María Paz CigaránNational Environmental CouncilPresidency of the Ministerial Cabinet - PERU

Towards a National Adaptation Strategy in Peru:

Climate Change into Development Paris, March 21 2005

THIS IS THIS IS PERUPERU

Pisco - Paracas

Nùmero de Emergencias entre 1995-2001

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

A 1995 A 1996 A 1997 A 1998 A 1999 A 2000 A 2001

INCREASING TREND OF ANNUAL EMERGENCIES

1995-2001

Growing trendGrowing trend

FEN 98FEN 98 South South EarthquakeEarthquake

Number of emergencies

Source: Historical Data Bank

National System of Civil Defense

EMERGENCIES RELATED TO NATURAL HAZARDS 1995-2001

ALUD

ALUVIONDERRUMBE DE CERRODESLIZAMIENTOGRANIZADAHELADAHUAYCO (LLOCLLA)INUNDACIONLLUVIA INTENSAMARETAZO (MAREJADA)NEVADASISMOSISMO (EPICENTRO)(vacías)

Floods 47% intense rains 15%, Huaycos (landslides) 13%, landslides 9% Source

Multisectoral Commission of Risk Reduction for Development

At least 84 % of declared emergencies due to climate risks

Glacier shrinkage in the White Cordillera: Example of Artesonraju Glacier

1932 19471952

1984 1999 2002

COUNTRY POLICY Nº 10Poverty Reduction

COUNTRY POLICY Nº 19Sustainable Development and

Environmental Management

NATIONAL AGREEMENT

FOR GOVERNABILITY AND DEVELOPMENT

PROCLIM

NATIONAL STRATEGY

ON CLIMATE CHANGE

LET’S CLEAN THE AIR

By supreme decree

By supreme decree

EmissionInfo and control

The process towards an Adaptation Strategy

1 NC Is Peru Vulnerable: Preliminary results

BC (2003 – 2005): Bottom up/3 areas/different approaches

Vulnerability mapSample: 3 other areas

US$ Disastres costed/can cost

HDI / GDP

Sectoral V&A (infraestructure)

MEF involved: Regional Budget allocation/Ministries Budget/ PINS

National Adaptation Strategy•Policy: Regional/Sectoral•Research and climate info•Instrument: Budget allocation/PINS/EIA/LUP•GDP / HDI monitoring

Integrated Vulnerability Integrated Vulnerability Assessment in PiuraAssessment in Piura

Regional climate scenarios: • El Niño Event• Change in average intensity of rains

Analysis on 5 crops:Lemon, rice, cotton, corn, vulnerable to intense rains and incrase in temperature

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PAITA

AYABACA

PACAIPAMPA

LA BREA

LA HUACA

SULLANA

SONDOR

MARCAVELICA

LAS LOMAS

MIGUEL CHECA

HUANCABAMBA

SAPILLICA LAGUNAS

SONDORILLO

COLAN

VICHAYAL

QUERECOTILLO

PAIMAS

IGNACIO ESCUDEROAMOTAPE

TAMARINDO

ARENAL BELLAVISTA

VICE

FRIAS

PIURA

BERNAL

SECHURA

CHALACO

YAMANGO

CASTILLA

CATACAOS

LA ARENA

LA UNION

MORROPON

LALAQUIZ

SALITRAL

HUARMACA

CURA MORI

EL TALLAN

CANCHAQUE

CHULUCANAS

LA MATANZA

TAMBO GRANDE

BUENOS AIRES

SANTO DOMINGO

CRISTO NOS VALGA

SAN JUAN DE BIGOTE

BELLAVISTA DE LA UNION

SANTA CATALINA DE MOSSA

SAN MIGUEL DE EL FAIQUE

SALITRAL

ECUAD

OR

LAMBAYEQUE

OCEANO PACIFIC

O

RINCONADA DE LLICUAR

N

EW

S

520000

520000

560000

560000

600000

600000

640000

640000

680000

680000

9360

000 9360000

9400

000 9400000

9440

000 9440000

9480

000 9480000

Incidencia de Deslizamientos y Huaycos en la decada 1990-1999

1 evento

LEYENDA

Capital de distrito#Y

Centros poblados#

Límite Departamental

Límite Distrital

Límite de Cuenca

Límite de Zonas de Interés

Hidrografía

Lagunas

SIGNOS CONVENCIONALES

PATRONES DE RIESGOS DE DESASTRE ASOCIADOS CON LOS EFECTOS LOCALESDEL CAMBIO CLIMATICO GLOBAL EN LA REGION DE PIURA:

PROCESOS SOCIALES, VULNERABILIDAD Y ADAPTACION

INCIDENCIA ESPACIAL DE DESLIZAMIENTOS Y HUAYCOS EN LA DECADA 1990-1999 EN LA CUENCA DEL RIO PIURA

SEGUN REGISTROS DEL DESINVENTAR

Elaboración:

ITDG LAOficina Regional para América LatinaPrograma de Desastres yGobernabilidad LocalPDGL-SIG

Fuente:

Mapa Base de la Cuenca del Río PiuraINRENABase de Datos DesInventarITDG

Fecha: 27/08/2004

Escala: 1:550,000

Mapa N°

28(La incidencia de eventos se basa en eventos extremos registrados por el DesInventar)

02/04/1992

04/02/1994

07/02/1994

04/02/1994

Impact on population:• Disaster analysis• Land use• Extreme weather events

• Low part of the river basin: Increment in floods (Piura city, Catacaos)

e avance: Piura (1)

Impact on fisheries/coast:• Impacted species

POSTERS

Alto y medio Piura

POSTERS

Litoral

POSTERS

Piura Ciudad

The process towards an Adaptation Strategy

1 NC Is Peru Vulnerable: Preliminary results

BC (2003 – 2005): Bottom up/3 areas/different approaches

Vulnerability mapSample: 3 other areas

US$ Disastres costed/can cost

HDI / GDP

Sectoral V&A (infraestructure)

MEF involved: Regional Budget allocation/Ministries Budget/ PINS

National Adaptation Strategy•Policy: Regional/Sectoral•Research and climate info•Instrument: Budget allocation/PINS/EIA/LUP•GDP / HDI monitoring

Selva Alta, Alto Mayo basin

Sierra Cordillera Blanca, glacier zone, coastal area

Sierra of Cusco, glacier zone

Highlands, Titicaca Lake basin

Approach to Priority Approach to Priority Areas for V&A Areas for V&A

assessment assessment

Integrated map of climate risks (including droughts),

agrobiodiversity and human development

index

Piura: El Niño

Mantaro Basin, Hydro and agriculture

Socioeconomic conditions - poverty

Vulnerable to climate variability: no prevention

culture

Insufficient information and management

Climate Change – still in the environmental

comunity

Law = Budget allocation

V& As: sample of regions and sectors

Tools and info to convince/ to decide qnd

prioritize

Capacity building: equipment/ human resources

Barriers and needs