merban stockbrokers ltd - graphic...on the same score eased to gh¢2.30. unilever ghana and fan...
TRANSCRIPT
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Merban Stockbrokers Ltd
(a wholly owned subsidiary of Universal Merchant Bank)
Monthly Financial Markets Review May 2014
Analyst: Nana K. Agyeman Gyamfi
HIGHLIGHTS
Global economy registers uneven growth
Domestic Economy: Pessimism remains inspite of National Economic Forum
91 and 182-Day Bills edge higher
Cedi loses grounds
Stock market rebounds from April’s reverse
Global Economy Registers Uneven Growth
The global economy remained on the growth path during
the month albeit, unevenly. The U.S. and U.K.
strengthened further while Germany also remained
resilient. China and Japan recorded some positives but still
saw some negative numbers.
Hiring remained strong in the U.S. with claims for
unemployment benefits declining. The four-week moving
average of jobless claims was 323,000 in mid-May. A
reading below 350,000 is seen as evidence that the U.S.
economy is adding jobs at a pace strong enough to lower
the unemployment rate.
In the U.K., official data released during the month
confirmed Britain's economy grew by 0.8 percent in Q1 as
households spent more and companies increased
investment at the fastest pace in a year.
In Europe businesses reported a brisk start to the 2Q as
activity picked up at its fastest pace in almost three years.
Retail sales data were also modestly upbeat. There were
however concerns as Germany reported its weakest
manufacturing output in seven months amidst other
worrying economic data.
On the commodities front, concerns about Ukraine
persisted but buoyant economic data released by the U.S.,
China and other advanced countries weighed on the
yellow metal. Gold futures closed the month at
US$1,247.50 an ounce, compared to April’s ending price
of US$1,283.40 an ounce.
Fears about supply disruptions in Libya and geo-political
tension surrounding Ukraine gave crude oil support during
the month. Nonetheless, concerns about slowing growth in
China, stable stockpiles and easing Ukrainian tension saw
crude prices lose grounds to close the month almost flat.
Brent futures rose from US$109.0/barrel at the end of April
to US$109.41/barrel at the end of May.
Cocoa prices rebound from a reverse in April as improving
demand weighed. The bean also gained support from
analysts’ expectation of larger supply deficit in the short-term
due to challenging weather in key growing areas. Cocoa
futures closed the month at £1,949/tonne from
£1,848.33/tonne at the end of April.
Domestic Economy Remains Fragile
Business and consumer sentiments remained at low levels
as key economic indicators continued to underperform during
the month. The local currency continued its downward slide;
inflation and interest rates remain high while erratic power
supply is hampered business plans.
The worrying trend saw Labour Unions call on government
during this year’s May Day celebrations to find bold initiatives
that will reduce the current high unemployment, rising utility
tariffs and escalating fuel prices.
Businesses, which continue to bear the brunt of the present
developments, sustained their clarion call with the Private
Enterprise Foundation (PEF) summing-up the feeling
amongst members as "frustrated", "chaotic" and "uncertain".
Businesses usually begin the year on an optimistic note but
the AGI Business Barometer for Q1, 2014, recorded a
significant dip of 90.13 in business confidence, one of its
lowest in almost 4 years.
A National Economic Forum held during the month with
participants drawn from all sectors of the economy is yet to
assuage the concerns of businesses and other economic
players. Though the Cedi’s volatility has reduced in recent
weeks, some stakeholders claim that the outlook does not
look promising for the local economy.
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Table 1 Selected Economic IndicatorsYear End Dec Mar Apr May
2012 2013 2014 2014 2014
Inflation (y-o-y, %) 8.80 13.5 14.5 14.7
GH¢/US$ 1.8846 2.1616 2.6800 2.7939 2.8920
GH¢/US$ - Depr. (YTD) -15.95 -12.81 -19.35 -22.63 -25.26
BoG Policy Rate (%) 15.00 16.00 18.00 18.00 18.00
91 Day Bill 23.12 19.22 23.69 24.06 24.08
GSE Index (Y-T-D) 23.81 78.81 11.24 5.13 8.11
Revenue & Grants(GH¢ bn) 16.10 19.20 NA NA NA
Tot. Expenditures(GH¢ bn) 24.80 28.60 NA NA NA
GDP Growth (%) 7.90 8.0 NA NA NA
Budget Deficit (GH¢bn) 8.70 9.5 NA NA NA
B. D. (% of GDP) 11.8 9.0 NA NA NA
Tot. Exports(US$ bn) 13.50 13.80 NA NA NA
Tot. Imports(US$bn) 17.80 17.60 NA NA NA
Gross Reserves(US$bn) 5.4 5.6 4.7 NA NA
Gross Reserves (MoI) 3.0 2.9 2.6 NA NA
Cocoa-Futures (£/tonne) 1,480.00 1,726.00 1,865.00 1,848.33 1,949.00
Gold (US$/ounce) 1,675.80 1,200.00 1,284.00 1,283.40 1,247.50
Oil, Brent- Spot (US$/Brl) 111.82 109.95 107.90 109.00 109.41
MOI: Months of Import Cover NA: Not Available; BD: Budjet Deficit
Data: bog.gov.gh, mofep.gov.gh, stats.gov.gh, gse.com.gh, wsj.com, bbc.com, gold.org,
reuters.com, agrimoney.com, www.icco.org, opec.org, bloomberg.com,iea.org
Indicator
STOCK MARKET
The stock market bounced back from its two-month slide
with the indices getting a respite as eight advancers
outmuscled fourteen laggards.
A turnaround in the fortunes of some financials which had
lost grounds in the preceding weeks gave a lift to the
bourse in May. Societe Generale, Ghana Commercial
Bank, Ecobank Ghana, SIC Insurance and CAL Bank all
recorded impressive gains after being under pressure in
the two previous months.
Profit-taking, which had seen the shares of some blue chip
stocks like EBG, SCB, and GCB under pressure in March
and April, also created buying opportunities as their prices
had slipped to bargain levels. Additionally, resilient Q1
results gave a boost to their multiples. As a result, as
investors took advantage of opportunities, demand
improved while in addition orders by some speculators
saw eight equities head north.
Advancers Help Indices Regain Luster
On the back of the aforesaid, the benchmark GSE
Composite Index (GCI) clawed back some grounds as it
rose 63.85 points (2.83%) to 2,319.12. The GCI had
shaved 131.07 points (5.49%) in April and 34.57 points
(1.43%) in March. The return on the market thus improved
to 8.11% from 5.13% at the end of April.
The GSE Financial Index (GFI) was also resolute bagging
121.18 points (6.34%) to 2,033.2, representing a year to
date gain of 13.8%. The Financial Index (GFI) had lost
180.44 points in April. The GFI’s return as a result rose
from 7.02% at the end of April to 13.80%.
Societe Generale Heads Gainers
Societe Generale (SOGEGH) was the lead gainer clawing
back some of the grounds lost during the last two months.
SOGEGH, which peaked at GH¢1.18 in February was
battered in March and April due to profit taking. It however
bounced back this month - as investors went in search of
bargain deals - leaping by 35% (24GHp) to close at 92GHp.
In the same vein, Ghana Commercial Bank and Ecobank
Ghana also gained 25% (GH¢1.01) and 15% (90GHp) to
GH¢5.02 and GH¢6.90 respectively.
HFC Bank, which has been in demand recently, possibly on
the back of the market’s reaction to Republic Bank’s tender
offer extended its northward climb by 16% (20GHp) to
GH¢1.45.
Tullow Oil was also a strong gainer bagging 16% (GH¢4.95)
to GH¢35. Other equities which moved this month were SIC
Insurance which rose to 43GHp; CAL Bank which also
inched up to 88GHp and GOIL which climbed to 90GHp
respectively.
May-14 Apr-14 May-13
GSE Composite Index 2,319.12 2,255.27 1,884.26
Points Gain (Loss) 63.85 (131.07) 83.61
Percent Chg Y-T-D (%) 8.11 5.13 57.06
GSE Financial Index (FSI) 2,033.20 1,912.02 1,665.16
FSI-Points Gain (Loss) 121.18 (180.44) 67.00
FSI-Percent Chg Y-T-D (%) 13.80 7.02 60.13
Vol of Trades (M) 16.62 21.80 20.23
Value of Trades (GH¢M) 27.36 23.84 32.22
Market Capitalization (GH¢M) 57,748.05 57,728.05 55,948.29
No. of advancers 8 5 15
No. of decliners 14 17 5
Table 2: Stock Market Highlights
Market IndicatorMonth End
© MSL Research; Data: GSE
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May-14 Apr-14 Chg May-14 Y-T-D
Societe Generale SOGEGH 0.92 0.68 0.24 ▲ 35.3 22.7
Ghana Comm. Bank GCB 5.02 4.01 1.01 ▲ 25.2 3.5
Tullow Oil TLW 35.00 30.05 4.95 ▲ 16.5 0.1
HFC Bank HFC 1.45 1.25 0.20 ▲ 16.0 51.0
Ecobank Ghana EBG 6.90 6.00 0.90 ▲ 15.0 23.0
SIC Insurance SIC 0.43 0.40 0.03 ▲ 7.5 10.3
CAL Bank CAL 0.88 0.86 0.02 ▲ 2.3 -9.3
Ghana Oil GOIL 0.90 0.89 0.01 ▲ 1.1 1.1
EquityPrice GH ¢ Pct Chg
Table 3: Gainers For the Month
Unilever, Total Amongst Fourteen Laggards
On the other hand, fourteen equities retreated this month
partly as a result of profit taking, selling pressure and
bargain hunting.
Total Petroleum (TOTAL) and Standard Chartered (SCB)
were under selling pressure as some investors went in
search of bargain deals. TOTAL trimmed 0.10% to
GH¢6.40 while SCB shaved 1.07% to GH¢17.90. BOPP
on the same score eased to GH¢2.30.
Unilever Ghana and Fan Milk, which reported unexciting
Q1 results were under pressure shedding 0.6% and 6.9%
to GH¢17.98 and GH¢7 respectively. Profit taking saw PZ
Cussons and Guinness Ghana slip to 58GHp and
GH¢5.58 while MAC and PBC slipped to GH¢3.10 and
13GHp respectively.
Other equities which closed the month down were
Aluworks, Enterprise Group, African Champion,
Mechanical Lloyd and UT Bank.
Volumes Impressed
Inspite of the improved investor mood during the month,
which saw thirty equities changing hands, volumes in May
failed to match that of April. The number of shares that
were exchanged during the month under review were also
lower than figures registered for the same period in 2013.
A total of 16.6 million shares were traded. This compares to
the 21.8 million shares that were exchanged in twenty-seven
equities in April. Volumes in May were also lower than the
20.2 million shares registered in May 2013.
African Champion (ACI) was the most traded stock as it
accounted for 40% of trades registered for the month. A total
of 6.72 million shares of ACI changed hands.
Other equities which recorded impressive trade volumes
were ETI (2.33 million) and Ecobank Ghana (1.94 million).
CAL Bank (1.48 million) and SIC Insurance (896,750) were
the other equities which made up the list of the top-5 most
traded equities.
Turnover Improved
Turnover for the month was an improvement over the figure
registered in April driven largely by price gains.
Total value of trades for the month amounted to GH¢27.4
million. This was 15% above the GH¢23.8 million registered
in April. It however failed to match the GH¢32.22 million
registered in May 2013.
Ecobank Ghana recorded the highest turnover of GH¢12.08
million. Fan Milk inspite of the 6.9% slide in price followed
with a turnover of GH¢4.26 million.
May-14 Apr-14 Chg May-14 Y-T-D
Unilever Ghana UNIL 17.98 18.08 0.10 ▼ -0.6 -1.8
Total Petroleum TOTAL 6.40 6.50 0.10 ▼ -1.5 26.5
PZ Cussons PZC 0.58 0.60 0.02 ▼ -3.3 -26.6
Guinness Ghana GGBL 5.58 5.78 0.20 ▼ -3.5 -10.0
Standart Chartered SCB 17.90 18.97 1.07 ▼ -5.6 19.8
Fan Mlk FML 7.00 7.52 0.52 ▼ -6.9 5.7
Benso Oil Palm BOPP 2.30 2.50 0.20 ▼ -8.0 -28.3
Mega Africa Co. MAC 3.10 3.50 0.40 ▼ -11.4 0.0
PBC Limited PBC 0.13 0.15 0.02 ▼ -13.3 -23.5
Mechanical Lloyd MLC 0.29 0.34 0.05 ▼ -14.7 -23.7
UT Bank UTB 0.35 0.42 0.07 ▼ -16.7 -22.2
Aluworks ALW 0.05 0.06 0.01 ▼ -16.7 0.0
Enterprise Group EGL 1.86 2.29 0.43 ▼ -18.8 -1.1
African Champion ACI 0.03 0.06 0.03 ▼ -50.0 -50.0
Table 4: Decliners For the Month
EquityPrice GH ¢ Pct Chg
©MSL Research; Data:GSE
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MONEY MARKET
On the money market rates on Government of Ghana
treasury bills have been fairly stable in the last few weeks.
This is an indication that rates on short-dated securities
have peaked after being on the upward trend since the
beginning of the year.
The falling Cedi, stretched government finances and
inflationary pressures saw investors demand for risk
premiums pushing rates higher. Nonetheless, the drop in
rates on the recent 3-year bond from 25.48 percent to
24.48 percent is an indication that investors anticipate a
winding down later in the year
In view of the foregoing, although the upward leaps
experienced earlier in the year were non-existent, the 91-
Day and 182-Day bills edged up marginally but the 1-Year
and 2-Year Notes were unchanged from April’s closing
levels. As seen in Table 5, the 91-Day bill climbed 2 basis
points from 24.06 percent at the end of April to 24.08
percent. This compares to a leap of 146 basis points in
February and 261 basis points in March.
The 182-Day bill which gained 150 basis points in
February and 30 basis points in March trimmed 6 basis
points in April. It was however up 11 basis points to 21.29
percent. The 1-Year and the 2-Year Notes were flat closing
the month at 22.50 percent and 23.0 percent respectively.
CURRENCY MARKET
The Cedi continued to lose grounds against the major
currencies although at a decelerating pace. Improvements in
the economies of a number of advanced countries in recent
months, which gave a boost to their currencies, ensured that
the Cedi lost further grounds in May.
Although demand by investors, corporates, importers and
other economic participants have also driven up the pressure
on the local currency since the turn of the year, the level of
volatility has dropped slightly in recent weeks.
On the back of the foregoing, the Cedi closed the month
down by 3.39 percent against the Dollar to GH¢2.89 as
shown in Table 6. This compares to a depreciation of 4.08
percent and 5.85 registered against the greenback in April
and March. The Cedi’s slide against the Dollar was however
no better as it slipped by 0.25 percent against the greenback
in May 2014.
The Cedi also shaved 2.0 percent against the Euro to
GH¢3.94 while against the Pound and the Swiss Franc it
trimmed 2.71 percent and 2.04 percent to GH¢4.84 and
GH¢3.23 respectively. Comparatively, the Cedi’s
performance against the two currencies this month was
better than the outturn in April when it trimmed 5.27 percent
and 4.44 percent respectively. Against the South African
Rand the Cedi closed the month down by 4.54 percent to
GH¢0.28.
Month End 31-May-14 30-Apr-14 31-May-13
Inflation 14.70 14.50 10 .60 ▲
Prime Rate 18.0 0 18.0 0 15.0 0 ₋
91-Day Bill 24.0 8 24.0 6 23.0 3 ▲
182-Day Bill 21.29 21.18 23.0 4 ▲
1-Year Note 22.50 22.50 22.0 0 ₋
2-Year Note 23.0 0 23.0 0 22.40 ₋
Amt Raised GH¢(M) 3,478.87 2,234.0 0 1,559.20 ▲
©MSL Research; Data:GSS; BoG
Table 5: Money Market Rates
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May-14 Apr-14 May-14 Apr-14 May-13 2014
Dollar 2.8920 2.7939 -3.39 -4.08 -0.25 -25.26
Euro 3.9393 3.8604 -2.00 -4.53 0.16 -24.20
Pound 4.8375 4.7062 -2.71 -5.27 1.69 -26.15
Sw Franc 3.2281 3.1622 -2.04 -4.44 1.66 -24.47
Rand 0.2765 0.2639 -4.54 -4.21 11.33 -25.39
©MSL Research; Data: BoG, GAB
Performance of the Cedi
Table 6: Interbank Mid-Rates and the
Gain / LossCurr
Rate - Month End
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
Feb '14 Mar '14 Apr '14 May '14
Gai
n /
Loss
(Per
cent
)
Performance of the Cedi: Month-on-Month
Dollar Euro Pound Sw Franc Rand
Diagram 8
SOURCE: Bank of Ghana / MSL Research
OUTLOOK
Global Economy Needs Support
Optimism about global economic growth has been
bolstered in recent weeks however worries still persist on
the back of the uneven growth trajectory.
As noted by heads of key international institutions at the
end of their meeting in Berlin, high unemployment,
significant output gap, low investment, rising inequality and
slowdown in emerging economies are still having an
impact on global growth prospects.
The heads of the Organization for Economic Cooperation
and Development (OECD), the International Monetary Fund
(IMF), the World Bank, the International Labour Organization
(ILO) and the World Trade Organization (WTO) noted that
the global economy has noticeably improved, but is still far
from a robust, sustainable growth.
In line with reduced expectations for 2014, the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) has cut its growth forecast for the U.S.
economy from April’s estimate of 2.8 percent to 2 percent at
its recent meeting. The IMF’s Christine Lagarde atrributed
the cut to the economy’s contraction in Q1, when a harsh
winter, drawdown in inventories, a sluggish housing market
and slow demand weighed.
These indications thus call for further propping of the global
economy by finance ministers.
Germany, inspite of driving Eurozone growth has recently
reported a rise in unemployment sparking fears of slowdown.
Already pessimistic tones are being sounded with the
Bundesbank projecting that the nation's economic expansion
in Q2 is unlikely to match the pace of the first three months.
On the commodities front, improving advanced economies is
expected to boost demand and hence prices. Investors’ fears
in recent weeks have been on possible disruptions to
production in Russia, a key oil producer now in the mix of the
Ukraine crises.
Cocoa is expected to remain firm in the weeks ahead
although in a recent release the International Cocoa
Organization has reduced its supply deficit for the year.
Favourable weather in West Africa has boosted port arrivals
with futures prices thus projected to stay within US$3,051 per
tonne in the coming weeks.
Gold has been resilient in recent weeks partly on the back of
the Ukrainian crises. The metal is however projected to be
under pressure as the global recovery gathers pace. The
price of the yellow metal is thus projected to trade below
US$1,300 an ounce in the weeks ahead.
Domestic Economy May Remain Subdued
The domestic economy is likely to remain fragile in the
months ahead as the Government explores alternatives to
contain the falling local currency, rising inflation, high interest
rates and reduce its expenditure, amongst others.
With businesses and consumer sentiments falling in recent
months, it is imperative that the government fixes the local
economy. Already, businesses are not optimistic about
achieving targets for capital expenditure, employment, sales
and revenue, as revealed by latest surveys conducted by the
BoG. Credit by banks to the private sector has also slowed
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down in recent months on the back of the current level of
interest rates.
In line with expectations, the IMF and World Bank have
projected a lower growth rate of 4.8% for Ghana in 2014.
Nonetheless, the marginal uptick in global sentiments,
driven by the advanced countries has lifted the outlook for
commodity prices in 2014 - a development which could
boost the nation’s earnings. The major downside risks
could be the faster tapering by the US Fed and slow
recovery in China.
On the back of the present economic challenges, we
anticipate the Cedi sliding further in the near term as
businesses review the latest revisions in the BoG’s
policies.
Forex supply shortages will however persist as some
exporters keeping their receipts offshore while banks
struggle to meet demand by corporates and other
business concerns. The local currency may also not be
helped by the fact that some targeted external funding are
yet to materialize as external donor support has lagged in
recent months.
On the money market, rates will remain within current
levels in the near term as the challenges confronting the
economy are still present. It is however likely that rates
may start declining slowly in September when conditions
improve. We also expect a rise in the 182-Day bill in the
next couple of weeks to correct the yield curve
On inflation, we anticipate further climb in average price
levels as pressures still persists. Recent moves by the
Public Utility Regulatory Commission (PURC) and the
National Petroleum Agency (NPA) may ease the pressure
on prices in the short-term. The PURC deferred the
implementation of the second quarter tariffs for electricity
and water while the National Petroleum Agency has
maintained fuel prices for a second time after its bi-weekly
review.
Though these developments might placate businesses and
consumers in the weeks ahead, the question that remains is
‘For how long’? With the Cedi still sliding, the continuous
depreciation may weigh on the prices of goods and services
as the rippling effects of our import dependent economy
weigh.
STOCK MARKET OUTLOOK
In the coming weeks we anticipate the search for bargains,
and also the correction in the prices of some shares to
pressure the market. Nonetheless, we expect the bourse to
consolidate gains as recent sessions have witnessed
outstanding bids for a number of stocks.
We believe opportunities for the long term still exist in Ghana
Commercial Bank, Ecobank Ghana, Stanchart and Societe
Generale as they are currently trading at some historically
lower PE and P/Bs. BOPP, PBC and GOIL will also be
amongst the stocks to be watched by investors.
On the flip side, Guinness Ghana and PZ Cussons may be
amongst the stocks under pressure due to profit taking while
Fan Milk and Unilever may shed some grounds in the near
term due to present production challenges
We thus reiterate that, investors should not be dampened by
some of the recent declines in some blue chip stocks but
rather look at the opportunities presented and take positions
at the current bargain prices. Additionally, investors will be
able to reduce the losses on their portfolios as buying shares
at some of the current low prices will reduce the average
costs of their holdings.
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Stock Market Data: May 31, 2014 Vols
INDUSTRY/TI CKER
Price Price Pct 52 Week
Pct Volume Value P/E E/Y Div P/B DPS Market Market
EQUITIES Close Close Dec-13 Chg High Low Chg Traded Traded Ratio Yld Ratio Cap. Cap.
GH¢ US$ GH¢ YTD 1-Yr (%) (%) GH ¢ GH¢(M) US$(M)
A gro Processing 2.89 2.89
Benso Oil Palm BOPP 2.30 0.80 3.21 -28.3 3.97 2.30 -17 14,515 34,172 19.77 5.06 1.34 1.93 0.033 80.04 27.68
Golden Web Ltd GWEB 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.0 0.04 0.04 0 10 0 n.m. n.m. 0.00 - 1.40 0.48
Cocoa Processing CPC * 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.0 0.02 0.01 0 16,890 337 n.m. n.m. 0.00 n.m. - 22.02 7.61
Banking
Cal Bank CAL 0.88 0.30 0.97 -9.3 1.17 0.81 9 1,477,589 1,291,215 4.83 20.72 6.09 1.51 0.053 482.47 166.83
Ecobank Ghana EBG 6.90 2.39 5.61 23.0 7.98 4.35 57 1,943,455 12,084,030 8.04 12.44 6.94 2.88 0.430 2,023.29 699.62
Ecobank Trans. Inc. ETI 0.22 0.08 0.19 15.8 0.25 0.17 16 2,334,951 497,111 7.45 13.41 10.00 0.70 0.020 3,511.86 1,214.34
Ghana Com. Bnk GCB 5.02 1.74 4.85 3.5 5.40 4.00 -2 464,366 1,922,627 4.46 22.41 5.25 2.02 0.210 1,330.30 459.99
HFC Bank Gh Ltd HFC 1.45 0.50 0.96 51.0 1.45 0.54 164 86,416 114,831 10.54 9.49 1.71 2.37 0.022 429.72 148.59
Societe Generale SOGEGH 0.92 0.32 0.75 22.7 1.18 0.62 7 453,235 390,784 6.09 16.42 9.52 1.17 0.060 307.18 106.22
Standard Chart SCB 17.90 6.2 14.94 19.8 20.6 13.6 16 143,465 2,659,673 9.34 10.71 6.07 4.28 1.150 2,067.63 714.95
UT Bank UT 0.35 0.12 0.45 -22.2 0.52 0.35 -33 35,985 17,590 35.41 2.82 0.00 0.96 0.000 105.71 36.55
Trust Bank (Gb) TBL ^ 0.25 0.09 0.35 -28.6 0.35 0.24 -29 78,825 18,998 7.37 13.56 9.24 - 0.023 50.00 17.29
Beverage 2.89 10.4 12.2 6.1 2.0 2.89
Fan Milk Ltd FML 7.00 2.42 6.62 5.7 7.55 5.70 21 575,840 4,259,354 50.24 1.99 1.20 10.77 0.090 813.47 281.28
Guinness Gh. GGBL 5.58 1.93 6.20 -10.0 6.40 4.30 30 1,661 9,381 85.86 1.16 0.42 8.02 0.024 1,179.28 407.77
Distribution 68.05 1.58 9.4068.05 9.40
Produce Buying PBC 0.13 0.04 0.17 -23.5 0.24 0.13 -32 185,457 24,371 3.19 31.33 0.00 1.69 0.000 62.40 21.58
Insurance #########
Enterprise Group EGL 1.86 0.64 1.88 -1.1 2.50 0.85 119 380,084 822,981 6.38 15.67 0.72 2.05 0.016 237.76 82.21
SIC Insurance SIC 0.43 0.15 0.39 10.3 0.52 0.35 -14 896,750 334,068 3.63 27.56 5.06 0.96 0.018 84.13 29.09
Investments 5.00 21.61 5.06 1.50
Mega African Cap. MAC 3.10 1.07 16,066 49,649
IT Solutions 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Clydestone CLYD 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.0 0.04 0.04 0 1,200 48 n.m. 0.50 7.50 2.22 0.003 1.36 0.47
Transaction Soln. TRANSOL 0.03 0.01 0.03 0.0 0.04 0.03 -25 0 0 n.m. -52.67 0.00 4.27 0.000 2.40 0.83
Manufacturing 2.89 24,532,430
PZ Cussons Gh PZC 0.58 0.20 0.79 -26.6 0.91 0.35 66 5,469 3,167 21.44 5 0.63 2.64 0.004 97.44 33.69
Unilev er Ghana UNIL 17.98 6.22 18.31 -1.8 18.31 14.47 24 3,887 71,583 49.69 2.01 1.42 33.22 0.256 1,123.75 388.57
Aluworks Limited ALW 0.05 0.02 0.05 0.0 0.06 0.05 -17 102,705 5,180 n.m. n.m. 0.00 0.44 - 11.83 4.09
Pioneer Kitchen PKL 0.06 0.02 0.06 0.0 0.06 0.06 0 119 0 n.m. n.m. 0.00 -1.34 - 2.00 0.69
Mining 2.89
AngloGold Ashanti AGA 37.00 12.8 37.0 0.0 37.0 37.0 0 0 0 n.m. n.m. 0.35 - 0.130 14,187.28 4,905.70
AngloGold Dep. AADs 0.52 0.18 0.52 0.0 0.52 0.52 0 0 0 n.m. n.m. 0.25 - 0.001 0.51 0.18
Golden Star Rsrcs GSR 2.75 0.95 2.75 0.0 2.75 2.75 0 0 0 n.m. n.m. 0.00 - 702.43 242.89
Petroleum Retail
Ghana Oil Co Ltd GOIL 0.90 0.31 0.89 1.1 1.40 0.75 -36 458,347 411,895 15.79 6.33 1.56 3.79 0.014 189.17 65.41
Total Petroleum TOTAL 6.40 2.2 5.1 26.5 42.0 3.4 86 89,618 579,035 20.24 4.94 2.42 6.64 0.156 715.97 247.57
Petrol Exploration 18.01 5.64 1.99 5.22 1.500
Tullow Oil Plc TLW 35.00 12.1 35.0 0.1 35.0 30.0 11 45,100 1,501,267 1090.9 0.26 5.44 0.092 31,634.75 10,938.71
Paper Conversion A nd Printing 0.06 #DIV/0! 0.06
Camelot Ghana CMLT 0.16 0.06 0.16 0.0 0.16 0.16 0 0 0 4.42 0.23 3.75 0.63 0.006 1.05 0.36
Sam Woode Ltd SWL 0.04 0.01 0.02 100.0 0.04 0.02 100 54,620 2,184 1.75 0.57 21.50 0.48 0.004 0.87 0.30
African Champion ACI 0.03 0.01 0.06 -50.0 0.06 0.03 -50 6,719,747 246,225 n.m. n.m. 0.00 0.31 0.000 0.97 0.34
Pharmaceutical 2.89 8.4 0.5 2.89
Ayrton Drug AYRTN 0.17 0.06 0.17 0.0 0.18 0.17 0 15,800 2,686 13.08 7.65 0.72 1.94 0.001 36.55 12.64
Starwin Products SPL 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.0 0.05 0.03 -20 5,362 196 n.m. 2.75 2.50 1.04 0.001 2.96 1.02
V ehicle Dealership 1.6 1.5
Mechanical Llyod MLC 0.29 0.10 0.38 -23.7 0.39 0.25 16 10,515 3,068 1.01 98.77 2.35 0.44 0.008 14.53 5.02
©MSL Research; Data: GSE / Company F inanc ials ####### GH¢ 2.89 = US$1 Avg P.E 18.32
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GUIDE TO TABLES
Yr Year AGA
Px Price ETI
Qtr Quarter TBL
Y-T-D Year To Date DPS
P/B Price To Book Ratio P/E Price To Earnings Ratio
AngloGold Ashanti
Ecobank Transnational Incorporated
Trust Bank Limited, The Gambia
Gross Div; Last Financial Year
DISCLAIMER
This document is not intended to be an offer, or a solicitation of an offer for the sale or purchase of any security. The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled from or arrived at in good faith from sources believed to be reliable. Whilst care has been taken in preparing this document, no representation is given and no responsibility or liability is accepted by MSL, any member of MSL or the UMB group as to the accuracy of the information contained herein. All opinions and estimates contained in this report may be changed after publication at any time without notice.
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KEY PERSONS
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MERBAN STOCKBROKERS LIMITED (A LICENSED DEALING MEMBER OF THE GHANA STOCK EXCHANGE)