marine money hamburg 2019 · 2019-10-04 · pe fleet consolidation since 2015 source: capitaliq,...
TRANSCRIPT
February 27, 2019
Confidential
Presentation Materials:
Marine Money Hamburg 2019
Mergers & Acquisitions Update and Outlook
2
Glass Half Full or Half Empty?
M&A activity has been strong but will its strength continue?
A Leading
Financial
Services
Provider
✓ Public shipping companies need to get larger
✓ Private equity needs to exit
✓ European banks are reducing maritime exposure
✓ Shipyards selling defaulted offshore vessels
Recognized
Institutional
Capabilities
Cash buyers for fleets virtually nonexistent
Public companies are trading below NAV
Shipping share liquidity is low
Management and boards like their jobs
It’s hard to give up control
Divergent views on scrubbers
Drivers of
Consolidation
Impediments
to
Consolidation
3
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
$4.0
$4.5
$5.0
Ma
rke
t C
apita
liza
tio
n
Jones Act Gas Carriers Containers Tankers
Diversified Shipping MLPs Offshore Supply Dry Bulk
Majority of largest shipping companies have market cap of less than $1bn
Source: Factset as of February 22, 2019.
Market capitalization of top 25 US publically listed companies
$1 billion
($ in billions)
4
1.54x
0.83x 0.82x
0.56x
0.00x
0.20x
0.40x
0.60x
0.80x
1.00x
1.20x
1.40x
1.60x
1.80x
Container Gas Carrier Tankers Dry Bulk
Most shipping companies are trading at a discount to NAV
Price to NAV
Container Index: SSW, CMRE, MPC. SSW and CMRE figures are charter adjusted. Charter free NAV’s are negative or de minimis.
Gas Carrier Index: BWLPG, LPG, GLNG, NVGS, AVANCE, GASS.
Tankers Index: ASC, CPLP, DHT, EURN, FRO, INSW, NAT, STNG, TNK, TORM, TNP.
Dry Bulk Index: DSX, EGLE, EDRY, GNK, GOGL, SB, SALT, SBLK.
5
69%
100%
59%91%
17%
27
7
1310
9
Total $401
Total $339
Total $146 Total $129
Total $31
$-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
Trucking, Express& Logistics
Rail Oilfield Services Airlines Shipping
Mark
et C
apitaliz
ation
Shipping Market Caps are Subscale Relative to Other Transportation
Industries
Source: Factset as of February 22, 2019.
Represents the number of companies with a market capitalization of greater than $1billion.
Firms with Market Caps in Excess of $1 Billion ($ in billions)
#
6
$288
$147
$64$51
$3
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
Rail Airlines Oilfield Services Trucking, Express& Logistics
Shipping
Shipping Equities are Illiquid Relative to Other Transportation Industries
Source: Factset as of February 22, 2019.
6-Months Average Daily Trading Volume ($ amount) ($ in millions)
7
$5.0$4.3
$2.4$2.6
$1.2
$0.8
$2.0 $6.4
$3.1
$0.3
$5.5 $1.1
$2.5
$2.8
$1.7
8
3
15
12
3
$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$12.0
$14.0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 through Feb
Container Dry Bulk Offshore Other Tanker
Despite challenging backdrop M&A activity has been strong
Closed M&A deals by segment
Source: Factset as of February 22, 2019.
(1) Includes Capital Product Partners L.P. & Diamond S Shipping Group Inc.merger with expected close of March 2019.
8
Private Equity Exits Driving Most Recent M&A Activity
1. Global Ship Lease, Inc. – Poseidon
Containers
2. Seaspan Corporation – Greater China
Intermodal Investments LLC
3. Costamare purchase of York Capital
Management JV Vessels
1. Capital Product Partners L.P. – Diamond S Shipping Group Inc.(1)
2. Euronav NV – Gener8 Maritime, Inc.
3. Teekay Tankers Ltd. - Tanker Investments Ltd.
4. Scorpio Tankers Inc. – Navig8 Chemical Tankers Inc.
Major Deals of the Past 2 Years
Source: CapitalIQ, Factset.
Blue text dignifies private equity control.
(1) Expected close date March 2019.
(2) Source: www.GoodBulk.com.
Container Shipping Tankers
1. Tidewater Inc. – GulfMark Offshore, Inc.
2. Transocean Ltd. – Ocean Rig UDW Inc.
3. Ensco plc – Rowan Companies plc
4. Borr Drilling Limited – PPL Ship Yard Pte
Ltd.
1. Star Bulk Carriers Corp. – 16 vessels from Augustea Atlantica SpA and York Capital Management
2. GoodBulk Ltd.– 13 vessels from Carval Investors(2)
3. Golden Ocean Ocean Group Ltd. –Quintana Shipping
4. Star Bulk Carriers Corp. – Songa Bulk ASA
Offshore Dry Bulk
9
Private Equity Landscape has Shifted in Recent Years
PE Fleet Consolidation Since 2015
Source: CapitalIQ, Factset.
Container Shipping Tankers
Offshore Dry Bulk
2015 Today
Diamond S CPLP Merger x
Gener8 Acquired by EURN x
Navig8 Chem Acquired by STNG x
Hafnia Tankers Acquired by BW x
Nordic Tankers Acquired by MOL x
INSW INSW
Ridgebury Tankers Ridgebury Tankers
Torm Torm
Prime / M-Sea Prime / M-Sea
Team Tankers Team Tankers
2015 Today
Augustea/York 16 Vessels Acquired by SBLK x
Songa Bulk 15 Vessels Acquired by SBLK x
Quintana Shipping Acquired by GOGL x
Carval Fleet 13 vessels sold to Goodbulk x
Intermarine Formed JV with ZEABORN ZEAMARINE
Genco Genco
Delphin Shipping Delphin Shipping
Pioneer Marine Pioneer Marine
2015 Today
Poseidon Acquired by GSL x
GCI Acquired by SSW x
York Capital JVCMRE bought back 5
of 16 vesselsYork Capital JV
Borealis Borealis
2015 Today
GulfMark Acquired by TDW x
Ocean Rig Acquired by RIG x
Harley Marine Harley Marine
x Brookfield Investment Teekay Offshore
10
Capital Product Partners Case Study
Capital Product Partners L.P. (“CPLP”) Announced the Spin-Off of its Crude & Product Tanker
Business and Merger with Diamond S Shipping, Inc. (“DSSI”) on November 27th, 2018
Source: Press release, Investor Presentation.
1. Estimated NAV as of September 30, 2018; based on Clarkson’s fleet appraisal value; all pro forma ownership percentages are indicative and subject to closing adjustments
2. Weighted by DWT or TEU
Pro Forma Figures Transaction Rationale
• CPLP shares had been trading well below their intrinsic value for some
time
• This transaction is expected to unlock this value by separating CPLP
into two separate companies
• CPLP’s modern containership assets and multi-year time charters are
highly suitable for the MLP model
• CPLP retains the ability to grow with a broad set of strategic
opportunities based on a visible pipeline of dropdowns
• CPLP unitholders maintain upside in improving tanker charter market
and asset values with the DSSI shares through a larger, dedicated
tanker vehicle
• CPLP’s tanker assets fit better as part of a high quality tanker company
• On 11/27/18, CPLP announced it was spinning-off its tanker business
and merging it with Diamond S Shipping
► $1.65 bn transaction involving a total of 68 tankers, expected to
create the 3rd largest publicly traded MR and product fleet in the
world, and one of the world’s largest public mixed product and
crude fleet operators
► NAV-to-NAV transaction with CPLP receiving a 10.8% premium
($23mm in consideration)
► CPLP will receive 33% ownership in DSSI
• CPLP will retain its MLP structure, supported by medium-to long-term
charters on its entire fleet of 10 containerships and 1 capesize vessel
► CPLP will retain 100% ownership of this entity
100% Owned by CPLP
Unitholders
33% Owned by CPLP
Unitholders
$0.045 per unit quarterly or
$23 million expected PF
NTM Distribution
33% of $691 million PF NAV1
(i.e. $236 million of NAV to
Current CPLP Unitholders)
+
Transaction Overview
◼ 68 tanker vessels (average age 7.8 years2)
52 product tankers
16 crude tankers
◼ Market exposure through spot voyages
◼ 11 total vessels (average age 6.6 years2)
10 containerships
1 drybulk vessel
◼ Medium to long term charters
NAV and Cash
Flow Valuation
Yield and Cash
Flow Valuation
11
Rand Logistics Case Study
Situation Overview
• Rand Logistics, Inc. (“Rand”) is one of the largest providers of bulk freight shipping services in the Great Lakes
region. Rand transports construction aggregates, salt, grain, coal, iron ore and other dry bulk commodities for
customers in the construction, electric utility, food and integrated steel industries
• Rand struggled as a result of the weakening of the Canadian dollar versus the U.S. dollar
► During the two years following March 2014, the Canadian dollar weakened against the U.S. dollar by
approximately 30%. Approximately 60% of Rand’s profits are generated in Canadian dollars while approximately
70% of Rand’s debt is in U.S. dollars
► As a result of this mismatch, there was a larger proportional decrease in U.S. denominated earnings than there
was in U.S. denominated debt
• From January 2017 through September 2017, Rand incurred $29.2 million of capital expenditures, nearly double the
historical average of annual capital expenditures
Miller Buckfire / Stifel Contributions
• In August 2017, Rand retained Miller Buckfire / Stifel to evaluate strategic alternatives, including a sale of Rand
• Miller Buckfire / Stifel ran a comprehensive sale process for Rand by reaching out to 40 potential buyers
• Simultaneous with the sale process, Miller Buckfire / Stifel was engaged in negotiations with Lightship Capital LLC
(“Lightship”), the second lien term loan lender, regarding a consensual deleveraging restructuring transaction
• Miller Buckfire / Stifel and Rand determined that the transaction proposed by Lightship represented the most value
maximizing option available. In November 2017, Rand and Lightship entered into a RSA
► The plan equitized the second lien term loan, reducing Rand’s debt by approximately $87 million
• In December 2017, Miller Buckfire / Stifel ran a debtor-in-possession (“DIP”) financing process to fund the chapter 11
► Ultimately, Lightship committed to providing a new money DIP facility of up to $25 million
• On January 30, 2018, Rand voluntarily filed for a prepackaged chapter 11 in the District of Delaware and emerged in
February 2018
12
A Leading Middle Market Investment Bank
Stifel Qualifications
Total # of Managed Equity
Deals (Since 2010)(1) 1,315 844 826 612 610 973 692 705
Total # of Bookrun Equity
Deals (Since 2010)(1) 515 733 357 117 154 331 387 198
Total # of Preferred & Baby
Bonds <200 mm(2) 240 50 6 53 46 92 4 63
Total # of M&A Deals
<$1bn (Since 2010)(3) 537 493 308 64 177 293 46 209
Companies Covered by
Research(4) 1,204 920 593 482 553 899 631 656
2018 StarMine Top Analysts
Awards(5) 18 13 8 6 3 7 8 7
2018 U.S. Trading Volume
(# in mm)(6) 7,312 29,575 2,303 3,033 2,020 7,302 18,862 3,584
LTM Revenues(7)
($ in billions)$2.9 $3.9 $0.8 $0.9 Private $4.6 $0.7 Private
Market Cap(8)
($ in billions)$3.0 $5.6 $0.9 $0.3 Private $10.7 $0.4 Private
Source: Bloomberg, Capital IQ, Company Websites, Dealogic, FactSet Research Systems, SIFMA Yearbook, StarMine, Stifel Capital Markets and Thomson Reuters as of 12/31/18.(1) Includes Rank eligible SEC registered IPOs and Follow-On Offerings Since 2010. Includes demutualizations.(2) Excludes Closed End Funds, Trust Preferreds. Includes all managed deals with a Deal Size between $20 million and $200 million. Baby Bonds defined as $25.00 per bond. (3) As of 12/31/18. (4) Starmine Rankings as of 12/31/18. Overall coverage includes only companies with a rating & domiciled in the U.S. Does not include Closed End Funds. Small Cap includes market caps less than $1 billion; Mid Cap
includes market caps less than $5 billion.(5) Starmine 2018 Analyst Awards.(6) 2018 U.S. Trading Volume per Bloomberg; ranking reflects rank among middle-market investments banks as of 12/31/18.(7) As of 12/31/17. (8) As of 12/31/18 from Factset.
13
Stifel Qualifications
Significant Maritime and Infrastructure Experience
Advisor to Ultrapetrol
(Bahamas) LimitedMarch 2017
July 2017
2016
Advisor to Gulfmark Offshore, Inc.
$480,000,000
2018
14
Significant Maritime and Infrastructure Experience (cont.)
Maritime and Infrastructure Investment Banking
$48,300,000
January 2015
Preferred Equity
Joint Lead Placement Agent
October 2013
$200,000,000
15
Deal Count
Rank Bank Total
1 Morgan Stanley 37
2 Stifel 26
3 UBS 21
4 Citi 17
5 JPMorgan 12
5 Clarkson Platou Securities AS 12
5 ABN AMRO Bank 12
6 DNB Markets 11
6 Evercore Inc 11
7 Credit Suisse 10
8 BNP Paribas 7
8 Seaport Global Securities LLC 7
8 Credit Agricole CIB 7
9 Wells Fargo Securities 6
9 B Riley FBR Inc 6
9 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 6
10 Deutsche Bank 5
Stifel Qualifications
Source: Dealogic
Analysis captures activity between 1/1/2015 to 1/15/2019.
Note: The analysis includes IPO transactions, follow-on equity offerings, preferred stock offerings, and baby bond issuances.
Note: The analysis excludes non-SEC registered offerings.
2015 – 2019 YTD Maritime League Tables: U.S. Listed Offerings
16
Disclaimer
Important Notice
This presentation, and the oral or video presentation that supplements it, have been developed by and are proprietary to Stifel and
were prepared exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the recipient. Neither this printed presentation, nor the oral or video
presentation that supplements it, nor any of their contents, may be used, reproduced, disseminated, quoted or referred to for any
other purpose without the prior written consent of Stifel.
The analyses contained herein rely upon information obtained from the recipient or from public sources, the accuracy of which has
not been independently verified, and cannot be assured by Stifel. In addition, many of the projections and financial analyses herein
are based on estimated financial performance prepared by or in consultation with the recipient and are intended only to suggest a
reasonable range of results for discussion purposes. This presentation is incomplete without the oral or video presentation that
supplements it.
Neither Stifel nor any other party makes any representation or warranty regarding the information contained herein and no party may
rely on such information, and Stifel expressly disclaims any and all liability relating to or resulting from recipient’s use of these
materials. The information, data and analyses contained herein are current only as of the date(s) indicated, and Stifel has no
intention, obligation or duty to update these materials after such date(s). This information should not be construed as, and Stifel is not
undertaking to provide, any advice relating to legal, regulatory, accounting or tax matters.
This presentation is protected under applicable copyright laws and does not carry any rights of publication or disclosure.
Independence of Research
Stifel prohibits its employees from directly or indirectly offering a favorable research rating or specific price target, or offering or
threatening to change a rating or price target, as consideration or inducement for the receipt of business or for compensation.
Basis of Presentation
References herein to “Stifel” collectively refer to Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated and other affiliated broker-dealer
subsidiaries of Stifel Financial Corp. References herein to “Stifel Financial” refer to Stifel Financial Corp. (NYSE: SF), the parent
holding company of Stifel and such other affiliated broker-dealer subsidiaries. Unless otherwise indicated, information presented
herein with respect to the experience of Stifel also includes transactions effected and matters conducted by companies acquired by
Stifel (including pending acquisitions publicly announced by Stifel), or by Stifel personnel while at prior employers. Dollar volume
represents full credit to underwriter.