market turbulence - june software/it m&a flash report
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USA Switzerland Germany France United Kingdom Canada Norway Brazil
M&A Flash Re ortM&A Flash Re ort June 2009June 2009Software and IT Industry Market Update
Market Turbulence
Thursday, June 4, 2009
www.corumgroup.com
10:00 am PT
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Mark ReedExecutive Vice President
Bruce MilneCEO & Chairman
Corum Group Ltd.
.Bruce Milne, the founder of Corum, is one of the true leaders in the software industry. He built the largest vertical market
software company in the world before founding Corum, where he has overseen more mergers than anyone in history,
generating over $6 Billion in wealth for the owners of privately held firms. Along the way, in addition to publishing
extensively, he has owned three other software companies (Rosesoft, Dataword, Insider Edition) and been a seed investor
in some of the leaders in our industry (Blue Coat, Bright Star, Sabaki). He founded the largest regional tech association
Washin ton Software Association and as a reco nized leader has served on numerous advisor boards includin
Ryan Blakely
, ,
Comdex, DEC, Apple, IBM, and personally advised Bill Gates at Microsoft. He has been a tech cabinet advisor to two
Governors, a Congressman and U.S. Senator on issues related to the future of the software industry. For his expertise, he
was commissioned by the U.S. government to write the definitive high tech business guide for the SBA. The Canadian
Government had him conduct research which led to the establishment of SoftWorld, and he was recently voted one of the
most influential people in the European software community for his work during the last market decline.
Corum Group Presentation 2
>> For todays presentation or more information, contact Jessica Eastman
([email protected], +1 425-455-8281)
,Corum Group Ltd.
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Relay For Life
Corum Group Presentation 3
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Agenda
Overview of current market
Headlines
May trend IPOs
Cisco field update
Market and valuation analysis
Report from WFS & conference profiles
Closing comments - Q&A
Corum Group Presentation 4
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Headlines
. .
stability
. .
Korea completes nuclear test
GM files for bankruptcy
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Currencies
Euro rises to 7 month high
Yen drops to 7 month low
Rupee climbs to 7 months high
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Consumer Confidence up!
. .
U.K. consumer confidence at 11 month high
Europe confidence at 6 month high
French consumer confidence hits 13 month high
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Commodities Up!
Oil trades near 7 month high
Silver rises most since 87
Copper soaring
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Stock Markets Up!
. .
Brazil stocks jump to 8 month high
India stocks rise best month in 17 years
China stocks rise to 10 month high
Corum Group Presentation 9
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Business Conditions U.S.?
Home refinancing in U.S. tumbles as rate window closes
U.S. automakers fall 35%
U.S housing hasnt found bottom yet
Schiller says U.S. confidence a puzzle
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Business Conditions International?
Europe price outlook slumps
Europe May retail sales fall
German, Italy economies shrank at record pace
Japan Companies Cut Spending by Record; Profits Slump
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Equity Concerns?
Russian stocks a leap of faith
U.S. stock values outpace earnings
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Other Concerns / Opportunities
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Valuations Up!
Company Stock Price 03/03/2009 Stock Price 05/06/2009 % Change
Sun $4.54
$9.11
100.66%
Nokia $9.25 $15.18 64.11% . . .
Cisco $14.50 $19.61 35.24%
Symantec $13.15 $17.59 33.76%
HP $28.30 $36.33 28.37%Oracle $15.06 $19.06 26.56%
EMC $10.13 $12.78 26.16%
Google $326.67 $403.47 23.51%
Microsoft $16.03
$19.79
23.46%
IBM $88.01 $104.62 18.87%SAP $32.28 $38.23 18.43%
Corum Group Presentation 14
Yahoo $12.58 $14.85 18.04%
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Cash Up!
Company Year Ago Cash Current Period Cash
SAP $3,151 n/a
, ,
Microsoft $10,339 $23,900
Oracle $8,409 $11,290
Nokia $3,130 n/aGoogle $6,081 $17,780
Apple $9,352 $25,010IBM $10,786 $12,300
, ,
Sun $2,363 $2,700
Cisco $5,191 $33,550
HP $11,591 $12,920
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Symantec $1,890 $1,990
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IPOs Volume - Last 18 Months
11
12NumberofIPOs
NumberofTechnology IPOs
5
2
3
2
3
1
27% 17% 20% 0%50% 50%
1
0
1
Q1:08 Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Q2:09(May)
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IPO Encouraging Signs
Offering Date: April 2
Offering Date: May 20
Network Management
Corum Group Presentation 17
Internet restaurant reservation site
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IPO Rumors
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Field Update Cisco Review
Dougan MilneResearch Analyst Intl,Switzerland
Corum Group Presentation 19
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Buyer Profile: Cisco
Current Vitals:
evenue: 37.95 on EBITDA: $10 billion Cash: $33.5 billion Market Ca : 112.5 billion Broad product portfolio
a s: 137 acquisitions to date Averaging almost a deal a month in previous years S ent nearl 20B on M&A transactions since 2002
Corum Group Presentation 20
Transaction range from market convergence to vertical expansion
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Transaction History
Announced Target Total Deal Amount
20090409 TidalSoftwareInc. $105,000,000
200903
19 Pure
Digital
Technologies
Inc. $590,000,000
20090127 RichardsZetaBuildingIntelligenceInc
20080919 Jabber,Inc.
20080827 PostPath,Inc. $215,000,000
20080723 PureNetworks $120,000,000
2008
06
10 DiviTech
A/S . , ,
20071023 NaviniNetworks,Inc. $330,000,000
20070927 LatigentLLC.
20070918 Cognio,Inc.
20070723 GlooLabs
20070521 BroadWareTechnologies,Inc.
20070328 SpansLogicInc
20070315 WebExCommunications $3,200,000,000
Corum Group Presentation 21
20070313 NeoPathNetworks,Inc. $60,000,000
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Transaction History
Announced Target Total Deal Amount
20070305 UtahStreetNetworks,Inc
20070226 Qovia,Inc.
20070221 Reactivity,Inc. $135,000,000
ve cross nc
20070104 IronPortSystems $830,000,000
20061215 Tivella,Inc
20061113 GreenfieldNetworks,Inc
20061025 OrativeCorporation $31,000,000
20061010 AshleyLaurent(selectedassets)
20060822 ArroyoVideoSolutions,Inc $92,000,000
, ,
20060706 MeetinghouseDataInc. $43,700,000
20060609 Metreos $28,000,000
20060609 Audium $19,800,000
Corum Group Presentation 22
20060307 SyPixxNetworks,Inc. $51,000,000
20051129 Cybertrust $14,000,000
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Transaction History
Announced Target Total Deal Amount
20051121 DigitalFairway $15,250,000
200511
18 Scientific
Atlanta,
Inc. $6,900,000,000
20050930 NemoSystems,Inc. $12,500,000
20050726 SheerNetworks $97,000,000
20050722 KiSSTechnologyA/S $61,000,000
20050627 NetSiftInc. $30,000,000
20050614 M.I.SecureCorporation $1,000,000
, . , ,
20050426 SipuraTechnology,Inc. $68,000,000
20050414 TopspinCommunicationsInc. $250,000,000
20050222 Vihana,Inc. $30,000,000
. , ,
20041220 ProtegoNetworksInc. $65,000,000
20041209 BCNSystemsInc. $34,000,000
20041117 JahiNetworks $16,000,000
Corum Group Presentation 23
20041021 Per igoInc. 74,000,000
20040913 dynamicSoft,Inc. $55,000,000
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Transaction History
Announced Target Total Deal Amount
20040909 NetSolveInc. $128,500,000
200408
24 P
Cube
Inc. $200,000,000
20040708 ParcTechnologiesLtd. $9,000,000
c ona ec no og es nc. , ,
20040616 ProcketNetworks $89,000,000
20040322 RiverheadNetworks $39,000,000
200403
12 Twingo
Systems $5,000,000
20031112 LatitudeCommunications,Inc. $80,000,000
20030320 LinksysGroupInc. $500,000,000
20030319 SignalWorks,Inc. $13,500,000
20030127 Okena,Inc. $154,000,000
200210
22 Psionic
Software,
Inc. $12,000,000
20020820 AndiamoSystems,Inc. $750,000,000
20020725 AYRNetworks,Inc. $113,000,000
Corum Group Presentation 24
ammer ea e wor s, nc. , ,
20020501 NavarroNetworks $85,000,000
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Acquisition Strategies
Joined Dow on Monday
IBM, Microsoft, HP
Previous acquisition strategy focused on Enterprise Communications
e x, os a , a er - o ware an erv ces
New strategy focuses on Unified Computing and Application Management
Tidal Software - Yes, more Software and Services
Moving to the Cloud
Directly competing with HP and IBM
Corum Group Presentation 25
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Valuation & Transaction Update
Ryan BlakelyVice President, ResearchCorum Group Ltd.
and technology space. With over ten years experience in the software M&A environment, Ryan has an intimate
understanding of the software industry as a whole, especially as it relates to mergers and acquisitions. As the Vice
President of Research, Ryan directs Corums research group in both North America and Europe, and has played a
rec ro e n eve op ng uyer re a ons ps ur ng s enure w orum. e a so s a ma or con r u or o orum s
research reports. Ryan graduated from Washington State University with a B.A. in Business Management, with a
focus on Entrepreneurial Studies.
Corum Group Presentation 26
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Public Markets
Nasdaq S&PTech Dow
110.00
120.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
60.00
70.00
40.00
50.00
Au 08 Se 08 Oct08 Nov08 Dec08 Jan09 Feb09 Mar09 A r09 Ma 09
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M&A Activity
Number of Software and IT M&A Transactions
May
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
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Corum Index M&A Statistics
May-08 May-09
# of Transactions
# of Mega DealsLargest Deal
204
5$14,500
232
4$8,500
Median Seller Size
# VC backed Exits
% Terms Undisclosed
$20
25
63%
$37
31
72%All Cash (announced)
% Targets were Public
% Public Buyers
16%
50%
19%
45%
Public markets, IPOs, PE all drivers
Private buyers remain active
$ values in millions
Corum Group Presentation 29
Cash still dominant form of consideration
International expansion
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Horizontal Application Software Market
Public Valuations
HorizontalApplication
Software
Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09
EV/EBITDA 10.12x 11.01x 7.69x 6.82x 9.23x 9.39x
Corum Group Presentation 30
EV/S 1.81x 1.71x 1.04x 1.12x 1.16x 1.35x
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Horizontal Application Software Market
Spotlight:Target Buyer
Sector: Content ManagementTarget: VignetteBuyer: Open TextDate: Ma 2009
o e e n a o
Vignette Corp OpenText
Highdeal SA SAP Transaction Value: $310 millionStructure: Cash & stockTransaction Multiple: 1.3x
Search Intelligence Domain7
Comments: Market leader bulking up Sector consolidation
Corum Group Presentation 31
Market expansion
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Vertical Application Software Market
Public Valuations
Vertical
Software
Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May
09
EV/EBITDA 11.07x 9.37x 6.92x 6.53x 7.26x 7.99x
EV/S 2.19x 1.71x 1.26x 1.14x 1.31x 1.40x
Corum Group Presentation 32
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Vertical Application Software Market
Spotlight:Target Buyer
Sector: Financial ServicesTarget: Access Data CorpBuyer: Broadridge FinancialDate: Ma 2009
ccess a a orp roa r geFinancial Solutions
Tisya SA Ultra ElectronicsTransaction Value: $45 millionStructure: Cash
Techsia Schlumberger
Informance CDC Software
ommen s: Buyer a BPO All cash Sector la
Corum Group Presentation 33
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Consumer Application Software Market
Public Valuations
Application
Software
Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09
EV/EBITDA 10.99x 11.45x 5.41x 2.74x 3.81x 2.83x
Corum Group Presentation 34
EV/S 1.70x 0.99x 0.61x 0.64x 0.69x 0.50x
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Consumer Application Software Market
Spotlight:Target Buyer
Sector: GamingTarget: Big Huge GamesBuyer: 38 Studios LLCDate: Ma 2009
way ames arner ros
Big Huge Games 38 Studios LLC
ProTech K Alliance Transaction Value: Undisclosed
Comments:
Diagnostics
ves ure Private buyer Buyer expanding presence
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Infrastructure Market
Public Valuations
Infrastructure
Software
Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09
EV/EBITDA 11.39x 8.98x 6.47x 6.98x 8.46x 8.29x
Corum Group Presentation 36
EV S 1.98x 1.67x 1.47x 1.43x 1.55x 1.52x
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Infrastructure Market
Spotlight:Target Buyer
Sector: StorageTarget: Data DomainBuyer: ( )
Date: Ma 2009
on gureso
O3SIS AG Gemalto NV
Data Domain ( ) Transaction Value Range*:$1.75B to $2.10B millionStructure: Cash and stock
Cyveillance QinetiQ
ransac on u p e: . x o7.2x
Comments:
Corum Group Presentation 37
Auction Strategic acquisitions worth
more than cash* Includes Data Domains cash
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Internet Market
Public Valuations
Internet
Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09
EV/EBITDA 11.94x 9.60x 8.11x 7.54x 9.80x 11.78x
Corum Group Presentation 38
EV/S 2.71x 2.34x 1.10x 1.60x 2.11x 2.26x
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Internet Market
Spotlight:Target Buyer
Sector: AdvertisingTarget: KiptronicBuyer: Limelight Networks
Date: Ma 2009
er gn ecure or s
Avinity Systems
BV
Active Video
Networks Transaction Value: $10 million est.Structure: Cash & stock
Kiptronic Limelight Networks
ommen s: Hot sector Seller monetizes complex
roblem
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IT Services Market
Public Valuations
ITServices
Q2:08 Q3:08 Q4:08 Q1:09 Apr09 May09
EV/EBITDA 6.92x 6.50x 5.36x 5.32x 5.76x 5.51x
Corum Group Presentation 40
EV/S 0.89x 0.80x 0.70x 0.56x 0.60x 0.61x
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IT Services Market
Spotlight:Target Buyer
Sector: ServiesTarget: Shanghai CovicsBuyer: Atos Origin
Date: Ma 2009
ang a ov cs os r g n
SBO Medasys
Repton plc Kelway Transaction Value: Undisclosed
Comments:
Metrolico SA T-Systems
xpans on eas SAP Consulting
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Nat BurgessExecutive Vice PresidentCorum Group Ltd.
ChairmanWorld Financial Symposiums
.
the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Nat helped identify and build cases against securities fraud schemes. With the
Strategic Development Division of Morgan Stanley's M&A group, Nat worked on cross-border acquisitions of U.S. and European
companies by Japanese firms, and on financings by large Japanese public companies. Nat moved to Morgan Stanley's Tokyo
office, where he reported directly to the President of Morgan Stanley, Japan Ltd. and focused exclusively on cross-border M&A.
After Morgan Stanley, Nat co-founded Postcard Software, a creator of advertiser-driven bilingual (English and Japanese) Internet
content. At Activision, Nat lead the company's on-line business development.
Corum Group Presentation 42
Nat earned an undergraduate degree in Japanese literature from Yale College and a law degree from UCLA. While in law school,
Nat wrote articles for the International Forum at Yale, Tokyo Journal. Nat is frequently quoted in industry publications, a highly
sought speaker at industry conferences, and Chairman of the World Financial Symposiums.
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UPDATE
May 14, San Jose email [email protected]
Peter Coffee, Paul Kwan, Roman Ormandy, Marc Chiang, Brenon Daly,sa es orce.com Morgan Stanley Microsoft Grant Thornton 451 Group
Corum Group Presentation 43
Vivian Wu,
TA Associates
Matt Picciano,
Alpine Investors
Kevin Werner,
VeriSignDale Quick, IdentipriseDon Helt, HRMS
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Corum Conferences
The definitive one-day executive conference on how to prepare,position, value, structure and negotiate the sale or merger of a.
Merge BriefingA 90-minute M&A market update with a brief overview of theelements of a sale or merger.
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Conference Schedule
June
4 Web M&A Flash Report11 San Francisco Selling Up Selling Out17 Web Merge Briefing - German18 Web Merge Briefing - Nordic23 Paris Selling Up Selling Out24 Los Angeles Merge Briefing
24 Salt Lake City Merge Briefing24 Salt Lake City Selling Up Selling Out25 Denver Merge Briefing25 Denver Selling Up Selling Out
>> Visit www.corumgroup.com to register
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Contact Information
Corum Group Ltd.
Bruce Milne, CEO and Chairman
Ryan Blakely, VP Researchryan corumgroup.com
10500 NE 8th Street, Suite 1500Bellevue, WA 98004
Corum Group International S..r.l.
Dou an Milne, International Anal st
+1 425-455-8281
Beim ParadeplatzBasteiplatz 78001 Zrich
Switzerland
+41 44 251 82 65
Corum Group Presentation 46
www.corumgroup.com