making regulatory takings reform i work: the lessons of ...alexander j. blenkinsopp, john j. hughes...

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39 ELR 10516 ENVIRONMENTAL LAW REPORTER 5-2009 Making Regulatory Takings Reform Work:The Lessons of Oregon’s Measure 37 by Alex Potapov Alex Potapov is law clerk to Judge Stephen F Williams, US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit Editors’ Summary Oregon’s Measure 37 was an audacious attempt to cre- ate an expansive regulatory takings regime Contrary to the hopes of its supporters and the fears of its opponents, however, it ultimately failed to provide any significant relief to property owners e difficulties the Measure encountered can be traced to two primary causes: poor drafting and the hostile attitude of government officials While these problems are likely to cause difficulties for any regulatory takings initiative, they are not necessar- ily insurmountable It is also possible for a regulatory takings initiative to succeed in another way—by forc- ing the state government to take the problem of exces- sive regulation seriously In this respect, Measure 37 has arguably been a success [Author’s Note: I would like to thank Prof. Robert C. Ellickson, whose advice and support helped me at every stage of writing this Article. I would also like to thank Judge Stephen F. Williams, as well as Alexander J. Blenkinsopp, John J. Hughes III, Arianna Kelly, Dennis Murashko, and Emily Rap.] “Nothing has come easy with this measure” —A Clackamas County planner 1 I n 2004, a 91-year-old woman named Dorothy English became the face of a “property rights revolution” 2 She was an Oregon landowner who had bought her prop- erty in 1953 3 Now, she was hoping to divide her 20-acre lot into eight parcels so she could give some to her children and grandchildren and sell the rest to fund her retirement 4 Unfortunately for Ms English, in the intervening decades, Oregon had developed its unique and stringent sys- tem of centralized land use regulation, 5 and her property had been rezoned to prohibit such a subdivision 6 Her situation came to symbolize what many Oregonians perceived as the excesses of Oregon’s land use planning ese concerns gave rise to Measure 37, a citizen initiative that would seriously challenge Oregon’s approach to land use In broad outline, the Measure would require the govern- ment to compensate a landowner if her property lost value as a result of land use regulations enacted after she or a fam- ily member acquired the property; in the alternative, the government would be allowed to waive those regulations that were enacted after the landowner acquired the proper- ty 7 is was a significant departure from traditional takings principles; 8 no other state had such a generous compensa- tion provision 9 Dorothy English became an effective spokeswoman for Measure 37, 10 recording a memorable radio commercial in which she declared: “I’ve always been fighting the govern- 1 Telephone Interview with Carol Dawson, Clackamas County Planning (July 30, 2007) 2 Michael C Blumm & Erik Grafe, Enacting Libertarian Property: Oregon’s Mea- sure 37 and Its Implications, 85 Denv U L Rev 279, 281 (2007) 3 Leonard C Gilroy, Reason Found, Statewide Regulatory Takings Re- form: Exporting Oregon’s Measure 37 to Other States 1 (2006) 4 Id.; Eric Mortenson, Face of Measure 37 Campaign Still Stuck, The Orego- nian, Dec 25, 2007, at D1 5 See infra Part IA 6 Gilroy, supra note 3, at 1 7 Oregon Governments Must Pay Owners or Forgo Enforcement When Certain Land Use Restrictions Reduce Property Value, Measure 37 (2004) (codified as amended at Or Rev Stat §195305 (2007)) 8 Rebecca L Puskas, Measure 37’s Federal Law Exception: A Critical Protection for Oregon’s Federally Approved Land Use Laws, 48 BC L Rev 1301, 1301-02 (2007) 9 Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 309 Since then, Arizona has added a simi- larly broad provision Id. 10 Edward J Sullivan, Oregon’s Measure 37: Crisis and Opportunity for Planning, Plan & Envtl L, March 2005, at 3, 5, available at http://wwwplanning org/PEL/commentary/pdf/Mar05pdf (noting effectiveness of ads featuring English) Copyright © 2009 Environmental Law Institute®, Washington, DC. reprinted with permission from ELR®, http://www.eli.org, 1-800-433-5120.

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Page 1: Making Regulatory Takings Reform I Work: The Lessons of ...Alexander J. Blenkinsopp, John J. Hughes III, Arianna Kelly, Dennis Murashko, and Emily Rap.] “Nothing has come easy with

39 ELR 10516 ENVIRONMENTAL LAW REPORTER 5-2009

Making Regulatory Takings Reform Work: The Lessons of Oregon’s Measure 37

by Alex PotapovAlex Potapov is law clerk to Judge Stephen F . Williams, U .S .

Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit .

Editors’ Summary

Oregon’s Measure 37 was an audacious attempt to cre-ate an expansive regulatory takings regime . Contrary to the hopes of its supporters and the fears of its opponents, however, it ultimately failed to provide any significant relief to property owners . The difficulties the Measure encountered can be traced to two primary causes: poor drafting and the hostile attitude of government officials . While these problems are likely to cause difficulties for any regulatory takings initiative, they are not necessar-ily insurmountable . It is also possible for a regulatory takings initiative to succeed in another way—by forc-ing the state government to take the problem of exces-sive regulation seriously . In this respect, Measure 37 has arguably been a success .

[Author’s Note: I would like to thank Prof. Robert C. Ellickson, whose advice and support helped me at every stage of writing this Article. I would also like to thank Judge Stephen F. Williams, as well as Alexander J. Blenkinsopp, John J. Hughes III, Arianna Kelly, Dennis Murashko, and Emily Rap.]

“Nothing has come easy with this measure .” —A Clackamas County planner1

In 2004, a 91-year-old woman named Dorothy English became the face of a “property rights revolution .”2 She was an Oregon landowner who had bought her prop-

erty in 1953 .3 Now, she was hoping to divide her 20-acre lot into eight parcels so she could give some to her children and grandchildren and sell the rest to fund her retirement .4

Unfortunately for Ms . English, in the intervening decades, Oregon had developed its unique and stringent sys-tem of centralized land use regulation,5 and her property had been rezoned to prohibit such a subdivision .6 Her situation came to symbolize what many Oregonians perceived as the excesses of Oregon’s land use planning . These concerns gave rise to Measure 37, a citizen initiative that would seriously challenge Oregon’s approach to land use .

In broad outline, the Measure would require the govern-ment to compensate a landowner if her property lost value as a result of land use regulations enacted after she or a fam-ily member acquired the property; in the alternative, the government would be allowed to waive those regulations that were enacted after the landowner acquired the proper-ty .7 This was a significant departure from traditional takings principles;8 no other state had such a generous compensa-tion provision .9

Dorothy English became an effective spokeswoman for Measure 37,10 recording a memorable radio commercial in which she declared: “I’ve always been fighting the govern-

1 . Telephone Interview with Carol Dawson, Clackamas County Planning (July 30, 2007) .

2 . Michael C . Blumm & Erik Grafe, Enacting Libertarian Property: Oregon’s Mea-sure 37 and Its Implications, 85 Denv . U . L . Rev . 279, 281 (2007) .

3 . Leonard C . Gilroy, Reason Found ., Statewide Regulatory Takings Re-form: Exporting Oregon’s Measure 37 to Other States 1 (2006) .

4 . Id.; Eric Mortenson, Face of Measure 37 Campaign Still Stuck, The Orego-nian, Dec . 25, 2007, at D1 .

5 . See infra Part I .A .6 . Gilroy, supra note 3, at 1 .7 . Oregon Governments Must Pay Owners or Forgo Enforcement When Certain

Land Use Restrictions Reduce Property Value, Measure 37 (2004) (codified as amended at Or . Rev . Stat . §195 .305 (2007)) .

8 . Rebecca L . Puskas, Measure 37’s Federal Law Exception: A Critical Protection for Oregon’s Federally Approved Land Use Laws, 48 B .C . L . Rev . 1301, 1301-02 (2007) .

9 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 309 . Since then, Arizona has added a simi-larly broad provision . Id.

10 . Edward J . Sullivan, Oregon’s Measure 37: Crisis and Opportunity for Planning, Plan . & Envtl . L ., March 2005, at 3, 5, available at http://www .planning .org/PEL/commentary/pdf/Mar05 .pdf (noting effectiveness of ads featuring English) .

Copyright © 2009 Environmental Law Institute®, Washington, DC. reprinted with permission from ELR®, http://www.eli.org, 1-800-433-5120.

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5-2009 NEWS & ANALYSIS 39 ELR 10517

ment, and I’m not going to stop!”11 Oregon’s voters responded to her story, and Measure 37 won an overwhelming 61% to 39% victory, carrying 35 of Oregon’s 36 counties .12

A few months after Measure 37 was passed, Multnomah County granted Dorothy English the right to subdivide her property .13 The Measure’s libertarian supporters took this to be an indication of the Measure’s success .14 The opponents of Measure 37, meanwhile, saw a potentially disastrous dis-ruption to Oregon’s land use system .15 One observer sug-gested that Measure 37 “has the potential to unravel over thirty years of valuable planning and compromise” and “insults the remarkable vision demonstrated by past gen-erations of Oregonians in their ability to look beyond their immediate needs .”16 A pair of commentators called Measure 37 “a planner’s nightmare” that “has operated as a large-scale deregulatory measure, repealing land use regulations for select landowners .”17

The number and character of the Measure 37 claims filed by Oregonians seemed to vindicate the skeptics . All in all, there were almost 7,000 Measure 37 claims, requesting a total of $19 .8 billion in compensation .18 This included a large number of subdivision requests, and “several large claims by timber companies .”19 Measure 37 opponents believed that Dorothy English’s story “misled Oregonians into voting for a law that allows dramatic development .”20 As The Oregonian argued in an editorial entitled “Revealing the True Game Behind Measure 37,” the Measure “wasn’t so much about righting wrongs as it was about razing farms and forests and enriching developers .”21 Another article in the same newspa-per noted that “[t]he measure didn’t just help ‘little old gran-nies .’ It also seemed to open the door to subdivisions and shopping centers on timberland and farms .  .  .  .”22

11 . Center for the Defense of Free Enterprise, Oregon Voters End Era of Iron-Fisted Rules Forcing Private Owners to Bear the Cost of Public Use, http://www .cdfe .org/oregon_property_rights .htm (last visited Mar . 9, 2008) .

12 . See Or . Sec’y of State, General Election Abstract of Votes: State Mea-sure No . 37 (Nov . 2, 2004), available at http://www .sos .state .or .us/elections/nov22004/abstract/m37 .pdf .

13 . Gilroy, supra note 3, at 31 .14 . Id .15 . Margaret H . Clune, Government Hardly Could Go On: Oregon’s Measure 37,

Implications for Land Use Planning and a More Rational Means of Compensa-tion, 38 Urb . Law . 275, 276 (2006) (asserting that “Measure 37 threatens to void the state’s entire land use planning system”) .

16 . Edward J . Sullivan, Year Zero: The Aftermath of Measure 37, 36 Envtl . L . 131, 162 (2006) .

17 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 366 .18 . Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development, DLCD Mea-

sure 37, Summaries of Claims (Dec . 5, 2007), http://www .lcd .state .or .us/LCD/MEASURE37/summaries_of_claims .shtml (last visited Jan . 28, 2008) .

19 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 359 .20 . Laura Oppenheimer, Measure 37 “Hero” Faces a New Battle, The Oregonian,

Feb . 2, 2007, at C1 .21 . Editorial, Revealing the True Game Behind Measure 37, The Oregonian, Dec .

4, 2006, at B4 .22 . Rick Bella, Landfill a Prime Case of Measure 37’s Faults, The Oregonian, May

24, 2007, at 4 .

After three years of legal and political conflict over Measure 37,23 Oregon voters retreated from it by passing Measure 49, which significantly cut back on Measure 37 rights .24 Now that the Measure 37 experiment is over, it is possible to assess its impact and learn from its mistakes . Was it an effective guar-antee of property rights, as its proponents claimed? Or was it a deregulatory nightmare that paved the way for gravel pits and massive subdivisions, as its opponents tended to believe?

Returning to the story of Dorothy English illustrates that both of those perspectives miss the point . After the county agreed to let her subdivide her property, it also insisted that “she had to comply with modern standards regarding hillside development, grading and erosion controls, road building, emergency vehicle access, and other issues .”25 Attempting to comply with the standards would “cause delays, cost English money and expose her to appeals from neighbors .”26 Eng-lish and her attorney argued that under Measure 37, she did not have to comply with these standards, because they were enacted after she acquired the property .27 Though a judge agreed with this argument, the case was on appeal when Measure 49 was passed, potentially vitiating English’s Mea-sure 37 claim .28 English was left with bitter disappointment: “Nothing, not a thing,” she says now . “I haven’t got any-thing, period . And I’m furious .”29

Fittingly, Dorothy English’s experience is indicative of what happened with Measure 37 claims more broadly . The kind of legal uncertainty that impeded her attempt to develop her land ensnared many others, and deterred many more from even attempting to develop their land . The sur-prising result—which has become common knowledge in Oregon,30 but has yet to make its way into the legal litera-ture—is that three years of the allegedly radical Measure 37 produced virtually no compensation and very little develop-ment .31 Even if in some respects Measure 37 was a success,32 it failed to create an effective system of compensation for regulatory takings .

23 . See infra Part II .B .24 . See Or . Sec’y of State, Special Election Abstract of Votes: State Mea-

sure No . 49 (Nov . 6, 2007), available at http://www .sos .state .or .us/elections/nov62007/abstract/results .pdf .

25 . Mortenson, supra note 4 .26 . Id.27 . Id.28 . Id.29 . Id. In 2008, English died at the age of 95, without having received any relief .

Eric Mortenson, County Must Pay $1.15 Million to Dorothy English Estate, The Oregonian, Apr . 17, 2009, at B2 . Litigation over her claims is still ongoing . The Oregon Court of Appeals has recently ruled in favor of her estate, order-ing Multnomah County to pay $1 .15 million . Id. This ruling, however, will probably be appealed . Id.

30 . See Eric Mortenson, Rhetoric May Cool as Measure 49 Settles In, The Orego-nian, Apr . 20, 2008 (noting that “Measure 37 never brought the development doom that opponents claimed it would”) .

31 . See infra Part II .32 . For example, it arguably jolted Oregon out of its land use torpor and forced

the government to consider compromise and reform . See infra Part III .B .

Copyright © 2009 Environmental Law Institute®, Washington, DC. reprinted with permission from ELR®, http://www.eli.org, 1-800-433-5120.

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39 ELR 10518 ENVIRONMENTAL LAW REPORTER 5-2009

It is important to learn from this failure . Measure 37 is likely to serve as a model for other states;33 in the 2006 elec-tion, similar initiatives were on the ballot in four states and passed in one state (Arizona) .34 There is reason to believe that these efforts will continue .35 Property rights advocates in other states look up to Measure 37’s backers;36 it is crucial that they learn from Measure 37’s mistakes as well as from its successes . The experience of Measure 37 is relevant to the broader debate over regulatory takings and direct democracy as well . Oregon’s struggles with implementing Measure 37 demonstrate how difficult it is to create a regulatory takings regime from scratch, especially via initiative .

This Article is devoted to the question of what went wrong in the administration of Measure 37 . The central argument is that the difficulties with implementing Measure 37 stemmed from two main sources . The first was that the Measure was insufficiently thought out and poorly drafted . It failed to clearly address some of the most fundamental questions con-cerning the regime it was setting up, from whether Measure 37 waivers were transferable, to which government entity was responsible for waiving the regulations or paying compensa-tion, to how compensation was to be calculated .37

The second problem was the frequently hostile attitude that Oregon’s state and local officials—and its judiciary—adopted toward Measure 37 . Its very existence was repeat-edly put in doubt either through court challenge or through threats of reform .38 In addition, its ambiguities were generally construed to give the Measure the narrowest reading possi-ble .39 This compounded the difficulties created by the Mea-sure’s drafting and created a pervasive climate of uncertainty with respect to what rights were secured by the Measure . This uncertainty was ultimately responsible for the limited amount of development that resulted from the Measure .

The Article will proceed as follows . Part I will provide some brief background on land use planning in Oregon . It will illustrate the unusually centralized and stringent nature of Oregon’s land use system and describe the series of attempted revolts against it which culminated in Measure 37 . It will then describe Measure 37 itself and also delve briefly into the policy debate over Measure 37, rejecting the argument that Measure 37 lacks a plausible public policy justification and can only be understood in terms of a radical libertarian ideology . In fact, the benefits of forcing government entities to internalize the costs of their actions provide at least a plau-sible policy rationale for programs like Measure 37 .

33 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 367 (noting that “Measure 37’s readjustment of property rights will surely serve as a laboratory for other jurisdictions”); Sul-livan, supra note 16, at 132 .

34 . Laura Oppenheimer, Voters Nip Libertarian Dreams Across U.S., The Orego-nian, Nov . 13, 2006, at A1 .

35 . See Nancy Kubasek, From the Environment, 35 Real Est . L . J . 611, 613 (2007) (“[T]he proponents of these bills will not be easily discouraged, especially in light of the fact that they did have one success, and at least one very close fail-ure, so we may anticipate seeing many of these measures back on the ballots in many states in future elections .”); id. at 626-27 .

36 . Laura Oppenheimer, Two Years of Changes and Challenges, The Oregonian, Dec . 3, 2006, at A15 .

37 . See infra Part II .B .38 . See infra Part II .A .39 . See infra Part II .B .

Part II will begin by documenting the fact that Measure 37 resulted in very little development . It will then explore the causes of Measure 37’s limited impact . First, it will discuss the threats to the Measure’s existence, including its tempo-rary invalidation by Oregon courts and the constant threats to it from the political branches (which culminated in Mea-sure 49) . Next, it will discuss the many uncertainties about which rights were protected by the Measure and demonstrate that these uncertainties resulted from a combination of poor drafting and hostile interpretation by officials and courts .

Part III will systematize the lessons we should derive from Oregon’s experience . It will describe what it would take for a regulatory takings regime to be effective and ask whether such a regime can be put in place by initiative . The Measure 37 experience illustrates that it may well be very difficult—though not necessarily impossible—for an initiative process to set up a regulatory takings regime that is sufficiently well-crafted and thought-out to avoid the pitfalls of uncertainty and interference from hostile elites . It also illustrates, how-ever, that it is possible for a regulatory takings initiative to succeed in another way—by confronting the government with the wishes of the people and forcing it to adopt the ini-tiative’s goals, though perhaps in a more muted form . This Part will also examine the way these lessons have played out with respect to two subsequent measures: Oregon’s Measure 49 and Arizona’s Proposition 207 .

Although Measure 49 was intended to curtail Measure 37, it seems likely to provide more real relief for landowners . While the scope of its protections is significantly narrower, it is much better drafted than Measure 37 and it appears to represent a real commitment to compensation on the part of the Oregon establishment . Forcing Oregon’s elites to rally behind Measure 49 may be Measure 37’s greatest success .

Proposition 207 shares Measure 37’s ambitions but also its faults . Aside from a few improvements, it is just as vague and badly drafted as Measure 37 was . Thus, it is no surprise that in its first few months, it has created more confusion and paralysis than meaningful relief for property owners . The Proposition 207 experience illustrates the important point that simply following the pattern set out by Measure 37, which so far has been the preferred approach of property rights advocates in other states, is not a good way of setting up a functional regulatory takings regime .

In short, both of these subsequent measures bring into sharper relief the lessons that should be drawn from Mea-sure 37 . Together, these three initiatives have much to teach anyone who seeks to create a functioning regulatory takings regime .

I. The Road to Measure 37

Measure 37 must be considered against the background of Oregon’s unusual land use planning system .40 This Part will

40 . My short description of this complicated system is heavily indebted to the helpful discussions of it in Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, Sullivan, supra note 16, and David J . Hunnicutt, Symposium Essay, Oregon Land-Use Regulation and Ballot Measure 37: Newton’s Third Law at Work, 36 Envtl . L . 25 (2006) .

Copyright © 2009 Environmental Law Institute®, Washington, DC. reprinted with permission from ELR®, http://www.eli.org, 1-800-433-5120.

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5-2009 NEWS & ANALYSIS 39 ELR 10519

briefly explain the Oregon system, consider the history of attempted revolts against it, describe Measure 37, and say a few words about the policy debate over Measure 37 .

A. The Oregon Land Use System

For several decades, Oregon has “pursued statewide land use planning on a scale not witnessed in any other American state .”41 This approach has been praised by many, but it has also been consistently criticized, especially for over-emphasizing resource preservation at the expense of eco-nomic development .42

The foundations for Oregon’s current system were laid in 1973, which a supporter of the system calls “a magical year .”43 The key piece of legislation was Senate Bill 100,44 which “encapsulate[d] the spirit of reform” that was being felt in Oregon at that time .45 Senate Bill 100 created the Land Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC), gave it a central role in the statewide land use program,46 and del-egated a tremendous amount of power to it .47 LCDC was given the “authority to create goals affecting all private land in Oregon, and the duty to require that all cities and counties comply with those goals .”48 In one fell swoop, final authority over zoning and planning was taken from local governments and handed over “to an unelected commission of political appointees of the Oregon governor .”49

LCDC operates by establishing “goals” and expounding on those goals through administrative regulations .50 It also supervises the planning work of the Department of Conser-vation and Land Development (DLCD) .51 In 1979, the leg-islature created the Land Use Board of Appeals (LUBA) and gave it exclusive jurisdiction “to review most local and some state land use decisions for conformity with the statewide planning goals .”52

LCDC ultimately came up with 19 goals .53 The goals responsible for the most Measure 37 claims are Goal 3, hav-ing to do with agricultural land, and Goal 4, having to do with forest land .54

Goals 3 and 4 are quite broad . Ninety six percent of pri-vately held rural land in Oregon is restricted to farm or for-est use .55 The numbers are “staggering .”56 Of the 61,600,000 acres of land in Oregon, only 27,600,000 are privately owned . Of that number, “24,800,000 acres (an area larger than the

41 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 281 . See also Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 28 (noting that “zoning and planning authority [is] an area traditionally reserved for local authorities”) .

42 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 286 n .30 .43 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 134 .44 . 1973 Or . Laws 80 (codified as amended at Or . Rev . Stat . §197 (2005)) .45 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 134 .46 . Id.47 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 27 .48 . Id.49 . Id.50 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 134 .51 . Id. at 135 .52 . Id. (quotations omitted) .53 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 290 .54 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 30 .55 . Id. at 33 .56 . Id.

total acreage of New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and New Jersey combined) are zoned for farm and forest uses, 1,000,000 acres are in rural zones other than farm and forest use, and 1,800,000 acres are in urban areas .”57 In classifying land as forest or farm land, LCDC does not consider the size of the parcel, or its ability to produce harvestable timber or income from agri-cultural activities .58

Restrictions on the uses of farm and forest land are severe . In particular, it can be very difficult to site single-family dwellings on those lands .59 These restrictions are made even harsher by a state statute that imposes a minimum parcel size of 80 acres on forest land and farm land not designated as rangeland, and 160 acres on farm land designated as range-land .60 The bottom line is stark: “In most cases, rural Orego-nians can no longer do anything with their land except farm it or use it for timber production, regardless of market forces, their personal desire or capability to do so, or whether either use made any economic sense .”61

B. The Revolts Against the System

Because the governor and a majority of the legislature sup-ported statewide land use planning, opposition to it took the form of citizen initiatives .62 Within 10 years of Senate Bill 100, there were three failed attempts to eliminate or radically change statewide planning via initiative .63

In the 1990s, “political stalemate within legislative and executive branches” continued to block significant reforms of the system .64 Into the breach stepped Oregonians in Action (OIA), a libertarian public interest group that sought to ease the burden of Oregon’s land use policies .65

In 2000, OIA backed Measure 7,66 which was a close ana-logue to what would later become Measure 37 . Under Mea-sure 7, landowners were entitled to compensation whenever a regulation enacted or enforced after they became the owners of the land lowered the value of the land . There were three exceptions to the compensation requirement, all of which would reappear in Measure 37: “historically recognized nui-sance laws”; regulations that implement a requirement of federal law; and regulations “prohibiting the use of a prop-erty for the purpose of selling pornography, performing nude dancing, selling alcoholic beverages or other controlled sub-stances, or operating a casino or gaming parlor .”67

57 . Id.58 . Id. at 29 .59 . Id. at 30-31 .60 . Id. at 33 (citing Or . Rev . Stat . §215 .780 (2005)) .61 . Id. at 34 .62 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 296 . See also Sullivan, supra note 16, at 137

(referring to “three attempted eviscerations” of the system) .63 . The City Club of Portland, Measure 7 and Compensation for the Im-

pacts of Government Regulation 19-20 (2002), available at http://www .pdxcityclub .org/pdf/Measure7_2002 .pdf .

64 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 137 .65 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 282 .66 . Requires Payment to Landowner if Government Regulation Reduces Property

Value, Measure 7 (2000), available at http://www .oregonvotes .org/nov72000/guide/mea/m7/m7 .htm (struck down in League of Or. Cities v. State, 56 P .3d 892, 896 (Or . 2002)) .

67 . Id.

Copyright © 2009 Environmental Law Institute®, Washington, DC. reprinted with permission from ELR®, http://www.eli.org, 1-800-433-5120.

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Perhaps surprisingly, the campaign over Measure 7 “garnered little public attention or debate during the 2000 election .”68 Proponents of the Measure relied on Ore-gon’s “libertarian tendencies and its strong property rights culture .”69 OIA made the argument that Measure 7 would force government regulators to consider the impact on land-owners before passing regulations;70 this would bring “bal-ance and realism” to the land use system .71 OIA’s campaign “highlighted the stories of sympathetic landowners,” includ-ing Dorothy English .72 Opponents—including Oregon’s governor and two former governors—claimed that the Mea-sure would impose massive fiscal costs and have a negative impact on the environment .73

Measure 7 passed with 53% of the vote,74 but its consti-tutionality was challenged in court before it could go into effect .75 The Oregon courts’ treatment of Measure 7 is worth discussing because it was a preview of the reception they would later give to Measure 37 . The circuit court began by issuing a preliminary injunction, which prevented Measure 7 from going into effect .76 It then issued an opinion striking down the Measure on two state constitutional grounds .77

The first part of the court’s holding78 is that Measure 7 violates the “full text” provision of the Oregon Constitution, which requires that “[a]n initiative petition shall include the full text of the proposed law or amendment to the Constitution .”79 This is a bit of a strange conclusion, since of course the initiative petition for Measure 7 did include the full text of the proposed constitutional amendment .

The circuit court believed that this failing by itself would have been sufficient to invalidate Measure 7 .80 However, the Oregon Supreme Court declined to adopt or even discuss the lower court’s full-text argument .81 Instead, it focused on the other half of the lower court’s holding, which was that Measure 7 ran afoul of the “separate votes” provision of the Oregon Constitution .82 This provision requires that each constitutional amendment submitted to the voters must be voted on separately .83

68 . Id.69 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 137 .70 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 302 .71 . Measure 7, Arguments in Favor, available at http://www .oregonvotes .org/

nov72000/guide/mea/m7/7fa .htm (last visited Apr . 29, 2009) .72 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 298 n .110 .73 . Measure 7, Arguments in Opposition, available at http://www .oregonvotes .

org/nov72000/guide/mea/m7/7op .htm (last visited Apr . 29, 2009) .74 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 137 . See also Unofficial County Results on

Measure 7 as of November 14, 2000, available at http://www .orcities .org/Portals/17/A-Z/m7ns022 .pdf . The legal challenge to Measure 7 prevented the results from being officially certified . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 302 n .122 .

75 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 303 .76 . League of Or . Cities v . State, No . 00-C-20156, at 2 (Marion County Cir . Ct .

Feb . 22, 2001), available at http://www .orcities .org/Portals/17/A-Z/mcallopn .pdf .

77 . Id. at 21-22 .78 . Id. at 13 .79 . Or . Const . art . IV, §1(2)(d) .80 . League of Or. Cities, No . 00-C-20156, at 22 .81 . League of Or . Cities v . State, 56 P .3d 892 (Or . 2002) .82 . League of Or. Cities, No . 00-C-20156, at 18 .83 . Or . Const . art . XVII, §1 .

The test of whether an initiative violates the separate votes provision is whether it “would make two or more changes to the constitution that are substantive and that are not closely related .”84 The court began its analysis by showing that Measure 7 would change two separate provisions of the Oregon Constitution .

The first one is obvious . In putting in place a regulatory tak-ings regime, Measure 7 naturally changes the Oregon Consti-tution’s version of the Takings Clause .85 The second affected provision is less obvious . As noted above, Measure 7 does not require compensation for a regulation “prohibiting the use of a property for the purpose of selling pornography, performing nude dancing, selling alcoholic beverages or other controlled substances, or operating a casino or gaming parlor .”86 Accord-ing to the court, this exception affects the “free expression of opinion” clause of the Oregon Constitution,87 which has been interpreted to mean that “the state or a local government may not treat those who sell expressive material ‘more restrictively’ than those who sell other merchandise .”88

Having shown that Measure 7 makes two substantive changes to the Oregon Constitution, however, the court must still prove that the two changes are not “closely related” to each other . In this case, they do appear to be closely related . The framers of Measure 7 were worried that the broad com-pensation rights provided under the Measure would not be palatable to Oregonians if they forced governments to com-pensate strip clubs or porn shops before closing them down . The exceptions calibrate the rights in order to make them desirable to Oregonians . The relationship between the exten-sion of rights and the exception to it is not just close, but organic—the two operate together to provide precisely the level of compensation rights intended by the Measure’s fram-ers and endorsed by Oregonian voters .

The court devotes very little attention to this crucial issue . It simply argues that the change to the takings provision “generally expands the rights of property owners vis-à-vis the government” while the change to the free expression provi-sion “operates to limit the rights of certain property owners, vis-à-vis other property owners .”89 But as we just saw, it is entirely possible for a restriction of rights and an expansion of rights to be closely related to each other . The court makes no effort to explain why this is not the case .

C. The Advent of Measure 37

The invalidation of Measure 7 was a victory for the defend-ers of Oregon’s land use planning system, but it was “only a matter of time” before OIA came up with a successor to

84 . League of Or. Cities, 56 P .3d at 904 (quoting Armatta v . Kitzhaber, 959 P .2d 49, 64 (1998)) . This test itself has been criticized . See Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 39 n .91 (quoting Daniel Lowenstein, Initiatives and the New Single Subject Rule, 1 Election L .J . 35 (2002) .

85 . League of Or. Cities, 56 P .3d at 905-06 .86 . Measure 7, supra note 66 .87 . Or . Const . art . I §8 (“No law shall be passed restraining the free expression of

opinion, or restricting the right to speak, write, or print freely on any subject whatever[ .]”) .

88 . League of Or. Cities, 56 P .3d at 908 .89 . Id. at 910 .

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it that was framed as a statutory amendment to avoid the court’s holding .90 By the 2004 election, Measure 7 had been “repackaged .  .  . as a proposed statutory amendment” which was included on the ballot as Measure 37 .91

1. The Structure of the Measure

Although Measure 37 is slightly more complex than Measure 7, it is still quite brief . It consists of 13 subsections and runs less than 1,100 words .92 It provides that an owner of private real property is entitled to compensation when the enact-ment or enforcement of a new regulation—or the enforce-ment of an old regulation—restricts her use of the property and lowers the value of the property .

There are five exceptions to the compensation require-ment: regulations “[r]estricting or prohibiting activities com-monly and historically recognized as public nuisances under common law”; regulations for the protection of public health and safety; regulations required to comply with federal law; regulations concerning the use of property for the sale of pornography or performing nude dancing; and regulations enacted prior to the acquisition of the property by the current owner or a family member of the current owner .

If a land use regulation continues to apply to a property 180 days after its owner makes a written demand for com-pensation, the property owner has a cause of action for com-pensation in the state trial courts . The property owner is also entitled to attorneys fees reasonably necessary to collect the compensation .

Instead of paying compensation, a government entity “may modify, remove, or not to apply the land use regulation or land use regulations to allow the owner to use the property for a use permitted at the time the owner acquired the prop-erty .” Decisions under Measure 37 are not to be considered “land use decisions” and therefore are outside of the jurisdic-tion of LUBA .

Payments for Measure 37 claims must be made out of funds specifically designated for the purpose . If a claim had not been paid two years after it accrues, “the owner shall be allowed to use the property as permitted at the time the owner acquired the property .”

2. The Measure 37 Campaign

Measure 37 was well-publicized and hotly debated .93 The Measure’s supporters raised over $1 .2 million, but its oppo-nents more than doubled that in raising a “staggering” $2 .75 million .94

90 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 137 .91 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 304 .92 . Measure 37, supra note 7 .93 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 39 . See also Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 304 .94 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 39 . The majority of the pro-Measure 37 funding

came from timber and real estate interests; the anti-Measure 37 campaign got a $500,500 gift from a single winery owner and drew support from a “wide variety of small contributors .” Alex Pulaski, Election 2004: Measure 37: Property Compensation: Land’s Uses, Limits at Stake, The Oregonian, Oct . 24, 2004, at D1 .

Many were surprised that a property rights initiative like Measure 37 could get traction in a state as committed to land use planning as Oregon .95 But it is important to remember that Oregon is “as much a libertarian state as it is a progres-sive state,” as evidenced by its policies on marijuana, no-fault divorce, and assisted suicide .96

In addition, the theme of the Measure 37 campaign “was not anti-planning, but ‘fairness .’”97 The campaign focused on stories of individual landowners “whose dreams of develop-ing their land were allegedly thwarted by seemingly extreme or arbitrary government action .”98 The radio spots featuring Dorothy English exemplified the campaign’s focus on how Oregon’s unusual land use system could have drastic conse-quences for individuals .99

The opposition campaign, meanwhile, never quite settled on a simple message .100 Opponents focused on the fiscal costs the measure would impose on the state, as well as on its potentially harmful impact on farmland .101 Environ-mental groups alleged that Measure 37 would “generate claims on up to one-half of Oregon’s prime farmland, and would result in strip malls and big box stores sprouting from our farmland .”102

In the end, the opposition’s message did not connect with the voters . The Measure 37 campaign was even more successful than the Measure 7 campaign103 and the mea-sure passed with 61% of the vote, winning in 35 of Ore-gon’s 36 counties .104

D. The Policy Debate

Because this Article is ultimately about why Measure 37 did not work and how similar programs might be made to work in the future, it is important to have a handle on two ques-tions . The first question is whether there is any plausible rea-son to want to make a program of this sort work . The second and logically prior question is what it means to say that a program of this sort “works .”

I hope to sketch out an answer to these questions by responding to two major strands of criticism that Measure 37 has encountered . The first of these strands alleges that support for Measure 37 is an expression of a selfish, or Loch-nerian, or inflexibly libertarian ideology . This line of argu-ment, though surprisingly common, is a mischaracterization of the Measure . The second strand of criticism is that, regard-less of what motivated Measure 37, there is simply no viable policy justification for a regulatory takings regime of this

95 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 138 .96 . Sullivan, supra note 10, at 5 . See also Interview with Eric Mortenson, The Or-

egonian (Aug . 22, 2007) (noting that Oregonians are more libertarian than liberal, and have a mistrust of government) (on file with author) .

97 . Sullivan, supra note 10, at 5 . See also Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 306 (noting that the pro-Measure 37 campaign focused its argument on fairness and simplicity) .

98 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 306 .99 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 40-41 .100 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 307 .101 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 39-40 .102 . Id. at 40 .103 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 304 .104 . See Or . Sec’y of State, supra note 12 .

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sort . My response is that the benefits of forcing governments to internalize the costs of their actions can provide a plausible justification for programs like Measure 37 .

1. The Ideology of Measure 37

Critics of Measure 37 routinely dismiss it by portraying it as an expression of an extreme ideology . One version of this argument is that the idea of compensation appeals only to selfish or private interests, while Oregon’s statewide land use planning system represents a more enlightened and public-minded approach . An editorial in The Oregonian described the Measure 37 debate as follows: “Measure 37 has turned into a tug of war over who inherits Oregon . In the future, will it be ‘mine’ or ‘ours’?”105 The choice is between the “pub-lic” interest and “each individual pursuing his own private Oregon .”106 In a similar vein, Edward J . Sullivan complains that “[f]or too many of these people, lowering property taxes is more important than providing additional govern-ment services to their new neighbors . Autonomy in personal expenditure, a cover for self-interest, is more important than the needs of others .”107

This distinction, however, does not stand up to scrutiny . Why are the demands of some landowners for greater gov-ernment protection public in nature, while the demands of other landowners for greater economic development and lower property taxes are private in nature? Dorothy English’s desire to pay for her retirement by subdividing her parcel is no more selfish than her neighbor’s desire not to live next to lots smaller than 20 acres in size; her needs should be taken into account by the community as much as her neigh-bor’s . Oregon has stacked the deck against development to an extent unknown in any other state . The debate ought to focus on whether this balance is appropriate, rather than on impugning the other side’s motives .

Opponents of Measure 37 also frequently argue that it rep-resents an inflexibly libertarian vision of property rights .108 For example, Michael C . Blumm and Erik Grafe charac-terize the passage of Measure 37 as “the rise of libertarian

105 . Editorial, Find the Guts to Fix Measure 37, The Oregonian, Apr . 22, 2007, at E4 .

106 . Id. Along the same lines, Keith Aoki has asserted that Measure 37 “posits a deep conflict between government—all government—and private property rights .” Keith Aoki, All the King’s Horses and All the King’s Men: Hurdles to Putting the Fragmented Metropolis Back Together Again? Statewide Land Use Planning, Portland Metro, and Oregon’s Measure 37, 21 J .L . & Pol’y 397, 436 (2005) . Interestingly, Aoki acknowledges just a page earlier that “[s]upporters of Measure 37 were highly successful in portraying the state’s land use system as an unfair one-size-fits-all bureaucracy run amok .” Id. at 435 . It is not clear why Aoki thinks that some fundamental conflict between the government and property rights—and not the unfairness and bureaucratic overreach that were the main theme of the campaign—is the real animating idea of Measure 37 .

107 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 136 .108 . Some of Measure 37’s critics have also ventured into political theory . Benjamin

P . O’Glasser, for example, has argued that Measure 37 is nothing less than a violation of the social contract . Benjamin P . O’Glasser, Constitutional, Political, and Philosophical Struggle: Measure 37 and the Oregon Urban Growth Boundary Controversy, 9 U . Pa . J . Const . L . 595, 610 (2007) . Ryan Daugherty, mean-while, has argued that it undermines the very role of elected officials . Ryan Daugherty, Eminent Domain Ballot Initiatives: Citizens’ Voice or Crying Wolf?, 21 J . Nat . Resources & Envtl . L . 99, 115-16 (2007) .

property”109 and lament the “subliminal libertarian message that property rights equate to development rights .”110 They note that “[l]ibertarians see property in static terms”111 and that “some even maintain that property rights are pre-politi-cal in nature .”112 As a coup de grace, they compare Measure 37 to Lochner v. New York113, “a result now widely reviled .”114

The Lochner comparison is obviously inapt, because Mea-sure 37 is a democratically enacted rather than judicially imposed protection of property rights . But more broadly, Blumm and Grafe make surprisingly little effort to show that the libertarian principles they describe actually animated Measure 37 . Indeed, it is hard to imagine that 61% of the Oregonian electorate was suddenly seized with an extreme libertarian impulse . Blumm and Grafe are right to note that supporters of Measure 37 are often imprecise about what they mean by “property rights .”115 They are wrong, however, to fill in the blanks with libertarian dogma that is plainly inconsistent with Measure 37 .

One way to see this is to consider the Measure itself . If the concept behind Measure 37 is that development rights are “pre-political” in nature, why would Measure 37 provide no compensation for regulations that were enacted before the landowner acquired the property? Clearly, the Measure is not aimed at providing everyone with some bundle of pre-political or “natural” development rights . Instead, it is aimed at striking a balance by giving landowners the “benefit of their bargain .”116

Another way of seeing this point is to focus on what Mea-sure 37’s supporters have actually said . As Blumm and Grafe themselves note, OIA initially argued for Measure 7 by sug-gesting that it would bring “balance to the system by forc-ing regulators to consider the impacts on property owners of imposing restrictions on the use of property before doing so .”117 A report by the libertarian Reason Foundation sounds the same theme when it notes that “the intent of the measure is neither to dismantle Oregon’s land use planning system nor to provide a remedy for all property devaluations that have resulted from its implementation .”118 Instead, the pur-pose of the measure is to provide “a better balance between private and public interests by ensuring that state and local governments adequately weigh the costs and benefits of pub-lic action .”119 As an opponent of the Measure has noted, the

109 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 282 . See also O’Glasser, supra note 108, at 610 (calling Measure 37 “absurdly libertarian”) .

110 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 283 .111 . Id.112 . Id. at 284 . See also Keith H . Hirokawa, Property Pieces in Compensation Statutes:

Law’s Eulogy for Oregon’s Measure 37, 38 Envtl . L . 1111, 1117 (2008) (discuss-ing Measure 37’s “property absolutism”); Jeffrey L . Sparks, Land Use Regulation in Arizona After the Private Property Rights Protection Act, 41 Ariz . L . Rev . 211, 222 (2009) (noting that the “basic assumption” of Arizona’s similar Proposi-tion 207 is “that land use regulations deprive property owners of pre-existing property rights”) .

113 . 198 U .S . 45 (1905) .114 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 284 .115 . Id. at 283 .116 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 26 .117 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 302 .118 . Gilroy, supra note 3, at 35 .119 . Id.

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theme of the Measure 37 campaign “was not anti-planning, but ‘fairness .’”120

To summarize, Measure 37’s message certainly was not the message of libertarian property rights as conceived of by Blumm and Grafe . In presenting the commercials featuring sympathetic elderly landowners who were deprived of the right to do almost anything with their property, the backers of Measure 37 were not arguing that these landowners were entitled to a pre-political bundle of absolute property rights . Instead, they were arguing that these landowners had been treated unfairly by the Oregon land use system; that this sys-tem was out of balance and needed to be readjusted; and that governments would make better decisions if they had to consider the impact of the regulations they imposed . That—and not the rigid libertarian theory—was the argument the people of Oregon endorsed by passing Measure 37 .

Blumm and Grafe are right, however, to note that the policy argument behind Measure 37 was rarely fleshed out rigorously or in much detail . The next Part will briefly illus-trate what such an argument might look like .

2. Measure 37 and Cost-Internalization

Hannah Jacobs has argued that initiatives like Measure 37 are too drastic, primarily because they make zoning too dif-ficult .121 But this critique begs the question of whether the additional zoning that would occur without the compensation regime would be beneficial or harmful . And as Jacobs herself acknowledges, many scholars believe that forcing the govern-ment to compensate landowners for the cost imposed by regu-lations actually improves government decisionmaking .122 The concept underlying this theory is “fiscal illusion”—the idea that regulation can be “too cheap” from the perspective of the government because the government is not forced to bear its costs .123 Under a compensation regime, the theory goes, gov-ernments would avoid unnecessary and harmful regulations while enacting the regulations that are genuinely beneficial .

The typical response to this argument is that govern-ment entities are not profit-maximizing firms, and therefore there is no reason to believe that requiring governments to internalize costs will lead to efficient outcomes .124 But this response has been plausibly rebutted in at least two ways . First, Prof . Christopher Serkin has convincingly argued that with respect to local governments, which are the pri-mary source of land use regulations, there is good reason to expect that cost-internalization will create efficient regu-

120 . Sullivan, supra note 10, at 5 . None of this is to deny, of course, that some sup-porters of regulatory takings initiatives may be motivated simply by a dislike of planning and regulation . See Carol M . Rose, Constitutional “Niches”: The Role of Institutional Context in Constitutional Law: What Federalism Tells Us About Takings Jurisprudence, 54 UCLA L . Rev . 1681, 1697 (2007) (noting that Howard Rich, a wealthy backer of takings initiatives, has admitted that his goal is to impede regulation) .

121 . Hannah Jacobs, Searching for Balance in the Aftermath of the 2006 Takings Ini-tiatives, 116 Yale L .J . 1518, 1545 (2007) .

122 . Id. at 1539 .123 . Jonathan H . Adler, Money or Nothing: The Adverse Environmental Consequences

of Uncompensated Land-Use Controls 34 (Case W . Reserve Law Sch ., Paper No . 07-26, 2007), available at http://ssrn .com/abstract=1007467 .

124 . Id. at 38 .

latory incentives .125 This is because local governments are relatively majoritarian, and dominated by homeowners who reap the benefits of regulation through increased property values . These same homeowners would pay for compensation through property taxes . The political and economic costs of regulation are, therefore, aligned .126

Even where land use law is made not by local govern-ments, but by a state agency like the LCDC, there are rea-sons to believe that cost-internalization can improve its decisionmaking . As Prof . Jonathan Adler argues, the cor-rect question is not whether a regime will produce perfectly efficient decisions; the question is whether “a specific reform will move policy in a preferable direction at the margin .”127 Regulators do not have perfect information, and a compen-sation requirement provides them with valuable insight into the “prices” of different regulatory strategies .128 Furthermore, regulatory agencies have fixed budgets, and a compensation requirement will force them to consider trade offs in allocat-ing its resources .129 There is, therefore, at least a plausible case that initiatives like Measure 37 could have a strongly positive effect by forcing governments to consider the impact of their actions and eliminating inefficient regulation .130

The aim of this section is not, of course, to demonstrate conclusively that Serkin and Adler are correct, or that Mea-sure 37 fits their models perfectly . The point, rather, is that there is a plausible normative justification for regulatory tak-ings initiatives that does not require a commitment to a thor-oughgoing libertarian vision of property . This justification implies a particular vision of what a well-functioning regu-latory regime would look like . In order for cost-internaliza-tion to work, governments must have a feasible and accurate method of assessing the amount of compensation they would have to pay, which would allow them to make informed deci-sions about whether or not a particular regulation is worth

125 . Christopher Serkin, Big Differences for Small Governments: Local Governments and the Takings Clause, 81 N .Y .U . L . Rev . 1624, 1628 (2006) . See also Carol M . Rose, Constitutional “Niches”: The Role of Institutional Context in Constitu-tional Law: What Federalism Tells Us About Takings Jurisprudence, 54 UCLA L . Rev . 1681, 1692 (2007) (discussing Serkin) . These themes have previously been explored by Profs . Robert Ellickson and William Fischel . William A Fischel, The Homevoter Hypothesis (2001); Robert C . Ellickson, Subur-ban Growth Controls: An Economic and Legal Analysis, 86 Yale L .J . 385 (1977) .

126 . Id. at 1628-29 . I am, of course, significantly oversimplifying Serkin’s argu-ment . In particular, he identifies two significant caveats to the simple cost-internalization story, namely the local governments’ risk aversion and the exis-tence of externalities . Id. at 1665 . The point of my brief discussion, however, is merely to identify the basic mechanism by which regimes like Measure 37 might make government decisionmaking more efficient .

127 . Adler, supra note 123, at 38 .128 . Id . at 39 .129 . Id. at 40 .130 . Arguably, the cost-internalization rationale for Measure 37 is also well-aligned

with the fairness-centered rhetoric of Measure 37’s supporters . The goal of fair-ness to individual landowners is a natural fit with cost-internalization . As three authors sympathetic to Measure 37 point out, allowing society to impose the burden of regulation on individual landowners both unfairly singles out those landowners and hides the true costs of the policy . Steven Geoffrey Gieseler et al ., Measure 37: Paying People for What We Take, 36 Envtl . L . 79, 83 (2006) . Such a policy can be viewed as unfair because it undervalues the interests of the landowner, forcing her to bear a greater burden so that society can reap a lesser benefit . This is at least one way of understanding why Oregonians were upset about what happened to Dorothy English—she was forced to bear a significant burden without much corresponding benefit to society . This is precisely what cost-internalization guards against .

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the cost . A compensation regime also needs to be predictable and stable, so landowners can know when filing a claim is worth it and local governments can know which claims are legitimate . As we will see, Measure 37 failed on both counts .

II. Implementing Measure 37

This Part will consider Oregon’s experience with Measure 37 . It will begin by documenting the surprisingly limited impact of the Measure . It will then explore two major reasons for that limited impact . First, there was consistent uncertainty about whether Measure 37 would continue to exist . Sec-ond, there was even greater uncertainty about the scope of the rights provided by the Measure . The confluence of these factors prevented many landowners from turning their Mea-sure 37 claims into actual development, and deterred many more from even making the attempt . This Part will also demonstrate that the two major reasons for the uncertainty surrounding Measure 37 were the Measure’s subpar draft-ing and the hostility with which it was often treated by state officials, local officials, and the Oregon judiciary .

A. The Impact of the Measure

The most commonly cited statistic about Measure 37—the thousands of claims for billions of dollars that it pro-duced131—certainly makes it seem that Measure 37 had a significant impact on land use patterns in Oregon . Though this is an easily available statistic, it is also a misleading one; the number of claims is not an especially useful indicator of Measure 37’s actual impact .

One reason for this is that landowners were routinely advised to reserve their Measure 37 rights by making a claim even if they had no actual plans of developing their land .132 Many landowners had strong reasons not to develop their land to the full extent of their Measure 37 rights, or at all . In some cases, the problem was the absence of a market: some claims were in remote areas where there was no demand for development .133 In other cases, the problem was infrastruc-ture .134 A third reason to forgo development was to avoid tensions with the neighbors; Measure 37 claims occasion-ally caused bitter conflict .135 In addition to all this, of course,

131 . See supra note 7 and accompanying text .132 . Eric Mortenson, Measure 49 Study Finds Big Cutback, The Oregonian, Oct .

17, 2007, at A1 (OIA president noting that “attorneys advised many property owners to file huge subdivision claims only as ‘placeholders’ to preserve future development rights”) .

133 . Eric Mortenson, Land Use: Did Voters Overdo It or Get It Right?, The Orego-nian, Sept . 23, 2007, at A1 (quoting the director of the Institute of Portland Metropolitan Studies on this point) .

134 . Tyler Graf, Developers Divide on Oregon’s Measure 49, Daily J . Com . (Portland, Or .), Oct . 11, 2007 (developer arguing that big-box stores and housing devel-opments might be stalled by “water, sewer and road concerns”) . See also Inter-view with Eric Mortenson, supra note 96 (noting that one of the two schools of thought on Measure 37 is that it would not have much of an impact, in part because of infrastructure concerns) .

135 . See Eric Mortenson, Claim Sours Friendships on Chehalem Mountain, The Oregonian, May 31, 2007, at 10 (stating that “relationships of more than 30 years have splintered over [a Measure 37] claim”); Laura Oppenheimer, As Timber Companies Stake Out Prime Oregon Land for Development, Activists Are Getting Out Their Checkbooks to Try to Preserve It, Oregonian, Dec . 26, 2006,

there were significant legal obstacles to development136 that will be described elsewhere in this Part .

For all of these reasons, the number of claims is not a reliable indicator of Measure 37’s actual impact (though of course some have tried to use it as such) .137 To get a better idea of Measure 37’s effect, we will have to answer two questions, tracking the two options Measure 37 gives to governments . First, how often were landowners compensated? Second, in cases where the government entity chose to waive the regula-tion, how often were landowners able to take advantage of the waiver?

The answer to the first question is simple: there was vir-tually no compensation . In the entire history of Measure 37, there is only one instance of a government paying compen-sation to a claimant .138 In that case, landowners Grover and Edith Palin wanted to develop their land, which happened to be located on the rimrock that was viewed as the “singularity” and “the striking feature” of a town called Prineville .139 The city ultimately paid the Palins $180,000 not to develop their land .140 The process of arriving at that number was apparently something of a comedy of errors, illustrating the administra-tive difficulties Measure 37 encountered . For example, the city’s initial offer of $47,750 was based on an appraisal by a city-appointed appraiser who “admitted he was likely on the wrong piece of property when he made his evaluation .”141

Prineville’s decision to compensate the Palins was the exception that proved the rule . As a general matter, both state agencies and local governments simply had no money desig-nated to pay compensation, so they responded to Measure 37 claims they deemed meritorious by waiving the relevant regulations with respect to the claimant’s property .142 The

at A1 (noting timber companies’ concern about local resistance to develop-ment); Oppenheimer supra note 37 (describing neighbors teaming up to fight a Measure 37 claim) .

136 . See, e.g., Mortenson, supra note 132 (OIA president noting that health and safety regulations would limit development) .

137 . For example, Clackamas County sent out 182,000 copies of a map showing all of the claims that had been submitted to it, and many county residents were shocked at the number of claims . Peter Zuckerman, Measure 37 Maps Elicit Shock Around County, The Oregonian, May 17, 2007, at 11 . Given the extent to which the number of claims overstated the actual extent of Measure 37 development, this effort was probably more misleading than informative . Similarly, a study attempted to gauge the impact of replacing Measure 37 with Measure 49 by considering a large number of claims and how they would be handled differently under the two regimes . Mortenson, supra note 132 . For an example of a scholarly work citing the number of claims as support for the proposition that Measure 37 is “likely to have a dramatic effect on land use across the state,” see Puskas, supra note 8, at 1308 .

138 . News Q&A, The Oregonian, Nov . 18, 2007, at A2 (noting that it is believed that only one claim has been compensated) . See also E-mail from Sheila Mar-tin, Dir ., Inst . of Portland Metro . Studies, Portland State Univ ., to author (Mar . 23, 2007) (on file with author) (noting that only one payment had been proposed) .

139 . Mary Kitch, The Riddle of the Rimrock, The Oregonian, Nov . 14, 2007 .140 . Id.141 . Palin’s [sic] Withdraw, Refile M37 Claim, Cent . Oregonian, Dec . 1, 2006 .

This led to Grover Palin appearing before the city council to declare that “[y]ou seven people did a lot of things wrong .” Id.

142 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 143 . See also E-mail from Bob Rindy, Policy & Leg-islative Liaison, Or . Dep’t of Land Conservation & Dev ., to author (Mar . 23, 2007) (on file with author) (noting that there is no fund to compensate land-owners and little hope of finding such funding in the future); Interview with Jennifer Hughes, Measure 37 Program Manager, Clackamas County (Aug . 14, 2007) (stating that there was no discussion of compensating Measure 37 claim-ants in Clackamas County) (on file with author) .

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waiver option, therefore, was the “real import” of Measure 37 .143 But the question is not how frequently regulations were waived as a result of Measure 37; the question is how often those waivers led to development .144

To get a handle on this issue, I studied the records of Clackamas County, which received more Measure 37 claims145 (for a greater amount of money)146 than any other county in Oregon . I was surprised to learn that, as of August 2007, fewer than 10 Measure 37 claims had actually resulted in any development .147 All of those were residential, with the exception of one commercial development that consisted of two billboards .148 The first building permit in Clackamas was not granted until August of 2006, to an elderly couple whose claim was procedurally simple because they did not intend to transfer the property and only wanted to build one dwelling on their parcel of rural land, avoiding the need for a subdivi-sion approval .149 In sum, residential development was very limited, commercial development was virtually nonexistent, and there was no industrial development at all .

When The Oregonian performed a similar investigation in December 2007, it found essentially the same thing .150 Although the county had received 1,070 Measure 37 claims, no commercial or industrial development—no “mines, shopping centers, and factories”—would result from any of them .151 Residential development, meanwhile, would be extremely limited . Only eight land use applications had been approved for claims involving more than 10 lots; and only some of those could go forward because Measure 49 invali-dated all Measure 37 claims except those that had vested .152

It is too early yet to know exactly how much develop-ment will result from Measure 37 in Clackamas County . The county did not keep statistics on how many dwellings have actually been built and precisely how many lots have been approved .153 In addition, a “handful of claimants” were pur-

143 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 143 .144 . The notion that waivers themselves did not amount to development was not

always understood . See, e.g. Puskas, supra note 8, at 1303 (“Many . . . Orego-nians . . . are disturbed by the dramatic change in the state’s landscape threat-ened by Measure 37 waivers .”) .

145 . Sara Hunsberger, Board Will OK Some Measure 37 Claims, The Oregonian, Apr . 2, 07, at 9 .

146 . Peter Zuckerman, A Long Line of Farmers Seek New Lives Under Measure 37, The Oregonian, Oct . 31, 2006, at B4 .

147 . Measure 37 Claims Spreadsheet, Clackamas County (on file with author) .148 . Id. See also Erickson Claim file; Interview with Jennifer Hughes, supra note

142 (noting that commercial development was limited to two billboards) . The two billboards in question merited an entire opinion column in The Oregonian dedicated to condemning them . See Andy Parker, Let’s Just Blame It All on Rep. Schaufler, The Oregonian, Apr . 30, 2007, at B1 .

149 . Dana Tims, Long-Sought Home Built on Measure 37 Success, The Oregonian, Aug . 17, 2006, at B1 .

150 . Peter Zuckerman, Mines, Malls, Factories a No-Go in Rural Areas, The Or-egonian, Dec . 13, 2007, at 12 . By this time, Measure 49 had already been passed and it was possible to assess more authoritatively what would happen in Clackamas County as a result of Measure 37 .

151 . Id.152 . Id. Nor was there much small-scale residential development—only 58 appli-

cations had been approved for 10 or fewer lots, and again only some small percentage of those is likely to have “vested” so as to be able to proceed under Measure 37 .

153 . E-mail from Carol Dawson, Clackamas County Planning, to author (May 8, 2008) .

suing a determination that their rights have vested .154 Tell-ingly, though, few permits had been granted .155 Given that it will probably be difficult for claimants without such per-mits to have engaged in enough construction for their rights to vest, the ultimate impact of Measure 37 on Clackamas County will likely be extremely limited .

It is difficult to make definitive statements about the state as a whole, because there is no centralized database track-ing Measure 37 development statewide .156 With that said, it appears that the experience of Clackamas County is typical .157 Statewide, only about 500 successful Measure 37 claimants even applied for partitions, design reviews, or building per-mits .158 Reportedly, only around 100 claims around the state had any physical development at all .159 That would appear to be the upper limit on the number of claims that can possibly vest under Measure 49; given Measure 49’s restrictive approach to vested rights, the real number is likely to be much lower than that .160 As of right now, it appears that only a few dozen vested rights claims are being pursued,161 and early indications are that the courts will not be amenable to them .162

The only remaining wild card is a recent decision by a federal district court judge, which held that development waivers could not be undone by Measure 49 because they were constitutionally protected contracts, and because they represented “quasi-judicial acts” that could not be undone by legislation .163 This decision has been stayed pending an appeal to the U .S . Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit .164 Even if it gets upheld, however, there are several reasons to believe its impact will be limited . First, the vast majority of Measure 37 claimants have already accepted the Measure 49 alternative .165 Second, this holding might apply only to final development waivers .166 Finally, of course, any waivers that

154 . E-mail from Jennifer Hughes, Measure 37 Program Manager, Clackamas County, to author (May 8, 2008) .

155 . Measure 37 Statistics—Other Permits spreadsheet (on file with author) .156 . Eric Mortenson, Claims Stall Until Measure 49 Sorted Out, The Orego-

nian, Nov . 9, 2007, at B1 (quoting a Land Conservation and Develop-ment spokesman) .

157 . Yamhill County, for example, appears to have gotten very similar results . There have been no applications for commercial or industrial development, only four subdivision applications (the biggest one requesting 41 lots), 15-20 requests for partitions, and about a dozen requests for houses . Mortenson, supra note 133 (quoting Yamhill county planner) .

158 . Id .159 . Ed Sullivan, Measure 49 Passage Poses New Dilemmas in Oregon, Daily J . Com .

(Portland, Or .), Dec . 13, 2007 .160 . See discussion of the vested rights debate in Part III .B, infra . See also Tyler Graf,

Aftermath of Oregon’s Measure 49 Confounds Property Owners, Daily J . Com . (Portland, Or .), Feb . 15, 2008 (Oregon lawyer estimating that “throughout the state, there are really only a couple dozen land owners who have done anything significant to their land”) .

161 . Eric Mortenson, Developments Hinge on “Vested Rights” Cases, The Orego-nian, Oct . 27, 2008, at A1; Eric Mortenson, Trying to Beat the System?, The Oregonian, May 28, 2008, at A1 .

162 . See infra note 381 and accompanying text .163 . Eric Mortenson, Judge Puts Hold on Measure 37 Ruling, The Oregonian, Feb .

26, 2009, at B8 .164 . Id.165 . Id .; see Edward Sullivan & Carrie Richter, Straightening Out Measure 37, 49:

A Bump in the Road for Oregon Land Use Planning, Daily J . Com ., Dec . 11, 2008 (“Most Measure 37 claimants have, or will, accept the more limited relief provided under Measure 49, so the Panner decision is not likely to have a huge impact .”)

166 . Eric Mortenson, Land-Use Ruling Could Have a Broader Impact, The Orego-nian, Nov . 14, 2008, at B1 .

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might ultimately be reinstated would still face all the uncer-tainties of Measure 37 .

All in all, “little .  .  . indicates a wave of development .”167 As one county’s planning director put it: “My sense is that there are very few nails being pounded .”168 A former director of the DCLD, who presided over most of the implementation of Measure 37, summarized the situation as follows: “[o]f the thousands of waivers granted, barely a handful are moving forward with any kind of development—and most of those are proceeding uncertainly .”169

It seems safe to say, then, that contrary to the fears of its opponents and the hopes of its supporters, Measure 37 did not lead to a significant amount of development in the three years it was in force . This should be a troubling result for property rights advocates seeking to emulate Measure 37 in other states . What seemed to be a stunning electoral success has not translated into any appreciable benefits for the vast majority of the landowners whose “benefit of the bargain” Measure 37 sought to secure . The rest of this Part will be devoted to exploring some of the reasons why Measure 37 resulted in so little direct change .

B. The Threats to the Measure

The first major reason for Measure 37’s limited impact is that throughout its existence, its future was in doubt . The threats to the continued operation of Measure 37 came both from the courts and from the political branches .

1. The Legal Challenge

Measure 37 was quickly challenged in court by a group of plaintiffs including 1000 Friends of Oregon, a promi-nent pro-planning group .170 The opponents of Measure 37 made this facial challenge an important component of their attempt to minimize the effects of the Measure .171 Circuit Court Judge Mary James rewarded their efforts and held the Measure unconstitutional on several theories .172 This ruling caused outrage among the supporters of the Measure, lead-ing to accusations that the judge was politically motivated173 and even a recall campaign against her .174 In some quarters, Judge James has become the symbol of anti-Measure 37 judi-

167 . Mortenson, supra note 133 . See also Catherine Trevison & Gosia Wozniacka, Billboards Pit Beauty vs. Business, The Oregonian, Aug . 12, 2007, at A1 (not-ing that while there had been 54 Measure 37 claims to build billboards in the Portland area, so far only three had been built); Interview with Eric Morten-son, supra note 96 (noting that commercial development under Measure 37 had been limited to a couple of billboards) .

168 . Mortenson, supra note 133 .169 . Lane Shetterly, Op-Ed, Protecting Our Rights as Well as Our Values, The Or-

egonian, Oct . 24, 2007, at C7 .170 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 311 .171 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 151 .172 . MacPherson v . Dep’t of Admin . Servs ., No . 05C10444, (Marion County Cir .

Ct . Oct . 2005), available at http://www .ojd .state .or .us/mar/documents/Mea-sure37 .pdf .

173 . Laura Oppenheimer, Form Error Scuttles Judge Recall, Jan . 12, 2006, The Or-egonian, at C1 .

174 . Laura Oppenheimer, New Effort Launched to Recall Judge, The Oregonian, May 10, 2006, at B9 .

cial activism .175 To see how far-fetched Judge James’ theories were, it will be helpful to contrast her circuit court opinion with the unanimous Oregon Supreme Court opinion over-ruling it .176

The first ground upon which the circuit court invalidated Measure 37 is that it supposedly interfered with the legisla-ture’s plenary power to legislate .177 This is because Measure 37 requires government to pay in order to enforce regulations; in other words, the government “must pay to govern .”178 But as the Supreme Court opinion pointed out, this argument is confused at a very basic level . Measure 37 is “an exercise of the plenary power, not a limitation on it .”179 It merely imposes certain requirements on public bodies; it does not purport to divest the legislature of the power to change those requirements in the future .180

The circuit court also found that Measure 37 violated the Equal Privileges and Immunities Clause of the Oregon Con-stitution .181 The court begins by arguing that, with respect to any given land use regulation, Measure 37 divides land-owners into pre-owners and post-owners, two classes which are treated differently .182 These are “true” classes because the distinction between pre- and post-owners would exist inde-pendently of Measure 37, and because there is no way for post-owners to bring themselves within the favored class .183

The court further argues that this distinction fails the rational basis test .184 This is so, first of all, because the valua-tion method used by Measure 37 does not accurately capture the diminution in value of the property .185 In addition, the law irrationally benefits those pre-owners who have owned the land longer than more recent pre-owners, because they most likely bought the land more cheaply and would thus receive a greater windfall .186 The state’s proffered rational basis that “post-owners took their property knowing of the limitations of use on the property and therefore the cost of

175 . See, e.g., Libby Tucker, Metro Confronting Measure 37 Land Use Claims, Daily J . Com . (Portland, Or .), July 13, 2006 (attorney describing a novel valuation method as follows: “This is another one of those Hail Mary pass type of ideas . Metro’s going to throw anything out there and hope they get with a Judge James .”) . See also David Reinhard, Op-Ed, The Rule of Law Triumphs Over Rule of Judge James, The Oregonian, Feb . 23, 2006, at B6 (attacking James for judicial activism) .

176 . MacPherson v . Dep’t of Admin . Servs ., 130 P .3d 308 (Or . 2006) . Blumm and Grafe dismiss the Supreme Court opinion as “surprisingly unreflective .” Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 314 . In my view, it is the circuit court opin-ion that is surprisingly unreflective . For another critical evaluation of Judge James’ opinion, see O’Glasser, supra note 108, at 611 .

177 . MacPherson v . Dep’t of Admin . Servs ., No . 05C10444, at 10 (Marion County Cir . Ct . Oct . 2005), available at http://www .ojd .state .or .us/mar/documents/Measure37 .pdf .

178 . Id. at 11 .179 . MacPherson, 130 P .3d at 315 .180 . Id.181 . Or . Const . art . I, §20 (“No law shall be passed granting to any citizen or

class of citizens privileges, or imunities, which, upon the same terms, shall not equally belong to all citizens .”) . Blumm and Grafe, apparently approv-ingly, suggest that this argument was “the most interesting aspect of the circuit court’s decision .” Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 312-13 .

182 . MacPherson, No . 05C10444, at 10 .183 . Id.184 . Id. at 13-14 .185 . Id. at 14 .186 . Id.

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the property took into account the limitations” did not per-suade the court .187

The Supreme Court responded to this by sensibly noting that the distinction between pre- and post-owners does not create a true class because it “is significant only by virtue of Measure 37 itself .”188 Having held this, the court had no occasion to consider the lower court’s rational basis analy-sis; but that analysis is surely just as mistaken . As one com-mentator has noted, the test imposed by the lower court resembled strict scrutiny much more than rational basis .189 It may be true that the valuation method chosen by Measure 37 is imperfect, but it is well within the realm of rationality to conclude that it is more practicable and appropriate than other valuation methods .190

The circuit court also concluded that Measure 37 effected a suspension of the laws in violation of the Oregon Consti-tution .191 The court argued that Measure 37 “authorizes the suspension of [land use] laws for certain, specified property owners .”192 But, as the Supreme Court convincingly replied, Measure 37 is simply “an amendment of the land use regu-lations  .  .  .  . No law is ‘suspended’; all laws not amended remain in effect .”193

The court also concluded that Measure 37 constitutes an improper delegation of legislative power .194 This argu-ment has no independent force; it is true only insofar as the delegation violates one of the constitutional provisions already discussed .195

Finally, the circuit court held that Measure 37 violated both procedural and substantive due process under the fed-eral Constitution .196 The procedural due process argument was that a Measure 37 claimant’s neighbors were entitled to a hearing prior to a decision being made on the claim .197 This conclusion is, at best, premature . The lawsuit was a facial challenge to Measure 37, and nothing in the Mea-sure “denies predeprivation procedures to individuals such as plaintiffs .”198 The circuit court’s substantive due process argument, meanwhile, was entirely derivative of its discred-ited plenary power argument .199

The Supreme Court deserves credit for correcting the mistakes of the lower court . Its decision could not, however, undo the damage caused by the lower court judge’s decision . The major disruption, of course, was simply that Measure 37 was invalidated for over four months, preventing claims from

187 . Id.188 . MacPherson v . Dep’t of Admin . Servs ., 130 P .3d 308, 316 (Or . 2006) .189 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 49 .190 . Id.191 . Or . Const . art . I, §22 (“The Operation of the laws shall never be suspended,

except by Authority of the Legislative Assembly .”) .192 . MacPherson v . Dep’t of Admin . Servs ., No . 05C10444, at 15 (Marion County

Cir . Ct . Oct . 2005), available at http://www .ojd .state .or .us/mar/documents/Measure37 .pdf .

193 . MacPherson, 130 P .3d at 317 .194 . Id . at 319 .195 . Id . at 318 .196 . MacPherson, No . 05C10444, at 19-22 .197 . Id. at 21 .198 . MacPherson, 130 P .3d at 321 .199 . Id.

moving forward and ambiguities from being worked out .200 The delay was extremely harmful to some claimants . One 78-year-old claimant died while the Supreme Court was con-sidering the constitutionality of the Measure .201 Given that many of the claimants were “in their mid- to late-80s and ha[d] precarious health,” this was hardly an unusual occur-rence; in fact, an attorney handling a number of Measure 37 claims routinely discussed the possibility of death with his clients .202

In addition to all this, the decision introduced even more confusion . The lower court’s order enjoining the processing of Measure 37 claims was not binding on all public enti-ties, but only on the state and four counties .203 The practical effect of this was to freeze most claims, since it was thought that most claims had to go through both the state and the local government .204 The formal effect on nonparticipating entities was less clear .205 For example, would the 180-day time limit for processing claims continue to run while the Measure was being evaluated by the Supreme Court?206 The effect of the invalidation on the deadlines for claimants was similarly unclear . A Clackamas County planner answered a landowner’s question on the subject as follows: “That is an interesting question, to which I don’t have an answer .”207

In sum, a single judge had a profoundly negative impact on the development of Measure 37, in a way that the framers of the Measure could not have done anything to prevent .

2. The Political Challenge

The 2005 legislative session featured a number of proposed bills that would have altered Measure 37 .208 Several of these bills would have changed the operation of Measure 37 quite radically, for example by “allowing local governments to deny a Measure 37 claim where the value lost by the claimant due to the application of a land use rule is less than the value that would be lost by neighbors if that land use rule was waived with respect to the claimant” or by “providing only prospec-tive, but not retrospective, relief to property owners .”209

The most significant of these bills was Senate Bill 1037 .210 It moved Measure 37 in a more conservationist direction, “precluding all claims on high value farmland, barring most claims within urban growth boundaries .”211 It also estab-

200 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 319 (noting that the scope of Mea-sure 37 remained undefined in part because the court challenge delayed its implementation) .

201 . Laura Oppenheimer & Kathleen Gorman, Land-Use Rulings Not So Friendly to Families, The Sunday Oregonian, July 9, 2006, at A1 .

202 . Id.203 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 133 .204 . Id. at 147 n .75 .205 . Laura Oppenheimer, Measure 37 Lives—Or Does It?, The Oregonian, Oct .

31, 2005, at B1 .206 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 134 .207 . E-mail from Jennifer Hughes, Measure 37 Program Manager, Clacka-

mas County, to Roberta Kennedy (Feb . 28, 2006, at 8:27 a .m .) (on file with author) .

208 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 318 .209 . Id. at 318 n .213 .210 . S .B . 1037, 73d Leg . Assem ., Reg . Sess . (Or . 2005); Blumm & Grafe, supra

note 2, at 318 .211 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 149 .

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lished a more stringent valuation process,212 clarified which government entity could waive claims,213 and explicitly made Measure 37 waivers transferable .214 The transferability provi-sion proved unpalatable to Democrats, causing the bill to fail in the Senate .215

Ultimately, the 2005 legislative session produced no reform of Measure 37 .216 The MacPherson case was still working its way through the courts when the session ended;217 perhaps, the lack of urgency among the legislators could be explained in part by the fact that both sides hoped that a legal victory would vindicate their position .218 Still, the session made clear that serious changes to Measure 37 would remain prominent on the legislative agenda, and that it would be foolhardy to rely on Measure 37 continuing to operate in its original form indefinitely .

The calls for a Measure 37 “compromise” continued in the run-up to the 2007 legislative session .219 The legislature formed a special committee in an attempt to forge a com-promise .220 The governor called for a “Measure 37 timeout,” which would prioritize claims seeking to build a single house on rural land, and freeze all the remaining claims until the end of the legislative session .221 Tellingly, at least some Mea-sure 37 claimants thought the timeout was just a “stalling tactic” in preparation for eliminating Measure 37 entirely .222 Claimants who had already invested significant time and money into their Measure 37 claims vigorously opposed the plan .223

One source of pressure for a legislative solution came from the flood of claims that arrived in December of 2006 . Measure 37 had gone into effect in December of 2004, and claims based on pre-Measure 37 regulations had to be filed within two years if they were to avoid LUBA review .224 This resulted in a rush of claims, with the total number of claims statewide doubling within three weeks .225

212 . Id.213 . Id.214 . Id.215 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 318 .216 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 151 .217 . Id.218 . Ed Sullivan, Betting the State: The Politics of Measure 37 Endure, Daily J . Com .

(Portland, Or .), May 10, 2007 (noting that Measure 37 was not addressed by the 2007 legislature “in part because of each side’s supreme confidence it would prevail in the pending challenge to the measure working its way through the courts”) .

219 . See, e.g., Laura Oppenheimer, Governor Dives Into Land-Use Muck, The Or-egonian, Nov . 20, 2006, at B1 .

220 . Laura Oppenheimer, Legislature Jumps Into Land-Use Fray, The Oregonian, Jan . 15, 2007, at A6 .

221 . Peter Wong, Measure 37 Timeout Meets With Praise, Criticism, Statesman J . (Salem, Or .), Feb . 9, 2007, at 1 .

222 . Id. (quoting a claimant) .223 . Laura Oppenheimer, Measure 37 Adversaries Spar Over a Timeout, The Or-

egonian, Feb . 9, 2007, at B5 .Dawn Dutton said she has devoted two years to “the meetings, the paperwork, the checks, the fees” to file a claim and go through Clacka-mas County’s development process . She said she spent $40,000 extra for utilities and roads for a trio of homes, which would be wasted if she could build only the one that’s already under construction . “These are the lives of real people they are contemplating jerking around,” Dutton said .

Id .224 . Sullivan, supra note 218 .225 . Id.

Overwhelmed local governments faced the prospect of dealing with thousands of new claims with a 180-day dead-line .226 Some counties significantly streamlined their proce-dures in order to be able to process the claims in time .227 The Oregonian called on the legislature to extend the deadline .228 The 2007 legislature, with both houses now controlled by the Democrats,229 obliged, and extended the time limit to 540 days for claims filed after November 1 .230

While this extension surely provided a welcome relief to many local governments, it also allowed those governments that were hostile to Measure 37 to significantly postpone pro-cessing claims .231 For example, Multnomah County, which had been unusually hostile to Measure 37 throughout, used the extension to suspend consideration of claims .232 Simi-larly, Washington County used the extension to postpone consideration of the most contentious Measure 37 claims until after the November election, a decision which one of the county commissioners regarded as “artificially juggling” the claims .233 The extension diluted the rights of claimants who would otherwise have the right to have their claims pro-cessed in a prompt manner; it also showed that Measure 37 rules could change in the middle of the game .

The other major decision made by the 2007 legislature with respect to Measure 37 had an even greater disruptive impact on Measure 37 claims . In June, the legislature “referred to the state’s voters—through Ballot Measure 49—a 21-page comprehensive revision of Measure 37 .”234 The reason Mea-sure 49 was referred to the voters instead of simply being passed by the legislature is that not all of the House Demo-crats were willing to sign on to an outright legislative modi-fication of Measure 37 .235 Reportedly, a single Democratic representative refused to go along, based on the fact that his own district had voted overwhelmingly for Measure 37 .236

Measure 49 was a proposal that would radically overhaul Measure 37 .237 First, it would prohibit all commercial and

226 . Timothy Alex Akimoff, Land-Use Claims Bury Marion and Polk County Staffs, Statesman J . (Salem, Or .), Jan . 4, 2007, at 1; Kathleen Gorman, County Faces an Avalanche of New Measure 37 Claims, The Oregonian, Dec . 14, 2006, at 11 .

227 . Kathleen Gorman, County Seeks Extensions on Some Land Use Requests, The Oregonian, Dec . 21, 2006, at C3; Peter Zuckerman, Measure 37 Claims Placed on a Fast Track, The Oregonian, Jan . 10, 2007, at B4; County Stream-lines Measure 37 Process, McKenzie River Reflections (McKenzie Bridge, Or .), Jan . 25, 2007 .

228 . Editorial, Postpone Measure 37 Deadlines, The Oregonian, Feb . 26, 2007, at C4 .

229 . Sullivan, supra note 218 .230 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 360 . See also Governor Signs Land-Use Claims

Extension, Statesman J . (Salem, Or .), May 11, 2007, at 3 .231 . Sullivan, supra note 218 .232 . Arthur Gregg Sulzberger, County Repays Measure 37 Filing Fees, The Orego-

nian, May 22, 2007, at B3 . Multnomah County’s general hostility to Measure 37 claims prompted complaints from claimants about the high fees, slow re-view process, and cumbersome paperwork . Eric Mortenson, Landowners Still Wary on Measure 37, The Oregonian, Mar . 9, 2006, at 1 .

233 . Kathleen Gorman, County Postpones Land-Use Claims, The Oregonian, May 24, 2007, at C1 .

234 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 360 & n .464 . See also Peter Wong, Measure 37 Rewrite Will Go to Voters, Statesman J . (Salem, Or .), June 20, 2007, at 6 .

235 . Peter Wong, Voters Raise Stakes for Land-Use Measure, Statesman J ., July 4, 2007, at 7 .

236 . Sullivan, supra note 218 . See also Parker, supra note 148, at B1 .237 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 361-65 .

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industrial claims, leaving only residential claims . Second, for regulations enacted prior to January 1, 2007, it limited claims on high-value agricultural or forest land, and groundwater-restricted land, to three dwellings . While claims on other types of land could request up to 10 dwellings, this would require a showing of reduction of value that was viewed as so difficult that it was not expected to be frequently used .238 Requesting up to three dwellings, meanwhile, would put claimants in an express lane,239 where no showing of loss of value needed to be made .

For claims arising from regulations enacted after January 1, 2007, Measure 49 allowed up to a total of 20 dwellings per landowner across all claims . However, claimants would have to show loss in accordance with the Measure’s stringent formula and any waiver would have to be proportional to their demonstrated loss . Measure 49 also narrowed Measure 37’s exclusions for federal laws and laws relating to health or safety and clarified which governments were entitled to waive regulations and what counted as a “land use regula-tion .” Importantly, it also explicitly provided that Measure 49 claims would be transferable .

Though the fate of Measure 49 would not be decided until November, it had an immediate impact . For one thing, the only Measure 37 claims that would be allowed to proceed if Measure 49 were to pass were claims that had “vested” under the common-law definition . While it was murky what exactly that meant, there was every reason to expect that it would be a difficult requirement to meet240 and a real pos-sibility that any development that took place after Measure 49 was referred to the voters would be viewed as “bad faith” and would not contribute to a claim’s vestedness .241 Thus, any development undertaken after the referral would involve an even greater risk . In addition, as mentioned above, the combination of the referral and the extension of the deadline for processing claims allowed certain governments to push off deliberately the consideration of at least some claims until after the vote had taken place .242

The impact of trying to operate in conditions of such uncertainty should not be underestimated . The passage of Measure 49 put in serious question, for example, claims where the property owner had invested hundreds of thousands243 or even millions244 of dollars in the Measure 37 process . Given the costs of development and the uncertainty that Measure 37 rights would continue to be available, it is not surpris-ing that many landowners were deterred from attempting to exercise them . But doubts about whether Measure 37 would continue to exist were only part of the uncertainty surround-

238 . Editorial, An Express Lane, and Make It Snappy, The Oregonian, Nov . 12, 2007, at E4 .

239 . Id.240 . See infra Part III .B .241 . Clackamas County, for example, would eventually adopt just that interpreta-

tion . Peter Zuckerman, June 16 Cut-Off Date for Land Claims, The Orego-nian, Jan . 23, 2008, at B3 .

242 . See supra notes 231-33 and accompanying text .243 . Peter Zuckerman, Clackamas County Suits Target Measure 49, The Orego-

nian, Dec . 13, 2007, at C3 .244 . Eric Mortenson, Pivotal Land-Use Fight Shapes Up, The Oregonian, Jan . 6,

2008, at B1 .

ing the Measure; at least as important were the questions about precisely what rights Measure 37 conferred .

C. Questions About the Measure’s Scope

A number of basic questions about the scope of Measure 37 were either never resolved, or resolved in a way that severely limited Measure 37 rights . The problem was caused by a combination of two factors: ambiguities in the language of the Measure, and the hostility of some governmental actors to the Measure .

1. The Costs of Confusion

As the former director of DLCD who presided over most of Measure 37’s implementation quipped, Measure 37 was not simple; it was simplistic .245 Indeed, as a Clackamas County planner told me, almost every word of it gave rise to ambi-guity .246 The confusion led to over 250 lawsuits .247 Because few cases made it to appellate courts and the vast major-ity of the relevant decisions were local trial court decisions that were not binding statewide, lawyers did not have many precedents to rely on .248 As a result of the uncertainty, there was little uniformity in the handling of Measure 37 claims across the state, as different governments adopted very dif-ferent approaches .249

At least in part because of the lack of settled procedures concerning Measure 37, implementing the Measure was a serious administrative burden on state and local govern-ments . The state allocated $6 million and 31 employees to the task of dealing with Measure 37 in its two-year budget,250 and one county claimed it would have to spend $2 million just to process all of the claims it received .251 Some county planners were devoting the majority of their time to handling Measure 37 claims .252

245 . Shetterly, supra note 169 . Two years after the Measure was enacted, there were over 100 Measure 37 lawsuits to which the state was a party . Laura Oppen-heimer, Two Years of Changes and Challenges, The Oregonian, Dec . 3, 2006, at A15 . It is fairly clear that Gilroy was overoptimistic in dismissing the idea that Measure 37 would cause a flood of litigation as a “myth .” Gilroy, supra note 3, at 39 .

246 . Interview with Jennifer Hughes, supra note 142 . See also Oppenheimer & Gor-man, supra note 197, at A1 (Yamhill County counsel stating that “there are many issues where we have no idea what the answer is”); David J . Petersen, Op-Ed, Implementing Measure 37—Oregon Needs Some Land-Use Certainty, The Oregonian, Mar . 1, 2007, at C9 (land use lawyer arguing that legislature needs to act “to address the many uncertainties created by Measure 37”) .

247 . Shetterly, supra note 169 .248 . Beth Casper, Marion County Decision May Set Precedent for Measure 37, States-

man J . (Salem, Or .), Jan . 15, 2007, at 1 . See also Edward J . Sullivan, Through a Glass Darkly: Measuring Loss Under Oregon’s Measure 37, 39 Urb . Law . 563, 563 (2007) (suggesting that “the lack of a clear law or precedent obscures the impact of the Measure and confounds those framing responses to it”) .

249 . Steve Mayes, Not All Measure 37 Filings Prosper, The Oregonian, May 10, 2007, at 4 (describing different counties’ divergent approaches toward han-dling Measure 37 claims) . Multnomah County, for example, required a $1,500 filing fee, refused to consider any claims that asked for a subdivision of four parcels or more, and required claimants to demonstrate lost value with an ap-praisal . Catherine Trevison & Gosia Wozniacka, Measure 37 Claims Heat Up, The Oregonian, Dec . 14, 2006, at 1 .

250 . Oppenheimer, supra note 36 .251 . Gorman, supra note 233 .252 . Akimoff, supra note 226 (quoting planning manager for the point that 75% of

the staff effort was devoted to Measure 37); Mortenson, Uproar, supra note 132

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In sum, uncertainty about the scope of Measure 37 was a significant obstacle to the implementation of the Measure . We now turn to some of the sources of this uncertainty .

2. Transferability

The absence of a clear right to transfer Measure 37 waivers is routinely cited as perhaps the biggest practical difficulty that impeded Measure 37 development .253 If the waivers were treated as transferable, then successful Measure 37 claimants would be able to sell their land to developers who would then enjoy the same development rights . If the waivers were not treated as transferable, however, the landowners would have to develop the land themselves; in addition, they might only be able to sell the developed land as a nonconforming use, limiting the buyer’s ability to make alterations to it .254

It is not surprising that transferability should emerge as a key issue . After all, “much of a waiver’s economic value inheres in the ability of a landowner to transfer the rights conferred by the waiver to a purchaser of her property .”255 Inability to transfer the land for purposes of development may lead to “chronic financing difficulties .”256 Indeed, trans-ferability made Oregon bankers, insurers, and real estate pro-fessionals anxious about becoming involved with Measure 37 claims .257 Developers too, tended to stay away from “waiv-ered” properties because of concerns about transferability .258

So what does Measure 37 say about transferability? There is no explicit textual answer . Subsection 8 states that the governmental entity “may modify, remove, or not to apply

(quoting county planner who spent 70% of his time on Measure 37 claims) .253 . See Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 324 (calling the transferability issue

“[p]erhaps the most pressing uncertainty surrounding Measure 37 waiver pro-visions”); Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 44 (noting that the relevant subsec-tion “has proven to be the most controversial and litigated subsection of the measure”); Sullivan, supra note 16, at 146 (referring to transferability as a “key issue”); Eric Mortenson, Opponent Calls 49 “A Bill of Goods,” The Oregonian, Sept . 28, 2007, at B1 (quoting director of pro-conservation 1000 Friends of Oregon for the proposition that lack of transferability has blocked construc-tion of Measure 37 claims); Laura Oppenheimer, Flood of Claims Soaks State With Land-Use Worries, The Oregonian, Dec . 5, 2006, at A1 (“[T]he state’s interpretation prevents longtime owners from selling to professional develop-ers, which is holding up many projects .”); Interview with Jennifer Hughes, supra note 142 (stating that transferability issues make people hesitant and impede financing); E-mail from Sheila Martin, Dir ., Inst . of Portland Metro . Studies, Portland State Univ ., to author (Mar . 23, 2007) (on file with author) (stating that “very little development has happened mainly because the waivers are not transferrable”) .

254 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 146 .255 . See Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 325 .256 . Id.257 . Eric Mortenson, Report Lauds New Land-Use Idea, The Oregonian, Sept . 25,

2007, at B1 (referring to a report that concluded that “banks are reluctant to issue construction loans based on using the land as collateral” and “[t]itle in-surance companies are likewise hesitant to get involved”); Sullivan, supra note 16, at 146 (predicting that Measure 37’s vagueness will “cause those involved in real estate and development to abjure responsibility for transactions involv-ing the Measure”); id. at 158 (“It appears that lending institutions will not finance property improvements on ‘waivered’ lands”) . See also Caroline E .K . MacLaren, Oregon at a Crossroads: Where Do We Go From Here?, 36 Envtl . L . 53, 67 (2006) .

258 . Libby Tucker, Invested in Urban Growth Boundaries, Oregon Builders Fight Measure 37, Daily J . Com ., Oct . 11, 2007 (developer noting that builders have avoided purchasing land approved for development under Measure 37 because of transferability-related uncertainty, and stating that “[a] developer would much rather play a set of rules they know and have confirmed expecta-tions knowing they will be able to develop”) .

the land use regulation or land use regulations to allow the owner to use the property for a use permitted at the time the owner acquired the property .”259 This text seems to leave open the question of whether the modification, removal, or nonapplication of the regulation is personal to the owner or transferable . Nor does the history of Measure 37’s enactment shed much light on the transferability question . It appears that this crucial issue never came up in any of the print cov-erage of the Measure 37 campaign, and nor was it raised in television advertisements or in any of the 40 arguments in favor that accompanied the Measure .260

Still, some supporters of Measure 37 thought the answer to the question was obvious . As one Measure 37 claimant told me, if you are pro-Measure 37, it “reads really easily .”261 In his view, it had always been assumed that one could sell the prop-erty after getting a waiver, until attorneys from the dominant pro-planning faction came in and complicated matters .262

Whether or not this characterization is correct, David J . Hunnicutt has made a powerful argument that under the best reading of Measure 37, transfers of waivers would be allowed .263 Hunnicutt begins his analysis with Subsection 1, which demands compensation for regulations that restrict the “use” of private property . Since “property” has been viewed by both Oregon and federal courts as encompassing a wide variety of rights—including the right of transfer—it is clear that a regulation that prohibited the sale of property would trigger the compensation requirement of Subsection 1 . But there is no reason to suppose that the words “use” and “property” mean something different in Subsection 8 than they do in Subsection 1 .264

In addition, common sense militates against the “no-transfer” interpretation . As Hunnicutt puts it, “[n]othing in the campaign provides that the voters intended for a property owner to regain the right to use his property in the way he could when he acquired it, but not be able to transfer those rights .”265 He might have added that providing this curtailed bundle of rights as a substitute for monetary compensation makes no sense in light of the compensatory purpose of Measure 37 .266 There is no reason to believe that the right to develop the land, which may be worth vastly less without the accompanying right to sell the land to be developed by some-one else, is an adequate substitute for compensation equal to the property’s loss in fair market value .

In spite of all this, Oregon’s Attorney General and at least two circuit courts have taken the opposing position, albeit for different reasons . The Attorney General’s central argument concerns the phrase “modify, remove, or not to

259 . Measure 37, supra note 7 .260 . Letter from Stephanie Striffler, Special Counsel to the Attorney Gen ., Or .

Dep’t of Justice, to Lane Shetterly, Dir ., Or . Dep’t of Land Conservation & Dev . 5-6 (Feb . 24, 2005), available at http://www .oregon .gov/LCD/docs/ measure37/m37dojadvice .pdf .

261 . Interview with William Erickson, Measure 37 Claimant (Aug . 20, 2007) (on file with author) .

262 . Id.263 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 44-45 .264 . Id.265 . Id. at 45 .266 . Sullivan, supra note 248, at 614 .

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apply .”267 Modifying or removing, the argument goes, could mean either that the regulation no longer applies at all, or that it no longer applies to the property while it is owned by the current owner . Not applying the law, however, must mean that the government simply refrains from enforcing the law against the current owner, and must enforce it again as soon as the property is conveyed .268 This argument strikes me as entirely question-begging; it is quite possible not to apply the regulation to the next owner, as well . If anything, this form of argument would point in precisely the opposite direction, since “modify” and “not to apply” seem consis-tent with either the personal or the transferable conception of waivers, but removing the regulation has a connotation of finality which suggests that the regulation should not just spring back to life as soon as the property is transferred .

The Crook County Circuit Court also decided that waiv-ers were not transferable .269 The court’s argument is that Measure 37 only authorizes a waiver to allow the owner to use the property for a use permitted when she acquired it .270 There is no authorization for the owner “to transfer all inter-est in the property and preserve for the new owner the right to use the property under the waiver .”271 But the court never confronts the possibility that transferring the property is, as the Hunnicutt argument suggests, a use of the property .

The other court to address this question is the Jackson County Circuit Court .272 This court did not focus on the phrase “modify, remove, or not to apply,” or on the word “use .” Instead, it focused on the word “owner .”273 Since the relief is due to the present owner, the argument went, it cannot also be granted to subsequent owners .274 This argument ignores the question of what relief is due to the present owner; this relief could easily include the right to sell the property to others .

As we have seen, the problem of transferability, which was perhaps the most serious practical problem faced by Measure 37, is also a perfect illustration of why Measure 37 ran into trouble more generally . The initial problem was caused by the Measure itself, which failed to explicitly address an impor-tant issue . After that, however, three authoritative interpret-ers found three different ways of arriving at an implausibly narrow reading of the Measure . This instance of vague draft-ing exacerbated by unfriendly interpretation is, in some ways, the Measure 37 experience in a nutshell .

3. Exceptions

Another difficult issue was the scope of three of the excep-tions to the compensation requirement of Measure 37: the

267 . Letter from Stephanie Striffler, supra note 260, at 4 .268 . Id. at 5 .269 . Crook County v . All Electors, No . 05CV0015 (Crook County Cir . Ct ., Aug .

1, 2006), available at http://www .doj .state .or .us/hot_topics/pdf/measure37/crook_co_decision .pdf .

270 . Id. at 9 .271 . Id. at 11 .272 . Jackson County v . All Electors, No . 05-2993-E-3(2) (Jackson County Cir . Ct . Jan .

19, 2007), available at http://www .doj .state .or .us/hot_topics/pdf/measure37/order .pdf .

273 . Id. at 6 .274 . Id.

exception for regulations restricting public nuisances; the exception for the protection of public health and safety; and the exception for regulations required to comply with fed-eral law .275

The nuisance exception states that compensation is not required for regulations “[r]estricting or prohibiting activities commonly and historically recognized as public nuisances under common law .” The exception is to be “construed nar-rowly in favor of a finding of compensation under this act .”276 In Sullivan’s view, this exception “has little substance, as public nuisances are difficult to prove and subject to equi-table defenses and the exception explicitly demands narrow construction .”277 But the potential of the nuisance exception to be interpreted broadly is illustrated by the analogous pro-vision of Measure 7, which was read so broadly by the Attor-ney General that some thought the scope of the Measure 7 compensation requirement “might be quite limited .”278

Despite the narrower wording of the Measure 37 nuisance exception, courts might still have room to interpret it broad-ly .279 They could use the fact that the phrases “common law” and “commonly and historically recognized” are somewhat ambiguous . How is one to classify, for example, public nui-sances created by statute, or common-law nuisances codified by statute?280 This points to a real design problem for a pro-gram like Measure 37 . Limiting “nuisance” to common-law nuisances defined by the courts creates a possibly artificial distinction between court-defined and statutorily defined nuisances, and limits the legislature’s ability to define new public nuisances . On the other hand, allowing an exception for statutorily defined nuisances threatens to eviscerate the compensation requirement .

Because this exception was never interpreted by the Attor-ney General or the courts, we will never find out what impact this exception would ultimately have had on Measure 37 .281 But as we have seen, Measure 37’s failure to grapple with the concept of nuisance left this exception as a potential time bomb that could have significantly disrupted the Measure 37 compensation program .

The exception for regulations concerning public health and safety had more of an immediate practical impact . It exempts from the compensation requirement all regula-tions “[r]estricting or prohibiting activities for the protection of public health and safety .”282 Although the exclusion of

275 . The remaining two exceptions were not as problematic . The pornography and nude dancing exception is probably unconstitutional under the Oregon Con-stitution, but it is also severable, so it was never likely to have much of an effect . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 347 . See also Sullivan, supra note 16, at 145 . The exception for regulations enacted before the owner or a family member of the owner acquired the property is relatively clear—it is “the only sure-fire exception .” Id. But even this exception is not free from ambiguity . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 347-48 .

276 . Measure 37, supra note 7 .277 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 144 .278 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 336 .279 . Id. at 335 .280 . Id. at 333-34 .281 . Id. at 330 .282 . Measure 37, supra note 7 . For a general discussion of this exception and an

argument for construing it broadly, see Jeannie Lee, Tying Up Loose Ends: Re-solving Ambiguity in Ballot Measure 37’s Public Health and Safety Exemption, 38 Envtl . L . 209 (2008) .

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“welfare” is an indication that this exception is not meant to entirely swallow up the compensation requirement,283 the exception is otherwise rather ambiguous . For example, Oregon land use planning law generally “is explicitly pre-mised on the necessity of planning to ensure citizens’ health and safety .”284 While a reading of the exception that would exempt all of land use law from the compensation require-ment is presumably too broad, the language of the excep-tion itself provides few clues as to how the reading should be cabined .

According to the president of OIA, this was inevitable: “It is hard to imagine how a legislative body (in this case the citizens of Oregon) could reasonably create .  .  . a list of which particular regulations .  .  . are designed to protect the public’s health and safety and which are designed to provide public benefits .”285 For this reason, “litigation over this exception is likely, until the Oregon appellate courts create a body of case law to guide future regulations and claims .”286

This attitude is misguided for three reasons . First, it is entirely possible to write a much more specific health and safety exception, as Measure 49 demonstrated .287 Second, courts are in a worse position than a legislative body to answer a question like this one . It would take time for any cases to work their way to the appellate courts, and even then each court would only answer the question before it rather than giving a comprehensive account of the exception . In this particular case, no court ended up interpreting the exception,288 so the process of defining it was not even under way . Third, failing to define the scope of the exception in the Measure itself leaves it open to definition by potentially hos-tile interpreters . In this case, the governor’s office defined the exception as applying to any law “reasonably related to the achievement of [either health or safety] .”289 This definition would, of course, cover an enormous range of laws .

In sum, there was tremendous uncertainty about the breadth of the health and safety exception, and the most authoritative interpretation available was extremely broad . This frequently led to otherwise successful Measure 37 claims being derailed for failure to comply with regulations that were said to be health and safety-related .290

Finally, there is the federal law exception, which excludes regulations “[t]o the extent the land use regulation is required to comply with federal law .”291 That short phrase contains several obvious ambiguities, most notably what counts as “federal law” and what it means for federal law to “require” a regulation .292

283 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 337 .284 . Id. at 338 .285 . Hunnicutt, supra note 40, at 42 .286 . Id.287 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 339 .288 . Id. at 338 .289 . Governor Theodore R . Kulongoski, 2004 Oregon Ballot Measure 37: Initial

Questions & Answers, at 6 (Feb . 28, 2005), available at http://www .oregon .gov/LCD/docs/measure37/m37qanda .pdf .

290 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 145 (noting that health and safety exception was “being regularly used”) .

291 . Measure 37, supra note 7 .292 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 339 .

Once again, in Sullivan’s view the exception is narrow, since federal law rarely “requires” any particular regulation .293 But again, this did not stop the Attorney General from issu-ing a rather broad interpretation of the similar provision in Measure 7, concluding that the exception applied to all laws that “give practical effect to something that federal law calls for or demands .”294 In addition, the only court to interpret the Measure 37 exception interpreted it quite broadly .295 At issue were land regulations passed by three Oregon coun-ties that had to comply with a management plan issued by a state agency pursuant to an interstate compact that was sanc-tioned by a federal law; the Secretary of Agriculture had the responsibility for reviewing both the management plan and the local ordinances . The court held that the management plan had the force of federal law despite the fact that it was created by a state-level entity . But the more remarkable aspect of the court’s holding was its apparent assumption that any county regulation that was in good standing with respect to the management plan—regardless of how stringent—was required by the management plan .296 Needless to say, that is both a rather dubious interpretation of the word “required” and potentially a very blunt tool for local governments seek-ing to evade Measure 37 requirements .

The bottom line with respect to all three of these excep-tions, then, is similar . They were written in a way that left their scope largely undefined, perhaps in the hope that courts would later flesh them out . In fact, however, they either remained uninterpreted, or were interpreted in an extremely broad way . As a result, to varying degrees, each of the excep-tions posed an obstacle to the successful implementation of Measure 37 .

4. Other Difficulties

There were many other ambiguities and difficulties impeding the implementation of Measure 37 . It was unclear which gov-ernment entity had the responsibility for compensating the claimant and the authority to waive the regulation .297 This was a particularly acute problem in Oregon, where many local regulations are state-mandated .298 When a local govern-ment refused to waive a state law, for example, was it properly recognizing the limits of its authority, or violating its obliga-tions under Measure 37?299 The approach that seemed to be emerging was for claimants to apply for Measure 37 waivers with both the state and their local government,300 but con-siderable confusion remained about the proper interaction between the two levels of government .

293 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 145 .294 . 49 Or . Op . Atty . Gen . 284 (2001), Ore . AG LEXIS 3, *276 .295 . Columbia River Gorge Comm’n v . Hood River County, 152 P .3d 997, 998

(Or . Ct . App . 2007) . See Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 342 .296 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at Crook County v . All Electors, No . 05CV0015

(Crook County Cir . Ct . 2006), available at http://www .doj .state .or .us/hot_topics/pdf/measure37/crook_co_decision .pdf .

297 . Id . at 320-23 .298 . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 342 .299 . Id. at 324 n .147 .300 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 147 .

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Another problem stemmed from the fact that the Mea-sure was retroactive, with claimants routinely challenging decades-old regulations . This meant that it was necessary to engage in “paleo-legal” research to determine what regula-tions were in force at distant points in time .301 This caused serious practical difficulties, as those regulations were some-times not easily available .302 It also caused serious interpretive disagreements over the meaning of the old regulations .303

There were also significant questions about what govern-ments could demand as part of the application . State-level entities could point to the language in the Measure that pro-hibited local governments from requiring a permit applica-tion prior to the consideration of a Measure 37 compensation claim to argue that a state-level entity could require such an application . In addition, there were questions about what information governments could demand from Measure 37 claimants,304 and whether it was permissible to charge a fee for processing Measure 37 claims .305 The fees charged by the counties ranged from zero to $1,500 .306 Remarkably, Clack-amas County demanded a $750 fee without revealing that the fee was actually optional; the county was not confident that it had the authority to charge a mandatory fee .307 While this might not seem like a big issue, it is worth remembering that many Measure 37 claimants were senior citizens, some-times with very limited savings .308 In addition to all the other uncertainties of Measure 37, a significant fee could act as a serious deterrent to pursuing a Measure 37 claim .

The questions did not stop there . For example, there was uncertainty about the definition of owner (for example, does a spouse own property as of the date of the marriage certifi-cate, or does an owner’s name have to be on the land deed?309) and which laws counted as land use regulations (what about, for example, land division regulations?) .310 In sum, there was a panoply of serious policy questions which were shrouded in uncertainty because of Measure 37’s failure to explicitly address them?

5. Questions Concerning Valuation

There is one more issue that deserves a separate discussion because of how central it is to a workable compensation regime . This is the issue of how to calculate the reduction

301 . Ed Sullivan, Oregon’s Measure 37 an Exercise in Paleo-Legal Research, Daily J . Com ., June 14, 2007 .

302 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 147 .303 . See, e.g., Kathleen Gorman, Definition of Farming Determines Zoning Call, The

Oregonian, May 17, 2007, at B1 .304 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 144 .305 . Peter Zuckerman, Claim Fees Are All Over the Map, The Oregonian, Feb . 13,

2007, at A1 .306 . Id.307 . Id.308 . See Laura Oppenheimer, Public Demands Land-Use Clarity, The Oregonian,

Feb . 23, 2007, at A1; Laura Oppenheimer, Two Years of Changes and Chal-lenges, The Sunday Oregonian, Dec . 3, 2005, at A15 .

309 . Oppenheimer & Gorman, supra note 197, at A1 . A related question was whether a living trust conveyance creates a new owner . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 154 .

310 . Id. at 153 . Multnomah County took the position that Measure 37 did not apply to land division regulations . Laura Oppenheimer, Land Spat Valued at $1.15 Million, The Oregonian, May 19, 2006, at B1 .

in the fair market value of a property due to the regulation being challenged . At first glance, it may seem as though this was not actually an important issue in Oregon, as neither state nor local governments had allocated money to pay compensation . Therefore, the only question was whether the property had lost any value, in which case the regulation had to be waived .311

In fact, however, developing a uniform, workable, and accurate valuation method is “of paramount importance” to the administration of a program like Measure 37 .312 There is something of a chicken and egg problem here . As long as governments never consider compensating the claimants, the precise valuation of their losses does not seem to matter . But governments will not be able to meaningfully consider stra-tegically compensating certain claimants to preserve particu-larly valuable regulations until there is a reliable valuation method in place .313 Knowing how much they would have to pay would enable governments both to decide which new regulations are worth adopting, and which old regulations are worth protecting .314 Ultimately, “public agencies need a sound valuation methodology to ally a functional planning system with the realities of the payment scheme set out in Measure 37 .”315

Unfortunately, though perhaps unsurprisingly, Measure 37 does not explicitly set out a methodology for calculat-ing the loss of market value . Moreover, the method that was most commonly used is, at the very least, suspect . This is the “exemption method,” whereby the loss in fair market value is calculated by subtracting the current market value of the property from the market value it would have if the regula-tion were lifted only with respect to it .316

One problem with this approach is that it fails to recog-nize that a regulation can affect the value of unregulated land as well as regulated land . Therefore, the difference between the two values may reflect—at least in part—an increase in the value of the unregulated land rather than a diminution in the value of the regulated land .317 The exemption method treats the claimant as a monopolist, allowing him to capture the value that comes from the fact that all the other proper-ties in the area continue to be regulated .318

The exemption method does not ask the right question, which is the following: what is the difference between the current value of the property and its value in a world where the regulation had never been enacted?319 This is a difficult question to answer, because the second value is hypotheti-cal .320 One benefit of Measure 37 is that it has prompted a lot of fruitful thinking on how one might approach the issue .321 But the Measure itself had nothing to say on the topic, thus

311 . See supra note 142 .312 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 572 .313 . Id.314 . Id.315 . Id.316 . Id. at 577 .317 . Id. at 579 .318 . Id. at 583 .319 . Id. at 592 .320 . Id. at 585 .321 . See generally id. (discussing and evaluating various approaches) .

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making it much less likely that the regime it was attempting to set up would function as intended .

III. The Lessons of Measure 37

Measure 37 has served as a source of inspiration to property rights advocates elsewhere . Recent regulatory takings ini-tiatives, one of which passed in Arizona, were clearly mod-eled after Measure 37 .322 The previous Part was intended to demonstrate that there are aspects of the Measure 37 that should not be emulated . This Part will summarize the lessons that should be derived from the Measure 37 experience . It will focus on drafting and program design, as well as on the importance of cooperation from state and local officials . It will also consider whether an effective takings regime can be put in place through initiative .

A. Learning From the Measure

1. Drafting and Design

Several kinds of drafting and design errors afflicted the Mea-sure . First, there were simple omissions, which would not be difficult to fix . The failure to clearly provide for transferabil-ity belongs in this category . Second, the drafting was some-times imprecise . The lack of clear definitions of “owner” and “land use regulation” are examples of this . These problems, too, would not be too difficult to address .

There is a third category of problems, however, which arose when Measure 37 failed to grapple with conceptu-ally difficult questions . These include the question of how the compensation regime should interact with nuisance law and federal law, as well as, the questions of how lost value should be calculated and how much freedom local govern-ments should be given in fashioning procedures for process-ing claims .

These are not mere questions of drafting; they are deeper questions about how a compensation program ought to work . The framers of future Measure 37 analogues should address these questions ahead of time, rather than merely replicating the language of Measure 37 .

Another question that every regulatory takings initiative must address is whether it should follow Oregon’s lead and apply its compensation requirements retroactively, rather than only prospectively .323 In Oregon, this question was essentially predetermined, since the very motivation for Mea-sure 37 was the perceived unfairness of the existing statewide land use planning program . But Measure 37’s retroactive application caused a lot of problems . It was responsible for the huge number of claims and the eye-popping compensa-tion requests; it also created the need to research and interpret old and hard-to-find regulations . Implementing a regulatory

322 . See Gilroy, supra note 3, at 20, 22; Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2, at 352; Op-penheimer, supra note 34; Oppenheimer, supra note 36; Laura Oppenheimer, Meet the Money Behind the Measures, The Oregonian, Oct . 13, 2006, at A1 . See also Kennedy Smith, Other States Look to Create a Law Similar to Oregon’s Measure 37, Daily J . Com ., July 12, 2006 .

323 . Gilroy, supra note 3, at 25 .

takings regime prospectively might make the transition a lot more gentle and likely to succeed .

In sum, the lesson of Measure 37 with respect to draft-ing is that putting together a regulatory takings regime is an extremely complex endeavor . In addition to avoiding simple mistakes, the framers of such a measure must grapple with difficult conceptual questions about what a compensation regime ought to be like . One interesting question, which is particularly important in light of the fact that the initiative process has been the main tool of regulatory takings reform advocates, is whether this is ever likely to happen in the con-text of an initiative .324

It is often said that initiatives tend to be more poorly drafted than legislation .325 There is generally less discus-sion, review, and feedback in the drafting of initiatives .326 Because drafters have absolute control over the measure’s lan-guage, other interested parties are unable to provide “input regarding the proposed measure’s legality and practical implications .”327 In addition, drafters of initiatives may have fewer resources and less experience,328 and they are not able to revise the language of the initiative after it has been circu-lated .329 Furthermore, a suitably sophisticated proposal might actually be less attractive to voters . It is generally difficult to get initiatives passed .330 As initiatives become more complex, voters will become increasingly confused by them;331 the con-ventional wisdom is that when voters are confused, they will tend to vote “no .”332

None of these general observations are dispositive . Some-times initiative drafters are actually sophisticated repeat play-ers who are capable of understanding the legal context and using the system to their advantage .333 In addition, voters sometimes appear to be quite rational and sophisticated in their evaluation of initiatives,334 and they are not necessar-ily deterred by complex initiatives .335 Still, there is reason to think that the difficult drafting and design problems associ-

324 . I am not the first to raise this issue in the context of regulatory takings ini-tiatives . See, e.g., Keith Aoki, supra note 106, at 438 (“All of the confusion surrounding the new law points out the difficulties involved in addressing complex public policy issues through the initiative process .”); Grady Gam-mage Jr ., Arizona’s Proposition 207, SN015 ALI-ABA 517 (2008) (“Adopting such a dramatic shift in substantive law is always fraught with complications and unintended consequences . This is especially true of initiatives, where the proposed language has not been put through the ‘sausage grinding’ process of the legislature .”) .

325 . Daniel P . Selmi, Reconsidering the Use of Direct Democracy in Making Land Use Decisions, 19 UCLA J . Envtl . L . & Pol’y 293, 312 & n .69, 313 (2001-2002) . See also Thomas E . Cronin, Direct Democracy 208, 222 (1989) . There are also some special statutory interpretation problems associated with initiatives, which I will not address here . See, e.g ., Aoki, supra note 106, at 439 .

326 . Cynthia L . Fountaine, Lousy Lawmaking: Questioning the Desirability and Con-stitutionality of Legislating by Initiative, 61 S . Cal . L . Rev . 733, 744 (1988) .

327 . Kenneth P . Miller, Constraining Populism: The Real Challenge of Initiative Re-form, 41 Santa Clara L . Rev 1037, 1052 (2001) .

328 . Cronin, supra note 325, at 229 .329 . Miller, supra note 327, at 1052 .330 . Richard Briffault, Distrust of Democracy, 63 Tex . L . Rev . 1347, 1356 (1985) .331 . Julian N . Eule, Judicial Review of Direct Democracy, 99 Yale L .J . 1503, 1516

(1990) . See also Briffault, supra note 328, at 1353 .332 . Eule, supra note 331, at 1519; Glen Staszewski, Rejecting the Myth of Popular

Sovereignty and Applying an Agency Model to Direct Democracy, 56 Vand . L . Rev . 395, 461 (2003) .

333 . Staszewski, supra note 332, at 410 n .61 .334 . Cronin, supra note 325, at 74-75, 87, 89 .335 . Id. at 88 .

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ated with crafting a regulatory takings regime will be a seri-ous hurdle for the drafters of initiatives .

2. Official Hostility

The difficulties of Measure 37 also suggest that drafting may not be enough to make a compensation regime work . As we have seen throughout the previous Part, hostile officials and judges may have many levers for limiting the operation of a regulatory takings program . For one, they can create the pos-sibility that the program will be eliminated entirely, either through political repeal or judicial invalidation . They can also change the rules mid-game, for example by extending the deadlines faced by governments . Furthermore, they can interpret the program’s provisions narrowly and the excep-tions to it broadly . Local governments can postpone the consideration of claims or refuse to allow development on grounds other than the challenged regulation . They can also implement onerous procedures that reduce the number of claims .

This sort of problem is not uncommon . Although initia-tives are capable of effecting powerful social change, 336 they also frequently go “unimplemented and subverted .”337 In fact, the policies that are most likely to be enacted via initia-tive are the ones that are least likely to be enforced; this is because initiatives are generally used for policies the govern-ment refuses to provide, so they tend to encounter strong opposition post-enactment .338

Can a regulatory takings initiative avoid or at least limit this kind of interference? Elisabeth R . Gerber, Arthur Lupia and Mathew D . McCubbins have identified four factors that affect the likelihood of implementation .339 Implementa-tion becomes less likely as the technical and political costs of implementation increase, and as the number of actors required for full implementation increases . Implementation becomes more likely as the availability of effective sanctions for noncomplying officials increases, and as noncompliance becomes more observable .

The practical consequence of this is that the most suc-cessful initiatives are often simple proposals where non-compliance is easy to observe . For example, term limits are extremely unpopular with state politicians, but failure to comply with them is easily observed and effective sanctions are available; therefore, these initiatives are fully enforced .340 Another example is California’s famous Proposition 13,341 whose “effect was a more than fifty percent reduction in local

336 . Kenneth P . Miller, Constraining Populism: The Real Challenge of Initiative Re-form, 41 Santa Clara L . Rev 1037, 1049 (2001) (“The success of Proposition 13 .  .  . displayed the awesome power of the initiative to make immediate, wholesale, and lasting change .”)

337 . Elizabeth Garrett & Mathew D . McCubbins, The Dual Path Initiative Frame-work, 80 S . Cal . L . Rev . 299, 308 (2007) .

338 . Elisabeth R . Gerber et al ., When Does Government Limit the Impact of Voter Initiatives? The Politics of Implementation and Enforcement, J . Pol ., Feb 2004, 45-46 .

339 . Id.; see Garrett & McCubbins, supra note 337, at 340-42 (discussing the four principles) .

340 . Id. at 341 .341 . Cal . Const . art . XIIIA, §§1-6 .

property tax collections across the state .”342 The proposition has had a lasting and considerable impact,343 and inspired many similar measures in other states .344 On the other hand, complicated initiatives that require the participation of many actors and make it hard to observe noncompliance are much less likely to be enforced; for example, “a compre-hensive education reform… is unlikely to be fully or effec-tively implemented .”345

On the face of it, this analysis is not promising for regula-tory takings initiatives . After all, they seem likely to encoun-ter official opposition; they are quite complex; and they will always require the cooperation of multiple actors . Perhaps it is the case that hostile elites can always thwart the effective implementation of these initiatives .346 This would dilute or eliminate the biggest advantage of initiatives, namely that they circumvent the normal political process .347

Two points should be made about this pessimistic view . First, there are steps that can be taken to increase the likeli-hood of implementation . The first of these has to do with a familiar issue, namely drafting . Gerber, Lupia and McCub-bins note that vague initiatives leave officials room for inter-pretation, make sanctions more difficult to apply, and render implementation less likely .348 This point illustrates the dan-gers of the approach, which I criticized earlier, of deliberately making the initiative vague and hoping that the courts will fill in the details .349 The Measure 37 experience demonstrates that precise drafting can constrain officials, while imprecise drafting invites noncompliance .

For example, Measure 37 was appropriately drafted as a statutory amendment to avoid the Oregon Supreme Court’s constitutional holding striking down Measure 7 .350 An (argu-ably idiosyncratic)351 circuit court judge still struck Measure 37 down,352 on a variety of very implausible grounds .353 If the entire judiciary were willing to embrace those sorts of argu-ments, no amount of careful drafting would save an initia-tive like Measure 37 . But the arguments turned out to be too implausible for the Oregon Supreme Court, which unani-mously overturned the lower court’s decision,354 vindicating the prediction of Stephen Geoffrey Gieseler and his col-leagues that “[t]he reasoning behind the [lower court] deci-sion is so untenable that—even in a court system unfriendly

342 . William A . Fischel, How Serrano Caused Proposition 13, 12 J .L . & Pol’y 607, 612 (1996) .

343 . Id. at 613 .344 . Thomas E . Cronin, Direct Democracy 13 (1989) .345 . Elizabeth Garrett, Direct Democracy and Public Choice, forthcoming in The

Elgar Handbook on Public Law and Public Choice 33 (2009), available at http://ssrn .com/abstract=1217608 .

346 . The question of whether Measure 37 was simply too complex to be put into place by initiative was raised in Oregon . Andy Parker, On Land Use, the Prob-lem Is the Process, The Oregonian, Oct . 24, 2005, at D1 .

347 . Id. at 320 .348 . Gerber et al ., supra note 338, at 57-58 .349 . See supra notes 285-89 and accompanying text .350 . League of Or . Cities v . State, 56 P .3d 892 (Or . 2002) .351 . See supra notes 166-69 .352 . MacPherson v . Dep’t of Admin . Servs ., No . 05C10444, (Marion County

Cir . Ct . Oct . 2005), available at http://www .ojd .state .or .us/mar/documents/Measure37 .pdf .

353 . See supra Part II .B .1 .354 . MacPherson v . Dep’t of Admin . Servs ., 130 P .3d 308 (Or . 2006) .

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In sum, the lesson of Measure 37 is that putting in place a successful regulatory takings regime requires careful draft-ing and design, as well as a way of avoiding interference from judges and officials . Accomplishing this via initiative would be difficult, but not necessarily impossible . In addition, an initiative of this sort could play a different role, by changing the terms of the discussion and forcing the government to become more responsive .

We now turn to the question of how these issues played out in two post-Measure 37 contexts: Oregon’s Measure 49 and Arizona’s Proposition 207 .

B. Measure 49

As described above,365 Measure 49366 was a Measure 37 “fix” that was referred to the voters by the 2007 legislature and ratified in the 2007 election . It is clear that, at least to some extent, it was intended to undo Measure 37 rather than to improve it; indeed, Measure 37’s biggest proponents opposed Measure 49,367 while Measure 37’s critics tended to favor it .368 It is a bit odd, then, to think of Measure 49 as an attempt to learn from Measure 37’s mistakes and set up a more effec-tive compensation regime . And, indeed, that would be an exaggeration; Measure 49 imposes some severe limitations on the Measure 37 right to compensation, and introduces some ambiguities of its own .

That is not the whole story, however . Somewhat surpris-ingly, Measure 49, pushed by Measure 37’s opponents, is likely to set up a compensation regime that is more effec-tive than Measure 37 was . There are two major reasons for this . First, Measure 49 is much more carefully drafted than Measure 37 . Second, it may represent a genuine com-mitment by Oregon’s elites to the idea of limited com-pensation for landowners .

1. The Limitations of Measure 49

The main reason that Oregonians in Action369 as well as several of the Measure 37 claimants I spoke to,370 opposed Measure 49 is that it severely restricts the Measure 37 com-pensation right . First, it limits compensation to claims for residential development; commercial and industrial claims

365 . See supra Part II .B .2 .366 . Modifies Measure 37; Clarifies Right to Build Homes; Limits Large Develop-

ments; Protects Farms, Forests, Groundwater, Measure 49 (2007), available at http://www .sos .state .or .us/elections/nov62007/guide/m49_bt .html .

367 . Dave Hunnicutt, Op-Ed, Proposal Jeopardizes Future Property Rights, States-man J . (Salem, Or .), Oct . 27, 2007, at 11 (president of Oregonians in Action arguing against Measure 49) .

368 . See, e.g. Editorial, A Fresh Take on Fairness, The Oregonian, Sept . 25, 2007, at B4 (The Oregonian arguing in favor of Measure 49) .

369 . Hunnicutt, supra note 240 .370 . Interview with Dawn Dutton, (indicating that she voted against Measure 37,

but would now vote against Measure 49) (on file with author); Interview with William Erickson (Aug . 20, 2007) (on file with author) (asserting that “[Mea-sure 49] is why people hate government”); Interview with Virginia MacBride (Aug . 19, 2007) (stating that Measure 49 “stops anybody for anything” and that the fast track will not actually work) (on file with author); Interview with Berj Martin (Aug . 20, 2007) (stating that he hopes that Measure 49 “fails miserably” and the Measure 49 “is a nightmare”) (on file with author) .

to the rights of property owners—it is hard to imagine it being upheld on appeal .”355 On the other hand, drafting errors made it much easier for officials to limit the impact of the Measure . For example, local governments could only manipulate fees and filing procedures because these issues were not clearly resolved in the Measure itself; the same goes for the use of the health and safety exception to derail Mea-sure 37 claims .

In addition to more careful drafting and design, the back-ers of future regulatory takings initiatives should consider using a mechanism that has occasionally been used to ensure the implementation of initiatives, namely an “oversight commission[  ] specifically vested with the power to ensure compliance .”356 Such a commission could decrease the tech-nical costs of implementing a regulatory takings initiative, and increase the political sanctions for noncompliance; it could also make noncompliance more observable .357 In short, such an entity represents perhaps the best chance of creating a workable regulatory takings regime via initiative .

The second response to the pessimistic view is that, even if it is entirely true, initiatives like Measure 37 might still be worth pursuing . Perhaps expecting an initiative to gener-ate a fully fleshed-out regulatory takings regime from scratch is unrealistic; after all, initiatives are “blunt instruments,” to be deployed when “representative government becomes unresponsive to the citizenry .”358 The battering ram of the initiative can effect policy breakthroughs, but it lacks the advantages of the “often slow, careful, iterative, and compro-mise-oriented nature of legislative action .”359

Perhaps, then, the best way for regulatory takings initia-tives to succeed is by influencing the regular political pro-cess . Elizabeth Garrett uses the term “hybrid democracy” to describe this sort of interaction between direct and rep-resentative democracy;360 sometimes these interactions are beneficial, and sometimes they are harmful .361 Regulatory takings initiatives might have a positive impact by express-ing the public’s views, putting the elites on notice, and forc-ing them to respond . Such a role would be in line with the historic origins of initiatives, which were initially intended to encourage representative governments to become more responsible .362 It would also be in line with the role initiatives have actually played, forcing the governments of the states that have adopted them to be “more accountable than they once were .”363 As we will see, Measure 37 ended up playing precisely this sort of role in Oregon .364

355 . Gieseler et al ., supra note 130 .356 . Garrett, supra note 345, at 34 .357 . See Garrett & McCubbins, supra note 337, at 340-42 .358 . Selmi, supra note 325, at 300 .359 . Miller, supra note 327, at 1051 .360 . Elizabeth Garrett, Hybrid Democracy, 73 Geo . Wash . L . Rev . 1096 (2005) .361 . Elizabeth Garrett, Direct Democracy and Public Choice, forthcoming in The

Elgar Handbook on Public Law and Public Choice 3 (2009), available at http://ssrn .com/abstract=1217608 .

362 . Cronin, supra note 325, at 2 .363 . Id. at 224 .364 . There is some reason to believe that some Oregon politicians viewed Measure

37 as an attempt by the electorate to demand government action by uprooting the existing system . Cf. Aoki, supra note 106, at 438-39 (noting that at least one politician held this view) .

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are eliminated entirely .371 Secondly, it puts an overall limit of 20 dwellings on any given owner across all claims .372 Mean-while, the vaunted “fast track” is limited to just three dwell-ings .373 There is a procedure for making a claim for four to 10 dwellings,374 but it requires a showing of lost value that is sufficiently difficult that at least some observers expected this aspect of the Measure to be a virtual dead letter .375 This pre-diction has been vindicated, with 91% of Measure 49 claim-ants taking the fast-track option .376

Crucially, Measure 49 requires all Measure 37 claimants to proceed under the new Measure 49 procedures unless they have acquired “a common law vested right .”377 Perhaps because they were unable to come to a consensus on the question of which Measure 37 claims should be allowed to go forward,378 the drafters of Measure 49 failed to provide a definition of “common law vested right .” The question of what it means for a right to vest has already become very contentious, demonstrating that Measure 49 has introduced some confusion of its own .379

Most likely, the courts will determine whether rights have vested by relying on a traditional multivariable test, includ-ing factors such as how much the landowner has spent on development and whether the development was done in good faith .380 The question of how this test will actually be applied by the courts remains open (though early indications are not positive for claimants381) . As a Portland land use attorney has noted, landowners who have started construction but have not progressed very far are in a particularly uncertain posi-tion .382 Much like the ambiguities of Measure 37, this ambi-guity has already caused multiple lawsuits383 and divergent

371 . Measure 49, supra note 366, §4 .372 . Id. §11(5) .373 . Id. §6(1) .374 . Id. §7 .375 . An Express Lane, supra note 238 .376 . Peter Wong, Many Measure 49 Landowners Settle, Statesman J . (Salem, Or .),

Aug . 6, 2008, at 16 .377 . Measure 49, supra note 366, §5(3) .378 . Interview with Jennifer Hughes, supra note 142 .379 . See, e.g., Beth Casper, Land Case May Test “Vested Rights,” Statesman J . (Salem,

Or .), Mar . 25, 2008; Beth Capser, Land-Use Hearing Raises Arguments About Rights, Statesman J . (Salem, Or .), July 30, 2008; Eric Mortenson, Oregon Fights Its Land-Use Skirmishes One by One, The Oregonian, July 7, 2008, at B1 . The uncertainty surrounding vested rights has manifested itself in some ab-surd ways . For example, one developer apparently put up tiny plywood “place-holder” houses on the lots in his proposed subdivision to increase the odds that the rights would vest . Mortenson, supra note 161 .

380 . Ed Sullivan, Measure 49 a Test of (Good) Faith, Daily J . Com . (Portland, Or .), Aug . 9, 2007 .

381 . The first court decision on this issue declined to find that a developer’s rights had vested even though the developer had spent $1 .3 million developing a subdivision . Although the decision was nonprecedential, it was understand-ably viewed by some as a bad sign for future claims . Eric Mortenson, Land-Use Ruling: A Bellwether?, The Oregonian, June 16, 2008, at B1 . See also Oregon Appeals Court Allows Taller Power Poles, The Associated Press State & Local Wire, February 21, 2009, 8:13 p .m . (describing an Oregon Court of Appeals ruling rejecting an appeal of a Measure 37 waiver on the grounds that the dis-pute is moot due to Measure 49) . But see Ore. Judge Allows Rural Subdivisions to Go Ahead, The Associated Press State & Local Wire, Nov . 21, 2008, 12:30 a .m . (describing a state court decision which held that a group of prop-erty owners had invested enough to vest their rights; this decision, however, is expected to be appealed) .

382 . Mortenson, supra note 156 .383 . Zuckerman, supra note 243 .

interpretations by different local governments .384 Clackamas County, for example, has adopted the aggressive interpreta-tion that all development undertaken after Measure 49 was placed on the ballot in June was in bad faith and does not contribute to the vesting of rights .385

In short, it is clear that Measure 49 drastically limits Measure 37 rights . Other features of Measure 49, however, suggest that it will be more effective at guaranteeing those limited rights .

2. The Drafting of Measure 49

The most striking difference between Measure 49 and Mea-sure 37 is their length: Measure 49 is more than 10 times longer . Its 21-page length suggests that, unlike Measure 37, it might actually be sophisticated enough to adequately address the problem of putting a regulatory takings regime in place . Measure 49 was a result of a careful drafting process;386 its superior drafting should make it easier to administer387 and a more reliable source of relief for qualifying claimants .388

A few examples will suffice to illustrate the qualitative difference between Measure 49 and Measure 37 . Measure 49 directly addresses the question of transferability, stating clearly that waivers are transferable .389 It clarifies the scope of the federal law390 and health and safety exceptions,391 and defines land use regulation392 and owner393 more carefully than Measure 37 . It also sets out a valuation method for demonstrating loss of value,394 as well as the procedures local governments are to follow in processing claims .395 Measure 49 also takes affirmative steps to create a better-functioning regime, such as creating an ombudsman to help claimants navigate the process .396

In short, many or most ambiguities that bedeviled the implementation of Measure 37 are directly addressed by Measure 49 . So far, it appears that Measure 49 is in fact operating much more smoothly than Measure 37 had been;

384 . Justin Much, County Approves Ordinance to Deal With Land Use, Statesman J . (Salem, Or .), Jan . 23, 2008, at 3; Zuckerman, supra note 241 .

385 . Zuckerman, supra note 241 .386 . Laura Oppenheimer, Land-Use Language Crafted With Care, The Oregonian,

June 26, 2007, at B1 . The Oregonian’s editorial board made this point with customary restraint in observing that Measure 49 is “pellucid by comparison with the napkin-scribblings of Measure 37 .” Editorial, A Windfall for Fairness, Not Lawyers, The Oregonian, June 5, 2008, at B4 .

387 . Interview with Jennifer Hughes, supra note 142 (describing ways in which Measure 49 would be “administratively easier”) .

388 . Shetterly, supra note 169 .389 . Measure 49, supra note 362, §11(6) .390 . Puskas, supra note 8, at 1313 .391 . Measure 49, supra note 362, §2(18) . Blumm and Grafe point out that even the

Measure 49 definition does not answer all the questions about which regula-tions are covered by the exception . Blumm & Grafe, supra note 2 . This is true, and it is a helpful reminder that legal language is inevitably imprecise and no amount of drafting can produce a measure that is free of ambiguities . Nev-ertheless, this observation should not obscure the point that the Measure 49 definition is a significant improvement over Measure 37 .

392 . Measure 49, supra note 362, §2(14) .393 . Id. §2(16) .394 . Id. §7(6) .395 . Id. §13 .396 . Id. §17 . See A Windfall for Fairness, supra note 382 (“An ombudsman is avail-

able to snip through red tape, leap tall bureaucratic obstacles and help property owners with special needs navigate the system .”) .

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claimants are now “forgoing lawsuits and proceeding with the options available under Measure 49 .”397 Property rights advocates in other states may not like the substantive choices made by Measure 49, and prefer the expansive rights granted by Measure 37 . However, when it comes to drafting the lan-guage of a regulatory takings measure in sufficient detail, they would be better off taking their cues from Measure 49 .

3. Measure 49 as Commitment to Change

As we saw earlier in this Part, a regulatory takings regime can be seriously threatened by hostility from the political elites . Another reason to be optimistic about Measure 49 is that it may represent a commitment by Oregon’s elites to its lim-ited aims . This commitment is very difficult to pin down or quantify, but there are hints that it is present . First, Measure 37 has shaken up Oregon land use politics and forced the defenders of the status quo to take the idea of reform and compensation seriously . This may be Measure 37’s greatest success . Second, a limited but effective right to compensation was the major selling point of Measure 49, and the govern-ment may feel compelled to deliver on that promise (if only to avoid another Measure 37-like revolt) .

One illustration of the new thinking prompted by Mea-sure 37 is the story of the “Big Look” land use task force, which was created by the 2005 legislature, “partly in response to Measure 37,”398 for the purpose of reevaluating Oregon’s land use system and presenting recommendations to the 2009 legislature .399 The task force’s preliminary findings, presented in 2007, suggested that Oregon’s land use system was too rigid and that private property rights needed to be recognized more explicitly .400 Toward the end of the 2007 legislative session, funding for the task force was abruptly eliminated, with opponents of Measure 49 alleging that the task force was defunded because its findings interfered with the pro-49 campaign .401

Interestingly, however, the interest in pursuing the Big Look project did not abate after Measure 49 was enacted . Indeed, the task force “never had so many friends” as it did after the passage of Measure 49 .402 Both pro- and anti-Mea-sure 49 partisans called for the restoration of funding to the group; so did a number of newspapers, the governor, and the senate president .403 Even The Oregonian, which is staunchly

397 . Mortenson, supra note 375 . See id . (noting that “judges are gradually combing out the tangles in Measure 49” and that several recent court decisions “have provided clarity to thousands of property owners,” and quoting Lane Shetterly for the view that “Measure 49 is doing what it was intended to do”) . See also A Windfall for Fairness, supra note 382 (noting that there will apparently be no Measure 49 payday for lawyers, and that the number of lawsuits has dropped from 300 to about 80) .

398 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 136 .399 . Eric Mortenson, New Life for “Big Look” Land-Use Task Force, The Orego-

nian, Nov . 23, 2007, at B1 .400 . Eric Mortenson, “Big Look” at Land-Use System Calls for Funding, The Orego-

nian, Jan . 16, 2008, at D1 .401 . Tyler Graf, Oregon Legislators Eye Fresh Funds for Big Look Task Force, Daily J .

Com . (Portland, Or .), Nov . 28, 2007 .402 . Mortenson, supra note 395 .403 . Id.; Peter Wong, Measure 49 Vote Revives Interest in Land-Use Task Force,

Statesman J ., Nov . 8, 2007, at 1 . Funding for the task force has now been

pro-planning and anti-Measure 37,404 mused that “[t]he pub-lic’s approval of Measure 49 last month affirms our state has done something right, but doesn’t mean the system should be preserved in amber .”405 Already, the Big Look task force has recommended greater land use flexibility for rural counties, in order to “defuse the rural resentment that brought about Measure 37 .”406 Its proposals seem likely to get serious con-sideration in the state legislature .407

Underlying this support for reform was the understand-ing that Measure 37 might not have been a one-off event .408 Noting that “Oregonians appear open to blandishments .  .  . to change [the land use] program for the worse,” Sullivan concludes that “old orthodoxies are no longer sufficient” and that “[o]nly a comprehensive and thoughtful review of the system will preserve what is good and provide the consen-sus to change what must be changed .”409 Striking a similar note, a member of the Big Look task force has predicted that failure to address the underlying tensions of the land use system “will cause further ballot measures that will under-mine and ultimately destroy the system that was created in the 1970s .”410 Even a spokesman for the Democrats in the House of Representatives has recognized that Measures 7, 37, and 49 represented widespread frustration with the land use system, and that the public’s concerns on this score must be handled better in the future .411

The same realization underpins Measure 49 itself; far from repudiating Measure 37 outright, Measure 49 actually co-opts the values upon which Measure 37 was based .412 Indeed, Measure 49’s statement of “legislative policy on fairness to property owners” explicitly states that “[i]n some situations, land use regulations unfairly burden particular property owners” and that “[t]o address these situations, it is necessary to amend Oregon’s land use statutes to provide just compen-sation for unfair burdens caused by land use regulations .”413 This idea attracted some surprising adherents . As Hunnicutt notes, the “most zealous advocates” of statewide planning had spent millions of dollars to pass a measure that explicitly enshrines the idea of compensation .414 Even The Oregonian

restored . Eric Mortenson, “Big Look” At Oregon Land Use Resumes, The Or-egonian, Mar . 13, 2008, at D5 .

404 . See, e.g., Editorial, Vintage Property Rights, The Oregonian, Oct . 1, 2007, at E4 .

405 . Editorial, Sharpening Oregon’s Eyesight, The Oregonian, Dec . 2, 2007, at B4 .406 . Eric Mortenson, Land-Use Panel Will Focus on Local Control, The Oregonian,

Aug . 15, 2008, at D1 .407 . Eric Mortenson, Land Use on Legislature’s List, The Oregonian, Nov . 12, 2008

at E1 .408 . The sentiments that fueled Measure 37 apparently persist among many Or-

egonians . See Matthew Preusch, Congress’ Goals Get Down to Plan for Rural Prosperity, The Oregonian, Aug . 22, 2008, at B1 (describing a gathering of the Oregon Rural Congress where “one of the biggest applause lines” was a call for the reinstatement of Measure 37) .

409 . Sullivan, supra note 16, at 136 .410 . Mortenson, supra note 395 . Even very pro-planning commentators concluded

that “Oregon is long overdue for a statewide conversation about planning our future .” MacLaren, supra note 257, at 76 .

411 . Mortenson, supra note 407 .412 . See, e.g., Oppenheimer, supra note 382 .413 . Measure 49, supra note 362, §3(1) .414 . Dave Hunnicutt, One Step Back on an Irreversible Path, The Oregonian, Nov .

13, 2007, at D9 . See also Peter Wong, Trend Born of Measure 49 Favors Modest Development, Statesman J . (Salem, Or .), June 6, 2008, at 1 (noting that 1000 Friends of Oregon was “gratified” with the progress of Measure 49) .

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defended Measure 49 in terms of fairness415 and welcomed its passage as a return to the center in Oregonian politics .416 This is a remarkable testament to the impact of Measure 37 on the climate of ideas in Oregon . It is quite surprising to see so many planning advocates supporting a measure that might cause the idea of compensation for economic harm to become “hard-wired .  .  . into public expectations” in the way that other aspects of the land use system have .417

The premise of Measure 49 is that it would limit the range of permissible claims, but make the process of vindicating claims easier and more reliable than it had been under Mea-sure 37 .418 To fulfill that commitment, and to prevent future versions of Measure 37 from arising, the Oregon govern-ment will have to make sure that at least the promise of the “express lane” for claimants trying to build three or fewer homes is fulfilled . The Oregonian has called on the authori-ties to ensure just that .419 While there have been delays,420 there are also indications that the state government is tak-ing the project seriously . For example, the state Emergency Board has recently allocated $486,000 to accelerating the process, and the state has developed a “historical matrix of county zoning ordinances and permitted developments”—the kind of database that is necessary to address the problem of “paleo-legal” research .421

The overwhelming majority of Measure 49 claimants are opting for the express lane . While some potential legal hurdles remain, the president of Oregonians in Action is optimistic422 and the director of the Department of Land Conservation and Development expects Measure 49 to result in 13,000 additional rural homes over the next decade .423 The current expectation that the limited rights guaranteed by Measure 49 will be vindicated seems to have created a more peaceful atmosphere on land use issues in the state .424 In a particularly striking example of this, Oregonians and Action and 1000 Friends of Oregon are both backing a bill that would relax certain procedural requirements in order to allow a broader set of Measure 49 claims to be considered .425 The bill also provides for an investigation of a number of claims that were never fully completed, with the prospect of considering even those claims in the 2010 session .426

415 . Editorial, A Fresh Take on Fairness, The Oregonian, Sept . 25, 2007, at B4 .416 . Editorial, Losing, and Finding, Oregon’s Center, The Oregonian, Nov . 7, 2007,

at B6 .417 . Ed Sullivan, Measure 49 Passage Poses New Dilemmas in Oregon, Daily J . Com .

(Portland, Or .), Dec . 13, 2007 .418 . Mortenson, supra note 31 (“Backers said Measure 49 would allow ‘the little

guy’ to build a home or two but would prevent rampant development .”); Shet-terly, supra note 169 .

419 . An Express Lane, supra note 238 .420 . Editorial, Doing the Hustle, The Oregonian, Dec . 15, 2008, at ETP (criticiz-

ing state government for delays) .421 . Eric Mortenson, Land-Use Claim? Hurry and Wait, The Oregonian, Oct . 13,

2008, at B1 .422 . Mortenson, supra note 31 .423 . Survey: Oregon’s Measure 49 Produces Fewer Homes, The Associated Press

State & Local Wire, July 30, 2008 .424 . Id.425 . Peter Wong, Bill Allows Some Land-Use Claims to Be Considered, Statesman J .

(Salem, Or .), Apr . 16, 2009, at 3 .426 . Id.

In short, Measure 37 has made Oregon elites much more aware of the need to reexamine the land use system and the dangers of neglecting to do so . It has also made the idea of limited compensation more acceptable to the pro-planning faction in Oregon . In the end, Measure 49 might enjoy suf-ficient support from Oregonian officials to make it signifi-cantly more effective than Measure 37 had been .

C. Proposition 207

Arizona’s Proposition 207427—the only one of the initia-tives modeled after Measure 37 which passed in 2006—was similar to Measure 37 in that it attempted to introduce a “sweeping change” to the state’s land use law .428 There were two crucial differences between the two measures, however . First, Arizona had a vastly less restrictive land use system than Oregon, and second, Proposition 207 was not retroac-tive .429 Notably, the draft of the proposition was made non-retroactive as a result of a meeting between its supporters and opponents that was requested by legislative leaders .430 In a testament to the importance of this sort of forethought, the lack of retroactivity helped prevent any “significant public backlash” against the proposition .431

Both of the differences between the two measures suggest that any difficulties associated with Proposition 207 would not be nearly as urgent or overwhelming as the problems of Measure 37 .432 In light of this, it is not implausible to say that “there are simply too many dramatic differences”433 between the two to make comparisons worthwhile . On the other hand, we should expect that the similar drafting of Proposi-tion 207 should lead to at least some of the same problems . Viewed through this lens, Proposition 207 provides further support for the observation that drafting is crucially impor-tant to the smooth operation of the regimes set up by regula-tory takings initiatives .

Though it makes some advances over Measure 37 (most notably, it addresses transferability434) it is otherwise quite similar to Measure 37 in its brevity and ambiguity .435 Once again, there are extremely imprecisely worded exceptions,436 insufficiently careful definitions of “owner” and “land use law,”437 and a lack of attention to what procedures local gov-ernments may use in processing claims . Oregon’s experience

427 . Arizona Proposition 207, available at http://www .azsos .gov/election/2006/Info/PubPamphlet/english/Prop207 .htm . For a general discussion of Proposi-tion 207, see Sparks, supra note 112 .

428 . Gammage, supra note 324, at 519 .429 . Id. at 526 .430 . Alan Stephenson & Rob Lane, Arizona’s Regulatory Takings Measure: Proposi-

tion 207, Planning & Envt’l L ., Nov . 2008, at 12 .431 . Id.432 . See Gammage, supra note 324, at 526 .433 . Id. See Kerry Fehr-Snyder, Smokers, Low-Wage Earners to Feel Effects of Proposi-

tions, The Arizona Republic, Nov . 9, 2006, at 4 (noting that, because Propo-sition 207 is not retroactive, there is no immediate crisis and the initiative will take years to play out) .

434 . Arizona Proposition 207, supra note 427, §12-1134(f ) .435 . For a discussion of the difficulties presented by the ambiguities of Proposition

207’s text, see Gammage, supra note 322, at 523-24 . These difficulties, unsur-prisingly, were distinctly similar to the difficulties presented by Measure 37 .

436 . Arizona Proposition 207, supra note 427, §12-1134(b) .437 . Id. §12-1136 .

Copyright © 2009 Environmental Law Institute®, Washington, DC. reprinted with permission from ELR®, http://www.eli.org, 1-800-433-5120.

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with Measure 37 suggests that all this should amount to con-fusion and paralysis . So far, Arizona’s experience bears out this prediction .

Because of the measure’s vague language, test cases are needed to map out its scope .438 But no government wants to be the guinea pig for such a test case .439 While several lawsuits have been either launched or threatened, it does not appear that any of them have yet shed much light on the measure’s meaning .440 So far, the result is something approaching paralysis,441 with several large cities affected by the uncertainty caused by the measure .442 Government enti-ties have adopted several strategies for dealing with Propo-sition 207, but none are terribly promising .443 One of the most common strategies, attempting to get waivers from all affected landowners, is potentially vulnerable to legal chal-lenge, particularly if it is applied aggressively;444 more to the point, it is frequently impractical . For example, Phoenix had to delay two downtown revitalization projects, each of which would have required obtaining over 1,000 waivers .445

As in Oregon, ambiguities in the law have created a pano-ply of problems . For example, the state senate declined to ban the building of homes near military airfields in part to avoid a potential Proposition 207 lawsuit; it was unclear whether such a ban would be justified by Proposition 207’s health and safety exception .446 In a similar vein, the city of Phoenix has claimed that Measure 207 has tied its hands in a dispute involving the pipeline that supplies fuel to the

438 . Monica Alonzo-Dunsmoor, Impact of New Property-Rights Protection Law Un-der Unclear, The Arizona Republic, Dec . 8, 2006, at 4 (quoting Chandler city planner) .

439 . Id. See also Mike Sunnucks, Prop. 207 Results in a Trickle of Lawsuits—Not a Wave, Phoenix Bus . J ., Nov . 12, 2007 .

440 . See Sparks, supra note 112, at 220; Stephenson & Lane, supra note 430 (“Nearly two years after the passage of Proposition 207, local governments, property owners, and the development community continue to wait for the judicial branch of government to define its ambiguous language .”) ; Goldwater Institute Sues County Over Luke AFB Development Restrictions, Phoenix Bus . J ., Feb . 17, 2009; Lynh Bui, Property Rights Suit Threatened, The Arizona Republic, Feb . 10, 2008, at 1 .

441 . See Sparks, supra note 112, at 214 (noting that “regulating authorities ap-peared hesitant to test the new law or property owners’ willingness to demand compensation” and that “Arizona’s cities, towns, and counties are proceeding cautiously, trying to regulate without provoking property owners”) .

442 . Id. at 218 .443 . See Stephenson & Lane, supra note 430 (describing the strategies) .444 . See Sparks, supra note 112, at 224-29 .445 . Id. at 220-21 . See also Diana Balazs, Prop. 207 Hampers Municipalities, The

Arizona Republic, Sept . 29, 2007, at 22; Dennis Godfrey, Cities Wary of Property Measure, The Arizona Republic, Jan . 17, 2007, at 31; Mike Sun-nucks, Cities Use Waivers to Dodge Prop. 207, Phoenix Bus . J ., Jan . 22, 2007; Jahna Berry, Eminent-Domain Law Protects Landowners, But Critics Wonder at What Larger Cost; Property Rigths vs. Public Improvements; Any Changes Now Face Complex Process, The Arizona Republic, July 5, 2007, at 1 .

446 . Jessica Coomes, Senate Votes Down Land-Use Change for Fear of Potential Law-suit, The Arizona Republic, Apr . 27, 2007, at 9 .

Phoenix airport,447 and Tucson was hesitant to simplify and reorganize its land use code for fear of lawsuits .448

One city official has complained that the wording of the Proposition is “very poor, very vague, leaving a lot of open questions .”449 The city of Peoria has attempted to clarify the issues by promulgating its own interpretation of the law .450 The other potential means of clarifying the law’s meaning—legislative action, another initiative, or judicial interpreta-tion—are viewed as “long shots .”451

This sort of uncertainty and paralysis is a far cry from a functioning compensation regime in which governments internalize the costs of the regulations they impose . But this was to be expected from a law whose drafting was scarcely better than that of Measure 37 .

IV. Conclusion

The story of Measure 37 shows that the goal of forcing gov-ernments to compensate landowners for the regulations that impact their property, though it might be worthwhile, is not easy to accomplish via initiative . On the other hand, Mea-sure 37 also demonstrates that it is possible for an initiative to succeed in a more roundabout way by challenging the established system and forcing the legislature to come up with an alternative that at least partially adopts the initia-tive’s values . It will be interesting to see whether Measure 49’s commitment to compensation will produce a regime that is more effective, if less ambitious, than the one contem-plated by Measure 37 .

Perhaps Measure 37’s greatest contribution, however, will be the lessons it has to offer to property rights advocates elsewhere . Rather than copying Measure 37, groups that are sympathetic to its vision should take care to learn from its mistakes . The biggest lesson offered by Measure 37 is that designing a regulatory takings system is no simple task . It requires careful drafting, a serious engagement with concep-tually difficult issues and careful attention to the problem of ensuring implementation . It is only by making such an effort that the regulatory takings movement can create a regime that successfully forces governments to take the costs of land use regulation into account .

447 . Jahna Berry, Developers vs. Airport Fuel Source, The Arizona Republic, Dec . 10, 2007, at 1 .

448 . Tom Beal, Slow Makeover of City Land Code Goes to Council, Arizona Daily Star, Sept . 16, 2008, at B1 .

449 . Cecilia Chan, Clarity Sought on Land-Use Law, The Arizona Republic, Jan . 17, 2007, at 15 . For another discussion of the difficulties cities were having with Proposition 207, see Gammage, supra note 324, at 326-27 .

450 . Cecilia Chan, Peoria Proposes Ordinance to Clarify Voter-Approved Land-Use Law, The Arizona Republic, Mar . 16, 2007, at 6 .

451 . Id. (quoting city attorney) .

Copyright © 2009 Environmental Law Institute®, Washington, DC. reprinted with permission from ELR®, http://www.eli.org, 1-800-433-5120.