merchant transmission and wind powered generation: a natural fit?
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Merchant Transmission and Wind Powered Generation: A Natural Fit?. Environmental Finance Workshop: Infrastructure - Sustainability & Building the Public Realm March 7, 2007, Robert van Beers, COO. Outline of My Remarks. Background: The Montana Alberta Tie Project - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Environmental Finance Workshop:Infrastructure - Sustainability & Building the Public Realm March 7, 2007,Robert van Beers, COO
Merchant Transmission and Wind Powered
Generation: A Natural Fit?
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Outline of My Remarks Background: The Montana Alberta Tie
Project Wind Power and Merchant Transmission
A Quick Backgrounder:The Montana Alberta Tie Project
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The MATL Line
This is a 330 km 230 kV transmission line between Lethbridge Alberta and Great Falls Montana
The total project cost will be on the order of $140 million and the in-service date is expected at the end of 2007 – three years from concept to revenues
Directional control of power flows will be achieved through the use of a phase-shifting transformer
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Tonbridge Power and Montana Alberta Tie Ltd
Tonbridge Power Inc.
MATL
100%
Tonbridge Corp.
Publicly traded corporation (TSXV – “TBZ”)
A private merchant bank
Market cap. approx. $60 m
The transmission project
Wholly-owned subsidiary with management team based in Calgary
Minority interest, management contract
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The (Initial) Strategic Rationale Alberta is where energy comes from; the US
(notably California) needs it There is today no suitable route for Alberta
power to reach US consumers The industry agrees with us An open season will prove us right We will enjoy the ‘first-mover’ advantage
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At the time…
The Calgary Herald, Feb. 2, 2005:
“TransAlta would certainly be wanting to access the MATL line if it were built.”-Steve Snyder, CEO
Wind Power and Merchant Transmission
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Our Open Season Results – 100% Wind
Shipper Receipt Delivery MW Start Date1 End Date $/ MW Great Plains Wind Energy Great Falls, MT Lethbridge, AB 120 Apr. 1/ 07 Mar. 21/ 22 $5.11 Energy Logics (USA), Inc. Great Falls, MT Lethbridge, AB 180 Apr. 1/ 08 Dec. 31/ 31 $5.53 Invenergy Wind Montana LLC2 Lethbridge, AB Great Falls, MT 180 Apr. 1/ 07 Dec. 31/ 31 $4.77 Wind Hunter. LLC – 2 Lethbridge, AB Great Falls, MT 20 Apr. 1/ 07 Dec. 31/ 31 $6.40 Wind Hunter. LLC – 2 Lethbridge, AB Great Falls, MT 20 Apr. 1/ 07 Dec. 31/ 31 $6.12 Wind Hunter. LLC – 2 Lethbridge, AB Great Falls, MT 20 Apr. 1/ 07 Dec. 31/ 31 $5.85 Wind Hunter. LLC – 2 Lethbridge, AB Great Falls, MT 20 Apr. 1/ 07 Dec. 31/ 31 $5.58 Wind Hunter. LLC – 2 Lethbridge, AB Great Falls, MT 20 Apr. 1/ 07 Dec. 31/ 31 $5.30 Wind Hunter. LLC – 2 Lethbridge, AB Great Falls, MT 20 Apr. 1/ 07 Dec. 31/ 31 $5.03
Note 1: start date is later of listed date or in-service date Note 2: contract subject to final confirmation
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Conclusion We were wrong – and shippers are differently
segmented with respect to their willingness to commit ahead of an in-service date
We sold out very quickly but in a way that fundamentally changed the nature of our line: from an arbitrage play to a collection system
We learned that transmission capacity is perhaps the greatest constraint on wind power development
We have now become pioneers in solving wind integration issues – but without becoming a participant
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Wind Shipper Issues “2 guys and a laptop” - a lack of balance
sheet strength undermines the off-take contract value, making project finance much more difficult
Project upon project complexity leads to technical and scheduling challenges
Wind integration is in its infancy – but the utilities’ walls in Alberta and Montana are firmly up: “Moratorium” on new wind in Alberta NERC reliability standards in Montana
Wind “firming” is urgently needed
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Regulatory Concerns Environmental regulation needs improvement.
It is enormously detail-focused (literally ‘in the weeds’), misses the big picture (notably here where wind power is supplementing coal) and appears incapable of being concluded in line with the timeline estimates of the regulators themselves
If we truly want to transform our environmental footprint we should not expect zero change. The environmental bias is against action – this must change. In particular we must debate: Land access and ‘need’ The socialization of wind firming costs
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So How Did We Finance MATL?
Equity raised is $22.7 m for 230 m shares
Market cap now $60 m
Total cash and LCs raised to date is $44.9 m
Negotiations for approx $100 m in senior debt upon Notice to Proceed are proceeding now
$0.0
$10.0
$20.0
$30.0
$40.0
$50.0
$60.0
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$90.0
$100.0
Feb.'05
April'05
June'05
June'06
Nov.06
Dec. 06 Mid2007
Letter of Credit
Est. $80 - $100
million
Debt
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Robert van Beers, MPA, ICD.D is Chief Operating Officer and Director of Tonbridge Power. His background includes over twenty years of power sector strategy and finance around the world.
Tonbridge Power 20 Bay St., Suite 1100, Toronto, M5J 2N8
Phone : 416-850-2150Fax: 416-850-1985
Robert van Beers, COO: [email protected] Website: www.tonbridgepower.com
Contact Details