malaysia outlook of islamic finance industry

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Strictly Private & Confidential MALAYSIA – OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY Hizamuddin Jamalluddin Group Chief Strategy Officer BIMB Holdings Berhad EXPERTS SPEAKER ROADSHOW 2016 21 July 2016

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Page 1: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

Strictly Private & Confidential

MALAYSIA – OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC

FINANCE INDUSTRY

Hizamuddin Jamalluddin

Group Chief Strategy Officer

BIMB Holdings Berhad

EXPERTS SPEAKER ROADSHOW 201621 July 2016

Page 3: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

DEVELOPMENT OF ISLAMIC FINANCE - MALAYSIA

Page 3

Instituting Foundation

• 1970 – 1992 (Establishment of Enabling Infrastructure)

• Islamic Banking Act 1983 – Establishment of Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad

• Merely as an alternative to conventional banking

Institutional Building, Activity Generation & Market Vibrancy

• 1993-2005 (Deepening, Creating Critical Mass & Liberalisation)

• Ensuring greater access to Islamic finance

Strategic Positioning & International Integration with Global Financial System.

• 2006 -2013

• Becoming hub of international Islamic finance

Advancing in Islamic Financing – Well Developed Marketplace

• 2013 onwards

• Islamic Financial Services Act 2013 – Moving from “Credit Intermediary” to “Investment Intermediary”

• Marketplace for Global Linkages

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 4: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

KEY SUCCESS INGREDIENTS

Page 4

Enabling Environment

Business Modality

Resources

Financial Products & Services

Governance

Key Business/Operation

Infrastructure

Education &

Market

Readiness

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 5: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ENABLING ENVIRONMENT

Page 5

Political Will –

“As a National Agenda”

Central Bank as

“Champion”

Local Sponsor –

“Passion to Succeed”

Legislative, Legal &

Shariah Framework

Law of Land

(Taxation, Stamp Duty, etc to

cater for Shariah Contracts

Central Bank as

“Lender or Buyer of the Last Resort”(to address liquidity position or

absorb surplus)

Interbank Money

Market

Single Banking System

vs Dual Banking System

Regulatory

Supervisory

Framework(Islamic Financial

Service Authority)

Industry

Incentives

Building Critical

Mass

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 6: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ISLAMIC FINANCIAL SERVICES ACT 2013 – IN A NUTSHELL

Page 6

Forceful Governance / Oversight Framework

(Board/SSC Composition & Responsibilities)

Refined Ownership, Control & Financial Group/ Holding

Company

Demands Strong Capital Adequacy Ratio

Differentiates Deposit & Investment Account

Takaful Framework –Separation of Life &

General Takaful

Promotes Responsible Risk Sharing Business Model

Greater Transparency in Product Offerings &

Customers’ Protection

Robust Risk Management Capability & Capacity

More Extensive & Intrusive Regulation

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 7: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

FUNDING STRUCTURE OF ISLAMIC BANK – IFSA 2013

Page 7

Deposits Investment Accounts Shareholders’ Funds

Current Account

Savings Account

Term Deposit

Unrestricted Investment

Account

Restricted Investment

Account

Paid Up Capital

Retained Earnings

Others

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 8: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

NEW LOOK ON THE BALANCE SHEET – IFSA 2013

Page 8

ASSETS LIABILITIES

Cash & Short-term Funds Deposits from Customers

Financial Assets (HFT, AFS, HTM) i.e. PDS Investment Account of Customers (URIA/RIA)

(Note X)

Financing (Consumer. Commercial &

Corporate)

Deposit Placements of Banks & Financial

Institutions

Investment in Subsidiaries Zakat & Taxation

Other Assets Other Liabilities

Equity

Total Assets Total Liabilities & Equity

Note X : Describes the funding structure i.e. URIA or RIA, the amount of funds applied to

different Shariah contracts, and the underlying assets supporting the fund.

As RIA is off balance sheet, the information presented is for disclosure purposes.

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 9: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

MALAYSIAN ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY AS AT DEC 2015

Page 9

Assets

26.8% of total banking system

Total Islamic banking asset : RM537 bil

CAGR 2011-2015 of 13%

Financing

Market share – 31.2%

Total financing: RM411 bil

CAGR 2011-2015 of 15.2%

Liabilities /Deposits

Market share – 30.4%

Total deposits : RM404 bil

Total Investment Account: RM47 bil

Overall : RM451 bil

CAGR 2011-2015 of 14.1%

… Islamic financing is expected to account

for 40 per cent of total financing in 2020

Total Capital Ratio – 15%

Liquidity Coverage Ratio – 113%

Net Impaired Financing -0.9%

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 10: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ASSETS

Page 10

-

500.0

1,000.0

1,500.0

2,000.0

2,500.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 May-16

Conventional

Islamic

88%

12%

85%

15%

83%

17%

82%

18%

80%

20%

79%

21%

78%

22%

77%

23%

RM billion

76%

24%

436.2

226.4

-

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

500.0

Jan

-07

Jul-

07

Jan

-08

Jul-

08

Jan

-09

Jul-

09

Jan

-10

Jul-

10

Jan

-11

Jul-

11

Jan

-12

Jul-

12

Jan

-13

Jul-

13

Jan

-14

Jul-

14

Jan

-15

Jul-

15

Jan

-16

Islamic

Conventional

Islamic banking assets grew by an average 14.4% in 2015 to RM535 bn from 13.2% in

the previous year. In 2016 and 2017, we expect it to moderate to around 8% to 9% in

tandem with the current economic challenges and a bigger balance sheet size.

Islamic banking assets Islamic banking assets (Jan 07 = 100)

Sources: CEIC & Bank Islam

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 11: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

FINANCING

Page 11

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 May-16

Conventional

Islamic

14%

86% 85%83%

82%

80%

79%

77%

75%

15%17% 18% 20%

21% 23%

25%

RM billion

73%

27%

73%

27%

515.3

204.8

-

100.0

200.0

300.0

400.0

500.0

600.0

Dec-06 Apr-09 Aug-11 Dec-13 Apr-16

Islamic

Conventional

Islamic banking financing assets grew by an average 19.5% in 2015 to RM391 bn from

18.2% in the previous year. In 2016 and 2017, we expect it to moderate to around 14%

to 15% notwithstanding continuous cannibalisation of existing conventional assets

Islamic banking financing assets Islamic banking financing assets

(Jan07 = 100)

Sources: CEIC & Bank Islam

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 12: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

DEPOSITS

Page 12

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 May-16

Conventional

Islamic

86%

14%

84%

16%

82%

18%

81%

19%

80%

20%

78%

22%

77%

23%

76%

24%

RM billion

76%

24%

76%

24%

417.1

173.1

-

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

450.0

500.0

Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15

Islamic

Conventional

Islamic banking deposits grew by an average 11.6% in 2015 to RM403 bn from 14.2% in

the previous year. In 2016, we expect it to register a flat growth of 0.5% before turning

around to 6% in 2017 taking into account stringent compliance with Shariah Contract

Based Regulatory Framework

Islamic banking deposits Islamic banking deposits (Jan 07 = 100)

Sources: CEIC & Bank Islam

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 13: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ASSET QUALITY

Page 13

Gross impairment ratio (%)

Sources: BNM & CEIC

1.32%

1.65%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

4.00%

4.50%

5.00%

Ja

n-1

0

Ma

y-1

0

Se

p-1

0

Ja

n-1

1

Ma

y-1

1

Se

p-1

1

Ja

n-1

2

Ma

y-1

2

Se

p-1

2

Ja

n-1

3

Ma

y-1

3

Se

p-1

3

Ja

n-1

4

Ma

y-1

4

Se

p-1

4

Ja

n-1

5

Ma

y-1

5

Se

p-1

5

Ja

n-1

6

Ma

y-1

6

Islamic banking

Banking System

1.1%

1.3%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

Ja

n-1

0

Ma

y-1

0

Se

p-1

0

Ja

n-1

1

Ma

y-1

1

Se

p-1

1

Ja

n-1

2

Ma

y-1

2

Se

p-1

2

Ja

n-1

3

Ma

y-1

3

Se

p-1

3

Ja

n-1

4

Ma

y-1

4

Se

p-1

4

Ja

n-1

5

Ma

y-1

5

Se

p-1

5

Ja

n-1

6

Ma

y-1

6

Islamic

Banking

Banking

System

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

…expects to sustain existing healthy asset portfolio

Page 14: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ISLAMIC CAPITAL MARKETS

Page 14

40.6%

59.4%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

Dec-00 Jun-03 Dec-05 Jun-08 Dec-10 Jun-13 Dec-15

Islamic govt sec.

Conventional govt sec.71.4%

28.6%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

Dec-00 Jun-03 Dec-05 Jun-08 Dec-10 Jun-13 Dec-15

Islamic PDS

Conventional PDS

Govt. Sec. % of total PDS % of total

Source: CEIC

More than two-thirds of PDS outstanding are emanated from Sukuk.

However, conventional government securities are predominantly

conventional based. But not for long.

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 15: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

PROSPECTS FOR SUKUK / INFRASTRUCTRE PROEJCT FINANCING

Page 15

Projects awarded YTD in 2016

Source: Affin Hwang Investment Bank Bhd

Award Project Contractor Value

date RM Mil

Klang Valley Mass Rapid Transit Line 2 (Sg Buloh-Serdang-Putrajaya Line)

Apr-16 KVMRT Line 2 Package V201 (Sg Buloh-Persiaran Dagang) Sunway Construction 1,213

Mar-16 KVMRT Line 2 Package V202 (Persiaran Dagang-Jinjang) Ahmad Zaki 1,440

May-16 KVMRT Line 2 Package SY203 (electric trains and depot equipment) HAP Consortium 1,620

Mar-16 KVMRT Line 2 Package SBG201 (box girders for V201-V205) SPC Industries Sdn Bhd 199

Mar-16 KVMRT Line 2 Package SBG202 (box girders for V206-V210) Acre Works Sdn Bhd 170

Mar-16 KVMRT Line 2 Underground Work Package MMC-Gamuda 15,470

May-16 KVMRT Line 2 Package SY201 (signal and train control system) Bombardier-Global Rail 458

May-16 KVMRT Line 2 Package V210 (Persiaran APEC-Putrajaya Sentral) MRCB 648

May-16 KVMRT Line 2 Package V203 (Jinjang-Jln Ipoh) IJM Corp 1,470

May-16 Package DPT 203: Serdang depot TSR Capital 90

Sub total 22,778

Pan-Borneo Highway, Sarawak

Mar-16 PBH Phase 1: Serian Roundabout-Pantu Junction Kimlun-Zecon 1,461

Mar-16 PBH Phase 1: Bintangor-Julau-Sibu Airport-Sg Kua Bridge (Batang Rajang Bridge) Hock Seng Lee-Dhaya Maju Infra 1710

Sub total 3,171

Other projects

Mar-16 KVMRT SBK Line (Pasar Seni LRT link) TRC Synergy 104

Mar-16 Kuching City Central Wastewater Mgmt Syste Package 2 Hock Seng Lee 750

Mar-16 KVMRT SBK Line (MRT feeder buse depot at Kajang) Potensi Cekal Sdn Bhd 63

Feb-16 Samalaju-2 Substation Establishment Project in Samalaju, Bintulu Hock Seng Lee-Larsen & Tourbro 281

Jun-16 Lebuhraya Persisiran Pantai Barat (Teluk Intan - kg Lekir in perak) WZ Satu 43

Jun-16 Oxley Rising Sdn Bhd - mixed commercial building at Lot 99 Jln Ampang Econpile Holdings 208

Jun-16 Piping Erection Subcontract Package WZ Satu 19

May-16 Road, Drainage, Culvert and Duct Bank Works Package at Rapid Project Mitrajaya Holding 52

May-16 PETRONAS Refinery and Petrochemical Intergrated Development Project (RAPID) Barakah Offshore 84

Sub total 1604

Others 2,081

Grand total 29,634

Page 16: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

Page 16

17.4 17.4

15.9

15.2

12.4

13.5

18.2

17.0

15.7

14.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

17.0

18.0

19.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

ROE - Banking system

ROE - Islamic banking1.6 1.6

1.5 1.5

1.3

1.0

1.3

1.2

1.1

1.0

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

ROA - Banking system

ROA - Islamic banking

Islamic banks registered higher ROE but lower ROA relative to conventional

banks in 2015.

Return on equity (ROE) Return on asset (ROA)

Source: Bank Negara Malaysia

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 17: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

RETURN ON EQUITY – ISLAMIC BANKS

Page 43

21.14%

20.57%

17.65%

16.03%

15.88%

14.47%

13.99%

13.74%

11.26%

11.06%

10.45%

9.02%

8.53%

-0.44%

Dec 2015

22.80%

12.62%

19.86%

17.86%

17.89%

14.19%

12.40%

19.36%

12.99%

14.57%

12.23%

2.56%

7.42%

8.09%

Dec 2014

25.38%

25.55%

21.25%

19.39%

19.59%

11.73%

12.86%

20.12%

13.47%

16.93%

12.26%

9.81%

10.38%

9.42%

Maybank Islamic

OCBC Al-Amin

Bank Islam

Public Islamic

CIMB Islamic

RHB Islamic

Affin Islamic

Hong Leong Islamic

AmIslamic

HSBC Amanah

Alliance Islamic

SC Saadiq

Bank Muamalat

KFH

Dec 2013

3rd3rd 2nd

*

*

*

*

*

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 18: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

RETURN ON EQUITY – BANKING GROUP

Page 44

21.22%

19.93%

19.84%

19.03%

17.65%

15.52%

15.48%

13.92%

13.67%

13.09%

11.30%

8.53%

8.20%

2.32%

-0.44%

Dec 2015

23.22%

22.11%

18.38%

20.85%

19.86%

17.75%

17.78%

17.83%

14.23%

17.02%

18.93%

7.42%

15.10%

12.92%

8.09%

Dec 2014

26.61%

24.53%

22.89%

22.67%

21.25%

18.16%

19.37%

23.78%

16.38%

18.39%

20.36%

10.38%

17.96%

19.07%

9.42%

Public Bank

HSBC

OCBC

UOB

Bank Islam

Alliance Bank

Maybank

AmBank

CIMB Bank

RHB Bank

Hong Leong Bank

Bank Muamalat

Affin Bank

Standard

Chartered

KFH

Dec 2013

The above are based on the respective financial institution’s latest financial statements* Position as at September 2015

5th4th6th

*

*

*

*

*

*

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 19: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

RETURN ON ASSETS – ISLAMIC BANKS

Page 45

1.43%

1.23%

1.12%

1.07%

1.04%

0.98%

0.90%

0.87%

0.86%

0.82%

0.71%

0.70%

0.46%

-0.07%

Dec 2015

1.58%

0.73%

1.15%

1.29%

1.06%

1.37%

0.73%

0.93%

1.18%

0.95%

0.62%

0.87%

0.16%

1.33%

Dec 2014

1.70%

1.60%

1.29%

1.48%

0.98%

1.29%

0.73%

0.80%

1.41%

1.04%

0.84%

0.91%

0.67%

1.61%

Bank Islam

OCBC Al-Amin

Maybank Islamic

Public Islamic

CIMB Islamic

Hong Leong

Islamic

Affin Islamic

RHB Islamic

HSBC Amanah

Alliance Islamic

Bank Muamalat

AmIslamic

SC Saadiq

KFH

Dec 2013

1st1st1st

*

The above are based on the respective financial institution’s latest financial statements* Position as at September 2015

*

*

*

*

*

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 20: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

RETURN ON ASSETS – BANKING GROUP

Page 46

1.83%

1.71%

1.45%

1.43%

1.36%

1.29%

1.23%

1.17%

1.16%

1.13%

1.01%

0.74%

0.71%

0.18%

-0.07%

Dec 2015

1.79%

1.83%

1.52%

1.58%

1.52%

1.49%

1.24%

1.16%

1.44%

1.62%

1.30%

1.24%

0.62%

0.97%

1.33%

Dec 2014

4th

1.83%

1.93%

1.57%

1.70%

1.68%

1.60%

1.62%

1.28%

1.82%

1.66%

1.36%

1.40%

0.84%

1.37%

1.61%

Public Bank

HSBC

UOB

Bank Islam

Maybank

Alliance

Bank

OCBC

CIMB Bank

AmBank

Hong Leong

Bank

RHB Bank

Affin Bank

Bank

Muamalat

Standard

Chartered

KFH

Dec 2013

4th4th

The above are based on the respective financial institution’s latest financial statements* Position as at September 2015

*

*

*

*

*

*

*

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 21: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

TAKAFUL SECTOR

Page 21CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Sources: BNM Financial Stability Report 2015

Page 22: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

INSURANCE & TAKAFUL INDUSTRY

Page 22

22.9

25.0

26.5

28.8

30.0

20.0

22.0

24.0

26.0

28.0

30.0

32.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

5-yr CAGR 5.6%

Life Insurance Net Premium (RM bn)

11.2

12.4

13.8

14.9

15.6

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

15.0

16.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

5-yr CAGR 6.8%

General Insurance Earned Premium

(RM bn)

3.7

4.6 4.8 4.8

5.1

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

5-yr CAGR 6.6%

1.1

1.3

1.4 1.5

1.7

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

1.8

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

5-yr CAGR 8.9%

General Takaful Earned Contribution

Income (RM bn)

Source: Financial Stability and Payment Systems Report 2015 (BNM)

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 23: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

FAMILY TAKAFUL

Page 23

Gross Contributions (RM million)

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 24: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

GENERAL TAKAFUL

Page 24

Gross Contributions (RM million)

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 25: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

PRESENTATION OUTLINE

Page 25

STATING THE OBVIOUS

MACRO TRENDS

OUTLOOK

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

EXPERTS SPEAKER ROADSHOW 2016

Page 26: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

LONG TERM RATES

Page 26

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Jan-08 Sep-09 May-11 Jan-13 Sep-14 May-16

US

UK

Germany

Japan

Source: Bloomberg

Long term rates are on declining trend. However, it does not signify lower

risks as incidence of abrupt volatility has become the norm in today’s

market. Perhaps, a decline in risk-free rate suggests widening of risk

premium.

10-year yields

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 27: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

INCOME INEQUALITY

Page 27

28.3

29.0

30.8

33.0

40.1

41.0

47.3

47.4

47.7

- 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0

Australia

Germany

France

UK

Malaysia

Indonesia

Singapore

China

US

Income inequality is also widening as major economies including Malaysia

showed Gini Coefficient of more than 40%. This is a major source of

instability. Perhaps, Islamic finance can address this issue via inclusion in

access to finance

Gini Coefficient

Source: World Income Inequality Database (WIID)

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 28: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

SUKUK YIELD DETERMINATION

Page 28

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

Au

g-1

0

Dec

-10

Ap

r-1

1

Au

g-1

1

Dec

-11

Ap

r-1

2

Au

g-1

2

Dec

-12

Ap

r-1

3

Au

g-1

3

Dec

-13

Ap

r-1

4

Au

g-1

4

Dec

-14

Ap

r-1

5

Au

g-1

5

Dec

-15

Ap

r-1

6

MGS10yr GII10yr UST10yr

𝐺𝐼𝐼10𝑡 = 0.68 + 0.88𝐺𝐼𝐼10𝑡−1 + 0.32𝐺𝐼𝐼10𝑡−2 − 0.11𝑀𝐺𝑆10𝑡−1 − 0.31𝑀𝐺𝑆10𝑡−2

+ 0.31𝑈𝑆𝑇10𝑡−1 − 0.06𝑈𝑆𝑇10𝑡−2 Bond yield

Source: CEIC

We use Vector Autoregressive

(VAR) to model the 10-year GII

yield.

The 10-year US Treasury yields are

deemed to be a significant

factor in influencing the

movement in the 10-year GII

yields

While significant, the 10-year UST

yields is also positively related to

the 10-year GII yields

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 29: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

SUKUK YIELD DETERMINATION - IMPLICATION

Page 29

Such findings are very much in tandem with studies done by

INCEIF* (Fadhlee Awaluddin and Professor Mansur Masih) in

2015.

Both researchers have found that GII and MGS yields are

sensitive to any movement of US Treasury.

Therefore, any changes in US monetary policy will have

immediate implication to local yields including GII.

Perhaps, by increasing the supply of GII would help to address

this issue and provide a better pricing mechanism for Sukuk.

*Sukuk pricing dynamics – factors influencing yield curve of the Malaysian Sukuk (26th August 2015)

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 30: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ECONOMIC CYCLE – REVELATION FROM SURAH YUSUF

Page 30

Verse 47: Yusuf (Joseph) said: “For seven consecutive years, you shallsow as usual and that (the harvest) which you reap you shall leave in

ears, (all) – except a little of it which you may eat.

Verse 48: “Then will come after that, seven hard (years), which willdevour what you have laid by in advance for them, (all) except a little

of that which you have guarded (stored)

Verse 49: “Then thereafter will come a year in which people will haveabundant rain and in which they will press (wine and oil)

We should extract as much information

as we can from the Quran and Hadith

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 31: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ECONOMIC CYCLE – REVELATION FROM SURAH YUSUF

Page 31

-2.00%

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

Jan-85 Mar-90 May-95 Jul-00 Sep-05 Nov-10 Jan-16

Aug-14

Peak Trough Cycle # of years

Apr-89 May-92 Down 3.13

Trough Peak Cycle # of years

May-92 Jul-94 Up 2.20

Peak Trough Cycle # of years

Jul-94 Oct-98 Down 4.31

Trough Peak Cycle # of years

Oct-98 Dec-03 Up 5.24

Peak Trough Cycle # of years

Dec-03 Mar-09 Down 5.33

Trough Peak Cycle # of years

Mar-09 Aug-14 Up 5.50

Peak Current Cycle # of years

Aug-14 May-16 Down 1.78

Source: Bank Islam

Economic cycle using IPI after seasonal adjustment & HP filter

Apr-89

May-92

Jul-94

Oct-98

Dec-03

Mar-09

Up cycle: 2 to 6 yrs

Down cycle: 3 to 5 yrs

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 32: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

PRESENTATION OUTLINE

Page 32

STATING THE OBVIOUS

MACRO TRENDS

OUTLOOK

EXPERTS SPEAKER ROADSHOW 2016

Page 33: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

MARKET ENVIRONMENT – BANKING INDUSTRY

Page 33CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Slowdown in Loan/Financing Growth

Narrowing Net Income Margin

(Margin Contraction)

Tight Liquidity Environment

Potential Upturn in Credit Cost

FinTech & Digitalization

Page 34: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

KEY CHALLENGES – BANKING INDUSTRY

Page 34CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Impact on MFRS 9 –“Impairment”

Stringent Prudential Standards (Capital

Adequacy, Liquidity, Enhanced StandardisedApproach for Credit Risk

and etc)

Eased Consumer

Sentiment

Softening Property Market

Incidental Costs from Commodity Mudharabah

Transactions

Weak Commodity Prices

Increased Consumer Protection – Hinder Cross

Marketing Growth Potentials

Inevitable Innovative Technologies

War of Talent

Page 35: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

GROWTH POTENTIALS – BANKING INDUSTRY

Page 35CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

EPF Simpanan Shariah as

“A New Catalyst”

Investment Account Platform

“ A New Marketplace”

Major Infra Projects Roll Outs

Cross Border Transactions -ASEAN Integrated Banking

Framework

Demand for Shariah Compliant Stocks –

Conversion / Cannibalisation

Corporate & Sovereign Refinancing of Maturing

Sukuk

Continuous Demand from Consumer Market

“Prohibition of Riba’”

Ocean Blue – WakafDevelopment

Supportive Government Policies & Incentives

Page 36: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

MARKET ENVIRONMENT – TAKAFUL INDUSTRY

Page 36CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Takaful Fund Assets

: About RM24.7 bil (Dec 2015)

: 9.4% of insurance & takaful industry

Net Contribution Income

: About RM6.8 bil

:12.9% of insurance & takaful industry

Double Digit 5-yr CAGR : 15%

(both, takaful fund assets & net contribution income)

Rapid Liberalisation

– 11 Takaful Operators

Stable Underwriting Margins, Sound Capital

Buffers & Robust Underwriting Contracts

Aggressive Marketing & Intensified Competition

Diversified Distribution Channels to widen

outreach

Claim Ratio for General Takaful : 51.9%

Stringent Regulatory Environment

(Risk-Based Capital for Takaful & Strengthened market

conduct to protect consumer )

Page 37: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

KEY CHALLENGES – TAKAFUL INDUSTRY

Page 37CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Economic Uncertainty –Weak Consumer Sentiment

Intensified Competition from Bank-backed

Insurance & Multinational Players

Higher & More Stringent Capital Requirements

Additional Cost from share of losses arising from

Malaysian Motor Insurance Pool

Slower Contribution from Credit Coverage due to

Slower Demand for Personal/House Financing

Portfolio

Possibility of Higher Claim Ratio

Lower Returns from Investment Portfolio

Continuous Investment in IT Infrastructure

Distribution Coverage

Page 38: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

NEW OPERATING ENVIRONMENT FOR TAKAFUL

Page 38

Liberalisation of Motor &

Fire Tariff

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 39: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

GROWTH POTENTIAL – TAKAFUL INDUSTRY

Page 39CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Underpenetrated Market

Uptrend Shift by Muslim Community

(from Conventional Insurance to Takaful)

Increasing Demand for Healthcare Coverage

Unique Selling Propositions

(the first Takaful operator to offer 15% Cash Back)

High Demand for Investment-link Products

Greater Consumer Awareness

(amid rising medical costs and living expenses)

On-Going Expansion of Multi-Channel Distribution

Strategies

Strong Market Dynamics

- Urbanisation, Rising Disposable Income,

Growing Middle Class

Expectation of Continuous Double Digit Growth

Page 40: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

CONCLUSION – “SUSTAINABLE GROWTH MOMENTUM”

Page 40

Revised Shariah Screening Methodolgy by SC – effective November 2013,two-tier approach will be used whether the listed company is deemed to

be Shariah compliant based on activity and financial ratios.

Islamic Financial Services Act (2013) – distinguishes investment accountfrom Islamic deposit i.e. no guarantees on investment return which was

launched in 2015.

Investment Account Platform (IAP) – launched in February 2016 to facilitatedirect investment by investors in viable ventures.

EPF Shariah Compliance Funds – Initial fund size of RM100 bn.Commencement – 1 January 2017. Open for all EPF Members, Dividend

based on actual performance. Members who have chosen to move to EPF

Simpanan Shariah are not allowed to revert back to conventional EPF after

the effective date.

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 41: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

Page 41

Commendable

Growth

MomentumFinancing Growth – 16.2%

5 yr Financing CAGR – 23.3%

Industry Growth – 7.9%

Sturdy

CapitalizationIssuance of RM700 million Tier II

Sukuk Murabahah (RM300 mil in

April and RM400 mil in Dec 2015)

RWCR – 15.30%

Pioneered the

investment

accountRestricted Investment Account

Term Unrestricted Investment A/C

Transactional Unrestricted Inv A/C

Respectable

ReturnsROE – 17.6%

ROA – 1.4%

Sound Asset

QualityGross Impaired Financing – 1.09%

Net Impaired Financing – (0.83%)

Credit Cost – 0.28%

Financing loss coverage ratio – 174.6%

Sustainable

LiquidityFDR – Below 80%

LCR – Above 90%

NSFR – Above 100%

>2/3 of marketable securities are

rated AAA or GG

Reaffirming its

Brand PositionVarious recognitions as “Best

Islamic Bank” and “Strongest

Local Bank”

Page 42: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

APPENDICES

Page 42CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 43: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

POTENTIAL IMPLICATIONS OF EPF SIMPANAN SHARIAH

Page 43CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Greater participation from pension funds in Islamic

Finance Sphere

Promotes growth of all players – Bigger counter-

party limits by asset management companies

or EPF placement in Islamic banking

Sustain the growth momentum and

continuous demand for Islamic financial products

Enhance Deepening of Islamic financial market –

trading both sukuk and equity

Conduit to develop future new Islamic Financial

Offerings

Promotes Participation in Responsible Risk Sharing

Business Model

Greater Transparency in Product Offerings & Investors’ Protection

Robust Risk Management Capability & Capacity

More Extensive Marketplace

Page 44: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ASEAN – NEW MARKET FOCUS

Page 44CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

“Closer to Home”

“Similar Credit Culture”

“Large & Young Population - >50% are below 40 years

old”

Growth Prospects

About 650 million people (3rd largest)

GDP of S2.4 trillion

Sustainable Economic Prospects

(7th largest economy in the world , projected to be 4th

largest economy by 2030)

Rising Middle Income

(Indonesia & Phillippines)

Stable & Growing Financial Industry

(Demand from development of new

infrastructure)

Relatively Low Penetration Rates

Strong Intra-Asean Trade

(USD24 billin 2014)

Cooperation amongst Regulatory Bodies

Integrated Efforts –“ASEAN Community”

Page 45: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

INDONESIA – HUGE POTENTIALS

Page 45CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Sources: EY World Islamic Banking Competitiveness Report 2016

Islamic

banking

penetration

rate

Page 46: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

WAQAF DEVELOPMENT – A NEW POTENTIALS

Page 46

No States Total Waqaf Estimated value of

General Specific land area Waqaf land (RM)

1 Perlis 2.74 14.49 17.23 1,337,998.00

2 Kedah 158.62 1,086.25 1,244.87 1,997.00

3 Pulau Pinang 220.03 559.23 779.26 850,000,000.00

4 Perak 116.12 - 116.12 383.00

5 Selangor 235.63 31.82 267.45 200,000,000.00

6 Wilayah Persekutuan 0.49 1.59 2.08 16.00

7 Negeri Sembilan 1.01 14.49 15.50 36.00

8 Melaka 11.65 21.60 33.25 66.50

9 Johor 1,422.80 1,729.50 3,152.30 7,000,500.00

10 Pahang - 723.82 723.82 18,000,000.00

11 Kelantan 16.01 157.04 173.05 56,703,373.00

12 Terengganu 581.66 1,878.58 2,460.24 42,623,196.19

13 Sabah 2,062.88 32.28 2,095.16 103.00

14 Sarawak 6.86 4.04 10.90 1,416,781.90

Grand total 4,836.50 6,254.73 11,091.23 1,177,084,450.59

Waqaf land area (Hecter)

Total allocation of RM329.16 million was provided under 9MP & 10MP,

JAWHAR has developed 23.771 hecter of Waqaf land in Malaysia

(0.21% of total Waqaf land of 11,091.82 hecter).

Source: JAWHAR

Statistics as of 2014

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 47: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

OUTLOOK – SADAQAH HOUSE (DATO DR ABDUL HALIM ISMAIL)*

Page 47

The formation of Sadaqah House (Bait as-Sadaqah)

In the business of providing products & services to collect various

types of Sadaqah, Waqf, Hibah & etc

It will invest in Islamic banking and financial instruments such as

various types of deposits, investment account, Sukuk and various

investment management products.

Sadaqah House is owned and controlled by the banking group –

financial institution licenced by BNM & SC

But why Sadaqah?

There is famous Hadith on the substance of Sadaqah Jariah

Abu Hurayah Rahimahullah reported that Allah’s Messenger S.A.W

said: “When a human being dies, all of his deeds are terminated

except for three types: an ongoing Sadaqah, a knowledge (of

Islam) from which others benefit, and righteous child who makes

supplication for him”* My Wishful Thought on the development of Islamic Banking and Finance products for the Social Welfare Sector (GIFF 2014)

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 48: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

INDUSTRY BENCHMARK – ISLAMIC BANKING

Page 48CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 49: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

14.2 19.5

23.7 29.5

34.3

Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

RM685.1

million FY2015 PBZT

+8.6% Total Assets

Growth

(Industry : 6.1%)

+16.2% Net Financing

Growth

(Industry : 8.6%)

79.0%Financing-to-

deposits ratio (+IA)

(Industry : 86.5%)

1.09%Gross Impaired

Ratio

(Industry : 1.6%)

PBZT (RM million)

Total assets (RM billion)

Net financing (RM billion)

-0.8% Net Impaired Ratio (Industry : 0.1%)

Page 49

493.0 600.3

683.0 701.2 685.1

Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15

32.2 37.5

42.8 45.849.8

Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 50: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

INCOME STATEMENT

Page 50

RM million FY2015 FY2014Variance

Amount %

Total revenue 2,641.6 2,431.4 210.2 8.6%

Profit to depositors (1,031.9) (851.6) (180.3) 21.2%

Net income 1,609.7 1,579.8 29.9 1.9%

Total operating overheads (837.8) (820.6) (17.2) 2.1%

Operating results 771.9 759.2 12.7 1.7%

Allowance for impairment on financing & advances (69.3) (60.0) (9.3) 15.5%

Allowance for impairment / (reversal) on other financial

assets(4.5) 2.0 (6.5) -325.0%

Finance cost from issuance of sukuk (13.0) - (13.0) -100.0%

Profit before zakat and taxation (PBT) 685.1 701.2 (16.1) -2.3%

Zakat (8.7) (12.8) 4.1 32.0%

Taxation (169.6) (179.4) 9.8 5.5%

Profit after zakat and taxation 506.8 509.0 (2.2) -0.4%

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 51: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

PROFITABILITY

Page 51

492.5

597.4

677.3 702.8

685.7

493.0

600.3

683.0 701.2

685.1

Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec 2015

Profit before zakat and tax

RM million

Group Bank

335.3

506.3 506.5

335.6

167.0 166.6

475.8476.0

323.8322.5

June 2015June 2014June 2013

Mar 2015Mar 2014Mar 2013

150.3 151.5

Sept 2015Sept 2014Sept 2013

529.2529.6

350.3 350.0

173.6 173.5

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 52: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ZAKAT CONTRIBUTIONS

Page 52

-

2,000.00

4,000.00

6,000.00

8,000.00

10,000.00

12,000.00

14,000.00

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

RM 9.34 mil

RM12.0 mil

RM8.070mil

RM 9.4 mil

RM12.46 mil

RM 12.75 mil

RM 8.70 mil

Zakat Paid

…continuous commitment and contribution to the Muslim ummah

Application of

new zakat

calculation

methodology

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 53: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

NET INCOME MARGIN TREND – COMPRESSION CONTINUED

Page 53CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 54: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

KEY FINANCIAL POSITION ITEMS

Page 54

RM million FY2015 FY2014Variance

Amount %

Total Assets 49,767.1 45,829.3 3,937.8 8.6%

of which:

Cash, short-term funds and placements 2,978.3 3,269.1 (290.8) -8.9%

Marketable securities 10,416.3 11,214.4 (798.1) -7.1%

Net financing, advances and others 34,294.7 29,524.6 4,770.1 16.2%

Gross impaired financing 381.3 344.5 36.8 10.7%

Net impaired financing (284.3) (242.6) 41.7 17.2%

Deposits from customers 43,594.9 41,021.6 2,573.3 6.3%

Investment account 676.1 - 676.1 -

Deposits and placements of banks and

other FIs- 300.0 (300.0) 0.0%

Sukuk liabilities 700.0 - 700.0 100.0%

Equity 4,033.1 3,730.6 302.5 8.1%

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 55: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

Page 55

KEY FINANCIAL INDICATORS

Audited FY

Dec 11

Audited FY

Dec 12

Audited FY

Dec 13

Audited

Dec 14

Audited

Dec 15

Islamic

Banking

System

Banking

System

PROFITABILITY

Return on equity (%) – based on PBT 18.5% 20.4% 21.2% 19.9% 17.6% ^ 14.0% * 12.4% *

Return on equity (%) – based on PAT 14.1% 14.6% 15.3% 14.4% 13.1% - -

Return on assets (%) – based on PBT 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.4% ^ 1.0% * 1.3% *

Return on assets (%) – based on PAT 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% - -

Cost Income Ratio (%) 53.8% 51.4% 54.1% 51.9% 52.5% 46.3% * 48.8% *

Non-Fund Based Income Ratio (%) 13.8% 13.5% 12.6% 11.8% 10.4% 6.2% * 17.2% *

ASSET QUALITY

Gross Non-Performing/

Impaired Financing Ratio (%)2.6% 1.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.09% 1.2% # 1.60% #

Net Non-Performing/Impaired

Financing Ratio - Less IA & CA (%)-0.2% -0.7% -0.9% -0.81% -0.83% 0.0% # 0.1% #

Financing Loss Coverage Ratio (%) 106.2% 142.6% 175.8% 170.4% 174.6% 100.5% # 95.6% #

EFFICIENCY

Financing to Deposits (%) 51.5% 61.2% 65.0% 73.4% 78.6% 99.3% # 87.3% #

CAPITALISATION

RWCR (2011-12) –

Total Capital Ratio (2013 onwards) (%)16.4% 13.9% 14.0% 13.3% 15.3% 16.1% # 16.1% #

…healthy capitalisation

… reaching an optimum level

…commendable performance amidst challenging banking landscape

…sound asset quality

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 56: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

RETURN ON EQUITY TREND

Page 56

Excluding BHB Group, the other financial conglomerates operate both Islamic and conventional banking operations

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 57: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

NET INCOME SPREAD

Page 51

5.0

9%

4.1

8%

4.5

8%

4.5

8%

4.5

6%

4.4

7%

4.4

9%

4.8

2%

4.6

0%

4.6

5%

4.8

9%

2.1

3%

1.6

4%

2.0

0%

2.2

2%

2.2

8%

2.5

6%

2.7

7%

2.6

0%

2.6

6%

2.6

5%

3.2

1%

2.96%2.55% 2.58%

2.36% 2.28% 1.91%1.71%

2.22%1.93% 2.00% 1.68%

0%

2%

4%

6%

Bank Islam HSBC SCB MBB CIMB OCBC UOB PBB RHB KFH Affin

5.1

8%

4.2

5%

4.6

4%

4.5

6%

4.4

4%

4.7

0%

4.9

2%

4.7

2%

4.6

8%

4.5

9%

4.9

1%

2.2

0%

1.6

7%

1.9

4%

2.4

0%

2.2

2%

2.8

0%

2.7

8%

2.6

8%

2.8

4%

2.5

2% 3.3

3%

2.98% 2.57% 2.70%2.16% 2.22% 1.90%

2.14% 2.04%1.84% 2.08%

1.58%

0%

2%

4%

6%

Bank Islam HSBC SCB MBB CIMB OCBC UOB PBB RHB KFH Affin

As at 31

December

2013

As at 31

December

2014

5.2

5%

4.3

3%

4.3

7%

4.6

6%

4.5

8%

4.9

7%

4.8

1%

4.8

4%

4.6

7%

4.5

9%

5.0

8%

2.4

7%

1.8

4%

2.1

2%

2.4

6%

2.4

8%

3.0

3%

2.8

8%

2.9

5%

3.0

4%

3.0

0%

3.6

0%

2.78% 2.49% 2.25% 2.19% 2.10% 1.94%1.93% 1.89%

1.62% 1.59% 1.48%

0%

2%

4%

6%

Bank Islam HSBC SCB* MBB CIMB OCBC* UOB* PBB RHB* KFH* Affin*

Average assets rate Average liabilities rate Net income spread

As at 31

December

2015

The above are based on the respective financial institution’s latest financial statements and derived from 2 points average* Position as at September 2015

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 58: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

NON FUND BASED INCOME TREND – BANKING GROUP

Page 52

The above are based on the respective financial institution’s latest financial statements

* Position as at September 2015

HSBC SCB* MBB CIMB UOB* HLB Alliance PBB OCBC* RHB* Bank Islam AmBank Affin*Bank

MuamalatKFH*

Dec 2013 28.97% 23.85% 25.07% 18.59% 17.27% 15.84% 17.47% 12.80% 15.65% 13.81% 12.64% 11.88% 9.71% 10.20% 11.33%

Dec 2014 24.15% 21.70% 22.27% 15.35% 15.23% 11.04% 14.84% 12.70% 12.40% 12.41% 11.82% 9.88% 9.02% 7.83% 4.21%

Dec 2015 28.22% 25.17% 21.96% 17.35% 14.99% 14.26% 14.04% 13.76% 13.30% 11.23% 10.45% 8.99% 7.85% 7.41% 2.09%

28.22%

25.17%

21.96%

17.35%

14.99%

14.26% 14.04% 13.76% 13.30%

11.23% 10.45%

8.99%

7.85% 7.41%

2.09%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 59: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

COST INCOME RATIO TREND – BANKING GROUP

Page 53

The above are based on the respective financial institution’s latest financial statements

* Position as at September 2015

PBB UOB* OCBC* Alliance HSBC MBB Affin* Bank Islam CIMB HLB SCB* AmBank RHB*Bank

MuamalatKFH*

Dec 2013 30.69% 34.85% 39.97% 45.85% 41.62% 48.16% 44.46% 54.12% 54.77% 43.88% 48.11% 41.82% 43.54% 68.99% 80.46%

Dec 2014 30.04% 38.03% 40.76% 45.57% 45.40% 49.17% 45.43% 51.95% 53.05% 43.79% 51.62% 46.56% 48.39% 69.07% 77.33%

Dec 2015 30.54% 39.10% 41.10% 47.53% 48.19% 48.43% 49.83% 52.47% 52.59% 53.46% 53.96% 54.76% 55.41% 62.03% 75.83%

30.54%

39.10%41.10%

47.53% 48.19%48.43% 49.83%

52.47%52.59%

53.46%53.96%

54.76% 55.41%

62.03%

75.83%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Page 60: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

IMPAIRED FINANCING RATIOS – BANKING GROUP

Page 54

The above are based on the respective financial institution’s latest financial statements

*Position as at September 2015

PBB HLB Alliance Bank Islam UOB* AmBank HSBC CIMB MBB RHB* OCBC* Affin*Bank

MuamalatSCB* KFH*

GIF 1,489 1,052 406 345 1,069 1,647 688 4,372 6,234 2,730 1,277 714 403 1,124 527

NIF Ratio -0.14% -0.30% 0.07% -0.82% -0.07% -0.11% 0.15% 0.24% 0.07% 0.70% 0.43% 0.46% 0.39% 1.07% 1.66%

GIF Ratio 0.61% 0.98% 1.14% 1.14% 1.57% 1.89% 1.50% 2.07% 1.52% 1.93% 2.01% 1.78% 3.02% 3.25% 7.40%

1,489 1,052 406 345

1,069 1,647

688

4,372

6,234

2,730

1,277 714 403

1,124 527

-4.00%

0.00%

4.00%

8.00%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

RM mil

As at31 Dec2014

PBB HLB AllianceBankIslam

UOB* AmBank HSBC CIMB MBB RHB* OCBC* Affin*Bank

MuamalatSCB* KFH*

GIF 1,352 1,013 418 381 1,210 1,561 941 4,340 8,555 2,789 1,426 871 340 1,275 537

NIF Ratio -0.10% -0.22% 0.08% -0.83% 0.01% 0.10% 0.52% 0.19% 0.53% 0.78% 0.49% 0.81% 0.44% 0.88% 2.22%

GIF Ratio 0.49% 0.86% 1.08% 1.09% 1.73% 1.80% 1.81% 1.81% 1.86% 1.88% 2.05% 2.11% 2.32% 3.99% 7.46%

1,352 1,013 418 381

1,210 1,561

941

4,340

8,555

2,789

1,426 871 340

1,275 537

-4.00%

0.00%

4.00%

8.00%

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

RM mil

As at 31 Dec 2015

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 61: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

COLLECTIVE IMPAIRMENT PROVISION (CIP) - ISLAMIC BANKS

Page 55

The above CIP ratios are computed based on collective allowance (inclusive of regulatory reserves ) as % of gross financing and advances (excluding financing to Government &

statutory bodies and Restricted Profit Sharing Investment Account “RPSIA” financing), net of individual allowance.

* Position as at September 2015

1.71%

7.46%

2.64%1.93%

1.09%

2.24% 2.32%1.44%

0.61% 0.66% 0.72% 1.05% 0.67% 0.76%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

Affin Islamic* KFH* OCBC Al-Amin*

HSBCAmanah

Bank Islam AmIslamic BankMuamalat

RHB Islamic* SC Saadiq* PublicIslamic

HL Islamic CIMB Islamic MaybankIslamic

AllianceIslamic

Gross Impaired Financing Ratio

36.0 38.0 52.1 48.2

133.8

73.3 35.8 51.1

13.7 15.8 0.1

(2.6)(27.1) (20.8)

-200.0

0.0

200.0

Affin Islamic* KFH* OCBC Al-Amin*

HSBCAmanah

Bank Islam AmIslamic BankMuamalat

RHB Islamic* SC Saadiq* PublicIslamic

HL Islamic CIMB Islamic MaybankIslamic

AllianceIslamic

RM’m

Excess/(shortfall) of CA

1.84% 1.75% 1.70% 1.66% 1.59% 1.48% 1.46% 1.45% 1.40%1.25% 1.20% 1.19% 1.16%

0.90%

0.0%

1.2%

2.4%

Affin Islamic* KFH* OCBC Al-Amin*

HSBCAmanah

Bank Islam AmIslamic BankMuamalat

RHB Islamic* SC Saadiq* PublicIslamic

HL Islamic CIMB Islamic MaybankIslamic

AllianceIslamic

Current CIP

Regulatory reserves

67.2 34.0 137.2 68.7 54.3 61.0 430.2

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 62: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

COLLECTIVE IMPAIRMENT PROVISION (CIP) – BANKING GROUP

Page 56

The above CIP ratios are computed based on collective allowance (inclusive of regulatory reserves ) as % of gross financing and advances (excluding financing to Government &

statutory bodies and Restricted Profit Sharing Investment Account “RPSIA” financing), net of individual allowance

•Position as at September 2015

1.97%1.75%

1.59%1.46% 1.46% 1.44% 1.40% 1.32% 1.27% 1.22% 1.22% 1.21% 1.20% 1.19%

0.85%

0.0%

1.2%

2.4%

SCB* KFH* Bank Islam AmBank BankMuamalat

HSBC UOB* CIMB OCBC* PBB Affin* HLB RHB* MBB Alliance

Current CIP

3.99%

7.46%

1.09% 1.80%2.32%

1.81% 1.73% 1.81% 2.05%

0.49%

2.11%

0.86%

1.88% 1.86%1.08%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

SCB* KFH* Bank Islam AmBank BankMuamalat

HSBC UOB* CIMB OCBC* PBB Affin* HLB RHB* MBB Alliance

Gross Impaired Financing Ratio

239.7 38.0 133.8 213.9

35.8 122.2 142.0 276.5

51.8 57.5 7.1 11.1 5.3

(107.8) (133.5)

-1,000.0

0.0

1,000.0

SCB* KFH* Bank Islam AmBank BankMuamalat

HSBC UOB* CIMB OCBC* PBB Affin* HLB RHB* MBB Alliance

RM’m

Excess/(shortfall) of CA

Regulatory reserves

260.0 284.0 1,019.5 145.0 1,810.8 231.1 463.2 491.5 1,247.5

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 63: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

ASSETS AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2015

Banking

System^

(RM’ bil)

Selected Banking Group

Total Assets 2,355.7 708.3 376.3 363.8 230.7 49.8

Growth (12

mths136.4 68.0 38.7 18.1 11.4 3.9

% Growth 6.1% 10.6% 11.4% 5.2% 8.8% 8.6%

Market

ShareDec 15 30.1% 16.0% 15.4% 9.8% 2.1%

Dec 14 28.4% 15.0% 15.4% 9.9% 2.0%

Page 63

Islamic

Banking

System^

(RM’bil)

Selected Banking Group

Total Assets 535.4 156.4 54.6 49.8 45.7 44.1

Growth (12

mths58.3 20.0 4.7 3.9 7.5 8.0

% Growth 12.2% 14.7% 9.4% 8.6% 19.7% 22.2%

Market

ShareDec 15 29.2% 10.2% 9.3% 8.5% 8.2%

Dec 14 30.1% 10.2% 9.4% 7.8% 7.6%

MBB,

30.1%

CIMB,

16.0%PBB,

15.4%

RHB

Cap

9.8%

Bank

Islam,

2.1%

Others,

26.6%

MBB-i,

29.2%

CIMB-i,

10.2%

Bank

Islam,

9.3%

PBB-i,

8.5%

RHB-i,

7.6%

Others,

34.6%

Islamic Banking System

Banking System

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 64: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

22,357.2

4,116.3 3,518.2

25,634.5

4,787.44,301.5

Consumer Commercial Corporate

Dec 14 Dec 15

In R

M m

illio

n

Gro

ss F

inancin

g In R

M m

illio

n

Steady growth in net financing 16.2% Gross financing growth of 16.1%

ROBUST FINANCING GROWTH

Page 64

14,160.3

19,508.7

23,740.9

29,524.6

34,294.7

Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15

+14.7%

+16.3%+22.3%

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 65: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

CONSUMER FINANCING DRIVEN MAINLY BY HOUSE FINANCING

RM million Dec 15 Dec 14

Growth

Amount %

Housing Financing 12,137.7 9,666.8 2,470.9 25.6%

Personal Financing 10,386.9 9,435.9 951.0 10.1%

Vehicle Financing 2,592.5 2,728.6 (136.1) -5.0%

Credit Card 443.5 435.6 7.9 1.8%

Ar-Rahnu 73.9 90.3 (16.4) -18.2%

Total 25,634.5 22,357.2 3,277.3 14.7%

Page 65CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 66: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

NET FINANCING AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2015

Banking

System^

(RM’bil)

Selected Banking Group

Net

Financing1,423.9 453.5 235.4 271.8 149.6 34.3

Growth –

12mths106.2 50.0 27.5 28.6 8.9 4.8

% Growth 8.1% 12.4% 13.2% 11.8% 6.3% 16.2%

Market

ShareDec 15 31.8% 16.5% 19.1% 10.5% 2.4%

Dec 14 30.6% 15.8% 18.5% 10.7% 2.2%

Page 66

Islamic

Banking

System^

(RM’bil)

Selected Banking Group

Net

Financing384.5 130.2 40.3 34.3 31.7 30.9

Growth –

12mths54.3 22.4 4.0 4.8 6.3 5.6

% Growth 16.4% 20.8% 11.1% 16.2% 24.8% 22.1%

Market

ShareDec 15 33.9% 10.5% 8.9% 8.3% 8.0%

Dec 14 32.6% 11.0% 8.9% 7.7% 7.7%

MBB,

31.8%

CIMB,

16.5%

PBB,

19.1%

RHB,

10.5%

Bank

Islam,

2.4%

Others,

19.7%

MBB-i,

33.9%

CIMB-i,

10.5

Bank

Islam,

8.9%

PBB-i,

8.3%

RHB-i

7.7%

Others,

30.4%

Islamic Banking System

Banking System

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 67: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

GROSS FINANCING - COMPOSITION

Page 67

# Above excludes Corporate Banking

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 68: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

CUSTOMER DEPOSITS & INVESTMENT ACCOUNT

Page 68

Investment accounts have

grown steadily since its

inception in June 2015.

INVESTMENT ACCOUNT

RM Million

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 69: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

DEPOSITS AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2015

Banking

System^

(RM’bil)

Selected Banking Group

Deposits 1,671.1 478.2 263.3 301.2 178.8 43.6

Growth –

12mths29.5 38.6 28.0 24.6 0.3 2.6

% Growth 1.8% 8.8% 11.9% 8.9% 0.2% 6.3%

Market

ShareDec 15 28.6% 15.8% 18.0% 10.7% 2.6%

Dec 14 26.8% 14.3% 16.8% 10.9% 2.5%

Page 69

Islamic

Banking

System^

(RM’bil

Selected Banking Group

Deposits 402.7 105.8 44.2 43.6 39.1 29.5

Growth-

12mths2.0 6.1 2.9 2.6 8.4 2.5

% Growth 0.5% 6.1% 7.1% 6.3% 27.2% 9.2%

Market

ShareDec 15 26.3% 11.0% 10.8% 9.7% 7.3%

Dec 14 24.9% 10.3% 10.2% 7.7% 6.7%

MBB,

28.6%

CIMB,

15.8%

PBB,

18.0%

RHB,

10.7%

Bank

Islam,

2.6%

Others,

24.3%

MBB-i,

26.3%

CIMB-i,

11%

Bank

Islam,

10.8%

PBB-

i9.7%

Am-i,

7.3%

Others,

34.9%

Islamic Banking System

Banking System

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 70: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

DEFENDING CASA DEPOSITS

Page 70

Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15

CASA to Total Deposits (%)

43.4% 41.1% 39.1% 38.1% 35.1%

12,283 13,426 14,566

-2.2%

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 71: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

CASA AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2015

Banking

System^

(RM’bil)

Selected Banking Group

CASA 427.4 161.2 84.1 73.0 37.9 15.3

Growth –

12mths6.6 6.4 7.1 3.8 3.7 (0.3)

% Growth 1.6% 4.1% 9.2% 5.6% 11.0% (2.2%)

Market

ShareDec 15 33.7% 19.7% 17.1% 8.9% 3.6%

Dec 14 36.8% 18.3% 16.4% 8.1% 3.7%

Page 71

Islamic

Banking

System^

(RM’bil

Selected Banking Group

CASA 101.5 29.5 15.3 11.9 9.0 5.6

Growth-

12mths2.0 (2.4) (0.3) 1.8 0.6 0.1

% Growth 2.0% (7.6%) (2.2%) 18.1% 7.4% 1.5%

Market

ShareDec 15 29.0% 15.1% 11.8% 8.9% 5.6%

Dec 14 32.1% 15.7% 10.2% 8.4% 5.6%Islamic Banking System

Banking System

MBB,

33.7%

CIMB,

19.1%

PBB,

17.1%

RHB,

8.9%

Bank

Islam,

3.6% Others,

17%

MBB-i,

29.0%

Bank

Islam,

15.1%CIMB-i,

11.8%

PBB-i,

8.9%

Am-i,

5.6%

Others,

29.6%

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 72: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

CREDIT QUALITY TREND

Page 72

19,949

Gross impaired

financing ratio

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 74: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

INDUSTRY BENCHMARK – INSURANCE & TAKAFUL

Page 74CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 75: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

INDUSTRY BENCHMARK – FAMILY TAKAFUL

Page 75

Gross Contributions (RM million)

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 76: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

FAMILY TAKAFUL INDUSTRY IN MALAYSIA – TOTAL

CONTRIBUTIONS

Page 76CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 77: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

LIFE INSURANCE & FAMILY TAKAFUL INDUSTRY IN MALAYSIA

(TOP 10)

Page 77CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 78: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

INDUSTRY BENCHMARK – GENERAL TAKAFUL

Page 78

Gross Contributions (RM million)

CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 79: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

GENERAL TAKAFUL INDUSTRY IN MALAYSIA – TOTAL

CONTRIBUTIONS

Page 79CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 80: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

TOP 20 GENERAL INSURANCE & GENERAL TAKAFUL COMPANIES

(GROSS)

Page 80CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 81: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

FINANCIAL DYNAMICS – GENERAL NET CLAIMS RATIO

Page 81CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 82: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

FINANCIAL DYNAMICS – MANAGEMENT EXPENSES RATIO

Page 82CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 83: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

FINANCIAL DYNAMICS – RETURN ON EQUITY

Page 83CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016

Page 84: MALAYSIA OUTLOOK OF ISLAMIC FINANCE INDUSTRY

FINANCIAL DYNAMICS – RETURN ON ASSETS

Page 84CIMB – Expert Speaker Roadshow 2016