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Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel (ESAP) Scarcity and Flexibility Pricing Wednesday, July 2, 2014 Lola Infante Director, Generation Fuels and Market Analysis Edison Electric Institute

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Page 1: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Market Design and Renewables in the U.S.

IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel (ESAP) Scarcity and Flexibility Pricing

Wednesday, July 2, 2014

Lola Infante

Director, Generation Fuels and Market Analysis Edison Electric Institute

Page 2: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Edison Electric Institute

The Edison Electric Institute (EEI) is the association that represents all U.S. investor-owned electric companies. Our members provide electricity for 220 million Americans, operate in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, and directly employ more than 500,000 workers. With more than $85 billion in annual capital expenditures, the electric power industry is responsible for millions of additional jobs. Reliable, affordable, and sustainable electricity powers the economy and enhances the lives of all Americans. EEI has 70 international electric companies as Affiliate Members, and 250 industry suppliers and related organizations as Associate Members. Organized in 1933, EEI provides public policy leadership, strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences and forums.

Page 3: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Overview

Geographic, economic, institutional diversity

Regional efforts to modify market rules to promote and accommodate increased renewables Recent FERC Orders: transmission, interconnection, integration

Other jurisdictions: Pacific Northwest ,California/Pacificorp

Increasing need for flexibility and diversity

Page 4: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Industry Capital Expenditures

Source: EEI Finance Department, company reports, SNL Financial (October 2013)

Actuals

Projections (July 2012)

Projections (Oct. 2013) Notes: Total company spending of U.S. Shareholder-Owned Electric Utilities Projections based on publicly available information and extrapolated for companies reporting fewer than three projected years (6% in 2014 and 2015).

94.4

85.8 83.7

95.2 92.8

85.3

43.0 41.1

48.4

59.9

74.1

82.877.7

74.378.6

90.5

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

($ Billions)

6%7%

12%

17%

21%

37%

2013P

Generation

Distribution

Transmission

Gas-Related

Environment

Other

Page 5: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Evolving Generation Mix

Source: DOE – Energy Information Administration

2013

Page 6: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Generation Fuel Mix Varies By Region

*Includes generation by agricultural waste, landfill gas recovery, municipal solid waste, wood, geothermal, non-wood waste, wind, and solar.

** Includes generation by tires, batteries, chemicals, hydrogen, pitch, purchased steam, sulfur, and miscellaneous technologies. Sum of components may not add to 100% due to independent rounding.

Source: U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Power Plant Operations Report (EIA-923); 2012 final generation data. February 2014 © 2014 by the Edison Electric Institute. All rights reserved.

Page 7: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Renewables Deployment

Installed non-hydro renewable capacity

Source: Ventyx, Inc. the Velocity Suite; June 17, 2014. Includes plants operating and under construction.

Page 8: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Non-Hydro Renewable Sources More than Double between 2012 and 2040

Source: DOE – Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2014, Early Release, December 2013

Non-hydro generation, Billion kWh

Page 9: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

The U.S. Electric System(s)

Source: U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

Page 10: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Enabling Increased Penetration of Renewables – Transmission Transmission Planning and Cost Allocation FERC Order 1000 Recognizes that changes in generation mix influence the need for new

transmission

Implements regional planning and cost allocation reforms

Public policy requirements (federal or state) must be considered

Planning must be coordinated regionally

A regional cost allocation method for new transmission must be developed

Right of First Refusal is removed from regional plans for the purpose of cost allocation

Page 11: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Enabling Increased Penetration of Renewables – Market Rules

Integrating Variable Energy Resources – Large Scale FERC Order 764 Intra-hour scheduling (15 min.)

Improved forecasting tools

Cost recovery of ancillary services – case by case

Not all regions of the country are experiencing high enough renewable penetration to make the required investments to implement intra-hour scheduling worthwhile.

Page 12: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Enabling Increased Penetration of Renewables – Interconnection

Small Generator Interconnection Procedures – Small Scale Resources FERC Order 792 Pre-application reporting

Revised thresholds for fast track process (up to 5 MW)

Supplemental review screens

A cautious approach to interconnection of DG resources is warranted until greater experience is gained.

Page 13: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Enabling Increased Penetration of Renewables – Ancillary Services Frequency Regulation Compensation in Organized Wholesale Power Markets FERC Order No. 755 Provides payment for performance for faster ramping resources

Payment includes a capacity payment and a payment for performance

FERC reviewing comments: “Third-Party Provision of Reactive Supply and Voltage Control and Regulation and Frequency Response Services.” (Docket No. Ad14-7)

FERC will hold staff workshops this fall to examine regional price formation issues. (Docket No. Ad14-14 )

Regional flexibility is needed.

Page 14: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

PacifiCorp/CAISO Energy Imbalance Market

FERC conditionally approved (June 2014) PacifiCorp’s and CAISO’s request to establish an Energy Imbalance Market (EIM) in order to more economically and efficiently dispatch variable energy resources.

Includes balancing authorities in California, Idaho, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming and Nevada.

Expected to by open by October 2014; Nevada to join by October 2015.

Source: PacifiCorp, CAISO

Page 15: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

PacifiCorp/CAISO Energy Imbalance Market

Annual benefits estimated to be up to $129 million.

More efficient dispatch of low cost resources

5 min balancing of supply and demand

Increased pool of resources for balancing supply and demand

Minimized need for flexible reserves

Reduced curtailment of renewable generation

Page 16: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Bonneville Power Authority Oversupply Management Protocol

The Problem: Too much generation

During times of low electric demand and high wind and hydro generation supply (typically Spring, at night), too much electricity is generated.

Too much water spilled over dams can exceed water quality standards and threaten aquatic life, including endangered species.

BPA offered free hydro electricity in these situations, but with increased wind, which receives a production tax credit, there is no incentive to accept free hydro. Wind generators filed a complaint with FERC, which found the BPA policy of curtailing non-hydro without compensation discriminatory.

Page 17: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

BPA Oversupply Management Protocol

The BPA Solution: Oversupply Management Protocol (OMP)

The water must run through the dams and non-hydro generation must be curtailed.

Generators are compensated for their associated displacement-related costs.

Displacement costs are allocated to all generators online in BPA’s balancing authority area during the oversupply period, in proportion to their scheduled generation.

Provides an incentive for generators to minimize generation during oversupply situations, increasing BPA’s ability to manage excess hydropower.

Page 18: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Remaining Challenges

Regional differences - Different market structures and fuel mixes necessitate a variety of solutions.

Flexibility and diversity – Increased renewables affect markets and require increased fuel diversity and flexibility. Proper price signals are critical.

Learning from others’ mistakes – Speed of deployment and cost matter.

The value of the grid – The enabler of technology deployment and reliability.

Page 19: Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. · Market Design and Renewables in the U.S. IEA Electricity Security Advisory Panel ... strategic business intelligence, and essential conferences

Thank you!

Lola Infante [email protected]