march 2016 dem politics xtabs...mar 03, 2016  · mar 3, 5-7, 2016 139 35 22 14 26 24 18 58 81 12 28...

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 And thinking ahead to the March 15 Democratic Primary, if the Democratic Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between Martin J. O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente, or would you say you have no preference? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% QS qs HILLARY CLINTON --------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 285 81 41 41 40 51 31 126 159 10 24 79 62 110 15 57 53 33 62 63 65 56 88 74 57% 62% 52% 55% 52% 60% 56% 55% 59% 36% 40% 64% 57% 61% 30% 65% 58% 47% 61% 65% 55% 48% 56% 69% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) JK jK JK OR O o Or OR UVW JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 264 74 40 38 42 49 22 113 152 5 30 64 66 100 19 42 52 25 76 51 50 63 74 77 53% 59% 51% 52% 53% 57% 36% 49% 56% 18% 40% 60% 62% 54% 37% 61% 47% 37% 62% 63% 47% 54% 51% 61% G g g G G j JK JK JK OqR OQR OQR U BERNIE SANDERS -------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 139 35 22 14 26 24 18 58 81 12 28 29 29 40 24 15 19 30 30 21 29 44 46 19 28% 27% 28% 19% 34% 28% 31% 25% 30% 45% 47% 24% 27% 22% 50% 17% 20% 42% 29% 22% 25% 37% 30% 18% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) d ln LMN PQST PQT P UX X JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 139 33 17 14 26 22 27 72 67 9 34 30 26 40 21 18 33 27 31 9 24 22 53 36 28% 26% 23% 20% 33% 25% 45% 31% 25% 32% 46% 28% 25% 22% 40% 26% 30% 40% 25% 11% 22% 19% 36% 28% d BCDF LMN T T T sT T UV v MARTIN J. O'MALLEY ------------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 7 1 - 3 - 2 1 5 2 - - 2 2 3 - 2 3 - 2 - 2 - 2 3 1% 1% - 4% - 2% 2% 2% 1% - - 2% 2% 2% - 3% 3% - 2% - 2% - 1% 3% (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) ce jk ort v JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 12 5 - 4 3 1 - 8 4 3 - 1 3 5 3 2 3 - 2 2 5 4 2 1 2% 4% - 5% 3% 1% - 3% 2% 10% - 1% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% - 2% 3% 5% 3% 1% 1% CG k K r x ROQUE "ROCKY" DE LA FUENTE -------------------------- JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 1 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - - - 2% - - 1% - - - - - 1% - - 1% - - - - 1% - - NO PREFERENCE 42 9 7 11 5 7 3 24 19 4 4 6 11 18 6 7 10 4 5 9 13 11 11 7 8% 7% 9% 15% 7% 8% 5% 10% 7% 14% 6% 5% 10% 10% 13% 8% 11% 6% 5% 9% 11% 10% 7% 7% bg l OTHER 11 2 4 2 1 1 2 8 3 - - 3 3 5 - 4 4 - 1 2 3 4 2 2 2% 2% 5% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% - - 2% 3% 3% - 5% 4% - 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% i jk JK OR OR Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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Page 1: March 2016 Dem politics xtabs...Mar 03, 2016  · mar 3, 5-7, 2016 139 35 22 14 26 24 18 58 81 12 28 29 29 40 24 15 19 30 30 21 29 44 46 19 28% 27% 28% 19% 34% 28% 31% 25% 30% 45%

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 And thinking ahead to the March 15 Democratic Primary, if the Democratic Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between Martin J. O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente, or would you say you have no preference? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% QS qs HILLARY CLINTON --------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 285 81 41 41 40 51 31 126 159 10 24 79 62 110 15 57 53 33 62 63 65 56 88 74 57% 62% 52% 55% 52% 60% 56% 55% 59% 36% 40% 64% 57% 61% 30% 65% 58% 47% 61% 65% 55% 48% 56% 69% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) JK jK JK OR O o Or OR UVW JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 264 74 40 38 42 49 22 113 152 5 30 64 66 100 19 42 52 25 76 51 50 63 74 77 53% 59% 51% 52% 53% 57% 36% 49% 56% 18% 40% 60% 62% 54% 37% 61% 47% 37% 62% 63% 47% 54% 51% 61% G g g G G j JK JK JK OqR OQR OQR U BERNIE SANDERS -------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 139 35 22 14 26 24 18 58 81 12 28 29 29 40 24 15 19 30 30 21 29 44 46 19 28% 27% 28% 19% 34% 28% 31% 25% 30% 45% 47% 24% 27% 22% 50% 17% 20% 42% 29% 22% 25% 37% 30% 18% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) d ln LMN PQST PQT P UX X JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 139 33 17 14 26 22 27 72 67 9 34 30 26 40 21 18 33 27 31 9 24 22 53 36 28% 26% 23% 20% 33% 25% 45% 31% 25% 32% 46% 28% 25% 22% 40% 26% 30% 40% 25% 11% 22% 19% 36% 28% d BCDF LMN T T T sT T UV v MARTIN J. O'MALLEY ------------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 7 1 - 3 - 2 1 5 2 - - 2 2 3 - 2 3 - 2 - 2 - 2 3 1% 1% - 4% - 2% 2% 2% 1% - - 2% 2% 2% - 3% 3% - 2% - 2% - 1% 3% (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) ce jk ort v JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 12 5 - 4 3 1 - 8 4 3 - 1 3 5 3 2 3 - 2 2 5 4 2 1 2% 4% - 5% 3% 1% - 3% 2% 10% - 1% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% - 2% 3% 5% 3% 1% 1% CG k K r x ROQUE "ROCKY" DE LA FUENTE -------------------------- JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 1 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - - - 2% - - 1% - - - - - 1% - - 1% - - - - 1% - - NO PREFERENCE 42 9 7 11 5 7 3 24 19 4 4 6 11 18 6 7 10 4 5 9 13 11 11 7 8% 7% 9% 15% 7% 8% 5% 10% 7% 14% 6% 5% 10% 10% 13% 8% 11% 6% 5% 9% 11% 10% 7% 7% bg l OTHER 11 2 4 2 1 1 2 8 3 - - 3 3 5 - 4 4 - 1 2 3 4 2 2 2% 2% 5% 2% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% - - 2% 3% 3% - 5% 4% - 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% i jk JK OR OR Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

Page 2: March 2016 Dem politics xtabs...Mar 03, 2016  · mar 3, 5-7, 2016 139 35 22 14 26 24 18 58 81 12 28 29 29 40 24 15 19 30 30 21 29 44 46 19 28% 27% 28% 19% 34% 28% 31% 25% 30% 45%

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 And thinking ahead to the March 15 Democratic Primary, if the Democratic Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between Martin J. O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente, or would you say you have no preference? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- REFUSED 16 2 4 2 5 1 2 10 7 2 4 4 2 4 4 3 3 3 1 2 5 2 7 2 3% 1% 5% 3% 7% 2% 3% 4% 2% 6% 7% 4% 2% 2% 8% 3% 3% 5% 1% 2% 4% 2% 5% 2% b Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

Page 3: March 2016 Dem politics xtabs...Mar 03, 2016  · mar 3, 5-7, 2016 139 35 22 14 26 24 18 58 81 12 28 29 29 40 24 15 19 30 30 21 29 44 46 19 28% 27% 28% 19% 34% 28% 31% 25% 30% 45%

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 And thinking ahead to the March 15 Democratic Primary, if the Democratic Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between Martin J. O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente, or would you say you have no preference? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% HILLARY CLINTON --------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 285 249 36 107 142 19 17 131 101 43 128 149 132 134 11 168 49 94 81 35 7 57% 58% 51% 55% 60% 54% 49% 63% 62% 39% 73% 50% 55% 63% 44% 54% 58% 61% 57% 65% 81% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) J J L mo s JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 264 241 23 101 140 11 12 117 86 54 114 137 132 114 11 159 41 82 58 35 8 53% 56% 33% 52% 60% 33% 33% 54% 58% 45% 72% 44% 54% 55% 35% 50% 52% 53% 41% 62% 69% C FG FG J L o o s S s BERNIE SANDERS -------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 139 116 22 50 66 8 14 65 44 29 27 100 74 44 10 89 26 36 48 14 1 28% 27% 32% 26% 28% 23% 41% 31% 27% 26% 15% 33% 31% 21% 41% 29% 31% 23% 34% 26% 9% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) df K N n rU JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 139 108 31 55 53 18 14 75 28 32 17 112 76 46 10 105 22 33 60 15 2 28% 25% 45% 28% 23% 53% 38% 34% 19% 27% 11% 36% 31% 22% 35% 33% 28% 22% 42% 28% 14% B DE e I K N RtU MARTIN J. O'MALLEY ------------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 7 6 1 5 1 - 1 1 1 4 2 5 1 6 - 4 1 2 1 - - 1% 1% 1% 3% - - 3% - 1% 4% 1% 2% - 3% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - - (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) eF h mO JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 12 10 2 8 3 - 2 3 5 4 - 12 7 5 - 7 3 2 5 1 - 2% 2% 3% 4% 1% - 5% 1% 3% 4% - 4% 3% 2% - 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% - eF K O O U ROQUE "ROCKY" DE LA FUENTE -------------------------- JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 1 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - - 1% - - - 1% - - - - - 1% - - - - 1% - - NO PREFERENCE 42 37 5 20 17 3 2 7 8 22 10 30 21 19 - 30 6 14 8 4 1 8% 9% 7% 10% 7% 9% 5% 3% 5% 20% 6% 10% 9% 9% - 10% 7% 9% 6% 7% 10% HI k O O OTHER 11 8 3 5 3 3 - 1 2 8 3 8 3 5 2 6 2 7 3 - - 2% 2% 4% 3% 1% 7% - - 1% 7% 1% 3% 1% 2% 7% 2% 2% 4% 2% - - G g g HI TU Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

Page 4: March 2016 Dem politics xtabs...Mar 03, 2016  · mar 3, 5-7, 2016 139 35 22 14 26 24 18 58 81 12 28 29 29 40 24 15 19 30 30 21 29 44 46 19 28% 27% 28% 19% 34% 28% 31% 25% 30% 45%

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 And thinking ahead to the March 15 Democratic Primary, if the Democratic Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between Martin J. O'Malley, Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente, or would you say you have no preference? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ REFUSED 16 13 3 7 6 3 1 3 6 5 6 8 11 4 2 14 - 2 2 1 - 3% 3% 5% 4% 2% 7% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 2% 7% 4% - 1% 1% 2% - Q Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

Page 5: March 2016 Dem politics xtabs...Mar 03, 2016  · mar 3, 5-7, 2016 139 35 22 14 26 24 18 58 81 12 28 29 29 40 24 15 19 30 30 21 29 44 46 19 28% 27% 28% 19% 34% 28% 31% 25% 30% 45%

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 As you may know, [INSERT CHOICE FROM Q13] has dropped out of the presidential race. Out of the following candidates who are still running in the Democratic Primary for President, for whom would you vote between: Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, and Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=O'MALLEY Q.13 7 1 - 3 - 2 1 5 2 - - 2 2 3 - 2 3 - 2 - 2 - 2 3 100% 16% - 45% - 27% 12% 72% 28% - - 29% 30% 41% - 31% 41% - 27% - 29% 1% 29% 42% HILLARY CLINTON 2 1 - 1 - - - 2 - - - 1 - 1 - 1 1 - - - 1 - 1 - 31% 100% - 34% - - - 43% - - - 56% - 38% - 51% 38% - - - 53% - 56% - (1) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) FG BERNIE SANDERS 2 - - 1 - - 1 2 - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - 1 - - 1 25% - - 30% - - 100% 35% - - - - - 62% - - 62% - - - 47% - - 29% (2) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) BF DON'T KNOW/UNSURE 3 - - 1 - 2 - 1 2 - - 1 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - - 1 2 43% - - 36% - 100% - 21% 100% - - 44% 100% - - 49% - - 100% - - 100% 44% 71% BG H N Q U u Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

Page 6: March 2016 Dem politics xtabs...Mar 03, 2016  · mar 3, 5-7, 2016 139 35 22 14 26 24 18 58 81 12 28 29 29 40 24 15 19 30 30 21 29 44 46 19 28% 27% 28% 19% 34% 28% 31% 25% 30% 45%

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 As you may know, [INSERT CHOICE FROM Q13] has dropped out of the presidential race. Out of the following candidates who are still running in the Democratic Primary for President, for whom would you vote between: Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, and Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=O'MALLEY Q.13 7 6 1 5 1 - 1 1 1 4 2 5 1 6 - 4 1 2 1 - - 100% 87% 13% 72% 16% - 13% 12% 16% 57% 29% 71% 16% 84% - 59% 15% 28% 13% - - HILLARY CLINTON 2 2 - 2 - - - - 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 - - - 31% 36% - 43% - - - - 100% - 53% 22% 100% 18% - 27% 100% 55% - - - (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) HJ N P BERNIE SANDERS 2 2 - 2 - - - 1 - 1 1 1 - 2 - 1 - - 1 - - 25% 29% - 35% - - - 100% - 23% 47% 17% - 30% - 22% - - 94% - - (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) IJ DON'T KNOW/UNSURE 3 2 1 1 1 - 1 - - 3 - 3 - 3 - 2 - 1 - - - 43% 35% 100% 21% 100% - 100% - - 77% - 61% - 52% - 51% - 45% 6% - - B D D HI K m Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 And of the following, who is best described by the phrase: Cares about people like me. BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% HILLARY CLINTON 233 64 35 35 33 41 25 103 130 8 18 62 53 92 10 49 44 27 48 55 61 44 68 58 47% 49% 45% 48% 43% 48% 44% 45% 48% 29% 30% 51% 48% 51% 21% 55% 47% 38% 47% 56% 52% 37% 43% 54% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) jK K JK OR O o O OR V Vw BERNIE SANDERS 154 41 19 19 30 26 20 73 81 14 28 32 37 44 23 25 25 29 32 20 28 41 54 31 31% 31% 24% 25% 39% 30% 35% 32% 30% 50% 47% 26% 34% 25% 46% 28% 28% 41% 32% 21% 24% 36% 34% 29% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) cd lN LN n pQT T t u u ROQUE "ROCKY" DE LA FUENTE 4 1 - 2 1 - - 1 3 - - 2 - 2 - 1 - - 1 2 2 2 - - 1% 1% - 2% 1% - - - 1% - - 2% - 1% - 1% - - 1% 2% 2% 1% - - (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) DON'T KNOW/UNSURE 85 20 19 17 10 10 10 39 45 2 11 20 16 35 11 9 19 11 16 17 21 24 27 13 17% 15% 24% 23% 12% 11% 18% 17% 17% 9% 18% 17% 14% 19% 23% 10% 21% 16% 16% 18% 18% 20% 17% 12% eF f p P OTHER 6 1 1 - - 4 - 3 3 2 - 1 1 2 2 1 - - 1 2 - 4 1 1 1% 1% 1% - - 4% - 1% 1% 7% - 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% - - 1% 2% - 3% 1% 1% deg u REFUSED 19 3 4 1 3 6 2 11 8 2 3 6 3 5 3 4 4 4 3 1 5 2 7 4 4% 2% 5% 1% 4% 7% 3% 5% 3% 6% 5% 5% 3% 3% 6% 5% 4% 5% 3% 1% 4% 2% 5% 4% Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 And of the following, who is best described by the phrase: Cares about people like me. BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% HILLARY CLINTON 233 208 25 91 116 12 13 98 82 46 115 110 100 113 11 127 47 85 64 29 5 47% 48% 36% 47% 50% 34% 38% 47% 51% 41% 66% 37% 41% 53% 45% 41% 55% 55% 45% 54% 57% (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) C f L M P BERNIE SANDERS 154 124 30 58 66 15 15 76 48 28 36 106 85 51 9 103 25 41 62 16 2 31% 29% 43% 30% 28% 42% 43% 36% 30% 25% 21% 35% 35% 24% 38% 33% 29% 27% 44% 29% 22% (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) B e J K N Rt ROQUE "ROCKY" DE LA FUENTE 4 4 - 1 3 - - 1 1 2 1 3 2 2 - 1 - 3 - 1 - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - 2% - 2% - (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) c DON'T KNOW/UNSURE 85 73 11 33 40 7 5 24 25 29 19 62 41 38 2 63 9 20 14 7 1 17% 17% 16% 17% 17% 19% 14% 12% 15% 26% 11% 21% 17% 18% 9% 20% 11% 13% 10% 13% 10% HI K Q OTHER 6 6 - 3 3 - - 3 1 2 - 6 2 3 - 3 3 4 - - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 2% - 2% 1% 1% - 1% 3% 3% - - - C fg K o stu REFUSED 19 15 3 9 6 2 2 6 5 5 4 14 12 5 2 14 1 2 2 1 1 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 5% 3% 3% 4% 2% 5% 5% 2% 8% 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 10% q Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Ernest T. Reeves, Chris Rey, Deborah K. Ross, and Kevin D. Griffin? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% QS qs TOTAL ROSS ---------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 113 45 15 18 11 10 13 48 64 5 11 27 29 41 8 22 18 15 26 24 17 22 42 33 23% 35% 19% 25% 14% 12% 23% 21% 24% 17% 18% 22% 26% 23% 17% 25% 19% 21% 25% 24% 14% 19% 26% 31% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) CEFg f U UV JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 63 18 10 5 16 13 2 23 41 5 7 14 15 22 5 9 8 11 15 14 9 13 23 19 13% 14% 13% 7% 20% 15% 4% 10% 15% 19% 10% 13% 14% 12% 10% 13% 8% 16% 13% 18% 8% 11% 16% 15% G g DG G q u TOTAL GRIFFIN ------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 35 6 9 5 4 8 2 19 16 3 5 5 9 12 7 5 7 3 8 5 14 8 9 4 7% 5% 12% 7% 5% 9% 3% 8% 6% 13% 9% 4% 8% 7% 14% 6% 7% 4% 8% 5% 12% 7% 6% 4% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) g wX JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 30 7 5 6 2 6 4 21 9 4 5 3 4 15 9 1 11 2 4 4 6 11 7 6 6% 5% 6% 9% 3% 6% 7% 9% 3% 16% 6% 3% 3% 8% 18% 1% 10% 3% 3% 5% 5% 10% 5% 5% I lm PRSt PrS TOTAL REY --------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 11 2 4 1 2 1 1 6 5 1 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 1 3 1 4 3 1 3 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3% (3) (4) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 16 4 1 2 3 4 2 8 8 - - 2 4 10 - 1 6 1 4 3 4 4 5 3 3% 3% 1% 3% 4% 5% 3% 3% 3% - - 2% 4% 5% - 2% 6% 1% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 2% JK JK O O o TOTAL REEVES ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 9 5 2 - 1 - 1 6 4 - 3 2 1 4 - 3 3 3 - 1 1 4 3 2 2% 4% 3% - 1% - 2% 2% 1% - 5% 2% 1% 2% - 3% 3% 4% - 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% (4) (3) (4) (4) (3) (4) (4) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (3) (4) DF j os TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 309 69 44 42 55 61 37 139 169 16 39 82 60 110 33 46 59 45 64 61 76 75 91 64 62% 53% 57% 58% 71% 72% 66% 60% 63% 59% 65% 67% 55% 61% 68% 52% 64% 63% 63% 62% 65% 65% 58% 60% Bcd Bcd b m p JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 351 93 54 51 53 57 43 159 192 15 57 74 77 128 36 49 75 45 90 57 82 77 100 88 70% 75% 70% 71% 67% 65% 72% 69% 71% 54% 76% 70% 73% 69% 68% 72% 68% 67% 74% 71% 77% 66% 68% 70% v Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Ernest T. Reeves, Chris Rey, Deborah K. Ross, and Kevin D. Griffin? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- DEFINITELY ROSS 87 35 11 16 8 8 9 36 51 5 9 20 20 33 7 16 13 13 18 20 11 17 32 27 17% 27% 14% 22% 10% 10% 16% 16% 19% 17% 15% 16% 18% 18% 14% 18% 14% 18% 18% 20% 9% 14% 20% 26% CEFg EF U UV PROBABLY ROSS 26 10 4 2 4 2 4 12 14 - 2 7 8 9 1 6 5 2 8 4 6 5 10 5 5% 8% 5% 3% 5% 2% 7% 5% 5% - 3% 6% 8% 5% 3% 7% 5% 3% 8% 4% 5% 4% 6% 5% f J J J DEFINITELY GRIFFIN 16 3 4 2 2 4 1 9 7 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 2 1 4 2 7 6 3 - 3% 2% 5% 3% 3% 5% 2% 4% 2% 7% 5% 2% 3% 2% 8% 4% 2% 1% 4% 2% 6% 5% 2% - X X x PROBABLY GRIFFIN 19 3 5 3 2 4 1 9 9 2 2 2 5 8 3 2 5 2 4 3 7 2 6 4 4% 3% 7% 5% 2% 5% 2% 4% 4% 6% 4% 2% 4% 4% 6% 2% 5% 3% 4% 3% 6% 2% 4% 4% DEFINITELY REY 10 2 4 - 2 1 1 6 4 - 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 - 3 1 3 3 1 3 2% 2% 5% - 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% - 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% - 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% d j J r r PROBABLY REY 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 1 - - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - - 2% - - - - - 5% - - - - - - - 2% - - 1% - - - DEFINITELY REEVES 5 3 1 - 1 - - 3 2 - 2 1 - 2 - 1 2 2 - - - 1 3 1 1% 2% 1% - 1% - - 1% 1% - 3% 1% - 1% - 1% 2% 2% - - - 1% 2% 1% PROBABLY REEVES 5 3 1 - - - 1 3 2 - 1 1 1 2 - 2 1 1 - 1 1 3 - 1 1% 2% 1% - - - 2% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 2% - 1% def LEAN REEVES 3 1 - - - 2 - 1 2 - - 1 1 1 1 - - - 1 1 1 - 1 1 1% 1% - - - 3% - - 1% - - 1% 1% 1% 2% - - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% LEAN REY 1 1 - - - - - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - - - 1 - - - 1% - - - - - 1% - 5% - - - - 3% - - - - - - 1% - - LEAN ROSS 9 3 1 - 3 1 1 4 5 - 2 - 3 4 1 1 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 2 2% 2% 1% - 4% 1% 2% 2% 2% - 3% - 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% d d jl JL LEAN GRIFFIN 4 - - 1 1 2 - 2 2 - 2 - 1 1 - - 2 2 - - 1 1 1 1 1% - - 2% 1% 2% - 1% 1% - 4% - 1% 1% - - 2% 3% - - 1% 1% 1% 1% HARD UNDECIDED 291 64 43 41 51 56 36 130 160 15 35 81 55 104 30 45 55 41 62 57 71 71 87 59 58% 49% 56% 56% 66% 66% 64% 57% 59% 54% 58% 66% 50% 58% 61% 51% 60% 58% 61% 59% 61% 61% 55% 56% B B b M NAMED OTHER 2 - - - - 1 1 1 1 - 1 - - 1 - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - - - - - - 1% 2% - - - 2% - - - - - 1% 2% - - - 1% 1% - REFUSED 21 2 3 6 4 3 2 12 10 2 - 4 8 7 - 10 2 3 1 6 5 4 11 1 4% 2% 4% 8% 6% 4% 3% 5% 4% 6% - 3% 8% 4% - 11% 2% 4% 1% 6% 4% 3% 7% 1% b k K K OQS Os X Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Ernest T. Reeves, Chris Rey, Deborah K. Ross, and Kevin D. Griffin? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% TOTAL ROSS ---------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 113 101 12 43 58 5 7 60 36 17 35 78 55 48 5 67 18 32 41 15 2 23% 23% 17% 22% 25% 15% 19% 29% 22% 16% 20% 26% 23% 23% 19% 21% 22% 21% 29% 28% 21% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) J JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 63 57 7 19 38 4 3 40 15 8 21 37 33 24 5 38 14 19 19 5 - 13% 13% 10% 10% 16% 12% 7% 19% 10% 7% 13% 12% 14% 12% 17% 12% 18% 13% 13% 8% - dg IJ U U U TOTAL GRIFFIN ------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 35 29 6 16 13 3 3 9 17 9 12 20 18 13 2 18 11 16 7 3 1 7% 7% 9% 8% 5% 8% 10% 4% 11% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 8% 6% 14% 10% 5% 5% 12% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (3) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) H p s JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 30 24 6 17 7 4 2 12 5 12 9 17 17 13 - 20 6 14 10 5 - 6% 6% 9% 9% 3% 12% 6% 5% 4% 10% 6% 5% 7% 6% - 6% 7% 9% 7% 8% - E i O O U U U TOTAL REY --------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 11 10 2 4 5 2 - 4 5 2 5 5 4 5 2 5 2 5 3 1 - 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 5% - 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 9% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% - (3) (3) (4) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (2) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) g G U u JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 16 16 - 8 8 - - 4 7 5 4 12 6 9 1 12 1 8 4 3 - 3% 4% - 4% 3% - - 2% 5% 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 3% 4% 1% 5% 3% 5% - C FG FG U u u TOTAL REEVES ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 9 6 4 4 2 2 2 5 3 2 3 6 6 4 - 8 1 3 3 2 - 2% 1% 5% 2% 1% 5% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% - 2% 1% 2% 2% 4% - (4) (4) (3) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (4) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) O o TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 309 264 45 117 147 22 22 127 93 72 112 178 149 132 13 199 49 92 79 32 6 62% 61% 64% 60% 63% 64% 64% 61% 57% 65% 64% 59% 62% 63% 53% 64% 57% 59% 55% 59% 67% JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 351 301 50 136 164 23 27 148 111 79 114 220 166 149 19 219 52 104 97 35 10 70% 70% 72% 69% 70% 68% 75% 68% 75% 65% 72% 71% 68% 72% 63% 69% 66% 67% 69% 63% 86% t Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Ernest T. Reeves, Chris Rey, Deborah K. Ross, and Kevin D. Griffin? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ DEFINITELY ROSS 87 77 10 30 47 5 4 47 30 10 25 61 43 37 4 52 15 25 30 12 2 17% 18% 14% 16% 20% 15% 12% 22% 18% 9% 15% 20% 18% 17% 16% 17% 18% 16% 21% 23% 21% J J PROBABLY ROSS 26 23 3 12 11 - 3 13 6 7 10 16 13 12 1 15 3 8 12 3 - 5% 5% 4% 6% 5% - 7% 6% 4% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 3% 5% 4% 5% 8% 5% - F F f U U DEFINITELY GRIFFIN 16 13 3 8 5 1 2 1 10 5 4 10 8 6 1 6 7 10 1 1 - 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% 5% - 6% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 8% 6% 1% 2% - H h p SU PROBABLY GRIFFIN 19 16 3 8 8 2 2 8 7 4 8 10 10 7 1 12 5 6 6 2 1 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 5% 5% 4% 5% 3% 5% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 6% 4% 4% 3% 12% DEFINITELY REY 10 8 2 4 4 2 - 4 5 1 5 5 4 5 1 5 1 4 3 1 - 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 5% - 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% - g G u u PROBABLY REY 1 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - 1 - 1 1 - - - - - - - 1% - - - - 1% - - - - 5% - 2% 1% - - - DEFINITELY REEVES 5 3 2 3 - - 2 3 1 1 1 3 3 2 - 3 1 1 2 1 - 1% 1% 2% 1% - - 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - PROBABLY REEVES 5 3 2 1 2 2 - 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 - 5 - 2 1 1 - 1% 1% 3% - 1% 5% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 2% - 1% 1% 2% - Q LEAN REEVES 3 3 - 1 2 - - - 2 1 2 1 2 1 - 1 2 2 - - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - - - 3% 1% - - - c LEAN REY 1 - 1 - - 1 - 1 - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - - - - - 2% - - 4% - 1% - - 1% - 1% - - - 2% - - - - LEAN ROSS 9 7 2 4 3 - 2 6 2 1 4 5 2 7 - 5 2 5 1 - - 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% - 5% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% - 2% 2% 3% 1% - - f mO TU LEAN GRIFFIN 4 4 - 2 2 - - 2 2 - 1 3 2 2 - 2 1 1 2 - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 2% - - C HARD UNDECIDED 291 249 42 109 140 21 21 117 87 70 103 169 141 122 13 191 42 84 75 32 6 58% 58% 59% 56% 59% 60% 59% 56% 53% 63% 59% 56% 58% 58% 53% 61% 50% 54% 53% 59% 67% q NAMED OTHER 2 2 - 1 1 - - - - 2 1 1 - 2 - 1 1 2 - - - - - - - 1% - - - - 2% 1% - - 1% - - 1% 1% - - - REFUSED 21 19 2 11 9 1 1 4 8 7 6 13 9 8 3 14 2 5 10 1 - 4% 5% 2% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 5% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 11% 4% 2% 3% 7% 2% - U tU Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for North Carolina Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Ken Spaulding or Roy Cooper? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% QS qs **D/S (SPAULDING - COOPER) -203 -60 -30 -29 -31 -27 -26 -102 -100 -11 -27 -43 -43 -78 -31 -28 -43 -19 -44 -37 -30 -51 -67 -54 -41% -46% -39% -39% -40% -32% -46% -45% -37% -42% -45% -35% -39% -43% -64% -32% -47% -27% -43% -38% -25% -44% -42% -51% o Oq vWX TOTAL SPAULDING --------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 59 19 6 12 9 9 4 32 27 3 3 19 13 20 1 17 14 9 8 9 17 12 16 14 12% 14% 7% 16% 12% 10% 8% 14% 10% 11% 5% 15% 12% 11% 2% 19% 15% 13% 8% 9% 14% 10% 10% 13% K OSt O O o JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 54 17 4 4 11 12 6 28 26 2 9 13 14 15 7 10 10 7 13 6 10 15 16 13 11% 14% 5% 6% 14% 13% 10% 12% 10% 9% 11% 13% 13% 8% 14% 15% 10% 11% 11% 7% 9% 12% 11% 10% Cd c c TOTAL COOPER ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 261 79 36 41 40 36 30 135 127 14 30 61 57 98 32 45 57 28 52 46 47 63 83 68 52% 60% 46% 55% 52% 42% 54% 59% 47% 53% 51% 50% 52% 55% 66% 51% 62% 40% 51% 48% 40% 54% 52% 64% cF I RT RT U U Uw JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 239 70 33 33 44 32 26 123 116 8 33 45 48 105 23 34 66 25 49 42 42 62 65 69 48% 56% 43% 45% 55% 37% 44% 54% 43% 30% 44% 42% 45% 56% 45% 50% 60% 36% 40% 52% 39% 53% 45% 54% cF F I jkLm RS r u U TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 171 31 34 19 26 40 21 58 113 10 25 40 39 57 16 24 19 33 41 39 53 40 53 24 34% 24% 44% 27% 34% 46% 38% 25% 42% 36% 42% 33% 35% 32% 32% 27% 21% 46% 41% 40% 45% 35% 34% 23% BD BD b H PQ PQ pQ wX x x JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 191 37 37 29 23 42 23 72 119 14 31 44 41 61 21 23 29 31 55 33 51 38 57 43 38% 29% 48% 40% 30% 48% 38% 31% 44% 50% 41% 42% 39% 33% 40% 33% 26% 46% 45% 41% 48% 32% 39% 34% BE BE H Q pQ q VX DEFINITELY SPAULDING 34 11 5 7 4 7 1 15 19 3 2 7 7 15 - 7 8 8 4 7 6 9 10 8 7% 8% 6% 10% 5% 8% 2% 7% 7% 11% 4% 6% 6% 8% - 7% 9% 11% 4% 7% 6% 8% 7% 8% G g g O O Os o O PROBABLY SPAULDING 25 8 1 5 5 2 3 17 7 - 1 11 7 6 1 11 6 1 4 2 10 3 5 6 5% 6% 2% 7% 6% 3% 6% 8% 3% - 2% 9% 6% 3% 2% 12% 6% 1% 4% 2% 9% 3% 3% 6% c I JKn J J ORsT Vw LEAN SPAULDING 3 1 - - 1 - 1 1 2 - - - 1 2 - - 1 - 1 1 1 - - 2 1% 1% - - 1% - 2% - 1% - - - 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% 1% - - 2% UNDECIDED 146 24 31 17 22 33 19 47 99 7 20 36 33 49 13 19 15 27 37 34 48 33 48 16 29% 18% 40% 24% 29% 38% 34% 20% 37% 26% 34% 29% 30% 27% 26% 21% 16% 39% 37% 35% 41% 28% 30% 15% BD b Bd B H PQ PQ PQ vwX X X Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for North Carolina Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Ken Spaulding or Roy Cooper? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LEAN COOPER 23 6 4 2 3 7 1 10 12 3 5 4 5 6 3 5 3 5 3 4 5 7 5 6 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% 8% 2% 5% 5% 10% 9% 3% 4% 3% 6% 5% 3% 7% 3% 4% 4% 6% 3% 6% g PROBABLY COOPER 71 14 12 11 15 8 11 31 40 5 12 14 12 28 8 9 14 11 14 15 18 19 22 13 14% 11% 16% 15% 20% 9% 20% 14% 15% 17% 20% 11% 11% 16% 17% 11% 15% 15% 14% 15% 15% 16% 14% 12% bf f DEFINITELY COOPER 190 65 23 30 25 28 19 103 87 10 18 48 44 70 24 36 43 17 38 32 29 44 61 56 38% 50% 30% 41% 32% 33% 35% 45% 32% 36% 30% 39% 40% 39% 49% 41% 47% 24% 37% 33% 24% 38% 38% 52% CEFg I Rt R RT r U U UVW REFUSED 8 2 2 1 2 1 - 4 4 - 1 2 1 4 - 2 2 1 - 3 1 1 6 - 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% - 2% 1% - 2% 2% 1% 2% - 3% 2% 1% - 3% 1% 1% 4% - J os uvX Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for North Carolina Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Ken Spaulding or Roy Cooper? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% **D/S (SPAULDING - COOPER) -203 -167 -35 -85 -83 -18 -17 -88 -76 -37 -54 -145 -106 -80 -5 -129 -35 -47 -73 -21 -4 -41% -39% -50% -43% -35% -51% -50% -42% -47% -33% -31% -48% -44% -38% -20% -42% -41% -30% -51% -38% -40% L M S TOTAL SPAULDING --------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 59 51 8 29 22 4 4 27 17 15 30 25 24 30 5 35 8 25 14 10 2 12% 12% 11% 15% 9% 10% 13% 13% 10% 14% 17% 8% 10% 14% 20% 11% 10% 16% 9% 18% 24% L s JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 54 44 9 22 23 6 4 18 17 18 30 23 29 20 3 32 11 20 17 7 - 11% 10% 13% 11% 10% 17% 10% 8% 11% 15% 19% 7% 12% 10% 9% 10% 14% 13% 12% 13% - h L U U U TOTAL COOPER ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 261 218 43 113 105 21 22 115 92 52 84 170 130 110 10 164 43 72 87 31 6 52% 51% 62% 58% 45% 61% 62% 55% 57% 47% 48% 57% 54% 52% 40% 53% 51% 46% 61% 57% 64% b E e E j k R JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 239 209 30 109 100 15 15 114 55 62 67 155 121 110 3 154 30 59 75 27 6 48% 49% 43% 55% 43% 44% 42% 52% 37% 51% 43% 50% 50% 53% 11% 48% 38% 38% 53% 49% 49% E I I O O R TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 171 154 17 49 105 9 8 65 52 41 59 99 83 69 9 107 33 56 41 13 1 34% 36% 25% 25% 45% 26% 23% 31% 32% 36% 34% 33% 34% 33% 37% 35% 38% 36% 29% 25% 12% C DFG U JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 191 162 29 60 102 12 17 80 74 34 54 123 89 72 19 122 33 69 47 19 6 38% 38% 41% 30% 44% 37% 45% 37% 50% 28% 34% 40% 36% 35% 63% 38% 42% 45% 33% 35% 51% D d HJ MN s DEFINITELY SPAULDING 34 30 4 14 16 1 4 14 10 10 18 13 14 18 3 20 6 15 6 6 2 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 2% 10% 7% 6% 9% 10% 4% 6% 8% 12% 6% 7% 10% 4% 11% 24% L s PROBABLY SPAULDING 25 21 4 15 7 3 1 13 7 5 12 13 11 12 2 15 2 10 7 4 - 5% 5% 5% 7% 3% 8% 2% 6% 4% 4% 7% 4% 5% 6% 8% 5% 2% 6% 5% 8% - Eg U U U LEAN SPAULDING 3 3 - 1 2 - - 2 1 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 1 - - 1% 1% - - 1% - - 1% 1% - 1% - - 1% 4% - 1% 1% 1% - - UNDECIDED 146 132 14 40 92 7 7 51 45 37 50 82 71 59 8 94 24 45 35 10 - 29% 31% 20% 20% 39% 20% 20% 24% 28% 33% 29% 27% 29% 28% 33% 30% 28% 29% 24% 19% - C DFG U U U Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for North Carolina Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Ken Spaulding or Roy Cooper? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ LEAN COOPER 23 20 3 8 12 2 1 13 6 4 7 16 12 8 - 13 8 9 6 3 1 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 6% 3% 6% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% - 4% 9% 6% 4% 6% 12% O O PROBABLY COOPER 71 57 15 25 32 7 8 29 24 17 29 40 37 27 2 39 12 23 25 7 1 14% 13% 21% 13% 14% 19% 23% 14% 15% 15% 17% 13% 15% 13% 8% 13% 14% 15% 17% 13% 13% DEFINITELY COOPER 190 162 29 89 73 15 14 86 68 35 55 130 94 82 8 125 31 49 62 24 5 38% 38% 41% 45% 31% 42% 40% 41% 42% 31% 31% 43% 39% 39% 32% 40% 37% 31% 43% 44% 51% E j j K R REFUSED 8 6 2 4 3 1 1 1 1 4 2 6 4 3 1 5 1 3 1 - - 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% - - Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, If the Democratic Primary Election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote between: Holly Jones, Ronald L. Newton, Robert Earl Wilson, and Linda Coleman? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% QS qs TOTAL COLEMAN ------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 115 42 18 18 13 15 8 47 68 3 14 31 32 35 12 22 13 14 32 23 20 26 42 26 23% 32% 23% 25% 17% 18% 15% 20% 25% 12% 23% 25% 29% 19% 23% 24% 14% 20% 31% 23% 17% 23% 27% 24% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) EFG jn q Q u JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 75 25 10 8 17 10 5 32 43 5 8 17 15 30 8 10 15 9 19 15 10 15 29 20 15% 20% 13% 10% 21% 12% 9% 14% 16% 19% 11% 16% 14% 16% 15% 14% 14% 13% 16% 18% 9% 13% 20% 16% dG G U TOTAL JONES ----------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 41 7 4 1 8 6 15 22 18 2 6 9 7 16 6 6 11 3 10 5 9 6 14 11 8% 5% 5% 2% 10% 7% 28% 10% 7% 7% 10% 7% 7% 9% 12% 6% 12% 4% 9% 6% 8% 6% 9% 10% (2) (2) (2) (4) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) D BCDEF r JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 37 5 3 10 3 6 10 16 21 3 4 8 8 13 - 7 9 8 9 5 6 11 8 9 7% 4% 4% 14% 4% 7% 17% 7% 8% 10% 6% 8% 8% 7% - 11% 8% 12% 7% 6% 5% 10% 6% 7% Bce BCEf O O O O O TOTAL WILSON ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 12 - - 5 2 3 2 8 4 - 1 3 1 8 1 2 5 1 - 3 2 4 4 2 2% - - 7% 2% 4% 3% 4% 1% - 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% 3% 5% 2% - 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (4) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) BC bc Jm S JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 19 6 4 1 3 1 3 11 8 2 2 5 4 6 2 3 6 5 3 - 2 10 4 4 4% 5% 6% 1% 4% 2% 6% 5% 3% 7% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 7% 2% - 2% 9% 3% 3% t T T t Uwx TOTAL NEWTON ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 10 1 3 2 2 2 - 4 6 1 1 1 2 4 - 1 3 2 1 3 5 1 3 1 2% 1% 4% 3% 2% 2% - 2% 2% 5% 2% 1% 2% 2% - 1% 3% 3% 1% 3% 4% 1% 2% 1% (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (4) o o JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 13 1 - 3 4 6 - 10 3 2 3 1 2 6 5 2 3 - 1 2 5 2 3 2 3% 1% - 3% 5% 7% - 4% 1% 9% 3% 1% 2% 3% 10% 2% 3% - 1% 3% 5% 2% 2% 2% cg BCG i rs r Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote between: Holly Jones, Ronald L. Newton, Robert Earl Wilson, and Linda Coleman? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 298 73 49 40 51 55 31 135 163 19 38 74 61 105 30 51 54 47 58 57 77 75 82 62 60% 56% 63% 55% 66% 64% 54% 59% 60% 71% 64% 60% 56% 58% 60% 57% 59% 67% 57% 59% 65% 65% 52% 59% W W JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 325 84 54 45 50 59 34 145 180 12 53 66 72 121 34 42 69 41 82 56 79 71 91 84 65% 67% 70% 62% 63% 68% 56% 63% 67% 44% 71% 63% 68% 65% 65% 62% 63% 61% 67% 70% 74% 60% 63% 66% j Vw DEFINITELY COLEMAN 82 34 12 15 6 9 6 34 48 3 8 20 20 30 9 12 12 9 20 19 13 16 34 19 16% 26% 15% 21% 8% 10% 11% 15% 18% 12% 14% 17% 18% 17% 19% 14% 14% 12% 20% 19% 11% 14% 22% 18% cEFG Ef Uv PROBABLY COLEMAN 33 8 6 3 7 7 2 12 20 - 5 10 12 5 2 9 1 5 11 4 7 11 8 7 7% 6% 8% 5% 9% 8% 3% 5% 8% - 9% 8% 11% 3% 4% 11% 1% 8% 11% 4% 6% 9% 5% 7% J Jn JN J Qt q Qt DEFINITELY JONES 23 3 3 1 5 3 8 15 8 2 2 2 6 12 5 2 8 - 4 4 6 5 7 6 5% 2% 3% 2% 7% 3% 15% 7% 3% 7% 3% 2% 5% 7% 10% 2% 9% - 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% BCDF i L R pR R r PROBABLY JONES 17 4 1 - 2 3 7 7 10 - 4 7 2 5 1 4 3 3 5 2 4 1 7 5 3% 3% 1% - 3% 3% 13% 3% 4% - 7% 6% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% 4% 5% 2% 3% 1% 5% 5% D BCDEf J J J v v DEFINITELY WILSON 6 - - 4 2 - 1 4 3 - 1 - - 5 1 - 3 - - 3 2 3 2 - 1% - - 5% 2% - 2% 2% 1% - 2% - - 3% 2% - 3% - - 3% 2% 2% 1% - bcf JLM prs PROBABLY WILSON 6 - - 1 - 3 1 4 1 - - 3 1 2 - 2 2 1 - - - 1 2 2 1% - - 2% - 4% 2% 2% - - - 2% 1% 1% - 3% 2% 2% - - - 1% 1% 2% bce DEFINITELY NEWTON 6 1 2 1 - 2 - 1 5 1 1 1 - 3 - - 1 2 1 2 4 - 1 1 1% 1% 2% 2% - 2% - - 2% 5% 2% 1% - 1% - - 1% 3% 1% 2% 3% - 1% 1% v PROBABLY NEWTON 4 - 1 1 2 - - 3 1 - - - 2 2 - 1 2 - - 1 1 1 2 - 1% - 1% 1% 2% - - 1% - - - - 2% 1% - 1% 2% - - 1% 1% 1% 1% - Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote between: Holly Jones, Ronald L. Newton, Robert Earl Wilson, and Linda Coleman? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- HARD UNDECIDED 275 66 44 40 46 50 30 124 151 19 37 67 56 95 30 46 48 45 54 52 70 71 76 55 55% 51% 56% 55% 59% 58% 53% 54% 56% 71% 62% 55% 51% 53% 60% 52% 53% 64% 53% 53% 60% 61% 49% 52% m w W LEAN COLEMAN 15 5 3 - 4 3 - 8 7 - 1 4 4 6 - 4 4 2 1 4 4 4 3 4 3% 4% 4% - 5% 3% - 3% 3% - 2% 3% 3% 3% - 5% 4% 3% 1% 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% DG DG dg j j J o O O LEAN JONES 4 1 1 - - 2 - 1 3 - - - 2 2 - - 1 - 2 1 1 - 1 2 1% 1% 1% - - 3% - - 1% - - - 2% 1% - - 1% - 2% 1% 1% - 1% 2% LEAN NEWTON 2 - 1 - 1 - - 1 1 - - 2 - - - 1 - - 1 - 1 - 1 - - - 2% - 1% - - - - - - 2% - - - 1% - - 1% - 1% - 1% - LEAN WILSON 2 1 - - - - 1 1 1 - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 - 1% - - - - 1% - - - - - - 1% - - 1% - - 1% 1% - - 1% NAMED OTHER 2 2 - - - - - 2 - - - 1 - 1 1 - 1 - - - - - - 2 - 2% - - - - - 1% - - - 1% - 1% 2% - 1% - - - - - - 2% REFUSED 23 6 4 6 2 5 - 12 11 2 - 5 6 11 - 7 5 3 1 7 5 4 12 2 5% 5% 6% 8% 2% 5% - 5% 4% 6% - 4% 5% 6% - 8% 5% 4% 1% 7% 4% 3% 8% 2% G g G G K K K OS Os OS vX Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote between: Holly Jones, Ronald L. Newton, Robert Earl Wilson, and Linda Coleman? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% TOTAL COLEMAN ------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 115 107 8 42 65 4 3 52 39 22 55 55 58 48 7 62 23 41 35 6 5 23% 25% 11% 22% 28% 12% 10% 25% 24% 20% 31% 18% 24% 23% 29% 20% 28% 26% 25% 11% 55% (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) C G FG L T T rsT JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 75 63 12 26 37 6 6 33 20 20 32 36 42 29 3 41 12 17 19 8 3 15% 15% 17% 13% 16% 18% 16% 15% 13% 17% 20% 11% 17% 14% 8% 13% 16% 11% 14% 15% 30% L TOTAL JONES ----------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 41 33 8 19 14 4 4 21 15 4 6 31 21 16 2 29 4 9 18 9 - 8% 8% 11% 10% 6% 10% 12% 10% 9% 4% 3% 10% 9% 7% 7% 9% 5% 6% 12% 16% - (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (4) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) J j K U rU rU JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 37 33 4 15 18 1 3 21 6 10 8 25 17 15 5 31 3 9 20 4 - 7% 8% 5% 8% 8% 3% 7% 10% 4% 8% 5% 8% 7% 7% 17% 10% 3% 6% 14% 6% - I Q U RtU u TOTAL WILSON ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 12 11 1 7 4 1 - 2 5 5 3 9 5 8 - 8 1 5 3 2 - 2% 3% 1% 4% 2% 3% - 1% 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 4% - 3% 1% 3% 2% 4% - (3) (3) (4) (3) (4) (3) (4) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (4) (3) G g O O U u JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 19 18 1 11 7 - 1 5 6 8 7 9 13 6 1 12 4 9 6 2 - 4% 4% 1% 6% 3% - 2% 2% 4% 7% 5% 3% 5% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 4% 3% - c F F h U U TOTAL NEWTON ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 10 8 2 3 5 1 1 4 - 5 2 6 2 6 1 5 2 4 4 1 - 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% - 5% 1% 2% 1% 3% 5% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% - (4) (4) (3) (4) (3) (4) (3) (3) (2) (4) (4) (4) (4) (3) (4) (3) (4) (3) (4) i I m U u JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 13 12 1 9 3 1 - 9 3 1 5 8 7 5 1 8 4 5 6 1 - 3% 3% 1% 5% 1% 2% - 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 5% 3% 4% 2% - eG g J U U Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote between: Holly Jones, Ronald L. Newton, Robert Earl Wilson, and Linda Coleman? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 298 248 50 110 138 25 26 123 95 65 103 181 145 123 14 187 53 92 74 35 4 60% 58% 72% 57% 59% 70% 73% 59% 59% 58% 59% 60% 60% 58% 56% 60% 63% 59% 52% 64% 45% B De JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 325 277 48 123 153 22 26 139 106 68 97 213 150 142 15 205 50 107 83 35 8 65% 64% 69% 63% 66% 66% 72% 64% 71% 57% 61% 68% 62% 69% 51% 64% 62% 70% 59% 62% 70% J s DEFINITELY COLEMAN 82 76 6 31 45 3 2 36 32 13 44 36 37 38 6 40 19 32 24 4 4 16% 18% 8% 16% 19% 10% 7% 17% 20% 12% 25% 12% 15% 18% 25% 13% 23% 20% 17% 8% 44% C g fG j L p T t T PROBABLY COLEMAN 33 31 2 12 19 1 1 16 7 10 11 19 21 10 1 22 4 9 11 2 1 7% 7% 2% 6% 8% 2% 3% 8% 4% 9% 6% 6% 9% 5% 4% 7% 5% 6% 8% 3% 12% C fg n DEFINITELY JONES 23 18 5 13 6 2 2 12 9 2 2 18 10 11 1 15 4 6 10 4 - 5% 4% 7% 6% 2% 7% 7% 6% 6% 2% 1% 6% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 7% 7% - e j j K U U u PROBABLY JONES 17 15 3 6 8 1 2 9 6 2 3 13 11 5 1 14 - 3 8 5 - 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 4% 5% 2% 3% 5% - 2% 5% 9% - Q U rU DEFINITELY WILSON 6 5 1 3 3 1 - 1 3 3 2 4 1 5 - 2 1 5 2 - - 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% - - 2% 2% 1% 1% - 3% - 1% 1% 3% 1% - - mO TU PROBABLY WILSON 6 6 - 4 1 - - 1 2 2 1 4 4 2 - 6 - - 1 2 - 1% 1% - 2% 1% - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% - 2% - - 1% 4% - C FG o Q DEFINITELY NEWTON 6 4 2 - 4 1 1 2 - 3 - 4 - 5 1 2 2 4 2 - - 1% 1% 2% - 2% 2% 3% 1% - 3% - 1% - 2% 5% 1% 3% 3% 1% - - D i k M TU PROBABLY NEWTON 4 4 - 3 1 - - 2 - 2 2 2 2 2 - 3 - - 2 1 - 1% 1% - 1% - - - 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% - - 1% 2% - c Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote between: Holly Jones, Ronald L. Newton, Robert Earl Wilson, and Linda Coleman? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ HARD UNDECIDED 275 228 48 100 127 24 24 113 86 62 92 169 137 107 14 171 50 79 71 32 4 55% 53% 68% 51% 54% 68% 69% 54% 53% 56% 53% 56% 57% 51% 56% 55% 59% 51% 50% 58% 45% B d De LEAN COLEMAN 15 13 2 7 6 1 1 9 4 2 7 8 5 10 - 12 2 8 3 1 - 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 5% - 4% 2% 5% 2% 2% - O O U u LEAN JONES 4 4 - 1 3 - - - 3 1 3 1 1 3 - 2 1 2 - 1 - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - - 2% 1% 2% - - 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 2% - c fg h o LEAN NEWTON 2 2 - 1 1 - - - 2 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - 1% - 1% - - 1% - - - 1% - 2% - LEAN WILSON 2 1 1 1 - - 1 2 - - - 2 - 2 - 1 - 1 - - - - - 1% - - - 2% 1% - - - 1% - 1% - - - - - - - NAMED OTHER 2 2 - 2 - - - - - 2 - 2 1 1 - 2 - - - - - - - - 1% - - - - - 2% - 1% - - - 1% - - - - - REFUSED 23 21 2 11 10 1 1 6 7 8 6 17 10 10 1 19 1 5 10 1 - 5% 5% 3% 6% 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 7% 3% 6% 4% 5% 4% 6% 1% 3% 7% 2% - Q U U Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Josh Stein or Marcus W. Williams? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% **D/S (STEIN - WILLIAMS) -15 22 -12 -14 6 -8 -10 -14 -1 -1 -4 -4 -11 5 -5 -7 -2 - -7 6 -16 3 -8 6 -3% 17% -16% -19% 8% -9% -17% -6% -1% -4% -6% -3% -10% 3% -10% -8% -2% -1% -7% 6% -14% 3% -5% 6% CDeFG CDFG H M KLM oPS OPQRS UW U UW TOTAL STEIN 84 42 5 6 18 8 5 35 49 5 8 19 17 36 6 12 17 12 18 20 8 25 25 26 ----------- 17% 32% 6% 8% 23% 10% 8% 15% 18% 17% 13% 15% 16% 20% 13% 13% 18% 17% 17% 20% 7% 22% 16% 24% CDFG CDFG U U Uw TOTAL WILLIAMS 100 20 17 20 12 16 14 49 51 6 12 22 29 31 11 19 19 12 25 13 24 22 32 20 -------------- 20% 16% 23% 27% 15% 18% 25% 21% 19% 22% 20% 18% 26% 17% 23% 21% 20% 17% 25% 14% 21% 19% 21% 19% be n t TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED 297 63 53 43 45 58 35 136 162 17 37 78 59 105 30 52 53 45 58 58 83 66 87 59 -------------------- 59% 49% 68% 59% 58% 68% 63% 59% 60% 61% 62% 64% 54% 59% 62% 58% 58% 63% 57% 60% 71% 57% 55% 56% B B b VWX DEFINITELY STEIN 62 31 4 5 13 5 5 26 36 5 6 14 11 27 6 9 11 7 12 17 4 18 18 22 12% 24% 5% 7% 16% 6% 8% 11% 13% 17% 10% 12% 10% 15% 13% 10% 12% 11% 12% 17% 3% 16% 11% 21% CDFG CdF U U UW PROBABLY STEIN 22 11 1 1 6 3 - 9 13 - 2 4 6 9 - 3 6 4 6 3 5 7 7 4 4% 9% 1% 1% 7% 4% - 4% 5% - 4% 4% 6% 5% - 3% 7% 6% 6% 3% 4% 6% 4% 3% CDG CdG g j J J O o O o LEAN STEIN 10 3 1 1 2 1 2 4 6 1 3 - 3 3 1 1 2 4 - 3 4 1 3 2 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 5% 5% - 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 5% - 3% 4% 1% 2% 2% l l s UNDECIDED 272 56 47 42 42 55 31 123 149 15 33 75 52 97 28 48 47 40 56 53 74 63 80 53 54% 43% 60% 57% 54% 65% 54% 53% 55% 55% 55% 61% 47% 54% 58% 54% 51% 57% 55% 55% 63% 54% 51% 50% B b B M wx LEAN WILLIAMS 15 4 5 - 1 2 3 9 6 - 1 3 5 6 1 3 5 1 2 3 5 2 4 4 3% 3% 6% - 1% 2% 5% 4% 2% - 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 5% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 4% d D d j J J PROBABLY WILLIAMS 34 7 6 6 4 6 5 17 18 1 1 9 11 12 - 10 7 3 8 6 12 8 7 6 7% 5% 8% 8% 5% 7% 9% 7% 7% 4% 2% 7% 10% 7% - 11% 8% 5% 8% 6% 11% 7% 5% 6% k K k O O o O O w DEFINITELY WILLIAMS 65 13 11 14 8 9 9 32 33 5 11 14 17 19 11 9 12 9 17 7 12 13 25 14 13% 10% 15% 20% 10% 11% 16% 14% 12% 18% 18% 11% 16% 11% 23% 10% 13% 13% 17% 7% 10% 11% 16% 13% pT T REFUSED 19 4 2 4 3 3 2 10 9 - 3 4 5 8 1 6 3 2 1 6 2 3 13 1 4% 3% 3% 6% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% - 5% 3% 4% 4% 2% 7% 3% 3% 1% 6% 1% 3% 8% 1% j j J J s s UVX Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Josh Stein or Marcus W. Williams? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% **D/S (STEIN - WILLIAMS) -15 -19 3 -18 -1 4 -1 14 -13 -15 -23 9 -11 -3 -2 2 -12 -20 6 3 -1 -3% -4% 5% -9% - 12% -2% 7% -8% -13% -13% 3% -5% -1% -8% - -14% -13% 5% 5% -14% B D DEG D IJ K M Q R R TOTAL STEIN 84 70 14 27 43 8 6 46 25 13 22 59 40 37 3 53 12 17 32 12 3 ----------- 17% 16% 20% 14% 18% 24% 17% 22% 16% 12% 13% 20% 17% 17% 14% 17% 14% 11% 22% 21% 31% J K R TOTAL WILLIAMS 100 89 11 45 44 4 7 32 39 28 45 50 51 40 5 51 24 38 25 9 4 -------------- 20% 21% 16% 23% 19% 12% 19% 16% 24% 25% 25% 17% 21% 19% 21% 16% 29% 24% 18% 17% 45% f h h L P TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED 297 254 43 113 141 22 21 125 94 63 103 177 140 127 15 195 47 95 80 32 2 -------------------- 59% 59% 62% 58% 60% 64% 59% 60% 58% 57% 59% 59% 58% 60% 61% 63% 55% 61% 56% 60% 24% U U U DEFINITELY STEIN 62 52 10 21 31 5 5 33 22 8 16 46 28 29 2 38 9 12 24 10 2 12% 12% 15% 11% 13% 15% 14% 16% 13% 7% 9% 15% 12% 14% 10% 12% 11% 8% 17% 18% 21% J j K R r PROBABLY STEIN 22 18 4 6 12 3 1 13 4 5 6 14 12 8 1 15 3 5 8 2 1 4% 4% 6% 3% 5% 9% 2% 6% 2% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% 5% 4% 10% i LEAN STEIN 10 9 2 4 5 - 2 8 1 1 2 8 3 6 - 5 3 5 3 2 - 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% - 5% 4% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 3% - 2% 4% 3% 2% 3% - f F Ij o O U u UNDECIDED 272 233 40 102 130 20 19 110 90 57 96 159 132 111 15 181 42 84 73 27 2 54% 54% 57% 53% 55% 58% 55% 53% 55% 51% 55% 53% 55% 53% 61% 58% 50% 54% 51% 51% 24% U u LEAN WILLIAMS 15 13 2 7 6 2 - 7 3 5 5 10 5 10 - 9 1 6 4 3 - 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 5% - 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 5% - 3% 1% 4% 3% 6% - G G O O U u u PROBABLY WILLIAMS 34 31 4 16 15 1 3 14 7 13 13 21 17 15 1 20 4 10 11 3 1 7% 7% 5% 8% 6% 3% 7% 7% 4% 12% 7% 7% 7% 7% 3% 7% 5% 7% 8% 5% 12% I DEFINITELY WILLIAMS 65 58 7 29 29 3 4 18 32 15 32 29 34 25 5 31 20 28 14 6 3 13% 13% 10% 15% 12% 9% 12% 9% 19% 13% 18% 10% 14% 12% 18% 10% 24% 18% 10% 12% 33% H L P S REFUSED 19 17 2 10 7 - 2 5 4 8 5 14 10 8 1 13 2 5 6 1 - 4% 4% 2% 5% 3% - 5% 2% 2% 7% 3% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 2% 3% 5% 2% - F F hi U U Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Treasurer were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Dan Blue III or Ron Elmer? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% QS qs **D/S (BLUE III - ELMER) 70 36 9 5 12 3 5 36 34 5 -1 -1 19 47 2 16 18 - 2 32 19 17 14 18 14% 28% 12% 7% 15% 3% 9% 16% 12% 18% -2% - 17% 26% 3% 18% 20% - 2% 33% 16% 15% 9% 17% CDEFG F F KL KL KLm ORS ORS r OPQRS w TOTAL BLUE III -------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 144 53 19 18 22 20 12 73 72 5 9 26 36 68 11 29 33 8 24 39 30 35 43 36 29% 41% 25% 24% 28% 24% 21% 32% 27% 18% 16% 21% 33% 38% 23% 32% 36% 12% 24% 40% 25% 30% 27% 34% CDeFG Kl jKL R Rs R ORS JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 102 35 9 17 18 13 11 50 52 3 4 20 24 52 4 17 29 7 22 23 17 26 30 30 20% 28% 11% 23% 23% 15% 19% 22% 19% 9% 5% 19% 22% 28% 7% 25% 26% 11% 18% 29% 16% 22% 20% 24% CF c c K K JKl OR OR O OR TOTAL ELMER ----------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 75 17 10 12 10 18 7 37 38 - 10 27 17 21 10 13 14 9 22 7 11 18 29 17 15% 13% 13% 17% 13% 20% 13% 16% 14% - 18% 22% 15% 12% 20% 15% 16% 12% 22% 8% 9% 15% 18% 16% J JN J J t t T U JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 52 14 9 5 10 8 7 30 22 7 9 12 8 16 11 7 13 10 9 3 15 15 16 6 10% 11% 11% 6% 12% 10% 12% 13% 8% 26% 13% 11% 8% 9% 21% 10% 12% 15% 7% 4% 14% 13% 11% 5% i sT T t X X x TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 261 56 44 38 41 46 36 108 153 22 37 65 50 86 26 39 42 52 54 47 73 61 74 52 52% 43% 57% 52% 54% 53% 64% 47% 57% 82% 62% 53% 46% 48% 53% 44% 46% 73% 53% 48% 62% 52% 47% 49% b B H kLMN Mn OPQST Wx JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 318 74 54 46 48 61 34 139 179 15 56 67 72 108 36 41 61 44 84 51 71 69 89 85 64% 60% 70% 63% 61% 71% 56% 60% 66% 54% 74% 64% 68% 58% 69% 61% 56% 65% 69% 63% 66% 59% 61% 67% g N n Q DEFINITELY BLUE III 101 42 12 13 12 15 7 52 49 3 8 14 26 49 9 18 25 6 17 26 20 23 30 27 20% 33% 16% 17% 16% 17% 12% 22% 18% 13% 14% 11% 24% 27% 18% 20% 27% 9% 17% 27% 17% 20% 19% 25% CDEFG L jKL R Rs Rs PROBABLY BLUE III 44 11 7 5 10 6 5 21 22 2 1 13 10 19 3 11 8 2 7 13 10 12 13 9 9% 8% 9% 7% 13% 6% 9% 9% 8% 6% 2% 10% 9% 10% 5% 12% 9% 3% 7% 13% 8% 10% 8% 9% K K K R R LEAN BLUE III 13 3 3 - 2 4 2 6 8 1 1 1 3 7 1 2 3 1 1 5 5 - 4 5 3% 3% 4% - 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 5% 2% 1% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 5% 4% - 2% 4% d d l s V v V UNDECIDED 239 51 39 36 37 42 34 97 142 21 33 63 46 76 24 35 38 48 53 40 65 58 68 47 48% 39% 51% 50% 48% 49% 61% 42% 53% 76% 55% 51% 42% 42% 49% 40% 41% 68% 52% 41% 55% 50% 43% 45% B H kLMN n oPQST p w Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Treasurer were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Dan Blue III or Ron Elmer? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LEAN ELMER 8 2 2 2 3 - - 5 4 - 3 1 1 3 1 2 2 2 - 2 3 3 2 - 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% - - 2% 1% - 5% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% - 2% 3% 2% 1% - fg j j x PROBABLY ELMER 26 6 3 4 5 8 1 13 13 - 2 10 7 8 - 7 6 2 9 2 5 7 7 7 5% 4% 4% 5% 6% 9% 2% 6% 5% - 4% 8% 6% 4% - 8% 6% 3% 9% 2% 4% 6% 4% 7% G J J J Ot O OT DEFINITELY ELMER 49 12 7 8 6 10 6 24 25 - 8 17 10 13 10 6 9 6 13 5 6 11 22 10 10% 9% 9% 11% 7% 11% 11% 10% 9% - 14% 14% 9% 7% 20% 6% 9% 9% 13% 6% 5% 10% 14% 9% J Jn J J pT t U REFUSED 20 3 4 6 4 2 1 12 7 - 3 5 7 5 2 8 3 2 1 4 4 3 11 1 4% 3% 5% 8% 5% 3% 2% 5% 3% - 5% 4% 6% 3% 4% 9% 3% 3% 1% 4% 3% 3% 7% 1% j J J J S vX Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Treasurer were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Dan Blue III or Ron Elmer? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% **D/S (BLUE III - ELMER) 70 72 -3 36 36 - -3 42 24 3 47 21 14 57 -1 45 5 34 24 6 -3 14% 17% -4% 18% 15% 1% -8% 20% 15% 2% 27% 7% 6% 27% -5% 14% 6% 22% 17% 12% -34% C FG FG g J J L O MO Q tU U U TOTAL BLUE III -------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 144 133 11 66 68 7 4 66 51 27 70 72 58 79 4 89 22 55 43 18 2 29% 31% 16% 34% 29% 20% 12% 32% 31% 24% 40% 24% 24% 37% 17% 29% 26% 36% 30% 34% 21% C fG G L MO JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 102 95 7 47 48 3 4 44 30 25 42 53 46 51 5 63 14 29 31 14 3 20% 22% 10% 24% 21% 9% 11% 20% 20% 21% 26% 17% 19% 25% 17% 20% 18% 19% 22% 25% 22% C FG F L TOTAL ELMER ----------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 75 61 14 30 31 7 7 24 27 24 23 51 44 22 5 45 18 21 20 12 5 15% 14% 19% 15% 13% 19% 20% 11% 16% 22% 13% 17% 18% 10% 22% 14% 21% 14% 14% 22% 55% H N RSt JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 52 45 7 27 18 4 4 18 11 21 19 30 30 19 3 31 13 23 18 5 - 10% 10% 11% 13% 8% 11% 10% 8% 8% 18% 12% 9% 12% 9% 9% 10% 16% 15% 13% 9% - e HI U U U TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 261 218 43 88 130 20 23 113 80 53 74 165 127 103 15 164 45 75 71 24 2 52% 51% 62% 45% 55% 57% 66% 54% 49% 47% 43% 55% 52% 49% 61% 53% 53% 48% 49% 44% 24% b D D K u JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 318 267 51 114 153 25 26 142 102 65 88 210 157 128 16 205 47 93 86 32 9 64% 62% 73% 58% 65% 75% 71% 65% 69% 54% 56% 67% 64% 62% 54% 64% 58% 61% 61% 58% 78% b D j J K DEFINITELY BLUE III 101 92 9 47 45 5 4 47 37 16 52 47 39 57 2 59 17 41 31 12 2 20% 21% 13% 24% 19% 14% 12% 22% 23% 14% 29% 16% 16% 27% 9% 19% 20% 27% 22% 22% 21% c G j j L MO PROBABLY BLUE III 44 42 2 19 22 2 - 19 14 11 18 25 19 21 2 30 6 14 12 6 - 9% 10% 3% 10% 10% 5% - 9% 8% 10% 10% 8% 8% 10% 8% 10% 7% 9% 9% 12% - C G G U U U LEAN BLUE III 13 9 4 4 5 2 2 9 4 1 3 10 3 9 - 9 3 4 4 3 - 3% 2% 6% 2% 2% 5% 7% 4% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 4% - 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% - J mO u u u UNDECIDED 239 203 36 81 122 16 20 98 74 52 68 151 118 92 15 148 41 70 62 21 2 48% 47% 52% 42% 52% 47% 57% 47% 45% 46% 39% 50% 49% 43% 61% 48% 48% 45% 44% 39% 24% D d K Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Treasurer were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Dan Blue III or Ron Elmer? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ LEAN ELMER 8 6 2 3 3 2 1 5 3 - 4 5 6 2 - 7 1 1 4 - - 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% 4% 3% 3% 2% - 2% 2% 2% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 3% - - J j O TU PROBABLY ELMER 26 20 6 9 10 4 3 9 5 12 7 19 17 7 - 17 7 6 8 4 3 5% 5% 9% 5% 4% 10% 8% 4% 3% 11% 4% 6% 7% 3% - 6% 8% 4% 6% 7% 34% hI nO O rst DEFINITELY ELMER 49 42 7 21 21 3 4 15 22 13 17 31 27 15 5 27 11 15 12 8 2 10% 10% 10% 11% 9% 9% 12% 7% 13% 11% 9% 10% 11% 7% 22% 9% 13% 10% 8% 15% 21% h REFUSED 20 17 2 11 7 2 1 6 4 7 7 12 12 7 - 13 - 4 9 - - 4% 4% 4% 6% 3% 5% 2% 3% 3% 7% 4% 4% 5% 3% - 4% - 2% 7% - - O O Q tu TU Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Henry J. Pankey or June Atkinson? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% QS qs **D/S (PANKEY - ATKINSON) -150 -62 -19 -17 -24 -18 -10 -69 -81 1 -11 -42 -47 -51 -7 -30 -32 -10 -46 -25 -34 -20 -47 -49 -30% -48% -24% -23% -30% -21% -18% -30% -30% 5% -18% -34% -43% -29% -14% -34% -35% -14% -45% -26% -28% -17% -30% -46% B B b B B KLMN lM m PQS PQS s x wX x TOTAL PANKEY ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 35 6 6 7 6 6 4 17 18 6 6 9 2 12 8 5 4 7 2 8 6 14 12 4 7% 5% 7% 9% 8% 7% 7% 8% 7% 22% 10% 7% 2% 7% 17% 6% 4% 10% 2% 8% 5% 12% 8% 4% M M m M pQS s s uX JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 36 7 3 5 9 9 3 17 19 8 3 6 6 12 7 4 5 5 7 7 11 7 7 10 7% 6% 3% 6% 12% 10% 6% 7% 7% 29% 5% 6% 6% 6% 14% 7% 5% 7% 6% 9% 11% 6% 5% 8% c klm TOTAL ATKINSON -------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 185 69 24 24 30 24 14 87 99 5 17 51 49 64 15 36 36 17 48 33 39 34 59 53 37% 53% 31% 33% 38% 28% 26% 38% 37% 18% 28% 41% 45% 35% 31% 40% 39% 24% 47% 34% 33% 29% 37% 50% CDEFG Jk JK j R R oRt UVw JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 166 56 25 24 24 21 16 71 95 4 24 35 40 63 15 24 32 22 42 31 22 44 50 50 33% 45% 32% 33% 30% 24% 27% 31% 35% 16% 33% 33% 37% 34% 29% 35% 30% 32% 35% 39% 20% 37% 34% 40% cEFG j U U U TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 259 52 44 35 39 52 37 116 143 16 35 59 53 95 24 42 50 45 50 48 68 62 78 49 52% 40% 57% 48% 50% 61% 65% 50% 53% 60% 58% 48% 48% 53% 49% 47% 55% 64% 50% 49% 58% 54% 50% 46% B B Bde pst x JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 276 61 43 39 45 54 34 132 144 12 43 59 58 104 29 37 66 36 68 41 69 60 80 64 55% 49% 56% 53% 57% 62% 58% 57% 53% 44% 58% 56% 55% 56% 55% 55% 60% 52% 55% 51% 64% 51% 55% 51% b vx DEFINITELY PANKEY 24 4 6 4 3 3 4 14 10 5 6 7 1 6 8 3 3 6 1 3 3 9 10 2 5% 3% 7% 5% 4% 3% 7% 6% 4% 17% 10% 5% 1% 3% 17% 3% 3% 8% 1% 3% 3% 8% 6% 1% m Mn m PQST s X X PROBABLY PANKEY 11 2 - 3 3 3 - 3 8 2 - 2 1 7 - 2 1 2 1 5 2 5 2 2 2% 1% - 4% 4% 4% - 1% 3% 6% - 2% 1% 4% - 3% 1% 2% 1% 6% 2% 4% 1% 2% cg c Km Oqs LEAN PANKEY 3 - - 1 1 - 1 2 1 - - 1 - 2 - 1 1 - - 1 1 1 - 1 1% - - 2% 1% - 1% 1% - - - 1% - 1% - 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% UNDECIDED 233 48 39 32 34 48 33 104 130 15 32 54 47 85 23 36 45 40 46 43 62 56 70 43 47% 37% 51% 44% 43% 56% 58% 45% 48% 55% 53% 44% 43% 47% 46% 41% 49% 57% 45% 44% 53% 48% 45% 40% b B Be p x Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Henry J. Pankey or June Atkinson? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LEAN ATKINSON 23 4 5 2 5 4 3 10 13 1 3 4 6 8 1 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 8 5 5% 3% 6% 3% 6% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 2% 5% 5% 7% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% PROBABLY ATKINSON 53 10 7 5 12 11 7 27 26 - 4 18 14 17 3 14 10 6 11 9 17 8 14 15 11% 8% 9% 7% 15% 13% 12% 12% 10% - 7% 14% 13% 9% 6% 16% 10% 8% 11% 10% 14% 7% 9% 14% J J J J o v DEFINITELY ATKINSON 132 58 17 18 18 13 7 60 73 5 13 33 35 47 12 21 26 12 37 24 23 26 45 38 26% 45% 22% 25% 23% 15% 13% 26% 27% 18% 21% 27% 32% 26% 25% 24% 29% 16% 36% 25% 19% 23% 29% 36% CDEFG g r pRt u UV REFUSED 20 3 3 7 3 3 1 10 10 - 2 4 6 9 2 6 2 1 1 8 5 6 9 1 4% 2% 4% 10% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% - 3% 3% 5% 5% 4% 7% 2% 2% 1% 8% 4% 5% 6% 1% bg j J J S qrS X Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Henry J. Pankey or June Atkinson? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% **D/S (PANKEY - ATKINSON) -150 -117 -33 -54 -63 -16 -17 -73 -52 -24 -45 -104 -83 -66 1 -91 -26 -42 -49 -16 -3 -30% -27% -47% -28% -27% -44% -50% -35% -32% -22% -26% -35% -35% -31% 4% -29% -30% -27% -34% -30% -28% C h MN TOTAL PANKEY ------------ MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 35 33 2 15 18 2 - 11 14 10 18 15 13 14 7 20 9 15 9 5 2 7% 8% 3% 8% 8% 6% - 5% 9% 9% 10% 5% 5% 7% 27% 6% 11% 10% 6% 10% 24% C G G L MN JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 36 34 1 17 17 - 1 17 8 9 9 25 23 11 2 23 10 17 9 1 2 7% 8% 2% 9% 7% - 4% 8% 6% 7% 6% 8% 9% 5% 6% 7% 12% 11% 6% 2% 20% C F F T t TOTAL ATKINSON -------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 185 150 35 69 81 18 17 84 66 34 63 119 96 80 6 111 35 57 58 22 5 37% 35% 50% 35% 35% 50% 50% 40% 41% 31% 36% 40% 40% 38% 23% 36% 41% 37% 40% 40% 52% B e e o JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 166 146 21 63 83 9 12 75 42 46 54 101 83 72 7 106 22 45 54 19 4 33% 34% 30% 32% 36% 26% 33% 34% 28% 38% 34% 32% 34% 35% 23% 33% 28% 30% 38% 35% 31% i TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 259 228 31 101 127 15 17 107 79 58 84 155 121 108 13 168 40 79 68 26 2 52% 53% 45% 52% 54% 42% 48% 51% 49% 52% 48% 52% 50% 51% 51% 54% 47% 51% 47% 48% 24% u JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 276 232 44 110 123 22 22 117 95 56 87 172 131 117 15 172 43 86 72 31 6 55% 54% 62% 56% 53% 66% 59% 54% 64% 47% 55% 55% 54% 57% 51% 54% 54% 56% 51% 56% 50% hJ DEFINITELY PANKEY 24 23 1 13 10 1 - 10 8 6 15 6 11 7 6 12 8 11 6 4 1 5% 5% 1% 7% 4% 2% - 5% 5% 5% 9% 2% 4% 4% 23% 4% 10% 7% 4% 8% 12% C G G L mN PROBABLY PANKEY 11 10 1 2 8 1 - 1 6 4 3 8 2 7 1 8 1 4 3 1 1 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% - - 4% 4% 2% 3% 1% 3% 4% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 12% G H h LEAN PANKEY 3 2 1 2 - - 1 2 1 - 1 2 1 2 - 2 - 1 1 1 - 1% - 1% 1% - - 2% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% - - 1% 2% - UNDECIDED 233 206 27 91 115 13 14 92 71 55 77 139 106 99 12 148 37 74 58 20 1 47% 48% 39% 47% 49% 36% 41% 44% 44% 49% 44% 46% 44% 47% 48% 48% 43% 47% 40% 36% 13% U U u Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Henry J. Pankey or June Atkinson? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ LEAN ATKINSON 23 20 3 8 11 2 2 13 7 3 6 15 13 8 1 18 3 5 9 5 1 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 6% 4% 3% 6% 9% 11% PROBABLY ATKINSON 53 41 12 22 20 5 6 29 11 13 18 34 28 23 2 39 6 18 17 8 - 11% 10% 17% 11% 8% 15% 18% 14% 6% 11% 10% 11% 12% 11% 7% 12% 8% 12% 12% 15% - I U U U DEFINITELY ATKINSON 132 109 23 47 62 12 11 55 55 22 45 85 68 57 4 72 28 39 41 14 5 26% 25% 33% 24% 26% 35% 31% 27% 34% 20% 26% 28% 28% 27% 16% 23% 33% 25% 28% 25% 52% J p REFUSED 20 19 2 9 9 1 1 6 4 9 9 11 11 9 - 13 1 3 8 1 - 4% 4% 2% 5% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 8% 5% 4% 5% 4% - 4% 1% 2% 6% 2% - hi O O q u U Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Labor Commissioner were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Charles Meeker or Mazie Ferguson? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% **D/S (MEEKER - FERGUSON) 28 38 -3 -1 -8 -3 5 17 11 2 -3 13 8 9 5 12 1 -3 7 7 2 -5 11 19 6% 29% -4% -2% -10% -3% 9% 8% 4% 6% -4% 10% 7% 5% 9% 13% 1% -4% 7% 7% 2% -5% 7% 18% CDEFG e CDEF K Kn K K qR QR R QR QR V uV UVW TOTAL MEEKER 104 52 12 9 7 12 11 51 53 6 11 27 28 31 13 22 15 11 25 17 16 18 35 33 ------------ 21% 40% 15% 13% 10% 13% 19% 22% 20% 24% 18% 22% 25% 17% 27% 25% 16% 15% 25% 18% 14% 15% 23% 31% CDEFG u UV TOTAL FERGUSON 75 14 15 11 15 14 6 33 42 5 13 15 20 23 9 11 14 14 18 10 14 23 24 14 -------------- 15% 11% 19% 15% 20% 17% 11% 14% 16% 18% 22% 12% 18% 13% 18% 12% 15% 19% 18% 11% 12% 20% 16% 13% b u TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED 300 61 45 47 51 58 37 135 164 16 34 76 55 118 26 48 61 44 57 63 85 70 85 58 -------------------- 60% 47% 58% 65% 66% 67% 66% 59% 61% 58% 56% 62% 50% 66% 54% 54% 66% 62% 56% 64% 72% 60% 54% 54% B B B B m M p vWX DEFINITELY MEEKER 83 41 10 9 6 9 7 41 42 6 10 22 21 24 12 17 11 10 19 13 14 14 29 25 17% 32% 13% 13% 7% 11% 13% 18% 16% 24% 16% 18% 19% 13% 25% 20% 12% 14% 19% 14% 12% 12% 18% 24% CDEFG UV PROBABLY MEEKER 21 11 2 - 2 2 4 10 11 - 1 5 7 7 1 5 4 1 6 4 2 4 7 8 4% 8% 3% - 2% 2% 7% 4% 4% - 2% 4% 6% 4% 2% 6% 4% 2% 6% 4% 2% 4% 4% 7% cDEf D J J J U LEAN MEEKER 14 4 1 4 1 1 3 7 7 - 1 5 - 7 - 3 4 2 1 3 1 6 5 2 3% 3% 1% 5% 1% 1% 5% 3% 2% - 2% 4% - 4% - 4% 4% 3% 1% 4% 1% 5% 3% 2% JM JM o O o u UNDECIDED 273 54 42 42 46 56 34 125 148 14 30 70 54 104 25 44 55 38 54 55 79 61 77 55 55% 41% 54% 57% 60% 65% 60% 54% 55% 53% 50% 57% 49% 58% 51% 50% 60% 54% 53% 56% 67% 52% 49% 52% b B B B B VWX LEAN FERGUSON 13 3 2 2 4 1 1 3 10 1 3 1 1 6 1 - 2 4 2 4 5 4 3 1 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 1% 1% 1% 4% 5% 5% 1% 1% 3% 2% - 2% 5% 2% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% h l p P PROBABLY FERGUSON 30 6 8 3 5 7 1 16 14 2 5 2 9 12 4 4 9 3 5 6 9 7 8 5 6% 5% 10% 4% 7% 8% 2% 7% 5% 6% 8% 2% 8% 7% 7% 5% 9% 4% 5% 6% 8% 6% 5% 5% G g l L L DEFINITELY FERGUSON 45 8 8 8 10 7 5 17 28 3 8 12 11 10 5 6 5 11 13 5 4 16 16 9 9% 6% 10% 11% 13% 8% 9% 7% 10% 12% 14% 10% 10% 6% 10% 7% 6% 15% 13% 5% 4% 14% 10% 9% b n qT qT U U REFUSED 21 2 6 6 4 2 2 11 11 - 2 5 6 8 1 8 2 2 1 7 3 5 12 1 4% 2% 7% 8% 5% 3% 3% 5% 4% - 4% 4% 6% 4% 2% 9% 2% 3% 1% 7% 3% 4% 8% 1% J J J oqS qS uX Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 If the Democratic Primary Election for Labor Commissioner were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Charles Meeker or Mazie Ferguson? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% **D/S (MEEKER - FERGUSON) 28 25 4 17 7 - 3 18 5 4 -1 32 23 5 -4 31 - -13 13 9 4 6% 6% 5% 9% 3% 1% 10% 9% 3% 4% - 11% 10% 2% -16% 10% - -9% 9% 17% 40% EF f Ij K NO o Q R R Rs TOTAL MEEKER 104 91 12 45 46 5 7 47 37 19 30 72 60 36 5 69 19 23 33 16 5 ------------ 21% 21% 17% 23% 20% 15% 19% 22% 23% 17% 17% 24% 25% 17% 19% 22% 22% 15% 23% 30% 52% k N r R Rs TOTAL FERGUSON 75 67 9 28 39 5 3 29 32 15 31 40 36 30 9 38 19 37 20 7 1 -------------- 15% 16% 12% 14% 16% 15% 10% 14% 20% 13% 18% 13% 15% 14% 34% 12% 23% 24% 14% 12% 12% mn P St TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED 300 251 49 111 140 25 24 126 87 71 107 173 135 136 11 189 46 89 80 31 3 -------------------- 60% 58% 69% 57% 60% 70% 69% 61% 53% 63% 61% 58% 56% 64% 43% 61% 55% 58% 56% 58% 36% b mo DEFINITELY MEEKER 83 73 10 36 36 5 6 35 31 17 27 55 50 26 4 53 17 20 23 11 5 17% 17% 15% 19% 15% 13% 17% 17% 19% 15% 15% 18% 21% 12% 15% 17% 20% 13% 16% 21% 52% N RSt PROBABLY MEEKER 21 19 2 9 10 1 1 12 6 2 3 17 10 10 1 16 2 3 10 5 - 4% 4% 2% 5% 4% 2% 3% 6% 4% 2% 2% 6% 4% 5% 4% 5% 2% 2% 7% 9% - j K u RU rU LEAN MEEKER 14 12 2 5 7 2 - 6 4 4 6 8 8 6 - 9 1 3 6 4 - 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 6% - 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% - 3% 1% 2% 4% 8% - G G O O U U UNDECIDED 273 228 45 104 125 22 23 112 81 66 95 159 123 123 11 170 44 83 70 27 3 55% 53% 64% 53% 53% 62% 67% 54% 50% 59% 54% 53% 51% 58% 43% 55% 52% 53% 49% 50% 36% b LEAN FERGUSON 13 11 2 2 9 1 1 9 2 1 6 7 4 6 - 9 1 4 5 - - 3% 3% 2% 1% 4% 2% 2% 4% 1% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% - 3% 2% 3% 3% - - d ij o O Tu TU PROBABLY FERGUSON 30 27 3 14 13 2 1 13 13 4 9 20 16 15 - 19 7 15 10 1 1 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 7% 3% 6% 8% 4% 5% 7% 7% 7% - 6% 8% 10% 7% 2% 12% O O T t DEFINITELY FERGUSON 45 40 5 14 26 3 2 16 19 10 22 20 21 16 9 19 13 22 10 6 - 9% 9% 7% 7% 11% 8% 7% 8% 12% 9% 12% 7% 9% 7% 34% 6% 15% 14% 7% 10% - l MN P sU U U REFUSED 21 21 1 11 10 - 1 6 6 7 7 14 11 10 1 16 - 5 9 - - 4% 5% 1% 6% 4% - 2% 3% 4% 7% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% - 4% 7% - - C F F Q TU TU Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 Please tell me if you would vote FOR or AGAINST the Connect NC Public Improvement Bond, which will be on the ballot this March and reads: The issuance of two billion dollars State of North Carolina Public Improvement Bonds constituting general obligation bonds of the State secured by a pledge of the faith and credit and taxing power of the State for the purpose of providing funds, with any other available funds, to fund capital improvements and new facilities for the State, including, without limitation, the construction and furnishing of new facilities and the renovation and rehabilitation of existing facilities for, without limitation, the University of North Carolina System, the North Carolina Community College System, water and sewer systems, the State's National Guard, the Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services, attractions and parks, and the Department of Public Safety. BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% QS qs **D/S (FOR - AGAINST) 253 68 43 37 39 37 30 112 141 19 45 69 60 60 30 44 38 55 62 25 58 52 78 64 51% 52% 55% 51% 51% 43% 53% 49% 52% 71% 75% 56% 54% 33% 61% 49% 42% 77% 61% 25% 49% 45% 49% 60% N LMN N N QT T T oPQST QT Vw FOR --- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 345 94 53 46 54 57 40 155 189 23 50 85 77 109 38 58 59 59 75 55 78 78 105 82 69% 72% 69% 63% 70% 67% 71% 68% 70% 86% 84% 69% 70% 61% 77% 65% 65% 83% 73% 57% 67% 67% 67% 77% lN LMN n T PQT T uvw JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 328 80 50 52 51 62 32 147 180 23 55 65 76 109 41 41 66 48 84 48 59 85 102 78 66% 64% 65% 71% 65% 72% 54% 64% 67% 82% 73% 61% 72% 59% 79% 60% 60% 71% 69% 59% 55% 72% 70% 62% g G n N N PQT U U AGAINST ------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 91 26 11 9 15 20 10 43 48 4 5 16 18 49 8 14 21 4 13 30 20 26 27 18 18% 20% 14% 12% 19% 24% 18% 19% 18% 14% 9% 13% 16% 27% 16% 16% 23% 6% 13% 31% 17% 22% 17% 17% d KLM r Rs OPRS JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 69 13 11 9 16 7 13 37 33 - 6 13 18 33 3 13 21 4 16 12 16 12 21 19 14% 11% 15% 12% 20% 8% 22% 16% 12% - 8% 12% 17% 18% 7% 19% 19% 6% 13% 15% 15% 11% 15% 15% f bF J J Jk JK oR OR DON'T KNOW/NEED MORE 62 10 13 18 8 8 5 29 33 - 4 21 15 21 2 17 10 7 14 12 19 13 24 7 INFORMATION 12% 7% 17% 25% 10% 10% 9% 13% 12% - 7% 17% 14% 12% 4% 19% 11% 10% 14% 12% 16% 11% 15% 6% b BEFG J Jk J J O o X X REFUSED 2 - - - 1 - 1 2 - - - 1 - 1 1 - 1 - - - - - 2 - - - - - 1% - 2% 1% - - - 1% - 1% 2% - 1% - - - - - 1% - Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 Please tell me if you would vote FOR or AGAINST the Connect NC Public Improvement Bond, which will be on the ballot this March and reads: The issuance of two billion dollars State of North Carolina Public Improvement Bonds constituting general obligation bonds of the State secured by a pledge of the faith and credit and taxing power of the State for the purpose of providing funds, with any other available funds, to fund capital improvements and new facilities for the State, including, without limitation, the construction and furnishing of new facilities and the renovation and rehabilitation of existing facilities for, without limitation, the University of North Carolina System, the North Carolina Community College System, water and sewer systems, the State's National Guard, the Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services, attractions and parks, and the Department of Public Safety. BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% **D/S (FOR - AGAINST) 253 214 40 90 124 22 18 134 79 35 89 156 143 84 14 170 42 69 89 23 7 51% 50% 57% 46% 53% 63% 50% 64% 49% 31% 51% 52% 59% 40% 56% 55% 50% 44% 62% 43% 76% d IJ J N RT RT FOR --- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 345 293 52 128 165 27 24 161 109 64 116 213 178 134 19 220 59 102 110 36 8 69% 68% 74% 66% 70% 78% 70% 78% 67% 58% 66% 71% 74% 63% 76% 71% 70% 66% 77% 67% 88% IJ N R rt JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 328 285 43 124 160 23 20 150 94 78 111 199 161 133 24 209 58 109 87 41 8 66% 66% 61% 63% 69% 69% 54% 69% 63% 65% 70% 64% 66% 64% 78% 65% 73% 71% 61% 74% 73% g s AGAINST ------- MAR 3, 5-7, 2016 91 79 12 38 41 5 7 28 30 30 27 57 35 50 5 51 17 33 21 13 1 18% 18% 17% 20% 17% 15% 19% 13% 19% 27% 16% 19% 15% 24% 20% 16% 20% 21% 15% 24% 12% H M JAN 13-14 & 16, 2016 69 57 12 34 23 3 9 24 20 22 17 47 37 30 - 54 4 14 28 5 2 14% 13% 17% 17% 10% 9% 25% 11% 13% 18% 11% 15% 15% 14% - 17% 5% 9% 19% 9% 19% E Ef O O Q Rt DON'T KNOW/NEED MORE 62 56 6 27 29 3 4 19 21 17 32 28 28 27 - 39 9 20 13 5 - INFORMATION 12% 13% 9% 14% 12% 7% 11% 9% 13% 15% 18% 9% 12% 13% - 13% 10% 13% 9% 9% - L O O U U U REFUSED 2 2 - 2 - - - - 1 - - 2 - 1 1 1 - - - - - - - - 1% - - - - 1% - - 1% - - 4% - - - - - - Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016

And thinking about the November General Election for one moment, of the following candidates in the Republican Presidential Primary field - which candidate could you see yourself possibly voting for in November: John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, or Ted Cruz? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 130 77 73 78 86 56 230 270 27 60 123 110 180 49 88 92 71 102 97 118 116 157 106 100% 26% 15% 15% 16% 17% 11% 46% 54% 5% 12% 25% 22% 36% 10% 18% 18% 14% 20% 19% 24% 23% 31% 21% JOHN KASICH 122 34 23 10 20 22 12 74 48 5 14 24 32 46 12 29 33 12 20 17 31 25 36 31 24% 26% 30% 14% 26% 26% 22% 32% 18% 19% 23% 20% 29% 26% 24% 33% 36% 16% 20% 17% 26% 21% 23% 29% (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) D D d d I RsT RST MARCO RUBIO 65 15 6 14 10 10 10 23 42 3 13 20 10 19 9 6 8 16 14 12 15 19 21 9 13% 12% 8% 18% 13% 11% 18% 10% 15% 11% 22% 16% 10% 10% 17% 7% 9% 23% 14% 12% 13% 16% 14% 9% (2) (2) (4) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (3) (2) (2) (3) (2) (2) (3) (3) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) c h mn PQt TED CRUZ 39 10 10 6 3 5 5 21 19 3 4 10 10 13 6 8 7 4 7 7 13 12 8 6 8% 8% 12% 9% 4% 6% 9% 9% 7% 10% 7% 8% 9% 7% 12% 9% 7% 6% 7% 7% 11% 10% 5% 5% (3) (3) (2) (3) (4) (4) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (2) (4) (3) (3) (4) (3) (4) (3) (3) e w DONALD TRUMP 39 9 9 3 9 6 3 19 19 4 4 4 11 15 5 5 9 4 6 9 10 15 8 5 8% 7% 12% 4% 11% 7% 5% 8% 7% 16% 6% 4% 10% 8% 11% 5% 10% 6% 6% 9% 9% 13% 5% 4% (4) (4) (3) (4) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (2) (4) (4) (2) (3) (4) (4) (2) (4) (4) (3) (4) (3) (4) (4) d l l WX NONE/DON'T KNOW 235 62 28 40 36 43 27 93 142 12 25 65 46 87 18 40 35 35 54 53 48 46 84 56 47% 48% 37% 55% 46% 50% 47% 40% 53% 44% 42% 53% 42% 48% 36% 45% 38% 49% 53% 54% 41% 39% 53% 52% C H oQ oQ UV uv Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA DEM PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 3, 5-7, 2016 And thinking about the November General Election for one moment, of the following candidates in the Republican Presidential Primary field - which candidate could you see yourself possibly voting for in November: John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump, or Ted Cruz? BANNER 2 MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE EMPLOYMENT STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K DEM DEM IND IND AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL DEM IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 430 70 195 235 35 35 208 162 111 175 300 241 211 25 311 85 155 143 54 9 100% 86% 14% 39% 47% 7% 7% 42% 32% 22% 35% 60% 48% 42% 5% 62% 17% 31% 29% 11% 2% JOHN KASICH 122 100 22 62 39 12 10 52 47 23 35 86 62 52 6 81 20 31 45 19 1 24% 23% 31% 32% 17% 34% 27% 25% 29% 20% 20% 29% 26% 25% 25% 26% 24% 20% 31% 34% 12% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) E E K Ru ru MARCO RUBIO 65 50 15 17 33 6 9 27 26 11 22 38 38 24 4 46 11 26 25 6 3 13% 12% 21% 9% 14% 17% 25% 13% 16% 10% 12% 13% 16% 11% 14% 15% 13% 17% 17% 11% 35% (2) (2) (2) (3) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (4) (2) (2) (2) (2) (3) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) b D TED CRUZ 39 37 3 18 19 3 - 9 11 19 14 24 18 16 1 27 5 17 11 - - 8% 9% 4% 9% 8% 7% - 4% 7% 17% 8% 8% 7% 8% 5% 9% 6% 11% 7% - - (3) (3) (4) (2) (3) (4) (4) (3) (2) (3) (4) (3) (4) (4) (3) (4) (3) (3) c G G g HI TU TU DONALD TRUMP 39 31 7 14 18 6 2 11 9 15 4 32 13 20 5 25 7 12 8 5 - 8% 7% 10% 7% 8% 16% 5% 5% 5% 13% 2% 11% 5% 9% 22% 8% 8% 8% 6% 9% - (4) (4) (3) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (4) (3) (4) (3) (2) (4) (3) (4) (4) (3) HI K m U U U NONE/DON'T KNOW 235 211 24 84 127 9 15 109 69 44 100 120 112 100 8 132 41 69 55 25 5 47% 49% 34% 43% 54% 25% 43% 53% 43% 39% 57% 40% 46% 47% 33% 42% 49% 44% 38% 46% 53% C F DF iJ L Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J K/L M/N/O P/Q R/S/T/U N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

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