market cycle forecast

PricenTime.comMarket Cycle Forecast

• Cycles are everywhere• Cycles are natural phenomenal• We know the causes for some cycles • We don’t know the causes for market cycles• Our goal is to observe the market cycles• Isolate the market noises• Buy the bottom and sell the top


• Major cycles in the stock market– Four-year cycle– Two-year cycle– Seasonal cycle– Primary cycle measured in weeks– Daily cycle measured in days


• Why Cycles?

– Cycles provide the time element in trading

– Time is more important than price

– Cycles are the missing piece that glue the markets together

– Price patterns don’t work all the time because the patterns only work in certain cycle locations


• Four-year cycle– The 4-Year Cycle in the U.S. Stock Market can be

traced back to 1789, and is the dominant longer-term cycle affecting the stock market, setting trends that often last for three or more years

– Averaged 48 months from low-to-low, 37 months from low-to high, and 12 months from high-to-low


• Two-year cycle

– Is the half cycle of the 4-year cycle

– It may or may not show up


• Seasonal Cycle– Affect us the most– The long-term cycles always top and bottom with

a seasonal cycle– Sets the trend for a large part of the year– A bull out of a seasonal low, a rise of 7 months or

more is not uncommon– A bear out of a seasonal high, a selloff of 7 months

or more is not uncommon


• Weekly Cycle

– Is of primary importance to trade with trend

– Sets the trend for most trades

– Measure in weeks


• Two types of weekly cycles

– Simple form with three components

– Complex form with seven components


• Daily Cycle

– Measured in days

– This is the swing trade cycle

– Pin point trade signals


• Analytical Tools

– Cycle strength calculation, long or short term

– Cycle top and bottom forecast, long or short term

– Cycle price projection, long or short term

– Intraday tools


• Intraday Tools

– Open range breakout

– Daily pivot range

– 3-day rolling pivot range


• Intraday Tools

– Intraday behavior has certain characteristics for certain cycle locations

– Intraday tools help pin point the cycle turning point sooner than without it


• Cycle trading advantage

– It always provides a point of reference

– You’ll know when you are wrong with a price and time stop

– Always trade with a measured risk


• Cycles’ Predicative Value

– Cycles enable us to forecast

– We always have price and time expectations for any given markets

– Avoid herd mentality

– Stay ahead of the trading game


• PricenTime.com Advantage– We provide long term forecast for general market

conditions for major markets– Serious investors can benefit from the unbiased

forecast– Short term traders receive real time trading signals

via email– Every trade carries a price and time stop loss– You choose the signals by your own risk/reward


• PricenTime.com Advantage– Cycle trading is more of an art than science.– Cycles are difficult to identify because cycles are

not sine waves– Cycles contract, expand and sometimes even miss

a beat– But cycles can provide timing– Timing is everything


• PricenTime.com Advantage– Let us do the analytical heavy lifting– You take the clear trading signals without the long

learning curve– We don’t mince words when we issue trade alerts– Never place a trade without a trading plan– Stay ahead of the herd

market cycle forecast

Economy & Finance