methodological principles in dealing with big data, reijo sund
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Methodological principles in dealing with Big Data, Reijo Sund Big Data Seminar, 2nd June 2014TRANSCRIPT
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Methodological Principles in
Dealing with Big DataReijo Sund
University of Helsinki, Centre for Research Methods, Faculty of Social Sciences
Big Data seminarStatistics Finland, Helsinki 2.6.2014
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Big Data
Data have been produced for hundreds of years
The reasons for such production were originally administrative in nature
There was a need for systematically collected numerical facts on a particular subject
Advances in information technology have made it possible to more effectively collect and store larger and larger data sets
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From data to information
As far as there has been data, there has been a challenge to transform it into useful information
Too much data in an unusable form has always been a common complain
Well known hierarchy:
Data - Information - Knowledge - Wisdom - Intelligence
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Secondary data
There are more and more ”big data”, but the emphasis has been on technical aspects and not on the information itself
Data without explanations are useless
Big Data are often secondary dataNot tailored to specific research question at hand
More (detailed) data would not solve the basic problemsMore background information is required for utilization
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Fundamental problem
The belief that big data consist of autonomous, atom-like building blocks is fundamentally erroneous
Raw register data as such are of little value
No simple magic tricks to overcome problems arising from the fundamental limitations of empirical research
More general aspects of scientific research are needed in order to understand the related methodological challenges
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Knowledge discovery process
Process consists of several main phases:Understanding the phenomenon, Understanding the problem,Understanding data, Data preprocessing, Modeling,Evaluation, Reporting
The main difference to the ”traditional” research process is the additional interpretation-operationalization phase
Context Debate
Idea Theory
Problem
Data Analysis
Question
Answer
Perspective
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Prerequisites
Effective use of big data presumes skills in various areas:
Measurement
Data modeling (information sciences)
Statistical computing (statistics)
Theory of the subject matter
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Principles of measurementReality can be confronted by recording observations that reflect the phenomenon of interest
Measurement aims to create data as symbolic representations of the observations
Operationalization determines how the phenomenon P that becomes visible via observations O is mapped to data D ?
Successful if it becomes possible to make valid interpretations I of symbolic data D in regard to the phenomenon P
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Infological equation
Information is something that has to be produced from the data and the pre-knowledge
Infological equation:
I = i(D,S,t)Information I is produced from the data D and the pre-knowledge S(at time t using the interpretation process i)
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Data modeling
Data modeling can be used to construct (computer-based) symbol structures which capture the meaning of data and organize it in ways that make it understandable
Only what is (or can be) represented is considered to exist
Phenomenon
⇓
Concept
⇓
Object
Host Attributes
Time Place Realized observation Data component
Knowledge component
Logical component
Taxonomy
Partonomy
Theoretical measurement properties
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Data preprocessingData cleaning and reduction
Correction of “global” deficiencies in the dataDropping of “uninteresting” data
Data abstraction“Intelligent enrichment” of data using background knowledge
This kind of preprocessing reminds much more qualitative than quantitative analysis
Each rule reflects the instability of the concept and is a step further from the "objectivity" of the study
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Preprocessing in practiceNeed for conceptual representation of each object
Two main classes for concept-data relation:Factual = minimal background knowledgeAbstracted = cognitive fit acceptable
A sophisticated (and subjective) preprocessing aiming to scale matters down to a size more suitable for specific analyses is the most important and time-consuming part of the (big) data analysis
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Greater statistics
Statistics offers not only a set of tools for problem- solving, but also a formal way of thinking about the modeling of the actual problem
Rather than trying to squeeze the data into a predefined model or saying too much on what can and cannot be done, data analysis should work to achieve an appropriate compromise between the practical problems and the data
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ChallengesHow to analyze massive data effectively when manual management is unfeasible?
How to avoid ‘snooping/dredging/fishing/shopping’ without assuming that data are automatically in concordance with the theory?
How to deal with data that include total populations without traditional meaning for sampling error and statistical significance?
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Thank you!
For more information:
http://www.helsinki.fi/~sund
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How to calculate the annual number of hip fractures in Finland?Background knowledge: All hip fractures in Hospital Discharge Register
Data challenge: Difficult to separate new admissions from the care of old fractures
Change of theory: Consider only first hip fractures instead of all hip fractures
Solution in terms of data: Easy to determine the number of first hip fractures from the register if enough old data are available and deterministic record linkage can be used
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Is there more hip fractures during winter? How to define winter?
Based on the data, ”Winter” is from November to April
5/98 11/98 5/99 11/99 5/00 11/00 5/01 11/01 5/02 11/02
1/98 7/98 1/99 7/99 1/00 7/00 1/01 7/01 1/02 7/02 1/03
0
5
10
15
20
Institutionalized
5/98 11/98 5/99 11/99 5/00 11/00 5/01 11/01 5/02 11/02
1/98 7/98 1/99 7/99 1/00 7/00 1/01 7/01 1/02 7/02 1/03
0
5
10
15
20
Over 50 years old
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Data abstracted outcomes
Commonly used outcomes measuring effectiveness of (hip fracture) surgery are death and complication
These are medical concepts, but must be abstracted from individual level register-based data by using some ‘rules’, such as a list of some particular diagnosis codes recorded in the data
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Stabile and complex outcomes
It is easy typically straightforward to extract the event of death from the data by using "one line rule“
Extraction of complications may require tens of different rules which are justified by using domain knowledge and evaluation of rules with concrete data until saturation point is reached
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