mechanism design, machine learning, and pricing problems

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Maria-Florina Balcan Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems Maria-Florina Balcan 11/13/2007

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Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems. Maria-Florina Balcan. 11/13/2007. Outline. Reduce problems of incentive-compatible mechanism design to standard algorithmic questions. [BBHM05]. Focus on revenue-maximization , unlimited supply . - Digital Good Auction - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

11/13/2007

Page 2: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Outline• Reduce problems of incentive-compatible mechanism design to standard algorithmic questions.

• Focus on revenue-maximization, unlimited supply.

- Digital Good Auction- Attribute Auctions- Combinatorial Auctions• Use ideas from Machine Learning. –Sample Complexity techniques in MLT for analysis.

• Approximation Algorithms for Item Pricing.• Revenue maximization, unlimited supply combinatorial auctions with single-minded consumers

[BBHM05]

[BB06]

Page 3: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

MP3 Selling Problem• We are seller/producer of some digital good

(or any item of fixed marginal cost), e.g. MP3 files. Goal: Profit

Maximization

Page 4: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

MP3 Selling Problem• We are seller/producer of some digital good,

e.g. MP3 files.

• Compete with fixed price.

or…

• Use bidders’ attributes: • country, language, ZIP code, etc.

Goal: Profit Maximization

Digital Good Auction (e.g., [GHW01])

Attribute Auctions [BH05]• Compete with best “simple” function.

Page 5: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Example 2, Boutique Selling Problem

20$

30$30$

5$

25$

20$

100$

1$

Page 6: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Example 2, Boutique Selling Problem

Goal: Profit Maximization

Combinatorial Auctions

• Compete with best item pricing [GH01].

20$

30$30$

5$

25$

20$

100$

1$

(unit demand consumers)

Page 7: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Generic Setting (I)• S set of n bidders.• Bidder i:

– privi (e.g., how much is willing to pay for the MP3 file) – pubi (e.g., ZIP code)

Unlimited supply

Goal: Profit Maximization

Profit of g: ig(i)

• Space of legal offers/pricing functions.

• G - pricing functions.• Goal: IC mech to do nearly as well as the best g 2 G.

• g(i) – profit obtained from making offer g to bidder i

g(i)= p if p · privig(i)= 0 if p>privi

Digital Good

• g maps the pubi to pricing over the outcome space.

g=“ take the good for p, or leave it”

Page 8: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Attribute Auctions• one item for sale in unlimited supply (e.g. MP3 files).• bidder i has public attribute ai 2 X

Example: X=R2, G - linear functions over X

• G - a class of ‘’natural’’ pricing functions.

Attr. space

attributes

valuations

Page 9: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Generic Setting (II)• Our results: reduce IC to AD.

• Algorithm Design: given (privi, pubi), for all i 2 S, find pricing function g 2 G of highest total profit.

• Incentive Compatible mechanism: offer for bidder i based on the public information of S and private info of S n{i}.

• Focus on one-shot mechanisms, off-line setting

Page 10: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Main Results [BBHM05]

• Generic Reductions, unified analysis.

• General Analysis of Attribute Auctions:– not just 1-dimensional

• Combinatorial Auctions: – First results for competing against opt item-pricing

in general case (prev results only for “unit-demand”[GH01])

– Unit demand case: improve prev bound by a factor of m.

could offer great improvement over single price

Page 11: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Basic Reduction: Random Sampling Auction

RSOPF(G,A) Reduction• Bidders submit bids.• Randomly split the bidders into S1 and S2.• Run A on Si to get (nearly optimal) gi 2 G w.r.t. Si.• Apply g1 over S2 and g2 over S1.

SS1

S2

g1=OPT(S1)g2=OPT(S2)

Page 12: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Basic Analysis, RSOPF(G, A)

Theorem 1

1) Consider a fixed g and profit level p. Use McDiarmid ineq. to show:

Proof sketch

Lemma 1

h - maximum valuation, G - finite

Page 13: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Basic Analysis, RSOPF(G,A), cont2) Let gi be the best over Si. Know gi(Si) ¸ g

OPT(Si)/.

In particular,

Using

get that our profit g1(S2) +g2(S1) is at least (1-)OPTG/.

Page 14: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Basic Analysis, RSOPF(G, A)

Theorem 2

Theorem 1

h - maximum valuation, G - finite

Page 15: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Attribute Auctions, RSOPF(Gk, A)

Gk : k markets defined by Voronoi cells around k bidders & fixed price within each market. Assume we discretize prices to powers of (1+).

attributes

Page 16: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Attribute Auctions, RSOPF(Gk, A)

Gk : k markets defined by Voronoi cells around k bidders & fixed price within each market. Assume we discretize prices to powers of (1+).

Corollary (roughly)

Page 17: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Structural Risk Minimization Reduction

SRM Reduction Let

• Randomly split the bidders into S1 and S2.• Compute gi to maximize • Apply g1 over S2 and g2 over S1.

What if we have different functions at different levels of complexity?Don’t know best complexity level in advance.

Theorem

Page 18: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Attribute Auctions, Linear Pricing Functions

Assume X=Rd. N= (n+1)(1/) ln h.|G’| · Nd+1

attributes

valuations

xx

xx

xx

xx

x

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

xx

x xx

xx

xx

x

Page 19: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Covering Arguments

Definition:G’ -covers G wrt to S if for 8 g 9 g’ 2 G’ s.t. 8 i |g(i)-g’(i)| · g(i).

•What if G is infinite w.r.t S?

Use covering arguments: •find G’ that covers G , •show that all functions in G’ behave well

Theorem (roughly)If G’ is -cover of G, then the previous theorems hold with |G| replaced by |G’|.

attributes

valuations

Analysis Techniq

ue

Page 20: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Conclusions and Open Problems [BBHM05]

• Explicit connection between machine learning and mechanism design.

• Use of ideas in MLT for both design and analysis in auction/pricing problems.

• Unique challenges & particularities:•Loss function discontinuous and

asymmetric.•Range of valuations large.

• Apply similar techniques to limited supply.• Study Online Setting.

Open ProblemsOpen Problems

Page 21: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Outline• Reduce problems of incentive-compatible mechanism design to standard algorithmic questions.

• Focus on revenue-maximization, unlimited supply.• Use ideas from Machine Learning.

–Sample Complexity techniques in MLT for analysis.

• Approximation Algorithms for Item Pricing.• Revenue maximization, unlimited supply combinatorial auctions with single-minded bidders

[BBHM05]

[BB06]

Page 22: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Algorithmic Problem, Single-minded Customers

• m item types (coffee, cups, sugar, apples, …), with unlimited supply of each.

• n customers.

• Say all marginal costs to you are 0 [revisit this in a bit], and you know all the (Li, wi) pairs.

• Each customer i has a shopping list Li and will only shop if the total cost of items in Li is at most some amount wi (otherwise he will go elsewhere).

What prices on the items will make you the most money?What prices on the items will make you the most money?

• Easy if all Li are of size 1. • What happens if all Li are of size 2?

Page 23: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Algorithmic Pricing, Single-minded Customers

• A multigraph G with values we on edges e.

• Goal: assign prices on vertices pv¸ 0 to maximize total profit, where:

• APX hard [GHKKKM’05].

10

40

15

2030

5

10

5

Page 24: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

A Simple 2-Approx. in the Bipartite Case

• Goal: assign prices on vertices pv ¸ 0 as to maximize total profit, where:

• Set prices in R to 0 and separately fix prices for each node on L.

• Set prices in L to 0 and separately fix prices for each node on R

• Take the best of both options.

AlgorithmAlgorithm

• Given a multigraph G with values we on edges e.

ProofProof simple!

OPT=OPTL+OPTR

40

152535

15255

L R

Page 25: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

A 4-Approx. for Graph Vertex Pricing

• Goal: assign prices on vertices pv¸ 0 to maximize total profit, where:

• Randomly partition the vertices into two sets L and R.• Ignore the edges whose endpoints are on the same

side and run the alg. for the bipartite case.

AlgorithmAlgorithm

ProofProof In expectation half of OPT’s profit is from edges with one endpoint in L and one endpoint in R.

• Given a multigraph G with values we on edges e.

simple!

10

40

15

2030

5

10

5

Page 26: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Algorithmic Pricing, Single-minded Customers,k-hypergraph Problem

What about lists of size · k?

– Put each node in L with probability 1/k, in R with probability 1 – 1/k.

– Let GOOD = set of edges with exactly one endpoint in L. Set prices in R to 0 and optimize L wrt GOOD.

• Let OPTj,e be revenue OPT makes selling item j to customer e. Let Xj,e be indicator RV for j 2 L & e 2 GOOD.

• Our expected profit at least:

AlgorithmAlgorithm10

15

20

Page 27: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Algorithmic Pricing, Single-minded Customers

• What if items have constant marginal cost to us?

10

40

15

203

5

7

5• We can subtract these from each edge (view

edge as amount willing to pay above our cost).

But, one difference:• Can now imagine selling some items below cost

in order to make more profit overall.

23

32 8• Reduce to previous problem.

Page 28: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Algorithmic Pricing, Single-minded Customers

What if items have constant marginal cost to us?• We can subtract these from each edge (view

edge as amount willing to pay above our cost).• Reduce to previous problem.But, one difference:• Can now imagine selling some items below

cost in order to make more profit overall.

• Previous results only give good approximation wrt best “non-money-losing” prices.

• Can actually give a log(m) gap between the two benchmarks.

4 48

1 12 2

4 48

1 12 2

0 4 4 0

Page 29: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Conclusions and Open Problems [BB06]Summary:• 4 approx for graph case.• O(k) approx for k-hypergraph case.

Improves the O(k2) approximation of Briest and Krysta, SODA’06.

– Also simpler andcan be naturally adapted to the online setting.

• 4 - , o(k).• How well can you do if pricing below cost is allowed?

Open ProblemsOpen Problems

Page 30: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

More On Revenue Maximization in Combinatorial Auctions

• Item Pricing in Unlimited Supply Combinatorial Auctions• General bidders.

• Item Pricing in Limited Supply Combinatorial Auctions• Bidders with subadditive valuations.

[Balcan-Blum-Mansour’07]

[Balcan-Blum-Mansour’07]

Page 31: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

General Bidders

Can extend [GHKKKM05] and get a log-factor approx for general bidders by an item pricing.

There exists a price a p which gives a log(m) +log (n) approximation to the total social welfare.

TheoremTheorem

Can we say anything at all??

Page 32: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

General Bidders

Can we do this via Item Pricing?

• Can extend [GHKKKM05] and get a log-factor approx for general bidders by an item pricing.

Note: if bundle pricing is allowed, can do it easily.– Pick a random admission fee from {1,2,4,8,…,h} to charge everyone.– Once you get in, can get all items for free.

For any bidder, have 1/log chance of getting within factor of 2 of its max valuation.

Page 33: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Unlimited Supply, General BiddersFocus on a single customer. Analyze demand curve.

• Claim 1: # is monotone non-increasing with p.

# items

price

n0

p0=0 p1 p2 pL-1 pL

n1

nL -

-

Page 34: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Unlimited Supply, General BiddersFocus on a single customer. Analyze demand curve.

price

# items n0

p0=0 p1 p2 pL-1 pL

n1

nL -

-

• Claim 2: customer’s max valuation · integral of this curve.

Page 35: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Unlimited Supply, General BiddersFocus on a single customer. Analyze demand curve.

price

n0

p0=0 p1 p2 pL-1 pL

n1

nL -

-

• Claim 2: customer’s max valuation · integral of this curve.

# items

Page 36: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Unlimited Supply, General BiddersFocus on a single customer. Analyze demand curve.

price

n0

p0=0 p1 p2 pL-1 pL

n1

nL -

-

• Claim 2: customer’s max valuation · integral of this curve.

# items

Page 37: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Unlimited Supply, General BiddersFocus on a single customer. Analyze demand curve.

price

n0

p0=0 p1 p2 pL-1 pL

n1

nL -

-

• Claim 2: customer’s max valuation · integral of this curve.

# items

Page 38: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Unlimited Supply, General BiddersFocus on a single customer. Analyze demand curve.

price

n0

p0=0 p1 p2 pL-1 pL

n1

nL -

-

• Claim 2: customer’s max valuation · integral of this curve.

# items

Page 39: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Unlimited Supply, General BiddersFocus on a single customer. Analyze demand curve.

price

n0

0 h/4 h/2 h

n1

nL -

-

• Claim 3: random price in {h, h/2, h/4,…, h/(2n)} gets a log(n)-factor approx.

# items

Page 40: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

What about the limited supply setting?

Page 41: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

What about Limited Supply?Assume one copy of each item.

Fixed Price (p):Set R=J. For each bidder i, in some arbitrary order:

• Let Si be the demanded set of bidder i given the following prices: p for each item in R and for each item in J\R.

• Allocate Si to bidder i and set R=R \ Si.

Goal: Profit Maximization

Assume bidders with subadditive valuations.

Page 42: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Limited Supply, Subadditive Valuations

There exists a single price mechanism whose profit is a approximation to the social welfare.

Can show a lower bound, for =1/4.

[DNS’06], [D’07] show that a single price mechanism provides a logarithmic approx. for social welfare in the submodular, subadditive case.

[DNS’06] show a approximation to the total welfare for bidders with general valuations.

welfare & revenue

Other known results:

welfare

Page 43: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

A Property of Subadditive ValuationsLemma 1Lemma 1

Let (T1, …, Tm) be feasible allocation. There exists (L1, …, Lm) and a price p such that :

(2) (L1, …, Lm) is supported at price p.

(1)

Assume vi subadditive.

Li the subset that bidder i buys in a store where he sees only Ti and every item is priced at p.

Page 44: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Subadditive Valuations, Limited SupplyLemma 1Lemma 1price p such that :

and (L1, …, Lm) is supported at price p.

Lemma 2Lemma 2be the allocation produced by FixedPrice (p/2). Then:

Let (T1, …, Tm) be feasible allocation. 9 (L1, …, Lm) and

Assume (L1, …, Lm) is supported at p and let (S1, …, Sm)

• There exists a single price mechanism whose profit is a

TheoremTheorem

approximation to the social welfare.

Page 45: Mechanism Design, Machine Learning, and Pricing Problems

Maria-Florina Balcan

Summary

• Item Pricing mechanism for limited supply setting.

• Matching upper and lower bounds.