market elements of the biopharmaceutical market and single-use technologies
DESCRIPTION
Relevant marketing elements and intelligence for the understanding of the biopharmaceutical and single-use technology.TRANSCRIPT
Single Use Technology in the Pharmaceutical industryParis, February 2014
The single-use technology (SUT) market is estimated to more than quadruple in the coming years, which will pull the need for compatible bioreactors of volume lower than 2000L
2
Disposables and related market estimates; the good manufacturing practice (GmP) market for single-use technology (SUT) today is estimated at us $150 million (for plastic tubing, manifolds, and connectors used with stainless steel systems).
For bioreactors, the market is almost equally divided between SIP and SUT. Most of the bioreactors in place have a volume inferior than 2000L.
“There’s been a shift from blockbuster drugs produced in massive quantities to niche-busters, so we’re moving toward smaller volumes at the same time that titers in bioreactors are getting higher”.
145,0
+107%
Biotherapeutics overall
300,0
0,50,6
5,3
1,32,8
12,5
+136%
R&D-support single-use systems
Total SUT marketUpstream (bioproduction)
+367%+160%
2016 est.2011Evolution of Biotechnology & Equipments Markets – 2011 to 2016, est., $ Billions -
Sources : contractpharma.com
Disposable Bioreactors have seen a peak of interest in late 2011, as well as a few months ago
3
Disposable bioreactors online queries – 2004-2013, % of maximum search volume -
Sources : Google Trends
The SUT still have many limitations which limit their implementation in the pharmaceutical industries
Manufacturing disposable equipment having high-quality/high-tech control systems at the same time is a big challenge, since these manufacturing processes need different core competencies.
Single-use sensors still have a lack of performance and, therefore, sometimes do not meet the needs for high-performance process control. Also finding materials free from leachables/extractables is still a challenge.
Manufacture single-use bioreactors that encompass microbial culture with, for example, high oxygen demand or a larger pH range is a challenge. The limits here are clearly the higher requirements for material stability and higher performance sensors, similar to nondisposable solutions.
Customers need to be open to redeveloping and optimizing their processes to the technology, which will result in an increased overall yield.
Single-use bioreactors are relatively expensive and have to be handled correctly to avoid damage. Construction of the bags requires mechanical welding of the seams and this needs to be of the highest quality in order to ensure that welds do not come apart and result in lost sterility and consequently loss of the entire run.
The complete lack of standardization renders the implementation of SUT, or any change in the production process more complex than necessary.
Customers are asking for more detailed characterization of films, raw materials, and other plastic components with the goal of better assessing the patient risk associated with production single-use bioreactors.
4Sources : genengnews.com
Substituting products are rare, however new competitors could emerge
Risks for GPC activity:
“Virtual R&D”.
Mutualization of R&D by CMOs growing larger.
Integration of bioreactor design and production in pharmaceutial companies / CMOs.
Low required investment to enter the market
5
The pharmaceutical market undergoes a financial transition which renders the development of new therapeutics even riskier than in the past
„The cost of developing an asset has remained relatively static while the likely revenues have declined. The cost of developing an aset, from discovery to launch, has increades slightly by four per cent from $1,089 milion to $1,137 in 2012. Average inflow per asset is forcast to decline by 14% relative to 2010 to reach a figure of $2,166 million in 2012.“
6Sources : Deloitte Life Science innovation Report
EU companies
EU comp.
EU companies
Only 5 out of the 12 biggest pharmaceutical companies have enough molecules in the pipeline to stay financially healthy in 2017
7
4,1 Bn€
12,0 Bn€
7,4 Bn€7,3 Bn€7,5 Bn€
6,5 Bn€
5,3 Bn€
Novo Nordisk
Johnson &
Johnson
3,0 Bn€
Bayer
9080
67
Novartis Merk Eli Lilly Astra-zeneca
Bristol-Meyers
Pfizer Sanofi Roche GlaxoSmith-Kline
6553
373528
56
218
603,2 Bn€
3,0 Bn€ 3,0 Bn€
5,3 Bn€
Number of drugs in developmentIncremental revenues from new pipeline 2012-2017
Drug pipeline & associated estimated revenues– 2012-2017est, # of drugs, Bn€ -
Sources : Businessweek
The number of clinical trials is still growing, but might reach a peak despite efforts made by goverments to facilitate drug devlopment
8
+26%+27%
+52%
+16%+19%+19%
49,3
2006
35,9
+30%
2005
25,0
2004
12,1
+15%
2003
10,3
2002
8,6
2001
7,0
2000
5,6
2007 2011
+15%+21%
2009
66,4
101,3
2010
119,4
+14%
83,5
20122008
138,8
+18%
Y-to-Y GrowthRegistered studies (thousands)
Evolution of number of clinical trials – Thousands of clinical trials, 2000-2012 -
Sources : clinicaltrials.gov
The market share of biopharmaceuticals is growing but is controlled by only a few key companies
9
451 477 509 540 572 602 632 664 695 727 750
2004
59959
(10%)
2003
56051
(9%)
2002
52346
(9%)
2001
48938
(8%)
2011
889
139(16%)
2010
69(11%)
128(15%)
2009
812
117(14%)
2008
770
106(14%)
2007
72795
(13%)
2006
68482
(12%)
2005
641
855Rest of PharmaBiopharmaceuticals
Evolution of the Pharmaceutical Market– Billion USD, 2001-2011 -
Biopharmaceutical Global Production Capacity – Share of production capacity, 2011 -
21%
6%8%
9%
9%
6%
7%
Others
Novartis 5%
Eli Lilly 5%
Sanofi
PfizerLonza Amgen
Boehringer Ingelheim
Johnson & Johnson
Roche25%
Sources : GiResearch
The top CMOs are based in Germany, Switzerland and the USA, and have made a growth of 9,9 % between 2011 and 2012
10
Top 10 CMO ranking– Million USD, # of Employees, 2012-
Of the top 27 european companies by R&D investment, 6 are Pharmaceutical companies, and account for 23% of the total investment in 2010.
11
In the pharmaceutical sector, the top 3 countries investing in R&D are :
United KingdomFranceGermany
BASF
Novo Nordisk
STMicroelectronics
Banco SantanderMerck DE
Philips ElectronicsRenault
SAPVolvo
FiatFinmeccanica
Peugeot (PSA)Boehringer Ingelheim
Alcatel-LucentBMW
EricssonEADS
AstraZenecaBayer
Robert BoschSiemens
GlaxoSmithKlineSanofi-Aventis
DaimlerNokia
Volkswagen
3,20
2,772,56
Continental1,41
2,452,40
1,40
1,971,94
1,34
1,801,73
1,27
1,731,701,63
3,02
1,53
3,08
3,824,244,384,39
4,854,94
6,26
3,21
Top 27 European Investors in R&D– Billion Euros, 2011 -
Sources : The 2011 EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard
Although the number of approvals is similar in Europe and in the U.S.A., France is less and less involved in new drug development
The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved the same number of new drugs in 2010 and 2011 as the Medecines Agency (EMA), +/-1. However, France is less and less chosen by the EMA as reviewer in centralized procedures.
Also, only 7% of AMM filing belonged to France in 2010 vs. 14% in 2009.
12Sources : LEEM
There is a cyclical tendency that might reflect the intensive financial needs of the pharmaceutical industry
13
22
363435
26
38
32
2622
3026
36
4341
45
50
2628
39
30
21
2624
1822
20
36
2117
2427
35
30
39
53
29
2125
2011 20121999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20101993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
NME/NBE filingsNME/NBE approvals by the FDA
Filings of NME/NBE and approvals by the FDA– # of filings & approals, 1993-2012 -
Sources : FDA Filling and approval file Allyprime