metsa group's interim report january-september 2017
TRANSCRIPT
• Sales EUR 3,712 million (1–9/2016: EUR 3,483 million)• Operating result* EUR 381 million (EUR 332 million)• Operating result of sales* 10.3% (9.5%)• Return on capital employed* 11.2% (10.5%)• Sales grew mainly as a result of greater delivery volumes • Result improved particularly due to paperboard delivery
volumes and rises in pulp prices
1 November 20172
Metsä Group’s good financial performance continued
Metsä Group – Q3
*comparable
• Bioproduct mill in Äänekoski, Finland, started up • Metsä Wood’s new Kerto® LVL line in Lohja, Finland, started up• The foundation stone of Metsä Wood’s new birch plywood mill was
laid in Pärnu, Estonia• Metsä Wood announced its plan to build a new Kerto® LVL line at
its Punkaharju mill in Finland• Metsä Board issued an unsecured bond of EUR 250 million• Moody’s upgraded Metsä Board’s credit rating to Ba1 • Vesa-Pekka Takala was appointed Deputy Managing Director of
Metsäliitto Cooperative
1 November 20173
Metsä Group – Q3
Events in the third quarter of 2017
1 November 20174
1,254 1,2651,204
1,248 1,2551,330
1,225 1,2051,156 1,184 1,143 1,175 1,216 1,235 1,260
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17
Sales
Metsä Group – Q3
EUR million
1 November 20175
Operating result
Metsä Group – Q3
10592
104117
129137
149
123109
120
103 107
128119
134
70
160
103
84
118
154142
128
107
119
107110
131122
143
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17
Comparable operating result Operating result (IFRS)
EUR million
1 November 20176
5364 68 71
8994
73
87
105
92104
117129
137149
123
109120
103 107
128119
134
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Q1/
12 Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1/
13 Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1/
14
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1/
15
Q
2
Q
3
Q
4
Q1/
16
Q
2
Q
3
Q
4
Q1/
17
Q2
Q
3
Q
4
Comparable operating result
Metsä Group – Q3
EUR million
Change in comparable operating result
1 November 20177
Metsä Group – Q3
EUR million
Comparable operating result 1–9/2016 332
Sales prices -4
Sales volumes 67
Exchange rates 20
Raw materials and energy 3
Employee costs 5
Change of inventories -29
Other -13 49
Comparable operating result 1–9/2017 381
Items affecting comparability 1–9/2017
1 November 20178
Metsä Group – Q3
EUR million 1–9/2017
Operating result (IFRS) 396.7
Items affecting comparability:
Metsä Board / subsidiaries dissolved in England 10.2
Metsä Board / sale of Kyro’s paper machine, net 3.4
Metsä Wood / divestment of the project business 3.3
Metsä Wood / a dissolved subsidiary in England -1.3
Other -0.2
Items total +15.4
Comparable operating result 381.2
1 November 20179
Comparable ROCE
Metsä Group – Q3
9.0
11.1
14.2
10.511.2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
QI–III/2013 QI–III/2014 QI–III/2015 QI–III/2016 QI–III/2017
%
Target >10%
1 November 201710
Metsä Group – Q3
Equity ratio
37.9 37.9
43.2 43.9 43.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
12/2013 12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 9/2017
%
1 November 201711
Interest-bearing net liabilities
Metsä Group – Q3
1,510
938
610
1,0331,165
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
1 750
12/2013 12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 9/2017
EUR million
1 November 201712
Capital expenditure
Metsä Group – Q3
214143
492
758
530
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1–12/2013 1–12/2014 1–12/2015 1–12/2016 1–9/2017
EUR million
Full year estimate
Income statement
1 November 201713
Metsä Group – Q3
EUR million QI–III/2017 QI–III/2016 ChangeSales 3,711.8 3,482.7 229.0
Other operating income 43.4 52.3 -8.9
Operating expenses -3,179.2 -3,011.6 -167.6
Depreciation and impairment losses -179.3 -190.8 11.5
Operating result 396.7 332.7 64.0
Comparable operating result 381.2 332.1 49.1
Share of results from associated companies and joint ventures 15.9 -1.4 17.3
Exchange gains and losses -3.3 0.8 -4.1
Other net financial items -64.1 -56.5 -7.5
Result before tax 345.2 275.5 69.7
Key figures
1 November 201714
Metsä Group – Q3
QI–III/2017 QI–III/2016 ChangeReturn on capital employed, % 11.6 10.6 1.0
Comparable return on capital employed, % 11.2 10.5 0.7
Return on equity, % 13.7 11.5 2.2
Comparable return on equity, % 13.0 11.5 1.5
Equity ratio, % 43.4 44.0 -0.6
Net gearing ratio, % 41 40 1
Interest-bearing net liabilities, EUR million 1,165 991 174
Capital expenditure, EUR million 530 540 -10
Personnel at end of period 9,223 9,451 -228
Cash Flow Statement I
1 November 201715
Metsä Group – Q3
EUR million QI–III/2017 QI–III/2016
Cash flow from operating activities
Result for the period 279.4 211.7
Adjustments to result for the period 278.0 267.8
Interest received 3.1 2.3
Interest paid -43.8 -33.1
Dividends received 1.6 1.0
Taxes -57.2 -98.2
Other financial items, net -15.7 6.3
Change in working capital 53.4 -181.3
Net cash flow from operating activities 498.8 176.4
Cash Flow Statement II
1 November 201716
Metsä Group – Q3
EUR million QI–III/2017 QI–III/2016Net cash flow from operating activities 498.8 176.4
Purchase of shares -2.5 0.0Acquired shares from non-controlling interests -27.7 0.0Investments -530.1 -540.2Sales of assets and others 29.3 49.2Change in members’ capital and other capital 40.9 48.9Interest on members’ capital and dividends paid -122.1 -120.2Change in long-term loans and committed facilities 212.9 64.9
Change in cash and cash equivalents 99.4 -321.0
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period 895.1 1,120.8Translation differences and others -0.8 0.7Change in cash and cash equivalents 99.4 -321.0
Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period 993.8 800.5
1 November 201717
Personnel
Metsä Group – Q3
10,736 10,4109,599 9,300 9,223
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
12/2013 12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 9/2017
Wood Supply and Forest Services
1 November 201719
Metsä Forest –Wood Supply and Forest Services
EUR million QI–III/2017 QI–III/2016 Change
Sales 1,205.8 1,135.2 70.6
Other operating income 2.4 5.4 -2.9
Operating expenses -1,186.3 -1,116.0 -70.3
Depreciation and impairment losses -3.0 -2.5 -0.5
Operating result 18.9 22.0 -3.1
Items affecting comparability, total - - -
Comparable operating result 18.9 22.0 -3.1
% of sales 1.6 1.9 -0.3
Purchasing volumes of wood increased• In Finland, the supply of wood was steady,
and stumpage prices stable• Purchase volumes were at a clearly higher
level than last year• Rainy weather made harvesting conditions
challenging throughout the Baltic Sea area• Market situation in the Baltic Sea area grew
tighter with regards to almost all grades of wood• Metsä Forest delivered a total of approximately
23.7 million cubic metres (22.7) of wood • Metsä Forest began harvesting for the purposes
of the bioproduct mill’s production in August
1 November 201720
Comparable operating resultEUR million
Metsä Forest –Wood Supply and Forest Services
8.7
6.9 7.06.3
7.8
6.5
7.7
8.98.5
4.4
5.9
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0
8,0
9,0
10,0
Q1/
15
Q2/
15
Q3/
15
Q4/
15
Q1/
16
Q2/
16
Q3/
16
Q4/
16
Q1/
17
Q2/
17
Q3/
17
Q4/
17
Wood Products Industry
1 November 201722
Metsä Wood –Wood Products Industry
EUR million QI–III/2017 QI–III/2016 ChangeSales 351.6 366.3 -14.7
Other operating income 5.8 6.8 -1.0
Operating expenses -320.0 -332.7 12.7
Depreciation and impairment losses -8.9 -10.4 1.5
Operating result 28.5 30.0 -1.5
Items affecting comparability, total -1.8 0.4 -2.2
Comparable operating result 26.7 30.4 -3.7
% of sales 7.6 8.3 -0.7
Demand for wood products strong• Demand for Kerto® LVL products remained
strong• Decline in the sales is the result of the
divestment of the glulam and project business and the weakening exchange rate of the GBP
• Delivery volumes and sales of plywood grew especially thanks to strong demand in Northern and Central Europe
• New Kerto line in Lohja, Finland, started up• Foundation stone of the new birch plywood mill
was laid in Pärnu, Estonia• Metsä Wood announced its plan to construct a
new Kerto line at its Punkaharju mill in Finland
1 November 201723
Comparable operating resultEUR million
Metsä Wood –Wood Products Industry
4.5
7.18.0
8.4 8.2
13.2
9.08.3
10.7
8.47.6
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
14,0
Q1/
15
Q2/
15
Q3/
15
Q4/
15
Q1/
16
Q2/
16
Q3/
16
Q4/
16
Q1/
17
Q2/
17
Q3/
17
Q4/
17
Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
1 November 201725
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
EUR million QI–III/2017 QI–III/2016 ChangeSales 1,323.7 1,220.0 103.7
Other operating income 14.6 20.8 -6.2
Operating expenses -1,087.4 -1,015.5 -71.9
Depreciation and impairment losses -57.3 -57.8 0.5
Operating result 193.6 167.5 26.1
Items affecting comparability, total 0.1 -6.7 6.7
Comparable operating result 193.7 160.9 32.8
% of sales 14.6 13.2 1.4
1 November 201726
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
Price of pulp (PIX) 2009–Q3/2017
350
450
550
650
750
850
950
1050
350
450
550
650
750
850
950
1050
´09 ´10 ´11 ´12 ´13 ´14 ´15 ´16 ´17
Hardwood/EUR Softwood/EUR Hardwood/USD Softwood/USD
USD EUR
Source: Foex
Good financial performance continued in pulp industry
• Demand for pulp grew more than expected• Result improved particularly due to an in-
crease in sales prices• Market prices of long-fibre were 7% and short-
fibre pulp 10% higher than in Jan-Sept 2016• Bioproduct mill started up according to the
original schedule and budget in mid-August• Production and sales volumes of sawn timber
increased. The prices likewise increased, although they continue to be at a low levels
1 November 201727
Comparable operating resultEUR million
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
82.0
95.6
83.479.7
61.2
53.246.4
53.7 54.5
70.8 68.4
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
70,0
80,0
90,0
100,0
Q1/
15
Q2/
15
Q3/
15
Q4/
15
Q1/
16
Q2/
16
Q3/
16
Q4/
16
Q1/
17
Q2/
17
Q3/
17
Q4/
17
Paperboard Industry
1 November 201729
Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry
EUR million QI–III/2017 QI–III/2016 ChangeSales 1,397.3 1,298.5 98.7
Other operating income 21.7 28.6 -6.9
Operating expenses -1,198.1 -1,151.5 -46.6
Depreciation and impairment losses -68.2 -81.9 13.7
Operating result 152.7 93.8 58.9
Items affecting comparability, total -13.6 10.9 -24.5
Comparable operating result 139.1 104.7 34.4
% of sales 10.0 8.1 1.9
1 November 201730
Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Folding boxboard White-top kraftliner Sources: RISI, Inc. & FOEX Indexes Ltd
Prices of folding boxboard and white-top kraftliner inEurope 2011–Q3/2017EUR/ tonne
Result improved and paperboard sales increased
• Result improved mainly due to higher paperboard volumes, positive development in the market pulp business and the discontinuation of paper production
• Exchange rate fluctuations – including hedging – had a positive impact on the result
• Deliveries of folding boxboard and white fresh fibre linerboards increased by 17% and 16%, respectively
• Paperboard prices remained unchanged• Metsä Board issued an unsecured bond of
EUR 250 million• Moody’s upgraded Metsä Board’s credit
rating to Ba1
1 November 201731
Comparable operating resultEUR million
Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry
43.247.0
54.6
35.1 35.0 35.834.0 32.8
45.2 43.5
50.4
0,0
10,0
20,0
30,0
40,0
50,0
60,0
Q1/
15
Q2/
15
Q3/
15
Q4/
15
Q1/
16
Q2/
16
Q3/
16
Q4/
16
Q1/
17
Q2/
17
Q3/
17
Q4/
17
Tissue and Cooking Papers
1 November 201733
Metsä Tissue – Tissue and Cooking Papers
EUR million QI–III/2017 QI–III/2016 ChangeSales 753.1 741.6 11.4
Other operating income 2.7 2.5 0.2
Operating expenses -676.2 -670.0 -6.2
Depreciation and impairment losses -28.9 -29.7 0.8
Operating result 50.7 44.5 6.2
Items affecting comparability, total -0.1 -2.0 2.0
Comparable operating result 50.7 42.5 8.2
% of sales 6.7 5.7 1.0
Growth in sales due to increased delivery volumes• Growth in sales and result was primarily
due to increased delivery volumes• Result was impacted negatively by the
price increase in fresh and recycled fibre, as well as the British pound and the Swedish krona weakening
• Metsä Tissue invests in a new converting line for away-from-home products at the Raubach mill in Germany and a new converting line for consumer products at the Žilina mill in Slovakia
1 November 201734
Comparable operating resultEUR million
Metsä Tissue – Tissue and Cooking Papers
15.8
7.6
13.2
18.6
13.5 13.2
15.8
20.6
17.616.3 16.8
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
Q1/
15
Q2/
15
Q3/
15
Q4/
15
Q1/
16
Q2/
16
Q3/
16
Q4/
16
Q1/
17
Q2/
17
Q3/
17
Q4/
17
Outlook for the business areas 1/2Wood Supply and Forest Services• Wood demand will focus on felling sites to be harvested when the ground is unfrozen and, in terms of
energy wood, on crown wood• Poor harvesting and transportation conditions may impede wood deliveries, particularly in southern Finland
Wood Product Industry• The demand for wood products will remain good, which will be reflected in order book levels higher than
last year in both Kerto® LVL, and birch and spruce plywood• In terms of the UK, the outlook contains seasonal uncertainty due to which delivery volumes in the fourth
quarter are expected to decline
Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry• The pulp markets are expected to remain at the current good level, also in the fourth quarter • The demand for spruce sawn timber will remain good in all main market areas, and inventory levels are
expected to decline• The demand for and market balance of pine sawn timber are likewise expected to remain good
1 November 201736
Summary
Outlook for the business areas 2/2
Paperboard Industry • Growth in the demand for high-quality consumer packaging paperboard made from fresh fibre is
expected to continue in market areas important for Metsä Board• Delivery volumes in October–December are expected to decline slightly in comparison to the
previous quarter, due to the seasonal decline in December
Tissue and Cooking Papers• In the tissue and cooking paper markets, demand is expected to remain stable in all market areas• Demand for tissue paper will increase, particularly in Eastern Central Europe, and demand for
cooking papers in Asia
1 November 201737
Summary
• Metsä Group’s comparable operating result in the last quarter of 2017 is expected to be roughly at the same level as in the third quarter of 2017
1 November 201738
Near-term outlook
Summary