magnan & duvat - littoral 2010 - could tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting...
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8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Institute for sustainable development
and international relations
Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful
tool for adapting to climate change?
Virginie [email protected]
Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
Sciences Po Paris (France)
www.iddri .org
LIENSs- Littoral, Environnement, Sociétés
UMR CNRS 6250
University of La Rochelle (France)
http://lienss.univ-larochelle. fr/
Alexandre [email protected]
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
Irreversibility& UncertaintyEven if
Zéro GHG emissions
in 2100 temperatures wont decrease
& sea level will continue to rise
Source: Solomon et al., 2009.
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
The usefulness of Tourism carrying capacity as a tool
for starting implementing Adaptation to climate c hange?
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
The usefulness of Tourism carrying capacity as a tool
for starting implementing Adaptation to climate c hange?
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
Tourism Carrying Capacity
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
P art A. The underlying principles of TCC
the maximum number of visitors an area can host
without irreversible damaging effects on the
environment and the society
is usually defined as
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
TCC level(s)
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
P art A. The underlying principles of TCC
E nvironmental TCC
E conomic TCC
Social TCC
Cultural TCC
F ar from the
thresholds
T hresholds
exceeded
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
Beyond the numbercontroversies,
and based upon a rigorous assessment
methodology,
TCC study outputs are of real interest
An example of the (rare) field experiences:
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
P art A. The underlying principles of TCC
3 levels of carrying capacity showing where
environmental + anthropogenic
pressures are
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
How to measure TCC?
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
P art A. The underlying principles of TCC
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
How to measure TCC?
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
P art A. The underlying principles of TCC
E xpectations regarding tourism?
Which shared values?
Stakeholders arena(authorities, economic players,
local populations, tourists)
Limits of acceptable changes
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
P art A. The underlying principles of TCC
How to measure TCC?
E nvironmental and human
vulnerability assessement
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
P art A. The underlying principles of TCC
How to measure TCC?
E xpectations regarding tourism?
Which shared values?
Stakeholders arena(authorities, economic players, local
populations, tourists)
Limits of acceptable changes
TCC synthetic index
E nvironmental and human
vulnerability assessement
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
P art B. Potential links between TCC & ACC
TCC & Adaptation
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
Tw o systemic and global approac hes
P art B. Potential links between TCC & ACC
TCC & Adaptation - C ommon features
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
Tw o systemic and global approac hes
TCC & ACC are context-specific
P art B. Potential links between TCC & ACC
TCC & Adaptation - C ommon features
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
Tw o systemic and global approac hes
TCC & ACC are context-specific
TCC & ACC are evolving approaches (assessment and monitoring)
P art B. Potential links between TCC & ACC
TCC & Adaptation - C ommon features
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
TCC is a tool
P art B. Potential links between TCC & ACC
TCC & Adaptation ± O ne major difference
ACC is a concept
8/8/2019 Magnan & Duvat - LITTORAL 2010 - Could Tourism carrying capacity be a useful tool for adapting to climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
T ourism carrying capacity & Adaptation to climate change
C onclusion
E xpectations regarding tourism?
Which shared
values?
Stakeholders arena(authorities, economic players, local
populations, tourists)
Limits of acceptable changesE nvironmental and human
vulnerability assessement
TourismC arrying C apacity
Adaptation to
climate change?
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Littoral 2010 Adapting to global change at the coast
London, 21-23 September 2010
Alexandre MAGNAN
Virginie DUVAT
Your opinion