managing mature oil fields in a low oil price world

21
Oil Search Limited ARBN 055 079 868 Oil Search Limited ARBN 055 079 868 Dr Julian Fowles Executive General Manager PNG Business Unit 29 November 2017 Managing mature oil fields in a low oil price world

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Oil Search LimitedARBN 055 079 868

Oil Search LimitedARBN 055 079 868

Dr Julian Fowles

Executive General Manager PNG Business Unit

29 November 2017

Managing mature oil fields

in a low oil price world

DISCLAIMER

While every effort is made to provide accurate and complete information, Oil Search Limited does not warrant that

the information in this presentation is free from errors or omissions or is suitable for its intended use. Subject to any

terms implied by law which cannot be excluded, Oil Search Limited accepts no responsibility for any loss, damage,

cost or expense (whether direct or indirect) incurred by you as a result of any error, omission or misrepresentation in

information in this presentation. All information in this presentation is subject to change without notice.

This presentation also contains forward-looking statements which are subject to particular risks associated with the

oil and gas industry. Oil Search Limited believes there are reasonable grounds for the expectations on which the

statements are based. However, actual outcomes could differ materially due to a range of factors including oil and

gas prices, demand for oil, currency fluctuations, drilling results, field performance, the timing of well work-overs and

field development, reserves depletion, progress on gas commercialisation and fiscal and other government issues

and approvals.

2

About Oil Search

» PNG company, incorporated in 1929, ~1,250 employees

» World class assets

– ~29% interest in PNG LNG Project (ExxonMobil operator)

– ~23% interest in PRL15 Papua LNG Project (Total operator)

– ~60% interest in all PNG’s producing oil fields (OSH operator)

– 25-70% in 16 quality exploration licences

» Operate all PNG oil production, all liquid exports as well as

the associated gas for LNG

» Pursuing major LNG growth opportunities in PNG in

partnership with ExxonMobil and Total

– >10 tcf 2C gross undeveloped gas resource available to support

~8MTPA near term expansion

» New entry to 500mmbbls* Tier 1 oil asset, North Slope

Alaska, with material growth potential

» Strategy to maximise LNG growth and oil production while

providing PNG social initiatives:

– Programmes - community development, health, power, infrastructure

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 3

Oil PipelineGas Pipeline

OSH OperatedOSH Non OperatedOSH Application

* OSH estimate of gross resource for purposes of the acquisition

PNG’s Oil IndustryOSH operates all the oil fields and strategic oil export system

Oil Fields:

» Kutubu, Agogo, Moran

» Gobe Complex

Oil export system

» Oil licence production

» PNG LNG condensate

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 4

Oil Field

Gas Field

Oil Pipeline

Gas Pipeline

Oil Facility

Gas Facility

OSH Operated

OSH Non Operated

Condensate Pipeline

OSH Application

Gobe Main

SE Gobe

Hedinia/Iagifu

Agogo

SE Mananda

Moran

Central Processing Facility

(CPF)

Kopi Camp

Gobe Production

Facility & Camp

Agogo Production Facility

(APF)

Kumul Terminal SPM Offtake

History of oil productionOil Search achievements in extending end of field life

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 5

Excellent track record of

mitigating production decline

through:

» Infield & near field drilling

» Field rejuvenation

» Incremental workovers

» Optimised reservoir and

facilities management

Challenge being faced:

» most of our fields are

approaching the tail

end of oil production

Illustrative decline

curve from 2017, no

reservoir management

>100MMbbls Incremental 1P

Reserves booked since 2003

Original

Economic cut off

Field management – change focus over field life

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 6

Early Field life Mid field life Field Extensions Late field life

� Improve uptime

� Reduce deferred bbls

� Cost management

� Cost management

� Asset integrity and maintenance

strategies for life extension

� Manage rising GOR and sand

� Infield drilling to

maintain volume

� New Fields brought

on-line

Focus in

this Phase

Kutubu

Agogo

GobeMoran

Infield drilling

NW Moran

SE ManandaIllustrative decline

curve from 2017, no

reservoir management

Oil price collapseChange focus from Production to Net Operating Margin

» Oil price collapse forced a review of the strategic basis for asset management

– Capital Allocation rationing with declining free cash flow

– Focus on efficiency

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 7

Note: Net operating margin only includes direct field operating costs; excludes royalties, development levies, DD&A and taxes, PNGLNG cost sharing

Levers to manage asset profitabilityStrategies to deliver safe, sustainable and profitable operations

Let’s take a look at each one of these #

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 8

Ensuring

profitability

Cost

Management

Operational

Excellence

� Business Process and Cost Optimisation

� Profitable incremental oil opportunities

� Operational asset management to maximise uptime

� Approach to integrity management

1

2

3

Focus Areas

Incremental oil

Oil Search LimitedARBN 055 079 868

Oil Search LimitedARBN 055 079 868

Cost Management

Business OptimisationImplemented a transformation to drive cost effectiveness

Business Optimisation project reviewed all

operations:

» Structural review – Restructured field operations design – moved

several groups back to POM

– Separated work planning off-site vs execution

– Consolidated Engineering and Projects in Sydney

» Supplier contract review led to significant

rate improvements

» Aviation and camp utilisation reviews

» Prioritisation, planning and phasing of

work programmes

» Operating costs in 2016, first full year

of operation, down 27% on 2013

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 10

Oil Search LimitedARBN 055 079 868

Oil Search LimitedARBN 055 079 868

Incremental Oil Opportunities

Mitigating declineIncremental oil added year on year

12Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment

» Incremental Projects since

2008 now contribute ~80% of

current production

» Further incremental

opportunities to sustain

current production rates into

2020s

Illustrative range of forward

production curves from 2017

Moran – edge of field appraisalExtending the boundaries

» Discovered 1996; first production

1998

» Poor seismic quality – drill bit

appraisal

» 2004 success at NW Moran

» SE field boundary yet to be defined –

significant potential remains

» Appraisal & exploration strategy

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 13

Moran X + Extension

• Planned sidetrack of an existing well

• Extend well to appraise SE limit of field

Moran O• Complete appraisal of Moran hangingwall

Moran Deep

• Deepen Moran O to test Moran Footwall target

Hedinia & Agogo Forelimb DevelopmentNot for the faint-hearted#.

» The Agogo and Hedinia

Forelimb reservoirs

contain significant

Contingent Resources,

sufficient for further

development

» M.but they are complex

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 14

Sandbox

models and

outcrop

analogues used

to constrain

dimensions

>600m

overturned

and sheared

forelimb

Agogoforelimb

Proven >800m

vertical forelimb

Hediniaforelimb

Hedinia 10ST3: Huff & Puff ProjectAn old trick in a relatively new field

» Hedinia Forelimb well shut in due

to low oil rates and low reservoir

pressure – no natural support

» Commence injection to re-pressure

reservoir via gas lift system

– 300 MMscf injected over ~3

months

» Results

– Reservoir pressure increase

~570 psi

– Initial rate >1300 stb/d

– Extend well life by ~5 years

– Add up to ~500 kstb

» Forward Plan

– 2nd phase injection planned for

2018

– Plan to install permanent gas

injection facility

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 15

Historical Production

~1.4 MMstb Illustrative Forecast - ~500 kstb

Production after injection

~70 Mstb in 3 months

Phase 1 Gas Injection

~3 MMscf/d

Gas Injection

Phase 1 and

planned Phase 2

Press Increase ~570 psi

Oil Search LimitedARBN 055 079 868

Oil Search LimitedARBN 055 079 868

Operational Excellence

Safety Performance

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 17

» Increase in TRIR in

1H17, corrective

actions underway

» Regular safety

improvement

workshops to ensure

field leadership

engagement

» Basis for Safe

Operations underpins

Process Safety

Strategy and risk profile

» Overall improvement

through lead and lag

indicator tracking

4.7

2.7

2.32.1

2.0

1.2

2.0 1.9

2.62.5

2.0

1.9

1.5

1.9

3.9

3.1

2.92.7

2.1

1.8

1.7 1.81.7

1.61.5

1.21.0

0

1

2

3

4

5

Per

millio

n H

ou

rs w

ork

ed

OSH IOGP

» TOTAL RECORDABLE INCIDENT RATE

Advanced SurveillanceCompression Monitoring

» Late field life oil production is dependent on GOR optimisation

» Maximising gas compression throughput is a key lever for maximising oil production

» Advanced surveillance tools permit real-time compression performance analysis

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 18

Detection of

sub-optimal

performance

Actual Efficiency below design

Automated exception reporting when outside pre-defined limits

Advanced Surveillance

» Engine degradation detected with a reduction in power and throughput of 8-10%.

» Initiated planned engine change-out to rectify performance issues.

» Power, thermal efficiency and throughput increased post engine change

– ~6 month payback on investment

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 19

Power ~3000 kW

Power ~3400 kW

Flow 50-52 MMscfd

Flow 55-57 MMscfd

Eff ~ 24%

Eff ~ 25%

Finally, Our Role in Social DevelopmentAn Essential Part of working in PNG

Oil Search approach:

» Active involvement in social development initiatives

» Long-standing commitment to operating responsibly & sustainably

– Provision of infrastructure, roads, schools, hospitals, community outreach through direct investment, donations and tax credit

– 287 projects completed, K1.0billion invested since 1991

– Provision of health services, women’s empowerment and education through the Oil Search Foundation

– Child literacy programmes, HIV/Aids, TB and malaria management and treatment

– Capacity building in State departments and landowner companies

Committed to continue to play a role in the development of PNG

Managing mature fields in a low oil price environment 20

Operating and political stability essential

for long-term industry sustainability and success

OIL SEARCH LIMITED | ARBN 055 079 868 | ASX: OSH | POMSoX: OSH | US ADR: OISHY

www.oilsearch.com