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    University of Siegen

    Managerial Economics

    PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin

    University of Siegen

    Spring 2013

    http://www.hagen-bobzin.de/vorlesungen/index.html

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 1/111

    Contents

    EconomicsThe Economic Problem

    Market Economy

    Managerial Economics

    Demand Analysis

    Preferences

    Constraints

    Utility Maximization

    Consumer Behavior

    Supply Analysis

    Production Theory

    Cost Theory

    Profit Maximization

    Behavior of Firms

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    Contents

    Market Analysis

    Market Equilibrium

    Market Structure

    Economic Policy

    Strategic Behavior of Firms

    Interaction with Customers

    Interaction with Competitors

    Interaction with the Government

    Risk and Uncertainty

    Investment Behavior

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 3/111

    References

    Dobbs, I. M. (2000), Managerial Economics: Firms, Markets, and

    Business Decisions, Oxford : University Press.

    Froeb, L. M., McCann, B. (2010), Managerial Economics: A Problem

    Solving Approach, 2nd ed., Cincinnati, OH : South-Western.

    Hirschey, M. (2009), Fundamentals of Managerial Economics, 9. ed.,

    Cincinnati : South-Western.

    Jones, T. (2004), Business Economics and Managerial Decision Making,

    Chichester : John Wiley.

    Varian, H. R. (2005), Intermediate Microeconomics, 7. ed., New York :

    Norton.

    Webster, T. J. (2003), Managerial Economics: Theory and Practice,

    Amsterdam : Academic Press.

    Wilkinson, N. (2005), Managerial Economics: A Problem-Solving

    Approach, Cambridge : Cambridge University.

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    1Economics1.1The Economic Problem

    Economics

    The Economic Problem

    Market Economy

    Managerial Economics

    Demand Analysis

    Preferences

    Constraints

    Utility Maximization

    Consumer Behavior

    Supply Analysis

    Production Theory

    Cost Theory

    Profit Maximization

    Behavior of Firms

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 5/111

    1Economics1.1The Economic Problem

    The economic problemis a quantitative conflict:

    scarce resources including environment (factors of production) =

    scarcityof goods (commodities and services)

    Scarcity contradicts unlimited needs!

    This trade-off requires decision making:

    alternative usage of scarce resources = opportunity cost(give up

    benefits of alternatives)

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    1Economics1.1The Economic Problem

    Economic Agents

    Decision Makers(Economic Agents)

    households/consumers firms/producers state/government/ society

    economic

    plans: consumption

    : savings: supply of labor

    : demand forresources

    : investment: supply of goods

    : materialinfrastructure

    : set, control,enforce rules

    : supply of moneytargets utility maximization profit maximization : serving collective

    needs: income

    redistribution: operational money

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    1Economics1.2Market Economy

    Market Price Mechanism

    In amarket economyall actors (players),

    : households or consumers,

    : firms or producers, and

    : the government,

    form their individual economic plans on the basis of selfish interests.

    The division of labor requires that the actors interact on markets:

    : factor markets,

    : goods markets.

    The coordination of economic plans is made by the market price

    mechanism.

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    1Economics1.2Market Economy

    Circular Flows of Income

    : factor markets

    : goods markets

    households firms

    factor services

    consumption goods and services

    production goods

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    1Economics1.3Managerial Economics

    Managerial Economics

    Managerial Economics

    : Application of economic methods in the managerial decision

    process: Quantitative methods (numerical analysis, statistical estimation)

    : Firms point of view (e.g., game theory)

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    1Economics1.3Managerial Economics

    Managerial Economics

    Firms are major economic institutions in market economies.

    Common characteristics:

    : Owners (e.g., shareholders)

    : Managers (executing and organizing units)

    : Pool of resources (inputs): labor incl. skills and competences: physical capital, and: financial capital

    : Organizational structure

    (cf. new institutional economics: governance structure)

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 11/111

    1Economics1.3Managerial Economics

    Managerial Economics

    Owners, managers and workers may have different objectives

    : profit vs. revenue maximization (Baumol, 1959), see p. 56.: short vs. long run targets: difficulties in performance assessment (principal agent problems,

    moral hazard etc.)

    Examples:: corporations including share holders and managers: wage bargaining between labor unions and management

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    1Economics1.3Managerial Economics

    Managerial Economics

    Overall assessment of firms by markets:

    : factor cost: value of resources used up: revenue: value of generated goods (commodities and services): profit revenue cost: decision regarding firms via markets

    : pofit 0: stay at the market, go on with activities: pofit < 0: leave the market

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 13/111

    2Demand Analysis

    Demand Analysis

    EconomicsThe Economic Problem

    Market Economy

    Managerial Economics

    Demand Analysis

    Preferences

    Constraints

    Utility Maximization

    Consumer Behavior

    Supply Analysis

    Production Theory

    Cost Theory

    Profit Maximization

    Behavior of Firms

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    2Demand Analysis2.1Preferences

    Objective.

    Explain how consumers make choices (consumer behavior)

    People perceive a lack of many things and they have the desire to

    correct this situation wantsand needsHouseholds consume baskets of commodities and services (goods) to

    satisfy their needs.

    Preferencesof a person explain how the person assesses alternative

    consumption bundles(x1,x2).

    Example: (x1,x2) (x1,x2

    )means that(x1,x2)is not worse than

    (x1

    ,x2

    ).

    The well-being induced by consumption is calledutility.

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    2Demand Analysis2.1Preferences

    Utility Function

    Theutility function u(x1,x2)is a mathematical tool indicating the utility

    level or degree of satisfaction resulting from the consumption bundle

    (x1,x2).

    Remark: It can be shown that a continuous utility function exists if the

    preferences hold good the following conditions:

    1. Reflexivity: x

    xfor all x

    2. Completeness: [x x orx x] for everyx= x

    3. Transitivity: [x x and x x] = x x

    4. Continuity: All sets {x| x x} are closed.

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    2Demand Analysis2.1Preferences

    Utility Function

    Graphical representation of a utility function U= u(x1,x2)and of

    indifference curves; anindifference curvedescribes all consumption

    bundels yielding the same utility level (similar to contour lines of a hill).

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    2Demand Analysis2.1Preferences

    Marginal Utility

    Holdingx2 fixed (here x 2andx2 ) and varying x1, we gain other cuts ofthe graph of the utility function.

    marginal utilityofx1 = u(x1,x

    2)

    x1

    U

    x1(x2 fixed)

    1. Gossens Law: the increments of utility decrease (or diminishing

    marginal utility)

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    2Demand Analysis2.1Preferences

    Marginal Utility

    Consuming more of both commodities, i.e. (x1, x2), indicates that

    the utility level is increased byU. In reality, however, we cannot

    measureUnumerically, but we knowU> 0.

    Rule of thumb: the more we consume, the better we feel, the higherthe utility level is.

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    2Demand Analysis2.1Preferences

    Marginal Utility

    Analyticsregarding the utility function U=u(x1,x2):

    ComputeUwhen varying x1 and x2by discrete amountsx1and

    x2, respectively.

    Thetotal diffentialrefers to infinitesimally small changes:

    dU= u

    x1dx1+

    u

    x2dx2

    Movements along an indifference curve require dU= 0as the utilitylevel is constant! Such movements describe a substitution process (give

    dx2to get dx1).

    dx1 =u/x2

    u/x1dx2

    The fraction of marginal utilities is calledmarginal rate of substitution.

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    2Demand Analysis2.1Preferences

    Opportunity Cost

    Themarginal rate of substitution (MRS) dx2/dx1denotes the

    (negative) slope of an indifference curve at some point.

    x1

    x2

    P

    Q

    RS

    U= u(x1,x2)= konst.

    xa2x1 > xb2x1

    > xc2x1

    x1x1x1

    xa2

    xb2

    xc2

    The graph indicatesdiminishing MRS: the relative scarcity ofx2

    increases with each additional unit x1 ( P Q R S).The forced waiver ofx2 for additional units ofx1 is calledopportunity

    cost.

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    2Demand Analysis2.1Preferences

    Total Differential

    Mathematical Results

    : utility function: U=u(x1,x2)

    : marginal utilities: u(x1,x2)

    x1and

    u(x1,x2)

    x2

    : total differential: dU= u

    x1

    dx1+ u

    x2

    dx2

    : indifference curve: U= const. or dU=0

    : marginal rate of substitution: MRS =dx2

    dx1=

    u/x2

    u/x1

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    2Demand Analysis2.2Constraints

    Budget Constraint

    Household would like to climb on top of the utility mountain, but in

    reality they cannot go as far as they want to.

    What situations are feasible?: restricted amount of money/income (budget constraint)

    y p1x1+ p2x2 (income expenditure)

    : time constraint (e.g., working/leisure time per day)

    : family, mobility etc.

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 23/111

    2Demand Analysis2.2Constraints

    Budget Constraint

    Budget line

    y= p1x1+ p2x2 x2 = y

    p2

    p1

    p2x1

    Parametric variations (effects on the budget line)

    x1

    x2p1

    x1

    x2p2

    x1

    x2y

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    2Demand Analysis2.3Utility Maximization

    Utility Maximization(no technical analytics here)

    Find the most preferred situation (commodity bundle (x1, x2)) among

    all feasible actions determined by a given budget!

    maxx1,x2

    {u(x1,x2)| y p1x1+ p2x2, x1 0,x2 0}

    x1

    x2

    x2

    x1

    U

    Theoptimum consumption bundle( x1, x2)(demand)depends besides

    preferences on the commodity prices p1, p2 and the income y.

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Varying the parameters (p1,p2,y) of the utility maximization problem

    forces the houshold to adjust its consumption according to the new

    situation and its preferences.

    Thebehavior of householdscan now be described by (Marshallian)

    demand functions

    xD1 (p1, p2,y) and x

    D2 (p1, p2,y).

    In what follows we practice aceteris paribus analysis, that is we vary

    one parameter (e.g., p1) while holding the others (i.e. p2and y) fixed.

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Price Consumption Curves

    price consumption curve (PCC): p2 = x1,x2 ?

    All geometric points of household optima when varying one price.

    : p2 = x2 (usual case)

    p2 = x2 possible (Giffen good)

    : p2 = (x2 = ) x1 (substitutes)p2 = (x2 = ) x1 (complements)

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Demand Curve

    graphical derivation of ademand curve xD1 (p1, p2,y)

    x1

    x2

    p1 > p1 > p

    1

    p1

    p1

    p1

    y

    p1

    y

    p1

    y

    p1

    x1

    p1

    Law of demand:

    p1 = xD1

    (almost always)

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Income Consumption Curves

    Income consumption curve (ICC): y = x2 ?

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Income Consumption Curves

    Criticism of indifference curve analysis

    : No explaination how preferences are formed or changed.

    : Consumers frequently do not behave rationally but they use rules

    of thumb or follow their instincts.

    : Consumers do not make marginal calculations explicitly. One may

    argue, however, that the results are reasonable approximations.

    : Consumers are not sufficiently well informed to make rational

    choices between products (cost of information).: A hierarchy of needs with some goods being more important than

    others is difficult to implement (lexicographic ordering).

    : Utility functions may not be independent and one consumers

    utility may be influenced by the actions of another (cf. income

    distribution below, external effects).

    : Refinements of theory not presented here.

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Aggregation

    Individual demand functionsfor every householdh = 1,,H

    xDjh = xDjh (p1,,pj,, pn,yh )

    Market demand functionsfor every good jare derived byaggregation:

    xDj = xDj1(p1,,pn,y1)+ +x

    DjH(p1,, pn,yH)

    Caveat:

    The market demand functions depend on the distribution of income

    among households. We ignore this problem here and note simply

    xDj = xDj (p1,, pn )

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Aggregation

    Graphical aggregationof the demand for commodity jregarding twohouseholds.

    Note: Only the first households demand is positive above the upper

    dashed line.

    Note: Ifpj = xDjh for all households, we obtain the law of

    demandfor the whole market; pj = xDj .

    Note: different results for price discimination, see p. 83.

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Elasticities

    : Elasticitiesdenote the relative (or percentage) change of a variable

    y(effect) in response to the relative change of an independent

    variable x (reason)

    xy =

    y/y

    x/x

    dy

    dx

    x

    y =

    rel. change ofy

    rel. change ofx

    : own price elasticityx1p1 = dx1

    dp1

    p1

    x1

    : cross price elasticityx1p2 = dx1

    dp2

    p2

    x1

    : income elasticityx1y = dx1

    dy

    y

    x1

    As firms do not know the preferences of their customers, they have toobserve their behavior (revealed preferences) and to forecast their

    reaction by estimated elasticities refer to market demand functions.

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Elasticities

    Example: a linear price-demand function p= a bx

    price elasticityxp = dx

    dp

    p

    x=1

    a

    bx

    x

    p

    xp =0

    totally price inelastic

    x

    p

    xp =

    totally price elastic

    x

    p

    ab

    a2b

    xp =

    xp = 1

    xp =0

    The steeper the line, the more comfortable for the firms.

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Other Decision Problems

    Choice between leisure F/labor time Land consumption x

    maxx, F

    {u(x,F)|wL px, L + F=16}

    Thedemand for leisure timecorresponds to thesupply of labor.Both functions, the supply of labor and the demand for consumption,

    depend on the factor prices (here the wage rate w) and commodity

    prices (here p).

    Choice between present consumption c1 and savings s1 (or future

    consumptionc2)

    maxc1,c2

    {u(c1, c2)| y1 = c1+ s1, y2+ (1 + r)s1 =c2}

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    2Demand Analysis2.4Consumer Behavior

    Remarks on Managerial Economics

    : Firms need to know the preferences of their customers and to

    adapt to these preferences best possible.: demand estimation (quantitative methods, statistical estimation): promotion / advertisement (take influence on preferences): price discrimination (spatial separation of markets, separation of

    consumer groups, see p. 83): differentiated commodities (similar goods with different

    combinations of characteristics (houses, cars ...) hedonistic

    prices, cf. Lancaster (1966)

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    3Supply Analysis

    Supply Analysis

    Economics

    The Economic Problem

    Market Economy

    Managerial Economics

    Demand Analysis

    Preferences

    Constraints

    Utility Maximization

    Consumer Behavior

    Supply Analysis

    Production Theory

    Cost Theory

    Profit Maximization

    Behavior of Firms

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    Supply Analysis

    Firms transformfactors of production

    : labor, land (original factors) and capital (derived factor): more precisely, v1,, vm

    intooutputs

    : consumption goods, investment goods: commodities and services

    : x1,,xn

    As long as the economy values the outputs higher than the

    corresponding inputs (both at market prices), the transformation

    process is rewarded aprofit. Otherwise the respective firms make a

    lossand they have to leave the market.

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    Production Process

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    Production Function

    Production plansdenote technically feasible input output combinations.

    (v1, v2,x) = (2inputs, 1output)

    Technically efficientproduction plans denote actions without any waste

    neither of inputs nor of outputs.

    Theproduction function

    f(v1, v2)= x

    denotes themaximumoutput x given the inputs (v1, v2)and, almost

    always, theminimuminputs needed to produce x. The problem of

    technical efficiency is solved, e.g., by engineers.

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    Production Function

    Isoquantsdenote all input combinations (v1, v2)providing the same

    (maximum) outputx.

    Cobb-Douglas production function x= av1

    v

    2

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    Production Function

    Linear limitational production function

    x= min

    v1

    a1,

    v2

    a2

    production process

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    Production Function

    a production function representing thelaw of returns( next page)

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    Law of returns

    Thelaw of returnsrefers usually to just one variable input, sayv2,

    while all other inputs are fixed, herev1.

    x = f(v1, v2)

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    Law of returns

    above: partial variationof inputs

    now: total variationof inputs (walk along a production process)

    The analysis ofreturns to scalevaries all inputs by the same factor.

    f(v1, v2)= x>1= f(v1, v2) x

    increasing returns to scale

    constant returns to scale

    decreasing returns to scale

    Example: constant returns to scale say that doubling all inputs (= 2)

    also doubles the output.

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    (back to partial variations of inputs)

    Theaverage productivityx/v1 denotes the output per unit of input v1.

    v1

    x

    x= x(v1, v2)

    v1

    x

    x

    v1

    =tan

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    Themarginal productivityof an input v1denotes the additional output

    dxwith respect to the last additional (infinitesimally small) unit ofv1,

    e.g., dv1.

    v1

    x

    x= f(v1, v2)

    v1

    xdv1

    v1

    x dx dx= f(v1, v2)

    v1 tan

    dv1

    x

    v1

    dx

    dv1=

    f(v1, v2)

    v1

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    3Supply Analysis3.1Production Theory

    law of returns

    x= f(v1, v2)

    average productivityx

    v1

    marginal productivityf(v1, v2)

    v1

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    3Supply Analysis3.2Cost Theory

    Cost Function

    Production cost= used quantities of inputs(v1, v2)times their given

    factor prices (q1, q2)

    q1v1+ q2v2

    Cost function= minimumcost to produce a given output x at given

    factor pricesq1,q2with respect to the known production technology.

    c(q1, q2,x) minv1,v2

    {q1v1+ q2v2|x = f(v1, v2)}

    Variables of the minimization problem: inputsv1,v2Parameters: factor pricesq1,q2, outputx

    Technical efficiency guaranteed by the production function.

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    3Supply Analysis3.2Cost Theory

    Cost Functions in the Short Run

    Production function x = f(v1, v2)with a fixed input ( short run)

    Cost function

    c(q1, q2,x)= minv1

    q1v1+ q2v2| x = f(v1, v2)

    = q1f

    1(x, v2) + q2v2

    = cv(x) + cF

    v1

    x capacity limit

    q1 = 1/2 +cF flip

    q1v1

    x

    c F x

    c(x)

    cFcapacitylimit

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    3Supply Analysis3.2Cost Theory

    Cost Functions in the Short Run

    cost functionc(x)= cv(x) + cF

    average costc(x)

    x =tan

    marginal costdc(x)

    dx =c(x)

    average variable cost

    cv(x)/x= tan

    average fixed costq2v2

    x

    = cF

    x... to be continued on p. 59.

    x

    c

    cF

    x

    c

    x, c c

    (x)

    c/xcv/x

    cF/x

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    3Supply Analysis3.2Cost Theory

    Cost Functions in the Long Run

    Production function x = f(v1, v2)with all inputs variable ( long run)

    The cost function

    c(q1, q2,x)= min

    v1,v2 q1v1+ q2v2|x= f(v1, v2)denotes the minimum factor cost for a given output x(and given factor

    pricesq1,q2).

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    3Supply Analysis3.2Cost Theory

    Constrained Programming

    Mathematical solution (constrained programming)

    Lagrangean function

    L(v1, v2, ) = q1v1+ q2v2+ x f(v1, v2)Necessary optimum conditions

    L

    v1=q1

    f(v1, v2)

    v1=0

    L

    v2=q2

    f(v1, v2)

    v2=0

    L

    = x f(v1, v2)= 0

    This is a system of 3 equations with 3 variables.

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 53/111

    3Supply Analysis3.2Cost Theory

    Marginal Rate of Substitution (MRS)

    Remember: The slope of an isoquant x = f(v1, v2)= constant can be

    calculated by the total differential.

    dx= 0 = f(v1, v2)

    v1dv1+

    f(v1, v2)

    v2dv2

    dv2

    dv1=

    f/v1

    f/v2

    v1

    v2

    x= f(v1, v2)= const.

    v1 v1

    =dv1

    v2

    v2

    dv2

    marginal rate of technical

    substitution (MRS)

    MRS=dv2

    dv1

    v2

    v1

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    3Supply Analysis3.2Cost Theory

    Minimum Cost Combination (MCC)

    Graphical determination of aminimum cost combination (v1, v2)for

    the production of a given amountx.

    : red isoquant given: x= f(v1, v2)= const.: iso-cost line: ciso =q1v1+ q2v2

    : cost minimum (green line): minimum cost combination (v1, v2)

    v1

    v2

    x= f(v1, v2)

    v2

    v1

    ciso

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 55/111

    3Supply Analysis3.3Profit Maximization

    Remark:

    Economist analyze almost alwaysprofit maximizationas the relevant

    problem. Complex problem: profit maximization necessarily requires

    cost minimization.

    But many firms persue some sort ofrevenue maximization(Baumol,

    1959)

    : Compatible if all costs are fixed or if the revenues grow faster

    than production cost.

    : Revenue is easier to measure (profit is a residual); managers

    prefer short-term goals.

    : A revenue target is easier to use when motivating staff.

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    3Supply Analysis3.3Profit Maximization

    The Problem in General

    Profit Maximization

    Find the most preferred production plan(v1, v2,x)among all

    technically feasible actions!

    profit revenue cost

    maximumprofit

    (q1, q2, p) maxv1,v2,x

    {px q1v1 q2v2| x = f(v1, v2)}

    (q1, q2, p)= maxx

    px c(q1, q2,x)

    (q1, q2, p)= maxv1,v2

    p f(v1, v2) q1v1 q2v2

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 57/111

    3Supply Analysis3.3Profit Maximization

    Short Run Analysis

    Profit maximizing output x( supply) in the short run

    (x)= px c(x) != max

    = ( x)= 0 p= c ( x) (price = marginal cost)

    und ( x) 0

    x

    c(x)= cv(x) + cF

    x

    r= px

    x

    c, r, rc

    x

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    3Supply Analysis3.3Profit Maximization

    Short Run Analysis

    All curves have been derived on p. 51.

    p

    p

    x

    c

    x,

    c

    x

    c

    x

    c/x

    cv/x

    cF/x

    profit

    lossfirms optimum (break even point)

    firms minimum (production barrier)

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 59/111

    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    Supply Functions

    Supply functionsfor the outputs stem from profit maximization

    maxx

    r(p,x) c(q1, q2,x) = r(p,x)

    x = p=

    c(q1, q2,x)

    x

    Different notation if we drop given factor pricesq1andq2

    maxx

    px c(x) = p= dr(x)

    dx=

    dc(x)

    dx

    M R r (x)= c (x) MC

    Solving themarginal cost pricing rule p= c (x)forxyields the

    supply function

    x= xS(p) (or more precisely = xS(q1, q2,p))

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    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    Law of Supply

    By plausibility (no mathematical proof here)

    p = profit per unit = x= xS(p)

    If each firm behaves this way, market supply does the same

    (aggregation).

    Thelaw of supplystates that if the price of a commodity increases, the

    market supply increases, too.

    x

    p xS

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 61/111

    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    Demand Functions

    Demand functionsfor inputs stem from profit maximization

    maxv1,v2

    p f(v1, v2) q1v1 q2v2 = pf(v1, v2)

    v1=q1

    and pf(v1, v2)

    v2=q2

    Factors are paid according to theirmonetary marginal productivity.

    Solving forv1andv2is more difficult than before (a system of 2equations for 2 inputsv1,v2). The result denotes the demand functions

    v1 =vD1 (q1, q2, p ) and v2 = v

    D2(q1, q2, p)

    The demand for inputs is directly connected to the supply of outputs via

    the production function!

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    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    Demand Functions

    Graphical determination of factor demand (cf. page 48)

    v1

    x

    law of returns x = f(v1, v2)

    v1

    f

    v1

    q1

    v1

    f

    v1

    p f

    v1with p> 1

    factor demand viaq1= p f

    v1

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 63/111

    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    Parametric Variations

    Parametric variations(reactions by plausibility)

    p = x (law of supply) = v1 , v2

    q1 = profit per unit = x = v1 , v2

    The usual reaction (q1 , v1 ) is called thelaw of demand.

    Caveat:

    q1 (e.g., wage rate),v2 (e.g., capital stock) also plausible

    (substitution of factors of production)

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    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    Elasticities

    elasticity of the demand forv1with respect to the price p

    vD1

    (q1, q2,p)

    p

    p

    v1

    v1/v1

    p/p

    effect

    reason

    own price elasticity

    vD1(q1, q2, p)

    q1

    q1

    v1

    v1/v1

    q1/q1

    cross price elasticity

    vD1

    (q1, q2, p)

    q2

    q2

    v1

    v1/v1

    q2/q2

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 65/111

    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    Long Run Analysis

    Up until now fixed inputs possible (e.g., physical capital stock)

    short runanalysis

    c(q1, q2,x; v2)= maxv1

    {q1v1+ q2v2| x = f(v1, v2)}

    In thelong runall inputs are variable! ( optimal sizev2of an

    enterprise)

    c(q1, q2,x)= maxv1,v2

    {q1v1+ q2v2| x = f(v1, v2)}

    The long run cost functionc(q1, q2,x)is the envelope of all short run

    cost functionsc(q1, q2,x; v2)(mathematical proof dropped).

    Graphics in Schumann (1999, pp. 183 ff.)

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    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    Denote short run cost functions

    c(s) c(q1, q2,x; v2 (s))

    wherev2(s) is a given physical capital stock (firms size) with fixed costs

    c(s)

    F

    =q2v2(s)

    x

    c

    c(1)F

    c(1)

    c(2)F

    c(2)

    c(3)F

    c(3) c

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    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    production function x = av21

    (v2 v1)(b v2)

    v1

    xlaw of returnsv250

    v1

    xvariation of the capital stock

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    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    v1

    xlaw of returnsv250

    x

    cxcost function for v250

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    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    x

    cxcost functions for variation of v2

    x

    cxlong run cost functionred envelope

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    3Supply Analysis3.4Behavior of Firms

    graphical presentation of

    : average cost curves (short and long run)

    : marginal cost curves (short and long run)

    : optimum choice ofv2and xgiven a market price p

    : supply curve in the long run (increasing part of the marginal cost

    curve starting in the minimum of the long run average cost curve)

    : adjustment of capital stocks (fixed in the short run) by investments

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 71/111

    4Market Analysis

    Market Analysis

    Market Equilibrium

    Market Structure

    Economic Policy

    Strategic Behavior of Firms

    Interaction with Customers

    Interaction with Competitors

    Interaction with the Government

    Risk and Uncertainty

    Investment Behavior

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    4Market Analysis4.1Market Equilibrium

    Price Formation

    Price formation on markets: On all goods markets (j= 1,, n)

    and on all factor markets (i= 1,, m) an equilibrium price (supply =

    demand) is to be determined simultaneously.

    1. individual demand and supply curves (all agents behave as pricetakers, i.e. market prices are seen as given)

    2. aggregation of individual behavior (generates market demand and

    market supply curves)

    3. price formation (price adjustment until some equilibrium is found)

    xD > xS = p and vice versa

    4. go back to step 1. with new market price

    These processes are to be repeated permanently (new commodities,

    new market agents, technical progress, inflation, etc.).

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 73/111

    4Market Analysis4.1Market Equilibrium

    price formationxS > xD p

    xS < xD p

    market demand

    p xD

    market supply

    pxS

    individual demand individual supply

    aggregation aggregation

    new price p new price p

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    4Market Analysis4.1Market Equilibrium

    Market equilibrium: situation where market demand and market

    supply match (coordination by market prices)

    : demand xDj = xDj (p1,,pj,, pn )

    : supplyxS

    j = xS

    j (p1,

    , pj,

    , pn ): equilibrium xDj = x

    Sj = x

    j , equilibrium price p

    j

    xj

    pjxSjx

    Dj

    pj

    xj

    excess supply, pj

    excess demand, pj

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 75/111

    4Market Analysis4.1Market Equilibrium

    Comparative Statics

    Variations of parameters

    : parameters here p1,, pn without pj

    : changes in preferences, technical progress

    : variations of the number of households and firms

    : shocks external to the market (taxes, earth quakes, etc.)

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    4Market Analysis4.2Market Structure

    Market structure: Classification of markets by von Stackelberg

    supply sidenumber

    of agents one few many

    one bilateralmonopoly

    constraineddemand

    monopoly

    demandmonopoly

    (monopson)

    few

    constrained

    supply

    monopoly

    bilateral

    oligopoly

    demand

    oligopoly

    many supply

    monopoly

    supply

    oligopoly polypoly

    demandside

    : market structure and market power are closely related

    : firms try to get rid of competition and to gain market power: differentiated commodities (a monopoly with close substitutes)

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 77/111

    4Market Analysis4.2Market Structure

    Perfect Competition

    Idea: In thepolypoly, buyers and sellers are so numerous that nobody

    has the power to influence market prices. Thisreference caseis

    referred to as perfect competition provided a list of prerequisites

    constitutes anideal situationwithout any market power:

    : no barriers to entry (or exit): homogeneous goods (perfectly divisible, equal quality,...)

    : complete information (about prices and quality): no preferences with respect to time, location, or persons: unlimited ability to react to changes in a timely manner

    If one of these conditions fails to hold true as almost always in reality

    there are starting points of market power, which can be expected to

    be abused.

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    4Market Analysis4.3Economic Policy

    Economic Policy

    The government has to fix, to control, and to enforce rules valid for

    the market system (fair play, shelter the society including households

    and firms from an abuse of market power).Example: control of mergers and acquisitions, anti-trust law

    Other government interventions are to be taken into account (e.g.,

    taxes, rules, laws, price floors or ceilings, social legislation etc.)

    Summary: The economic constitution is the outcome of interactions

    between households (weakest group), firms (frequently organized as

    powerful lobbies), and the government.

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 79/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms

    Strategic Behavior of Firms

    Market Analysis

    Market Equilibrium

    Market Structure

    Economic Policy

    Strategic Behavior of Firms

    Interaction with Customers

    Interaction with Competitors

    Interaction with the Government

    Risk and Uncertainty

    Investment Behavior

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.1Interaction with Customers

    Price Discrimination

    Price discrimination

    two groups of consumers (e.g., two regions) with different demand

    functions

    maxx1,x2

    p1(x1)x1+ p2(x2)x2 c(x1+ x2)

    optimum conditions withx = x1+ x2

    p1(x1)x1+ p1(x1)= c(x) (note: dx/dx1 =1)

    p2(x2)x2+ p2(x2)= c(x) (note: dx/dx2 =1)

    therefore

    p1(x1)

    1 +

    1

    x1p1

    = p2(x2)

    1 +

    1

    x2p2

    The group with the more inelastic demand is charged the higher price.

    p1 > p2 0 > x1p1 > x2p2

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 83/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.1Interaction with Customers

    Price Discrimination

    example for linear demand curves (cf. p. 32)

    x1

    p1

    x2

    p2

    x= x1+ x2

    p c(x)

    Cp0p

    1

    p2

    Problem: the groups must be distinguishable from each other.

    Otherwise members of the first group can argue to belong to the

    second group.

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.1Interaction with Customers

    Price Discrimination

    Examples of price discrimination

    : Children, old people, students etc. pay less than normal.: Cheaper hotel rooms on weekends.: Cheaper flight tickets if a weekend is included in the trip

    (holidaymakers vs. businessmen): Different prices in the home country and foreign countries (avoid

    re-importation)

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 85/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.1Interaction with Customers

    Strategies to Gain Market Power

    Strategies of firms to establish a niche with monopoly power up to

    some degree:

    : differentiated commodities (get rid of homogeneous commodities

    and competitors providing the same good): promotion, advertisement (try to reshape the preferences of

    customers, the steeper the demand curve the better): consumers tend to stick to commodities (are willing to pay a

    higher price) due to cost of information;

    avoid market transparency and hide information (fish food: price

    per liter rather than price per kilogram, small and large balls in

    different colors, best hiding strategy: price per 743 ml for big

    multi-colored balls): lazy consumers implicitly accept the market power of firms,

    however, only up to a certain degree (do not lose them)

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    Differentiated commodities indicate already that firms do not only

    interact with their customers but also with competitors.

    : Game theory, especially, gives a vast literature on the behavior of

    interacting competitors (product strategies, pricing strategies,

    threat strategies, etc.): Monopolies: monopolist (incumbent) vs. potential competitors: Duopolies: autonomous or heteronomous/conjectural behavior

    setting either prices or quantities: Oligopolies: monopolistic competition with differentiated

    commodities: Cartels (e.g., cooperating duopolists or collusion): ... many more scenarios

    Problem of legal authorities: what is fair and what is a provable (!)abuse of market power?

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 87/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    Cournot-Nash solution in aduopoly

    : two firms producing one commodity (x= x1+ x2) with individual

    cost functionsc1(x1)and c2(x2): a common price-demand-curve p= p(x1+ x2): individual profit functions; both assume that the output of the

    competitor is given.

    1(x1)= p(x1+ x2)x1 c1(x1)

    2(x2)= p(x1+ x2)x2 c2(x2)

    : Thereaction curvesdenote the best (i.e. profit maximizing)

    answer of each duopolist given the output of his opponent.

    x2 x1and x1 x2: TheCournot-Nash solutiondenotes an intersection point of the

    two reaction curves. Such a point represents a reciprocally best

    answers to the opponents strategy. x1 = x1 x2 = x2

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    Analytical solution

    Necessary optimum conditions

    1(x1)= p (x1+ x2)x1+ p(x1+ x2) c

    1(x1)= 0

    2(x2)= p (x1+ x2)x2+ p(x1+ x2) c2(x2)= 0

    These are the two reaction curves; renaming gives

    x1 = R1(x2) (optimum answer of the 1st duopolist to x2)

    x2 = R2(x1) (optimum answer of the 2nd duopolist to x1)

    Any intersection point with x1 = R1( x2)and x2 = R2( x1)denotes a

    mutually best answer.

    None of the two duopolists will change its behavior.

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 89/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    : price demand function: p(x1+ x2)= a b(x1+ x2): cost function firm j: cj(xj )= cxj with (j= 1, 2): profit function firm j: j =[a b(x1+ x2)]xj cx jwith

    (j= 1, 2)

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14 x1

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    x2

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14 x1

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    x2isoprofit curves of firm 1

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14 x1

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    x2isoprofit curves of firm 2

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 91/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14 x1

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    x2CournotNash solution

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    Asymmetric solution of von Stackelberg

    : Same duopoly as before, but:: One of the duopolists can act independently of the other.

    : The duopolists in the dependent position takes the output x1ofhis opponent as given. Reaction curve: x2 = R2(x1)

    : New asymmetric solution:

    The 1st independent duopolist computes the reaction function

    x2 = R2(x1)of his competitor and maximizes with this additional

    information his own profit:

    1(x1)= p

    x1+ R2(x1)

    x1 c1(x1) max

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 93/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    : firm 1 in the independent position (leader): firm 2 in the dependent position (follower)

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14 x1

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    x2

    von Stackelberg solution

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    Collusion (symmetric cartel solution)

    2 4 6 8 10 12 14 x1

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    x2cartel solution

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 95/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.2Interaction with Competitors

    Problems with reaction functions:

    : Is there a unique intersection point? (no, one, more than one

    intersection points): Does some intersection point represent a stable solution?

    Adjustment processes to the intersection point?: How does the independent duopolist know the reaction curve of

    his opponent?: Is the independent position always profitable (first mover

    advantage)?: What information do legal authorities need to shelter the society

    from an abuse of market power?

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.3Interaction with the Government

    Regulation

    : The government has to fix rules for the market systems

    (regarding, e.g., fair trade).

    : Governments need many information about: the behavior of market participants (consumer preferences),: production techniques and/or cost functions,: competitive strategies (market power),: consequences of new rules (who wins, who loses): and many more.

    : Many safeguarding actions of the government do not show the

    results wanted. They have direct and indirect effects (no market,

    but policy failure)

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 97/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.3Interaction with the Government

    Regulation in a monopoly

    example: supply monopoly (compare Cournots solution with

    as-if-competition)

    x

    c, r

    r, p

    p(x)r (x)

    c/x

    c (x)

    r = c

    x

    p Cournots solution (r = c

    )

    as-if-competition (p = c )

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.3Interaction with the Government

    Result: In the Cournot solution, the monopolist sells a smaller amount

    at a higher price compared to the solution with as-if-competition.

    Possible solution: Regulation by government (enforce the marginal

    cost pricing rule)

    Problem: If average cost per unit exceeds the marginal cost price, the

    firm operates at a loss. In the long run it would have to leave the

    market.

    Other possible solution: allow prices to exceed marginal cost, but

    the firm has to operate at zero (or reasonable) profit.

    Other problem: hidden information, dynamic investment behavior of

    firms, cross subsidies (e.g., letter and parcel services), etc.

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 99/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.3Interaction with the Government

    lobbyingof members of parliament

    example: protectionism by a tariff

    : firms profit (higher prices and profits per unit at home): households lose (cheaper imports no longer available): governments tend to play that game due to customs revenues

    Caveat: The strategy is usually performed under the pretence to

    protect jobs, but the economy as a whole suffers a net loss in welfare.

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.4Risk and Uncertainty

    Risk and Uncertainty, cf. Frank Knight (1921)

    : Riskis the kind of randomness that can be modeled by

    quantitative methods (e.g., mortality rates, casino gambling,

    equipment failure rates).A set ofprobabilitiesassigned to a set ofpossibilities.

    : a priori probabilities (by logic; e.g., rolling any number on a die): objective orstatisticalprobabilities (by empirical evaluation): subjective orpersonalprobabilities (by individual estimates): Possibilities denote outcomes, states or values (alternatives).

    : Uncertaintyis immeasurable, not possible to calculate.

    (unknown possibilities and/or unknown probabilities)

    No insurance without risk (rather than uncertainty).

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 101/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.4Risk and Uncertainty

    Some sources of risk (examples)

    : changing market demand (tastes, income, expectations on the

    future): changing supply consitions (factor prices, competitors): inventions, innovations: macroeconomic risks (business cycle, inflation, exchange rates): political changes (regulation, tax system, environmental

    protection)

    Some sources of uncertainty

    : irrational behavior of agents (customers, competitors), e.g., panic: processes after some desaster, e.g., earth quake or maximum

    credible accident (MCA) in an atomic power plant

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.5Investment Behavior

    Investment Behavior

    dynamic aspects of managerial decision making

    : short run: fixed capital stock, given capacities, fixed cost: long run: adjustment of the capital stock by investments

    Kt+1 = Kt+ Int where I

    nt = I

    gt Dt

    : under certainty: optimal firms size indicated by someKAny investment with a positive NPV is advantageous.

    Find the investment with the highest NPV.: at risk: revised decision making concerning risk

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 103/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.5Investment Behavior

    Net Present Value (NPV)

    : timeline (t=0,1,2,3): sequence of net investments (I0,I1,I2): sequence of revenues (r1, r2, r3): sequence of operating costs (c1, c2, c3)

    N PV= I0+ 1

    1 + i(r1c1I1)+

    1

    (1 + i)2(r2c2I2)+

    1

    (1 + i)3(r3c3)

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.5Investment Behavior

    Decision Tree Analysis

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.5Investment Behavior

    Exercise

    Demand analysis:

    Households maximize their utilityu(x1,x2)with respect to a given budget y.

    (x1and x2denote commodities).

    (a) What is the technical budget constraint and what does it express? Depict

    the budget constraint graphically and show the effects if one of the prices

    inceases and if the budget increases! 6 points

    (b) How are the terms indifference curve, income consumption curve and

    normal good defined? 4.5 points(c) What does a demand function express and what determines the demand?

    If the behavior of consumers is based on their preferences, what might be

    useful from a managerial point of view? 9.5 points

    Total: 20 points

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 106/111

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.5Investment Behavior

    Exercise

    Supply analysis:

    The figure describes the cost situation of a firm whose production function

    corresponds to the law of returns.

    p

    p

    p

    x

    p

    . . . to be continued.University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 107/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.5Investment Behavior

    Exercise

    (a) Identify the curves and explain them! 6 points

    (b) What necessary and sufficient conditions of profit maximization are

    relevant for the firm with respect to perfect competition? What are the

    optimum choices of the firm if the prices p, p or p are given? What

    do we know about the profit? 8 points

    (c) How are the terms firms optimum and firms minimum defined?

    Denote the short-term and long-term supply curve of the firm. 6 points

    Total: 20 points

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.5Investment Behavior

    Exercise

    Perfect Competition

    : How is perfect competition defined?: Why is perfect competition frequently used a reference case in

    economics?: Why do managers try to get rid of perfect competition?: Give examples how firms try to gain market power by destroying

    preconditions of perfect competition.

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 109/111

    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.5Investment Behavior

    Exercise

    Consider a monopoly with a linear price demand function

    p(x)= a bx and a cost function c(x)= kx2 (a, b, kare constants).

    : Compute Cournots solution.: Visualize Cournots solution in a corresponding graph.: Indicate the difference between Cournots solution and perfect

    competition.: Explain how advertisement could improve Cournots solution.

    (too long for 20 minutes)

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    5Strategic Behavior of Firms5.5Investment Behavior

    Exercise

    Suppose that there are two firms competing on a market by means of

    quantities.

    : Explain the concept of reaction curves.: How is the Cournot-Nash solution defined? How is the

    Cournot-Nash solution related to reaction curves?: In an asymmetric setting as used by von Stackelberg how does the

    leader profit?: What characterizes the cartell solution?

    University of Siegen, April 2013 PD Dr. Hagen Bobzin, Managerial Economics 111/111