measures of epidemiology
DESCRIPTION
ÂTRANSCRIPT
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Epidemiology Frequency Measures
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Introduction
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Introduction In epidemiology only 2 categories
(dichotomous variables) are used; e.g.: alive or dead, case or control, exposed or unexposed…etc
Applied dichotomous variables for epidemiology are “Ratios, proportions and rates”.
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Formula Ratio, proportion, rate =X/Y*10n X&Y are 2 quantities that are being
compared The size of n equals 1, 10, 100,
1000… depending upon the value of n.
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Ratios, Proportions, and Rates Compared
All are ratios In a ratio, the values of x and y may be completely
independent, or x may be included in y. For example, the sex of children attending an
immunization clinic could be compared in either of the following ways:
(1) Female/Males (2) Female/All In the first option, x (female) is completely
independent of y (male). In the second, x (female) is included in y (all). Both examples are ratios
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A proportion“A particular type of ratio”
Is a ratio in which x is included in y The 1st example was a “ratio” (x is
not part of y) The 2nd example was a
“proportion” (x is part of y).
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Rate Proportion, with an added dimension. Measures the occurrence of an event
in a population overtime. The basic formula for a rate:no of cases (events) occurring during a
given time period/population at risk during the same time period*10n
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Aspects to notice in this formula The persons in the denominator
must reflect the population from which the cases in the numerator arose.
The counts in the numerator and denominator should cover the same time period.
persons in the denominator must be “at risk” for the event.
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Example175 persons were affected by
specifichealth event. 25 of them were
females.Calculate female-to-male ratio and
thefemales proportion
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•To calculate the ratio:Define x and YX is the females=25Y is the Males=150. Ratio=25/150=1/6Female:male ratio is 1:6
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To calculate the proportion:Define X and YX is the Females=25Y is the total=175The proportion of affected Females=25/175=1/7=0.14
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Rate Is a proportional ratio that measures
anevent in a population over time.
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Uses of Ratios, Proportions, and Rates
To characterize populations by age, sex, race, exposures, and other variables.
describe three aspects of the human condition: morbidity (disease), mortality (death) and natality (birth).
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Morbidity Frequency Measures
Incidence rate Attack rate Secondary attack rate. Point prevalence Period prevalence All of these can be further elaborated
into specific measures for age, race, sex, or some other characteristics.
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Incidence rate “a new case of illness, occurs in a population over a period of time (measure of risk)”.
when one population has a higher incidence of disease than another, i.e.: the first population is at a higher risk of developing disease than the second, all other factors being equal “the first population is a high-risk group relative to the second population”.
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Incidence rate New cases occurring during a
given time period/pop at risk during the same time*10n.
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Notice!!!
the denominator is the population at riskThe period of time must be specified.
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the most appropriate denominator will be one of thefollowing:
Average size of the population over the time period
Size of the population (either total or at risk) at the middle of the time period
Size of the population at the start of the time period
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Prevalence
The proportion of persons in a population who have a particular disease or attribute at a specified point in time or over a specified period of time
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Formula all new and pre - existing cases
during a given time period/population during the same time period*10n
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Incidence rates the most common way of
measuring and comparing the frequency of disease in populations.
It adjust for differences in population sizes.
expresses the probability or risk of illness in a population over a period of time.
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Point period prevalence
The amount of a disease in a population at a single point in time
Provides “snapshot” look at the population with regard to that disease.
The numerator is the number of persons with a particular disease or attribute on a particular date.
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is not an incidence rate, because the numerator includes pre-existing cases
it is a proportion, because the persons in the numerator are also in the denominator.
Point period prevalence
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Period prevalence.
To know how much of a particular disease is present in a population over a longer period
The Numerator: the number of persons who had a particular disease or attribute at any time during a particular interval (week, month, year, decade…etc)
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Comparison of prevalence and incidence
Numerator of Incidence = new cases occurring during a given time period
Numerator of Prevalence = all cases present during a given time period (regardless of when the illness began)
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Attack Rate
A variant of an incidence rate, applied to a narrowly defined population observed for a limited time, such as during an epidemic.
is a proportion—the persons in the numerator are also in the denominator
Measures the probability or risk of becoming a case
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Formula Number of new cases among the
population during the period/Population at risk at the beginning of the period*100
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