market turbulence - june software/it m&a flash report

Upload: elong3102

Post on 09-Apr-2018

217 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    1/46

    USA Switzerland Germany France United Kingdom Canada Norway Brazil

    M&A Flash Re ortM&A Flash Re ort June 2009June 2009Software and IT Industry Market Update

    Market Turbulence

    Thursday, June 4, 2009

    www.corumgroup.com

    10:00 am PT

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    2/46

    Mark ReedExecutive Vice President

    Bruce MilneCEO & Chairman

    Corum Group Ltd.

    .Bruce Milne, the founder of Corum, is one of the true leaders in the software industry. He built the largest vertical market

    software company in the world before founding Corum, where he has overseen more mergers than anyone in history,

    generating over $6 Billion in wealth for the owners of privately held firms. Along the way, in addition to publishing

    extensively, he has owned three other software companies (Rosesoft, Dataword, Insider Edition) and been a seed investor

    in some of the leaders in our industry (Blue Coat, Bright Star, Sabaki). He founded the largest regional tech association

    Washin ton Software Association and as a reco nized leader has served on numerous advisor boards includin

    Ryan Blakely

    , ,

    Comdex, DEC, Apple, IBM, and personally advised Bill Gates at Microsoft. He has been a tech cabinet advisor to two

    Governors, a Congressman and U.S. Senator on issues related to the future of the software industry. For his expertise, he

    was commissioned by the U.S. government to write the definitive high tech business guide for the SBA. The Canadian

    Government had him conduct research which led to the establishment of SoftWorld, and he was recently voted one of the

    most influential people in the European software community for his work during the last market decline.

    Corum Group Presentation 2

    >> For todays presentation or more information, contact Jessica Eastman

    ([email protected], +1 425-455-8281)

    ,Corum Group Ltd.

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    3/46

    Relay For Life

    Corum Group Presentation 3

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    4/46

    Agenda

    Overview of current market

    Headlines

    May trend IPOs

    Cisco field update

    Market and valuation analysis

    Report from WFS & conference profiles

    Closing comments - Q&A

    Corum Group Presentation 4

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    5/46

    Headlines

    . .

    stability

    . .

    Korea completes nuclear test

    GM files for bankruptcy

    Corum Group Presentation 5

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    6/46

    Currencies

    Euro rises to 7 month high

    Yen drops to 7 month low

    Rupee climbs to 7 months high

    Corum Group Presentation 6

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    7/46

    Consumer Confidence up!

    . .

    U.K. consumer confidence at 11 month high

    Europe confidence at 6 month high

    French consumer confidence hits 13 month high

    Corum Group Presentation 7

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    8/46

    Commodities Up!

    Oil trades near 7 month high

    Silver rises most since 87

    Copper soaring

    Corum Group Presentation 8

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    9/46

    Stock Markets Up!

    . .

    Brazil stocks jump to 8 month high

    India stocks rise best month in 17 years

    China stocks rise to 10 month high

    Corum Group Presentation 9

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    10/46

    Business Conditions U.S.?

    Home refinancing in U.S. tumbles as rate window closes

    U.S. automakers fall 35%

    U.S housing hasnt found bottom yet

    Schiller says U.S. confidence a puzzle

    Corum Group Presentation 10

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    11/46

    Business Conditions International?

    Europe price outlook slumps

    Europe May retail sales fall

    German, Italy economies shrank at record pace

    Japan Companies Cut Spending by Record; Profits Slump

    Corum Group Presentation 11

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    12/46

    Equity Concerns?

    Russian stocks a leap of faith

    U.S. stock values outpace earnings

    Corum Group Presentation 12

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    13/46

    Other Concerns / Opportunities

    Corum Group Presentation 13

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    14/46

    Valuations Up!

    Company Stock Price 03/03/2009 Stock Price 05/06/2009 % Change

    Sun $4.54

    $9.11

    100.66%

    Nokia $9.25 $15.18 64.11% . . .

    Cisco $14.50 $19.61 35.24%

    Symantec $13.15 $17.59 33.76%

    HP $28.30 $36.33 28.37%Oracle $15.06 $19.06 26.56%

    EMC $10.13 $12.78 26.16%

    Google $326.67 $403.47 23.51%

    Microsoft $16.03

    $19.79

    23.46%

    IBM $88.01 $104.62 18.87%SAP $32.28 $38.23 18.43%

    Corum Group Presentation 14

    Yahoo $12.58 $14.85 18.04%

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    15/46

    Cash Up!

    Company Year Ago Cash Current Period Cash

    SAP $3,151 n/a

    , ,

    Microsoft $10,339 $23,900

    Oracle $8,409 $11,290

    Nokia $3,130 n/aGoogle $6,081 $17,780

    Apple $9,352 $25,010IBM $10,786 $12,300

    , ,

    Sun $2,363 $2,700

    Cisco $5,191 $33,550

    HP $11,591 $12,920

    Corum Group Presentation 15

    Symantec $1,890 $1,990

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    16/46

    IPOs Volume - Last 18 Months

    11

    12NumberofIPOs

    NumberofTechnology IPOs

    5

    2

    3

    2

    3

    1

    27% 17% 20% 0%50% 50%

    1

    0

    1

    Q1:08 Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Q2:09(May)

    Corum Group Presentation 16

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    17/46

    IPO Encouraging Signs

    Offering Date: April 2

    Offering Date: May 20

    Network Management

    Corum Group Presentation 17

    Internet restaurant reservation site

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    18/46

    IPO Rumors

    Corum Group Presentation 18

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    19/46

    Field Update Cisco Review

    Dougan MilneResearch Analyst Intl,Switzerland

    Corum Group Presentation 19

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    20/46

    Buyer Profile: Cisco

    Current Vitals:

    evenue: 37.95 on EBITDA: $10 billion Cash: $33.5 billion Market Ca : 112.5 billion Broad product portfolio

    a s: 137 acquisitions to date Averaging almost a deal a month in previous years S ent nearl 20B on M&A transactions since 2002

    Corum Group Presentation 20

    Transaction range from market convergence to vertical expansion

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    21/46

    Transaction History

    Announced Target Total Deal Amount

    20090409 TidalSoftwareInc. $105,000,000

    200903

    19 Pure

    Digital

    Technologies

    Inc. $590,000,000

    20090127 RichardsZetaBuildingIntelligenceInc

    20080919 Jabber,Inc.

    20080827 PostPath,Inc. $215,000,000

    20080723 PureNetworks $120,000,000

    2008

    06

    10 DiviTech

    A/S . , ,

    20071023 NaviniNetworks,Inc. $330,000,000

    20070927 LatigentLLC.

    20070918 Cognio,Inc.

    20070723 GlooLabs

    20070521 BroadWareTechnologies,Inc.

    20070328 SpansLogicInc

    20070315 WebExCommunications $3,200,000,000

    Corum Group Presentation 21

    20070313 NeoPathNetworks,Inc. $60,000,000

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    22/46

    Transaction History

    Announced Target Total Deal Amount

    20070305 UtahStreetNetworks,Inc

    20070226 Qovia,Inc.

    20070221 Reactivity,Inc. $135,000,000

    ve cross nc

    20070104 IronPortSystems $830,000,000

    20061215 Tivella,Inc

    20061113 GreenfieldNetworks,Inc

    20061025 OrativeCorporation $31,000,000

    20061010 AshleyLaurent(selectedassets)

    20060822 ArroyoVideoSolutions,Inc $92,000,000

    , ,

    20060706 MeetinghouseDataInc. $43,700,000

    20060609 Metreos $28,000,000

    20060609 Audium $19,800,000

    Corum Group Presentation 22

    20060307 SyPixxNetworks,Inc. $51,000,000

    20051129 Cybertrust $14,000,000

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    23/46

    Transaction History

    Announced Target Total Deal Amount

    20051121 DigitalFairway $15,250,000

    200511

    18 Scientific

    Atlanta,

    Inc. $6,900,000,000

    20050930 NemoSystems,Inc. $12,500,000

    20050726 SheerNetworks $97,000,000

    20050722 KiSSTechnologyA/S $61,000,000

    20050627 NetSiftInc. $30,000,000

    20050614 M.I.SecureCorporation $1,000,000

    , . , ,

    20050426 SipuraTechnology,Inc. $68,000,000

    20050414 TopspinCommunicationsInc. $250,000,000

    20050222 Vihana,Inc. $30,000,000

    . , ,

    20041220 ProtegoNetworksInc. $65,000,000

    20041209 BCNSystemsInc. $34,000,000

    20041117 JahiNetworks $16,000,000

    Corum Group Presentation 23

    20041021 Per igoInc. 74,000,000

    20040913 dynamicSoft,Inc. $55,000,000

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    24/46

    Transaction History

    Announced Target Total Deal Amount

    20040909 NetSolveInc. $128,500,000

    200408

    24 P

    Cube

    Inc. $200,000,000

    20040708 ParcTechnologiesLtd. $9,000,000

    c ona ec no og es nc. , ,

    20040616 ProcketNetworks $89,000,000

    20040322 RiverheadNetworks $39,000,000

    200403

    12 Twingo

    Systems $5,000,000

    20031112 LatitudeCommunications,Inc. $80,000,000

    20030320 LinksysGroupInc. $500,000,000

    20030319 SignalWorks,Inc. $13,500,000

    20030127 Okena,Inc. $154,000,000

    200210

    22 Psionic

    Software,

    Inc. $12,000,000

    20020820 AndiamoSystems,Inc. $750,000,000

    20020725 AYRNetworks,Inc. $113,000,000

    Corum Group Presentation 24

    ammer ea e wor s, nc. , ,

    20020501 NavarroNetworks $85,000,000

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    25/46

    Acquisition Strategies

    Joined Dow on Monday

    IBM, Microsoft, HP

    Previous acquisition strategy focused on Enterprise Communications

    e x, os a , a er - o ware an erv ces

    New strategy focuses on Unified Computing and Application Management

    Tidal Software - Yes, more Software and Services

    Moving to the Cloud

    Directly competing with HP and IBM

    Corum Group Presentation 25

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    26/46

    Valuation & Transaction Update

    Ryan BlakelyVice President, ResearchCorum Group Ltd.

    and technology space. With over ten years experience in the software M&A environment, Ryan has an intimate

    understanding of the software industry as a whole, especially as it relates to mergers and acquisitions. As the Vice

    President of Research, Ryan directs Corums research group in both North America and Europe, and has played a

    rec ro e n eve op ng uyer re a ons ps ur ng s enure w orum. e a so s a ma or con r u or o orum s

    research reports. Ryan graduated from Washington State University with a B.A. in Business Management, with a

    focus on Entrepreneurial Studies.

    Corum Group Presentation 26

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    27/46

    Public Markets

    Nasdaq S&PTech Dow

    110.00

    120.00

    80.00

    90.00

    100.00

    60.00

    70.00

    40.00

    50.00

    Au 08 Se 08 Oct08 Nov08 Dec08 Jan09 Feb09 Mar09 A r09 Ma 09

    Corum Group Presentation 27

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    28/46

    M&A Activity

    Number of Software and IT M&A Transactions

    May

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

    2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004

    Corum Group Presentation 28

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    29/46

    Corum Index M&A Statistics

    May-08 May-09

    # of Transactions

    # of Mega DealsLargest Deal

    204

    5$14,500

    232

    4$8,500

    Median Seller Size

    # VC backed Exits

    % Terms Undisclosed

    $20

    25

    63%

    $37

    31

    72%All Cash (announced)

    % Targets were Public

    % Public Buyers

    16%

    50%

    19%

    45%

    Public markets, IPOs, PE all drivers

    Private buyers remain active

    $ values in millions

    Corum Group Presentation 29

    Cash still dominant form of consideration

    International expansion

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    30/46

    Horizontal Application Software Market

    Public Valuations

    HorizontalApplication

    Software

    Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09

    EV/EBITDA 10.12x 11.01x 7.69x 6.82x 9.23x 9.39x

    Corum Group Presentation 30

    EV/S 1.81x 1.71x 1.04x 1.12x 1.16x 1.35x

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    31/46

    Horizontal Application Software Market

    Spotlight:Target Buyer

    Sector: Content ManagementTarget: VignetteBuyer: Open TextDate: Ma 2009

    o e e n a o

    Vignette Corp OpenText

    Highdeal SA SAP Transaction Value: $310 millionStructure: Cash & stockTransaction Multiple: 1.3x

    Search Intelligence Domain7

    Comments: Market leader bulking up Sector consolidation

    Corum Group Presentation 31

    Market expansion

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    32/46

    Vertical Application Software Market

    Public Valuations

    Vertical

    Software

    Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May

    09

    EV/EBITDA 11.07x 9.37x 6.92x 6.53x 7.26x 7.99x

    EV/S 2.19x 1.71x 1.26x 1.14x 1.31x 1.40x

    Corum Group Presentation 32

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    33/46

    Vertical Application Software Market

    Spotlight:Target Buyer

    Sector: Financial ServicesTarget: Access Data CorpBuyer: Broadridge FinancialDate: Ma 2009

    ccess a a orp roa r geFinancial Solutions

    Tisya SA Ultra ElectronicsTransaction Value: $45 millionStructure: Cash

    Techsia Schlumberger

    Informance CDC Software

    ommen s: Buyer a BPO All cash Sector la

    Corum Group Presentation 33

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    34/46

    Consumer Application Software Market

    Public Valuations

    Application

    Software

    Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09

    EV/EBITDA 10.99x 11.45x 5.41x 2.74x 3.81x 2.83x

    Corum Group Presentation 34

    EV/S 1.70x 0.99x 0.61x 0.64x 0.69x 0.50x

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    35/46

    Consumer Application Software Market

    Spotlight:Target Buyer

    Sector: GamingTarget: Big Huge GamesBuyer: 38 Studios LLCDate: Ma 2009

    way ames arner ros

    Big Huge Games 38 Studios LLC

    ProTech K Alliance Transaction Value: Undisclosed

    Comments:

    Diagnostics

    ves ure Private buyer Buyer expanding presence

    Corum Group Presentation 35

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    36/46

    Infrastructure Market

    Public Valuations

    Infrastructure

    Software

    Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09

    EV/EBITDA 11.39x 8.98x 6.47x 6.98x 8.46x 8.29x

    Corum Group Presentation 36

    EV S 1.98x 1.67x 1.47x 1.43x 1.55x 1.52x

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    37/46

    Infrastructure Market

    Spotlight:Target Buyer

    Sector: StorageTarget: Data DomainBuyer: ( )

    Date: Ma 2009

    on gureso

    O3SIS AG Gemalto NV

    Data Domain ( ) Transaction Value Range*:$1.75B to $2.10B millionStructure: Cash and stock

    Cyveillance QinetiQ

    ransac on u p e: . x o7.2x

    Comments:

    Corum Group Presentation 37

    Auction Strategic acquisitions worth

    more than cash* Includes Data Domains cash

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    38/46

    Internet Market

    Public Valuations

    Internet

    Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09

    EV/EBITDA 11.94x 9.60x 8.11x 7.54x 9.80x 11.78x

    Corum Group Presentation 38

    EV/S 2.71x 2.34x 1.10x 1.60x 2.11x 2.26x

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    39/46

    Internet Market

    Spotlight:Target Buyer

    Sector: AdvertisingTarget: KiptronicBuyer: Limelight Networks

    Date: Ma 2009

    er gn ecure or s

    Avinity Systems

    BV

    Active Video

    Networks Transaction Value: $10 million est.Structure: Cash & stock

    Kiptronic Limelight Networks

    ommen s: Hot sector Seller monetizes complex

    roblem

    Corum Group Presentation 39

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    40/46

    IT Services Market

    Public Valuations

    ITServices

    Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09

    EV/EBITDA 6.92x 6.50x 5.36x 5.32x 5.76x 5.51x

    Corum Group Presentation 40

    EV/S 0.89x 0.80x 0.70x 0.56x 0.60x 0.61x

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    41/46

    IT Services Market

    Spotlight:Target Buyer

    Sector: ServiesTarget: Shanghai CovicsBuyer: Atos Origin

    Date: Ma 2009

    ang a ov cs os r g n

    SBO Medasys

    Repton plc Kelway Transaction Value: Undisclosed

    Comments:

    Metrolico SA T-Systems

    xpans on eas SAP Consulting

    Corum Group Presentation 41

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    42/46

    Nat BurgessExecutive Vice PresidentCorum Group Ltd.

    ChairmanWorld Financial Symposiums

    .

    the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Nat helped identify and build cases against securities fraud schemes. With the

    Strategic Development Division of Morgan Stanley's M&A group, Nat worked on cross-border acquisitions of U.S. and European

    companies by Japanese firms, and on financings by large Japanese public companies. Nat moved to Morgan Stanley's Tokyo

    office, where he reported directly to the President of Morgan Stanley, Japan Ltd. and focused exclusively on cross-border M&A.

    After Morgan Stanley, Nat co-founded Postcard Software, a creator of advertiser-driven bilingual (English and Japanese) Internet

    content. At Activision, Nat lead the company's on-line business development.

    Corum Group Presentation 42

    Nat earned an undergraduate degree in Japanese literature from Yale College and a law degree from UCLA. While in law school,

    Nat wrote articles for the International Forum at Yale, Tokyo Journal. Nat is frequently quoted in industry publications, a highly

    sought speaker at industry conferences, and Chairman of the World Financial Symposiums.

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    43/46

    UPDATE

    May 14, San Jose email [email protected]

    Peter Coffee, Paul Kwan, Roman Ormandy, Marc Chiang, Brenon Daly,sa es orce.com Morgan Stanley Microsoft Grant Thornton 451 Group

    Corum Group Presentation 43

    Vivian Wu,

    TA Associates

    Matt Picciano,

    Alpine Investors

    Kevin Werner,

    VeriSignDale Quick, IdentipriseDon Helt, HRMS

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    44/46

    Corum Conferences

    The definitive one-day executive conference on how to prepare,position, value, structure and negotiate the sale or merger of a.

    Merge BriefingA 90-minute M&A market update with a brief overview of theelements of a sale or merger.

    Corum Group Presentation 44

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    45/46

    Conference Schedule

    June

    4 Web M&A Flash Report11 San Francisco Selling Up Selling Out17 Web Merge Briefing - German18 Web Merge Briefing - Nordic23 Paris Selling Up Selling Out24 Los Angeles Merge Briefing

    24 Salt Lake City Merge Briefing24 Salt Lake City Selling Up Selling Out25 Denver Merge Briefing25 Denver Selling Up Selling Out

    >> Visit www.corumgroup.com to register

    Corum Group Presentation 45

  • 8/8/2019 Market Turbulence - June Software/IT M&A Flash Report

    46/46

    Contact Information

    Corum Group Ltd.

    Bruce Milne, CEO and Chairman

    Ryan Blakely, VP Researchryan corumgroup.com

    10500 NE 8th Street, Suite 1500Bellevue, WA 98004

    Corum Group International S..r.l.

    Dou an Milne, International Anal st

    +1 425-455-8281

    [email protected]

    Beim ParadeplatzBasteiplatz 78001 Zrich

    Switzerland

    +41 44 251 82 65

    Corum Group Presentation 46

    www.corumgroup.com