m. moore - unconventional fuels and implications for ccus deployment

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    Unconven(onalFuelsandImplica(onsforCCUSDeployment

    MichaelE.Moore

    Execu/veDirectorNACCSA

    VicePresidentEnergyCommodi/esandAdvisoryServices

    FearnOilInc.

    June24th2013Birmingham,AL

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    CoveredTopics

    USOilandGasShaleResources&Infrastructure ChangingUSEnergyInfrastructure CrudeOilShippingbyRail OhioShaleInvestments USLNGNatgasExports Coal USRenewables CCUSCCSDevelopments OtherInter-relatedEnergyAc/vi/es

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    USOil&GasResourcesandInfrastructure

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    USConven/onalOilandGasReservoirs

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    USShalePlays-Unconven/onalOil&Gas

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    480,000MilesofNatgas-OilandHL

    Pipelines-constantlyexpanding

    6

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    USNatgasProduc/onEIA4-30-13h$p://www.eia.gov/oil_gas/natural_gas/data_publicaons/eia914/eia914.html

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    USNatgasProduc/onShaleEIAMay222013h$p://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/weekly/

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    USOilProduc/on-Regional

    EIAApril2013shorttermenergyoutlookforecastsUScrudeoilproducontoincreasefromanaverageof

    6.5MMb/din2012to7.9MMb/din2014 h$p://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/archives/Apr13.pdf

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    BakkenOilProduc/onSurgestoNewHighh$p://www.upstreamonline.com/live/arcle1330011.ece

    June14th-2013OilproduconfromNorthDakota'sBakkenshalehitanewhighinAprilandcouldexceedthestate'sforecastof850,000barrelsperdaybytheendoftheyear,stateregulatorssaidonFriday.

    NorthDakota'sDepartmentofMineralResourcessaidApriloutputrose1.3%,orjustover10,000bpdfromamonthearlier,to793,000bpddespiteinclementweathercondions.Outputwasaround33%higherthanayearearlier.

    Naonwide,oilproduconhit7.37millionbpdintheweekthatended3May-themostsinceFebruary1992,accordingtotheEnergyInformaonAdministraon.Thosenumbersslippedbyabout76,000bpdlastweekto7.22millionbpd,Bloombergreported.

    About75%ofBakkenoille\NorthDakotaontrainsinApril,upfrom71%inMarch,thestatePipelineAuthoritysaid.About17%wasshippedoutviapipeline,downfrom20%inMarch

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    TexasRapidChangeinOilProduc/on

    Source:TinteraACUSBucharestPresenta/on3-12-13Source:BloombergMay28th2013h[p:www.bloomberg.comnews2013-05-28eagle-ford-oil-output-rises-77-to-more-than-500-000-barrels-day.html

    OilproduconinTexassEagleFordshaleformaonrosemoreThan77%inMarchfromayearearlier,topping500,000barrelsa

    dayandposngarecord. Theninegeographicfieldsthat

    makeupthemajorityofEagleFordyielded529,874barrelsofcrudeaday,accordingtopreliminarydatareleasedbytheTexasRailroadCommission.The

    fieldsproduced298,266barrelsdailyinMarch2012.

    TheTexasproduced2.3millionbarrelsadayinFebruary,thehighestmonthlylevelsinceApril1986

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    PlannedPipelineCapacitytoDe-Bo[leneck

    Cushingh$p://www.greencarcongress.com/2013/02/eiapipelines-20130214.html

    Overthepastthreeyears,815,000bbl/dofnewpipelinecapacitydeliveringcrudeoiltoCushingwasadded.Overthesameperiod,only400,000bbl/dofnewpipelinetake-awaycapacitywasadded.

    Duringthenexttwoyearsanaddional1,190,000bbl/dofpipelinecapacityfordeliveringcrudeoilfromCanadaandthemidconnenttoCushingisplanned,butthisisbalancedby1,150,000bbl/dofplannedpipelinecapacityaddionstodelivercrudeoilfromCushingtotheGulfCoast.

    About830,000bbl/dofnewpipelinecapacityisplannedtomovecrudeoildirectlyfromthePermianBasintotheGulfCoast,avoidingthecongestedMidwest.Ifthiscapacityisconstructedandfullyulized,waterborneimportstotheUSGulfCoast,parcularlyoflightsweetcrudeoil,coulddropsignificantly,theEIAsaid.

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    EuropeanCompanyStakesinU.S.

    ShalePlaysh$p://www.cleanskies.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/2.11.2013_EuropeReport_FINAL-web.pdf

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    ChangingUSEnergyInfrastructure

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    NewGasFlowDynamics-ShaleGas

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    h$p://www.ferc.gov/industries/gas/indus-act/pipelines/horizon-pipe.pdf

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    GasPipe ineConverte toCarry

    CrudeOilfromIllinoistoGulfCoasth$p://www.ogj.com/arcles/2013/02/enbridge--energy-transfer-to-convert-trunkline-segment-to-

    crude-.html?cmpid=EnlPipelineFebruary252013

    EnbridgeInc.andEnergyTransferwilljointlydevelopaprojecttomove420,000-660,000b/dofcrudeoilbypipelinefromPatoka,Ill.,toSt.James,La.,andtheeasternGulfCoastrefiningmarketbyconverngcertainsegmentsofTrunklineGasCo.LLCssystemtoliquidsservice.TrunklineisasubsidiaryofEnergyTransferPartnersLPandEnergyTransferEquityLP.

    Theconverted30-in.ODcrudeoilpipelinewouldenterserviceby2015,pendingUSFederalEnergyRegulatoryCommissionapprovalofTrunklinesJuly2012requesttoabandoncertaindesignatedsegmentsofpipelinefromnaturalgastransmissionservice.Crudeslateandthelevelofsubscriponsreceivedinapendingopenseasonwilldeterminethepipelinescapacity.

    Oncecompleted,theprojectwillspanmorethan700miles,includinganewlateralfromnearBoyce,La.,toSt.James.TheSt.JameshubwillprovideaccesstorefineriesintheeasternGulfCoast,aswellasdockaccessforwater-borneshipments.

    EnbridgeandEnergyTransferwouldeachown50%ofthejointventure.Enbridgesparcipaonintheventureissubjecttoaminimumlevelofcommitmentsbeingobtainedintheopenseason,andoncompleonofduediligence.

    CrudeoilreachesthePatokahubfrombothwesternCanadaproduc/onandfromtheBakkenplayinNorthDakotathroughavarietyofexisngpipelines.EnbridgesSouthernAccessExtensionpipelinewillalsodeliver300,000b/dtoPatokastarnginearly2015(OGJOnline,Dec.14,2012).

    EnergyTransferdescribestheeasternGulfCoastasahighlya$racvemarketforCanadianandBakkencrude,butnotcurrentlyaccessiblebypipeline.TheTrunklineconversionwouldcreatethefirstpipelinetransportaonoponformovingcrudeoiltotheeasternGulfCoastfromtheUSMidwest.

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    CrudeOilShippingbyRail

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    CrudeOilShipmentsbyRailJumph$p://www.progressiverailroading.com/rail_industry_trends/arcle/Shales-in-the-West-well-beyond-the-Bakken-drive-crude-oil-

    traffic-for-many-railroads--36140

    May2013--BNSFnowmovesaboutsevenoreightunittrainsperdayoutoftheBakken,carryingabout600,000barrelsofoil.Anddailyvolumeisprojectedtoconnueclimbing,to700,000barrelsbyyear'sendandto1millionbarrelsbysomepointin2014.

    ThedifferencecomparedwithseveralyearsagoisthatBakkencrudenowisbeingtransportedtomoredesnaons,saysBNSFVicePresidentofIndustrialProductsSalesJohnMiller.BNSFexpectstomovecrudetomorethan50desnaonsby2014'send.

    "FirstitwenttoCushingandthenSt.James,[Louisiana],andnowitheadsinalldirecons,includingtheEastCoast,"saysMiller."Ittellsthestoryofrail'sflexibility."

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    CrudeOilbyRail-BakkenExample

    BakkentoWA BakkentoNF,CA BakkentoUSGC BakkentoNJ BakkentoPA BakkentoUSGC

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    USExportedMoreRefinedProducts

    thanitImported-NotSeenSince1949 Forthefirstmesince1949,theUnitedStates

    exportedmoregasoline,heangoilanddieselfuellastyearthanitimported,theEnergyDepartmentreportedtoday.

    BloombergwritesthattooffsetweakU.S.demand,refinersexported439,000barrelsadaymorethanwereimportedtheyearbefore.In2010,dailyimportsaveraged269,000barrels,accordingtothePetroleumSupplyMonthlyreport.

    Importsofcrudeoilandrelatedproductsfell11%lastyear,reachingalevelnotseensince1995. h$p://content.usatoday.com/communies/

    ondeadline/post/2012/02/us-exported-more-gasoline-than-imported-last-year/1

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    OhioShaleInvestments

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    IHSOhioU/caShaleReportHTTP://UNCONVENTIONALENERGY.BLOGS.IHS.COM/2013/02/12/UTICA-SHALE-PROMISES-TO-

    MAKE-OHIO-AN-ENERGY-POWERHOUSE

    2012unconvenonaloil/gasacvitycontributedvalue-addedeconomicacvityof4.1billion

    IHSforecaststhatthiscontribuonwillgrowto35.2billionby2035.

    2012Ucashalenewjobs-39,000. 2020willincreaseto144,000 2035to275,000 2012Ohiosoperangshale/horizontalrigcountwas9rigs AsofFeb2013549permitsissued249wellsdrilled 2013shale/horizontaloperangrigcount25

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    OhioEconomicImpactfromShaleSource:ODNRpresentaon3/12h$p://www.dnr.state.oh.us/portals/10/energy/Uca/Uca-

    PointPleasantPlay.pdf

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    InvestmentsinOhioU/caShaleh$ps://www.mecseminars.com/sites/default/files/presentaon-files/Manufacturing

    %20Renaissance%20in%20Ohio%20Powered%20by%20Oil%20and%20Gas%20from%20Shale.pdf

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    MidstreamCommitmentsinOhioU/ca

    Shale

    h$ps://www.mecseminars.com/sites/default/files/presentaon-files/Manufacturing%20Renaissance%20in%20Ohio%20Powered%20by%20Oil%20and%20Gas%20from%20Shale.pdf

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    USLNGNatgasExports

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    GlobalLNGMarkerPrices-Daily,Feb.2,2009

    July31,2012Source:USLNGExports:TruthandConsequencebyKennethB.MedlockIIIPH.D-JAMESA.BAKERIIIINSTITUTEFOR

    PUBLICPOLICYRICEUNIVERSITYAug12-2012Pg.17

    Sources:Pla$s,USEnergyInformaonAdministraon,authorscalculaon USHenryHub(HH) (NBP)theUKNa/onalBalancingPoint (JKM)thePla$sJapan/KoreaMarker AndarepresentavecrudeindexedLNGpricefrom2009tothepresent

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    h$p://ferc.gov/industries/gas/indus-act/lng/lng-proposed-potenal.pdf

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    USNatgasExportPointsh$p://www.eia.gov/pub/oil_gas/natural_gas/analysis_publicaons/ngpipeline/impex_map.html

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    ProposedNatgasPipelinesforLNG

    ExportfromAlaskah$p://www.arccgas.gov/alaska-natural-gas-pipeline-projects-guide-and-maps

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    LNGExports

    ExpeditedLNGforAmericanAlliesActof2013

    SenatorBarrassoand

    CongressmanTurner

    introducedFeb6th

    2013theExpeditedLNGforAmerican

    AlliesActof2013(HR580,S

    192)thatwouldreduce

    barriersforLNGexportsto

    NATOalliesandJapan,giving

    themthesamepreferenal

    treatmentascountriesthat

    havefree-tradeagreements.

    DOEApprovesnon-FTALNGExports

    Cheniere FreeportLNG

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    Coal

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    USCoalResourcesSource:h$p://pubs.usgs.gov/of/1996/of96-092/Comp/main.gif

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    FuelSwitchingImpactsandCoalExportsh[p:www.aar.org~mediaaarBackground-PapersRailroads-and-Coal.ashx

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    Coalvs.NatgasforGenera/on-Vola/le

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    CoalExportTerminalsh[p:www.pla[s.comnewsfeature2012coaltransportmap

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    ChinaCoalConsump/onvs.theWorld

    Combined

    consecuveyear,accordingtonewlyreleasedinternaonaldata.China'scoalusegrewby325milliontonsin2011,accounngfor87%ofthe374milliontonglobalincreaseincoaluse.Ofthe2.9billiontonsofglobalcoaldemand

    growthsince2000,Chinaaccountedfor2.3billiontons(82%).Chinanowaccountsfor47%ofglobalcoalconsumponalmostasmuchastheenrerestoftheworldcombined.

    RobustcoaldemandgrowthinChinaistheresultofamorethan200%increaseinChineseelectricgeneraonsince2000,fueledprimarilybycoal.China'scoaldemandgrowthaveraged9%peryearfrom2000to2010,morethandoubletheglobalgrowthrateof4%andsignificantlyhigherthanglobalgrowthexcludingChina,which

    h$p://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=9751&src=email

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    USCoaltoEuropeDisplacesNatgas-

    GHGEmissionsGoUph$p://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-10-31/gas-golden-age-darkens-in-europe-on-u-s-coal-energy-

    markets.html

    Globalgasconsumponmayrise19percentby2017from2010levelsasdemandsurgesinAsiaandtheU.S.whileEuropesusagedrops1.6percent,accordingtotheInternaonalEnergyAgency.Increasingcoal-firedgeneraoninEuropehascutgasdemandby3billioncubicfeetaday,accordingtoSanfordC.Bernstein&Co.,about7percentofconsumpon.TheIEAlastyearpredictedagoldenageforthefuelwithnewexportsfromAmericatoAustralia.

    GasfordeliverynextmonthontheNetherlandsTitleTransferFacility,themainlandEuropeanbenchmark,tradedat27.50euros(35.65)amegawa$-houryesterday,morethandoublethepricefouryearsago,accordingtobrokerdatacompiledbyBloomberg.Thatsequivalentto10.43permillionBrishthermalunitsandcompareswith3.69permillionBtuforfront-monthfuelintheU.S.,whichfell43percentovertheperiod.

    Germanpowerstaonsmakealossof11.25eurosamegawa$-hourfromburninggas,accordingtoBloombergcalculaonsoftheso-calledclean-sparkspread,whichtakesintoaccountelectricity,fuelandcarbonpricesfornextmonth.

    TheequivalentmeasurewhenburningEuropeancoalfordeliverytoAmsterdam,Ro$erdamandAntwerpshowsaprofitof14.22eurosamegawa$-hour.U.S.CentralAppalachianCoalFuturesforthenextmonthtradedat59.43ashorttononOct.29,excludingshipping,versus84.85ametricton(93.53ashortton)forEuropeancoal.

    Burningcoalhascontributedtoa10percentincreaseinEUcarbon-dioxideoutputthisyearthroughSeptember,accordingtoBloombergNewEnergyFinance.First-quarteremissionsfrompowergeneraonintheU.S.droppedtothelowestsince1992becauseof

    increasedgasusageandamilder-than-normalwinter,theEIAsaidinanAug.1report.

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    EuropeGasCarnageShownbyEON

    Closing3-Year-OldPlanth$p://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-03-12/europe-gas-carnage-shown-by-eon-closing-3-year-old-plant-

    energy.html EONSEsIrsching-5inBavarialastyearoperatedlessthan25percentoftheme

    asslumpingpowerpricesmadeburningnaturalgasunprofitablebyrecordmargins.AsEuropesweakeconomyholdsbackelectricitydemand,cheapercoal,requirementstobuyrenewableenergyandthecollapsingcostofcarbonpermitsareundercunggas-firedplants.

    Thepa$ernisrepeatedthroughoutEuropeasuliesincludingFrancesGDFSuezSAandCentricaPlcmothballgasplants.Theimpactisbothenvironmentalandcommercial.Switchingtocoalincreasesemissions,whileitlowersprofitforgasplants,whichgeneratealmostaquarterofEuropeanpower,andshrinksthemarketforsuppliersledbyOAOGazprom.(GAZP)

    Gas-firedplantsarestoppedthreedaysoutoffour,GerardMestrallet,chiefexecuveofficerofGDFSuez,Francesformergasmonopoly,saidatabriefingonFeb.28.Thethermalindustryisincrisis.Thereisovercapacity.

    Thedifferencebetweenthecostoffuelandthepricepaidforthepowergeneratedreachedarecordlowtoday.Theso-calledsparkspreadforthemonthaheadfelltoaslowasminus18.35eurosamegawa$-hour(23.87).GasplantsarealsounprofitableinFrance,theNetherlands,SpainandtheCzechRepublic,accordingtodatacompiledbyBloomberg.IntheU.K.,theyrebarelybreakingeven.

    Atthesameme,sparkspreadsforcoalplantsareprofitableineveryEuropeanmarkettrackedbyBloombergaspricesforthefueldrop.

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    USRenewables

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    USSolarProjectsh$p://www.seia.org/map/majormap.php

    Thereareover490majorsolarprojectscurrentlyinthedatabase,represenngover32GWofcapacity.

    Thelistshowsthatthereisover2.4GWofmajorsolarprojectscurrentlyopera/ng.

    Thereremainsanenormousamountofcapacityinthepipeline,withover29GWofPVandCSPprojectseitherunderconstruc/onorunderdevelopment.

    UndertheObamaAdministraon,16projectshavebeenpermi$edonfederallands,whichwillprovide6,058MWofgenerangcapacity.

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    h$p://www.windpoweringamerica.gov/wind_installed_capacity.asp

    AsofJanuary30th2013Installed

    CapacityBreaks60,000mwh$p://www.awea.org/newsroom/pressreleases/officialyearendnumbersreleased.cfm

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    USPowerGridSource:h$p://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:UnitedStatesPowerGrid.jpg

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    CO2,Hydrocarbons,Renewables&Electric

    Transmission

    AnINGAAFoundaonstudyfocusedonthepipelineinfrastructurerequirementsforCCS.Itforecaststhatbetween

    15,000and66,000milesofpipelinewillbeneededintheU.S.by

    2030,dependingonhowmuchCO2couldbesequestered,and

    theuseofCO2forenhancedoilrecovery(EOR). FutureCO2pipelineswilllikelycompetewithnaturalgas

    pipelines,NGLs,crudeoilandrefinedproductsforlaborand

    materials.

    Alsothesingofrenewables(solar/wind)andrelatedtransmissionlinescouldcompetewithCO2,crudeoilandnatural

    gasinfrastructureforrights-of-way,especiallyinhighlypopulated

    areas.

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    CCUSDevelopments

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    USCCUSandCCSProjects

    CCUS Southern/Kemper-MSUnderconstrucon Summit/TCEP-TXDevelopment AirProducts-TXOperang LeucadiaLakeCharlesCleanEnergyPlantLADevelopment

    LeucadiaMississippiGasificaonProjectMSDevelopment NRG-TXDevelopment HECA-CADevelopment DKRW-WYDevelopment Peabody-GreatPoint-TBNPlanning LeucadiaIndianaGasificaon-INPlanning? BothTenaskaplantsTaylorvilleIllandTrailblazerTXcancelledJune21,2013 CCS Southern/PlantBarry-ALOperang ADM-ILOperang FutureGen-ILDevelopment

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    CurrentCO2EOROpera/ons

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    OtherInter-relatedEnergyAc/vi/es

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    GTLAdvancesDuetoNatgasSupply

    Price SASOL-LA&IN Shell-LA EmberClear-MS EmberClear-PA BP-AK Calumet-PA Am.GTL-PA Methanex-LA SouthMeth.-LA

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    ShaleGasLiquidsDrivePetchemGrowth

    h$p://www.argusmedia.com/~/media/Files/PDFs/Mkng/Argus%20NGL%20Shale%20Gas%20Special%20Report.ashx

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    PricetoPolluteHitsRecordHighh$p://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/arcle/Price-to-pollute-hits-record-high-4608417.php

    June18thThepricetopolluteisatarecordhigh,withtradersrecentlypaying270,000fortherighttoemit1tonofvolaleorganiccompounds,akeyingredientinozone,orsmog.That'supfrom4,500pertoninJanuary2011.

    TherecordsaleinvolvedthecityofHouston,whichhad14.3creditsforvolaleorganiccompoundstosella\erupgradingequipmentatitsAlmedaSimssewagetreatmentplant.Thecityalsosoldcreditsfor12.4tonsofnitrogenoxides,anotheringredientinozone,for151,000pertontoAmerexBrokers,aSugarLand-basedfirm.

    Thesoaringpriceofsmogcredits-eachequalto1tonofpolluon-meansthemarketisdoingitsjob:proddingindustrytoreduceemissions.Theallowanceshavebecomesovaluablethatforthefirstmesincethesystembegannearlyadecadeago,companiesarelookingforwaystocutemissionsinordertoselltheirexcesscreditsasabo$om-linebooster,traderssaid.

    "Asthemarketpricehassignificantlyincreasedoverthepasttwoyears,ithassentsignalstocompaniestomakereduconsinemissions"ofvolaleorganiccompounds,saidMikeTaylor,whomanagestheemissionstradingdeskatHouston-basedElementMarkets.ThebrokeragefirmassistedthecityofHoustonintherecordsale,whichwasreportedlastweektoTexasregulators.

    Themarketforthesestate-issuedallowances,officiallycalledEmissionReduconCredits,appearstobedrivenbychemicalmakers,whoarelookingtoexpandintheHoustonareaa\eryearsinthedoldrums.

    Despitethebullmarket,tradersareworriedaboutliquidity-theeasewithwhichtheallowancescanbetraded.TherearesofewavailablecreditsingreaterHoustonthatNRGEnergyhasaskedregulatorstoletitbuysomefromtheDallas-FortWorthareatocanceloutemissionsofvolaleorganiccompoundsatitscoal-firedpowerplantinFortBendCounty.Thestateenvironmentalqualitycommission,however,hasnotallowedtradesthatarenotinthesameregion.

    ThemarketrunbeganasChevronPhillipsChemicalCo.,CelaneseCorp.andotherchemicalmakersstartedmakingplanstoexpandbecauseofcheapandabundantnaturalgas

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    PanamaCanalExpansionandIts

    ImpactItcouldbethesinglebiggestgamechangerfortheexportofUSenergyandrelatedcommodiestotheFarEast.

    LNGExportsfirstexportfacilityonlinein2015 CoalExportsmajorexpansionsofGCterminals

    NGLExportslongtermexportcontracts TransportaonFuelsExports-fromforeignandUScrude,GTLand

    CTLprojects

    CrudeOilExportstalktoopenuplower48restricons PetrochemicalExportsworldscalenewbuildsandexpansion

    underwayintheGC

    Annualcapacitywillincreasebyabout2,000addionalships. CapacityintermsofTEUwillalmosttriplefrom4,500to12,000. Bulkcapacityindeadweighttonswillmorethandouble.From

    52,000to119,000(h$p://people.hofstra.edu/geotrans/eng/ch1en/appl1en/table_panama_new.html)

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    WhatthePanamaCanalExpansionMeansto

    Shippingh$p://people.hofstra.edu/geotrans/eng/ch1en/appl1en/table_panama_new.html

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    Arc/cShippingRoutes

    Aug26

    th

    2012ChinabecamethelatestcountrytonavigatetheNorthernSeaRoutelastweekwhenitsvesselSnowDragonarrivedinIceland.LinkingthePacificOceantotheAtlanc,theNorthernSeaRouteallowsshipstocutdownontravelmefromAsiatoEuropebyedgingthroughtheicywatersbetweennorthRussiaandtheNorthPole.

    Unlnow,shipshavebeenforcedtopassbyIndonesia,India,theGulfandfinallythroughthecrowdedSuezCanalwhichsawalmost18,000vesselschugthroughlastyearalonebeforereachingtheMediterranean.

    FollowinganortherncourseinsteadwestaboveCanadaoreastaboveRussiacutsthejourneymebyhalf,aspointedoutbyChairmanofNorway-basedTschudiShipping,FelixH.Tschudi,inaninterviewwithJapanesedailyAsahiShimbun.

    "Ifacargoshipwithamaximumloadcapacityof40,000tonscanpassthroughtheNorthernSeaRoute,thatwillshortenthejourneyby22daysandcost839,000[670,000euros]lessthangoingthroughtheSuezCanal."Thearclealsonotesthat1,000tonneslessfuelisneededforthenorthernjourney.

    AlsoknownastheNortheastPassage,theNorthernSeaRoutehasonlyrecentlybecomeaccessibletolargevesselsduetothemelngoftheArcc.GermanywasthefirstWesternpowertomakethejourneyin2009,andwassoonfollowedbyJapan,Denmark,CanadaandtheUK.

    In2011,atotalof37vesselsmadethetrip.Butthisyearsawrecordlevelsofthaw,allowingChinasicebreakeraneasypassage,withthecrewrepornganastonishinglackoficeastheyskirtedtheNorthPole

    h$p://www.france24.com/en/

    20120826-arcc-melts-

    developers-new-shipping-

    northern-sea-route-russia-

    china-ice-loss

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    Arc/cResources

    TheU.S.GeologicalSurvey(USGS)hascompletedanassessmentofundiscoveredconvenonaloilandgasresourcesinallareasnorthoftheArccCircle.Usingageologybasedprobabilisc

    methodology,theUSGSesmatedtheoccurrenceofundiscoveredoilandgasin33geologicprovincesthoughttobeprospecveforpetroleum.Thesumofthemeanesmatesforeachprovinceindicatesthat90billionbarrelsofoil,1,669trillioncubicfeetofnaturalgas,and44billionbarrelsofnaturalgasliquidsmayremaintobefoundintheArcc,ofwhichapproximately84percentisexpectedtooccurinoffshoreareas.

    h$p://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2008/3049/fs2008-3049.pdf

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    Ques/ons&ThankYou!

    MichaelE.Moore

    VPEnergyCommodi/esandAdvisoryServices FearnOilInc.(adivisionofAstrup-Fearnleys) www.fearnleys.com Execu/veDirector NorthAmericanCarbonCaptureStorageAssocia/on www.naccsa.org

    [email protected]:281-759-0245

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    NSPS

    PresidenttoannouncehisnewclimatechangeiniavesonTuesday-CCSlikelyinthemix

    NGOscanfilesincetheEPAmisseditsdeadlinearewaingtoseewhatthePresidentsannouncementwill

    looklikeonTuesday ClassIIvs.ClassVIwillbeinthemix NSPSGHGreduconsoncurrentpowergenerators Abundanceofshalegas RenewableFuelStandard Renewablesgengcheaper RCRA

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    h$p://www.rrc.state.tx.us/eagleford/EagleFordOilProducon.pdf