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Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary www.tarreport.com [email protected]

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Page 1: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Market Update3Q/08Stacey P. AnfindsenBirch Appraisal Group of [email protected]

Page 2: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New
Page 3: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New
Page 4: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New
Page 5: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

• 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current

• New foreclosures initiated are up 60% in 1Q/08 versus the ‘07 monthly average (1Q/08 average was 36k per month, equal split between prime and non-prime loans)

• New foreclosures completed are up 64% in 1Q/08 versus the ‘07 monthly average (1Q/08 average was 10k per month, 0.3% of all mortgages)

• Moody’s states that 1 in 6 homeowners are upside down

Page 6: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 7: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 8: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 9: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 10: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 11: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 12: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 13: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 14: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 15: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 16: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 17: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 18: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 19: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 20: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 21: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 22: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 23: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 24: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 25: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 26: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 27: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

Summary of Triangle Wide Activity

Page 28: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

The Ugly• 29 consecutive months of inventory growth, 20

consecutive months of lower pending sales• 63% of all price points have an oversupply of housing

product• 9/08 expired listings were 227% higher than 9/07

expired listings• 9/08 employed workforce was lower than the 9/07

workforce for the first time since ‘01 v. ‘00

Page 29: Market Update 3Q/08Market Update 3Q/08 Stacey P. Anfindsen Birch Appraisal Group of Cary Stacey@staceypeter.com • 98.83% of all outstanding mortgages are rated as current • New

The Good• TMLS 3rd quarter closings were the 6th highest in

history• Durham supply of 7 months is lower than national

current supply of 10 months• Average house price appreciation in Durham has

been 3.11%. National rate is -5.9%• Average list price +1%, inventory is shrinking• Houses priced correctly in Durham sell in an average

of 60 days