market insights 06-02 - fidelity investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any...

11
MARKET INSIGHTS: NEW DEVELOPMENTS, WHAT TO CONSIDER, AND TOP QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Upload: others

Post on 02-Oct-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

MARKET INSIGHTS:NEW DEVELOPMENTS,WHAT TO CONSIDER, ANDTOP QUESTIONS ANSWERED

Page 2: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

Our Speakers

Page 3: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

Technicals

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. For illustrative purposes only. Daily data as of 6/10/2020. Source: FMRCo, Bloomberg.

Page 4: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

Price vs. Earnings

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. For illustrative purposes only. Daily data as of 6/12/2020. Source: FMRCo, Bloomberg.

Page 5: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The S&P 500® Index is a market capitalization–weighted index of 500 common stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation. S&P and S&P 500 are registered service marks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.

S&P

500®

Inde

x

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

01985 1990 2000 20051995 20152010 2020

BLACK MONDAY

Dot-ComBubbleBursts

PERSIANGULF WAR

ASIANFINANCIAL

CRISIS

SEPTEMBER 11

IRAQ WAR

SOVEREIGNDEBT CRISIS

FISCALCLIFFCollapse

USSR & BerlinWall

GlobalFinancial

Crisis

Brexit

Coronavirus

Despite Market Pullbacks, Stocks have Risen Over the Long Term

Page 6: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

Be Comfortable with Your Investments

Data source: Ibbotson Associates, 2018 (1926–2018). Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Returns include the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings. This chart is for illustrative purposes only and does not represent actual or implied performance of any investment option. See endnote 1 for detailed information.

Annual return %

Average annual return 5.89% 7.83% 8.80% 9.47%

Worst 12-month return –17.67% –40.64% –52.92% –60.78%

Best 12-month return 31.06% 76.57% 109.55% 136.07%

Worst 20-year return (annualized) 2.92% 3.43% 3.10% 2.66%

Best 20-year return (annualized) 10.98% 13.83% 15.34% 16.49%

Historical volatility 4.49% 9.54% 13.03% 15.72%

35%

40%

10%

15% 25%

60%15%

U.S. stock

Foreign stock

Bond

Short-term investments

Conservative Balanced Growth Aggressive growth

14%

50%

30%

6%

21%

49%

25%

5%

Page 7: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

Do Not Try to Time the Market

$659,589

$427,041

$318,071

$125,094

$57,388

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

All days Missing 5 best days Missing 10 best days Missing 30 best days Missing 50 best days

Source: FMRCo, Asset Allocation Research Team, as of January 1, 2019.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The hypothetical example assumes an investment that tracks the returns of the S&P 500® Index and includes dividend reinvestment but does not reflect the impact of taxes, which would lower these figures. There is volatility in the market, and a sale at any point in time could result in a gain or loss. Your own investing experience will differ, including the possibility of loss. You cannot invest directly in an index. The S&P 500® Index, a market capitalization–weighted index of common stocks, is a registered trademark of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., and has been licensed for use by Fidelity Distributors Corporation.

Growth of $10K invested on January 1, 1980

Page 8: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

Bull Market Analog

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. For illustrative purposes only. Daily data as of 6/10/2020. Source: Factset, FMRCo.

Page 9: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

Invest Regularly Despite Volatility

US stock market returns represented by the total return of S&P 500® Index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest in an index. First three dates determined by the best five-year market return subsequent to the month shown. Sources: Ibbotson, FactSet, FMRCo, and Asset Allocation Research Team, as of July 1, 2018.

Great Depression

May 1932 July 1982

Severe Recession

December 1994

Most Dramatic Fed Tightening

in past 20 years

March 2009

Great Recession

367%

267% 251%178%

Subsequent 5-year return

Page 10: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

Information provided in this document is for informational and educational purposes only.

Information presented herein is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and is not a recommendation or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Views expressed are as of the date indicated, based on the information available at that time, and may change based on market and other conditions. Unless otherwise noted, the opinions provided are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of Fidelity Investments or its affiliates. Fidelity does not assume any duty to update any of the information.

To the extent any investment information in this material is deemed to be a recommendation, it is not meant to be impartial investment advice or advice in a fiduciary capacity and is not intended to be used as a primary basis for you or your clients’ investment decisions. Fidelity and its representatives may have a conflict of interest in the products or services mentioned in this material because they have a financial interest in them and receive compensation, directly or indirectly, in connection with the management, distribution, or servicing of these products or services, including Fidelity funds, certain third-party funds and products, and certain investment services.

Investing involves risk, including risk of loss.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

IMPORTANT: The projections or other information generated by the Planning & Guidance Center's Retirement Analysis regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Your results may vary with each use and over time.

Diversification does not ensure or guarantee against loss.

Guarantees are subject to the claims-paying ability of the issuing insurance company.

All indexes are unmanaged, and performance of the indexes includes reinvestment of dividends and interest income, unless otherwise noted. Indexes are not illustrative of any particular investment, and it is not possible to invest directly in an index.

1Data Source: Ibbotson Associates. Stocks are represented by the Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500® Index). The S&P 500® Index is a market capitalization–weighted index of 500 common stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation to represent U.S. equity performance. Bonds are represented by the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Intermediate Government Bond Index, which is an unmanaged index that includes the reinvestment of interest income. Short-term instruments are represented by U.S. Treasury bills, which are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. Indexes are unmanaged, and you cannot invest directly in an index. Foreign stocks are represented by the Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, Australasia, Far East Index for the period from 1970 to the last calendar year. Foreign stocks prior to 1970 are represented by the S&P 500® Index. The purpose of the target asset mixes is to show how target asset mixes may be created with different risk and return characteristics to help meet an investor's goals. You should choose your own investments based on your particular objectives and situation. Be sure to review your decisions periodically to make sure they are still consistent with your goals

Generally, among asset classes, stocks are more volatile than bonds or short-term instruments and can decline significantly in response to adverse issuer, political, regulatory, market, or economic developments. Although the bond market is also volatile, lower-quality debt securities, including leveraged loans, generally offer higher yields compared with investment-grade securities, but also involve greater risk of default or price changes. Foreign markets can be more volatile than U.S. markets due to increased risks of adverse issuer, political, market, or economic developments, all of which are magnified in emerging markets.

In general, the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities). Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk, liquidity risk, call risk and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Lower-quality fixed income securities involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the issuer. Foreign investments involve greater risks than U.S. investments, and can decline significantly in response to adverse issuer, political, regulatory, market, and economic risks. Any fixed-income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to loss.

Investment decisions should be based on an individual’s own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Nothing in this content should be considered to be legal or tax advice, and you are encouraged to consult your own lawyer, accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision.

Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based, market-value-weighted benchmark that measures the performance of the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. Sectors in the index include Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, MBS (agency fixed-rate and hybrid ARM pass-throughs), ABS, and CMBS.

The S&P 500® Index is a market capitalization–weighted index of 500 common stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation to represent U.S. equity performance.

The CFP® certification is offered by the Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Inc. (“CFP Board”). To obtain the CFP® certification, candidates must pass the comprehensive CFP® Certification examination, pass the CFP® Board’s fitness standards for candidates and registrants, agree to abide by the CFP Board’s Code of Ethics and Professional Responsibility, and have at least three years of qualifying work experience, among other requirements. The CFP Board owns the certification mark CFP® in the United States.

Fidelity does not provide legal or tax advice. The information herein is general in nature and should not be considered legal or tax advice. Consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your specific situation.

Before investing in any mutual fund or exchange-traded fund, you should consider its investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus, an offering circular, or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.

Brokerage services provided by Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC (FBS), and custodial and related services provided by National Financial Services LLC (NFS), each a member NYSE and SIPC. FPWA, Strategic Advisers, FPTC, FBS, and NFS are Fidelity Investments companies. Personal and workplace investment products are provided by Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, member NYSE, SIPC, 900 Salem Street, Smithfield, RI 02917.© 2020 FMR LLC. All rights reserved.923295.13.0

Page 11: Market Insights 06-02 - Fidelity Investments · accountant, or other advisor before making any financial decision. Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad -based, market

MARKET INSIGHTS:NEW DEVELOPMENTS,WHAT TO CONSIDER, ANDTOP QUESTIONS ANSWERED