m. fe caces, ph. d. statistician/demographer office of national drug control policy executive office...
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M. Fe Caces, Ph. D.Statistician/Demographer
Office of National Drug Control PolicyExecutive Office of the President
Washington, DC
June 2003
Treatment Demand Indicators:
Profile of Cannabis Users
15.9 million were current (past month) users of an illicit drug in 2001.
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.8
0.4
1.7
7.0
12.1
15.9
0 5 10 15 20
Heroin
LSD
Inhalants
Meth
Ecstasy
Crack
Cocaine
Any Illicit Drug
Marijuana
Any Illicit Drug
(other than marijuana)
(incl. crack)
Past Month Users (in Millions)
Source: SAMHSA, 2001 National Household Survey on Drug Abuse.
9/2002
20%
56%
25%
Marijuana only
Marijuana and some other
drug
Only a drug other than marijuana
Among current drug users, marijuana is the most commonly used illicit drug.
Total Current Users: 15.9 millionSource: SAMHSA, 2001 National Household Survey on Drug Abuse.
9/2002
Treatment Admissions by Primary Substance of Abuse (Ages 12 and
Older)
Cocaine14%
Marijuana15%
Opiates17%
Stimulants5%
Alcohol w/drug19%
Other/None4%
Alcohol only26%
2/2003 SOURCE: SAMHSA, Treatment Episode Data Set, 2000
Treatment Admissions by Primary Substance of Abuse (Ages 12 - 17)
Alcohol w/ drug17%
Stimulants3%
Marijuana62%
Opiates1%
Cocaine2%
Other/ None7%
Alcohol only8%
SOURCE: SAMHSA, Treatment Episode Data Set, 20002/2003
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
Number of Marijuana Initiates (1,000s)
The annual number of new marijuana users peaked in the 1970s and rose again in the 1990s.
Source: SAMHSA, 1999 and 2000 National Household Survey on Drug Abuse.
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Average age at first use
Average age at first use of marijuana (initiation) has been declining since 1965.
Source: SAMHSA, 1999 and 2000 National Household Survey on Drug Abuse.
1.5
4.4
9.3
12.7
15.114.2
11.3
9.0
5.0
4.0
2.71.8
1.3 1.2 1.0
5.5
0
4
8
12
16
Distribution of Marijuana Initiates, By Age at First Use
Percent of Initiates (1998 and 1999)
Source: SAMHSA, 1999 and 2000 National Household Survey on Drug Abuse.
7.8
6.9 6.7
7.5 7.5
11.612.0
8.1
8.9
9.8
7.2
6.0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Distribution of Month of First Use Among Persons Initiating Marijuana Use Before Age 18
Percent of Initiates
Source: SAMHSA, 1999 and 2000 National Household Survey on Drug Abuse.
6.2
2.2 2.01.3
0.20
2
4
6
8
14 oryounger
15-17 18-20 21 or older Neverused
marijuana
Among adults aged 26 or older, drug dependence or abuse is more likely among those who initiated marijuana use at
the youngest ages.
Percent with Illicit Drug Dependence or Abuse (Past Year)
Source: SAMHSA, 1999 and 2000 National Household Survey on Drug Abuse.
0.00
3.00
6.00
9.00
12.00
15.00
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1089
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1005
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Average THC percentage (samples confiscated by law enforcement agencies)
The average THC concentrations found in tested cannabis samples rose substantially
since 1980.
Source: ElSohly, et al, Journal of Forensic Sciences 45(1):24-27(2000); [+ update].4/2003
Sinsemilla
Marijuana
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Cocaine Heroin Marijuana
Since 1990 marijuana ED mentions have been rising. In 2001 they exceeded the number of heroin mentions.
Number of Drug Emergency Mentions
Source: SAMHSA, Drug Abuse Warning Network.
NOTE: Data prior to 1994 may not be comparable to 1994 through 2001.
1/2003
Referral source for treatment admissions for marijuana
56.4
16.7
6.8
20.1
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Marijuana
Criminal justice Individual Alc./ Drug or health care provider Other
SOURCE: SAMHSA, Treatment Episode Data Set, 20006/2003
Referral source for treatment admissions, by primary
substance
56.445.0
26.712.4
16.727.3
35.8 64.1
6.8 5.716.6
20.1 20.410.9
12.722.0
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Marijuana Methamphetamines Smoked Cocaine Heroin
Criminal justice Individual Alc./ Drug or health care provider Other
SOURCE: SAMHSA, Treatment Episode Data Set, 20002/2003
61.5
22.8
8.4
3.43.8
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Marijuana
None 1 2 3 4 or more
Number of prior treatment episodes, primary substance = marijuana
SOURCE: SAMHSA, Treatment Episode Data Set, 20006/2003
The majority of treatment episodes with marijuana as the primary substance are first-
time episodes.
61.553.5
36.7
22.1
22.8
25.0
23.6
20.8
8.411
14.8
3.4
14.9
4.78.9 10.1
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Marijuana Methamphetamines Smoked Cocaine Heroin
None 1 2 3
Number of prior treatment episodes, by primary substance
SOURCE: SAMHSA, Treatment Episode Data Set, 20002/2003
In contrast, cocaine and heroin admissions are largely repeat
treatment episodes.
Summary
Evidence of change over time in the nature of marijuana, its use, and the demand for treatment
Treatment demand for marijuana as the primary drug is largely not self-initiated
Treatment demand for marijuana as the primary drug is typically a first-time treatment episode