marketoutlook - tradeswift · 2019. 1. 29. · 10550 10600 10650 10700 10750 10800 10850 10900...

Market Outlook

THEWEEKTHATWAS

WEEK AHEAD

Sensex regains 36,000

Domestic stocks logged modest gains last week amid high intraday volatility. Gains were aided by steady fall in crude oil prices and firm rupee. TheSensex reclaimed thepsychological 36,000-mark. Indices rose in threeoutof four trading sessions.

In theweek ended Friday, 28 December 2018, the Sensex rose 334.65 points or 0.94% to settle at 36,076.72, its highest closing level since 20 December2018.TheNifty50 index rose105.90pointsor0.98% tosettle at 10,859.90, its highest closing level since20December2018.

TheBSEMid-Cap indexrose107.21pointsor0.7%to settle at 15,360.21. TheBSESmall-Cap index fell 27.93 points or0.19%to settle at14,605.69.

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) onWednesday, 26 December 2018 constituted an expert committee to review the extant economic capitalframework of the central bank. The committee will be headed by Bimal Jalan, former RBI governor, while RakeshMohan, former deputy governor andformerDEA (Departmentof EconomicAffairs) secretary, is thevice chairmanof the committee.

India's GST Council in the thirty-first meeting held on Saturday, 22 December 2018, at New Delhi announced reduction in GST rates/exemptions on 23goods and services, includingmovie tickets, TV/monitor screens and power banks, and exempted frozen and preserved vegetables from the levy. Of the23 goods and services onwhich rates have been slashed, tax rate on seven items in the 28% slab has been brought down.With this, only 28 goods are leftin thehighest28%taxbracket. ThenewGST rateswill beeffective from1January2019.

On the economic front, India's fiscal deficit in the first eight months of FY2018-2019 rose to Rs 7.17 lakh crore, hitting around 115% of the budgetedtarget for the current financial year, governmentdata showed. Thegovernmenthad set a fiscaldeficit target ofRs 6.24 lakh crore for FY2019.

Meanwhile, thegovernmenthas revised theMinimumSupport Price (MSP)of 23 itemsofMinor Forest Produce (MFP) items andhas introducedMSPfor17 newMFP items. The 23 items whose MSP has been revised include those Minor Forest Produce items which have been covered under the schemesince its inception in the year 2013-14. The revisedMSP also includes thoseMFP itemswhichwere announced on 31October 2016 except Palash Flower(wet variety).

On the US data front, the Case-Shiller 20-city price index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.4% in October, while the year-over-year advance fell to 5% from arevised5.2% inSeptember.

First-time claims for unemploymentbenefits fell by 1,000 to216,000 in theweekendedDecember 22, the LaborDepartment said Thursday. Further, theConferenceBoard said its consumer-confidence indexdropped to128.1 thismonth fromarevised136.4 inNovember.

Macroeconomicdata todictatemarket trend

Macro economic data, developments in the winter session of parliament, trend in global markets, themovement of rupee against the dollar and crudeoil price movement will dictate trend on the bourses in the near term. Investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) and domestic institutionalinvestors (DIIs)will alsobemonitored.Thedomestic equitymarketwill remain shutonTuesday, 25December2018, for Christmas.

Investorswill keenlywatch thedevelopments in thewinter sessionofparliament. The nearlymonth-long sessionwhichbeganon11December2018willcontinue till the8thofnextmonth.45 bills andone financial itemwill be takenupduring the session. TheSessionwill have20sittings.

Auto stockswill be in focus as the auto companieswill start announcingmonthly salesnumbers forDecember2018starting from1 January 2019.

On themacro front, thegovernmentwill announcedataon infrastructureoutput forNovemberonMonday, 31December2018.

The Nikkei Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) for December 2018 will be announced on 2 January 2019. Nikkei Services PMI data forDecember 2018will beannouncedon4 January2019.

On the global front, China's CaixinManufacturing PMIdata forDecemberwill beunveiledon2 January 2019.USMarkitManufacturingPMI finaldata forDecemberwill alsobeunveiledon the sameday.

Nifty Outlook (10860):

Bank Nifty Outlook (27125):

USDINROutlook (70.16) :

EURINROutlook (80.67):

Dollar IndexOutlook (95.97):

Markets witnessed a stellar opening to the January F&O series as across-the-board buying led to ~1% gains inmajor sectoral indices. Durig the last week Nifty hasmade a low of 10534 andgivena sharpbounce fromthis level 10893 and closedabove 200DEMAof10705. Its immediate support is likely tobeseen around10770 and10690 fornextweek. Its resistance is likely tobeseenaround10970and11090 fornextweek.

During the lastweekUSDINRhasmade a lower top bottomformationand closedbelow20DEMAof 70.80. Its immediate support is likely tobeseenaround69.70and69.30 fornextweek.Its resistance is likely tobeseenaround70.80and71.30 fornextweek.

During the last week Bank Nifty has made a low of 26408 and given a bounce from this level up to 27239. Its immediate support is likely to be seen around 26750 and 26400 for nextweek. Its resistance is likely tobeseenaround27250and27500 fornextweek.

During the lastweek EURINRhasmade a lowof 79.68 and givena sharpbounce from this level up to 80.78. Its immediate support is likely tobe seenaround 79.90 and 79.30 for nextweek.Its resistance is likely tobeseenaround81and81.70 fornextweek.

During the lastweekDXhasmade a lower top formationandgiven a correction from96.65 to 95.75. Its immediate support is likely tobe seenaround95.70 and 95.10 for nextweek. Itsresistance is likely tobeseenaround96.50and97.50 fornextweek.

Weekly Newsletter | 30 Dec- 05 Jan.2019th th

Market Outlook

Cash Market Data

Market Indicator

Primary Mkt. Updates

Pivot Levels

Next Week Events

Index

Particulars Nifty Sensex

52 Wk High

52 Wk Low

11760.20

9951.90

10859.90

38989.65

32483.84

36076.72Close

Currency UpdateCMP Net Change

USDINR

EURINR 80.67

70.16 0.01%

0.59%

Institutional Activity ( Cr.)FII DII

Week 1115.49

Month (Dec.)

Year (2018) -71304.75

53.57-776.5

584.91

Primary Market UpdateDate Price BandCompany

- --

---

-

109432.95

IPO

Nitialublicffering

Equities Commodities Demat IPOs ResearchMutual FundsCurrencies Training

10550

10600

10650

10700

10750

10800

10850

10900

CLOSE

14.80

15.00

15.20

15.40

15.60

15.80

16.00

16.20

CLOSE

CASH MARKET DATA

Nifty Sensex

VIX Turnover (Rs. Cr.)

FII/DII (Cr) Advance/Decline

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000 FII

CLOSE351003520035300354003550035600357003580035900360003610036200

CLOSE

CASH MARKET DATA

Nifty Sensex


FII/DII (Cr) Advance/Decline

FII DII

0

200

400

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800

1000

1200 ADVANCE

05000

10000150002000025000300003500040000

CLOSE

CASH MARKET DATA

Nifty Sensex


FII/DII (Cr) Advance/DeclineADVANCE DECLINE

NSE

2.82.9

33.13.23.33.43.53.63.73.83.9

21222324252627282930

2.4

2.5

2.6

2.7

2.8

2.9

3

3.1

3.2

3.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

03-Ju

l-17

03-A

ug-1

703

-Sep

-17

03-O

ct-1

703

-Nov

-17

03-D

ec-1

703

-Jan-

1803

-Feb

-18

03-M

ar-1

803

-Apr

-18

03-M

ay-1

803

-Jun-

1803

-Jul-1

803

-Aug

-18

03-S

ep-1

803

-Oct

-18

03-N

ov-1

803

-Dec

-18

2.9

3

3.1

3.2

3.3

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3.5

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0

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10

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4

Nifty P/E Ratio Nifty P/BV Ratio

Bank Nifty P/E Ratio Bank Nifty P/BV Ratio

Nifty 500 P/E Ratio Nifty 500 P/BV Ratio

MARKET MOVEMENT

Index* Close Pre. Day Return % Close Return % Pre. Day Return % Year Ago Return %21-Dec-18 20-Dec-18 21-Dec-18 21-Nov-18 8-Dec-17

Broad Market Indices :NIFTY 50 10859.9 10779.8 0.74% 10754 0.98% 10600.05 2.45% 10265.7 5.79%NIFTY NEXT 50 28063.2 27780.95 1.02% 28017.35 0.16% 27375.1 2.51% 30001.7 -6.46%NIFTY 100 11101.65 11015.8 0.78% 11005.85 0.87% 10836.3 2.45% 10698.1 3.77%NIFTY 200 5748.3 5702.95 0.80% 5701.25 0.83% 5616.3 2.35% 5643.45 1.86%NIFTY 500 9152.55 9078.8 0.81% 9082.55 0.77% 8940.3 2.37% 9190.55 -0.41%NIFTY MIDCAP 50 4911.9 4853.9 1.19% 4844.7 1.39% 4835.6 1.58% 5228.35 -6.05%INDIA VIX 15.27 16.0725 -4.99% 15.9925 -4.52% 19.555 -21.91% 13.6725 11.68%Sectoral Indices :NIFTY BANK 27125.25 26878.55 0.92% 26869.65 0.95% 26262.05 3.29% 25321.2 7.12%

NIFTY AUTO 9223.8 9184.1 0.43% 9337.25 -1.22% 9119.3 1.15% 11357.2 -18.78%

NIFTY FIN SERVICE 11586.25 11459 1.11% 11439.05 1.29% 11087.8 4.50% 10328 12.18%NIFTY FMCG 30544 30377.5 0.55% 30199.8 1.14% 29390.85 3.92% 26459.6 15.44%NIFTY IT 14385.8 14354.5 0.22% 14207.85 1.25% 13879.15 3.65% 11173.4 28.75%NIFTY MEDIA 2556.15 2507.85 1.93% 2466.1 3.65% 2433.3 5.05% 3312.7 -22.84%NIFTY METAL 3112.2 3089 0.75% 3162.3 -1.58% 3272.7 -4.90% 3643.5 -14.58%NIFTY PHARMA 8814.2 8665.75 1.71% 8774.05 0.46% 9375.1 -5.98% 9098.45 -3.12%NIFTY PSU BANK 3079.9 3048.75 1.02% 3034.45 1.50% 2964.2 3.90% 3767.1 -18.24%NIFTY PVT BANK 15268.05 15128 0.93% 15117.05 1.00% 14845.6 2.85% 13994.6 9.10%NIFTY REALTY 233.2 232.6 0.26% 238.5 -2.22% 229.65 1.55% 323.4 -27.89%Strategy Indices :NIFTY DIV OPPS 50 2586.2 2574.25 0.46% 2569.75 0.64% 2496.4 3.60% 2569.1 0.67%

NIFTY GROWSECT 15 6484.5 6444.5 0.62% 6469.65 0.23% 6356.6 2.01% 6307.95 2.80%

NIFTY50 VALUE 20 5133.15 5120.5 0.25% 2621.75 95.79% 5017.55 2.30% 4624.6 11.00%NIFTY50 TR 2X LEV 5751.75 5665.35 1.53% 5101.35 12.75% 5521.1 4.18% 5418.55 6.15%NIFTY50 PR 2X LEV 4539.9 4474.25 1.47% 5645.15 -19.58% 4363.3 4.05% 4401.15 3.15%NIFTY50 TR 1X INV 368.25 371.05 -0.75% 4458.25 -91.74% 375.8 -2.01% 376.5 -2.19%NIFTY50 PR 1X INV 414.45 417.45 -0.72% 371.6 11.53% 422.7 -1.95% 417.7 -0.78%NIFTY50 DIV POINT 113.6 110.57 2.74% 418.1 -72.83% 106.94 6.23% 97.82 16.13%Thematic Indices :NIFTY COMMODITIES 3420.3 3391.45 0.85% 3425.65 -0.16% 3469.3 -1.41% 3935 -13.08%

NIFTY CONSUMPTION 4992.55 4955.35 0.75% 4966.25 0.53% 4812.5 3.74% 4909.35 1.69%

NIFTY CPSE 2072.05 2049.25 1.11% 2069.05 0.14% 2136.25 -3.01% 2624.05 -21.04%NIFTY ENERGY 14369.8 14284.6 0.60% 14159.75 1.48% 14124.35 1.74% 14174 1.38%NIFTY INFRA 3177.4 3154.1 0.74% 3131.5 1.47% 3109.85 2.17% 3524.4 -9.85%NIFTY100 LIQ 15 3789.65 3733.65 1.50% 3761.5 0.75% 3866.5 -1.99% 4414.6 -14.16%NIFTY MID LIQ 15 4094.8 4053.5 1.02% 4037.25 1.43% 4036.05 1.46% 4407.45 -7.09%NIFTY MNC 13879.8 13743.3 0.99% 13804.15 0.55% 13404.15 3.55% 14051.6 -1.22%NIFTY PSE 3381.85 3356.5 0.76% 3371.65 0.30% 3371.7 0.30% 4248.9 -20.41%NIFTY SERV SECTOR 14922.45 14806.3 0.78% 14731.55 1.30% 14330 4.13% 13496.2 10.57%

WEEKLY CHANGE IN WORLD INDICES

Indices 28.12.2018 21.12.2018 Chg (Pts) % ChgDOW JONES 23062.40 22445.36 617.04 2.75%NASDAQ COMPOSITE 6584.52 6332.99 251.53 3.97%FTSE 6733.97 6721.16 12.81 0.19%NIKKEI 20014.76 20166.18 -151.42 -0.75%BOVESPA 87887.25 85697.14 2190.11 2.56%HANG SENG 25504.19 25753.41 -249.22 -0.97%

52 WEEKS HIGH/LOW ALL TIME HIGH/LOW

Scrip Rate H/L Prev H/L on Scrip Rate H/L Prev H/L on

NILKAMAL 1471 L 11-Dec-18 TIINDIA 344.95 H 13-Dec-18

FDC 172.6 L 26-Dec-18 HINDUNILVR 1834.9 H 17-Dec-18

GLENMARK 700.75 H 10-Sep-18 LT 1448 H 1-Feb-18

KRBL 280 L 24-Dec-18 COLPAL 1327.65 H 19-Dec-18

GDL 129.2 L 26-Dec-18 THYROCARE 533.15 L 27-Nov-18

MCLEODRUSS 113.3 L 26-Dec-18 DMART 1669.5 H 19-Dec-18

PVR 1600.8 H 24-Dec-18 MUTHOOTFIN 510.7 H 20-Dec-18

OIL 171.3 L 27-Dec-18 APLAPOLLO 1105 L 27-Dec-18

INCREASE IN OPEN INTEREST

Symbol Expiry Date Last Price Chg (Rs) Chg (%) Open Interest MWPL Reached (%) Change in OI (%)RAMCOCEM 31-Jan-19 648 3.6 0.56% 655200 131200 25.04%BERGEPAINT 31-Jan-19 330.95 1.45 0.44% 2068000 308000 17.50%SIEMENS 31-Jan-19 1045.8 13.75 1.33% 2126850 282700 15.33%TORNTPOWER 31-Jan-19 260.5 0.55 0.21% 2244000 246000 12.31%MUTHOOTFIN 31-Jan-19 507.4 13.15 2.66% 2170500 234000 12.08%

DECREASE IN OPEN INTEREST

Symbol Expiry Date Last Price Chg (Rs) Chg (%) Open Interest MWPL Reached (%) Change in OI (%)BPCL 31-Jan-19 355.25 0.4 0.11% 9306000 -910800 -8.91%JUSTDIAL 31-Jan-19 500.1 -4.3 -0.85% 2287600 -85400 -3.60%HINDPETRO 31-Jan-19 247.4 1.45 0.59% 12612600 -468300 -3.58%IOC 31-Jan-19 137.9 3.8 2.83% 52094000 -1711500 -3.18%VEDL 31-Jan-19 201.35 4.15 2.10% 35518900 -1039600 -2.84%

INCREASE IN OI IN CALLS

Symbol Expiry Date Option Type Strike Price Last Price Turnover Premium (Lacs) Open Interest Open Int ChgSAIL 31-Jan-19 CE 60 0.8 102.73 4380000 2688000PCJEWELLER 31-Jan-19 CE 100 3.8 230.93 1196000 260000RCOM 31-Jan-19 CE 16 0.95 54.98 3230000 476000NBCC 31-Jan-19 CE 60 1.9 99.54 1664000 800000SBIN 31-Jan-19 CE 300 8 384.64 2535000 456000

INCREASE IN OI IN PUTS

Symbol Expiry Date Option Type Strike Price Last Price Turnover Premium (Lacs Open Interest Open Int Chg

ICICIBANK 31-Jan-19 PE 350 6.1 203.03 3008500 1045000

SBIN 31-Jan-19 PE 290 6.75 165.32 1422000 297000

SAIL 31-Jan-19 PE 50 0.8 22.81 1284000 516000

PFC 31-Jan-19 PE 100 2.9 62.21 1047800 384400

RECLTD 31-Jan-19 PE 115 3.25 68.48 822000 624000

LEVELS FOR NIFTY STOCKS

Security Name HBP 2R 1R CLOSE ATP 1S 2S LBP Up/DownADANIPORTS 397.52 394.13 390.77 387.40 387.38 384.02 380.63 377.27 UPAMBUJACEM 229.17 225.98 223.47 220.95 220.28 217.77 214.58 212.07 UPASIANPAINT 1403.67 1393.33 1379.67 1366.00 1369.33 1355.67 1345.33 1331.67 DOWNAUROPHARMA 745.55 736.45 730.20 723.95 721.10 714.85 705.75 699.50 UPAXISBANK 636.70 632.35 628.70 625.05 624.35 620.70 616.35 612.70 UPBAJAJ-AUTO 2795.92 2777.93 2747.72 2717.50 2729.73 2699.52 2681.53 2651.32 DOWNBAJFINANCE 2714.93 2679.37 2657.08 2634.80 2621.52 2599.23 2563.67 2541.38 UPBPCL 377.33 373.57 367.73 361.90 363.97 358.13 354.37 348.53 DOWNBHARTIARTL 326.70 323.85 320.20 316.55 317.35 313.70 310.85 307.20 DOWNINFRATEL 275.58 272.67 267.83 263.00 264.92 260.08 257.17 252.33 DOWNBOSCHLTD 20189.63 19933.82 19781.78 19629.75 19525.97 19373.93 19118.12 18966.08 UPCIPLA 537.85 531.60 526.80 522.00 520.55 515.75 509.50 504.70 UPCOALINDIA 247.45 245.40 243.85 242.30 241.80 240.25 238.20 236.65 UPDRREDDY 2668.13 2650.57 2636.23 2621.90 2618.67 2604.33 2586.77 2572.43 UPEICHERMOT 23606.07 23458.03 23291.07 23124.10 23143.03 22976.07 22828.03 22661.07 DOWNGAIL 366.38 363.87 360.08 356.30 357.57 353.78 351.27 347.48 DOWNHCLTECH 977.23 970.12 964.23 958.35 957.12 951.23 944.12 938.23 UPHDFC 2033.97 2011.98 1995.97 1979.95 1973.98 1957.97 1935.98 1919.97 UPHDFCBANK 2157.52 2147.63 2135.27 2122.90 2125.38 2113.02 2103.13 2090.77 DOWNHEROMOTOCO 3200.73 3180.37 3151.48 3122.60 3131.12 3102.23 3081.87 3052.98 DOWNHINDPETRO 264.27 260.63 258.27 255.90 254.63 252.27 248.63 246.27 UPHINDALCO 231.08 228.57 226.03 223.50 223.52 220.98 218.47 215.93 DOWNHINDUNILVR 1851.93 1843.42 1832.73 1822.05 1824.22 1813.53 1805.02 1794.33 DOWNICICIBANK 367.43 365.12 362.93 360.75 360.62 358.43 356.12 353.93 UPIBULHSGFIN 877.63 867.82 858.53 849.25 848.72 839.43 829.62 820.33 UPIOC 144.37 141.53 139.87 138.20 137.03 135.37 132.53 130.87 UPINDUSINDBK 1628.33 1614.42 1598.83 1583.25 1584.92 1569.33 1555.42 1539.83 DOWNINFY 672.73 668.12 662.53 656.95 657.92 652.33 647.72 642.13 DOWNITC 289.30 286.65 284.45 282.25 281.80 279.60 276.95 274.75 UPJSWSTEEL 307.20 303.90 301.00 298.10 297.70 294.80 291.50 288.60 UPKOTAKBANK 1265.67 1258.28 1249.82 1241.35 1242.43 1233.97 1226.58 1218.12 DOWNLT 1471.20 1459.60 1449.50 1439.40 1437.90 1427.80 1416.20 1406.10 UPM&M 818.03 812.52 808.03 803.55 802.52 798.03 792.52 788.03 UPMARUTI 7650.37 7615.18 7560.37 7505.55 7525.18 7470.37 7435.18 7380.37 DOWNNTPC 157.23 154.42 152.13 149.85 149.32 147.03 144.22 141.93 UPONGC 155.50 153.50 152.00 150.50 150.00 148.50 146.50 145.00 UPPOWERGRID 201.15 199.75 198.40 197.05 197.00 195.65 194.25 192.90 UPRELIANCE 1147.52 1141.38 1133.47 1125.55 1127.33 1119.42 1113.28 1105.37 DOWNSBIN 300.30 298.70 296.75 294.80 295.15 293.20 291.60 289.65 DOWNSUNPHARMA 446.63 437.67 431.43 425.20 422.47 416.23 407.27 401.03 UPTATAMOTORS 175.37 173.78 172.32 170.85 170.73 169.27 167.68 166.22 UPTATASTEEL 525.25 520.85 516.85 512.85 512.45 508.45 504.05 500.05 UPTCS 1940.03 1930.02 1913.03 1896.05 1903.02 1886.03 1876.02 1859.03 DOWNTECHM 726.67 722.53 718.27 714.00 714.13 709.87 705.73 701.47 DOWNULTRACEMCO 4059.97 4040.98 4022.97 4004.95 4003.98 3985.97 3966.98 3948.97 UPUPL 787.27 779.13 768.77 758.40 760.63 750.27 742.13 731.77 DOWNVEDL 204.68 202.67 201.03 199.40 199.02 197.38 195.37 193.73 UPWIPRO 340.47 336.68 333.37 330.05 329.58 326.27 322.48 319.17 UPYESBANK 186.47 184.88 183.17 181.45 181.58 179.87 178.28 176.57 DOWNZEEL 499.13 488.92 481.68 474.45 471.47 464.23 454.02 446.78 UP

MCX OPTION STRATEGY

COPPER : Sell Feb. Call option strike of 440 @ CMP 4.20.Maximum Profit : Call PremiumMaximum loss : UnlimitedStop Loss : Exit in Call option If Copper closes Above 435.

COPPER : Sell Feb. Put option strike of 400 @ CMP 4.95.Maximum Profit : Put PremiumMaximum loss : UnlimitedStop Loss : Exit in Put option If Copper closes Below 405.

COPRPORATE ACTION

Symbol Series Face Value(Rs.) Purpose Ex-Date Record

DateBC Start

DateBC End

Date

COALINDIA EQ 10 Interim Dividend-Rs 7.25 Per Share 28-Dec-18 31-Dec-18 - -

SHREERAMA EQ 5 Extra Ordinary General Meeting 31-Dec-18 - 2-Jan-19 9-Jan-19

CEBBCO EQ 10 Extra Ordinary General Meeting 1-Jan-19 - 3-Jan-19 7-Jan-19

DHANUKA EQ 2 Buy Back 1-Jan-19 2-Jan-19 - -

TECHNOE EQ 2 Buy Back 2-Jan-19 3-Jan-19 - -

ONGC EQ 5 Buy Back 3-Jan-19 4-Jan-19 - -

SELAN EQ 10 Interim Dividend 3-Jan-19 5-Jan-19 - -

SHANTIGEAR EQ 1 Interim Dividend - Rs 5 Per Share 4-Jan-19 7-Jan-19 - -

OCLINDIA EQ 10 Capital Reduction From Rs 10 To Rs 2 7-Jan-19 8-Jan-19 - -

GUJGASLTD EQ 10 Face Value Split (Sub-Division) - From Rs 10/-To Rs 2/- PerShare 15-Jan-19 16-Jan-19 - -

NEXT WEEK MAJOR ECONOMIC EVENTS

Time Cur. Imp. Event Forecast Previous

Sunday, December 30, 2018

All Day Holiday Philippines - Rizal Day

Monday, December 31, 2018

All Day Holiday Finland - New Year's Eve

All Day Holiday Italy - National Leave

All Day Holiday Japan - Exchange Holiday

All Day Holiday Philippines - Last day of the year

All Day Holiday Russia - New Year's Eve

All Day Holiday South Korea - End of year

All Day Holiday Sweden - New Year's Eve

All Day Holiday Thailand - New Year's Eve

All Day Holiday Germany - New Year's Eve

All Day Holiday Brazil - Bank Holiday

6:30:00 AM CNY Manufacturing PMI (Dec) 49.9 50

Tuesday, January 1, 2019

All Day Holiday United States - New Year's Day

All Day Holiday Australia - New Year's Day

All Day Holiday France - New Year's Day

All Day Holiday Japan - New Year's Day

Wednesday, January 2, 2019

All Day Holiday Switzerland - Berchtold's Day

All Day Holiday New Zealand - Day After New Year's

All Day Holiday Russia - New Year's Day

7:15:00 AM CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Dec) 50.1 50.2

2:25:00 PM EUR German Manufacturing PMI (Dec) 51.5 51.5

3:00:00 PM GBP Manufacturing PMI (Dec) 52.5 53.1

Thursday, January 3, 2019

3:00:00 PM GBP Construction PMI (Dec) 52.9 53.4

6:45:00 PM USD ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Dec) 180K 179K

8:30:00 PM USD ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) 58 59.3

Tentative USD New Home Sales (Nov) 1K 1K

Friday, January 4, 2019

2:25:00 PM EUR German Unemployment Change (Dec) -12K -16K

3:00:00 PM GBP Services PMI (Dec) 50.7 50.4

3:30:00 PM EUR CPI (YoY) (Dec) 1.80% 1.90%

7:00:00 PM USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Dec) 180K 155K

7:00:00 PM USD Unemployment Rate (Dec) 3.70% 3.70%

7:00:00 PM CAD Employment Change (Dec) 5.0K 94.1K

8:45:00 PM USD Fed Chair Powell Speaks

9:30:00 PM USD Crude Oil Inventories

Address:4th Floor, Baid House, 1, Tara Nagar,

Ajmer Road, Jaipur - 302006,Tel. Ph. 0141- 4050515

Email- [email protected]

SEBI Reg. No. : INB 231248536/ INB 011248532/INE 261248536 NSE Code No. : 12485, BSE Code No. : 6284, MCXSX Code No.: 47000, FMC Reg. No. : NCDEX/TCM/Corp/0278,NCDEX TM ID: 00142, FMC Reg. No. : MCX/TCM/Corp/0853, MCX TM ID: 10790

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Disclaimer:This Document has been prepared by Tradeswift Broking Pvt. Ltd., for use by the recipient only and not for circulation. The information and opinions contained in the documenthave been complied from sources believed to be reliable. Tradeswift Broking Pvt. Ltd., does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness.This report is for your guidanceonly. Tradeswift Broking Pvt. Ltd. Or any of its director/employee/signatories or any other person will not be responsible for any trade done based on the report mentioned above.Tradeswift Broking Pvt. Ltd has no personal trading interest in any of the scrips detailed above. Trading in commodities is facilitated through associate companies : TradeswiftCommodities Private Limited (NCDEX) and Tradeswift Derivatives Private Limited (MCX)

Commodity MonthLTP as on

28.12.2018Strategy Target S/L Technical Comments

Chana March 4507

Buy aroundsup. Level and

sell around res.Level

4570/4690 (Res.)4430/4320

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of4535. Traders can buy on correction with SL of 4570. Closes above thislevel it can go up to around 4690 to 4720. It can also correct fromthese levels. Traders can also buy on correction near support levelsand consider near support level as SL.

Guar Gum Feb 8424Sell on rise and

buy nearsupport levels

8550/8750 (Res.)8390/8190

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of8730. Traders can sell on bounce near resistance levels with near SL of8550. Closes above this level it can go up to around 8750. It can alsocorrect from these levels. Near support levels it can give somebounce.

Agri Commodities

Guar Gum Feb 8424Sell on rise and


8550/8750 (Res.)8390/8190

(Sup.)


Guar Seed M Feb 4286Sell on rise and


4350/4430 (Res.)4250/4190

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of4355. Traders can sell on bounce near resistance levels with SL of4450. Near support levels it can give some bounce. Traders can alsobuy on correction near support levels and consider near support levelas SL.

Jeera March 17055Sell on rise and


17150/17450(Res.)

16750/16500(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of17420. Traders can sell on bounce near resistance levels with SL of17150. Closes above this level it can go up to around 17450. It can alsocorrect from these levels. Near support levels it can give somebounce.

Soyabean Feb 3404



3430/3520 (Res.)3350/3310

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 50 DEMA of3430 . Traders can sell on rise with SL 3430. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 3520. It can also correct from these levels. It canalso bounce from support levels.

RMSeed Feb 3891Sell on rise and


3990/4050 (Res.)3850/3790

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of3985. Traders can sell on bounce near resistance levels with SL of3950. Closes above this level it can go up to around 3990 to 4050. Itcan also correct from these levels. Near support levels it can givesome bounce.

Soya Oil Ref. Feb 713Sell on rise and


720/725 (Res.)710/690

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of 725. Traders can sell on rise with SL 720. Closes above this level it can goup to around 725. It can also correct from these levels. It can alsobounce from support levels. Traders can also buy on correction nearsupport levels and consider near suppor level as SL.

Soya Oil Ref. Feb 713Sell on rise and


720/725 (Res.)710/690

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of 725. Traders can sell on rise with SL 720. Closes above this level it can goup to around 725. It can also correct from these levels. It can alsobounce from support levels. Traders can also buy on correction nearsupport levels and consider near suppor level as SL.

Cocud(N) Feb 1879



1910/1950 (Res.)1850/1810

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of1899. Traders can sell on bounce near resistance levels with SL of1910. Closes above this level it can go up to around 1950. Nearsupport levels it can give some bounce. Closes below 1870 it cancorrect up to around 1810.

Dhania Apr 6707



6750/6850 (Res.)6550/6290

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 20 DEMA of6550. Traders can buy on declines with near SL of 6550. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 6430 to 6290. It can also bouncefrom these levels. Near resistance levels it can give some correction.

TMC Apr 6676



6850/6970 (Res.)6550/6450

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 200 DEMA of6790 . Traders can sell on rise with SL 6850. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 6970. It can also correct from these levels. It canalso bounce from support levels.

Mentha oil (MCX) Jan 1514 Sell on rise 1550/1625 (Res.)1490/1450

(Sup.)


CPO (MCX) Jan 509



520/530 (Res.)497/480

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of 510.Traders can sell with SL 511. If it sustain and closes above this level itcan go up to around 520 to 525. It can also correct from these levels. Itcan also bounce from support levels.

CPO (MCX) Jan 509



520/530 (Res.)497/480

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed Below 20 DEMA of 510.Traders can sell with SL 511. If it sustain and closes above this level itcan go up to around 520 to 525. It can also correct from these levels. Itcan also bounce from support levels.

Cardamom Jan 1523



1550/1590 (Res.)1505/1460

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 20 DEMA of1505. Traders can buy on declines with near SL of 1495. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 1460. It can also bounce fromthese levels. Near resistance levels it can give some correction.

Commodity MonthLTP as on

28.12.2018Strategy Resistance Support Technical Comments

Gold Feb 31598

Buy aroundsupport leveland sell near

resistancelevels

31900/32250(Res.)

31450/31250(Sup.)

Gold has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 20 DEMA of31350. Traders can buy on correction with near SL of 31450. Closes belowthis level it can correct up to around 31250 to 31050. It can also bouncefrom this level. Near resistance levels it can give some correction.

Silver March 38706


resistancelevels

39200/39700(Res.)

38100/37600(Sup.)

Silver has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 200 DEMA of38200. Traders can buy on declines with SL 38100. Closes below this levelit can correct up to around 37600. It can also bounce from this level. Nearresistance levels it can give some correction.

Non - Agri Commodities

Silver March 38706


resistancelevels

39200/39700(Res.)

38100/37600(Sup.)

Silver has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 200 DEMA of38200. Traders can buy on declines with SL 38100. Closes below this levelit can correct up to around 37600. It can also bounce from this level. Nearresistance levels it can give some correction.

Copper Feb 417Sell on rise andbuy near sup.

Levels427/432 (Res.)

407/401(Sup.)

Copper has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of427. Traders can sell on rise with near SL of 427. Closes above this level itcan go up to around 430 to 432. It can also correct from these levels. Nearsupport levels it can give some bounce.

Aluminum Jan 128.5Sell on rise andbuy near sup.


127/124(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of 135.50.Traders can sell on rise with SL 132.50. Closes above this level it can go upto around 135 to 136. It can also correct from this level. Near supportlevels it can give some bounce.

Lead Jan 143


resistancelevels

145/149 (Res.)140/137

(Sup.)

It has made a higher bottom formation and closed above 20 DEMA of 141.Traders can buy on declines with SL 140. Closes below this level it cancorrect up to around 137. It can also bounce from this level. Nearresistance levels it can give some correction.

Zinc Jan 172 Sell on rise 177/181 (Res.)169/165

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of 180.Traders can sell on rise with near SL of 177. Closes above this level it cango up to around 180 to 181. It can also correct from this level. Nearsupport levels it can give some bounce.

Nickel Jan 751 Sell on rise 765/775(Res.)740/730

(Sup.)

It has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of 775.Traders can sell on rise with SL 765. Closes above this level it can go up toaround 775. It can also correct from this level. Near support levels it cangive some bounce.

Nickel Jan 751 Sell on rise 765/775(Res.)740/730

(Sup.)


Crude Oil Jan 3236 Sell on rise3290/3490

(Res.)3150/3070

(Sup.)

Crude oil has made a lower top formation and closed below 20 DEMA of3485. Traders can sell on bounce with near near SL of around 3290. Closesabove this level it can go up to around 3490. It can also correct from thislevel. Near support levels it can give some bounce.

Natural Gas Jan 232Sell on rise andbuy near sup.


225/210(Sup.)


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