markets update - wmm group

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MARKETs UPDATE

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Page 1: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

MARKETs UPDATE

Page 2: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

MS WORLD Local Currency Index

Page 3: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

MS WORLD Local Currency Index

Trump's election and his presumed tax reform continue to push equity market higher

Page 4: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

S&P 500 Index

Folliwing Trump's election, SPX start a strong rally reaching all-time high

Page 5: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

EUROSTOXX 600 Index

EuroStoxx 600 rebounded as well staying well above 200 days moving average

Page 6: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

SMI Index

SMI rebounded, breaking the 200 days moving average

DAX Index

Page 7: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

DAX Index

Page 8: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

FTSEMIB Index

Italian costitutional referendum hasn't passed but equity market focused on the government's bails out for Monte Paschi giving risk appetite to investors

Page 9: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

NIKKEI Index

Nikkei rebounded strongly following the other main indicies

Page 10: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

MS EMERGING MARKETs Index

Trump's victory put pressure on EM markets, but in a second time investors resume to buy EM equity markets focusing on the commodities rebound

Page 11: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

HANG SENG Index

Page 12: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

MICEX Index

Good relationship between Trump and Putin helps MICEX's rally

Page 13: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group
Page 14: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

US 10 Yield

Trump's policies skyrocketed yields

Page 15: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

EU 10 Yield

QE's extension create a tap for yield's spike

Page 16: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

JAPAN 10 Yield

Kuroda's new policy approach pushed 10Y yield near 0% (as targeted).

Page 17: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

BARCLAYS US AGGREGATE IG INDEX

Yields' jump worldwide starts to affect IG bond prices.

Page 18: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

BARCLAYS EU AGGREGATE IG INDEX

Spike in US (and in general) yields put a bit of pressure to bond market widening spreads

Page 19: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

BARCLAYS US AGGREGATE HY INDEX

Risk on evironment helps HY even if monetary yield are jumping

Page 20: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

BARCLAYS EU AGGREGATE HY INDEX

ECB policy is always helping HY sector in EZ

Page 21: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

SPREAD PERIPHERAL EU COUNTRIES vs BUND

Page 22: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group
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EUR vs USD

A wider differential yield (around 2%) is helping USD

Page 24: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

EUR vs CHF

BNS is always saying CHF is overvalued but apparently it seems BNS is less active to support CHF strenght.

Page 25: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

JPY vs USD

Monetary policy divergence between BoJ and FED is helping JPY to depreciate in a massive way

Page 26: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

DOLLAR Index

Trump's election and last FOMC statement are pushing the Dollar Index above 102

Page 27: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

EUR vs GBP

GBP is living some strenght after Brexit sell off.

JPM EM Currency Index

Page 28: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

JPM EM Currency Index

Page 29: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

EUR vs NOK

NOK has experienced a side range between 8.95 and 9.10 since October

EUR vs AUD

Page 30: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

EUR vs AUD

Commodities rebound is helping AUD

Page 31: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

EUR vs TRY

Page 32: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

EUR vs RUB

Putin huge commitment to find a comprise between OPEC and NON-OPEC countries for a cut oil production is helping RUB to strenghten

Page 33: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

USD vs MXN

MXN alway under pression because of Trump's comments

Page 34: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

USD vs BRL

Page 35: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

OIL

Page 36: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

OIL

Comprise between OPEC and NON-OPEC countries for a cut oil production keeps oil price at top

GOLD

Page 37: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

GOLD

Rebound in yields pushed Gold under pressure

Page 38: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

CRB Index

Trump's election pushed commodities' price higher.

Page 39: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group
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UNMPLOYMENT RATE

US labour market is always in a good shape.

Page 41: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

INFLATION

US inflation is picking up.

Page 42: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

INFLATION SWAP FWD 5Y/5Y

Except Japan expected inflation is also picking up a bit

Page 43: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

MARKIT PMI Index

PMI indicies show a recent improvement for manufacture industry

Page 44: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

ISM vs IFO

Page 45: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

US CONSUMER CONFIDENCE

Trump "revolution" is helping US consumer confidence

Page 46: MARKETs UPDATE - WMM Group

CITI ECONOMIC SURPRISE INDEX

According to the indexes, main macro variables are surprising positevely worldwide.