maciej kos , anna blajer-gołębiewska , dagmara wach · maciej kos1, anna blajer-gołębiewska2,...

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Introduction The majority of studies in the field of medical decision making rely on surveys, interviews or experimental analogs and not on randomized clinical trials. This is especially true in the context of predictive genetic tests due to challenging ethical, legal and privacy concerns. To address this issue in the context of better understanding the relationship between genetic health-risk information, constructs coming from the Health Belied Model and the prevalence of preventive behaviors following testing, we conducted a financially incentivized experiment akin to those used by behavioral economists. Experimental design The experiment had the following structure. We had explained it to participants before the experiment started. 1) We gave each subject $9 to represent their health state and told them that they may lose between 90% and 45% of the money at the end of the experiment. 2) We informed subjects that they belonged to a group with either a high or a low risk of losing money (high/low disease susceptibility). 3) We offered participants information about their likelihood of losing money, which they either elected to see or not. This corresponded to electing to undergo genetic testing. 4) We gave subjects an opportunity to engage in prevention and decrease their likelihood of losing money by 30 or 20 percentage points (high/low effectiveness of prevention) by paying a percentage of their income. 5) Each subject either lost a proportion of money or not (health outcome). The final amount of money was transferred to subject’s PayPal account. Acknowledgments This project was funded by the Polish National Science Centre (grant number 2013/08/M/HS4/00359). The authors thank Richard Gonzalez for help in making this project happen as well as Holly Jimison and Misha Pavel for their valuable feedback. Results On average 72.85% elected to undergo testing. 40.2% of participants engaged in preventive behaviors. Conclusions In this pilot study we showed that preventive behaviors are increased by: 1) unfavorable test results, 2) increased disease susceptibility. Data suggest that increased prevention effectiveness does not lead to more prevention behaviors. Maciej Kos 1 , Anna Blajer-Gołębiewska 2 , Dagmara Wach 2 1 Northeastern University, Boston, MA 2 University of Gdańsk, Poland Aims We wanted to test whether we could increase the prevalence of preventive behaviors by: 1) displaying unfavorable genetic test results, 2) increasing disease susceptibility, 3) increasing prevention effectiveness. (1) disease susceptibility (2) genetic testing (3) effectiveness of prevention Methods Incentivized online experiment. Factors: - disease susceptibility (high/low), - effectiveness of prevention (high/low). Population: 383 Polish students Mean age: 20.89 (SD=2.76) Gender: 38.9% male Predicted probability of prevention Limitations •Student population •Subjects unaware of context •Low stakes Future research •Increase stakes •Add health context •Frame testing in terms of gains •Explore the role of affective vs. deliberate decision making Predictive margins of prevention by test results with 95% CI Predictive margins of prevention by susceptibility with 95% CI Predictive margins of prevention by prevention effectiveness with 95% CI Favorable result Unfavorable result Low susceptibility High susceptibility Low prevention effectiveness High prevention effectiveness Predicted probability of prevention High disease susceptibility increased engagement in prevention (2.05 [1.28, 3.29], p=0.003) Effectiveness of prevention seemed to lead to more preventive behaviors across all treatment conditions but this effect is not statistically significant. Unfavorable test results led to more preventive behaviors (odds ratio [95% CI] of 1.91 [1.12, 3.26], p = 0.017). Predicted probability of prevention These results were obtained by fitting a logistic regression with Huber-White sandwich variance estimator. The decision to purchase prevention was the outcome binary variable. Disease susceptibility and prevention effectiveness were binary predictor variables. Among our control variables were locus of control, various risk measures, time preferences, age, sex, education, religion, income, and coping style. These last two controls were statistically significant. Contact: Maciej Kos [email protected] (4) health outcome and pay out

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Page 1: Maciej Kos , Anna Blajer-Gołębiewska , Dagmara Wach · Maciej Kos1, Anna Blajer-Gołębiewska2, Dagmara Wach2 1Northeastern University, Boston, MA 2University of Gdańsk, Poland

IntroductionThe majority of studies in the field of medical decision making rely on surveys, interviews or experimental analogs and not on randomized clinical trials. This is especially true in the context of predictive genetic tests due to challenging ethical, legal and privacy concerns.

To address this issue in the context of better understanding the relationship between genetic health-risk information, constructs coming from the Health Belied Model and the prevalence of preventive behaviors following testing, we conducted a financially incentivized experiment akin to those used by behavioral economists.

Experimental designThe experiment had the following structure. We had explained it to participants before the experiment started.1) We gave each subject $9 to represent their health state and told them that they may lose between 90% and 45% of the money at the end of the experiment.2) We informed subjects that they belonged to a group with either a high or a low risk of losing money (high/low disease susceptibility). 3) We offered participants information about their likelihood of losing money, which they either elected to see or not. This corresponded to electing to undergo genetic testing. 4) We gave subjects an opportunity to engage in prevention and decrease their likelihood of losing money by 30 or 20 percentage points (high/low effectiveness of prevention) by paying a percentage of their income.5) Each subject either lost a proportion of money or not (health outcome). The final amount of money was transferred to subject’s PayPal account.

AcknowledgmentsThis project was funded by the Polish National Science Centre (grant number 2013/08/M/HS4/00359).

The authors thank Richard Gonzalez for help in making this project happen as well as Holly Jimison and Misha Pavel for their valuable feedback.

ResultsOn average 72.85% elected to undergo testing. 40.2% of participants engaged in preventive behaviors.

ConclusionsIn this pilot study we showed that preventive behaviors are increased by:1) unfavorable test results,2) increased disease susceptibility.

Data suggest that increased prevention effectiveness does not lead to more prevention behaviors.

Maciej Kos1, Anna Blajer-Gołębiewska2, Dagmara Wach2

1Northeastern University, Boston, MA 2University of Gdańsk, Poland

AimsWe wanted to test whether we could increase the prevalence of preventive behaviors by: 1) displaying unfavorable genetic test results,2) increasing disease susceptibility,3) increasing prevention effectiveness.

(1)

disease susceptibility(2)

genetic testing

(3)

effectiveness of prevention

MethodsIncentivized online experiment. Factors:- disease susceptibility (high/low), - effectiveness of prevention (high/low).

Population: 383 Polish studentsMean age: 20.89 (SD=2.76)Gender: 38.9% male

Pre

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Limitations•Student population•Subjects unaware of context•Low stakes

Future research•Increase stakes•Add health context•Frame testing in terms of gains•Explore the role of affective vs. deliberate decision making

Predictive margins of prevention by test results with 95% CI

Predictive margins of prevention by susceptibility with 95% CI

Predictive margins of prevention by prevention effectiveness with 95% CI

Favorable result

Unfavorable result

Low susceptibility

Highsusceptibility

Low prevention

effectiveness

High prevention

effectiveness

Pre

dic

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pro

bab

ility

of

pre

ven

tio

n

High disease susceptibility increased engagement in prevention (2.05 [1.28, 3.29], p=0.003)

Effectiveness of prevention seemed tolead to more preventive behaviors across all treatment conditions but this effect is not statistically significant.

Unfavorable test results led to more preventive behaviors (odds ratio [95% CI] of 1.91 [1.12, 3.26], p = 0.017).

Pre

dic

ted

pro

bab

ility

of

pre

ven

tio

n

These results were obtained by fitting a logistic regression with Huber-White sandwich variance estimator. The decision to purchase prevention was the outcome binary variable. Disease susceptibility and prevention effectiveness were binary predictor variables. Among our control variables were locus of control, various risk measures, time preferences, age, sex, education, religion, income, and coping style. These last two controls were statistically significant.

Contact: Maciej Kos [email protected]

(4)health outcome

and pay out