making the most of economic data dr. nancy brown, faicp, dean of workforce development center for...
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Making the Most of Economic Data
Making the Most of Economic Data
Dr. Nancy Brown, FAICP, Dean of Workforce DevelopmentCenter for Workforce Development
Walters State Community College, Morristown, TNA Tennessee Board of Regents Institution
Walters State Community College is the administrative and program entity for the Smoky Mountains Area WIA Board
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Some Economic Data QuestionsSome Economic Data Questions
Who are your customers?Who are your customers?
How do you use data?How do you use data?
What else can you learn from economic data?What else can you learn from economic data?
What other information is useful and why?What other information is useful and why?
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Customers: Who Are They & What Do They Need?
Customers: Who Are They & What Do They Need?
OCCUPATIONSIN DEMAND
TARGETSECTORS
INDUSTRYRECRUITING
DATA
AVERAGEWAGES
OCCUPATIONALDEMAND
OVER TIME
SMOKY MOUNTAINS
AREA\WIA
BOARD&
STAFF
CHAMBERS& OTHER
ECONOMICDEVELOPMENT
ORGS
INDIVIDUALBUSINESSES
TRAININGPROVIDERS
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COUNTY MAYOR
WIA CAREER CENTER
STAFF
CHAMBERSSMOKY MTN AREA WIA BD
COLLEGE
Individual & summary reports
on most in demand
occupations & wages for career specialists and
applicants
Report on employment & unemployment
in specific occupations
Report on projected
demand and county
educational attainment
Yearly report to choose target
sectors for planning and
program strategy
Data on demand for a proposed
training program
Employment & commuting patterns for single county
INDUSTRYPROSPECT
REPORTS
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BEA BLS
EMSI
CENSUS STATES RRR
Nielsen Claritas
Using Data: Data SourcesUsing Data: Data Sources
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Using Data: EMSIUsing Data: EMSI
• Wide variety of data sources in one location
• Multi-state data in one location• Fast and attractive reports• Frequent updates• User-friendly• Open to feedback• Flexible
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Using Data: What’s Your BEA?Using Data: What’s Your BEA?
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Using Data:BEA Regions & Areas
Using Data:BEA Regions & Areas
BEA Regions:• 8 regions: Far West, Great Lakes, Mideast, New
England, Plains, Rocky Mountain, Southeast, Southwest. • Have similar economic characteristics, such as :
industrial composition of the labor force, demographic, social and cultural characteristics
BEA Economic Areas (EAs)• Define the regional markets surrounding metropolitan or
micropolitan statistical areas. • Include and counties that are economically related to the
metropolitan or micropolitan statistical area
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Using Data:American Community Survey (ACS)
Using Data:American Community Survey (ACS)
Supplements Census data Helps determine how federal and state funds
are distributed. Includes:
• Age, sex, race, family and relationships• Income and benefits, health insurance• Education• Veteran status, disabilities• Where you work and how you get there• Where you live and how much you pay for some
essentials
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Using Data:Who’s Included in the ACS?
Using Data:Who’s Included in the ACS?
• Only 40% of counties have yearly data. • Rural data is averaged over time. This is a particular
problem in big counties (primarily in the West). • Data that is averaged from 2005-2009 (as most data for
rural counties is), [includes] some really good and really bad years…This may result in rural areas appearing to fare better or worse than in reality.
– Kathy Miller, RUPRI Program Director, Rural Assistance Center, US Dept of Health & Human Services
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Using Data: Building a Pipeline
Examples of Occupations
Trained EMSI Yearly Demand
Considerations
HVAC 11 14 Local Industry Demand
Industrial Maint 12 31 New Industry Demand
Nurses, LPN 49 56 Commuting
Nurses, RN 33 39 Continuing Demand in 3 LWIAs
Police Officers 1 25 Other Funding Source
Truck Drivers 2 203 ITA Maximum, Retention
Welders 5 40 New Industry Demand
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Using Data: What about Funding a New Program?
Using Data: What about Funding a New Program?
Example: Clean Energy Technology• Current Demand?
– Employment in associated occupations– Number and size of CET and related
businesses/industries
• Funding?• Sustainability?
– Future demand for energy efficient construction and products
– Future demand for associated occupations
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Using Data:Is it worth applying for a grant?
Using Data:Is it worth applying for a grant?
• Deciding how large an area should be included
• Combining data from different occupations and industry categories
• Measuring the chance of getting a grant• Documenting data sources• Covering all of the data questions• Combining forces with other
organizations
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DESCRIPTIONAT LEAST 50+ ADDITIONAL
JOBS
2012 AVG. ANNUAL WAGE
$30,000+
Offices of Physicians 81 $74,532
General Freight Trucking 67 $49,618
Plastics Product Manufacturing 62 $48,671
Depository Credit Intermediation 58 $46,948
Education and Hospitals (Local Government) 54 $42,657
Health and Personal Care Stores 59 $39,139
Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools (Private) 50 $37,790
Using Data:Choosing Target Sectors
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Other Useful InformationOther Useful Information
• Local business climate• Community business surveys• Educational initiatives• Qualitative data on community
goals• Career center use statistics• Enrollment in programs,
including WIA• Cultural activities
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Exploring Data:An Experiment in Comparing Areas
Exploring Data:An Experiment in Comparing Areas
• Chose an area with similar characteristics– Population– Location
• Generated reports on each area’s economy• Compiled data in one Excel file• Identified anomalies and looked for reasons
– Why are wages so much higher in one area for some occupations?
– Is there a potential gap in training that needs to be filled?
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Choosing Two Areas
10 counties in E TNTourism-oriented – Great
Smoky Mountains National Park
Population 455,572 (2012) – 4.1% growth, 94% white
Adjacent to Knoxville, TN
10 Counties in SW NCTourism-oriented - Great Smoky
Mountains National ParkPopulation 364,047 (2012)
4.7% growth, 90% whiteAdjacent to Asheville, NC
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Overview of the Two Areas in Mid E TN & SW NC*
Mid E TN SW NC Difference
Population 455,572 364,047 80%
Counties 10 10 0%
Average Earnings 33.669 $31,930 86%
Jobs (2012) 193,462 165,802 95%
Unemployed (4/2012) 18,339 14,734 80%
Completions (2010) 3,812 4,021 105%
GRP (2011) $9,956,779,905 $8,011,284,793 80%
Exports (2011) $15,566,213,647 $10,617,883,801 68%
Imports (2011) $19,380,262,406 $15,147,746,252 78%
The mid E TN area is composed of the 10 counties in the Smoky Mountains WIA Area. The SW NC area is composed of the 10 counties in the Advantage West Partnership.
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Probable Advantages of Mid E TN
Examples of the 24 industries in mid E TN with: An average wage at least $10,000 more per year At least 10 openings per year
• :Commercial Bakeries • Explosives Manufacturing • Medical, Dental, and Hospital Equipment and Supplies - • Merchant Wholesalers - Walmart Distribution Center• Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools (Private) -
Lincoln Memorial University & Tusculum College• Sports Teams and Clubs - Smokies baseball team
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Potential Opportunities for Mid E TN
Examples of the 16 industries in SW NC with An average wage at least $10,000 more per
year At least 10 openings per year
• Miscellaneous Intermediation• Postharvest Crop Activities (except Cotton Ginning)• Nonclay Refractory Manufacturing• Golf Courses and Country Clubs• Computer Systems Design Services• Securities Brokerage• Fabricated Structural Metal Manufacturing
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Thoughts & Questions
• Comparison with like areas may give some clues about useful areas to pursue in workforce development
• Comparison with a community that is viewed as an ideal (not just similar) may be useful
• Many questions need to be asked, such as: What is the reason for more employment in a specific
sector? Are the wages in an occupation or industry attractive
to the community? Etc., etc. etc.
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Reports 101
• Focus on what the customer needs• Use clipping feature to combine data – avoid overlap• Download into Word or Excel (if only option)• Translate Excel reports into tables that match format of
other data• Customize the title page
– Adapt title, as needed– Add contact information, graphics to further customize
• Insert page numbers• Change page breaks, as needed• Combine data sources on the last page, if there are
duplicates
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Lessons LearnedLessons Learned
• Eschew obfuscation• Avoid over explaining data BUT…• Know the data thoroughly yourself• Avoid simplifying data too much or too little
– Run and EMSI report first– Add or subtract information to suit the
audience/customer’s needs but…– Let the data tell the real story
• When using EMSI, ask the staff!– Give feedback on problems– Make suggestions for improvements
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ContactContact
Dr. Nancy Brown, Dean of Workforce DevelopmentWalters State Community College500 South Davy Crockett ParkwayMorristown, TN 37813423-318-2709 (Phone)423-585-8789 (Fax)[email protected]
The Center for Workforce Development at Walters State Community College is the administrative entity for the WIA program, which is funded under an agreement with the Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development. Walters State is an equal opportunity employer and provider of employment and training services. The College does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, religion, national origin, sex, sexual orientation or gender identity, disability, age, political affiliation, or
belief. Auxiliary aids and services are available upon request to persons with disabilities.