managerial effort incentives and market collusion cécile aubert university of bordeaux (gretha) and...

22
Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop – June 13, 2008

Upload: mary-reid

Post on 28-Mar-2015

218 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion

Cécile AubertUniversity of Bordeaux (GREThA)

and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA)

CLEEN Workshop – June 13, 2008

Page 2: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Main idea

• The objectives of owners and those of decision-makers within a firm may not be aligned.

• Obtaining high profits without “misbehaving” (e.g., colluding) requires more effort from managers (and high executives) – which is costly.

• When effort is private information, managers may substitute effort and collusive behavior.

• Does this faciliate collusion? Can it be prevented by “honnest” shareholders?

• What impact for antitrust enforcement?

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 3: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Internal conflicts of interests

• Fraud is widespread even at top level (cf. Price Waterhouse Cooper, 2008).

- Shareholders cannot fully control top executives;

- Yet they may also be able to induce misbehavior with highly demanding targets and incentive wages.

• This applies to many types of misbehavior, including collusion.

Impact for cartel deterrence and liability? Examine the impact of antitrust tools along the way.

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 4: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Some issues in cartel deterrence

1. New versions of Leniency Programs (LP) (1993 in the US, 1996, 2002 and 2006 in the EU): apparently quite successful.

• LPs distinguish corporate and individual leniency. Most of the economic literature has focused on corporate LPs (e.g., Motta and Polo, 2003, Spagnolo, 2004, Aubert, Rey and Kovacic, 2006, Harrington, 2008,…).

• What is the exact role of an individual LP?

• In the US, the use of effective internal compliance programs grants a reduction in liability.

• One must open “a little” the black box of the “firm”.

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 5: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Some issues in cartel deterrence

2. Aubert, Rey and Kovacic (2006) suggest rewards for informed employees reporting evidence as to collusion. What if the informed employee is the decision-maker? Perverse incentives?

3. Desirability of jail sentences? Traditionally viewed as inefficient by economists, although some practitioners see them as quite effective (e.g., Hammond, 2005). Wills (2006).

4. Is managerial disqualification (as imposed in the UK) useful (given that managers in colluding firms may be compensated for this risk?).

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 6: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Some literature on managerial incentives and collusion

• Spagnolo (2000, 2005) has shown how particular, usual, incentive schemes for managers (stocks, bonus plans, etc.) can help sustain collusion even at very low discount factors.

• Chen (2008) studies how delegation to an agent can improve a cartel’s sustainability.

• Here, different issue: interplay between market conduct and effort incentives moral hazard on two variables.

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 7: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Outline

1. The model

2. Benchmarks

3. Managers’ incentives under asymmetric information

4. Antitrust instruments

5. Conclusion

Remark: abstract from moral considerations, and from

coordination issues between firms.

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 8: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

1. The model

• N firms are on the same market.

• In each firm, shareholders offer a (non observable) incentive wage w to a manager (or top executive).

• In each period, the manager privately chooses

- the firm’s market conduct K (K = C, M, D),

- and his own effort e (e in [0,1]). Effort e costs him a disutility (e) ((.) strictly convex).

• The manager can quit in any period few punishment opportunities. Penalty P if antitrust intervention and shareholders can prove managerial misbehavior?

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 9: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

The model: Timing

• In each period,

1. Managers first choose whether to meet and communicate on to a collusive agreement (if one refuses, competition). Communication leaves evidence.

2. Each manager is free to implement the collusive agreement, or deviate. He chooses market conduct and effort.

A°: after a deviation, all firms revert to competition forever (harshest possible punishment).

• The game is repeated infinitely.

Discount factor: for managers, s for shareholders

(if managers stay for short periods, incentive issues are reinforced).

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 10: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

• Profits strictly in e and are

K(e) if all firms have chosen the same K,

K(e), for K=M,D, if one of the other firms has chosen D.

If several firms deviate, competition: D(e) = C(e).

One has D(e) > M(e) > C(e) (= D(e)) > M(e).

• Special case: No direct interaction between effort and collusion

K = e + K with D > M > C = 0.

(e.g., effort affects fixed costs).

The model: Profits

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 11: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

• The antitrust authority (AA) investigates and finds evidence of collusion with probability .

• AA imposes a fine F on convicted firms, and possibly a personal fine or jail sentence J on managers in convicted firms (if personal liability).

• It can also offer

- reduced penalties f (< F) to corporate informants in a corporate Leniency Program (LP) and j (<J) to individual informants, in an individual LP,

- rewards r to individual informants in a Whistleblowing Program (WP).

The model: Antitrust intervention

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 12: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

2. Benchmarks:Full information

• Shareholders impose

e = e* s.t. ’(e*) = 1 (whatever K),

w = (e*) + u

with u = J, if personal liability + K = M,D, (e.g., bonus / parachute if leave after AA case),

and u = 0 otherwise.

• Colluding is profitable if M – F – u > C

and sustainable if

Personal liability the profitability of collusion.

]0)[(1

][

uFMs

sMD

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 13: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Benchmark: Unobservable effort

and K are observable so is e.

• Shareholders want competition: No incentive issue.

• Shareholders want collusion: Incentive issue = “false deviation from others”: the manager gains in the short run (if small) by choosing e s.t. e + M = e* = (e*,M).

Here limited punishment opportunities (0 at most). A colluding firm should pay an information rent: w > w* = (e*), with w s.t.

Extra cost of collusion in each period:

*)(1

)*( ewe M

)*(1 Me

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 14: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Benchmark: Unobservable market conduct

• As and e are observable, so is K.

• Under collusion, shareholders must compensate the agent in case of individual liability, as under full information.

In the absence of moral hazard with respect to effort, moral hazard w.r.t. collusion decisions has no impact (this might not hold if non-deterministic link between and K).

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 15: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

3. Managers’ incentives under moral hazard

• A°: both K and e are private information of the manager.

• Case 1: shareholders want to induce collusion:

The logic of incentive constraints is similar to the benchmark cases: the manager must exert additional effort if he competes instead of colluding.

If there is individual leniency (and legal protection so P =0 then), an incentive constraint arises:

A manager would report his information if

01

)(1

)(

MM

MM

ewJew

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 16: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Managers’ incentives: Inducing collusion (2)

• To prevent information reports, shareholders should offer

which is benchmark wage (information rent).

• If in addition managerial disqualification, should be replaced by u = (1 – ).

Individual leniency and managerial disqualification are complements and make collusion less profitable.

J

ew MM )(

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 17: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Managers’ incentives: Inducing competition (1)

• Case 2: shareholders want to induce competition:

• The manager can save on effort by colluding instead.

• But if antitrust intervention, penalty P from shareholders, and J if individual liability.

Let u = J with individual liability, u = 0 otherwise. Participation constraint + incentive compatibility constraint (we neglect here incentives to deviate):

))(1()()(

))1(1(:

)(:

uPee

wIC

ewPCMCC

C

CC

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 18: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Inducing competition (2)

• If the incentive compatibility constraint (IC) does not bind, eC = e*, and moral hazard has no cost.

This is more likely if P large, and if there is individual liability with J large.

• If the IC is more stringent than participation, shareholders eC to the gain of misbehaving: eC < e*.

Due to double moral hazard, competition becomes less efficient:

(note that eC with )

Introduction – Model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

)(')1(1

)1)(1(1)(' MCC ee

Page 19: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

4. Antitrust instruments

• Shareholders choice: Compare collusive profits with competitive profits, and check sustainability.

• When managers have incentives to collude rather than compete, the lower effort necessary to induce competition makes collusion more attractive.

• Individual liability- makes it more likely that competition is efficient,- and increases the costs of collusion.

• Leniency programs reinforce incentives to deviate

- directly (corporate version)

- but also via managerial compensation (no need to compensate the manager for individual liability when deviation).

Introduction – The model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 20: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Whistleblowing programs

• Under collusion: Impact even under full information on e and K:

w = (e*) + r(1 – ) with r = antitrust bonus to informants.

If the firm deviates, the manager will ask for the full reward r ( complementarity LP / WP as shareholders will not pay r if deviation + LP).

Let u = f if LP, u = F otherwise. Collusion is sustainable if

• Under competition: Perverse incentives if asym. information on K? Limit rewards size?

• Reputation issues. Denouncing is highly visible + not easily justifiable as “in the interests of the firm”.

)]1([1

)](),min[(

rFrFrFu Ms

sMD

Introduction – The model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 21: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Direct interactions between effort and collusion

We have seen an interplay between effort and market conduct even when they are technically independent.

If the impact of effort increases with quantities, effort incentives make deviations more attractive.

To induce collusion, shareholders must induce a lower effort. The costs of collusion entail lower efficiency.

This technical interdependence is more favorable to cartel deterrence than the one studied here. The main effects highlighted remain however.

Introduction – The model – Benchmarks – Managers – Antitrust – Conclusion

Page 22: Managerial Effort Incentives and Market Collusion Cécile Aubert University of Bordeaux (GREThA) and Toulouse School of Economics (LERNA) CLEEN Workshop

Conclusion

• Individual liability and more frequent antitrust intervention both improve cartel deterrence and internal incentives with competition.

• Individual leniency has an ambiguous impact.

• Managerial disqualification is beneficial when coupled with individual leniency. And managers convicted of collusive behavior should not be allowed to receive golden parachutes.

• Whistleblowing programs may raise new incentive issues, yet reputation concerns are likely to mitigate these (as well as the efficiency of the WP…).

• Longer employment duration facilitates both collusion and efficient competition.

• Employees may not quite know what is illegal (compliance programs?).

Introduction – The model – Benchmarks – Managers – Shareholders – Conclusion