mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · mapping the capacity of...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods
Beatriz Mogollón1 and Paul Angermeier2
1 MS Candidate, Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech2 U.S. Geological Survey, Virginia Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Virginia Tech
UCOWR-NIWR-CUAHSI Conference
June 18, 2014
Medford, MA
![Page 2: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
What do we mean by capacity?
Dis
cha
rge
Time
![Page 3: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Why do we care about
regulating inland floods?
![Page 4: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Landscapes can regulate floods < 10-year flood
![Page 5: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Biophysical features that regulate floods
The transition
between the
previous slide and
this one seemed
very rough.
![Page 6: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Technological features that regulate floods, and water
![Page 7: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Evapotranspiration
Soil Infiltration
Technological
Features
Natural Water
Storage
What landscape processes regulate floods?
The transition
between the
previous slide and
this one seemed
very rough.
![Page 8: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
12+ papers on mapping flood regulation as an ES
� Technological features not included
� Role of landscape features not assessed
with long-term hydrologic records
Nedkov and Burkhard. 2012
![Page 9: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Study objectives
1) Identify landscape indicators that regulate
floods
2) Assess the relative importance of each
indicator in explaining flood metrics
3) Map technological and biophysical flood
regulation capacities based on indicator-
importance
4) Assess how observed flooding respond to
biophysical and technological regulation
capacity
![Page 10: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
8 watersheds
Piedmont of North Carolina
Drainage area ≤ 80 km2
Urban (60-100%)
Forest (0-34%)
Mean Rainfall 1060 mm yr-1
Sandy/Loamy soils 12-77%
![Page 11: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Hydrologic records1991 – 2013 (23 years)
t1 t2
Magnitude
Duration
per event
Time
Dis
cha
rge
< 10-year flood
≥ 80% of a 1-year flood
![Page 12: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Spatially explicit landscape indicators that regulate floods
Evapotranspiration Rate (mm yr-1)
Saturated Hydraulic
Conductivity (um s-1)
Streams (m2)
BMPs and AWBs
(m2)
Singh et al. (2013) table: NLCD to ET rate
‘90, ‘92, ‘01, ‘06, ‘11
From 10m DEM
SSURGO 10m Database
Johnson and Fecko
(2008) equation:
from DA to width
1
Compiled database;
verified, digitized, dated
*ET, BMP, AWB change through time
Need to make
clearer what I will
define as biophysical
and technological
![Page 13: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Derive indicator importance factors based on flood metrics
Duration
Technological Indicators
Biophysical IndicatorsEvapotranspiration Rate (ET), Saturated
Hydraulic Conductivity (Ksat), Available
Water Storage (AWS), Slope, % Streams
Best Management Practices (% BMPs)
and Artificial Waterbodies (% AWBs)
2a
Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) set up:
Magnitude
Technological Indicators
Biophysical IndicatorsEvapotranspiration Rate (ET), Saturated
Hydraulic Conductivity (Ksat), Available
Water Storage (AWS), Slope, % Streams
Best Management Practices (% BMPs)
and Artificial Waterbodies (% AWBs)
Magnitude
Duration
RESPONSE EXPLANATORY
![Page 14: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Derive indicator importance factors based on flood metrics2b
GLMM example -Response Variable:
Magnitude
Random Effect:
Station ID
Fixed Effects:
Mean annual precipitation
Technological indicators (2)
• Derive AIC
• Calculate AIC weight
• Sum weight for each
indicator
Model Variables # parameters AICcAICc
weight
1 Intercept only 1 381.16 0.02
2 Int, AWB 2 375.17 0.42
3 Int, BMP 2 375.19 0.41
4 Int, AWB, BMP 3 377.25 0.15
Sum BMP weight is 0.56
Conducted this process for B indicators and magnitude, and duration – B and T
![Page 15: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Components IndicatorsMagnitude Duration
Unscaled Scaled Unscaled Scaled
Biophysical
ET 0.37 0.62 0.95 1.00
Ksat 0.32 0.54 0.36 0.38
AWS 0.30 0.50 0.51 0.54
Slope 0.42 0.70 0.31 0.33
% Stream 0.59 1.00 0.57 0.60
Technological% BMP 0.56 0.99 0.49 0.76
% AWB 0.57 1.00 0.64 1.00
Derive indicator importance factors based on flood metrics2c
![Page 16: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Map Flood Regulation Capacities3a
Standardize indicators in GIS from 0 to 1
� − ����
(��� − ����)
Example: Evapotranspiration Rate
Mapped 2011-2013
![Page 17: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Map Flood Regulation Capacities3b
Magnitude
Biophysical Capacity = 1.0(Streams) + 0.7(Slope) + 0.62(ET) + 0.54(Ksat) + 0.5(AWS)
ETSlope Ksat AWSStream
Indicator importance factors
Re-standardized from 0 to 1
![Page 18: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Magnitude-derived capacity
Biophysical Capacity (B2)High : 1
Low : 0
Technological Capacity
1
0.99
0
# Watershed Stream Gage
Streams
Slope
ET
Ksat
AWS
Biophysical Capacity (B2)High : 1
Low : 0
Technological Capacity
1
0.76
0
# Watershed Stream Gage
ET
% Stream
AWS
Ksat
Slope
Duration-derived capacity
![Page 19: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Flood Regulation Capacities
Flo
od
Me
tric
Magnitude
Duration
Assess how capacities respond to flood metrics4
![Page 20: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Floods are responding as expected based on what we know about the landscape
![Page 21: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
In this study, we
Included technological features
Derived indicator-importance factors based on flood
metrics
Mapped technological and biophysical flood regulation
capacity
Transferability and limitations
• Importance-values are location-specific
• Long-term hydrologic records
• Publicly available databases
![Page 22: Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods · 2018-09-07 · Mapping the capacity of watersheds to regulate floods Beatriz Mogollón 1and Paul Angermeier2 1 MS Candidate,](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022070900/5f39e13adf7af1457b3c6057/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Acknowledgments
• Dr. Amy Villamagna
• Dr. Emmanuel Frimpong
• Dr. Glenn Moglen
• Dr. Kurt Stephenson
Funding
• PEO International Peace Scholarship
• Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Tech
• Leo Bourassa Scholarship, The Virginia Lakes and Watersheds Association
• Virginia Tech – Graduate Student Assembly – Travel Fund Program
• UCOWR-NIWR-CUAHSI Conference Student Support Award
Thank you
Beatriz (Tiz) Mogolló[email protected]
tizmogollon.weebly.com