maize ge – benefits & bugbears in the u.s. · 2011-01-19 · often yields less than best...

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v013003 © 2003, Purdue Univ. 1 Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. R.L. (Bob) Nielsen Agronomy Department Purdue University, Indiana, U.S. Email: [email protected] Web: www.kingcorn.org/rln-bio.htm FAR New Zealand Maize Conference 12-13 Feb 2003, Hamilton, New Zealand Links to this presentation can be found under “Presentations & Papers”

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Page 1: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

v013003 © 2003, Purdue Univ. 1

Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S.

R.L. (Bob) NielsenAgronomy Department

Purdue University, Indiana, U.S.

Email: [email protected]: www.kingcorn.org/rln-bio.htm

FAR New Zealand Maize Conference12-13 Feb 2003, Hamilton, New ZealandFAR New Zealand Maize Conference

12-13 Feb 2003, Hamilton, New Zealand

Links to this presentation can be found under “Presentations & Papers”

Links to this presentation can be found under “Presentations & Papers”

Page 2: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 2v013003

Bugbears?Special kind of bug or problem which can show up in the development of a system.

These problems are difficult to track down because they aren't caused by any one part of the system. These problems are caused by subtle consequences of the way the whole system interacts.

Tend to show up very late in the development cycle because that's the first time the system is essentially complete.Expensive to fix because they tend to require fundamental changes in the way the system works.

A word not common to my vocabulary…A word not common to my vocabulary…

Source: http://www.dunkworks.com/research/bugbears/ot2000.html

Page 3: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 3v013003

Bugbears?Giant, hairy cousins of goblins who frequent the same areas as their smaller relatives.

Large and very muscular, standing 7' tall.A nose much like that of a bear with the same fine sense of smell.Prefer to ambush their foes.Two main goals in life: survival and treasure.

Source: http://home.onego.ru/~adnd/pages/mm/MM00025.htm

An Alternative Definition, Also Appropriate?An Alternative Definition, Also Appropriate?

Page 4: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 4v013003

Benefits & Bugbears…The transgenic debate is emotional for opponents & proponents alike.

Proponents often overstate the size of the benefits in their blind fervor to support biotechnology.

The GE Debate:The GE Debate:

Image source: http://www.whybiotech.com/html/pdf/ActBook.pdf

Page 5: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 5v013003

Benefits & Bugbears…The transgenic debate is emotional for opponents & proponents alike.

Proponents often overstate the size of the benefits in their blind fervor to support biotechnology. Opponents often overstate the size of the bugbears in their blind fervor to stop biotechnology.

The GE Debate:The GE Debate:

Image source: http://ge.greenpeace.org/campaigns/intro?campaign%5fid=3942

Page 6: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 6v013003

‘Natural’ Corn Plant SexPollen produced in the tassel anthers contains the male genetic material.

Ovules produced on the ears contain the female genetic material.

Gravity, wind or human intervention allows the pollen to fertilize the ovules.

This ‘natural’ sex has been going on for thousands of years!

Page 7: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 7v013003

Maize is a GMO!

Genetic modification of maize has been occurring for thousands of years.

Center of origin = Mexico, central AmericaEarliest plant breeders = womenGenetic modification the old-fashioned way: Hard work!

Now, genetic modification is possible using fancier tools than ever before.

Including the transfer of genes from other living species into maize.

So, let’s admit that…So, let’s admit that…

Page 8: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 8v013003

Adoption of transgenics…Certain transgenic crop types have been adopted very rapidly by U.S. farmers. Why?

Very few additional management changes are required by the farmer to adopt this technology.

Source: www.ers.usda.gov/publications/aer810/

Page 9: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 9v013003

U.S. transgenic soybean acreage, 2002

75%

75%

71%

71%

83%

U.S.

Iowa

Illinois

Minnesota

Indiana

Source: http://jan.mannlib.cornell.edu/reports/nassr/field/pcp-bba/acrg0602.txt

Page 10: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 10v013003

U.S. transgenic maize acreage, 2002

22%

7%

18%

31%

34%

29%

9%

7%

3%

7%

9%

11%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

U.S.

Indiana

Illinois

Iowa

Nebraska

Minnesota

Bt Herb. tol. StackedSource: http://jan.mannlib.cornell.edu/reports/nassr/field/pcp-bba/acrg0602.txt

Page 11: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 11v013003

Indiana is a bit odd…Among the highestpercentage of acres planted to transgenic soybean.

Second lowestpercentage of acres planted to transgenic maize.

Why the discrepancy between Indiana’s two major crops for the adoption of transgenic varieties?

Why the discrepancy between Indiana’s two major crops for the adoption of transgenic varieties?

Perception of Benefits & Bugbears

Page 12: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 12v013003

To adopt or not to adopt?The answer lies with the balance between agronomic costs, agronomic or economic benefits and market uncertainties associated with transgenic crop varieties.

High cost + some benefit + feed own livestock = little economic risk

For example:High cost + little benefit + uncertain market =

substantial economic risk

Page 13: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 13v013003

Transgenic HT soybean…Benefits

Effective weed control program.Less crop injurySimplified weed control program.

BugbearsHigher priced seedHT soybean varieties yield less than non-HT

Consumer & market acceptance almost a non-issue.

Consumer & market acceptance almost a non-issue.Result?

Benefits overcome Bugbears

Result?Benefits overcome Bugbears

Indiana farmers:Indiana farmers:

Page 14: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 14v013003

Transgenic HT maize…Benefits

Effective control of problem weeds.Simpler post-emergence program.

BugbearsHigher priced seedAdditional, residual, herbicide usually required for optimum weed control program.Yield potential vs. best non-HT hybrids on the market still uncertain. Indiana food processors refuse to buy HT maize grain.Pollen drift can create transgenic contamination of adjacent non-HT fields.

Result?Bugbears overwhelm Benefits

Result?Bugbears overwhelm Benefits

Indiana farmers:Indiana farmers:

Page 15: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 15v013003

Transgenic Bt maize…Benefits

Effective control of targeted pest.Simplified pest control program.

BugbearsHigher priced seedTargeted insect is not a serious economic pest in eastern U.S. Corn Belt.Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. Indiana food processors often refuse to buy Bt grain.Pollen drift can create transgenic contamination of adjacent non-Bt fields.

Result?Bugbears overwhelm Benefits

Result?Bugbears overwhelm Benefits

European corn borer:European corn borer:Indiana farmers:Indiana farmers:

Page 16: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 16v013003

Transgenic Bt maize…Benefits

Targeted insect is a major economic pest in Indiana.Effective control of targeted insect.Simplified pest control program.

BugbearsHigher priced seed, including add’nl seed treatment.Yield potential vs. best non-Bt hybrids on the market yet unknown. Indiana food processors will likely refuse to buy Bt grain.Pollen drift can create transgenic contamination of adjacent non-Bt fields.

Corn rootworm:Corn rootworm:

Bugbears (especially market concerns) will still be hard to defeat.

Bugbears (especially market concerns) will still be hard to defeat.

Indiana farmers:Indiana farmers:

Page 17: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 17v013003

Who are the watch dogs?USDA's Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS)

The agency regulates the field testing of genetically engineered plants and certain microorganisms. Was the agency involved with 2002 Prodigene® regulation breach.

In other words, APHIS determines whether these products are safe to release into the “real world”.In other words, APHIS determines whether these products are safe to release into the “real world”.

GE Crop Regulation:GE Crop Regulation:

Page 18: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 18v013003

Who are the watch dogs?The U.S. Department of Health and Human Service's Food and Drug Administration (FDA)

Governs the safety and labeling of drugs and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat and poultry.

In other words, FDA determines whether food made from these products is safe for human consumption.

In other words, FDA determines whether food made from these products is safe for human consumption.

GE Crop Regulation:GE Crop Regulation:

Page 19: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 19v013003

Who are the watch dogs?The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)

Ensures the safety and safe use of pesticidal and herbicidal substances in the environment and for certain industrial uses of microbes in the environment.

In other words, EPA determines whether TGs that express pesticidaltraits are safe for the environment.

In other words, EPA determines whether TGs that express pesticidaltraits are safe for the environment.

GE Crop Regulation:GE Crop Regulation:

Page 20: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 20v013003

Who are the watch dogs?The U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Service's National Institutes of Health

Guidelines for the laboratory use of genetically engineered organisms.

Generally voluntary, but mandatory for any research conducted under Federal grants Widely followed by academic and industrial scientists around the world.

GE Crop Regulation:GE Crop Regulation:

Page 21: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 21v013003

Consumer concerns?Issues commonly raised include …

Fears of unidentified food safety risks from transgenic modifications

ToxinsCarcinogensDietary preferences

Not a risk, but a matter of choice

AllergensSoybean & Brazil nut genesKraft taco shell recall & StarLink™ Bt maize

Page 22: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 22v013003

So, what about ? StarLink™ maize hybrids contained the Cry9C insecticidal gene from Bacillus thuringiensis

Stability of protein to heat and gastric digestion were greater than those of other Bt genes

Was the reason for allergen uncertainty on the behalf of EPA regulators.Was the reason for non-approval of StarLink™ maize for human food use.

Page 23: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 23v013003

Perspective on Very small % of total maize acres

73 5.6

0.5

0.00

3564

01020304050607080

U.S. Indiana

Cor

n ac

reag

e (m

illio

ns)

TotalStarLink

0.7%nationally

0.06%Indiana

Sources: Aventis Crop Science & USDA-NASS

Page 24: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 24v013003

Consumer concerns?Issues commonly raised include …

Fears of unidentified environmental risks from transgenic modifications

Off-target injury or death to nonpestsMonarch butterflies & Bt maize pollen

Selection pressure for pesticide-resistanceGlyphosate resistance in Australian Lolium rigidum

Gene escapes (cross-pollination) to weedy relatives of crops

Canola (rapeseed) & weedy mustards

Image source: www.nre.vic.gov.au

Page 25: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 25v013003

Consumer concerns?Issues commonly raised include …

Fears of corporate monopolies in agricultural production

Control of global food supplyElimination of small farmers

Page 26: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 26v013003

Marketplace response?Grain importers, buyers & processors have responded to consumer concerns by limiting which transgenic varieties they will purchase.

European Union has an accepted listIncludes RR soy & most Bt maize, but not RR maize, StarLink Bt or rootworm Bt maize.

Acceptance by processors & public is less certain for the immediate future

Frito-Lay, Gerber, Staley, McDonalds

Page 27: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 27v013003

StarLink lessons for futureBiotech firms should not be allowedto market a biotech variety until:

The variety has been approved by regulatory agencies and accepted by the grain industry for all end uses, including feed, industrial, food and pharmaceutical;

Thoughts courtesy of:

Dirk Maier, Purdue Ag. Engr.

Thoughts courtesy of:

Dirk Maier, Purdue Ag. Engr.

Page 28: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 28v013003

StarLink lessons for futureBiotech firms should not be allowedto market a biotech variety until:

The variety has been approved by regulatory agencies and accepted by the grain industry for all end uses, including feed, industrial, food and pharmaceutical;

Reliable and inexpensive testing technology is available for use at the first point of sale (such as strip-test kits for elevator use); and

Thoughts courtesy of:

Dirk Maier, Purdue Ag. Engr.

Thoughts courtesy of:

Dirk Maier, Purdue Ag. Engr.

Page 29: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 29v013003

StarLink lessons for futureBiotech firms should not be allowed to market a biotech variety until:

The variety has been approved by regulatory agencies and accepted by the grain industry for all end uses, including feed, industrial, food and pharmaceutical;Reliable and inexpensive testing technology is available for use at the first point of sale (such as strip-test kits for elevator use); and

Tolerance levels based on detectable limits have been established in order to give the U.S. grain handling, exporting and processing industry the ability to meet customer demands with respect to the presence of approved but undesired transgenic crop traits in their end-products.

Thoughts courtesy of:

Dirk Maier, Purdue Ag. Engr.

Thoughts courtesy of:

Dirk Maier, Purdue Ag. Engr.

Page 30: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 30v013003

Future transgenics?Broad acreage will likely continue to be defensive traits (e.g., pest resistance).

Possibly industrial use traits, also.

Food crops may not be best choice for non-food transgenic traits.

E.g., HIV-vaccine production using tobacco rather than maize.

Niche markets for human health products

Required production acreage likely small.Likely controlled by parent company in a vertically integrated system (seed >> pill).

Page 31: Maize GE – Benefits & Bugbears in the U.S. · 2011-01-19 · Often yields less than best non-Bt hybrids on the market. ... and the nation’s food and feed supply, excluding meat

© 2003, Purdue Univ. 31v013003

Hungry for More?

Check out one of these fine Web sites…

www.kingcorn.org/cafe/biotech.html