measuring development process resilience: a test from northern kenya
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May 15, Side Event "Measuring and Evaluating Resilience in Drylands of East Africa". Presented by ILRI.TRANSCRIPT
Measuring Development Process Resilience: A Test from Northern Kenya
Lance W. Robinson, Jonathan Davies,Polly J. Ericksen, and Simon Mugatha
Building Resilience forFood Nutrition and Security
Addis AbabaMay 2014
Social-Ecological Resilience
“The capacity of a system to absorb disturbance and reorganize while undergoing change so as to still retain essentially the same function, structure, identity, and feedbacks.”
(Walker et al., 2004, p. 5).
Not necessarily desirable. (e.g., poverty traps)
Development Resilience
“The ability of a household to keep with a certain level of well-being (i.e. being food secure) by withstanding shocks and stresses”
(FAO, 2010).
“The capacity to cope with adverse stressors/shocks without adverse development consequences .” (Resilience Measurement Technical Working Group)
Development Resilience
In the face of recurring drought:
• The DRR community focuses on maintaining well-being in the short-term, and
• The development community focuses on interested in improving well-being in the longer term.
Measurement ofDevelopment Resilience
Some Key Principles for Resilience Measurement
Distinguish outcomes of resilience from determinants of resilience
Development resilience is not simplyo The inverse of vulnerabilityo Coping with shocks
More and better data vs. economy and realism --need for a balance
Resilience Measurement:Three Main Types of Data
We need measures of:• The state of human development
(indicators of well-being, and their changes over time),
• Shocks (measures of the extent and severity of shocks such as droughts), and
• Broader social and ecological conditions (indicators of determinants of resilience).
Response of Well-Being To Drought
Drought AB
C
D
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Well-Being
Poverty Line
Drought
Wel
l-Bei
ng In
dex
What Development Resilience IS NOT
Inci
denc
e -%
Marsabit, Kenya
Global Acute Malnutrition Among Children
Moderate Drought
Severe Drought
Extreme Drought
Based on SMART Nutrition Survey Data
Suggested Conceptualization
(mWB after shock x severity of shock) ƒ RD1, RD2, RD3….mWB before shock
WB = Well-beingRD = Resilience determinant
Some final thoughts
• A local-level HDI would have great value
• Resilience thinking (system resilience) has much to offer – let’s not lose sight of its insights
This work contributes to the CGIAR Research Program onDryland Systems.
It is supported by the Technical Consortium (TC) for Ending Drought Emergencies and Building Resilience to Drought1 in the Horn of Africa.
Acknowledgements
The presentation has a Creative Commons license. You are free to re-use or distribute this work, provided credit is given to ILRI.
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