marshall motor holdings plc 2015 full year results .../media/files/m/marshall... · balance sheet...
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Over 106 years of putting our customers above all else
mmhplc.com
MARSHALL MOTOR HOLDINGS PLC2015 FULL YEAR RESULTS PRESENTATION
INTRODUCTION
2
AGENDA
§ Highlights
§ Financial Overview
§ Operating and Strategic Review
§ Current Trading & Outlook
§ Summary
3
HIGHLIGHTS
§ Record financial performance at both revenue and PBT§ Revenues up 13.5%§ Adjusted PBT* £15.8m (21.4% increase YoY)§ Full year dividend 2.98p per share
FINANCIALSUMMARY
§ PBT retail +29.0%, leasing PBT +24.0%§ New car unit sales +9.9%, used +8.2%§ Aftersales revenues +8.5%
OPERATIONALOVERVIEW
§ IPO completed April 2015§ Acquisition of SG Smith Holdings completed November 2015§ Ongoing rollout of Phoenix 2 and iPad customer enquiry system§ 3 major site re-developments underway
STRATEGICDEVELOPMENTS
§ Q1 to date in line with our expectations§ Strong balance sheet§ Pipeline of potential acquisitions
TRADING UPDATE
4
* Prior to acquisition costs
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
5
CONTINUED TRACK RECORD OF STRONG GROWTH
* All references to Adjusted PBT are prior to acquisition costs.
Revenue (£m)
CAGR15.8%
Adjusted PBT* (£m)
CAGR51.5%
Net Assets (£m)94
0.5
794.
4
1,08
5.9
10.2
4.6
13.1
60.7
56.0 66
.2
1,23
2.8 15
.8
129.
9
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
1050
1,100
1,150
1,200
1,250
1,300
2012 2013 2014 2015
ClassLeadingReturns
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
14.0
15.0
16.0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2012 2013 2014
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
2015
6
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
* Calculated on average number of shares. (15.2p based on shares at 31/12/15) ** Excludes asset backed finance relating to leasing segment
ClassLeadingReturns
Var20142015
Gross Profit % 17bps11.6%11.8%
Adjusted Operating Profit (£m) 21.6%15.418.7
(%) 10bps1.4%1.5%
Finance Costs 22.7%(2.4)(2.9)
Adjusted PBT (£m) 21.4%13.115.8
Tax 22.9%23.8%
DPS (p) N/A2.98
Basic EPS (p)* N/A19.7
Revenue (£m) 13.5%1,085.91,232.8
Net Cash (£m) ** 1.824.1
Net Debt (£m) (51.7)(27.2)
7
Reported PBT (£m) 12.915.4
SEGMENTAL RESULTS
Segmental Revenue (£m) 2015 2014 Var
Retail 1,195.5 1,050.5 13.8%
Leasing 37.0 35.2 5.2%
Unallocated 0.2 0.2
Total 1,232.8 1,085.9 13.5%
Leasing 4.9 3.9 24.0%
Total 15.8 13.1 21.4%
Unallocated (7.8) (5.4)
Retail 18.8 14.5 29.0%
ClassLeadingReturns
Adjusted Segmental PBT (£m) 2015 2014 Var
8
RETAIL: REVENUE AND VOLUMES
Revenue (£m) 2015 2014 Var % LFL Var %
New 637.8 544.8 17.1% 10.5%
Used 459.2 413.1 11.2% 3.1%
Aftersales 127.8 117.9 8.5% 2.4%
Internal (29.3) (25.3)
Total 1,195.5 1,050.5 13.8% 6.6%
New 35,103 31,951 9.9% 7.2%
Total 62,802 57,549 9.1% 4.7%
Used 27,699 25,598 8.2% 1.5%
ClassLeadingReturns
Unit Sales 2015 2014 Var % LFL Var %
9
RETAIL: GROSS PROFIT
New Used Aftersales / Other
Mix % 2014 2015
Revenue 50.6% 52.1%
Gross Profit 33.4% 33.6%
2014 2015
45.739.3
0
6
12
18
24
30
36
42
48
54
60
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
2014 2015
33.3
0
6
12
18
24
30
36
42
48
54
60
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
2014 2015
56.950.5
0
6
12
18
24
30
36
42
48
54
60
40%
42%
44%
46%
48%
50%
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
Gross Profit (£m)
GP%
Mix % 2014 2015
Revenue 38.4% 37.5%
Gross Profit 23.6% 24.5%
Mix % 2014 2015
Revenue 11.0% 10.4%
Gross Profit 43.0% 41.9%
ClassLeadingReturns
27.7
10
LEASING SUMMARY
Fleet (No. Vehicles) Disposal Profit Per Unit (£) Leasing Equity (£m)5,
610
5,21
2 6,03
1
2,10
1
1,86
7 2,25
0
45.6
42.1 47
.0
9.9
11.3 11
.355.553.4
58.3
Funded Equity
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
2012 2013 2014 2015
6,02
9
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
3,250
3,500
2012 2013 2014 20152,
330
2012 2013 2014
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
2015
51.4
11.1
62.5
ClassLeadingReturns
11
BALANCE SHEET
ClassLeadingReturns
2015 2014
Intangible 38.2 22.1
Property, Plant & Equipment 107.3 91.0
Other 2.0 2.0
Fixed Assets 147.5 115.1
Inventory 240.6 163.0
Trade / Other Receivables 42.7 73.2
Cash & Equivalents 24.1 1.8
Current Assets 307.5 238.0
Trade / Other Payables (268.5) (230.0)
Leasing Debt (51.4) (47.0)
Bank Debt - (6.5)
Other (5.2) (3.5)
Total Liabilities (325.1) (287.0)
Shareholders’ Equity 129.9 66.1
Net Cash 24.1 1.8
Net Debt (27.2) (51.7)
Trade / Other Receivables
2015 2014
Inter-Company - 39.7
Trade Debtors 21.5 19.4
Other 21.2 14.1
Total 42.7 73.2
Trade / Other Payables
2015 2014
Inter-Company - (56.1)
Vehicle Funding (186.2) (110.4)
Other (82.3) (63.5)
Total (268.5) (230.0)
Net Inter-Co - (16.4)
12
Working Capital
Inventory (77.6)
I/C Settlement (16.4)
Stock Funding 75.7
Other 10.7
Total (7.6)
CASHFLOW
ClassLeadingReturns
2015 2014
EBIT 18.2 15.2
Depreciation:
Retail 3.8 3.7
Leasing 17.2 17.3
Share based payments 0.6 -
Adjusted EBIT 39.8 36.2
Working Capital (7.6) 14.0
Operating Cashflow 32.2 50.2
Tax / interest (6.7) (6.5)
Gross Cashflow 25.5 43.8
CAPEX:
Retail (9.8) (5.8)
Leasing (29.8) (27.3)
Disposal Proceeds 8.6 8.4
Free Cashflow (5.5) 19.1
Acquisitions (21.5) (15.8)
Dividends (15.4) (4.5)
Borrowings (2.2) 1.2
Investments 30.0 -
Net IPO Proceeds 36.9 -
Cashflow 22.3 0.0
13
Underlying Total Cash Inflow
Cashflow 22.3
I/C Settlement 16.4
Acquisitions 21.5
Pre-Admission Dividends 15.0
Investments (30.0)
Net IPO Proceeds (36.9)
Underlying Total Cash Inflow 8.3
BALANCE SHEET STRENGTH FOR FUTURE GROWTH
§ Net assets £129.9m which equates to £1.68 per share
§ £49.4m of unencumbered inventory and £11.1m of leasing fleet equity
§ Adjusted net cash at year end of £24.1m
§ Unsecured and un-utilised £75m RCF with £25m accordion facility
ClassLeadingReturns
14
FINANCIAL GUIDANCE: 2016
§ H1:H2 split broadly in line with 2015
§ Unallocated segment loss broadly flat
§ SG Smith increases interest cost
§ Tax rate expected to be broadly in line with 2015
§ 2016 retail capital expenditure c£24m (2015: £9.8m)
ClassLeadingReturns
15
OPERATING & STRATEGIC REVIEW
16
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
20112010 20122009 2013 2014
UK Used Car Transactions (m)
2015
0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
20112010 20122009 2013 2014 2016F2015
UK New Car Registrations (m)
MARKET BACKDROP
§ 2.63m new units registered in 2015 up 6.3%§ Fleet up 11.8%, retail up 2.5%§ 2016 SMMT forecast broadly flat§ At macro level a number of overseas markets
continue to remain challenging – China, Russia, Brazil and Middle East
§ UK market fuelled by strong PCP offers and low interest rates
§ Increased vehicle parc positive for aftersales growth
§ 71% of new car finance cases PCP with used at 37%
§ Franchised sector winning share from independents
Source: SMMT and Experian
17
TO BE THE UK’S PREMIER AUTOMOTIVE RETAIL AND LEASING GROUP
VISION
ClassLeadingReturns
CustomerFirst
RetailingExcellence
PeopleCentric
StrategicGrowth
18
34
36
38
40
42
44
Source of Customers: Previous / Recommended
46
32
Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Q2/13 Q3/13 Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15
CONTINUED HIGH LEVELS OF CUSTOMER ADVOCACY Customer
First
10,222 respondents
in 2015
28,755customers surveyed
>96%showroom satisfaction
Source: Internal Management Information
43% previous customers or recommended
19
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Device Traffic (Marshallweb)
01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/13 01/14 01/1601/15
CUSTOMER FIRST – ONLINE
CustomerFirst
Source: Hitwise and internal data
Tablet / MobileDesktop
www.marshallweb.co.uk
Fullyoptimised website
launched March 2016
8.1% increase in visits
YoY
7thmost visited dealer group website in UK
0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Website Visitors (m)
2008 20142009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2015
H2H1
20
CUSTOMER FIRST - ONLINECustomer
First
21
CUSTOMER FIRST - LEASINGCustomer
First
6,029vehicles on the fleet total value £62.5m
16new accounts
opened
2fleets converted to sole supply
Telematicsoffering & MI portal
well received
22
Increasedsales executive activity
and productivity management
RETAILING EXCELLENCE – IN SHOWROOMRetailing
Excellence
Customerfriendly iPad solution
– piloted 2014
RobustFCA, data capture and enquiry management
process
70%locations brought online
through 2015.Remainder through 2016
400+iPads deployed across
sales community
23
RETAILING EXCELLENCE – PHOENIX
RetailingExcellence
Margin and returns optimisation.Net
Development of Phoenix 2
Alertscall to action
FullyOptimised
§ Bespoke developed MI reporting system
§ Fully embedded in the business and DMS integrated
§ Unique system designed to provide real time information across the business
§ Developed in-house over 7 years
§ Working capital, stock management, WIP, customer experience, sales analysis
24
2
RETAILING EXCELLENCE – PHOENIX 2
RetailingExcellence
25
44
48
52
56
60
64
68
72
76
80
84
88
92
96
100
2008 2015
Engagement Score - Trust Index
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
PEOPLE CENTRIC
Source: Great Place to Work Survey
PeopleCentric
26thBest Employer
in the UK(Large Category)
89%Participation rate
83%Trust index score
in 2015
26
PORTFOLIO STRATEGY
§ Increase geographic footprint to create scalable national business
§ Partner with the right brands
§ Grow scale with existing brand partners to drive economies of scale
§ Ongoing portfolio management
§ Build and maintain balanced portfolio
StrategicGrowth
27
PORTFOLIO DEVELOPMENTStrategicGrowth
AC
QU
ISIT
ION
S /
STA
RTU
PS
EX
ITS
CO
RP
OR
ATE
*Start-up
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
1ST
GERMAN BRAND ADDED
MERCEDES-BENZ
2ND
GERMAN BRAND ADDED
VOLKSWAGEN
3RD
GERMAN BRAND ADDED
AUDI
4TH
GERMAN BRAND ADDED
BMW
1TRANSACTION2TRANSACTIONS 2TRANSACTIONS2TRANSACTIONS&1START-UP
*
2 TRANSACTIONS2TRANSACTIONS&4START-UPS
*
* *
MMH LISTSON THE LSE
EXIT OF 25 NON-CORE, SUBSCALE OR LOSS MAKING OPERATIONS
3TRANSACTIONS&1START-UP
*
28
STRATEGIC GROWTH - SG SMITH ACQUISITION
StrategicGrowth
MERCCV SKODA
AUDI
AUDI
TPS
AUDIAUDI
TPS
TPS
29
§ £24.0m off-market transaction§ Attractive multiple
§ Increases Audi from 3 centres to 7, Skoda 1 to 2, TPS 1 to 3 and adds Mercedes CV AR
§ Adds 3 new attractive and affluent markets: Kent, Surrey and London
§ 2015 revenues £183.1m
§ 427 colleagues
§ Integration ongoing
PORTFOLIO TODAY
§ Balanced portfolio covering 19 counties
§ Highest brand coverage of any dealer group
§ “Headroom” for growth with all OEMs
1.3%Specialist
36.8%Prestige
28.9%Alt Premium
32.9%Volume
StrategicGrowth
30
CURRENT TRADING & OUTLOOK
§ Leasing growth returning to more normalized levels
§ New car registrations up 4.7%
§ March plate change month critical to H1 performance
§ Q1 order take in line with management expectations§ Achievement of brand partner targets underpin the period
31
SUMMARY
§ Record results
§ SG Smith acquisition materially earnings enhancing
§ Targeting further material revenue and profit growth in 2016 in line with current expectations
§ Pipeline of quality acquisition opportunities building
32
Over 106 years of putting our customers above all else
mmhplc.com
APPENDIX
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
87.5%brand coverage –
highest of any dealer group
4thfastest growing top 100 dealer (since 2008)
Fullyintegrated leasing
business
BespokePhoenix 2 system
Balanced Brand portfolio
10thlargest UK dealer
group with £1.2bn revenue
Excellentfinancial
track record
7thmost visited
Dealer Group website
26thbest employer in UK
34
APPENDIX: 4 YEAR TRACK RECORD (1)
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
Operating Costs %
0%
2.5%
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
12.5%
15.0%
Gross Margin %
0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
EBITDAR ROS%
0%
0.3%
0.6%
0.9%
1.2%
1.5%
1.8%
EBIT ROS %
20132012 2014 2015 20132012 2014 2015
0.9%
1.3% 1.4% 1.
5%
11.6
%
11.8
%
12.1
%
11.7
%20132012 2014 2015 20132012 2014 2015
10.2
%
10.3
%
10.8
%
10.9
%
2.0%
2.4%
2.4%
2.4%
35
APPENDIX: 4 YEAR TRACK RECORD (2)
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
Leasing
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Used
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
After Sales
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
New
6.2%
6.4%
6.6%
6.8%
7.0%
7.2%
7.4%
22.0%
22.5%
23.0%
23.5%
24.0%
24.5%
25.0%
6.2%
6.4%
6.6%
6.8%
7.0%
7.2%
7.4%
39.0%
40.0%
41.0%
42.0%
43.0%
44.0%
45.0%
Gross Profit %Gross Profit (£m)
20132012 2014 2015 20132012 2014 2015
25.9
32.9
39.3
45.7
27.7
33.3
24.1
17.5
20132012 2014 2015 20132012 2014 2015
7.9
9.0
7.5
6.842
.0
50.5
56.9
48.7
£
£
£
£
36
APPENDIX: MMH VOLUMES
0K
3K
6K
9K
12K
15K
18K
21K
24K
27K
30K
33K
36K
39K
42K
2008 2014
New Vehicles Used Vehicles
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
31,9
51
27,2
50
25,2
45
20.2
07
16,0
38
12,6
99
12,1
88
0K
3K
6K
9K
12K
15K
18K
21K
24K
27K
30K
33K
36K
39K
42K
2008 20142009 2010 2011 2012 2013
25,5
98
23,3
95
18,9
65
16,6
15
16,6
35
14,2
89
12,5
40
CAGR16.3%
CAGR12.0%
2015
35,1
03
2015
27,6
99
37
APPENDIX: MMH NEW VEHICLE MARKET SHARE
0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.7%
0.8%
0.9%
1.0%
1.1%
1.2%
1.3%
1.4%
2008 2013 2015
0.64
%
0.57
%
0.79
% 1.04
%
1.23
%
1.20
% 1.33
%
2011 20122009 2010 2014
1.29
%
38
APPENDIX: MARKET BACKDROP (2/2)
Source: SMMT
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
15
NEW CAR MARKET (MILLION VEHICLES) USED CAR MARKET (MILLION VEHICLES)
04 06 08 10
0
0.7
1.4
2.1
2.8
3.5
4.2
4.9
5.6
6.3
7.0
7.7
8.4
9.1
9.8
1205 07 09 11 13 04 1406 08 10 1205 07 09 11 1314
40
Disclaimer
§ This document comprises the written materials/slides for a presentation concerning Marshall Motor Holdings plc (the “Company”) and its full year results for the period ended 31 December 2015 (the “2015 Results”).
§ By reviewing this presentation you agree to be bound by the conditions set out below. § No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information in this document or on its completeness. The
presentation is intended to provide a general overview of the Company’s business and does not purport to deal with all aspects and details regarding the Company. Accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its respective directors, officers, employees or advisers nor any other person makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to, and accordingly no reliance may be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the presentation or of the views given or implied. Neither the Company nor any of its respective directors, officers, employees or advisers nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any errors or omissions or any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this information or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
§ Certain statements in this presentation regarding the Company are or may be forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are neither historical facts or guarantees of future performance. Such statements are based on current expectations and belief and, by their nature, are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results, prospects and developments of the Company to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-lookingstatements.
§ The information contained in this presentation is for background purposes only. The subject matter of the presentation may besubject to change and the Company does not take any responsibility for updating or amending the contents to reflect such changes. The material contained in this presentation reflects current legislation and the business and financial affairs of the Company which are subject to change without notice and audit, and is subject to the provisions contained within legislation.
§ This presentation summarises information contained in the Interim Results. Without prejudice to the generality of these conditions, this summary information, including any views given or implied, or any statement made, in relation to such information should not be relied upon, nor should it be treated as accurate or complete. This presentation and all such information contained herein should be read subject to the Interims Results.
§ The information contained in this presentation has been obtained from Company sources and from sources which the Company believes to be reliable but it has not independently verified such information and does not guarantee that it is accurate or complete.
§ No statement in this presentation is intended to be a profit forecast and no statement in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that earnings per Company share for current or future financial years would necessarily match or exceed the historical published earnings per Company share.
41
Over 106 years of putting our customers above all else
mmhplc.com
2015 FULL YEAR RESULTS PRESENTATIONMARSHALL MOTOR HOLDINGS PLC