management presentation...2018/11/01 · (1) source: based on survey of the 10 largest mattress...
TRANSCRIPT
Management
Presentation
A Confidential Presentation
November 2018
Disclaimer
Forward-looking Information
This presentation, including, in particular, under the headings entitled “Stable, long-term growth”, “Key drivers of SSS growth”, “Roadmap to growth – Increase accessories sales”, “Roadmap to growth – Add stores in existing,
satellite and new markets”, “Attractive financial model results in strong cash flow conversion”, “National scale has economic benefits”, “Regional store density adds profitability and barrier to entry”, Select Financial Highlights and
Growth Targets” and “Investment Highlights”, contains forward-looking information and forward-looking statements which reflect the current view of management with respect to the Company’s objectives, plans, goals, strategies,
outlook, results of operations, financial and operating performance, prospects and opportunities. Wherever used, the words “may”, “will”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “estimate”, “expect”, “plan”, “believe” and similar expressions identify
forward-looking information and forward-looking statements. Forward-looking information and forward-looking statements should not be reads as guarantees of future events, performance or results, and will not necessarily be
accurate indications of whether, or the times at which, such events, performance or results will be achieved. All of the information in this presentation containing forward-looking information or forward-looking statements is
qualified by these cautionary statements.
Forward-looking information and forward-looking statements are based on information available to management at the time they are made, underlying estimates, opinions and assumptions made by management and
management’s current good faith belief with respect to future strategies, prospects, events, performance and results, and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties surrounding future expectations generally. Such risks and
uncertainties include, but are not limited to, those described in the Company’s 2017 Annual Information Form (the “AIF”) filed on March 1, 2018. A copy of the AIF can be accessed under the Company’s profile on the System for
Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (SEDAR) at www.sedar.com. Additional risks and uncertainties not presently known to the Company or that the Company currently believes to be less significant may also adversely
affect the Company.
The Company cautions that the list of risk factors and uncertainties described in the AIF is not exhaustive and that should certain risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual
strategies, prospects, events, performance and results may vary significantly from those expected. There can be no assurance that the actual strategies, prospects, results, performance, events or activities anticipated by the
Company will be realized or, even if substantially realized, that they will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, the Company. Readers are urged to consider the risks, uncertainties and assumptions carefully in
evaluating the forward-looking information and forward-looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such information and statements. The Company does not undertake to update any such forward-
looking information or forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable laws.
Non-IFRS Measures and Retail Industry Metrics
The Company prepares its financial statements in accordance with IFRS. In order to provide additional insight into the business, to provide investors with supplemental measures of its operating performance and to highlight
trends in its business that may not otherwise be apparent when relying solely on IFRS financial measures, the Company has also provided in this MD&A certain non-IFRS measures, including “Same Store Sales” or “SSS”,
“EBITDA”, “Operating EBITDA”, “Operating EBITDA Margin”, “Adjusted Net Income” and “Adjusted EPS” each as defined below. These measures are provided as additional information to complement IFRS measures by providing
further understanding of the Company’s results of operations from management’s perspective. Management also uses non-IFRS measures in order to facilitate operating performance comparisons from period to period, to
prepare annual operating budgets and forecasts and to determine components of management compensation. The Company also believes that securities analysts, investors and other interested parties frequently use non-IFRS
measures in the evaluation of issuers.
Readers are cautioned that these non-IFRS measures are not recognized under IFRS and do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS. They are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similarly titled measures
presented by other publicly traded companies. Accordingly, they should not be considered in isolation nor as a substitute for analysis of the Company’s financial information reported under IFRS. See below for further details
concerning how the Company calculates these non-IFRS measures and for reconciliations to the most comparable IFRS measures.
2
Sleep Country
David Friesema Robert Masson Stewart Schaefer
Chief Executive OfficerChief Financial Officer
& Corporate Secretary
Chief Business Development
Officer
3
Investment Highlights
4
The Leading Specialty Mattress Retailer in Canada
Best-in-Class Retailer Driven by Superior Strategy and Execution
Clear Growth Strategy
Attractive Financial Model with Strong Cash Flow Conversion
Compelling Industry Fundamentals
Experienced and Committed Management Team
Industry Fundamentals
Stable – Canadian Market
5
Unit demand in Canada has grown at only 0.6% CAGR over the past 13 years and
0.9% CAGR since 2009. AUSP has driven most of the growth.
Necessity purchase not a fashion item; recurring demand driven by 10-12 year
replacement cycle, so even during an economic downturn sales are typically
deferred and not lost.
Consumer preferences evolving toward premium quality, larger mattresses given
growing health awareness and preference for high-quality sleep.
Price increases due to inflation are typically passed through to consumers.
Canada Mattress and Foundation Wholesale Sales (1)
525.9568.1
605.6 629.8 621.7
551.5 569.1 587.7623.8
661.5 665.2697.5
744.9 761.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
$ CA
D (M
illio
ns)
Wholesale Gross Dollar Value
INCREASE 8.0% 6.6% 4.0% -1.3% -11.3% 3.2% 3.3% 6.1% 6.0% 0.6% 4.9% 6.8% 2.2%
2,518.9 2,672.7
2,781.9 2,915.5 2,916.9
2,540.7 2,652.5
2,762.7 2,822.9 2,885.9 2,894.2 2,822.4 2,878.2 2,720.4
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Uni
ts (T
hous
ands
)
Wholesale Units Shipped
INCREASE 6.1% 4.1% 4.8% 0.0% -12.9% 4.4% 4.2% 2.2% 2.2% 0.3% -2.5% 2.0% -5.5%
206.8 212.6 217.7 216 213.1 217.1 214.6 212.7 221 229.2 229.9247.1
258.8279.7
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Avg
Who
lesa
le S
ellin
g Pr
ice
($CA
D)
Wholesale Average Unit Price
INCREASE 2.8% 2.4% -0.8% -1.3% 1.9% -1.2% -0.9% 3.9% 3.7% 0.3% 7.5% 4.7% 8.1%
(1) Source: Based on survey of the 10 largest mattress manufacturers in Canada.
The Leading Specialty Mattress Retailer in Canada
6(1) Store count as of November 10, 2018
264 stores and 16 distribution centers across 9 provinces (1)
Has opened 126 stores since the beginning of 2007
Only specialty mattress retailer with a national and regionally diverse footprint
Estimated national market share of approx. 25%
BC
AB
SKMB
ONQC
NL
NB
PE
NS
43
34
67
108 1056
Sleep Country's National Footprint (# of stores)
LTM (C$ millions)
Sales $617.6
Operating EBITDA $105.6
Best-in-Class Retailer
Driven by Superior Strategy and Execution
7
“Best-in-Class” Retailer
Strong Brand Recognition
1
Unrivalled In-Store Customer
Experience
2
Highly Trained and Dedicated
Workforce with a Strong
Culture of Customer Service
4Superior Home Delivery
Experience and Ongoing
Customer Relationships
3
Differentiated Strategy has Delivered
Strong Results and Momentum
8
Sleep Country Quarterly Sales Growth (1)
1.3%
9.1%
11.1%
10.2% 10.5%
7.7%
13.4% 12.9%
11.7%12.2%
7.7%
9.6%
11.9%
7.5% 7.3%
9.3%
5.1%
4.4%
0.2%
5.5%
13.1%
14.7%
13.1%12.6%
10.6%
17.7%18.3%
17.1% 17.3%
12.5%
13.7%
15.8%
10.7% 10.1%
13.4%
8.9%
8.2%
4.2%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Same Store Sales Growth Total Sales Growth
(1) Source: Company report. See ‘‘Non-IFRS Measures and Retail Industry Metrics”.
Roadmap to Growth – SSS Growth
9
Increase Traffic
Increased marketing investment
Expand messaging
Increase market share
Increase Conversion of
Shoppers to Buyers
Continued focus on hiring the best people
Additional training initiatives
Higher AUSP Continued shift to higher quality mattresses
Larger sizes are increasing in popularity
Expand Accessory
Sales
Expand and improve product lines
Additional marketing messaging
Enhanced training
Launch of eCommerce channel in May 2017
More details on page 11
Enhanced Store Design
Contemporary design creates bright and welcoming atmosphere
Greater emphasis on accessory displays
More details on page 14
Roadmap to Growth – Expand Accessory Sales
10
$53
$124
2012 2018
Bedframes
Pillows
Mattress pads
Key Accessories Sleep Country Accessories Revenue (1)
(C$ millions)
Sheets
Duvets
Headboards and
Footboards
Opportunity to capture market share in an estimated $0.8 to $1 Billion
highly fragmented yet addressable market in Canada
16.0% CAGR
(1) Source: Company Report
eCommerce with Mattress In-A-Box and Accessories
11
Drive NEW TRAFFIC by
targeting a different
demographic.
Provide our customers with a
SEEMLESS EXPERIENCE
across both channels. Continue to DRIVE TRAFFIC to
our stores.
The creation of a new
REVENUE channel.
Bloom, our exclusive collection of Mattress In-A-Box
that ships for FREE right to your door…
12
$995 $795
$595 $395
Online Accessory Expansion
Testing new accessory product categories online before rolling them out to our stores
13
Throws Robes
Snap Beds Throws
Roadmap to Growth – Enhanced Store Design
14
As of November 10th, 140 stores representing 53% of our total stores are in our enhanced store design, which continue to
achieve higher SSS growth relative to our legacy stores.
Roadmap to Growth – Add New Stores
15
10
13
5
13
11
12
17
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018*
Store Growth
Significant white space is available given our low store density
Target to open at least 17 stores in 2018 and 8 to 12 new stores per year thereafter
Modest net new store investment of approximately $400,000 comprising of capex and working capital investment
Typically, new in-fill and satellite stores are cash flow positive within 6 and 12 months, respectively
Average
11.6
* Full year guidance 2018.
Attractive Financial Model – Recent Results
16
Sales momentum driving increasing EBITDA
Strong historical sales growth through new store openings and same store sales growth
$332.6 $353.9
$396.1
$456.2
$523.8
$588.0 $617.6
$-
$100.0
$200.0
$300.0
$400.0
$500.0
$600.0
$700.0
FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 2018 LTM
Total Sales
38.4 39.4
50.6
69.1
85.0
99.8
105.6
11.5%11.1%
12.8%
15.2%
16.2%
17.0% 17.1%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM
Operating EBITDA
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
Attractive Financial Model – Low Capital Expenditure Model
17
Maintenance capital expenditures have averaged 1% of revenue from 2012 to 2018
Sleep Country Maintenance and Growth Capital Expenditures (% of sales) (1)
1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1%
1.5% 1.9%
1.3%
2.4% 2.5%
4.1% 2.9%
2.9% 3.1%
1.8%
3.2% 3.5%
4.9%
3.9%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q3 2018
Maintenance Growth
(1) Source: Company Report
Attractive Financial Model – Strong New Store Economics
18(1) Based on 2017 gross profit margin after taking in to account 3rd party finance charges and mattress recycling cost.
Stores Generate Cash on Cash Payback < 1.5 Years
Representative New Store Investment
($ in thousands)
Average
Investment
Buildout and Equipping Cost Floor
Sample Inventory
$430
50
Less: Tenant Reimbursement
480
(80)
Cash Requirement, Net $400
New Store Results
($ in thousands) Year 1
Sales $1,200 - $1,500
Store 4-Wall Profitability(1)
% of Sales
$334 - $417
27.80%
Annual Cash on Cash Return 83% -104%
Store 4-wall profitability drives improving leverage over market-level costs as store penetration increases
Attractive Financial Model – Conservative Leverage
19(1) Based on 2017 gross profit margin after taking in to account 3rd party finance charges and mattress recycling cost.
Capital structure provides financial flexibility to grow the business, while providing returns to shareholders
(C$ millions) As at September 30, 2018
Revolving Credit Facility $102.3
Finance Leases $3.3
Total Long Term Debt $105.6
Less: Cash on Hand ($32.9)
Net Debt $72.7
Net Debt / LTM Operating EBITDA 0.7x
Outstanding Lease Liabilities $211.9
Net Debt / EBITDAR 2.0x
Attractive Financial Model – Strong Free Cash Flow
20(1) Based on last 12 months ended September 30, 2018.
(2) Pro-forma based on year to date September 30, 2018.
(3) Pro-forma based on 26.8% tax rate.
Negative working capital model, quick ROI on new stores and low leverage provides flexibility for
investments and return to shareholders
As at September 30, 2018(C$ millions)
Operating EBITDA(1) 105.6
CAPEX(1) 25.0
Interest(2) 4.1
Taxes(3) 23.4
Free Cash Flow available for dividends 53.1
Number of shares outstanding 37.06 million
Dividend - $0.185 per quarter 27.4
Payout Ratio 51.69%
Select Financial Highlights(1)
21(1) See “Non-IFRS Measures and Retail Industry Metrics”.
(2) Excludes SG&A expenses added back in the reconciliation of EBITDA to Operating EBITDA.
(C$ million unless otherwise stated) 2016 2017 Q3 2017 Q3 2018
Revenue $523.8 $588.0 $176.2 $183.9
Same Store Sales Growth 10.0% 8.8% 7.3% 0.2%
Net New Stores 11 12 2 4
Gross profit $151.4 $175.0 $58.4 $62.2
Gross Margin 28.9% 29.8% 33.2% 33.8%
General & Administration Expenses(2) $66.4 $75.1 $22.6 $24.5
% of Sales 12.7% 12.8% 12.8% 13.3%
Operating EBITDA $85.0 $99.9 $35.8 $37.7
Operating EBITDA Margin 16.2% 17.0% 20.3% 20.5%
Adjusted Net Income $51.1 $61.9 $23.6 $24.7
Adjusted Earning per Share 1.36 1.65 0.63 0.67
Proven Management Team committed to growing the business
and shareholder value
22
MemberYears at
Sleep Country
Relevant
ExperienceBiography
Dave Friesema
Chief Executive Officer
20+ 20+ Held numerous senior positions at Sleep Country including Head of Sales, General Manager and Chief
Operating Officer
Chairman of the Better Sleep Council Canada
Helped establish and manage mattress retail organizations in the United States
Robert Masson
Chief Financial Officer and Corporate
Secretary
5 20+ Chief Financial Officer of Second Cup from 2009 to 2013
Prior to joining Sleep Country, Robert had extensive management experience with several other public
and private companies including, IBM Canada, Manchuwok, Ernst & Young, Deloitte & Touche and
Sappi
Stewart Schaefer
President, Dormez-vous?
Chief Business Development Officer
12 20+ Founded Dormez-vous? in 1994; grew the business to five stores before being acquired by Sleep
Country in 2006
In 1992, co-founded Heritage Classic Beds, a distributor of metal beds
Commodity Broker in Chicago from 1986 to 1992, later returning to Montreal to work at Dean Witter
Reynolds and Refco Futures
Dave Howcroft
Chief Sales Officer
20+ 20+ Created programs to consistently build, develop and motivate a first-class sales team
Instrumental in developing and implementing various sales workshops, training programs and sales
processes
Sieg Will
Senior Vice President, Operations
17 20+ Instrumental in development and implementation of standard operating policies and procedures across
organization
Held senior positions with Canadian Tire and PepsiCo in the sales, operations and account management
areas
Eric Solomon
Senior Vice President, Merchandising and
Marketing
20+ 20+ Instrumental in growing the business by increasing "top-of-mind" brand awareness
Provides oversight to the marketing department
Stephen Gunn
Founder & Co-Chair
20+ 20+ Co-founded Sleep Country in 1994
Co-founded and was President of Kenrick Capital, a private equity firm
Management Consultant at McKinsey and Company from 1981 to 1987
Serves on the Board of Directors of Dollarama, Golfsmith International, Cara and Mastermind Toys
Christine Magee
Founder & Co-Chair
20+ 20+ Co-founded Sleep Country in 1994
Senior Manager of Corporate and Commercial Lending with National Bank from 1985 to 1994
Serves on the Board of Directors of Sirius XM Canada, Trillium Health Partners and the Advisory Board
of the Ivey School of Business
Investment Highlights
23
Compelling Industry
Fundamentals
North American mattress and foundation industry is characterized by stable, long-term growth and a high degree of resiliency to economic swings
Industry demand driven by essential nature of product and replacement cycle of 10-12 years
Shift in consumer preference towards larger size mattresses and premium quality products
Consumers have shifted preference towards specialty mattress retailers due to big-ticket nature of mattress purchase and lack of consumer product knowledge
Low vulnerability to online competition and showrooming due to highly tactile purchase decision,
The Leading Specialty
Mattress Retailer in
Canada
Only specialty mattress retailer in Canada with a national and regionally diverse footprint
National footprint of 259 stores and 16 distribution centres across 9 provinces
Leading specialty mattress retailer with an estimated national market share of 25%
Best-in-Class Retailer
Driven by Superior
Strategy and Execution
Largest share of customer visits across Canada driven by “top-of-mind” unaided brand awareness and 20-year advertising investment
Unrivalled in-store customer experience drives high conversion of sales, repeat business and superior sales per associate metrics
Superior home delivery experience and ongoing customer relationships drives high customer satisfaction, repeat sales and word-of-mouth advertising
Highly trained and dedicated workforce with a strong culture of customer service
Convenient and highly visible locations
Clear Growth Strategy
Strong same store sales growth(1) potential driven by increased mattress and accessories sales growth and continued implementation of enhanced store design
Opportunity to open 8-12 net new stores per year in existing, satellite and new markets
Operating leverage on sales growth through highly scalable centralized support infrastructure
Selectively consider strategic acquisitions that are accretive and enhance market opportunities
Attractive Financial
Model with Strong
Cash Flow Conversion
National scale creates economic advantages
Regional scale optimizes economics on a per-store basis
Negative working capital operating model facilitated by "just in time" inventory relationship with suppliers, funds growth
Low capital expenditure requirements due to asset-light business model (~1.0% maintenance capex requirements)
Compelling new store economics with cash payback of less than 1.5 years
Experienced and
Committed
Management Team
Highly experienced management team with proven track record
On average 15+ years of experience with Sleep Country and 20+ years of relevant industry experience
Proven track record of success as a public company
Co-founders remain committed to the business and its long-term success
Description of Non-IFRS Measures and Retail Industry Matrix
24
This presentation makes reference to certain non-IFRS measures including:
“AUSP” is defined as the average unit selling price of a mattress and foundation set.
“EBITDA” is defined as net earnings (loss) from continuing operations before: (i) net interest expense and other financing charges; (ii) income taxes; (iii) depreciation of property, plant and
equipment; and (iv) amortization of other assets.
“Conversion” is defined as the number of customers who entered a store and made a purchase divided by the total number of customers who entered the store (expressed as a
percentage).
“Operating EBITDA” is defined as EBITDA adjusted for: (i) reduction in management bonuses; (ii) reduction in management compensation; (iii) certain non-recurring items (shareholder
reorganization, professional fees and customer deposit breakages and other provision); and (iv) share based compensation.
“Same Store Sales” or “SSS” is a non-IFRS measure used in the retail industry to compare sales derived from established stores over a certain period compared to the same period in the
prior year. SSS helps to explain what portion of revenue growth can be attributed to growth in established stores and what portion can be attributed to the opening of the stores. SCC
calculates SSS as the percentage increase or decrease in sales of stores opened for at least 12 complete months relative to the same period in the prior year.
“Adjusted Net Income from Continuing Operations” is used by SCC to assess its operating performance. Adjusted net income from continuing operations is defined as net income (loss)
from continuing operations adjusted for:
• share-based compensation.
“Adjusted EPS” is defined as adjusted net income from continuing operations attributable to the common shareholders of the Company divided by weighted average number of shares
issued and outstanding during the period.
These measures are not recognized measures under IFRS and do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS. They are therefore unlikely to be comparable to similarly titled
measures presented by other publicly traded companies. Accordingly, they should not be considered in isolation nor as a substitute for analysis of the Company’s financial information
reported under IFRS. For further details concerning how the Company calculates these non-IFRS measures and for reconciliations to the most comparable IFRS measures, please see the
Company's most recent management's discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operation filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities and available on SEDAR at
www.sedar.com.
Thank you
Q&A