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EARNINGS QUALITY AND EUROPEAN COMPANIES’ ACCESS TO CREDIT Word count: 21.718
Sarah Fischinger Student number: 01609236
Supervisor: Prof. dr. Heidi Vander Bauwhede
Master’s Dissertation submitted to obtain the degree of:
Master of Science in Business Economics Academic year: 2016 - 2017
EARNINGS QUALITY AND EUROPEAN COMPANIES’ ACCESS TO CREDIT Word count: 21.718
Sarah Fischinger Student number: 01609236
Supervisor: Prof. dr. Heidi Vander Bauwhede
Master’s Dissertation submitted to obtain the degree of:
Master of Science in Business Economics Academic year: 2016 - 2017
I
CONFIDENTIALITY AGREEMENT
PERMISSION
I declare that the content of this Master’s Dissertation may be consulted and/or
reproduced, provided that the source is referenced.
Sarah Fischinger
II
PREFACE
This dissertation represents the conclusion of my Master’s degree in Business
Economics with a major in corporate finance at Ghent University. Therefore, I would
like to use this occasion to express my gratitude towards several people who supported
me during my academic career.
First, I want to thank my supervisor, Prof. dr. Heidi Vander Bauwhede, and Sebastiaan
Laloo for the opportunity to contribute to research in a field of my personal interest, for
their continuous guidance and extensive feedback during the interim assessment.
Secondly, a big thank you goes to my friends and fellow students who made my studies
an extraordinarily exciting experience. Finally, I want to acknowledge the unconditional
love and support I received from my family during my studies. You made me a person
I can be proud of and always helped me to reach my goals – I will forever be grateful
to have you in my life.
As Frederick Buechner said, “You can kiss your family and friends good-bye and put
miles between you, but at the same time you carry them with you in your heart, your
mind, your stomach, because you do not just live in a world but a world lives in you.”
Gent, 6 June 2017
III
TABLE OF CONTENTS
List of abbreviations .................................................................................................... V
List of figures and tables ............................................................................................ VI
1. Introduction .......................................................................................................... 1
2. Literature study and hypotheses development ..................................................... 4
2.1. Asymmetric information ................................................................................. 4
2.2. Access to credit ............................................................................................. 6
2.3. Earnings quality ............................................................................................. 7
2.3.1. Informational value of reported earnings ................................................. 8
2.3.2. Earnings management ............................................................................ 9
2.4. Relationship between access to credit and earnings quality ....................... 10
2.4.1. Firm type ............................................................................................... 11
2.4.2. Institutional context ............................................................................... 13
3. Research design ................................................................................................ 15
3.1. Variable measurement ................................................................................ 16
3.1.1. Credit access ........................................................................................ 16
3.1.2. Earnings quality .................................................................................... 17
3.1.3. Institutional context ............................................................................... 19
3.1.4. Control variables ................................................................................... 20
4. Data collection ................................................................................................... 23
5. Empirical results ................................................................................................. 25
5.1. Descriptive statistics .................................................................................... 25
5.2. Earnings quality and firms’ access to credit ................................................. 33
5.3. Moderating effect of firm type ...................................................................... 38
5.4. Moderating effect of institutional context ..................................................... 41
5.5. Robustness check ....................................................................................... 44
IV
6. Conclusion ......................................................................................................... 50
7. Limitations and avenues for future research ...................................................... 52
References ............................................................................................................... VII
Appendices .............................................................................................................. XVI
V
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
AC – Access to credit
AQ – Accruals quality
ASCL – Age-Size-Cash Flow-Leverage Index
CA – Current assets
CF – Cash flow
CFO – Cash flow from operations
CL – Current liabilities
DEPR – Depreciation and amortization
EQ – Earnings quality
EU – European Union
FASB – Financial Accounting Standards Board
FRQ – Financial reporting quality
IFRS – International Financial Reporting Standards
KZ – Kaplan and Zingales Index
NPV – Net present value
OLS – Ordinary least squares
PPE – Property, plants and equipment
R&D – Research and development
SA – Size-Age Index
SMEs – Small and medium sized companies
STD – Short term debt
TA – Total accruals
TCA – Total current accruals
UK – United Kingdom
US – United States of America
VIF – Variance inflation factor
WW – Whited and Wu Index
VI
LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES
Table 1: Variable measurement ................................................................................ 22
Table 2: Sample breakdown by industry ................................................................... 25
Table 3: Sample breakdown by country ................................................................... 26
Table 4: Descriptive statistics ................................................................................... 30
Table 5: Correlation matrix ....................................................................................... 32
Table 6: Access to credit – Fama McBeth (1973) regressions ................................. 35
Table 7: Access to credit – Conditional fixed effects logit model .............................. 37
Table 8: Moderating effect of firm type ..................................................................... 40
Table 9: Moderating effect of institutional context ..................................................... 43
Table 10: Robustness check – SA Index .................................................................. 47
Table 11: Robustness check – country subsample .................................................. 49
1
1. INTRODUCTION
Giving firms the opportunity to exploit positive NPV projects which add shareholder
value has a crucial influence on an economy’s development and well-being. Debt
financing is a commonly used tool for firms to invest in growth opportunities and to fund
their strategic and operational business. Overall access to credit and the reduction of
financial constraints is therefore a worldwide issue to prevent firm underinvestment
(Fazzari, Hubbard, Petersen, Blinder & Poterba, 1988; Hennessy & Whited, 2007).
Firms can face difficulties in accessing external finance due to the informational wedge
between corporate insiders and outside stakeholders. If a creditor cannot accurately
verify that a company has profitable projects available (adverse selection issue) or that
granted loans will not be used for alternative purposes (moral hazard issue), potential
borrowers can be blocked from the credit market due to asymmetric information
(Berger & Udell 2002).
In this context, it is especially interesting to study if high earnings quality, i.e. more
precise information regarding future cash flows, can help companies to mitigate
asymmetric information problems and therefore ease their access to credit. Previous
academic research highlighted the influence of asymmetric information on credit
availability by showing that small, private companies suffer more from financing
obstacles due to informational opaqueness (Berger & Udell, 1998; Hovakimian, Opler
& Titman, 2001) and that relationship banking can help to mitigate these information
asymmetry issues to ease a firm’s credit access (Bharath, Dahiya, Saunders &
Srinivasan, 2007; Berger, 1999; Boot, 2000). Additionally, extant studies about
financial reporting quality (FRQ) indicated the relevance of accurate earnings for loan
contracting by demonstrating that borrowers with high earnings quality benefit from
lower cost of debt (Francis, LaFond, Olsson & Schipper, 2005; Vander Bauwhede, De
Meyere & Van Cauwenberge, 2015) and less stringent debt maturity and collateral
conditions (Bharath, Sunder & Sunder, 2008). On the other hand, evaluating the direct
influence of earnings quality on access to debt financing is a relationship less studied.
García-Teruel, Martínez-Solano & Sánchez-Ballesta (2014) in Spain and Ding, Liu &
Wu (2016) in China have just recently investigated this topic.
2
Based on this previous research, the goal of this study is to identify whether the
reduction of information asymmetries between borrowers and lenders through
accurate accounting information helps to ease European companies’ overall access to
credit.
Additionally, this study aims to shed further light on the association between access to
credit and earnings quality, by identifying potential moderating factors that influence
this predicted relationship. Extant literature established that informational asymmetries
are especially severe for small, private firms (Berger & Udell, 1998; Hovakimian et al.,
2001) and that private companies tend to report on average lower quality financial
statements than public firms (Ball & Shivakumar, 2005). In this regard, it is in the
interest of this study to investigate whether differences in firm type influence the
relationship between access to credit and earnings quality (AC-EQ). As extant
research also highlighted the importance of the quality of legal systems and the
enforceability of laws on the credit supply within an economy (Haselmann, Pistor & Vig,
2010; Moro, Maresch & Ferrando, 2016), this study will further analyse whether
differences in institutional context across Europe have an impact on the AC-EQ relation.
How differences in firm type and institutional context will affect the association between
credit access and earnings quality is a topic which was, to the best of my knowledge,
not yet covered by academic literature. The European setting represents a unique
opportunity to research this relationship for several reasons. On the one hand,
accounting standards within the EU are not determined by the listing status of a
company and thus the same set of accounting rules apply to private firms with limited
liability and publicly listed incorporations. On the other hand, the quality of legal
systems and credit institutions differ substantially across Europe (Burgstahler, Hail &
Leuz, 2006).
This study contributes to academic literature by presenting evidence that the reduction
of creditors’ information risk exposure through high earnings quality, i.e. better
prediction of future repayment capacity, eases European firms’ access to credit. The
results further indicate that the relationship between access to credit and earnings
quality does not vary with firm type. Moreover, this study’s findings specify that
differences in the institutional context of a country have a moderating effect on the
relationship between credit access and earnings quality.
3
High earnings quality is especially able to mitigate financial obstacles for firms which
operate in European countries with weak protection of creditor and property rights.
The economic relevance of these findings is highly significant, as it provides firms with
an instrument to enhance their access to external finance. The evidence presented in
this study can add to current methods used by policymakers within Europe to support
financially constrained firms, which is an especially urgent topic after the credit supply
shocks following the recent financial crisis.
The remainder of this study is organized as follows. In section 2, existing academic
literature is discussed and hypotheses are developed based on this background.
Section 3 describes the research methodology and variable measurement. In section
4, the sampling process and data are presented. Section 5 reports primary empirical
results and robustness tests. Section 6 concludes. In section 7, potential limitations of
this study are identified and avenues for future research are highlighted.
4
2. LITERATURE STUDY AND HYPOTHESES DEVELOPMENT
In this section, existing theory on asymmetric information, credit access and earnings
quality is summarized and extended to account for the potential monitoring effects of
firm type and institutional context on the AC-EQ relationship. Hypotheses are
developed from this theoretical discussion and prior empirical evidence is reviewed.
2.1. Asymmetric information
Financing decisions and their influence on capital structure have been in central focus
of research over the last decades. The underlying basis builds the concept of
Modigliani & Miller (1958), which proposes that firm value is unaffected by debt-equity
choices in a perfect capital market. Capital structure decisions’ relevance increases
however under the appearance of market frictions such as transaction costs and taxes
(Myers, 1984), agency costs and benefits (Jensen & Meckling, 1976), financial distress
and bankruptcy costs (Titman, 1984) or information asymmetry (Myers & Majluf, 1984).
According to the static trade-off theory, firms with higher leverage will be less likely to
obtain external access to debt as potential bankruptcy costs increase (Harris & Raviv,
1991). Traditional corporate finance models therefore suggest that firms choose
optimal capital structures by trading off tax and agency benefits of debt financing
against financial distress costs (Hovakimian et al., 2001). Pecking order theory on the
other hand suggests that the cost of finance increases with information asymmetry.
This leaves internal funding as the preferred financing method, valuing debt over equity
if external finance is required (Donaldson, 1961).
Under the influence of the above stated market frictions, financing decisions can
occasionally not be exercised as planned and firms can face the problem of financial
constraints. A company is financially constrained if it cannot find sufficient external
finance to realize its value adding investments (Behr, Norden & Noth, 2013; Denis &
Sibilkov, 2010). The lack of financial resources to fund these profitable projects and
explore investment opportunities can lead to significant adverse effects on companies’
growth on a worldwide basis (Ayyagari, Demirgüç-Kunt & Maksimovic, 2008).
5
Prior literature suggests that credit rationing appears due to asymmetric information
problems (Greenwald, Stiglitz & Weiss, 1984; Myers & Majluf, 1984;) and agency
problems (Grossman & Hart, 1982; Hart & Moore, 1994; Jensen, 1986; Jensen &
Meckling, 1976).
According to one of most often used principles in economics, market equilibrium is
established when demand and supply meet. This equilibrium condition is held through
clearing price and quantity in a market. However, credit rationing is an existing
phenomenon in which a disequilibrium occurs. Stiglitz & Weiss (1981) explain this
circumstance by showing that the interest rate a bank charges affects the riskiness of
a loan pool through imperfect information problems. The core problem lies in the fact
that creditors cannot observe the risk type of a firm, which is a classical adverse
selection issue. Companies with risky projects generally have a low chance of success,
i.e. repayment of the loan, but if they are successful then their return is very high. Firms
with safe projects on the other hand have high chances of success, i.e. repayment of
the loan, but their returns in case of success are not extraordinarily high. As businesses
will only enter in credit contracts if the cost of debt is below the required return level of
their investment project, safe firms will not accept high interest rates. This condition
will lead to adverse selection from a certain interest rate onwards, where safe firms
drop out of the loan portfolio. At this point, banks’ profits will no longer increase with
the interest rate and it is thus rational for credit institutions to not set the bank optimal
interest rate above a specific level. Although firms with a positive demand for external
finance at a higher rate exist, they are denied access to credit. This leads to a credit
rationed market under the impact of adverse selection.
Holstroem & Tirole (1997) further demonstrated that financial obstacles can also occur
due to moral hazard. The problem is defined by the fact that firm success depends on
the effort an entrepreneur is willing to invest in his business. However, a borrower may
promise to put high effort into his business, but could change his behaviour after the
loan was granted. As entrepreneurial effort cannot be observed by credit institutions,
lenders require collateral to make sure that the entrepreneur covers part of the risk
himself and thus will be motivated to exert high effort. However, some high effort
entrepreneurs will not be able to meet these collateral requirements and will therefore
be denied the access to credit under the influence of moral hazard.
6
Following these concepts, information asymmetries represent a main source of
external financing obstacles. Adverse selection and moral hazard lead to rationing in
the credit market, which consequently leaves a group of companies financially
constrained.
2.2. Access to credit
Bank loans represent one of the major sources of financing for companies across the
globe, whereby firms especially rely on external finance to execute their investment
and innovation activities (Harhoff & Körting, 1998). Following financial constraints
literature, major determinants of access to external finance are firm size, age, leverage,
dividends, sales growth and cash flow (Mulier, Schoors & Merlevede, 2016; Lamont,
Polk & Saaá-Requejo, 2001; Whited & Wu, 2006). However, not only firm level
determinants are important to highlight, but also country level attributes can impact
credit availability. Business and credit cycle as well as the quality of financial
institutions and law enforcement need to be considered when analysing loan
accessibility (Bai, Lu & Tao, 2006; Qian & Strahan, 2007; Santos & Winton, 2008).
Especially a company’s cash flow is of high interest for creditors, as it represents a
firms’ ability to fulfil future repayment and interest obligations. The high importance of
repayment capacity in the loan contracting process of credit institutions was already
highlighted by previous academic research (Barth, Cram & Nelson, 2001; Ding et al.,
2016; Minnis, 2011). Lenders need to assess the default risk of a potential loan
candidate and are therefore interested in evaluating a company’s future cash flows
(Vander Bauwhede et al., 2015). External debt providers are assessing the information
risk of a company by examining how precisely future cash flows can be estimated.
Firms that suffer from asymmetric information problems consequently inherit higher
borrower risk and will thus have a more restricted access to credit (García-Teruel et
al., 2014).
Anticipating the issue that asymmetric information and moral hazard lead to credit
constraints for some companies within an economy, it is necessary to mention that
financial constraints negatively impact companies’ development. Insufficient access to
credit restricts firm growth and results in reduced R&D spending (Ayyagari et al., 2008;
Harhoff & Körting, 1998).
7
The high practical significance of financial constraints was demonstrated by Campello,
Graham & Harvey (2010), who reported that around 86% of chief financial officers
questioned in their sample reported that they had to forgo profitable investment
opportunities during the financial crisis in 2008. Problematic is that more than half of
the executive managers had to cancel or postpone their projects and had to make deep
cuts in tech spending and employment budgets. The relative importance of financial
constraints in an economy was further demonstrated by Chodorow-Reich (2014), who
showed that lender health and financial constraints have significant negative
implications on employment levels. This study highlighted that companies with
connections to unhealthy creditors prior to the financial crisis had a lower chance to
obtain debt financing after Lehman Brothers went bankrupt. Those firms also faced
higher interest rates and needed to decrease their employment rates more than
customers of healthier banks. Musso & Schiavo (2008) further identified, for French
manufacturing firms, that more financially constrained companies are less likely to
survive and consequently have to exit the market.
To avoid financial constraints and their consequences, it is important for companies to
understand the underlying determinants of access to credit and find possibilities to
reduce information asymmetry levels with their lenders.
2.3. Earnings quality
The Statement of Financial Accounting Concepts No. 1 (SFAC No. 1) by the Financial
Accounting Standards Board (FASB) defines earnings quality as follows:
“Higher quality earnings provide more information about the features of a firm’s
financial performance that are relevant to a specific decision made by a specific
decision-maker” (Dechow, Ge, & Schrand, 2010, p. 344).
If the specific decision-maker is a credit institution facing the decision to enter a loan
contract with a third party, earnings quality can represent a crucial information resource.
Therefore, the next sections will discuss the informational value of reported earnings
and reasons why accounting data can be of low quality.
8
2.3.1. Informational value of reported earnings
Reported earning numbers contain vital information for institutional lenders in order to
predict the future repayment capacity of an enterprise. This was shown by several
previous scholars (Barth et al., 2001; Dechow 1994; Dechow, Kothari & Watts, 1998),
which suggest that current earnings are a better indicator for future cash flows than
realized cash flows of the accounting period. This relationship especially holds when
firms face crucial changes in working capital, investment and finance decisions. Under
such circumstances current cash flows are especially faced with matching and timing
issues and can accordingly predict future performance less accurately (Dechow, 1994).
Accruals accounting is used to mitigate these problems by influencing the timing of
cash flow recognition in earnings. Following this evidence, current earnings are a
preferred indicator for future firm performance and predict future operating cash flows
more precisely. This can have important implications for a company’s loan applications,
as future cash flows will determine the repayment capacity a firm can offer (Ding et al.,
2016; Vander Bauwhede et al., 2015). High quality accounting statements can help to
reduce information asymmetry problems, as more precise earnings give lenders the
opportunity to evaluate repayment capacity more accurately (García-Teruel et al.,
2014). Consequently, earnings information is considered an important input factor in
a credit institution’s risk assessment process. Several previous studies already
investigated the potential benefits of high earnings quality. Vander Bauwhede et al.
(2015) argued that high earnings quality can reduce SMEs’ exposure to information
asymmetries and found evidence that their cost of debt can be decreased by reporting
low accruals-cash flow discrepancies. Bharath et al. (2008) highlighted that both
interest rates and non-price related terms of loan contracts, like maturity or collateral
obligations, are more favourable for borrowers with enhanced financial reporting
quality.
The importance of earnings statements for creditors can further be demonstrated by
the research of Ball, Robin & Sadka (2008), who found evidence that accounting
information is more heavily oriented on satisfying debt markets’ reporting demands in
contrast to equity markets. Additional support for the value content of earnings figures
can be obtained from looking at an investor’s point of view. Francis, Schipper & Vincent
(2003) and Liu, Nissim & Thomas (2002) provided empirical evidence that investors
value earnings information more than other performance measures.
9
This is in line with the conclusions of Graham, Harvey & Rajgopal (2005), who found
that managers also perceive earnings as the key information provider for investors and
external analysts.
2.3.2. Earnings management
Current earnings are only a good indicator for future cash flows and therefore a firm’s
repayment capacity if the accounting figures are representing the underlying business
reality of a company (Vander Bauwhede et al., 2015). Consequently, only firms with
high earnings quality will be able to reduce information asymmetries with their lenders.
The quality of financial statements is influenced by stakeholders’ information demand
for contractual agreements and corporate insiders’ opportunities to perform earnings
management. Managers of public companies have incentives to manage earnings to
fulfil analyst expectations (Bartov et al., 2002) and to avoid the reporting of losses or
earnings decreases (Burgstahler & Dichev, 1997). Additional motivation to adjust
reported financials is given when management compensation is share-based or parts
of salaries are paid in stocks (Cheng & Warfield, 2005). Private firms’ managers, on
the other hand, can find incentives for earnings management to avoid breaking debt
covenants or to increase bonuses based on reported earnings (Givoly, Hayn & Katz,
2010). Another interesting field in literature proposes that creditors, to some extent,
demand earnings management from companies, in the form of reporting smooth
earnings. In their study of European private firms, Gassen & Fülbier (2015)
demonstrated that companies with higher leverage tend to report smoother earnings
and that this relationship is even more pronounced when debt-contracting works
inefficiently on the country level.
Since accounting standards leave room for flexibility and interpretation, corporate
insiders can use earnings management to follow their personal interests. However,
personal judgement of managers and measurement assumptions can also be used to
improve the financial statements’ reflection of the underlying business reality
(Burgstahler et al., 2006). Vander Bauwhede et al. (2015) stated that overall earnings
quality represents to which degree financial reporting information is free from noise
introduced by accounting standards, measurement assumptions and earnings
management.
10
Former inquiries follow the assumption that increasing transparency mitigates firms’
information risk and can therefore help to reduce credit market constraints (Ding et al.,
2016; García-Teruel et al., 2014). In this context, high earnings quality can help to
reduce asymmetric information between lending and borrowing party in a credit
contract. More accurate earnings information enables lenders to make more precise
predictions of a company’s future cash flows, which determine its loan repayment
capacity. Likewise, higher quality earnings enable creditors to forecast future cash
flows in a more profound manner and thus can assess a firm’s default probability with
less uncertainty. This leads to the conclusion that high quality financial reports ease a
credit institution’s risk assessment process and can therefore increase a firm’s
likelihood of obtaining a loan. Therefore, it can be expected to find evidence for the
following hypothesis:
H1: High financial reporting quality is positively associated with European
companies’ access to credit
2.4. Relationship between access to credit and earnings quality
Previous academic research has already documented that earnings quality can
influence a company’s access to credit. García-Teruel et al. (2014) found evidence to
support this argument for private Spanish firms. Ding et al. (2016) confirm these results
for Chinese privately held companies. However, these studies are restricted by the fact
that they focus only on private firms and limit their research to one specific country.
The goal of this study is to investigate the relationship between credit access and
earnings quality even further. As brought forward by Hope (2015), it is interesting to
include public and private firms in the same study to compare both groups. Specifically,
this study wants to examine whether differences in firm type will influence the AC-EQ
relationship. Additionally, the European setting presents an interesting opportunity to
analyse whether the association between financial reporting quality and credit
availability differs with regard to institutional context. In this light, the following two
subsections will discuss previous literature in these fields and accordingly develop
hypotheses.
11
2.4.1. Firm type
Previous academic research in accounting focused extensively on publicly disclosed
financial reports and its informational quality (Ball & Shivakumar, 2005; Francis,
LaFond, Olsson & Schipper, 2004; Givoly et al., 2010). Less is known about the
financial reporting quality of private firms, because missing disclosure regulations
make it harder for outsiders to obtain relevant data. Ball & Shivakumar (2005) also
argued that missing market based proxies for earnings quality like the association with
share prices or returns are reasons for lacking research in this area. That extant
literature on unlisted companies is rather limited due to data accessibility and not
because of their inferior economic importance was brought forward by Hope (2015). In
fact, private firms contribute substantially to economic growth around the world. Their
workforce is about four times greater than the one of public companies, they generate
four times higher total revenues and hold around twice as many assets as listed firms
(Berzins, Bøhren & Rydland, 2008). These findings are representative for the majority
of countries worldwide (Hope, 2015). Furthermore, investigating private firms’ access
to credit is especially important, because their survivorship in difficult times like the
recent financial crisis can strongly depend on external funding possibilities. Evidence
regarding this topic was presented by Gertler & Gilchrist (1994), who showed that
smaller private firms are forced to cut back their economic activities faster and more
severely than larger firms when confronted with macroeconomic shocks. The
importance of bank debt during a crisis period was also discussed by Bolton & Freixas
(2000), who highlighted that companies rely heavily on investment funding by banks,
because these lenders help them to overcome times of financial distress.
Extant literature suggests that the degree to which firms are impacted by asymmetric
information differs with their characteristics (Berger & Udell, 1998; Hovakimian et al.,
2001). Large companies are found to attract outside financing easier compared to
SMEs, as they are less informationally opaque, their cash flows tend to be less volatile
and their bankruptcy costs are lower (Hovakimian et al., 2001). These findings are in
line with previous literature within the financial constraints domain, which presented
evidence that private firms’ access to external finance is more constrained than it is for
public firms (Moro, Fink & Kautonen, 2014). Berger & Udell (1998) were one of the first
to recognize that a liability of being comparatively small and privately held exists, which
negatively impacts private firms’ chances to receive access to credit.
12
Further, it is more likely for private firms that difficulties in the lender-borrower
relationship arise due to agency conflicts and the lack of tangible assets, collateral or
human capital (Berger, Klapper & Udell, 2001).
That a shortage of informational resources available to credit institutions represents a
problem for privately held firms was also demonstrated by Collis, Jarvis & Skerratt
(2004). They observed that small UK companies are willing to voluntarily audit their
financial reports in order to improve information quality and establish beneficial agency
relationships with their lenders. Allee & Yohn (2009) found similar evidence by showing
that privately held firms in the US can improve their likelihood of obtaining external
finance by having audited financial reports. Similarly, they found that private
companies with accrual based financial statements can borrow at more favourable
conditions, leading to lower overall cost of debt financing. In this context, high reporting
quality represents an avenue for private firms to increase their access to external debt.
However, a study by Ball & Shivakumar (2005), conducted in the United Kingdom,
found that the overall financial reporting quality of private firms is on average lower
than it is for public firms. In their setting, quality was defined as the usefulness of the
report information to stakeholders like investors, analysts, mangers or financial
institutions. Therefore, it can be argued that private firms have an ex-ante
disadvantage compared to public firms regarding credit access due to their lower
earnings quality, resulting in higher informational opaqueness.
Private firms do not have to disclose their financial data or provide investors with
annual reports, resulting in difficulties for banks to estimate their future cash flows and
thus repayment capacity. If banks face the issue of lower quality earnings for private
firms, those companies within this classification that can offer high financial reporting
quality should have an informational advantage in loan negotiations. Institutional
lenders have in general less information available about private firms compared to
public ones, since they are less regulated and observed by authorities, financial
analysts, rating agencies or the media (Ding et al., 2016). Since information resources
regarding private firms are more scarce than those of public firms, banks will have to
rely more heavily on financial reporting information in that case. As high earnings
quality eases lenders assessment of future repayment capacity and firm risk, accurate
accounting information from informationally opaque private firms should be especially
valuable for creditors.
13
Following this concept, high earnings quality can be a more important tool to reduce
asymmetric information issues and therefore obtaining credit for private firms. This
argumentation can be summarized in the following hypothesis:
H2: The relationship between high earnings quality and access to credit is
more pronounced for private firms
2.4.2. Institutional context
Legal and institutional differences determine the conditions and availability of bank
credit across the world. Next to the firm specific factors that influence loan decisions,
credit institutions must also anticipate the question whether their claims are protected
in the case of bankruptcy. The degree to which their rights are protected will influence
the type and conditions of loans creditors are willing to grant to companies. In countries
with high quality legal systems and strong creditor protection rights, banks can manage
borrower risk more effectively and have a higher likelihood to recover the loan amount
in a default event (BAE & Goyal, 2009). Consequently, banks will offer increased
lending ex-ante and enhance firms access to credit (La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes,
Shleifer & Vishny, 1997).
If a firm’s credit quality is declining, it is necessary for a lender to reassess the agreed
interest rates, raise collateral obligations or reduce loan maturities. The expenses
associated with these activities can be described as re-contracting costs, which
increase when lender rights are poorly enforced. Due to the fact that it will take longer
to repossess collateral in case of bankruptcy if property laws are characterized by poor
enforcement, creditors recovery rates will be substantially lower (BAE & Goyal, 2009).
A high degree of creditor protection will consequently lead to an increase in loan supply,
leaving less firms financially constrained (Haselmann et al., 2010). This can be
especially interesting for private companies, as Haselmann & Wachtel (2010) indicated.
Their study demonstrated that in countries with higher quality legal systems and
regulations, a higher proportion of total bank lending is allocated to firms with high
levels of information asymmetries such as small and medium sized enterprises. Not
only the availability of credit is enhanced through strong legal systems, but also the
conditions under which loans are granted.
14
Qian & Strahan (2007) found evidence that in countries with stronger developed
creditor protection rights, bank debt has longer maturities and will be available at lower
interest rates. Their results indicated that firms who operate in countries with stronger
creditor protection rights can also benefit from more favourable loan terms. This leads
to the assumption that not only the quality of creditor protection rights, but also the
overall enforceability of credit contracts will impact banks’ loan contracting decisions.
This is in line with the findings of Moro et al. (2016), who state that the probability of
accessing credit is up to 40% higher in countries with stronger legal systems. Following
this concept, it can be argued that in countries with poor creditor protection rights
companies which face high information asymmetry degrees will more likely be
financially constrained.
Ding et al. (2016) showed in their paper that high financial reporting quality has a
different influence on financial constraints across provinces in China with different
levels of economic development. This concept can also be applied to Europe, where
credit institutions in countries with weaker creditor and property protection rights might
rely more heavily on accurate accounting information to mitigate adverse selection and
moral hazard issues. It can be argued that earnings quality matters more in countries
where creditor claims are less protected, because information asymmetry problems
are more severe for financial institutions who face little legal protection and therefore
higher losses given default. In this case, banks will attach higher value to accurate
financial reporting information to lower their risk exposure. Consequently, firms who
are able to reduce information asymmetry problems through high earnings quality
should be able to benefit from better credit access. This leads to the formulation of the
following hypothesis:
H3: The relationship between high earnings quality and access to credit is more
pronounced in European countries with weak legal systems
15
3. RESEARCH DESIGN
In order to test whether the earnings quality of European public and private companies
is related to their overall access to credit, regression (1) is estimated. In this equation,
i and t represent firms and years. Where appropriate, variables are scaled by total
assets for standardization (Vanacker & Manigart, 2010). Furthermore, they are
calculated using book values (Meuleman & De Maeseneire, 2012). An overview of the
variable definitions can be found in table 1.
(1) Credit Accessi,t = β0 + β1 * AQi,t + β2 * Firm Typei,t + β3 * Sizei,t + β4 * Agei,t + β5 *
Liquidityi,t + β6 * Tangibilityi,t + β7 * Sales Growthi,t + β8 * Performancei,t + β9 * Leveragei,t
+ βindustry * Industry Control + βcountry * Country Control + εi,t
Additionally, the goal of this study is to identify whether the relationship between
earnings quality and credit access differs across public and private European
companies. The European setting is interesting for a comparison between public and
private firms, because accounting standards within the European Union are not
determined by the listing status of a company. The regulations for both types of
companies are similar within each country, because the same set of accounting rules
apply to private firms with limited liability and public listed incorporations (Burgstahler
et al., 2006). To investigate the moderating effect of firm type on the AC-EQ association,
an interaction term between the variables AQ and Firm Type is included in the model
specification. Consequently, regression (2) is exercised as indicated below.
(2) Credit Accessi,t = β0 + β1 * AQi,t + β2 * Firm Typei,t + β3 * AQ*Firm Typei,t + β4 * Sizei,t +
β5 * Agei,t + β6 * Liquidityi,t + β7 * Tangibilityi,t + β8 * Sales Growthi,t + β9 * Performancei,t +
β10 * Leveragei,t + βindustry * Industry Control + βcountry * Country Control + εi,t
Hypothesis 3 tries to test whether differences in creditor and property rights protection
have a moderating effect on earnings quality’s relationship with access to credit. In this
context, it should be stated that European institutions favour EU wide accounting
harmonization and already support this progress for many years (Van Hulle, 2004).
Nevertheless, especially the quality of legal systems and credit institutions differs
substantially across Europe (Burgstahler et al., 2006). This presents an opportunity to
exploit the impact of such differences, by estimating regression (3), (4) and (5).
16
Interaction terms between the earnings quality metric (AQ) and the proxies for the
degree of legal protection of creditors and property rights as well as the joint effects of
both are added to the initial model specification (1). In line with extant research about
the impact of institutional context on earnings management and earnings smoothness
within Europe (Burgstahler et al., 2006; Gassen & Fülbier, 2015), industry controls are
included in the regression specifications.
(3) Credit Accessi,t = β0 + β1 * AQi,t + β2 * Creditor Protectioni,t + β3 * AQ*Creditor
Protectioni,t + β4 * Firm Typei,t + β5 * Sizei,t + β6 * Agei,t + β7 * Liquidityi,t + β8 * Tangibilityi,t
+ β9 * Sales Growthi,t + β10 * Performancei,t + β11 * Leveragei,t + βindustry * Industry Control
+ εi,t
(4) Credit Accessi,t = β0 + β1 * AQi,t + β2 * Property Rightsi,t + β3 * AQ*Property Rightsi,t +
β4 * Firm Typei,t + β5 * Sizei,t + β6 * Agei,t + β7 * Liquidityi,t + β8 * Tangibilityi,t + β9 * Sales
Growthi,t + β10 * Performancei,t + β11 * Leveragei,t + βindustry * Industry Control + εi,t
(5) Credit Accessi,t = β0 + β1 * AQi,t + β2 * Institutional Contexti,t + β3 * AQ*Institutional
Contexti,t + β4 * Firm Typei,t + β5 * Sizei,t + β6 * Agei,t + β7 * Liquidityi,t + β8 * Tangibilityi,t +
β9 * Sales Growthi,t + β10 * Performancei,t + β11 * Leveragei,t + βindustry * Industry Control +
εi,t
All variables get winsorized at 1% and 99% to control for outlier effects. This is not
applied to the variable Age, as there is little doubt about the accuracy of firm
incorporation dates (Vander Bauwhede et al., 2015).
3.1. Variable measurement
3.1.1. Credit access
The dependent variable in this study is access to credit. Previous academic research
on credit access often relies on direct information obtained from mangers or business
owners through surveys (Bai et al., 2006; Hersch, Kemme & Netter, 1997). Since the
goal of this study is to obtain empirical evidence for private and public firms across
Europe, a quantitative measure of credit availability is preferred.
17
Previous studies that investigated the relationship between earnings attributes and
accessibility of credit use the total amount of debt a firm holds in proportion to their
total assets (Ding et al., 2016; García-Teruel et al., 2014). In line with this approach in
academic research, this variable measurement will be used for Credit Access1, the
first proxy for credit access.
A second proxy for access to credit, Credit Access2, is introduced by following the
suggested method of Meuleman & De Maeseneire (2012). If a company shows a net
increase in outstanding financial debt which exceeds 5% of total assets, a dummy
variable is coded as 1 and 0 otherwise. The 5% benchmark is introduced following
prior literature, to assure that the study focuses on relatively meaningful funding events
(De Haan & Hinloopen, 2003; Meuleman & De Maeseneire, 2012; Vanacker &
Manigart, 2007).
3.1.2. Earnings quality
The independent variable used in this study is earnings quality. Since real company
performance is unobservable, different proxies for earnings quality have been
developed by prior research (see Dechow, Ge & Schrand, 2010 for a literature
overview). Francis et al. (2004) argued that comparing all accounting and market
based earnings quality (EQ) measurements, the effects of EQ can be best identified
by using accrual quality (AQ). The usefulness of this methodology was shown by
various studies (Francis et al., 2004; Francis et al., 2005; Vander Bauwhede et al.,
2015) and has become the accepted model in accounting research to capture
discretion according to Dechow et al. (2010).
Following these arguments, this study uses the accrual quality approach, developed
by Dechow & Dichev (2002) to measure the variable AQ. The concept of AQ shows
the degree to which accruals are error-prone with regard to measurement and
estimations. Residuals from accrual-based models show the components of accruals
that are due to management discretion or estimation errors, which reduce the
adequacy of the information content financial statements can offer. The original model
by Dechow & Dichev (2002) explains total current accruals (TCA) as a function of
current, past and future operational cash flows.
18
On this basis, Francis et al. (2005) further developed the model by adding the change
in sales revenues and gross value of PPE (property, plant and equipment). This
adjustment was made to include expectations about current accruals into the
estimating model, as proposed by McNichols (2002). The variables are scaled by total
assets to guarantee comparability across firm size and to reduce possible
heteroskedasticity concerns (Vanacker & Manigart, 2010).
(6) TCAi,t = βo + β1 * CFOi,t-1 + β2 * CFOi,t + β3 * CFOi,t+1 + β4 * ΔSalesi,t +
β5 * PPEi,t + ɛi,t
Equation (6) is estimated for each industry group per country in year t. The annual
cross-sectional estimations of this model will generate firm- and year-specific residuals,
which form the desired accruals quality metric. Accordingly, the variable AQ shows the
degree to which accruals and earnings are free from any form of error and hence can
be used to map future cash flows in earnings (Dechow & Dichev, 2002; Francis et al.,
2005). The unexplained residual of this model (ɛi,t) represents accruals that are not
related to prior, current or future cash flows, changes in turnover or property, plant and
equipment. Consequently, the larger the absolute value of remaining residuals, the
more likely it is that higher accrual estimation errors are involved (Dechow & Dichev
2002; Francis et al., 2005). Thus, taking the additive inverse of the unexplained portion
of the variation in TCA will ease the interpretation of the variable AQ, leading to the
result that higher residuals represent higher earnings quality (Vander Bauwhede et al.
2015).
The letters i and t within the regression equation specify firms and years. TCAi,t
represent total current accruals as the change in non-cash working capital from year t-
1 to year t. CFOi,t-1, CFOi,t and CFOi,t+1 are the cash flows from operations realized in
year t-1, t and t+1, respectively. ΔSalesi,t is the change in turnover in year t relative to
year t–1. PPEi,t represents the value of property, plant and equipment.
In line with prior literature, total current accruals are calculated as TCAi,t = (ΔCAi,t -
ΔCashi,t) - (ΔCLi,t - ΔSTDi,t), where ΔCAi,t is the change in current assets, ΔCashi,t is
the change in cash and cash equivalents, ΔCLi,t is the change in current liabilities and
ΔSTDi,t is the change in short term financial debt or current portion of long term debt
(Francis et al., 2005).
19
Following this concept, total current accruals are calculated as the change in non-cash
current assets minus the change in current non-interest bearing liabilities.
The explanatory variable cash flow from operations (CFO) in this model is also
calculated in line with previous studies (Francis et al., 2005; García-Teruel et al., 2014),
by subtracting total accruals from bottom line net income. Following Francis et al.
(2005), total accruals are calculated as TAi,t = (ΔCAi,t - ΔCLi,t - ΔCashi,t + ΔSTDi,t -
DEPRi,t), where ΔCAi,t is firm i’s change in current assets between year t-1 and t, ΔCLi,t
is firm i’s change in current liabilities between year t-1 and t, ΔCashi,t is firm i’s change
in cash and cash equivalents between year t-1 and t, ΔSTDi,t is firm i’s change in short
term debt between year t-1 and t, and DEPRi,t is firm i’s depreciation and amortization
expense in year t. As used by Chen et al. (2011), total accruals are measured as the
change in non-cash current assets minus the change in current non-interest bearing
liabilities minus depreciation and amortization expense for firm i in year t.
Prior research suggests that there are two ways in which accruals quality from the
above stated equation (6) can be calculated. This involves using the standard deviation
of residuals on the one hand and calculating the absolute value of residuals on the
other hand (Dechow & Dichev, 2002). The first method is generally preferred, because
consistently large residuals do not necessarily represent low earnings quality (Vander
Bauwhede et al., 2015). Nevertheless, scholars like Vander Bauwhede et al. (2015)
and Francis et al. (2004) show that their results are robust to using both methods.
Using the standard deviation approach involves crucial data requirements and its
computationally intensiveness would reduce the sample of this study to a three years’
period (2013-2015). Therefore, the absolute value of residuals approach is preferred
to obtain the AQ variable.
3.1.3. Institutional context
To assess whether the institutional context of a country influences the relationship
between earnings quality and access to credit, three additional variables are
introduced. Firstly, the quality of creditor protection rights can be proxied by using the
‘Strength of Legal Rights Index’ as indicated by the World Bank. This index represents
the level to which collateral and bankruptcy laws protect the rights of the parties
involved in a credit contract and will thus represent the Creditor Protection variable.
20
Ranging from 0 to 12, the World Bank index gives higher scores to countries with
greater legal quality and protection mechanisms (Moro et al., 2016). The databank is
available online on the World Bank’s website. To ease the interpretation, the ‘Strenghts
of Legal Rights Index’ is multiplied by (-1), so that a high score equals weak creditor
protection rights.
Secondly, as suggested by BAE & Goyal (2009), the ‘Property Rights Index’ provided
by the Heritage Foundation will be used to proxy the ability of individuals to accumulate
private property and the degree to which property rights are protected by the legal
environment within a country. Further, it includes how efficiently those laws are
enforced by the government. It will therefore be used to measure the variable Property
Rights. A high score indicates that the legal protection of property within a country is
certain. Thus, the more certain the legal protection of property, the higher a country’s
score. The metric is part of the Index of Economic Freedom, which is calculated by the
Heritage Foundation/Wall Street Journal since 1995. The data can be obtained online
via the Heritage Foundation’s homepage. Again, to simplify the result interpretation,
the ‘Property Rights Index’ is multiplied by (-1), so that higher index scores represent
weaker property right protection laws in a country.
Lastly, a total score for the overall institutional context within a country is introduced by
combining both ‘Strengths of legal rights Index’ and ‘Property rights Index’. The
importance of this metric was demonstrated by BAE & Goyal (2009), who argued that
the laws and enforcement of property and creditor right protection can have joint effects
on bank lending. Thus, the combined variable Institutional Context is introduced, which
embodies creditor protection and property rights proxies.
3.1.4. Control variables
To control for other factors that can have an impact on the availability of credit for a
company, a number of control variables are included in different model specifications.
First, we control for the need of external credit by measuring the amount of internal
finance available within the firm. This is necessary, because following the pecking
order theory (Donaldson, 1961) internal funds are the preferred financing method over
bank debt. Thus, liquidity (cash & CE/total assets) is included as a control variable (De
Haan & Hinloopen, 2003).
21
The higher the liquidity ratio, the less external debt firms will need to fund their
operations since more cash is available internally. Further, financial performance is
included by coding 1 if a company’s net income is positive and 0 otherwise, predicting
that high performing firms have more internal funds available to finance investments
(Ding et al., 2016). However, high performing firms could generate higher cash flows,
which are an important determinant of a company’s repayment capacity (Mulier et al.,
2016). As high repayment capacity will increase a firm’s likelihood to obtain external
finance, the relationship between performance and credit access can arguably also be
positive. Another factor that needs to be considered is firm leverage (total debt/total
assets), as highly indebted firms are less likely to have access to additional credit due
to increasing bankruptcy costs (Harris & Raviv, 1991). Additionally, to include
information asymmetry issues, firm size (ln of total assets), age (number of years since
inception) and firm type (dummy variable takes 1 for private firms – 0 otherwise) are
included as control variables, since larger and well-established firms tend to be less
informationally opaque and enjoy easier access to credit (Hovakimian et al., 2001;
Vander Bauwhede et al., 2015). More mature firms might also be able to profit from
closer bank-borrower relationships, which can support the availability of credit
(Niskanen & Niskanen, 2010). Asset tangibility (total fixed assets/total assets) is also
included in the model, because firms which can offer more collateral as securities in
loan agreements face less credit constraints (Vander Bauwhede et al., 2015). High
growth firms are often classified as riskier and inherit increased agency problems,
therefore sales growth is used as an additional control variable (García-Teruel,
Martínez-Solano & Sánchez-Ballesta, 2010). To control for industry and country effects,
n-1 dummy variables are introduced to the model. A summary of all variable definitions
is presented in table 1.
22
Table 1 Variable measurement
Variable name Variable definition Exp. sign
Dependent variables
Credit Access1 Total debt / total assets
Credit Access2 Dummy variable is coded as 1 if increase in total debt
exceeds 5% of total assets – 0 otherwise
Independent variables
Earnings Quality (EQ) Accruals quality (AQ), measured as the absolute value of
residuals obtained through the modified DD model * (-1)
+
Firm Type Dummy variable is coded as 1 if firm type is private – 0
otherwise
-
Creditor Protection Strength of legal rights index provided by the World Bank
* (-1)
-
Property Rights Property rights index provided by the Heritage
Foundation * (-1)
-
Institutional Context (Strengths of legal rights index + property rights index) *
(-1)
-
Control variables
Liquidity Cash & cash equivalents / total assets -
Size ln(total assets) +
Age number of years since inception +
Tangibility Total fixed assets / total assets +
Sales Growth (Salest – salest-1) / salest-1 -
Performance Dummy variable is coded as 1 if net income is positive –
0 otherwise
+/-
Leverage Total debt / total assets -
Industry control Dummy variable is coded as 1 if the firm belongs to the
NACE two-digit code industry of interest – 0 otherwise
?
Country control Dummy variable is coded as 1 if the firm is registered in
the country of interest – 0 otherwise
?
Table 1: Variable measurement
23
4. DATA COLLECTION
This study is based on financial information of private and public firms obtained from
the April 2017 version of the Orbis Europe database, provided by Bureau van Dijk. This
resource contains a multitude of financial statements from various national information
collectors across Europe. One of the main benefits of using this database is the
availability of data for privately held corporations, which allows a comparison with this
economically crucial set of firms that is relatively understudied by academic literature.
The European setting gives a unique possibility to investigate the relationship between
earnings quality and credit availability. Generally, the accounting regulation applied for
companies within the European Union is not determined by their listing status.
Therefore, private firms with limited liability are largely exposed to the same accounting
standards as publicly traded companies (Burgstahler et al., 2006). Thus, accounting
requirements can be held constant across the two firm characteristics within a specific
country. Additionally, there are essential differences in the quality of legal systems
across the EU (Burgstahler et al., 2006), which supports the desired investigation of
institutional context’s impact on the AC-EQ relationship.
The sample consists of the EU15 countries, which includes all members of the
European Union prior to the accession of ten candidate countries during 2004. This
includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy,
Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom. The
focus on EU15 member states is frequently seen in academic literature (Barros,
Ferreira & Williams, 2007; Berger, 2007; Valverde, Humphrey & del Paso, 2007). All
firm-year observations between 2007–2016 of public limited companies and private
limited companies (or their national equivalents) that fulfil the data requirements for
variable measurement are included in the sample (Burgstahler et al., 2006). Thus,
observations without balance sheet data are deleted (Dechow & Dichev, 2002). In line
with previous research, financial institutions, insurance companies and other financial
holdings, public administrative institutions and non-profit organizations are excluded
from the sample (Gassen & Fülbier, 2015; Minnis, 2011; Vander Bauwhede et al. 2015).
As a second step, subsidiaries of listed companies are deleted from the sample,
because their access to credit can be influenced by the holding organisation
(Burgstahler et al., 2006).
24
Further, firms with less than ten employees are excluded from the sample to ensure
the exclusion of microenterprises and companies specifically founded for non-
economic reasons (Vanacker & Manigart, 2010). Additionally, observations with total
assets below EUR 100.000 are excluded from the sample base (Gassen & Fülbier,
2015). Since the hypotheses tests in this study are partly based on measures that are
estimated on industry levels, the requirement of at least 10 firm-level observations for
a two digit NACE group is set (Burgstahler et al., 2006; Gassen & Fülbier, 2015). Up
to this point, the dataset contains 47.150 observations, from 1.791 public and 2.924
private firms over a period of 10 years (2007-2016).
The measurement of the AQ proxy entails severe financial data requirements, as non-
missing information over multiple years is necessary to compute non-cash working
capital, CFO, sales and property, plant and equipment. Specifically, three consecutive
years of data are needed to compute the AQ measure, due to the leads and lags
implied by the Dechow & Dichew (2002) model and because the calculation of CFO
demands information on the previous year. This results in a reduction of the final
dataset to a period between 2009 and 2015. Consequently, the sample consists of
33.005 observations by a total of 4.715 European companies.
25
5. EMPIRICAL RESULTS
The following section summarizes descriptive statistics and reports the regression
results regarding the relationship between access to credit and earnings quality.
Additionally, robustness tests are performed.
5.1. Descriptive statistics
First, table 2 presents a sample breakdown by industry, to show the cross-sectional
structure of the sample. The industries with the highest representation are
manufacturing (31%), wholesale (22%) and construction (10%). The applied industry
classification in this study is in line with the statistical classification of economic
activities in the European community, using two digit NACE codes. To ease the
analysis of the industry composition, table 2 is reported according to the NACE Rev. 2
(2008) classification.
Table 2 Sample breakdown by industry
NACE Rev. 2 Frequency Percent
A – Agriculture, forestry and fishing (NACE codes 01 – 03) 810 1,72
B – Mining and quarrying (NACE codes 05 – 09) 150 0,32
C – Manufacturing (NACE codes 10 – 33) 14.650 31,07
D – Electricity, gas steam and air conditioning supply (NACE code 35) 280 0,59
E – Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation
activities (NACE codes 36 – 39)
100 0,21
F – Construction (NACE codes 41 – 43) 4.910 10,41
G – Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motor
cycles (NACE codes 45 – 47)
10.290 21,82
H – Transportation and storage (NACE codes 49 – 53) 3.980 8,44
I – Accommodation and food service activities (NACE codes 55 – 56) 1.580 3,35
J – Information and communication (NACE codes 58 – 63) 1.970 4,18
L – Real estate activities (NACE code 68) 1.070 2,27
M – Professional, scientific and technical activities (NACE codes 69 –
75)
3.340 7,08
N – Administrative and support service activities (NACE codes 77 – 82) 1.540 3,27
P – Education (NACE code 85) 550 1,17
Q – Human health and social work activities (NACE codes 86 – 88) 530 1,12
R – Arts, entertainment and recreation (NACE codes 90 – 93) 1.150 2,44
S – Other service activities (NACE codes 94 – 96) 250 0,53
Total 47.150 100
Table 2: Sample breakdown by industry
26
Next, table 3 summarizes the distribution of observations over the EU15 countries.
Sweden (34%), the United Kingdom (21%), Italy (10%) and France (10%) account for
the biggest part of the sample. The German representation in the sample is with 5%
relatively low, although the country is one of the biggest economies within the EU15.
This is due to the fact that data from Orbis Europe/Amadeus shows a significant
coverage bias, which was already indicated by previous studies (Gassen & Fülbier,
2015; Peek, Cuijpers & Buijink, 2010). The databanks receive financial data in
accordance with local disclosure rules and regulations. Differences in these
compliance requirements across countries contribute to the coverage bias (Gassen &
Fülbier, 2015). Therefore, these shortcomings in the sampling process lead to the
result that the sample in this study cannot be regarded as perfectly descriptive for the
unobservable population of European companies.
Table 3 Sample breakdown by country
Country Frequency Percent
Austria 120 0,25
Belgium 3.550 7,53
Germany 1.450 3,08
Denmark 600 1,27
Spain 2.180 4,62
Finland 2.540 5,39
France 4.620 9,8
United Kingdom 9.750 20,68
Greece 1.000 2,12
Ireland 170 0,36
Italy 4.670 9,9
Luxembourg 40 0,08
Netherlands 230 0,49
Portugal 210 0,45
Sweden 16.020 33,98
Total 47.150 100
Table 3: Sample breakdown by country
27
Table 4 presents an overview of detailed summary statistics for the main variables in
this study. The mean of the Credit Access1 variable is 22% and is thus slightly lower
than the values reported by Burgstahler et al. (2006), who reported an average
leverage of 29% for European private and public firms. Public European companies
show a mean debt to assets ratio of 20%, compared to 23% for private European firms.
This is a first indication that private European companies do not face credit constraints
under the aspect of debt ratios, as they seem to hold higher amounts of interest bearing
liabilities than public companies. The average private European firm has lower
leverage than Spanish small and medium sized companies, which report average debt
ratios of around 28% (García-Teruel et al., 2014). As also indicated by a leverage close
to 27% for Belgian SMEs reported by Vander Bauwhede et al. (2015), especially SMEs
seem to rely heavily on debt financing. In comparison to US firms, debt ratios seem to
be slightly lower in this European sample, as Bharath et al. (2008) report a mean
leverage of 26% for publicly listed firms compared to 20% in this sample.
Additionally, table 4 summarizes the descriptive statistics for the accruals quality
measure from Dechow & Dichew (2002) as advanced by McNichols (2002). The
median AQ metric in this sample is 0,001. Since the AQ metric was multiplied by (-1),
higher values indicate higher earnings quality. As public firms show higher average
and median AQ values than private firms, it can be argued that public firms accounting
information is of higher quality. To better compare the findings regarding accruals
quality to previous literature, a common alternative calculation of AQ is introduced by
calculating the standard deviation of the previous five years for the residuals of the DD-
model (Core, Guay & Verdi, 2008; Dechow & Dichew, 2002; Doyle, Ge & McVay, 2007).
The new variable AQ_SD is defined as the accruals quality in year t, which is calculated
as the standard deviation of firm-level residuals derived from equation (6) over the
years t−4 to t. Thus, considering the absolute value of the standard deviation of the AQ
metric, a mean and median of 0,042 and 0,033 respectively for AQ_SD is found in this
sample. Comparing these results with US listed companies, mean (median) accruals
quality as reported by Dechow & Dichew (2002) take values of 0,028 (0,020) and
Francis et al. (2005) report a mean (median) AQ of 0,044 (0,031). As higher absolute
values indicate lower overall accruals quality, earnings quality of European companies
seems to be overall lower.
28
This supports the findings of Leuz, Nanda & Wysocki (2003), who state that Anglo-
American firms undertake less earnings management than European and Asian
companies. Interestingly, the average earnings quality of private firms (0,044) again
seems to be lower than the one of public firms (0,038). This confirms the results of
Burgstahler et al. (2006), who analysed that mean and median earnings management
of publicly listed companies are significantly lower than private firms. As public firms
seem to engage in less earnings management, consequently their earnings quality is
higher. This also supports the research of Ball & Shivakumar (2005), who found that
unlisted firms generally present lower earnings quality. The overall findings are also in
line with the results of Vander Bauwhede et al. (2015), who reported an accruals quality
mean (absolute value) of 0,045 for Belgian SMEs, indicating that the European
average earnings quality is slightly higher than the one of Belgian small and medium
sized companies.
Furthermore, table 4 exhibits summary statistics of the control variables included in
various model specifications. The sample shows an average age for public (private)
companies of 59 (27) years, which is slightly older than the means of Burgstahler et al.
(2006), reporting an age of 46 and 17 for public and private European firms,
respectively. Size shows a mean of 9,5 for the total sample. In comparison, Gassen &
Fülbier (2015) report an average size of 8,0 for private European firms. The result
shows that public firms tend to have higher amounts of total assets than private firms.
Sales growth has a mean (median) of 0,06 (0,03), which is considerably lower than the
growth rates reported by American private firms. Francis et al. (2005) state a mean
(median) sales growth of 0,19 (0,12). The substantial difference in growth rates could
be due to the time frame of this sample, which includes the financial crisis during which
European companies faced rough economic conditions. In contrast, the American
study covers a time span between 1970 and 2001. Further, the descriptives for liquidity
indicate that European public firms, on average, have higher internal cash reserves
available than private European companies.
As various measurement requirements apply for variables, the number of observations
(N) within the sample can differ. The variable Credit Access2 for example is calculated
by comparing the change in financial debt to total assets, which requires data on the
previous year. This leads to the exclusion of year 2007 in the total observation number
and reduces it from 47.150 to 42.435.
29
Most importantly, the measurement of AQ_SD entails severe data requirements, as
non-missing information for eight consecutive years is needed (see Section 4: Data).
This is due to the leads and lags implied by the Dechow & Dichew (2002) model and
because the calculation of CFO demands information on the previous year. Calculating
the standard deviation of accrual residuals requires further information on the four
preceding years, which decreases the total number of available observations from
33.005 to 14.145.
Table 4 Descriptive statistics
Mean SD p10 Median p90 N
Credit Access1 total
public
private
0,218
0,199
0,229
0,286
0,273
0,292
0
0
0
0,165
0,154
0,173
0,497
0,457
0,520
47.150
17.910
29.240
Credit Access2 total
public
0,180
0,163
0,384
0,369
0
0
0
0
1
1
42.435
16.119
private 0,190 0,393 0 0 1 26.316
AQ total
public
private
6,55e-12
0,004
-0,002
0,662
0,063
0,067
-0,067
-0,057
-0,073
0,001
0,004
-0,001
0,064
0,063
0,065
33.005
12.537
20.468
AQ_SD total
public
private
0,0420
0,038
0,044
0,035
0,035
0,034
0,013
0,011
0,015
0,033
0,028
0,036
0,079
0,076
0,081
14.145
5.373
8.772
Age total
public
private
39,808
59,926
27,486
32,883
40,133
18,903
11
14
9
27
43
23
105
109
50
47.150
17.910
29.240
Size total
public
private
9,543
10,952
8,680
2,347
2,619
1,649
7,052
8,047
6,809
9,053
10,338
8,447
12,902
14,981
10,889
47.150
17.910
29.240
Liquidity total
public
private
0,124
0,125
0,122
0,145
0,148
0,142
0,003
0,006
0,002
0,073
0,075
0,071
0,322
0,318
0,324
47.150
17.910
29.240
Tangibility total
public
private
0,279
0,223
0,314
0,249
0,216
0,261
0,020
0,016
0,022
0,210
0,162
0,254
0,671
0,544
0,708
47.150
17.910
29240
Sales Growth total
public
private
0,063
0,063
0,062
0,976
0,510
1,173
-0,169
-0,165
-0,171
0,027
0,023
0,028
0,266
0,253
0,273
42.435
16.119
26.316
30
Leverage total
public
private
0,218
0,199
0,229
0,286
0,273
0,292
0
0
0
0,165
0,154
0,173
0,497
0,457
0,520
47.150
17.910
29.240
Performance total
public
private
0,822
0,816
0,825
0,383
0,387
0,379
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
47.150
17.910
29.240
Firm Type total
public
private
0,620
0
1
0,485
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
47.150
17.910
29.240
Creditor Protection total
public
private
-5,399
-4,726
-5,812
1,610
1,735
1,376
-7
-7
-7
-6
-4
-6
-2
-2
-4
47.150
17.910
29.240
Property Rights total
public
private
-82,295
-77,202
-85,413
13,786
15,523
11,543
-90
-90
-90
-90
-80
-90
-50
-50
-70
47.150
17.910
29.240
Institutional Context total
public
private
-76,895
-81,929
-91,226
12,413
16,942
12,813
-84
-97
-97
-83
-84
-96
-48
-52
-75
47.150
17.910
29.240
Credit Access1 = total debt/total assets, Credit Access2 = dummy variable takes 1 if debt increase exceeds
5% of total assets – 0 otherwise, AQ: see section 3; Research design, AQ_SD = standard deviation of AQ
over the years t−4 to t, Age = number of years since inception, Size = ln(total assets), Liquidity = cash &
CE/total assets, Tangibility = total fixed assets/total assets, Sales Growth = year-over-year percentage growth
in sales, Performance = dummy variable taking 1 if net income is positive – 0 otherwise, Firm Type = dummy
variable taking 1 if firm type is private – 0 otherwise, Creditor Protection = additive inverse of strengths of
legal rights index, Property Rights = additive inverse of property rights index, Institutional Context = additive
inverse of strengths of legal rights index + property rights index
Table 4: Descriptive statistics
Table 5 shows a Pearson correlation matrix, which can be used to obtain a first
impression of the potential relationship between the variables used in this study. The
correlation between Credit Access1 and AQ is significantly positive (0,09, p < 0,01),
which is consistent with the expectation that access to credit increases with accruals
quality. Further, the variable Firm Type is positively correlated with Credit Access1
(0,05, p < 0,01), indicating that private firms have sufficient access to credit. Both
proxies Creditor Protection and Property Rights show a negative correlation with Credit
Access1 (-0,09; -0,02), statistically significant at the 1% level. This is in line with the
prediction that access to credit is more restricted in countries with weak legal systems.
31
The variables Size, Tangibility and Performance are positively correlated with the
access to credit proxies, which is consistent with the expectations based on the
literature study. Surprisingly, firm Age shows an insignificant correlation with the first
proxy for credit access and even a negative association with the second one. This
strongly contradicts previous academic research arguing that age is one of the major
determinants of financial constraints (Mulier et al., 2016; Lamont et al., 2001; Whited
& Wu, 2006). Interestingly, old and large companies seem to have higher earnings
quality, as AQ shows a significant positive correlation with firm Age and Size.
Nevertheless, no conclusions should be drawn from the correlation matrix. Therefore,
more advanced analyses are conducted in the following section.
32
Table 5: Correlation matrix
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)
(1) Credit Access1 1,00
(2) Credit Access2 0,27*** 1,00
(3) AQ 0,09*** 0,00 1,00
(4) Firm Type 0,05*** 0,03*** -0,04*** 1,00
(5) Age 0,00 -0,02*** 0,04*** -0,48*** 1,00
(6) Size 0,08*** 0,00 0,03*** -0,47*** 0,58*** 1,000
(7) Liquidity -0,26*** -0,14*** -0,05*** -0,01* -0,03*** -0,12*** 1,00
(8) Tangibility 0,29*** 0,10*** 0,00 0,18*** -0,06*** -0,05*** -0,26*** 1,00
(9) Sales Growth -0,01 0,03*** -0,01 -0,00 -0,01 0,02*** 0,02*** -0,01** 1,00
(10) Leverage 1,00*** 0,28*** 0,09*** 0,05*** 0,00 0,08*** -0,26*** 0,29*** -0,00 1,00
(11) Performance 0,18*** 0,07*** 0,34*** -0,01* 0,01** -0,02*** -0,13*** 0,07*** -0,04*** 0,18*** 1,00
(12) Creditor
Protection
-0,09*** -0,04*** 0,04*** -0,33*** -0,10*** -0,07*** -0,01** -0,16*** -0,00 -0,09*** 0,03*** 1,00
(13) Property Rights -0,02*** -0,02*** 0,06*** -0,29*** -0,00 0,02*** -0,08*** -0,12*** 0,00 -0,02*** 0,06*** 0,87***
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level
** Statistically significant at the 5 % level
*** Statistically significant at the 1 % level
Table 5: Correlation matrix
33
5.2. Earnings quality and firms’ access to credit
The use of longitudinal data in this study leads to the likely effect of correlated error
terms over observations, therefore the requirements of an OLS regression cannot be
met (Neter, Kutner, Nachtsheim & Wasserman, 1996). To control for these cross-
sectional correlations, time-series standard errors of the estimated coefficients are
used as proposed by Fama & McBeth (1973). Fama McBeth (1973) regressions are
preferred to fixed effect models in this study, as the earnings quality of a firm is unlikely
to fluctuate substantially over time (Vander Bauwhede et al., 2015). The regression
procedure suggested by Fama & McBeth (1973) involves the execution of year-specific
OLS regressions, whose coefficients will then be aggregated into coefficients and
standard errors across years. Thus, the obtained coefficients represent the unweighted
average of the OLS coefficients and the standard errors are measured as the standard
deviation of OLS coefficients divided by the square of the sample’s number of years
(Fama & MacBeth, 1973). This provides a control for time effects under circumstances
where fixed effects models for panel data cannot be used (Vander Bauwhede et al.,
2015).
To test Hypothesis 1, the first access to credit proxy is regressed on the explanatory
variable earnings quality as indicated in equation (1). Due to the high collinearity
between Leverage and Credit Access1, the control variable is excluded from this model.
Table 6 gives an overview of the regression results. The table shows two specifications,
a basic model and a full model. Column three reports the results of the basic model,
which includes only the relevant control variables of regression (1). The fourth column
depicts the full model, where the basic model is extended with the accruals quality
variable. Both model specifications contain industry and country controls, where the
largest industry (NACE code F42 – civil engineering) and the country with the highest
representation (Sweden) serve as base cases.
The regression results of the full model in table 6 show that the AQ metric coefficient
(0,224) is highly statistically significant at the 5% level. Adding the earnings quality
proxy to the basic model also increases the average R2 from 0,1851 to 0,1917. This
indicates that adding the AQ metric improves the explanatory power of the model.
34
This leads to the conclusion that the proxy for financial reporting quality is able to
explain an additional part of the variation in credit access in contrast to the more
established credit accessibility determinants.
The regression results further indicate that the expected relationship between earnings
quality and credit access holds, as the predicted coefficient of the AQ variable has a
positive sign and is highly statistically significant (0,224, p < 0,05). As higher values of
the AQ variable indicate higher earnings quality, an increase in AQ has a positive
impact on credit access. Consequently, the results can be interpreted as support for
Hypothesis 1. It can be stated that the positive relationship between financial reporting
quality and access to credit as indicated by Ding et al. (2016) for Chinese private firms
and García-Teruel et al. (2014) for private Spanish firms also holds for public and
private European companies.
With regard to the control variables used in this study, most of them show the expected
relationship with credit access and all of them are statistically significant. Size shows
a positive correlation with credit access (0,013, p < 0,01), which supports the
argumentation in literature that larger companies benefit from better external finance
accessibility and that firm size is one of the most reliable determinants of financing
obstacles (Beck & Demirguc-Kunt, 2006; Hovakimian et al., 2001). Surprisingly, Age
shows a very low negative coefficient (-0,001, p < 0,01). This contradicts the point of
view in academic research that older firms tend to be less informationally opaque and
thus get easier access to the loan market (Mulier et al., 2016; Whited & Wu, 2006).
This could be explained by the relationship theory, which predicts that close firm-bank
relationships can be developed by young, private companies and increase their
likelihood to obtain loans (Berger & Udell, 1995). The control variable Liquidity is
significantly and negatively related to the dependent variable (-0,329, p < 0,01),
confirming the pecking-order theory argument that internal funds are preferred over
external finance (Donaldson, 1961). Thus, European companies who are more liquid
tend to have less demand for external debt. This can also explain the negative
association between Performance and credit availability (-0,082, p < 0,01), as more
profitable firms are able to generate higher amounts of retained earnings and internal
funds to finance their investments. These results are in line with the findings of García-
Teruel et al. (2014), who stated that Spanish companies with high profitability and cash
flow from operations borrow less from banks.
35
In contrast with the prediction, Sales Growth appears to have a positive relationship
with access to credit and is statistically significant at the 10% level. This could indicate
that growing sales can represent a positive signal to credit institutions about a
company’s operational business. As this could enhance a firm’s risk assessment, the
bank could offer eased credit access.
Table 6 Access to credit – Fama McBeth (1973) regressions
Dependent variable Credit Access1
Basic model Full model
Exp. sign Coefficient p value Coefficient p value
Constant 0,148*** 0,000 0,129*** 0,000
AQ + 0,224** 0,034
Firm Type - 0,018*** 0,000 0,018*** 0,000
Size + 0,012*** 0,000 0,013*** 0,000
Age + -0,001*** 0,000 -0,001*** 0,000
Liquidity - -0,330*** 0,000 -0,329*** 0,000
Tangibility + 0,229*** 0,000 0,232*** 0,000
Sales Growth - 0,014** 0,010 0,013* 0,052
Performance +/- -0,101*** 0,000 -0,082*** 0,000
Observations 42.435 Observations 33.005
Average R2 0,1851 Average R2 0,1917
F statistic 48,58 F statistic 60,61
Prob > F 0,000 Prob > F 0,000
Credit Access1 = total debt/total assets, AQ: see section 3; Research design, Firm Type = dummy
variable taking 1 if firm type is private – 0 otherwise, Size = ln(total assets), Age = number of years since
inception, Liquidity = cash & CE/total assets, Tangibility = total fixed assets/total assets, Sales Growth
= year-over-year percentage growth in sales, Performance = dummy variable taking 1 if net income is
positive – 0 otherwise, Industry and country dummies are included in both models – the largest industry
(NACE code F42 – civil engineering) and the country with the highest representation (Sweden) serve
as base cases. The test variable of interest is highlighted in bold letters.
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level
** Statistically significant at the 5 % level
*** Statistically significant at the 1 % level Table 6: Access to credit – Fama McBeth (1973) regressions
36
Next to Fama McBeth (1973) regressions, which are popular in earnings quality
research (Ball & Shivakumar, 2005; Francis et al., 2004; Vander Bauwhede et al.,
2015), a second method is considered to estimate regression (1). As the dependent
variable Credit Access1 is constructed as a ratio and is therefore bound between 0 and
1, a Tobit regression represents an appropriate econometric analysis tool. The model
used in this study follows the approach used by Li, Lou, Otto & Wittenberg Moerman
(2016), who investigated the relationship between accounting quality and debt
concentration. The Tobit model is censored at 1 and 0. It further includes n-1 year,
industry and country dummies. The additional Tobit regression results draw in essence
the same picture as the findings concluded from the Fama McBeth regression.
Accruals quality again reports a positive and highly significant correlation with access
to credit (0,193, p < 0,01), which provides additional support for Hypothesis 1. The
variable Performance shows the only difference. It seems to have a positive correlation
with the availability of external debt. This is in line with the argumentation that more
profitable firms have a higher repayment capacity and will therefore be evaluated as
less risky by lenders (Binks & Ennew, 1996). The regression findings are reported in
Appendix A, table A.1. Overall, the variance inflation factor (VIF), which is used as an
indicator of multicollinearity, is well below the accepted guideline of 10 for all the
specified regression models (Cohen, Cohen, West & Aiken, 2003).
To confirm the results stated above, regression model (1) is re-estimated by using a
different proxy for credit access. Following the argumentation of Meuleman & De
Maeseneire (2012), a proxy for credit availability should only focus on substantial
financing events. Thus, the dependent variable Credit Access2 is coded as 1 if the
increase in total debt of a company exceeds 5% of total assets in a year and 0
otherwise. As this entails a binominal outcome of the metric, a logit panel model has
to be used. In this context, the approach suggested by Meuleman & De Maeseneire
(2012) is followed. Therefore, regression (1) is re-estimated under the application of a
conditional fixed effects model. The findings from the fixed effects model are presented
in table 7. In contrast to the Fama McBeth (1973) and Tobit regressions, the findings
of the fixed effects model display a negative relation between accruals quality and
credit access (-1,277, p < 0,01). Thus, firms with higher earnings quality seem to be
engaged in a lower number of major financing events.
37
The results regarding the other control variables remain practically the same, however
the variable Firm Type cannot be analysed because it gets omitted in a fixed effects
model due to its stability over time. It has to be mentioned that the findings of a fixed
effects model should be interpreted with caution, because AQ is generally expected to
be rather stable over time (Vander Bauwhede et al., 2015). Furthermore, the
specification shows an extremely low Log Likelihood, indicating a low explanatory
power of the model. As earnings quality, firm type and institutional context are all
expected to stay generally stable over time, Fama McBeth (1973) and Tobit
regressions are preferred over using a conditional fixed effects model to test
hypotheses two and three in the following sections.
Table 7 Access to credit – Conditional fixed effects logit model
Dependent variable Credit Access2
Exp. sign Coefficient p value
AQ + -1,277*** 0,000
Firm Type - 0 (omitted)
Size + 1,420*** 0,000
Age + -0,033*** 0,000
Liquidity - -1,867*** 0,000
Tangibility + 1,530*** 0,000
Sales Growth - 0,231*** 0,000
Performance +/- -0,082*** 0,000
Observations 21.245
Log likelihood -7767
Credit Access2 = dependent variable takes 1 if increase in total debt exceeds 5% of total
assets – 0 otherwise, AQ: see section 3; Research design, Firm Type = dummy variable
taking 1 if firm type is private – 0 otherwise, Size = ln(total assets), Age = number of years
since inception, Liquidity = cash & CE/total assets, Tangibility = total fixed assets/total
assets, Sales Growth = year-over-year percentage growth in sales, Performance = dummy
variable taking 1 if net income is positive – 0 otherwise. The test variable of interest is
highlighted in bold letters.
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level
** Statistically significant at the 5 % level
*** Statistically significant at the 1 % level Table 7: Access to credit – Conditional fixed effects logit model
38
5.3. Moderating effect of firm type
To further investigate the relationship between earnings quality and European
companies’ access to credit, the interaction term AQ*Firm Type is included in the
regression model. This variable should help to examine whether firm type moderates
the previously evaluated association. Thus, the interaction term should identify if
private firms can reduce their asymmetric information problems through high financial
reporting quality in a more pronounced manner than public companies. To test this
effect, regression model (2) is estimated by using Fama & McBeth (1973) regressions.
The findings are shown in table 8, where Panel A reports the regression results for a
specification without the interaction term and Panel B presents the outputs after
including AQ*Firm Type.
After the inclusion of the interaction term between accruals quality and firm type, the
overall result that higher earnings quality increases access to credit remains
unchanged. AQ still shows a statistically significant positive coefficient (0,314, p < 0,10).
However, the interaction term AQ*Firm Type indicates a negative relationship with
credit availability, but is statistically insignificant (-0,139, p > 0,10). Again, the results
are robust to using Tobit models instead of Fama McBeth (1973) regressions. When a
Tobit specification is used to test the moderating effect of firm type, the results also
report a negative and insignificant coefficient on the interaction term AQ*Firm Type (-
0,042, p > 0,10). The Tobit coefficients for regression model (2) are reported in Panel
B of Table A.1, Appendix A. Consequently, no evidence is found to support Hypothesis
2. Thus, high earnings quality does not seem to play an especially important role in
enhancing private European companies’ access to credit by mitigating asymmetric
information problems. This can be due to the fact that private firms in this sample seem
to have higher debt to total assets ratios, indicating that their access to finance is not
restricted compared to public firms when the Credit Access1 proxy in line with García-
Teruel et al. (2014) and Ding et al. (2016) is used. This could be explained by the
relationship banking theory, which suggests that small firms are able to establish closer
relationships with their lenders compared to larger companies. This proximity between
creditor and borrower can ease monitoring and screening efforts for the bank and
therefore mitigates information asymmetry issues (Boot, 2000).
39
The ‘soft’ information obtained through lenders’ on-going relationships with borrowers
may be an alternative source of information (Petersen & Rajan, 1994, 2002) relative to
earnings quality. Such ‘soft’ information, which includes a loan officer’s perception of
the potential borrower’s capability and trustworthiness, can substantially reduce
information asymmetry issues for private firms (Berger & Udell, 1995). According to
Berger (1999), the financial intermediary is able to gather additional information about
a private company beyond what is publicly available. The relevance of this theory was
further demonstrated by Bharath et al. (2007), who showed that the probability of a
relationship lender providing a future loan lies at 42%, while for a non-relationship
lender, this probability is with only 3% considerably lower. Therefore, close and
mutually beneficial relationships with their banks could be a tool of higher relevance to
reduce adverse selection issues of private firms compared to high earnings quality.
This theory could also represent a reason why European private firms do not seem to
face more restricted access to credit compared to public companies.
40
Table 8 Moderating effect of firm type – Fama McBeth (1973) regressions
Dependent Variable Credit Access1
Panel A Panel B
Exp. sign Coefficient p value Coefficient p value
Constant 0,129*** 0,000 0,046*** 0,002
AQ + 0,224** 0,034 0,314* 0,089
Firm Type - 0,018*** 0,000 0,019*** 0,000
AQ*Firm Type + -0,139 0,281
Size + 0,013*** 0,000 0,013*** 0,000
Age + -0,001*** 0,000 -0,001*** 0,000
Liquidity - -0,329*** 0,000 -0,330*** 0,000
Tangibility + 0,232*** 0,000 0,231*** 0,000
Sales Growth - 0,013* 0,052 0,013* 0,056
Performance +/- -0,082*** 0,000 0,083*** 0,000
Observations 33.005 Observations 33.005
Average R2 0,1917 Average R2 0,1930
F statistic 60,61 F statistic 75,45
Prob > F 0,000 Prob > F 0,000
Credit Access1 = total debt/total assets, AQ: see section 3; Research design, AQ*Firm Type =
interaction term between AQ and Firm Type, Firm Type = dummy variable taking 1 if firm type is private
– 0 otherwise, Size = ln(total assets), Age = number of years since inception, Liquidity = cash & CE/total
assets, Tangibility = total fixed assets/total assets, Sales Growth = year-over-year percentage growth
in sales, Performance = dummy variable taking 1 if net income is positive – 0 otherwise, Industry and
country dummies are included in both models – the largest industry (NACE code F42 – civil engineering)
and the country with the highest representation (Sweden) serve as base cases. The test variables of
interest are highlighted in bold letters.
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level
** Statistically significant at the 5 % level
*** Statistically significant at the 1 % level Table 8: Moderating effect of firm type
41
5.4. Moderating effect of institutional context
To test Hypothesis 3 and evaluate the moderating effect of different institutional
contexts across European countries on the AC-EQ relationship, Fama & McBeth (1973)
regressions are applied again. In this context, the first access to credit proxy (Credit
Access1) is regressed on the predictor variable earnings quality (AQ) and the
interaction term between earnings quality and the institutional context proxies (Creditor
Protection, Property Rights and Institutional Context). Control variables as well as
industry dummies are included in the model.
First, the impact of creditor protection on the relationship between earnings quality and
access to credit within the European Union is tested by estimating regression
specification (3). The results are summarized in table 9, Panel A. The findings clarify
that the metric Creditor Protection has a negative relationship with Credit Access1 (-
0,011), which is statistically significant at the 1% level. As high scores demonstrate
that a country has weak creditor protection rights, this indicates that in European
countries with weak legal systems companies face a more restricted access to credit.
This supports the research of Haselmann et al. (2010), who argue that changes in the
legal system of a country that lead to an improvement in creditor protection laws
increases overall bank lending. In addition, the regression results indicate that creditor
protection rights have a moderating function on the association between earnings
quality and credit access, as the interaction term AQ*Creditor Protection shows a
positive sign (0,029). Thus, in countries with weak legal systems, earnings quality can
help to enhance a firm’s access to credit. However, the interaction term is not
statistically significant.
Secondly, the potential enforcing effect of weak property protection rights within
Europe on the AC-EQ relationship is investigated by estimating regression model (4).
The test outcomes are presented in table 9, Panel B. Again, the coefficient for Property
Rights is negative (-0,001, p > 0,10). As high values represent weak property rights
index scores, this result shows that firms who operate in countries with weak legal
systems face lower credit accessibility. The interaction term AQ*Property Rights on the
other hand is characterized by a positive sign (0,013, p < 0,10).
42
This demonstrates that in countries with weak property rights protection, increased
earnings quality is an especially important tool that can help to enhance a European
company’s access to credit. Thus, the positive relationship between high earnings
quality and access to credit is more pronounced in countries with weak property rights.
Since the interaction term is positive and significant at the 10% level, it can be
interpreted as evidence to support Hypothesis 3.
Lastly, as argued by BAE & Goyal (2009), the combination of creditor and property
right protection within a country is also important to investigate, as both metrics jointly
effect bank lending. Table 9, Pancel C reports the regression results with the combined
variable Institutional Context, embodying both creditor protection and property rights
proxies. It can be highlighted that AQ shows a positive relationship with access to credit
in all model specifications. This provides further support for Hypothesis 1. Additionally,
the regression output indicates a negative and significant coefficient for the variable
Institutional Context (-0,002, p < 0,05). Thus, when both creditor and property
protection laws are weak within a country, the availability of loans is more restricted for
European companies. This is in line with the findings of BAE & Goyal (2009), who
found that a combination of strong property rights and strong creditor protection laws
results in additional decreases in loan interest rate spreads and are therefore beneficial
for firms. The found relationship between institutional context and credit access is also
similar to the conclusions of Moro et al. (2016), who stated that the probability of
accessing credit is up to 40% higher in countries with stronger legal systems.
Moreover, the interaction term AQ*Institutional Context shows a positive association
with Credit Access1 (0,011), significant at the 10% level. This again demonstrates that
the relationship between earnings quality and credit access is influenced by the
institutional context of a country. Specifically, the regression output indicates that firms
operating in environments with weak creditor and property rights protection are
especially able to increase their likelihood to obtain credit through high earnings quality.
The results could be backed by the argument that strong legal systems are associated
with less earnings management in European firms (Burgstahler et al., 2006). If
earnings quality is overall lower in countries with weak legal systems, the benefit for a
company with more precise earnings figures could be increased as banks could value
accurate information more in riskier environments.
43
As reduced asymmetric information and better prediction of future repayment capacity
decreases the risk exposure of the lender, a firm with high earnings quality will find it
easier to obtain loans. Consequently, high earnings quality will improve a company’s
access to credit and this relationship is more pronounced in countries with weak legal
systems.
Table 9 Moderating effect of institutional context – Fama McBeth (1973) regressions
Dependent Variable: Credit Access1
Panel A Panel B Panel C
Exp. sign Coeff. p value Coeff. p value Coeff. p value
Constant 0,003 0,692 0,016** 0,043 0,011 0,137
AQ + 0,392* 0,078 1,308** 0,047 1,213** 0,048
Creditor Protection - -0,011*** 0,000
AQ*Creditor Protection + 0,029 0,278
Property Rights - -0,001 0,293
AQ*Property Rights + 0,013* 0,053
Institutional Context - -0,002** 0,049
AQ*Institutional Context + 0,011* 0,056
Firm Type - 0,014*** 0,000 0,031*** 0,000 0,029*** 0,000
Size + 0,013*** 0,000 0,014*** 0,000 0,014*** 0,000
Age + -0,001*** 0,000 -0,001*** 0,000 -0,001*** 0,000
Liquidity - -0,338*** 0,000 -0,333*** 0,000 -0,334*** 0,000
Tangibility + 0,233*** 0,000 0,240*** 0,000 0,239*** 0,000
Sales Growth - 0,012** 0,043 0,012** 0,028 0,012** 0,029
Performance +/- 0,084*** 0,000 0,084*** 0,000 0,085*** 0,000
Observ. 33.005 Observ. 33.005 Observ. 33.005
Avg. R2 0,1799 Avg. R2 0,1805 Avg. R2 0,1808
F statistic 365,17 F statistic 51,81 F statistic 49,89
Prob > F 0,000 Prob > F 0,000 Prob > F 0,000
Credit Access1 = total debt/total assets, AQ: see section 3; Research design, Creditor Protection = additive inverse
of strengths of legal rights index, AQ*Creditor Protection = interaction term between AQ and Creditor Protection,
Property Rights = additive inverse of property rights index, AQ*Property Rights = interaction term between AQ and
Property Rights, Institutional Context = additive inverse of strengths of legal rights index + property rights index,
AQ*Institutional Context = interaction term between AQ and Institutional Context, Firm Type = dummy variable
taking 1 if firm type is private – 0 otherwise, Size = ln(total assets), Age = number of years since inception, Liquidity
= cash & CE/total assets, Tangibility = total fixed assets/total assets, Sales Growth = year-over-year percentage
growth in sales, Performance = dummy variable taking 1 if net income is positive – 0 otherwise. Industry dummies
are included in both models – the largest industry (NACE code F42 – civil engineering) serves as base case. The
test variables of interest are highlighted in bold letters.
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level ** Statistically significant at the 5 % level *** Statistically significant at
the 1 % level
Table 9: Moderating effect of institutional context
44
These findings are confirmed by applying Tobit regression specifications. In this model,
all three proxies for the quality of the legal system within a country, Creditor Protection,
Property Rights and Institutional Context, are significantly negatively related to credit
access (-0,012, p < 0,01; -0,001, p < 0,01; -0,001, p < 0,01). This indicates again that
in countries with weak legal protection of creditor and property rights, overall credit
availability is lower. Moreover, all three interaction terms with AQ show a statistically
significant, positive relationship with Credit Access1 (0,019, p < 0,10; 0,005, p < 0,01;
0,004, p < 0,01). The Tobit regression results further confirm that firms who are
operating in environments with weak legal systems are able to mitigate their financial
constraints through reporting high quality accounting information in a more pronounced
manner. Consequently, it can be interpreted as additional evidence for Hypothesis 3.
The regression outcomes are presented in Appendix A, Table A.2.
In summary, this study offers evidence to support the expected impact of institutional
context on the AC-EQ relationship and thus Hypothesis 3 is not rejected.
5.5. Robustness check
To confirm the robustness of the above reported results, the empirical tests are
repeated with an additional proxy for access to credit. A different approach on
estimating the availability of external debt is given in financial constraints literature
(Fazzari et al., 1988; Kaplan & Zingales, 1997; Lamont et al., 2001). If a firm is
financially constrained, it cannot find sufficient external financing to realize its value
adding investments (Behr et al., 2013; Denis & Sibilkov, 2010). Thus, measuring the
likeliness a firm will face financial constraints represents an interesting avenue to
measure credit access. Previous literature suggests various approaches to measure
financial constraints, including investment-cash flow sensitivities (Fazzari et al., 1988),
the Kaplan and Zingales Index (KZ) (Kaplan & Zingales, 1997; Lamont et al., 2001) or
the Whited and Wu Index (WW) (Whited & Wu, 2006). For a literature review of
financial constraint proxies, see Hadlock & Pierce (2010). The Kaplan and Zingales
Index, constructed following Lamont et al. (2001), is one of the most commonly used
approaches in financial constraints research (Farre-Mensa & Ljungqvist, 2016;
Hadlock & Pierce, 2010).
45
However, Hadlock & Pierce (2010) found evidence that previous measures of financial
constraints like the KZ index and the WW index lack explanatory power. They therefore
suggest the use of a simplified index, which focuses on two major constraints
determinants – firm size and age. The financial constraints metric by Hadlock & Pierce
(2010) is called Size-Age (SA) index and is calculated as follows:
(7) SA Index = (-0,737* Size) + (0,043* Size2) - (0,040*Age)
In this equation, size represents the log of the book value of total assets. The variable
age is defined as the number of years since inception. The higher the score for a
specific firm in year t, the more financially constrained that company is. The index is
calculated for each sample firm within each year and represents the variable SA Index.
The major limitation of the Size-Age index is that it was constructed by using a sample
of US listed companies between 1995 and 2004. Similarly, also KZ and WW indices
were established by a sample of US listed companies (Lamont et al., 2001; Whited &
Wu, 2006). Therefore, the financial constraints indices might not be perfectly suited to
estimate financing obstacles of private firms. Nevertheless, the indices were previously
also used in academic literature to capture the degree of financial constraints for
private companies (Behr et al., 2013; Mulier et al., 2016).
As the SA index represents a firm’s financial constraint, with higher values indicating
more restricted access to credit, the expected signs of the regression coefficients for
predictor and control variables change to the opposite. Consequently, firms with higher
AQ are expected to be less financially constrained and thus have better access to
credit. Private European companies are argued to be more informationally opaque
(Berger & Udell, 1998) and should therefore face more severe constraints. As a new
proxy to measure credit access across Europe, the SA index is regressed against
regression specification (1), to test the robustness of the results for Hypothesis 1. As
the variables Size and Age are used to calculate the SA index, the control variables
are excluded from this model.
The results show a similar picture to the previous findings and are reported in table 10,
Panel A. The variable AQ shows a negative coefficient (-0,351) with a significance level
of 5%. Again, as a high score for AQ indicates high earnings quality, better financial
reporting quality reduces the financial obstacles a European firm faces. This provides
additional support for Hypothesis 1.
46
Further, private European firms seem to be more financially constrained than their
public peers, as the coefficient for Firm Type is positive (0,889) and highly statistically
significant at the 1% level. This is in line with previous research of Berger & Udell (1998)
and Hovakimian et al. (2001). Additionally, high liquidity, tangibility and performance
are firm characteristics that mitigate financial constraints, as they all show negative
and significant coefficients in the estimated model. High leverage on the other hand
increases the financial obstacles a European company has to deal with and thus
reduces its credit accessibility. These results confirm the expected impact of the control
variables on access to credit discussed in section 3.1: Variable measurement.
Table 10, Panel B further provides the results of regression equation (2), designed to
test the moderating effect of firm type on the relationship between credit access and
earnings quality. The findings are again similar to the previous outcomes with the
dependent variable Credit Access1. Interestingly, the coefficient for the interaction term
AQ*Firm Type has a negative coefficient (-0,045). This backs the argumentation that
especially private firms can use high earnings quality as a tool to reduce their credit
constraints. Nevertheless, as in section 5.3: Impact of firm type, the coefficient is not
statistically significant and thus Hypothesis 2 is rejected.
Moreover, the robustness of the results for the moderating effect of institutional context
on the AC-EQ association is checked by estimating regression (5) with the SA Index
as dependent variable. The findings report again that higher AQ is connected with
reduced financial constraints. Also, the positive coefficient on the Firm Type variable
(0,804) is highly significant in this model specification. Most interestingly, however, is
the confirmed result that European companies located in weak legal system countries
are confronted with higher degrees of credit constraint. This can be concluded from
the positive coefficient for Institutional Context (0,005, p < 0,01), because a weak score
for creditor and property protection laws in a country is associated with higher degrees
of financial constraints. As the interaction term AQ*Institutional Context is negative (-
0,039) and statistically significant at the 1% level, it can be argued that especially firms
with high EQ in a weak legal environment are able to decrease their financing obstacles.
As a result, the robustness check is able to support the finding that higher earnings
quality can mitigate the negative effect of weak legal systems on credit access.
47
Thus, the positive relationship between earnings quality and access to credit is more
pronounced in European countries with a low degree of creditor and property rights
protection. These findings provide further support for Hypothesis 3.
Table 10 Robustness check – SA Index
Dependent variable SA Index
Panel A Panel B Panel C
Exp.
sign
Coeff.
p value
Coeff.
p value
Coeff.
p value
Constant -5,130*** 0,000 -5,130*** 0,000 -4,477*** 0,000
AQ - -0,351** 0,015 -0,374 0,177 -3,367*** 0,003
Firm Type + 0,889*** 0,000 0,889*** 0,000 0,804*** 0,000
AQ*Firm Type - -0,045 0,872
Institutional
Context
+ 0,005*** 0,000
AQ*Institutional
Context
- -0,039*** 0,007
Liquidity - -0,153*** 0,002 -0,151*** 0,002 -0,119*** 0,008
Tangibility - -0,169*** 0,000 -0,169*** 0,000 -0,286*** 0,000
Sales Growth + 0,024 0,225 0,025 0,220 0,027 0,263
Performance - -0,047** 0,025 -0,048** 0,023 -0,055** 0,035
Leverage + 0,233*** 0,000 0,235*** 0,000 0,106*** 0,000
Observ. 33.005 Observ. 33.005 Observ. 33.005
Avg. R2 0,3481 Avg. R2 0,3485 Avg. R2 0,2328
F statistic 8609,60 F statistic 6241,62 F statistic 4597,32
Prob > F 0,000 Prob > F 0,000 Prob > F 0,000
SA Index = (-0,737* Size) + (0,043* Size2) - (0,040*Age) – where Size is log(total assets) and Age is the number
of years since inception, AQ: see section 3; Research design, Firm Type = dummy variable taking 1 if firm type
is private – 0 otherwise, AQ*Firm Type = interaction term between AQ and Firm Type, Liquidity = cash &
CE/total assets, Tangibility = total fixed assets/total assets, Sales Growth = year-over-year percentage growth
in sales, Performance = dummy variable taking 1 if net income is positive – 0 otherwise, Leverage = total
debt/total assets, Industry and country dummies are included – the largest industry (NACE code F42 – civil
engineering) and the country with the highest representation (Sweden) serve as base cases. The test variables
of interest are highlighted in bold letters.
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level
** Statistically significant at the 5 % level
*** Statistically significant at the 1 % level
Table 10: Robustness check – SA Index
48
The results for regression (1), (2) and (3) are further robust to using the standard
deviation approach of measuring accruals quality. AQ_SD is calculated by taking the
standard deviation of the AQ metric over years t-4 until t. As higher values for AQ_SD
should again indicate higher accruals quality, the variable is multiplied by (-1). This
measurement is most commonly used in academic research in the field of accruals
quality (Core et al., 2008; Doyle et al., 2007; Francis et al., 2005). Nevertheless, this
calculation method reduces the sample size of this study substantially, from 33.005 to
14.145 observations over the years 2013-2015. The results are reported in table B.1,
Appendix B.
Furthermore, it is interesting to analyse whether the results of this study are driven by
a specific country, as Sweden and the United Kingdom account for around 50% of the
European sample. To examine if the estimated relationship between earnings quality
and access to credit also holds for the non-dominant countries in this sample, the Fama
McBeth (1973) regressions are re-exercised for a subsample that only includes the
non-dominant countries, i.e. excludes Sweden and the UK. Italy, as the remaining
country with the highest sample representation, functions as base case for the included
country dummies.
The results are reported in table 11. Panel A shows the outputs of regression
specification (1). Accruals quality is positively associated with Credit Access1 (0,282,
p < 0,05). This can be interpreted as evidence that the positive AC-EQ relationship is
also present in the non-dominant countries of this sample. Again, no empirical support
can be found for Hypothesis 2, because the interaction term between AQ and Firm
Type is statistically insignificant (-0,251, p > 0,10). The variable Institutional Context
presents again a negative coefficient (-0,001), demonstrating that weak legal systems
have a negative association with credit accessibility. This result is also highly
statistically significant at the 1% level. Finally, the interaction term between AQ and
Institutional Context reports a positive coefficient (0,018, p < 0,05), which further
supports Hypothesis 3 and the fact that the AC-EQ relationship is more pronounced in
countries with weak legal systems. To summarize, the found results seem to hold for
non-dominant EU15 countries as well, demonstrating that the findings are not driven
by one particular country in this sample. Additional results for the regression
specifications with the variables Creditor Protection and Property Rights are presented
in Appendix C, table C.1 and are in line with the previous findings.
49
Table 11 Robustness check – country subsample
Dependent variable Credit Access 1
Panel A
non-dominant countries
Panel B
non-dominant countries
Panel C
non-dominant countries
Exp. sign Coefficient p value Coefficient p value Coefficient p value
Constant 0,078*** 0,000 0,077*** 0,000 0,110*** 0,000
AQ + 0,282** 0,024 0,377** 0,033 1,681** 0,038
Firm Type - -0,005 0,128 -0,003 0,258
AQ*Firm Type + -0,251 0,104
Institutional Context - -0,001*** 0,007
AQ*Institutional Context + 0,018** 0,041
Size + 0,009*** 0,000 0,009*** 0,000 0,010*** 0,003
Age + -0,000 0,610 -0,000 0,721 0,008*** 0,000
Liquidity - -0,313*** 0,000 -0,313*** 0,000 0,001*** 0,000
Tangibility + 0,152*** 0,000 0,151*** 0,000 -0,334*** 0,000
Sales Growth - 0,008 0,268 0,008 0,266 0,169*** 0,000
Performance +/- 0,045*** 0,001 0,045*** 0,001 0,008 0,164
Observations 14.996 Observations 14.966 0,047*** 0,001
Average R2 0,1752 Average R2 0,1772 Observations 14.966
F statistic 9,81 F statistic 80,61 Average R2 0,1636
Prob > F 0,004 Prob > F 0,000 F statistic 40,95
Prob > F 0,000
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level
** Statistically significant at the 5 % level
*** Statistically significant at the 1 % level
Table 11: Robustness check – country subsample
50
6. CONCLUSION
This study extends existing literature on access to credit by analysing the relationship
between earnings quality and credit access on a balanced sample of 4.715 public and
private European companies over a seven-year period (2009-2015). Firstly, evidence
is presented that a positive relationship between high earnings quality and access to
external finance exists. Firms seem to be able to reduce their asymmetric information
exposure by reporting more accurate accounting information. More adequate financial
reporting information can ease lenders risk assessment process, as more precise
earnings enable them to better predict a firms’ future repayment capacity.
Consequently, firms with high-quality financial reporting inherit less information risk
and thus benefit from enhanced access to credit. This confirms that the results of Ding
et al. (2016) and García-Teruel et al. (2014) hold in a European setting for both public
and private firms.
Secondly, this study adds to current literature by being the first of its kind to further
investigate the relationship between access to credit and earnings quality by examining
the aspects of firm type and institutional context. The results show that the listing status
of a European company does not influence the found association. This indicates that
high quality accounting information reduces external financing constraints for both
public and private companies in the same manner. These findings may be explained
by relationship banking theory, which predicts that small, private firms are able to
establish close connections with credit institutions and can reduce their informational
opaqueness in this way (Boot, 2000; Petersen and Rajan, 1994, 2002; Berger & Udell,
1995; Bharath et al., 2007). Therefore, close and mutually beneficial relationships with
banks could be a preferred instrument to reduce adverse selection issues for private
firms relative to high quality accounting information.
Institutional context, on the other hand, seems to have a significant moderating effect
on the AC-EQ association. This study’s results highlight that the relationship between
access to credit and earnings quality is more pronounced in European countries with
weak legal systems. Thus, high earnings quality seems to be especially beneficial for
companies which operate in countries with lacking creditor and property right
protection.
51
As previous research already identified, overall earnings management tends to be
higher, i.e. earnings quality tends to be lower, in countries with weak legal systems
(Burgstahler et al., 2006). It can be argued that the benefit of reducing information
asymmetries through high-quality earnings in these riskier environments for lenders is
especially high. The economic relevance of these findings is highly significant, as the
findings demonstrate that European companies can rely on high earnings quality to
mitigate information asymmetry issues and ease their access to credit. It further could
help policymakers to formulate strategies about how financing obstacles across the
European Union can be reduced.
The concluding point of this study is that the association between access to credit and
earnings quality is a complex one, which should be interpreted under consideration of
potential moderating effects.
52
7. LIMITATIONS AND AVENUES FOR FUTURE RESEARCH
Some limitations apply to this study, which might bias the overall findings and influence
the validity of this research. Nevertheless, these limitations also point out several
interesting avenues for future academic research.
As mentioned earlier, a main limitation of this study is connected to the applied
sampling process. As Sweden (34%), the United Kingdom (21%), Italy (10%) and
France (10%) represent the majority of the sample, this study can most likely not be
regarded as a perfect descriptive for the unobservable population of European public
and private companies. This can be explained by the significant coverage bias of the
Orbis Europe and Amadeus databanks, which was already described by previous
scholars (Gassen & Fülbier, 2015; Peek et al., 2010). As the data providers receive
only publicly available financial statements in accordance with domestic disclosure
laws and regulations, differences in compliance requirements across European
countries contribute to this coverage bias (Gassen & Fülbier, 2015). Consequently, it
would be interesting for future research to cover a more extended European sample in
order to verify the presented results. In this context, it also has to be stated that the
results of this European study cannot easily be generalized to other countries. To
address this external validity issue, future academic investigations are welcome to test
the relationship between access to credit and earnings quality for various regions
across the world. As Asia is, for example, one of the fastest growing economic areas
nowadays, it would represent an interesting research setting.
Another limitation of this study represents a possible survivorship bias, since firms with
missing values over the study period are excluded from the sample in order to receive
a balanced panel of 4.715 European firms. Companies who failed to survive can be
assumed to have had restricted access to external finance due to their bad business
situation and assumable lack of financial performance. Since those firms would likely
have been denied further access to external credit regardless of their financial
reporting quality, this does not represent a crucial issue for this study.
Further attention also needs to be drawn to the use of the absolute value of accrual
residuals as a proxy for earnings quality in favour of the standard deviation approach.
53
Typically, the standard deviation measurement is preferred in extant literature,
because sizable accrual residuals do not necessarily pose a crucial threat if they are
consistently large (Francis et al., 2005). In addition, industry specific factors might
explain systematically large residuals (Vander Bauwhede et al., 2015). As the main
reason for the AQ metric choice are the severe data requirements, it might be
interesting for future research to analyse an extended time-period and thus test the
predicted associations by applying the standard deviation method. Moreover, it would
be interesting to examine if the found relationship between access to credit and
earnings quality holds when different proxies for earnings quality are used. Similarly,
instead of measuring access to credit based on quantitative data, carrying out surveys
can represent a possible way to determine the degree to which European firms face
financing obstacles (Bai et al., 2006; Hersch et al., 1997). A different approach to
measuring financial constraints could also represent the recently designed ASCL index
by Mulier et al. (2016). As their constraints metric is constructed based on a sample of
unlisted European SMEs, it provides an excellent opportunity to investigate the AC-EQ
relationship in a setting with small and medium sized companies.
Additionally, future research could examine other potential factors that can influence
the relationship between access to credit and earnings quality. As this study focuses
exclusively on creditor and property protection rights, different aspects of legal systems
and institutional context can be evaluated. For example, investigating the relationship
under the aspect of common and civil legislation can be a possible avenue for future
research. As the political influence on accounting regulations differs between common
and civil law countries (Ball, Kothari & Robin, 2000), both systems have different effects
on earnings properties. Thus, the degree in which this political influence on accounting
regulations effects the AC-EQ association represents another interesting topic for
forthcoming investigations. Another possible avenue for future research is the
introduction of new accounting standards itself. In July 2009 International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS) specifically for SMEs were published, but the European
Union still discusses how these standards should be implemented in its member states
(Gassen & Fülbier, 2015). As the role of International Financial Reporting Standards
and the domestic accounting regulation for SMEs differ within the European Union
(Hope, 2015) it would also be interesting for future research to examine the effects of
changing accounting legislation on credit access.
VII
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XVI
APPENDICES
Appendix A: Access to credit regressions using Tobit
Table A.1 Access to credit and moderating effect of firm type - Tobit regression
Dependent variable CreditAccess1
Panel A Panel B
Exp. sign Coefficient p value Coefficient p value
Constant 0,119*** 0,000 0,119*** 0,000
AQ + 0,193*** 0,000 0,219*** 0,000
AQ*Firm Type + -0,042 0,237
Firm Type - 0,010*** 0,006 0,010*** 0,005
Size + 0,017*** 0,000 0,016*** 0,000
Age + -0,001*** 0,000 -0,001*** 0,000
Liquidity - -0,476*** 0,000 -0,476*** 0,000
Tangibility + 0,276*** 0,000 0,276*** 0,000
Sales Growth - 0,002* 0,056 0,002* 0,056
Performance +/- 0,618*** 0,000 0,061*** 0,000
Observations 33.005 Observations 33.005
Log likelihood 619,76 Log likelihood 620,46
Credit Access1 = total debt/total assets, AQ: see section 3; Research design, AQ*Firm Type =
Interaction term between AQ and Firm Type, Firm Type = dummy variable taking 1 if firm type is
private – 0 otherwise, Size = ln(total assets), Age = number of years since inception, Liquidity =
cash & CE/Total assets, Tangibility = total fixed assets/total assets, Sales Growth = year-over-
year percentage growth in sales, Performance = dummy variable taking 1 if net income is positive
– 0 otherwise, Industry, country and year dummies are included in both models – the largest
industry (NACE code F42 – civil engineering) and the country with the highest representation
(Sweden) serve as base cases. The test variables of interest are highlighted in bold letters.
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level
** Statistically significant at the 5 % level
*** Statistically significant at the 1 % level
XVII
Table A.2 Moderating effect of institutional context - Tobit regressions
Dependent Variable: Credit Access1
Panel A Panel B Panel C
Exp. sign Coeff. p value Coeff. p value Coeff. p value
Constant 0,003 0,820 -0,002 0,867 -0,005 0,668
AQ + 0,310*** 0,000 0,583*** 0,000 0,561*** 0,000
Creditor
Protection
- -0,012*** 0,000
AQ*Creditor Protection + 0,019* 0,066
Property Rights - -0,001*** 0,000
AQ*Property Rights + 0,005*** 0,000
Institutional Context - -0,001*** 0,000
AQ*Institutional Context + 0,004*** 0,000
Firm Type - 0,005 0,112 0,020*** 0,000 0,019*** 0,000
Size + 0,017*** 0,000 0,018*** 0,000 0,018*** 0,000
Age + -0,001*** 0,000 -0,001*** 0,000 -0,001*** 0,000
Liquidity - -0,479*** 0,000 -0,478*** 0,000 -0,476*** 0,000
Tangibility + 0,275*** 0,000 0,282*** 0,000 0,281*** 0,000
Sales Growth - 0,002** 0,033 0,002** 0,027 0,002** 0,027
Performance +/- 0,063*** 0,000 0,063*** 0,000 0,062*** 0,000
Observ. 33.005 Observ. 33.005 Observ. 33.005
Log likelihood 333,95 Log likelihood 244,41 Log likelihood 249,59
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level ** Statistically significant at the 5 % level *** Statistically significant at the 1 % level
XVIII
Appendix B: Robustness check with AQ_SD variable
Table B.1 Robustness check with AQ_SD variable
Dependent variable SA Index
Panel A Panel B Panel C
Exp. sign Coeff. p value Coeff. p value Coeff. p value
Constant 0,08*** 0,000 0,013*** 0,000 -4,025*** 0,000
AQ_SD - -0,846** 0,029 -0,527* 0,076 -2,893* 0,091
Firm Type + 0,868*** 0,000 0,847*** 0,000 0,868*** 0,000
AQ_SD*Firm Type - -0,539 0,135
Creditor Protection + 0,197*** 0,001
AQ_SD*Creditor
Protection
- -0,372** 0,028
Liquidity - -0,162*** 0,001 -0,162*** 0,001 -0,159*** 0,002
Tangibility - -0,130*** 0,004 -0,127*** 0,003 -0,128*** 0,004
Sales Growth + 0,016 0,325 0,017 0,330 0,015 0,315
Performance - -0,102** 0,028 -0,102** 0,028 -0,103** 0,028
Leverage + 0,206*** 0,003 0,206*** 0,003 0,208*** 0,003
Observ. 14.145 Observ. 14.145 Observ. 14.145
Avg. R2 0,3304 Avg. R2 0,3305 Avg. R2 0,3308
F statistic 1361,76 F statistic 14,82 F statistic 166,59
Prob > F 0,000 Prob > F 0,006 Prob > F 0,006
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level ** Statistically significant at the 5 % level *** Statistically significant at the 1 % level
XIX
Appendix C: Robustness check with non-dominant countries
Table C.1 Robustness check – country subsample
Dependent Variable: Credit Access1
Panel A Panel B
Exp.
sign
Coeff.
p value
Coeff.
p value
Constant 0,086*** 0,000 0,116*** 0,000
AQ + 0,687** 0,036 1,753** 0,038
Creditor Protection - -0,006*** 0,000
AQ*Creditor Protection + 0,093* 0,058
Property Rights - -0,000*** 0,003
AQ*Property Rights + 0,020** 0,041
Firm Type - 0,007** 0,015 0,010*** 0,004
Size + 0,007*** 0,000 0,008*** 0,000
Age + 0,001*** 0,000 0,001*** 0,000
Liquidity - -0,344*** 0,000 -0,332*** 0,000
Tangibility + 0,165*** 0,000 0,169*** 0,000
Sales Growth - 0,009 0,190 0,008 0,167
Performance +/- 0,049*** 0,001 0,047*** 0,001
Observ. 14.996 Observ. 14.996
Avg. R2 0,1565 Avg. R2 0,1645
F statistic 54,36 F statistic 40,22
Prob > F 0,000 Prob > F 0,000
Credit Access1 = total debt/total assets, AQ: see section 3; Research design, Creditor Protection =
additive inverse of strengths of legal rights index, AQ*Creditor Protection = interaction term between AQ
and Creditor Protection, Property Rights = additive inverse of property rights index, AQ*Property Rights
= interaction term between AQ and Property Rights, Firm Type = dummy variable taking 1 if firm type is
private – 0 otherwise, Size = ln(total assets), Age = number of years since inception, Liquidity = cash &
CE/total assets, Tangibility = total fixed assets/total assets, Sales Growth = year-over-year percentage
growth in sales, Performance = dummy variable taking 1 if net income is positive – 0 otherwise, Industry
dummies are included in both models – the largest industry (NACE code F42 – civil engineering) serves
as base case. The test variables of interest are highlighted in bold letters.
* Statistically significant at the 10 % level
** Statistically significant at the 5 % level
*** Statistically significant at the 1 % level