market opportunities for lignocellulose derived chemicals: the bio base nwe project
TRANSCRIPT
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Market opportunities for
lignocellulose-derived chemicals The Bio Base NWE Project
UK-Norway Symposium: Valorising Woody Biomass
Adrian Higson PhD
25 June 2012
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Company Vision
We view bio-based technologies as key
components of the low carbon economy
delivering economic, social and environmental
benefits.
We believe the bioeconomy will create
sustainable business opportunities for
feedstock suppliers, technology and project
developers, manufacturers and investors.
A specialist ‘not for profit’ Bioeconomy consultancy
Company Mission
To provide clients with a holistic view of feedstock, technology, policy and market
development across the bioeconomy, enabling them to make informed business
decisions and develop sustainable business strategies.
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Services
• Future market analysis
• Feedstock logistics planning
• Sustainability strategy development
• Technology evaluation and due diligence
• Project feasibility assessment
• Policy and regulatory support
• Network & Facilitation
Clients & Partners
• Multinationals & SMEs
• Public Organisations
• Government
• Research Institutes
• Universities
• Transnational Collaborations
• European Framework Projects
Celebrating 10 years of Bioeconomy development
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NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
EU Context
It includes agriculture, forestry, fisheries, food and pulp and paper production,
as well as parts of chemical, biotechnological and energy industries.
• is worth an estimated €2 trillion
• accounts for 22 million jobs
• 9% of total employment in the EU
Each euro invested in EU-funded bioeconomy research and innovation is
estimated to trigger €10 of value added in bioeconomy sectors by 2025.
EUROPEAN COMMISSION – PRESS RELEASE
Brussels, 13 February 2012
Commission proposes strategy for sustainable
bioeconomy in Europe
NNFCC
NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Bioeconomy value chains
Biomassprovision
Biomass trading
Biomassrefining
Fuel production
Fuel blend & retail
Chemical production
Chemicalindustry
Biomass power& heat
Chemical usingindustry
Retailers
Pharmaceutical industry
Food ingredients
Food industry
Retailers
Food & Feed industry
Feed ingredients
Feed industry
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Biobased production - Market expansion and development activity
Currently over 90
companies actively
commercialising over 50
commodity or platform
chemicals.
ADM
Amyris/M
ichelin
Anellotech
BioAmber
Biocaldol
BioMCN
Braskem
Butamax
Cathay Industrial Biotech
Colbolt TechnologiesDSM
DOW
Draths
DuPont
Eastman Chem
icals
Global Biochem
Global Bioenergies
Glycos Biotechnologies
Green Biologics
Greencol Taiwan Corporation
Genomatica
Gevo
Goodyear/Genencor
India Glycols
Metabolic Explorer
Myriant
Natureworks
Novepha
Purac
Rennovia
Reverdia (DSM/Roquette)
SolvayTM
O
OPX Bio
Verdezyne
Vinythai
Virent
Zeachem
Methanol
Formic Acid
Ethanol
Ethylene
Ethylene Oxide
Ethylene Glycol (MEG)
Acetic Acid
Ethyl acetate
Epichlorohydrin
Acetone
isoPropanol
Propylene
Propylene Glycol
1,3-Propanediol
Lactic acid
Acrylic Acid
n-Butanol
iso-Butanol
iso-Butylene
Butadiene
Succinic acid
2,3-Butanediol
1,4-Butanediol
Tetrahydrofuran
Isoprene
Adipic acid
HMDA
Benzene
Toluene
Paraxylene
Terephthalic acid
Styrene
Companies working on bio-based chemicals
Bio
-bas
ed
ch
em
ical
s
Source: NNFCC
Current production over 50million tonnes.
Food & Feed ingredients, Consumer chemicals, Industrial chemicals.
Oleochemicals, Starch derivatives, Cellulose derivatives, Fermentation products.
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Biobased Chemicals - Drivers & Concerns
Improved product performance or new function
Technology development
Green branding & corporate sustainability
Production economics
Feedstock economics
Policy intervention & indirect effects
© NNFCC
NNFCC
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0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Feb
-93
De
c-9
3
Oct
-94
Au
g-9
5
Jun
-96
Ap
r-9
7
Feb
-98
De
c-9
8
Oct
-99
Au
g-0
0
Jun
-01
Ap
r-0
2
Feb
-03
De
c-0
3
Oct
-04
Au
g-0
5
Jun
-06
Ap
r-0
7
Feb
-08
De
c-0
8
Oct
-09
Au
g-1
0
Jun
-11
Ap
r-1
2
Feb
-13
Commodity Agricultural Raw Materials Index- Monthly Price
Commodity Food Price Index - Monthly Price
Crude Oil (petroleum), Price index - MonthlyPrice
Feedstock Pricing – A new normal
Source: International Monetary Fund
Price
ind
ex, 2
00
5 =
10
0
The relative costs of crude oil, food basics and agricultural
materials have moved significantly over the last 20 years.
NNFCC
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50 shades of green - Every generation now comes with a degree of
environmental consciousness
• Baby boomers (born 1946-1964)
– Silent Spring 1962
– Air quality, water quality
• Generation X (Baby busters) (born 1964-1977)
– Union Carbide and Chernobyl disasters.
– Exxon Valdez oil spill.
• Generation Y (Millennials) (born 1980’s through1990’s)
– Hurricane Katrina and An Inconvenient Truth
– BP Oil Spill in the Gulf of Mexico
– Awareness of the Great Pacific Garbage Patch
• Generation Z (today’s children)
– Recycling, solar panels, hybrid cars, energy saving light bulbs
Source: Jacquelyn Ottman: The new rules of Green Marketing
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NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 =𝑓𝑢𝑛𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑏𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑓𝑖𝑡
𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑦 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡
𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 =𝑓𝑢𝑛𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑏𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑓𝑖𝑡 + 𝑒𝑚𝑜𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑏𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑓𝑖𝑡
𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑡𝑎𝑟𝑦 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡 + 𝑝𝑠𝑦𝑐ℎ𝑖𝑐 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡
Business to Business
Business to Consumer
Green Premium? – Price vs value
Coca Cola Executive: “If Coca-Cola were to lose all of its
production-related assets in a disaster, the company would
survive. By contrast, if all consumers were to have a sudden
lapse of memory and forget everything related to Coca-Cola,
the company would go out of business.”
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NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Mill
ion
to
nn
es
Plastics production: projected growth
Medium
Low
High
Plastic production: medium growth
2020 339 million tonnes
2030 434 million tonnes
2050 712 million tonnes
A high value market for lignocellulose? 1967 – There’s a great future in plastics 2012 - There’s a great future in bio-based plastics
The Graduate (1967),
© NNFCC
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Ethylene Polyethylenes
Styrene Monomer
Ethylene Oxide/Glycol
EDC
Other
Polymers/Rubbers
Polyester
PVC
Alpha Olefins
PVA
Ethanol
60%
7%
14%
12%
7%
Ethylene value chain
PET Collaborative
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NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Succinic Acid 1,4-ButanediolPolybutylene
Terephthalate
Copolyester Ethers
Thermoplastic Polyurethanes
Spandex Fibres
Tetrahydrofuran
Solvent
Polytetramethylene Ether Glycol
g-Butyrolactone
Fine & Speciality Chemicals
N-Methyl -2-Pyrrolidone
Fine & Speciality Chemicals
2-Pyrrolidone
Fine & Speciality Chemicals
N-Vinyl-2-Pyrrolidone
Polyvinyl Pyrrolidone
Deicers/Coolent
Plasticisers
Fuel Additives
Succinic acid value chain
© NNFCC
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NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Cellulosic ethanol – No longer 10 years away
ST. LOUIS, MO. (June 11, 2013) – Construction of POET-
DSM Advanced Biofuels’ first commercial cellulosic bio-
ethanol plant is on schedule to start up in early 2014 ….
Beta Renewables Crescentino plant commercial-scale
cellulosic ethanol plant, in Crescentino Italy, started
operations in Q4, 2012.
With construction completed in 2012, KiOR commenced
operations at Columbus and validated its proprietary
technology. Shipments of cellulosic fuels from Columbus
began in early 2013
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NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Cellulosic sugar fermentation
• Turn-key technology offers for cellulosic sugar.
• Project simplification and de-risking
Feedstock Pre-treat Convert
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Outputs
Process Streams
Lignocellulose
Cellulose
Product 1
Hemi-cellulose
Product 1/2
Lignin
Energy?
Deriving value from Lignin?
Approximately 1 million tonnes of lignosulfonates sold each year however
limited potential for market growth.
The lack of alternative markets for lignin together with their scale of production;
make the production of aromatic chemicals from lignin attractive.
Process costs & capital
requirements
Feedstock costs
Product income
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Bulk aromatics (BTX value chain)
Benzene
(~40 million tonnes/year)
Ethylbenzene (52%)
Cumene
(22%)
Phenol
(~9 million tonnes/year)
Bisphenol A (44%)
Polycarbonate resins
Epoxy resins
Phenolic resins (27%)
Caprolactam
Nylon 6
Cyclohexane (15%)
Other
(11%)
Toluene Xylene
Added value
targets
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NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
Aug. 13, 2012 - Joint Development Agreement for Bio-Based Butadiene
Synthesis gas fermentation
Developing microorganisms
capable of converting syngas
to valuable platform chemicals
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Innovation - something original and new that "breaks in to" the
market or into society
Market
Finance
Technology/
Product
• Standards, labels and certification
• Product specific legislation
• Legislation related to biomass
• Encourage Green Public Procurement
• Research
• Development
• Demonstration
• Public
• Private
• Public/Private
£25M IB Catalyst
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NNFCC: The Bioeconomy Consultants
BRIDGE PPP: The challenge, Overcoming the innovation Valley of
Death by bridging the gap from research to the marketplace.
The EU contributes €1 billion to the research and innovation program,
European industries have committed to another €2.8 billion
Building supply chains
Developing technology
Upgrading and building
demonstration and flagship
biorefineries
http://bridge2020.eu/
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Process scale up and pilot demonstration
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Bio Base NWE Supporting the development of the bio-based economy
in North West Europe
• To aid companies, research centers and education centers of NWE to
network internationally
• Political support for the bio-based economy by giving SMEs a voice, and by
developing a common strategy
• To acquaint companies, research centers and education centers of NWE with
Bio Base Europe
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Bio Base NWE Supporting the development of the bio-based economy
in North West Europe
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Bio economy
Feedstock pricing & volatility
Technology
Development
(performance & cost)
Environmental considerations
Summary Biobased Economy Drivers
Process development
drivers are multiple and
varied.
Commercialisation led by
brand owner pressure on
supply chains.
Identifying ‘added value’
markets important for first
movers.
Increasing public funding
and market development
support.
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• Future Market Analysis
• Feedstock Logistics Planning
• Sustainability Strategy
Development
• Technology evaluation & associated
due diligence
• Project feasibility assessment
• Policy and regulatory support