averse. With the majority of players being American, it infuriates the discussion around the U.S. patriot act
From siloed IT legacy…. .... to adoption of IT “as a Service”
Time
Co
mp
lex
ity
Big Data
Social Media
• Static / siloed digital presence
• Scattered landscape of legacy IT
• Siloed customer databases
• Capexed and outsourced IT
• Much shadow IT
• Master customer data model
• Real-time analytics & data mining
• Straight-through transaction processing
• Opex-driven IaaS/PaaS/SaaS-based front- and back office technology architecture
Enabling Technology
8
Digital Transformation •
The advantages of SaaS
• Reduces the financial risk of investing upfront in IT projects
• Improves cost structure• Allows IT to scale as needed• Reduces the cost structure and
makes it more flexible• Enables focus on the core and
value added business processes• Allows for rapid adaptation to
new functional requirements because new functionality can easily be opted-in and works smoothly with the entire stack
SaaS
PaaS
IaaS
Apps
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
Digital Value Chain Transformation: Taking IT in the cloud end-to-end, can enhance companies cost leadership while being more agile to adapt to changes
9
Digital Transformation •
Build an extra layer on the current IT infrastructure (High Capex and Opex)
Take the IT engine in the cloud end-to-end: Capex-reverse and pay-per-use
(No Capex, Low linear Opex)
Illustration of expansion of legacy IT systems over time
Time
Co
mp
lex
ity
Legacy IT systems hamper future growth as…
…concerns on compliance to regulations are increasingly present
…these systems are band-aided together and guarantee business silos
…maintenance and staffing costs are high and growing, leading to high and inflexible cost base
…limited functionality limits innovation and growth as lack of agility makes it impossible to meet demands of tomorrow’s client
Proprietary IT Cloud computing
- 80%
Capex• Capital invested in
hardware, software and infrastructure
Opex• Technical-,
Functional- and Application management
• Development of new applications
• Inefficiency supply chain
Shadow IT (Capex/Opex) Non-IT
IT
Illustration of cost reduction by taking the IT in the cloud
The advantages of SaaS
• Reduces the financial risk of investing upfront in IT projects
• Improves cost structure• Allows IT to scale as needed• Enables focus on the core and
value added business processes• Allows for rapid adaptation to
new functional requirements because new functionality can easily be opted-in and works smoothly with the entire stack
FR
OM
TO
High Capex, High Opex
No Capex, Low Opex
Take the IT engine in the cloud: Capex-reverseand pay-per-use
This results in a lower C/I ratio
SaaS
PaaS
IaaS
Apps
Redesign the on premise spaghetti to linguini in the cloud (High Opex)
…different vendors need to be checked with respect to compliance
…these systems still need tailored solutions to connect infrastructures of different vendors
…implementation and maintenance costs remain high, not reducing the cost base significantly
…limited functionality across vendors limits innovation and growth
SaaS
PaaS
IaaS
Apps
Implementing point solutions in the cloud does not lead to significant cost reduction and enhanced functionality as …
Illustration of taking IT infrastructure in the cloud with point solutions
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
So: the digital transformation goes beyond “digitizing the off-line business” and aims at enabling an accelerated business transformation along a profitable growth pathDT: Top-line driven – lean & flexible cost structures – capex averse
Traditional business The 4.0 digital enterpriseThe
Business case
• Supply-based value proposition
• Linear customer journeys
• Limited range of revenue models
• Static pricing & rebate structures
• Predetermined product packages
• Siloed operating model
• Classical E2E supply chain
• Diverse functional departments
• Majority of processes are generic
• Capex & working capital rich
• Static /siloed digital presence
• Scattered landscape of legacy IT
• Siloed (customer) databases
• Capexed and outsourced IT
• Much shadow IT
• “Outcome” driven customer proposition
• Interactive UX & customer journeys
• Integrated on/off-line user experience
• Adaptive & blended revenue models
• Real-time pricing & comparison
• Integrated operating model
• Closed loop marketing, PD and R&D
• Agile product development
• Processes customer delivery oriented
• Capex averse / reduced working capital
• Master customer data model
• Real-time analytics & data mining
• Straight-through transaction processing
• Opex-driven IAAS/PAAS-based front- and back office technology architecture
Revenues
Cost
Capital base
C/I ratio
RoIC
1
2
3
Customer experience
Operating model
Enabling technology
10
Digital Transformation •
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
DVCT aims at re-imagining & transforming business along a profitable pathLessons learned: one needs to start earlier then one thinks is needed
Time
Today ??
Capex
Cost base
Revenue base
Cash flow
Program reduces costs by significant change of
operating model
Managed migration of revenue base
Operating model is capex averse
Protecting theprofit pool
Digital is a disruptorBusiness
re-imagined!
Digitization as a source of innovation and sustainable business transformation
1 2
3
4
11
Digital Transformation •
Medium and long term effect: Higher revenue base, lower costs and
asset light.
Transition period (short term effects)
Business 4.0
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
The 4.0 digital enterprise transformation will create two types of firms; Capex and Opex firms
Balance
Tangible fixed assets +++ Equity
Trade receivablesdepends on quality of clients
Long term liabilities
Cash and cash equivalents - -Current liabilities +/++
Either less cash or an increase of liabilities
Conclusion: Same or bigger balance and (strong) client portfolio
Profit and Loss
Revenue ++
(changes from one off to recurring [longterm] revenue)
Personnel costs suppose no impact
change to more technical staff, less sales?
Depreciation +
Other costs
Net result +
depends on a successful transformation
12
Digital Transformation •
Capex organisationInvests in tangible assets with a recurring business
model in co-creation with the client
Opex organisationNo investment in tangible assets with a transactional
business model, customer journey driven
Balance
Tangible fixed assets - - Equity
Trade receivables Suppose no impactLong term liabilities
Cash and cash equivalents +++Current liabilities
(No investment, cash in company) Either more cash or a decrease in liabilities
Conclusion: Smaller or better balances
Profit and Loss
Revenue +++
Personnel costs -
Less to none IT personnel
Depreciation - -“Fixed depreciation, changes
to flexible other costs”
Other costs + +
(Opex costs)
Net result ++
If available cash is not used for investment in tangible fixed assets it can more or less be used for repayment of debts or innovation of the core business. This will lead to an increase of the client portfolio, which leads to a more sustainable turnover and better result and a positive impact on the credit ratings. This will also realise more shareholders value and better ratios of the company.
Revenue will at first possibly get a negative impact on the credit rating due to the change from one off revenue recognition to recurring revenue recognition.At the end this will lead to a more sustainable recurring revenue and result and a positive impact on the credit rating. This will also realise more shareholders value and better ratios of the company.
PwC
18 June 2015
16-6-2015 C:\Users\Kierlant002\AppData\Local\Temp\notes7C2EA6\Presentatie treasurers.pptx
The 4.0 digital Opex enterprise is characterized by having a large value compared to its assets, referred to as digital intangible assets (DIA) created by data, what will your DIA be after your digital transformation?
13
Digital Transformation •
Good data management creates a large DIA and value…
813
40
90
Facebook Uber LinkedinAirbnb
Estimated net value of data-driven companies in billion USD
Source: PwC analysis
…the digital transformation, moving Capex to Opex and pay-per-use enables proper data management creating
value and a high DIA
How much will your DIA be worth?