map d-phase cops workshop, april 10, 2006 mathias rotach chair md-sc
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MAP D-PHASE
COPS Workshop, April 10, 2006
Mathias RotachChair MD-SC
Overview
Context & ‘history’ Organisation Overview over activities Collaboration
MAP History
Preparation Phase
Experimental Phase, 1999 SOP
Analysis Phase
Demonstration Phase
Forecast Demonstration Project
MAP History
Preparation Phase
Experimental Phase, 1999 SOP
Analysis Phase
Demonstration Phase
MAP D-PHASE
MAP D-PHASE
MAP: first WWRP RDP D-PHASE: 2nd WWRP FDP Focus
--> heavy precipitation--> hydrology--> high-resolution numerical modelling
Demonstration of ability to better understand, model and forecast strong precipitation events and related
hydrological processes from end to end…
… due to MAP
Impact of Alps on August 2005 floods
Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
COSMO-LEPS 10 RMs (weighted)
Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
COSMO-LEPS 10 RMs (weighted)
Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
COSMO-LEPS 10 RMs (weighted)
Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
COSMO-LEPS 10 RMs (weighted)
Without Alps: Opr. COSMO-LEPS orography
MAP D-PHASE
D-PHASE:
Demonstration of Probabilistic Hydrological and Atmospheric Simulation of heavy
precipitation Events in the Alpine region
MAP D-PHASE
October 2005: endorsement by WWRP
Int. Steering Committee --> Steinacker/Dorninger, Staudinger (A), Rotach, Schär (CH), Volkert, Wulfmeyer (D), Bouttier, Richard (F), Buzzi, Frustaci,
Ranzi (I), Mylne (UK)
1st MD-SC meeting, 13/14 March 2006 D-PHASE ‘office’: --> Marco Arpagaus, project coordinator --> [email protected]
Implementation Plan
MAP D-PHASE working groups
WG-DI: Data interface --> chair: A. Montani, ARPA-SIM
WG-HEU: Hydrology and End users --> co-chairs: R. Ranzi, U Brescia, C. Hegg, WSL
WG-VER: verficiation--> chair: M. Dorninger, U Vienna
WG-DP: Data policy--> chair M. Rotach, MeteoSwiss
End-to-end forecasting system
Atmospheric Models
aLMo2
COSMO-LEPS
Hydrological Models
Lago Maggiore
Glarus
Liguria
Iller, Lech, Isar
EmiliaRomagna
‘End users’
Implementation Plan
MD-SC approved the basic assumptions … all data, alerts, and feedbacks are verified / evaluated all data are visualised all alerts are visualised general rules for information flow
… and their consequences common data interface (DI) common data visualisation platform (DVP) common warning and feedback platform (WFP) in general: individual implementation
International Collaboration
common data interface (DI) common data visualisation platform (DVP)
--> joint with COPS--> ‘Demonstration period’: June - November 2007
common warning and feedback platform (WFP) --> in collaboration with Meteorisk
ETReC07
1st MAP D-PHASE meeting
November 6- 8 2006 Vienna local Organiser: M. Dorninger / R. Steinacker
Atmospheric modelingHydrological modelinghigh-resolution probabilistic simulationnowcastingVerification approaches Previous studies from ‘D-PHASE catchments’