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TRANSCRIPT
Yoshinori MoriyamaDeputy Director-General for Nuclear Accident Measur es
Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency (NISA)
Measures against Earthquakes and Tsunamis in View of the Accident at
Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station
Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency
Ministry of Economy, Trade and
Industry
IEM 3: International Expert’s Meeting (Earthquakes /
Tsunamis)4-7 September, 2012
Vienna
I. Impact of the Earthquake / Tsunami on Fukushima D aiichi Nuclear Power Station
II. Situation of Seismic Safety Assessment Activity in Japan before the Great East Japan Earthquake
III. Re-investigation of Earthquakes / Tsunamis Asse ssment based on Findings and Lessons from the Earthquake / Tsunami
IV. Approaches and Implementation of Safety Counterm easures related to Earthquakes/ Tsunamis
V. Conclusion
Contents
1
3
I.(1) Outline of the Accident at Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station
Fukushima Dai-ichi NPS
Occurrence: 14:46 March 11, 2011
Mw (moment magnitude): 9.0
Epicenter: approximately 130km off the coast of Sanriku (at 38.10 degrees north latitude, 142.86 degrees east longitude and 23.7km deep)
Table. Generation Facilities at Fukushima Dai-ichi NPS
Unit 1
Unit 2
Unit 3
Unit 4
Unit 5
Unit 6
Electric output (MWe) 460 784 784 784 784 1100
Commercial operation 1971/3
1974/7
1976/3
1978/10
1978/4
1979/10
Reactor model BWR3
BWR4 BWR5
PCV model Mark-1 Mark-2
Number of fuel assemblies in the core
400 548 548 548 548 764
Max. Acceleration Values Observed in Reactor Buildings of each Unit
Loc. of seismometer(bottom floor of
reactor bld.)
Record Max. response acceleration to the design basis ground
motion Ss (Gal)Max. acceleration (Gal)
NS EW UD NS EW UD
FukushimaDaiichi
Unit 1 460*1 447*1 258*1 487 489 412Unit 2 348*1 550*1 302*1 441 438 420Unit 3 322*1 507*1 231*1 449 441 429Unit 4 281*1 319*1 200*1 447 445 422Unit 5 311*1 548*1 256*1 452 452 427Unit 6 298*1 444*1 244 445 448 415
4
*1:Each recording was interrupted at around 130-150(s) from recording start time*2:1Gal=0.01m/s2 , 981Gal=1G
I.(1) Outline of the Accident at Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station
0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5
0
1000
2000
3000
周 期(秒)
加
速
度
(cm/s )
2
(h=0.05)
Unit2 EWResponse Spectrum
LegendObservedDBGM Ss-1DBGM Ss-2DBGM Ss-3
Acc
eler
atio
n (g
al)
Period (s)
Text added by NISA to published materials from Niigata Prefectural Technology Committee and Google
Flooding
Counterflow
5
Assumed Height and Actual Height of Tsunami in Fukushima Dai-ichi NPS
Fukushima Daiichi
I.(1) Outline of the Accident at Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station
修正中
〔Fukushima Daiichi NPS〕
10m
Destructive flood
Sea water pumps were flooded. Damage to the buildings was slight.
D/G in the basement submerged.
The inundation heightapproximately 15m
Onahama Port
5.7m
4m
Progress of the Accident (Outline Common to Units 1-3)
Automatic reactor shutdown due to earthquake, loss of off-site power supply
(Only one of emergency air cooling DGs in Unit 6 maintained its function)
� Emergency diesel generator started up and power supply was secured.
� Reactor was cooled by core cooling system.
Most of electric systems including emergency diesel generators and switchboards were unavailable due to tsunami.
Hydrogen explosions occurred in reactor buildings at Units 1, 3 and 4.
Soaking / depletion of battery, depletion of compressed air, etc.
Shutdown of core cooling system
Fuels were exposed and melt down while cooling was not conducted.
6
I.(1) Outline of the Accident at Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station
(On March 13, Unit 5 received power supply from Unit 6 on emergency basis. )
Station Blackout
7
ReactorPressure VesselControl Rods(Insertionality)
Core support structures
Main Steam System Piping
Reactor ContainmentVessel
RHRSPump
Residual HeatRemoval System Piping
I. (2) Impact of Earthquake on Facility
Estimated that facilities had remained in a state to maintain safety function at and immediately after earthquake.
Assessed by seismic response analysis using observation record.
Conducted field validation for #5, which was not affected by hydrogen explosion or radiation.
“Cooling”� Residual Heat Removal System Pump� Residual Heat Removal System Piping
“Containing”� Reactor Pressure Vessel� Main Steam System Piping� Reactor Containment Vessel
“Stopping”� Control rods
(Insertionality)� Core support structures
Major 7 facilitiesOn-site check ( In PCV unit 5 )
8
I. (2) Impact of Earthquake on Facility
Investigate whether temperature and / or pressure in pressure vessel or containment vessel varies in the case of slight leakage caused by damage to piping, etc.
No significant difference in Reactor Pressure and Water Level in case of leak area less than 0.3cm 2
RPV
ICICICIC
SR/VSR/VSR/VSR/V
RPV
ICICICIC
SR/VSR/VSR/VSR/VAssumed Leak Point (((( ))))
Analysis of Leakage from PLR-B line ((((0.1~~~~0.3cm2)))) Fukushima Daiichi Unit-1
Sensitivity Analysis
Comparison with actualplant behavior
PLR-A PLR-B
Reactor Pressure and Water Level((((RELAP5))))
TIME TIME
RP
V P
ress
ure
[MP
a,g]
Leve
l abo
ve T
AF
[m
m]
-6000-6000-6000-6000
-4000-4000-4000-4000
-2000-2000-2000-2000
0000
2000200020002000
4000400040004000
6000600060006000
8000800080008000
3/11 14:453/11 14:453/11 14:453/11 14:45 3/11 15:003/11 15:003/11 15:003/11 15:00 3/11 15:153/11 15:153/11 15:153/11 15:15 3/11 15:303/11 15:303/11 15:303/11 15:30 3/11 15:453/11 15:453/11 15:453/11 15:45 3/11 16:003/11 16:003/11 16:003/11 16:00
Plant data (NR)Plant data (NR)Plant data (NR)Plant data (NR)
Zero LEAK (Analysis)Zero LEAK (Analysis)Zero LEAK (Analysis)Zero LEAK (Analysis)
0.1cm2 (Analysis)0.1cm2 (Analysis)0.1cm2 (Analysis)0.1cm2 (Analysis)
0.3cm2 (Analysis)0.3cm2 (Analysis)0.3cm2 (Analysis)0.3cm2 (Analysis)
Reactor Water Level
0.00.00.00.0
1.01.01.01.0
2.02.02.02.0
3.03.03.03.0
4.04.04.04.0
5.05.05.05.0
6.06.06.06.0
7.07.07.07.0
8.08.08.08.0
3/11 14:453/11 14:453/11 14:453/11 14:45 3/11 15:003/11 15:003/11 15:003/11 15:00 3/11 15:153/11 15:153/11 15:153/11 15:15 3/11 15:303/11 15:303/11 15:303/11 15:30 3/11 15:453/11 15:453/11 15:453/11 15:45 3/11 16:003/11 16:003/11 16:003/11 16:00
Plant dataPlant dataPlant dataPlant data
Zero LEAK (Analysis)Zero LEAK (Analysis)Zero LEAK (Analysis)Zero LEAK (Analysis)
0.1cm2 (Analysis)0.1cm2 (Analysis)0.1cm2 (Analysis)0.1cm2 (Analysis)
0.3cm2 (Analysis)0.3cm2 (Analysis)0.3cm2 (Analysis)0.3cm2 (Analysis)
EarthquakeEarthquakeEarthquakeEarthquake
SCRAMSCRAMSCRAMSCRAM
IC StartIC StartIC StartIC Start
IC manually StopIC manually StopIC manually StopIC manually Stop
IC manually Start/StopIC manually Start/StopIC manually Start/StopIC manually Start/Stop
(3 times)(3 times)(3 times)(3 times)
Recording Stop due to TsunamiRecording Stop due to TsunamiRecording Stop due to TsunamiRecording Stop due to Tsunami
Reactor Pressure
Changes of plant parameters in case of micro leakage (0.1 - 0.3cm2) after earthquake
9
Conclusion of assessment at this moment
I. (2) Impact of Earthquake on Facility
- It is estimated that major facilities with functions important for safety remained in a state to maintain required safety functions at and immediately after the earthquake.
- It remains, however, uncertain at this moment whether such damage that caused slight leakage to major facilities with functions important for safety occurred due to impact of this earthquake.
It is necessary to continue investigation on the impact of the earthquake.
II. Situation of Seismic Safety Assessment Activity in Japan before the Great East Japan Earthquake
10
� Consider active fault 50,000 years ago
� Expect “Earthquake occurring directly underneath” with a magnitude of 6.5.
� Conduct survey of active faults by means of literature searching, aerial photo Interpretation, field survey, etc.
� Ground motion assessment by empirical formula based on earthquake scale and distance from epicenter (Response-spectra)
� In addition to attenuation relation, adopt extensively a fault model as ground motion assessment method.
� In addition to conventional investigation, conduct comprehensive active faults investigation using geomorphology.
� Extended to “120,000 -130,000 years ago”
� Establish more severe “Ground motion developed with non-identified seismic source ”.
Require development of design basis ground motion taking latest knowledge into consideration
Former guideline New Regulatory guide by 2006 amendment
II. (1) Revision of Seismic Design Regulatory Guide
Further, concept of “Residual Risk” is introduced.11
Phenomena accompanying earthquake
・ Tsunami, Surrounding slope stability
September 19, 2006Nuclear Safety Commission amended seismic design re view guide
July 16, 2007Chuetsu - Oki Earthquake occurred in Niigata Prefect ure.
II. (2) Outline of Seismic Back Check
12
September 20,2006
NISA required the nuclear operators to re- evaluate seismic design of all existing NPPs according to revised guide. (Back Check)・Geological survey・Re-evaluation of
Design basis ground motion (Ss) →Seismic safety of NPP facilityGround stabilityPhenomena accompanied with earthquake (Tsunami, Slope stability)
Nuclear operators started re-evaluation.
II.(3) Post- Chuetsu - Oki Earthquake Response
Date and time of occurrence: July 16, 2007Around 10:13 a.m.
Epicenter:Offshore Chuetsu, Niigata PrefectureScale of earthquake: moment magnitude 6.6Depth of epicenter:17 kmEpicentral distance : Kashiwazaki-Kariwa NPS –Epicenter approximately 16 km
Outline of Chuetsu - Oki Earthquake
Observed Value
SN Direction EW DirectionUp-and-Down
Direction
#1 Unit 311(274) 680(273) 408(235)
#2 Unit 304(167) 606(167) 282(235)
#3 Unit 308(192) 384(193) 311(235)
#4 Unit 310(193) 492(194) 337(235)
#5 Unit 277(249) 442(254) 205(235)
#6 Unit 271(263) 322(263) 488(235)
#7 Unit 267(263) 356(263) 355(235)
( ) indicates acceleration expected at design (Unit:Gal)
Maximum acceleration observed on the reactor building base mat at Kashiwazaki-Kariwa NPS
10km
30km
Epicenter
KK site
10km
30km
Epicenter
Power Station
0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10
0.5
1
2
5
10
20
50
100
200
500
1000
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
(c
m
/
s )
2
0
.0
1
0
.1
1
1
0
(c
m
)
周 期(秒)
(h=0.05)
Velocity(cm
/s)
Response spectrum derived
from general attenuation
equation
6 times
Average of observed record
Period (Sec)
Comparison between response spectrum derived
from general attenuation equation from the scale
of Chuetsu-oki Earthquake ( Black line) and that
observed ( Blue line)
Unit 1 (EW)Unit 2 (EW)Unit 3 (EW)Unit 4 (EW)
“1 Unit Observed record :680 GalExpected response at design:273 Gal Approx. 2.5 times
(Observed example)Observed response significantly beyond expectation at design
13
II. (2) Outline of Seismic Back Check
14
September 19, 2006Nuclear Safety Commission amended seismic design review guide
September 20, 2006NISA directed operators to conduct safety assessment of existing nuclear facilities
March 2008Operators submitted interim reports of back check, etc.
July 16, 2007 Chuetsu - Oki Earthquake occurred in Niigata Prefect ure.
NISA compiled knowledge and findings from Chuetsu-oki Earthquake and directed the nuclear operators to follow ( December 2007).
March 11, 2011The Great East Japan Earthquake occurred .
III. Re-investigation of Earthquakes / Tsunamis bas ed on Findings and Lessons from the Earthquake / Tsunami
15
16
III. (1) Characteristics of the Earthquake / Tsunami
It is estimated that the epicenter of the earthquake was in the area offshore of Miyagi Prefecture, the depth of the epicenter was 24 km, the earthquake scale was a moment magnitude of 9.0, the source area was 400 km or more and the width of the fault was 200 km.
It is estimated that plate rupture commenced from the epicenter in the area offshore of Miyagi Prefecture and propagated to multiple epicenter areas, linking each other .
At this moment, the following appears to represent the characteristics of the earthquake / tsunami:
( JMA 5th report with modification by JNES)
M9.0
15:08,Mar. 111km, M7.5
15:25,Mar. 1134km, M7.4
15:15,Mar. 1128km, M7.3
14:46,Mar. 1124km, M9.0
Sou
rce
area
Distribution of aftershocks occurring in about 8 hours after the main shock
17
III. (1) Characteristics of the Earthquake / Tsunami (Cont.)
At this moment, the following appears to represent the characteristics of the earthquake / tsunami: (Cont.)
A wide-area earthquake occurred triggered by a rupture in an area offshore of Miyagi Prefecture because a boundary at a shallow plate along the Japan trench had been fixed and accumulated a long-year deformation, despite the traditional idea that no significant deformation should exist there due to gradual slippage.
Although this was an earthquake of super-large scale with a moment magnitude of 9 from the viewpoint of long-period seismic motion, it had the same characteristics as an earthquake of a moment magnitude class of 8 from the viewpoint of short-period seismic motion.
It is highly possible that the factor which affected the tsunami water level was a combined effect of large slippage (55 m – less than 70 m) in a shallow area along the Japan trench and tsunami water level caused by propagation with time delay during destruction linkage of multiple source areas.
Conduct re-assessment of earthquake / tsunami
18
III. (2) Revision of Regulatory Guide by Nuclear Safety Commission
Contents to be added regarding safety assessment ag ainst Tsunamis
� The design standard tsunami shall be formed considering tsunami of the maximum scale based on the generation mechanism of tsunami and examination of the effects of propagation of tsunami, and then, it should be assumed to have significant impact to facilities.
� Basic concept should be to prevent tsunami from flooding into the site, etc. (so-called “Dry Site ”). In this case, flooding from intake openings, discharge, etc. where preventing from seawater inundation is difficult shall be limited to the extent that safety function of facilities shall not be affected.
Contents to be added regarding seismic motion asses sment
� Consideration of uncertainty (dispersion) such as an source area and/or scale of an earthquake between plates and an earthquake in an ocean plate.
� Safety of facilities against ground structure deformation and fault displacement caused by an earthquake shall be validated.
19
III. (3) Initiative of NISA
(3)-1 Consideration of Guidelines for Safety against Tsunamis
Investigate more specific guideline on assessment of tsunami height, etc.
� Estimate tsunami height, considering;・Appropriate occurrence frequency ・Overlapping of waves with different frequency ・Tsunami sediments
� Consider ・Destructive wave force, water immersion height and water
immersion range, etc. for design of tide embankment, watertight doors, etc.
� From the viewpoint of defense-in-depth, recognizing the existence of risk due to tsunami hitting beyond the design base of facilities, countermeasures should be taken to prevent serious damage to core and fuel in fuel pool.
Tom
ari P
S
20
III. (3) Initiative of NISA
(3)-2 Investigation on Linkage of Active Faults
Detailed investigation was conducted on situation of tectonics, stress, etc. regarding faults of which possibility of linkage had been denied.
Tomari Power Station ::::
Assume linkage with an active fault in sea area in front of site (approximately 160 km).
Kashiwazaki-Kariwa NPS ::::
Assume linkage with Nagaoka Plains West Edge Fault Belt (Approximately 130 km).
91km
41km
132km
In addition, uncertainty ( stress drop 1.5 times etc.) to be assumed.
Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Station
Kakuda Yahiko Fault
Kehinomiya Fault
Katagai Fault
Tookamachi Fault Belt western part
21
III. (3) Initiative of NISA(3) -3 Consideration of Uncertainty in Seismic Motion Assessment
Sufficient geographic, geological, geophysical investigation to establish basic source model.
Uncertainties still remain.
3 categories of uncertainties
- Epistemological uncertainty due to lack of data or knowledge.- Aleatory uncertainty due to natural phenomenon.- Uncertainty associated with modeling.
It is necessary to fully investigate what type of uncertainty exists regarding each parameter to establish a source model such as fault length, fault dip and stress drop.
Reflecting experts’ opinions.
IV. Approaches and Implementation of Safety Countermeasures related to Earthquakes / Tsunamis
22
Immediate safety measuresStress testInvestigation of countermeasures against earthquakes / tsunami based on this accident.Countermeasures against severe accidents (external events)Back-fitting system
23
IV. (1) Outline of Immediate Safety Measures
Goals (Desired Level/Extent)
Examples of Specific Measures (Short Term Measures)
Preventing fuel damage and spent fuel damage even if AC power supplies, seawater cooling functions and spent-fuel storage pool cooling functions are all lost.
Securing Equipment
� Deploying power generator vehicles� Deploying fire engines� Deploying fire hoses
Preparing procedural manuals for emergency responses utilizing the above-mentioned equipment
Implementing training for emergency responses based on the procedural manuals
Primary assessmentEvaluate safety margins of safety systems, structures and components to endure the events beyond design basis, for nuclear power plants under periodic inspection and ready for start-up.
Secondary assessmentConduct comprehensive safety assessment to identify potential weak points for all nuclear power plants, as done in European Stress Test.
24
IV. (2) Stress Test in Japan
In order to improve the safety of nuclear power plants and to secure the assurance and trust of the general public and local residents in particular, NISA implements safety assessments in reference to the stress tests implemented in European countries.
Objectives
Summary
25
IV. (3) Consideration of Countermeasures against Earthquakes / Tsunamis based on This Accident
Examples of countermeasures against Earthquakes / Tsunamis to be taken in the future in line with occurrence and sequence of the accident.
Countermeasures concerning offsite power
� From the viewpoint to lower risk of severe accidents;・ Enhance seismic and against-tsunami reliability of offsite power systems
and substation facilitiesOuter power grid : tower, foundationOffsite power station: switch gear, transformer, their baseSwitchyard: switch gear, transformer, their base, tie-line between units
Power facilities and cooling facilities inside pow er station
� For common cause failure;Dispersed facility arrangement ;
Different location (elevation)In different building
� For resistance against flooding; Water tightness of buildings and electric power panelsWater resistant power line
� For emergency cooling;Portable alternative residual heat removal system which is not affected by earthquakes or tsunamis.
26
Natural hazard Aircraft crash Terrorism
IV. (4) Countermeasures against Severe Accidents (External Hazards)
Basic idea of response to external hazards
Intensity
Early detectionShutdown・power down
Durability (actual)
Tolerance
Specific safety equipment
•Seismic isolation,•Dispersion•Watertight structure,•Diversification (Water-cooled + Air cooled)
•Recovery•Alternative equipments (mobile)
Maintenance of safety function
Margin
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
All SSCswith safety
function
Frequency of accidents
•Robustness•Dispersion
(Not-considered)
(* unit: reactor・year)
Detection
Delay
Management
Detection
Protection, Isolation
Security order
Intentional
(Commonalities?)
(to external events)
Isolation, Dispersion
(from external events)
Safety function
Recovery, Alternatives
(≦10-7
)* (>10-7
)*
SpecialSafety Facility(Temporaryname)
27
IV. (5) Back-Fit System
There is now no legal system in Japan that requires back-fit for items related to basic designs such as design ground motion.
Back fit system is to be introduced in line with the legal system revisions based on the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear accident;
・Requiring as legal obligation・Implementing by setting deadline
Important to promptly apply new scientific knowledge to safety measures.
V. Conclusion
28
A lot of factors that affected Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power station due to the earthquake and tsunami have been identified.
However, it is not yet sufficient because of the difficulties in accessing the plant site, and continuous examination should be pursued.
Effort will be made;
- To accumulate scientific knowledge of earthquakes and tsunamis
- To incorporate this knowledge into the safety measures for nuclear power stations.
- To share results investigated in Japan to the international community through IAEA ISSC program, etc.
- To contribute to incorporating this knowledge to IAEA safety guides, etc.
V. Conclusion (Cont.)
29
Recognizing the existence of uncertainties, implementation of safety measures to compensate for uncertainties are required.
It is important to take a comprehensive approach for the improvement of nuclear power safety as a total system.
- Hazard evaluations of earthquakes and tsunamis- Safety measures such as accident management- Emergency preparedness and disaster mitigation- Risk communication with residents, etc.
It is important to address efforts through cooperation among the specialists of different fields and by sharing knowledge and information.We hope discussion in this IEM 3 will improve the knowledge summarized at 1st Kashiwazaki International symposium on Seismic Safety in 2010.