magellan strategies louisiana survey likely 2014 voters 3/24/14

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Grigsby 2014 Spring Survey March 17819,2014 N of 600/MOE +/8 4.2% Political Head to Heads

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600n survey of likely 2014 Louisiana general election voters. The survey looks at the US Senate race between Mary Landrieu, Bill Cassidy, Rob Maness, and Paul Hollis. Other public policy issues covered in the survey include labor union dues, common core standards, education issues, expansion of Medicaid, impact of the Affordable Healthcare Act, and issues relating to businesses being sued having a right to a trial by jury.

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Page 1: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Grigsby(2014(Spring(Survey(March(17819,2014(

N(of(600/MOE(+/8(4.2%(

Political Head to Heads

Page 2: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

2014%US%Senate%Race%

Page 3: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

39%%

26%%

3%%

3%%

28%%

TOTAL(LANDRIEU( TOTAL(CASSIDY( TOTAL(MANNESS( TOTAL(HOLLIS( UNDECIDED(

And(thinking(for(a(second(about(the(upcoming(election(for(U.S.(SENATE...(If(the(election(was(being(held(today,(for(whom(would(you(vote(if(the(candidates(were...(RANDOMIZE)((

Mary(Landrieu(leads(on(the(US(Senate(Ballot,(but(is(well(below(50%.(

Page 4: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

More(problematic(for(Landrieu(is(the(fact(that(undecided(voters(are(likely(Republican(voters.(

40%(

37%(

37%(

35%(

33%(

31%(

31%(

30%(

30%(

30%(

29%(

29%(

28%(

27%(

26%(

25%(

21%(

19%(

14%(

8%(

WHT(IND(

TOT(IND(

STR(GOP(

TOT(GOP(

WHT(

SOFT(DEM(

DINO(

SOFT(GOP(

35844(

MALE(

55864(

45854(

TOTAL(

FE8(MALE(

65+(

WHT(DEM(

18834(

TOT(DEM(

BLK(

STR(DEM(

Undecided%on%US%Senate%Ballot%

And(thinking(for(a(second(about(the(upcoming(election(for(U.S.(SENATE...(If(the(election(was(being(held(today,(for(whom(would(you(vote(if(the(candidates(were...(RANDOMIZE)((

Page 5: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Further(augmenting(her(problems(is(the(fact(that(undecided(voters((have(an(unfavorable(impression(of(her(and(strongly(disapprove(of(

her(job(performance.((

4%(10%(

29%(

43%(

7%(2%( 5%(

VERY(FAVORABLE( SOMEWHAT(FAVORABLE(

SOMEWHAT(UNFAVORABLE( VERY(UNFAVORABLE(

NO(OPINION( NEVER(HEARD(OF(

UNDECIDED(/(DON'T(KNOW(

(TOT(FAV8TOT(UNFAV)( 858%(TOTAL(FAV( 14%(TOTAL(UNFAV( 72%(

3%(14%(

27%(44%(

12%(

STRONGLY(APPROVE( SOMEWHAT(APPROVE(SOMEWHAT(DISAPPROVE( STRONGLY(DISAPPROVE(UNDECIDED(/(DON'T(KNOW(

(TOT(APPROVE8TOT(DISAPPROVE)( 854%(TOTAL(APPROVE( 17%(TOTAL(DISAPPROVE( 71%(

Among&Undecided&Voters&

Landrieu’s+Image+ Landrieu’s+Job+Approval+

And(thinking(for(a(second(about(the(upcoming(election(for(U.S.(SENATE...(If(the(election(was(being(held(today,(for(whom(would(you(vote(if(the(candidates(were...(RANDOMIZE)((

Page 6: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Bill(Cassidy’s(Image(

At(this(point,(Landrieu’s(biggest(asset(is(the(fact(that(her(closest(opponent(is,(for(the(most(part,(still(unknown(statewide.((Sixty(percent(of(the(voters(have(either(

never(heard(of(him(or(have(no(opinion.(

11%(

14%(

5%(

7%(

22%(

38%(

3%(

VERY(FAVORABLE( SOMEWHAT(FAVORABLE( SOMEWHAT(UNFAVORABLE( VERY(UNFAVORABLE(

NO(OPINION( NEVER(HEARD(OF( UNDECIDED(/(DON'T(KNOW(

TOTAL(FAV( 26%(TOTAL(UNFAV( 12%(NO(OPINION( 22%(NEVER(HEARD( 38%(

Page 7: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

With(the(exception(of(the(6th(Congressional(District,(Cassidy(struggles(with(name(recognition.(

TOTAL( CD(01( CD(02( CD(03( CD(04( CD(05( CD(06(

26%$29%$

17%$ 18%$

7%$

19%$

62%$

12%$

7%$

12%$

17%$

7%$ 8%$

21%$22%$

28%$

20%$

31%$

18%$20%$

12%$

38%$

33%$

49%$

32%$

62%$

48%$

3%$

TOTAL(FAV( TOTAL(UNFAV( NO(OPINION( NEVER(HEARD(

Bill(Cassidy’s(Image(

Page 8: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Among(voters(who(have(heard(of(both(Landrieu(and(Cassidy,(the(race(is(dead(even.((However,(among(voters(who(have(heard(of(and(have(an(

opinion(of(both(candidates,(Cassidy(leads(by(10(points.(US(Senate(ballot(among(informed(voters(

37%%

37%%

4%%3%%

19%%

TOTAL(LANDRIEU( TOTAL(CASSIDY( TOTAL(MANNESS(

TOTAL(HOLLIS( UNDECIDED(

34%%

48%%

5%%3%%

11%%

TOTAL(LANDRIEU( TOTAL(CASSIDY( TOTAL(MANNESS(

TOTAL(HOLLIS( UNDECIDED(

Among&Voters&who&have&heard&of&both&candidates&

Among&Voters&who&have&an&opinion&of&both&candidates&

Page 9: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

2015%Governors%Race%

Page 10: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

And(thinking(for(a(second(about(the(2015(election(for(Governor...(If(the(election(was(being(held(today,(for(whom(would(you(vote(if(the(candidates(were...(

Currently(David(Vitter(and(Mitch(Landrieu(are(statistically(tied(for(the(top(2(spots(in(the(2015(Governors(election.(

28%%

13%%

8%%

26%%

5%%

20%%

TOTAL(VITTER( TOTAL(DARDENNE( TOTAL(KENNEDY( TOTAL(LANDRIEU( TOTAL(EDWARDS( UNDECIDED(

TOTAL(VITTER( 28%(TOTAL(DARDENNE( 13%(TOTAL(KENNEDY( 8%(TOTAL(LANDRIEU( 26%(TOTAL(EDWARDS( 5%(UNDECIDED( 20%(

Page 11: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Support(among(key(groups.(

$$TOTAL$VITTER$

TOTAL$DARDENNE$

TOTAL$KENNEDY$

TOTAL$LANDRIEU$

TOTAL$EDWARDS$ UNDECIDED$

TOTAL$ 28%$ 13%$ 8%$ 26%$ 5%$ 20%$

WHT$ 35%$ 16%$ 9%$ 17%$ 4%$ 20%$

BLK$ 10%$ 7%$ 7%$ 53%$ 6%$ 17%$

MALE$ 28%$ 16%$ 12%$ 21%$ 5%$ 18%$

FEMALE$ 27%$ 10%$ 6%$ 32%$ 4%$ 21%$

SOFT$GOP$ 31%$ 16%$ 18%$ 15%$ 3%$ 18%$

STR$GOP$ 50%$ 13%$ 11%$ 5%$ 1%$ 21%$

TOT$GOP$ 45%$ 14%$ 13%$ 7%$ 1%$ 20%$

TOT$IND$ 23%$ 25%$ 8%$ 12%$ 6%$ 27%$

TOT$DEM$ 16%$ 9%$ 6%$ 46%$ 7%$ 16%$

STR$DEM$ 6%$ 3%$ 6%$ 64%$ 12%$ 9%$

SOFT$DEM$ 27%$ 16%$ 7%$ 26%$ 2%$ 23%$

WHT$DEM$ 24%$ 14%$ 6%$ 32%$ 7%$ 17%$

WHT$IND$ 26%$ 23%$ 8%$ 10%$ 7%$ 26%$

18C34$ 23%$ 10%$ 8%$ 37%$ 4%$ 18%$

35C44$ 27%$ 25%$ 8%$ 20%$ 4%$ 16%$

45C54$ 28%$ 10%$ 6%$ 34%$ 4%$ 19%$

55C64$ 29%$ 13%$ 11%$ 22%$ 7%$ 19%$

65+$ 31%$ 9%$ 9%$ 27%$ 4%$ 21%$

And(thinking(for(a(second(about(the(2015(election(for(Governor...(If(the(election(was(being(held(today,(for(whom(would(you(vote(if(the(candidates(were...(

Page 12: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

2016%Presidential%Race%

Page 13: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Now(thinking(about(the(2016(election(for(U.S.(PRESIDENT...(If(the(election(was(being(held(today,(for(whom(would(you(vote(if(the(candidates(were...(

In(a(hypothetical(2016(Presidential(race(between(Bobby(Jindal(and(Hillary(Clinton,(Jindal(leads(by(5(points.((

37%(

8%(

5%(

35%(

15%(

DEFINITELY(JINDAL( PROBABLY(JINDAL( PROBABLY(CLINTON( DEFINITELY(CLINTON( UNDECIDED(/(DON'T(KNOW(

TOTAL(JINDAL( 45%(TOTAL(CLINTON( 40%(UNDECIDED( 15%(

Page 14: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Survey Research – Microtargeting – Redistricting (GIS)[email protected]

GRIGSBY SPRING 2014 SURVEYFINAL TOPLINES

PROJECT ID#:GRIGSBY-0324Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

Sample Size = 600; +/- 4.1%

_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

Hello, I’m ____________ of _______ a marketing research firm. We’re talking with people inLouisiana today and would like to ask you a few questions regarding issues important toyour community. We are not selling anything and your responses are confidential. (DONOT PAUSE)

T C. And thinking about statewide elections for US Senate, Congress and Governor…howoften would you say you vote in these elections? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM)

ALWAYS 74.3%MOST OF THE TIME, BUTNOT ALWAYS

24.4%

SELDOM 1.3%

(SAMPLE A ONLY)T 1. Would you say things in Louisiana are going in the right direction or have they

gotten off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 38.7%WRONG TRACK 47.6%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 13.7%

(IF T1:1-2 ASK SAMPLE A ONLY )T 2. And, can you tell me specifically why you think things in Louisiana (are going in the

right direction (T1:1)/are off on the wrong track (T1:2)?

SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE

Page 15: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 2 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

(SAMPLE B ONLY )T 3. Would you say things in the country are going in the right direction or have they

gotten off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 21.4%WRONG TRACK 67.6%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 11.0%

(IF T3:1-2 ASK SAMPLE B ONLY )T 4. And, can you tell me specifically why you think things in country (are going in the

right direction (T3:1)/are off on the wrong track (T3:2)?

RECORD VERBATIM RESPONSE

Now, thinking about a different topic. I would like to read you a list of names of peopleactive in government. For each one, please tell me, first whether you have heard of thisperson. If so, then tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of thatperson. If I name someone you do not know, just tell me and we’ll go on to the next one.

(IF FAVORABLE//UNFAVORABLE, ASK:) Would that be very (CHOICE) or just somewhat(CHOICE)?

The first name is… (RANDOMIZE T5-T11)

IMAGESTOTALFAV

TOTALUNFAV

VERYFAV

SMWTFAV

SMWTUNFAV

VERYUNFAV

NOOPIN

NEVERHEARDOF

UND

5. BOBBY JINDAL 45.0% 46.7% 20.9% 24.2% 11.3% 35.4% 4.6% 2.3% 1.4%6. DAVID VITTER 55.8% 33.4% 26.2% 29.6% 12.3% 21.1% 7.4% 1.9% 1.6%7. MARY LANDRIEU 41.0% 52.2% 23.3% 17.7% 16.1% 36.0% 3.8% 1.0% 2.1%8. JAY DARDENNE 40.6% 10.9% 11.6% 29.0% 6.3% 4.7% 22.3% 22.6% 3.6%9. BILL CASSIDY 25.6% 11.9% 11.2% 14.4% 5.3% 6.6% 21.6% 37.7% 3.2%10. JOHN KENNEDY 49.4% 7.1% 18.8% 30.6% 5.1% 2.0% 22.1% 17.0% 4.5%11. GENERAL RUSSELHONORÉ

34.5% 3.2% 18.5% 15.9% 1.5% 1.7% 11.5% 48.2% 2.6%

Page 16: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 3 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

T 12. If the election for the United States Senate was being held today, and the only thingyou knew about the two candidates was that one was a Democrat and the other wasa Republican, for whom would you vote in this district? (ROTATE)

THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE…OR…THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE

(IF CHOICE, ASK:) And would that be definitely (CHOICE) or just probably(CHOICE)?

TOTAL GOP 40.9%TOTAL DEM 34.2%UNDECIDED 24.9%

DEFINITELY REPUBLICAN 31.5%PROBABLY REPUBLICAN 9.4%PROBABLY DEMOCRAT 11.8%DEFINITELY DEMOCRAT 22.4%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 24.9%

And changing topics for a second…T 13. Do you believe that MARY LANDRIEU has performed her job well enough to deserve

to be re-elected or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?

(IF RE-ELECT//NEW PERSON, ASK:) And would that be definitely (CHOICE) orjust probably (CHOICE)?

TOTAL REELECT 34.1%TOTAL NEW PERSON 56.2%DEPENDS 3.7%UNDECIDED 6.0%

DEFINITELY RE-ELECT 24.6%PROBABLY RE-ELECT 9.5%PROBABLY NEW PERSON 11.3%DEFINITELY NEW PERSON 44.9%DEPENDS 3.7%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 6.0%

Page 17: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 4 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

(RANDOMIZE T14 THRU T16)T 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the job BOBBY JINDAL is doing as GOVERNOR?

(IF APPROVE//DISSAPROVE, ASK:) And would you say you strongly (CHOICE) orjust somewhat (CHOICE)?

TOTAL APPROVE 46.7%TOTAL DISAPPROVE 48.5%UNDECIDED 4.8%

STRONGLY APPROVE 17.0%SOMEWHAT APPROVE 29.6%SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 12.9%STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 35.7%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 4.8%

T 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the job DAVID VITTER is doing as U.S. SENATOR?

(IF APPROVE//DISSAPROVE, ASK:) And would you say you strongly (CHOICE) orjust somewhat (CHOICE)?

TOTAL APPROVE 60.1%TOTAL DISAPPROVE 27.9%UNDECIDED 12.0%

STRONGLY APPROVE 27.1%SOMEWHAT APPROVE 33.0%SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 9.3%STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 18.7%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 12.0%

Page 18: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 5 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

T 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the job MARY LANDRIEU is doing as U.S.SENATOR?

(IF APPROVE//DISSAPROVE, ASK:) And would you say you strongly (CHOICE) orjust somewhat (CHOICE)?

TOTAL APPROVE 41.8%TOTAL DISAPPROVE 52.9%UNDECIDED 5.3%

STRONGLY APPROVE 20.7%SOMEWHAT APPROVE 21.1%SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 16.0%STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 36.9%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 5.3%

Now thinking about the 2014 election for US Senate…

1 (NOT AT ALL INTERESTED) 2.3%2 3.7%3 14.2%4ϲ14.9%

14.9%5 (VERY INTERESTED) 63.8%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 1.1%

Page 19: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 6 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

And thinking for a second about the upcoming election for U.S. SENATE...T 18. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates

were...(RANDOMIZE)

MARY LANDRIEU, DEMOCRATBILL CASSIDY, REPUBLICANROB MANNESS, REPUBLICAN…AND…PAUL HOLLIS, REPUBLICAN

(IF CHOICE, ASK:) And is that definitely (CHOICE) or just probably (CHOICE)?

TOTAL LANDRIEU 39.3%TOTAL CASSIDY 26.3%TOTAL MANNESS 2.6%TOTAL HOLLIS 3.4%UNDECIDED 28.4%

DEFINITELY LANDRIEU 29.3%PROBABLY LANDRIEU 10.0%DEFINITELY CASSIDY 14.3%PROBABLY CASSIDY 12.0%DEFINITELY MANNESS 1.6%PROBABLY MANNESS 0.9%DEFINITELY HOLLIS 0.7%PROBABLY HOLLIS 2.7%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 28.4%

(ASK IF T18-1:8)T 19. And who would be your second choice for U.S. SENATE? (DROP PUNCH FROM T18

AND RANDOMIZE)

MARY LANDRIEU, DEMOCRAT 3.6%BILL CASSIDY, REPUBLICAN 15.7%ROB MANNESS, REPUBLICAN 9.7%PAUL HOLLIS, REPUBLICAN 17.0%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW (DO NOT READ) 53.9%

Page 20: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 7 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

And thinking for a second about the 2015 election for Governor...T 20. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates

were...(RANDOMIZE)

DAVID VITTER, REPUBLICANJAY DARDENNE, REPUBLICANJOHN KENNEDY, REPUBLICANMITCH LANDRIEU, DEMOCRAT…AND…JOHN BEL EDWARDS, DEMOCRAT

(IF CHOICE, ASK:) And is that definitely (CHOICE) or just probably (CHOICE)?

TOTAL VITTER 27.6%TOTAL DARDENNE 13.1%TOTAL KENNEDY 8.5%TOTAL LANDRIEU 26.4%TOTAL EDWARDS 4.6%UNDECIDED 19.8%

DEFINITELY VITTER 15.2%PROBABLY VITTER 12.4%DEFINITELY DARDENNE 3.7%PROBABLY DARDENNE 9.3%DEFINITELY KENNEDY 2.7%PROBABLY KENNEDY 5.8%DEFINITELY LANDRIEU 15.5%PROBABLY LANDRIEU 10.9%DEFINITELY EDWARDS 2.2%PROBABLY EDWARDS 2.4%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 19.8%

(ASK IF T20-1:10)T 21. And who would be your second choice for GOVERNOR? (DROP PUNCH FROM T20

AND RANDOMIZE)

DAVID VITTER, REPUBLICAN 15.0%JAY DARDENNE, REPUBLICAN 19.7%JOHN KENNEDY, REPUBLICAN 20.3%MITCH LANDRIEU, DEMOCRAT 13.8%JOHN BEL EDWARDS, DEMOCRAT 14.6%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW (DO NOT READ) 16.6%

Page 21: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 8 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

Now thinking about the 2016 election for U.S. PRESIDENT...T 22. If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates

were...(RANDOMIZE)

BOBBY JINDAL, REPUBLICAN…AND…HILLARY CLINTON, DEMOCRAT

(IF CHOICE, ASK:) And is that definitely (CHOICE) or just probably (CHOICE)?

TOTAL JINDAL 45.0%TOTAL CLINTON 40.4%UNDECIDED 14.6%

DEFINITELY JINDAL 37.2%PROBABLY JINDAL 7.8%PROBABLY CLINTON 5.0%DEFINITELY CLINTON 35.4%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 14.6%

And changing subjects for a second to focus on issues…T 23. And would you support or oppose legislation that makes it easier for labor unions to

organize in Louisiana?

SUPPORT 38.7%OPPOSE 44.2%DON'T KNOW /UNDECIDED

17.1%

Page 22: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 9 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

T 24. And now I am going to read two points of view and after hearing both tell me whichone comes closest to your own point of view. (ROTATE)

(SOME/OTHERS) say that the state teacher unions should have the right toautomatically deduct union dues frommembers’ paycheck.

…WHILE…

(OTHERS/SOME) say that each teacher who belongs to a union should have theindividual right to choose how they pay their union membership dues.

Which point of view comes closest to your own?

SOME SAY THAT THE STATE TEACHER UNIONSSHOULD HAVE THE RIGHT TO AUTOMATICALLYDEDUCT UNION DUES FROMMEMBERS' PAYCHECK.

19.0%

OTHERS SAY THAT EACH TEACHERWHO BELONGSTO A UNION SHOULD HAVE THE INDIVIDUAL RIGHTTO CHOOSE HOW THEY PAY THEIR UNIONMEMBERS

70.9%

DON'T KNOW / UNDECIDED (DO NOT READ) 10.1%

T 25. And thinking about the current course requirements for K through 12 education inLouisiana. I am going to read two points of view and after hearing both tell mewhich one comes closest to your own point of view. (ROTATE)

(SOME/OTHERS) say that the current course requirements ARE STRONG ENOUGHfor Louisiana students to compete nationally and internationally and thereforeSHOULD NOT BE STRENGTHENED.

…WHILE…

(OTHERS/SOME) say that current course requirements ARE NOT STRONG ENOUGHfor Louisiana students to compete nationally and internationally and thereforeSHOULD BE STRENGTHENED.

Which point of view comes closest to your own?

SAY THAT THE CURRENT COURSE REQUIREMENTS ARESTRONG ENOUGH FOR LOUISIANA STUDENTS TOCOMPETE NATIONALLY AND INTERNATIONALLY

26.3%

SAY THAT CURRENT COURSE REQUIREMENTS ARE NOTSTRONG ENOUGH FOR LOUISIANA STUDENTS TOCOMPETE NATIONALLY AND INTERNATIONALLY

60.8%

DON'T KNOW / UNDECIDED (DO NOT READ) 12.9%

Page 23: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 10 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

T 26. Have you seen, read or heard anything recently regarding COMMON CORE?

YES…OR…NO

(IF YES, ASK: Have you seen, read or heard a lot, just some or very little aboutCOMMON CORE?)

TOTAL YES 67.2%TOTAL NO 30.1%

YES, A LOT 32.3%YES, JUST SOME 19.8%YES, VERY LITTLE 15.0%NO 30.1%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 2.7%

(ASK SAMPLE B ONLY)T 27. Our state legislature will be debating the COMMON CORE STATE STANDARD

INITIATIVE. This is a plan to standardize what students are taught in most schoolsacross the United States, while allowing local teachers to develop the curriculum.The standards are designed to ensure graduating students are ready for college orprepared to get a job. These standards are clearly defined so parents, teachers andstudents understand what is expected. From what you have seen, read or heardabout the COMMON CORE STATE STANDARD INITIATIVE so far, would you:(RANDOMIZE)

SUPPORT THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE COMMON CORE STANDARDS…OR…OPPOSE THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE COMMON CORE STANDARDS

(IF CHOICE, ASK:) And do you strongly (SUPPORT/OPPOSE) or just somewhat(SUPPORT/OPPOSE)?

TOTAL SUPPORT 40.9%TOTAL OPPOSE 39.8%UNDECIDED 19.3%

STRONGLY SUPPORT 19.0%SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 21.9%SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 11.5%STRONGLY OPPOSE 28.3%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 19.3%

Page 24: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 11 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

(ASK SAMPLE A ONLY)T 28. Our state legislature will be debating the EDUCATION REFORM PACKAGE. This is a

plan to standardize what students are taught in most schools across the UnitedStates, while allowing local teachers to develop the curriculum. The standards aredesigned to ensure graduating students are ready for college or prepared to get ajob. These standards are clearly defined so parents, teachers and studentsunderstand what is expected. From what you have seen, read or heard about theEDUCATION REFORM PACKAGE so far, would you: (RANDOMIZE)

SUPPORT THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE EDUCATION REFORM PACKAGE…OR…OPPOSE THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE EDUCATION REFORM PACKAGE

(IF CHOICE, ASK:) And do you strongly (SUPPORT/OPPOSE) or just somewhat(SUPPORT/OPPOSE)?

TOTAL SUPPORT 47.0%TOTAL OPPOSE 27.0%UNDECIDED 26.0%

STRONGLY SUPPORT 22.9%SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 24.1%SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 10.4%STRONGLY OPPOSE 16.6%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 26.0%

(IF T27:1-4, ASK SAMPLE B ONLY)T 29. And can you tell me in your own words why you (support Common Core (Q27:1)/

oppose Common Core (Q27:2)? (PROBE: Is there anything else you have to sayabout that?)

SEE VERBATIM RESPONSE

(ASK SAMPLE A ONLY)T 30. There has been a lot of discussion around the country about the impact of the

federal Affordable Health Care Act also known as ObamaCare. Now I am going toread you a statement and after hearing it please tell me if it applies to you or not.The statement is, “I have the same health insurance I had before the law and nothinghas changed with my health insurance coverage.”

Does this statement apply to you or not?

YES, THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO ME 72.5%NO, THIS STATEMENT DOES NOT APPLY TO ME 25.8%UNDECIDED 1.7%

Page 25: Magellan Strategies Louisiana Survey Likely 2014 Voters 3/24/14

Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 12 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

(ASK IF T 30=2) (ASK SAMPLE A ONLY)T 31. Considering your own experiences with health care since the passage of the law,

please tell me which of the following applies to you. You may choose more than oneoption. (ALLOWMULTIPLE RESPONSES)

I HAD NO HEALTH INSURANCE BEFORE ANDWAS ABLETO GET INSURANCE DUE TO THE LAW

5.2%

I HAD HEALTH INSURANCE BEFORE, BUT NOW IT ISMORE AFFORDABLE DUE TO THE LAW

9.3%

I HAD HEALTH INSURANCE BEFORE BUT IT WASCANCELLED DUE TO THE LAW

2.2%

MY DEDUCTIBLES AND OUT OF POCKET EXPENSES AREHIGHER DUE TO THE LAW

43.3%

I COULD NOT KEEP MY SAME DOCTORS OR TREATMENTCENTERS DUE TO THE LAW

15.3%

OTHER (SPECIFY) (DO NOT READ) 21.6%UNDECIDED (DO NOT READ) 19.9%

(ASK SAMPLE B ONLY)As you may be aware, the Affordable Healthcare Act, also known as ObamaCare, giveseach state the option to expand Medicaid coverage to low-income citizens currently notcovered by Medicaid. However, within two years, state government will have to cover atleast 10% of the cost of the program.

Now I am going to read two points of view and after hearing both tell me which one comesclosest to your own point of view. (ROTATE)

T 32. Some say that state government SHOULD expand Medicaid to cover more low-income citizens.

…WHILE…

Others say that state government SHOULD NOT expand Medicaid because theincreased cost will result in either higher taxes or more cuts to education.

Which point of view comes closest to your own?

SAY THAT STATE GOVERNMENT SHOULD EXPANDMEDICAIDTO COVER MORE LOW-INCOME CITIZENS.

42.1%

SAY THAT STATE GOVERNMENT SHOULD NOT EXPANDMEDICAID BECAUSE THE INCREASED COSTWILL RESULT INEITHER HIGHER TAXES OR MO

46.3%

DON'T KNOW / UNDECIDED (DO NOT READ) 11.6%

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Project #: GRIGSBY-0324 Page 13 of 18Field Dates: 03/24-26/2014

T 33. In most states individuals and businesses being sued have a right to a trial by jury incivil cases where the law suit is for $50,000 or less. However, in Louisiana,individuals and businesses being sued for $50,000 or less do not have a right to atrial by jury.

In your opinion, do you support or oppose giving individuals and businesses beingsued for $50,000 or less the right to a trial by a jury?

(IF CHOICE, ASK:) And is that definitely (CHOICE) or just probably (CHOICE)?

TOTAL SUPPORT 60.5%TOTAL OPPOSE 24.6%UNDECIDED 14.9%

DEFINITELY SUPPORT 37.2%PROBABLY SUPPORT 23.3%PROBABLY OPPOSE 10.1%DEFINITELY OPPOSE 14.4%UNDECIDED 14.9%

T 34. Some say that if a business that operated decades ago and conducted its business incomplete compliance with all state and federal laws at the time of operation, thenthe courts DO NOT HAVE THE RIGHT to impose fines and penalties on thatbusiness decades later for unforeseen damages that occurred in the past.

…WHILE…

Others say that even if a business operated decades ago and conducted its businessin complete compliance with all state and federal laws at the time of operation, thecourts DO HAVE THE RIGHT to impose fines and penalties on that businessdecades later for unforeseen damages that occurred in the past.

Which point of view comes closest to your own?

THE COURTS DO NOT HAVE THE RIGHT TOIMPOSE FINES AND PENALTIES ON THATBUSINESS

56.5%

THE COURTS DO HAVE THE RIGHT TO IMPOSEFINES AND PENALTIES ON THAT BUSINESS

29.4%

DON'T KNOW / UNDECIDED 14.1%

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And changing subjects for a second…

(RANDOMIZE)

TELEVISION 48.5%INTERNET 14.2%NEWSPAPER 12.9%TALKINGWITH OTHERS 5.0%RADIO 4.8%SOCIAL MEDIA LIKE FACEBOOK AND TWITTER 1.7%DO YOU NOT REALLY FOLLOW POLITICS 8.6%OTHER SOURCE (SPECIFY) (DO NOT READ) 1.1%UNDECIDED /DON'T KNOW (DO NOT READ) 3.0%

(IF T 35=1-6; DROP PUNCH FROM T 35 AND ASK)

NEWSPAPER 26.9%TELEVISION 20.1%INTERNET 17.5%RADIO 14.0%TALKINGWITH OTHERS 13.1%SOCIAL MEDIA LIKE FACEBOOK AND TWITTER 5.3%DO YOU NOT REALLY FOLLOW POLITICS 0.9%OTHER SOURCE (SPECIFY) (DO NOT READ)UNDECIDED /DON'T KNOW (DO NOT READ) 2.1%

DEMOGRAPHICSAnd now I have a couple more questions for statistical purposes only.T D1. First, in what year were you born?

18-34 11.0%35-44 14.2%45-54 19.8%55-64 22.7%65+ 30.3%REFUSED 2.0%

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T D2. Are you registered to vote as … (ROTATE)

__ a Republican,__ a Democrat,

or something else?

(IF REPUBLICAN/ /DEMOCRAT, ASK:)Would you consider yourself a strong(Republican//Democrat) or a not-so-strong (Republican//Democrat)?

TOT GOP 35.8%TOT DEM 47.7%TOT IND 12.2%TOT UND 4.3%

STRONG REPUBLICAN 26.4%NOT-SO-STRONG REPUBLICAN 9.4%INDEPENDENT / SOMETHING ELSE 12.2%NOT-SO-STRONG DEMOCRAT 22.3%STRONG DEMOCRAT 25.4%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 4.3%

T D3. Regardless of your party registration, which party best represents your politicalpoint of view? (ROTATE :1-:2)

THE REPUBLICAN PARTY 51.7%THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY 34.6%NEITHER (DO NOT READ) 8.2%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW (DO NOT READ) 5.5%

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T D4. Do you consider yourself to be (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TOTOP)

CONSERVATIVEMODERATE…or…LIBERAL

on most political issues?

(IF CONSERVATIVE//LIBERAL, ASK:) And are you VERY(CONSERVATIVE/LIBERAL) or just SOMEWHAT (CONSERVATIVE/LIBERAL)?

TOT CONS 51.3%TOT LIB 13.3%TOTMOD 29.8%

VERY CONSERVATIVE 28.5%SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE 22.8%MODERATE 29.8%SOMEWHAT LIBERAL 7.6%VERY LIBERAL 5.7%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 5.6%

T D5. Would you say you attend religious services....

REGULARLY 58.1%OCCASIONALLY 16.9%SELDOM/NEVER 22.0%

MORE THAN ONCE AWEEK 19.4%WEEKLY 38.8%ALMOST EVERYWEEK 6.4%ONCE OR TWICE A MONTH 10.5%A FEW TIMES A YEAR 13.7%NEVER 8.4%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW (DO NOT READ) 2.9%

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T D6. And just for statistical purposes only, which of the following income groups includesyour TOTAL FAMILY INCOME in 2013 before taxes? Just stop me when I have readthe correct category.

UP TO $30,000 17.7%$30,000 TO $50,000 18.1%$50,000 TO $75,000 13.6%$75,000 TO $100,000 12.0%$100,000 PLUS 22.9%DON'T KNOW / WON'T SAY 15.6%

T D7. Do you have any children? (IF YES, ASK:) Are they under 18 years of age?

YES, CHILD UNDER 18 28.2%YES, BUT NOT UNDER 18 48.5%NO CHILDREN 18.8%BOTH 1.7%REFUSED/WON'T SAY 2.7%

T D8. And do you or a member of your household belong to a teacher or labor union?(IF YES, ASK: And is that a teacher’s union or a labor union?)

TOTAL YES 10.9%TOTAL NO 86.6%

TEACHER UNION 5.7%LABOR UNION 4.5%NO 86.6%BOTH 0.7%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 2.4%

T D9. And generally speaking, do you support or oppose the goals and objectives of theTea Party?

SUPPORT 34.9%OPPOSE 35.6%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW 29.4%

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T D10. And what is your main racial or ethnic origin?

WHITE 72.0%BLACK OR AFRICAN AMERICAN 26.0%HISPANIC OR LATINO 0.4%OTHER (SPECIFY) (DO NOT READ) 0.1%UNDECIDED / DON'T KNOW (DO NOT READ) 1.5%

T D11. Gender (BY OBSERVATION)Are you employed outside the home, or are you a homemaker, or are you retired?

TOTAL MALE 46.7%TOTAL FEMALE 53.3%

MALE/EMPLOYED 28.3%MALE/HOMEMAKER 0.7%MALE/RETIRED 13.6%MALE/NOT IN LABOR FORCE 3.4%MALE/REFUSED 0.8%FEMALE/EMPLOYED 23.2%FEMALE/HOMEMAKER 7.8%FEMALE/RETIRED 20.4%FEMALE/NOT IN LABOR FORCE 1.6%FEMALE/REFUSED 0.3%

EMPLOYED 51.4%RETIRED 34.0%HOMEMAKER 8.5%UNEMPLOYED 5.0%