met briefing f or attrex flight 4, feb 21
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Met Briefing f or ATTREX Flight 4, Feb 21. Rennie Selkirk 20 Feb 2013. W eather for flight ops Tomorrow: good; backup Fri/Sat also OK Outlook for next week Conditions in flight region for Thu/Fri 100 hPa temperature field during flight Large-scale EPV pattern WV RDF results - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Met Briefing for ATTREX Flight 4, Feb 21
• Weather for flight ops– Tomorrow: good; backup Fri/Sat also OK– Outlook for next week
• Conditions in flight region for Thu/Fri– 100 hPa temperature field during flight– Large-scale EPV pattern– WV RDF results
• Temperature evolution– Hovmöller plots at 100 hPa and 70 hPa– Pfister plot
Rennie Selkirk20 Feb 2013
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4 AM Thursday – 21 Feb 12UT / NAM 24HR
DISCUSSION Overall, looks good for 7 AM takeoff:
A. Weak surface winds, but increasing to 10 kts from NE by mid-morning
B. Northwesterly flow aloftC. RH @ 700 hPa <30%: stable, descending
air; ~40% low cloudiness
A
B
C
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Long range outlook
TUESDAY, 2/26 Tuesday looks problematic
G. Short-wave trough passing throughH. Likely precipitation
HG
Later on….500 hPa ridge passage Friday, so positive outlook after Tuesday
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100 hPa Temperatures and winds
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380 K EPV – GEOS-5Mid-flight 22 Feb 00UT
We will be deep into tropical air from about 12°N southward
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RDF Results – 22 FebCloud probability or zones of dehydration
Possible thin cirrus along track near 5°N
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RDF Results – 22 FebNet dehydration
South of 10°N, the track traverses region of weak dehydration (0.8 to 1.1 ppmv)
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Eastern Pacific warming up
Hovmöller diagram at 0° – 100 hPa T
(Very) approx. time-
longitude flight window
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Traveling wave features more prominent
Hovmöller diagram at 0° – 70 hPa T
(Very) approx. time-
longitude flight window
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100 hPa T and 70following upward trend in 70 hPa T since Temperatures at both levels still approx. 2 K below 20-year averages