marketing research and sales forecasting
TRANSCRIPT
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Market Research
&
Sales Forecasting
By:
Ankit Bhatnagar
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What is Market Research?
Simply a matter of finding out as much as
you can before committing yourself to an
irretrievable step When you do not have answers through
your own Market Information and
Intelligence System
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What to find out?
What does the customer need?
Who is the target audience and how much
can you find out about them? What is the competition?
Are there any gaps in the market?
Would the product be acceptable in themarket?
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Do I need Market Research?
Yes. Provided I know what I want.
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The MR Process
What is the Marketing Problem?
What is the Research Problem?
Developing the Research Plan Research Approach
Research Instruments
Collecting the Information
Analysing the information
Presentation of findings
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Data sources
Reference Library
Directories of Products/Companies
The Bombay Stock Exchange
Industry/Trade Journals
Trade fairs and Exhibitions
Company Annual Reports
Internet
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Testing Product Acceptability
If your product is a knock - down kit , give
it to the factory peon to assemble it.
Post the item back to yourself and assess thedamage the transporter does to it.
Try various types of packaging and choose
a suitable cost effective option. Try a number of product names and
determine which is more acceptable.
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Sales Forecasting - Why is it
necessary? To raise the necessary cash for investment
and operations
to establish capacity and output levels to acquire and stock the right amount of
supplies
to hire the required number of people
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Market
A set of all actual and potential buyers of a
product or service
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Potential Market
A set of consumers who profess a sufficient
level of interest in a product or service
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Available Market
A set of consumers who have interest ,
income and access to a particular product or
service
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Qualified Available Market
A set of consumers who have interest,
income, access and qualifications for the
particular product or service
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Target Market
Part of the qualified available market the
company decides to pursue
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Penetrated Market
A set of consumers who are buying the
companys product or service
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Market Demand
Total volume that would be bought by a
defined
customer group
geographical area
time period
marketing environment
marketing programme
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Market Potential
Boom period
Recession
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Market Minimum
The market potential of the product with
minimum marketing effort of the industry
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Sensitivity of Demand
Market Potential - Market Minimum
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Market Forecast
Market demand corresponding to the
industry marketing expenditure
This would be lower than the market
potential
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Company Demand
Estimated share of market demand at
alternative levels of company marketing
effort in a given time period
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Company Sales Forecast
Expected level of company sales based on a
chosen marketing plan and an assumed
marketing environment.
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Sales Target
Sales goal for a product line,company
division or a sales rep.It is a benchmark to
evaluate achievements against goals set.
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Sales Budget
Conservative estimate of the expected
volume of sales and is used for
purchasing.production and cash flowdecisions
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Estimating Market Potential
Chain - ratio method
Demand for Complan =
Population *
per capita discretionary income *
% discretionary income on food *
% spent on beverages * % spent on health beverages *
% spent on white health beverages *
% spent on Complan
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Other methods
Market built - up method
Industry sales and market shares
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Estimating Future Demand
Survey of buyers intentions
Composite of sales force opinions
Expert opinion Past sales analysis
Market test method