mapping poverty and mobility patterns in baltimore …...percent movers below poverty 0.0% - 21.5%...

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Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore City Nichole Stewart ACS Data Users Group Conference May 2014

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Page 1: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore City

Nichole Stewart

ACS Data Users Group Conference

May 2014

Page 2: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Migration

• ACS collects data every month and asks about residence one year earlier.

• Many Census resources for State-to-State and County-to-County migration

– Detailed Tables

– Census Flows Mapper

Page 3: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Census Flows Mapper

Page 4: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04
Page 5: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Migration by Census Tracts

• 2005-2009 5-year ACS (No Characteristics).

• 2006-2010 5-year ACS (Crossed by Age, Sex, Race, or Hispanic or Latino Origin).

• 2007-2011 5-year ACS (Crossed by Educational Attainment, Household Income, or Individual Income, Poverty).

• Variable: B07012

Page 6: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Intersecting Migration and Poverty

Migration

• Current Residents – Living in Same House 1 Year Ago

– Different House 1 Year Ago

• In Baltimore City

• In Different County in Maryland

• In Different State

Poverty

• Below Poverty

• 100-149% Poverty

• 150% and Above Poverty

Page 7: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

What Questions Can We Answer?

• How many current residents lived in a different house in Baltimore City? Another county in Maryland? Another state? (Recent Movers)

• How many recent movers have incomes below poverty? (Recent Movers Below Poverty)

• How many current residents with incomes below poverty are recent movers? (Below Poverty Recent Movers)

Page 8: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Data Downloaded (and Calculated)

Page 9: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Recent Movers

Page 10: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Percent Movers

0.2% - 14.2%

14.3% - 25.5%

25.6% - 47.4%

Tract 101

2606.05

2506

2505

2712

2505

2713

1304

2604.04

902

2802

2102

2715.01

2801.02

2803.01

2605.01

2401

2006

1511

2717

2714

801.01

401

2501.03

2502.06

2706

1510

1509

2705.01

2502.05

2719

2708.03

2303

2101

2404

2720.03

2503.01

2201

802

2804.03

908

1508

2008

903

1307

1207

1201

16052804.01

1308.05

2601.01

2602.01

905

1607

1505

1506

2705.02

2702

2002

1513

2805

909

103

2704.01

2601.02

203

901

1306

1308.06

2716

2604.01

1504

2711.02

1512

2708.05

2607

1102

2603.03

2007.01

2704.02

2504.01

2703.012709.02

2708.02

302

2005

2709.03

2503.03

2711.01

2701.02

2602.02

2707.03

1202.02

1507.012803.02

2501.01

2701.01

2710.02

907

402

604

1401

2720.05

301

2502.07

1606

2603.02

2609

906

1205

101

2708.01

1702

904

805

1001

806

808

704

1502

702

1503 8071403

2004

701

1901

2603.01

1501

1302

602

1801

601

2608

1002

1803

1507.022604.03

2801.01

2604.02

1608.02

2502.03

2602.03

2502.04

2804.04

2707.02

1206

104

2720.07

102

2715.03

1308.04

2501.02

2720.06

2708.042720.04

2504.02

2402

1308.03

2709.01

1203

1604

1402

1601

1903

1602

1303

2718.01

2804.02

2301

804

2718.02

1101

803.02

2703.022710.01

2610

2606.04

1703703

1301

2505

1902

1701

1204

801.02

2001202

1603

603

1608.01

2707.01

2003

1802

201

2611

2302

1202.01

105

2403

803.01

2007.02

1003

Percent Movers

0.2% - 14.2%

14.3% - 25.5%

25.6% - 47.4%

Tract 101

Page 11: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Movers Below Poverty

Page 12: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Percent Movers Below Poverty

0.0% - 21.5%

21.6% - 50.5%

50.6% - 100.0%

Tract 101

2606.05

2506

2505

2712

2505

2713

1304

2604.04

902

2802

2102

2715.01

2801.02

2803.01

2605.01

2401

2006

1511

2717

2714

801.01

401

2501.03

2502.06

2706

1510

1509

2705.01

2502.05

2719

2708.03

2303

2101

2404

2720.03

2503.01

2201

802

2804.03

908

1508

2008

903

1307

1207

1201

16052804.01

1308.05

2601.01

2602.01

905

1607

1505

1506

2705.02

2702

2002

1513

2805

909

103

2704.01

2601.02

203

901

1306

1308.06

2716

2604.01

1504

2711.02

1512

2708.05

2607

1102

2603.03

2007.01

2704.02

2504.01

2703.012709.02

2708.02

302

2005

2709.03

2503.03

2711.01

2701.02

2602.02

2707.03

1202.02

1507.012803.02

2501.01

2701.01

2710.02

907

402

604

1401

2720.05

301

2502.07

1606

2603.02

2609

906

1205

101

2708.01

1702

904

805

1001

806

808

704

1502

702

1503 8071403

2004

701

1901

2603.01

1501

1302

602

1801

601

2608

1002

1803

1507.022604.03

2801.01

2604.02

1608.02

2502.03

2602.03

2502.04

2804.04

2707.02

1206

104

2720.07

102

2715.03

1308.04

2501.02

2720.06

2708.042720.04

2504.02

2402

1308.03

2709.01

1203

1604

1402

1601

1903

1602

1303

2718.01

2804.02

2301

804

2718.02

1101

803.02

2703.022710.01

2610

2606.04

1703703

1301

2505

1902

1701

1204

801.02

2001202

1603

603

1608.01

2707.01

2003

1802

201

2611

2302

1202.01

105

2403

803.01

2007.02

1003

Percent Movers Below Poverty

0.0% - 21.5%

21.6% - 50.5%

50.6% - 100.0%

Tract 101

Page 13: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Below Poverty Movers

Page 14: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Percent Below Poverty Movers

0.0% - 19.6%

19.7% - 41.4%

41.5% - 88.8%

Tract 101

Page 15: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

What Can This Tell Us?? Percent Movers • Highly transitional neighborhoods Percent Movers Below Poverty • Areas where the majority of movers

have incomes below poverty -or- • Might reflect patterns of poverty Percent Below Poverty Movers • Current residents with incomes below

poverty are recent movers, indicating neighborhood change

Tracts

Percent Total

Movers

Percent

Movers

Below

Poverty

Percent

Below

Poverty

Movers

101 27.7% 39.4% 88.8%

1204 43.2% 24.8% 38.2%

2711.02 0.2% 100.0% 2.4%

2803.02 4.9% 100.0% 15.9%

2713 7.7% 15.3% 71.7%

Page 16: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Tableau

• Free Data Visualization Tool

• Create data visualizations and dashboards that can be embedded in a website or shared

• No need for coding

• Tutorials and user community

Page 17: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Baltimore City CSAs

• Aggregate

– 200 census tracts TO

– 55 CSAs

• Why?

– Easier to see patterns

– Common neighborhood names 2606.05

2506

2505

2712

2505

2713

1304

2604.04

902

2802

2102

2715.01

2801.02

2803.01

2605.01

2401

2006

1511

2717

2714

801.01

401

2501.03

2502.06

2706

1510

1509

2705.01

2502.05

2719

2708.03

2303

2101

2404

2720.03

2503.01

2201

802

2804.03

908

1508

2008

903

1307

1207

2604.03

1201

1605

2804.01

1308.05

2601.01

2602.01

905

1607

1505

1506

2705.02

2702

2002

1513

2805

909

103

2704.01

2601.02

203

901

1306

2801.01

1308.06

2716

2604.02

2604.01

1504

2711.02

1512

2708.05

2607

1608.02

1102

2603.03

2007.01

2704.02

2504.01

2703.012709.02

2708.02

302

2005

2709.03

2503.03

2711.01

2701.02

2602.02

2707.03

1202.02

1507.012803.02

2501.01

2701.01

2710.02

907

402

604

1401

2720.05

301

2502.03

2502.07

1606

2603.02

2609

906

2502.04

1205

101

2707.02

104

2708.01

1702

102

904

805

2501.02

1001

2720.06

806

2708.04

808

2720.04

704

1502

702

1203

1503 8071403

2004

701

1901

2603.01

1501

1302

602

1801

601

2608

2710.01

2606.04

1002

1301

1803

1507.02

2602.03

2804.04

1206

2720.07

2715.03

1308.04

2504.02

2402

1308.03

2709.01

1604

1402

1601

1903

1602

1303

2718.01

2804.02

2301

804

2718.02

1101

803.02

2703.02

2610

1703

703

2505

1902

1701

1204

801.02

2001202

1603

603

1608.01

2707.01

2003

1802 201

2611

2302

1202.01

105

2403

803.01

2007.02

1003

Legend

Community Statistical Areas

Baltimore Census Tracts

Page 18: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

Visualization Components

• Filled Maps with Custom Boundaries

– Custom boundaries based on lat/long using ET GeoWizards

– TabGeoHack and GDAL

– shape2tab

• Worksheets and Dashboards

• Actions

Page 19: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04
Page 21: Mapping Poverty and Mobility Patterns in Baltimore …...Percent Movers Below Poverty 0.0% - 21.5% 21.6% - 50.5% 50.6% - 100.0% Tract 101 2606.05 2506 2505 2712 2505 2713 1304 2604.04

NICHOLE M. STEWART

/wherejobsare

Data Analyst and Researcher Public Policy Doctoral Candidate

[email protected]

/wherejobsare

Contact