mexico city - avison young 2016-06-13 · consulting & advisory services financial services...
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Mexico CityOffice Market Overview
1Q2016
Founded 1978
Offices 75
Market Locations 59
Real Estate Professionals 2,100+
Brokers 800+
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Key Facts
Transaction Services
Consulting & Advisory Services
Financial Services
Management Services
Corporate Services
Research & Client Services
Mexico CityGDP vs Gross Absorption
Mexico City A+&A Office Market Analysis
Inventory
First Quarter 2016
CBD
SBD
ABD
Total
Service Offerings
Lomas Palmas Polanco Reforma
Mexico City Office Submarkets
CBD
Economic Indicators
Total Population (Mexico)
2014 119 million
2015 122 million
GDP
2014 2.6%
2015 2.5%
Mexico Unemployment Rate
2014 4.3%
2015 4.6%
*Data in square meters
Mexico City A+&A Office Market
AvailabilityVacancy
RateGross
AbsorptionUSD / m2 /
month
SBDBosquesInterlomasLomas AltasSanta Fe
ABDInsurgentesNortePeriférico Sur
Activity Under Construction
2016e Deliveries
2017e Deliveries
UnderProject
2,179,500 256,900 11.8% 32,300 $32.1 253,500 130,800 547,800
58,800 3.7% 20,700 $23.0 70,900 285,600
190,100 13.9% $24.1
65,400
149,300 463,180
9.8% 118,700 $27.4 538,900 351,000 1,296,6005,147,600
1,597,300
1,370,800
505,800
65,700
2018e Deliveries
115,300
58,500
245,500
419,300
220,000
Historical Gross Absorption
• The total inventory at the end of 1Q 2016 was 5,147, 600 million square meters in class A + & A buildings , which means an increase of 1.9% compared to the end of 2015 and an increase of 20% compared to the same period of 1Q2015 .
• The total availability is 505,700 square meters, being the highest recorded since 2013.
• During the first quarter, gross demand where 118,800 square meters of which 29% where in the Insurgentes submarket (34,300m2).
• The vacancy rate showed an increase of 3% over the end of last year.
• Average rent prices showed a decrease during the first three months of 2016, this due to the large supply that exists in the office submarkets, however we estimate that these prices will increase in the coming months.
• The Lomas Palmas corridor shows the higher average rent price with US $ 33.5 / m2 / month and Interlomas is the lowest at US $ 18.4 per m2 per month since it does not have new spaces and buildings under construction.
• During 2015, more than 390,000 m2 finished its construction and is expected that during 2016 more than 630 thousand square meters will integrated to the office total inventory.
• Approximately 1.3 million square meters are under design.
Notable 1Q 2016 Lease Transactions
Sq. Mt. Lease Type Qtr. Tenant Building Submarket
Mexico City Market Overview (A&A+ Office Market)
Overall Vacancy Rate
Average Asking Rent USD / sq m / month
Secretaría de Economía Torre Reforma Latino Reforma 16,000 Relocation 1st
Mapfre Tepeyac Torre Evolución Insurgentes Sur 14,500 Relocation 1st
Comisión Reguladora de Energía Element Corporativo Periférico Sur 12,200 Relocation 1st
CCSI - Compucom GSC Insurgentes 1431 Insurgentes Sur 10,500 Relocation 1st
Centro Nacional de Control de Energía Magna Sur Periférico Sur 4,400 Expansion 1st
Servicios Broxel SAPI Torre Acuario Santa Fe 4,100 Relocation 1st
Iliosson Tecnoparque B Norte 4,000 Relocation 1st
Holcim Quad Campus Corp II Santa Fe 3,200 Relocation 1st
Online Career Center City Shops Valle Dorado Norte 2,700 Renewal 1st
Mexico City Office Market Statistics 1Q 2016
Mexico City Fisrt Quarter Totals
Inventory
5,147,600
Vacancy
9.8%
Vacancy
CBD
11.8%
Inventory
2,179,500
Vacancy
SBD
3.7%
Inventory
1,597,300
Vacancy
ABD
13.9%
Inventory
1,370,800
Historical Gross Absorption Class A+ & A
Q to Q - Market Indicators
Notable 1Q 2016 Lease Transactions (sq m)
Submarket Inventory Construction Pipeline Vacancy Rate Absorption Average Asking Rent Construction Activity
Buildings under Construction
CBD By Numbers
Total Inventory Vacancy Rate Average Asking Rent
CBD Office Overview 1Q2016Average Asking Rent Class A+ & A
Historical Vacancy Rate Class A+ & A
2016 1Q
617,900 10.3% $33.5
926,900 9.1% $31.0
Lomas Palmas
Polanco
Reforma 634,700 17.1% $31.6
Total 2,179,500 12.2% $32.1
2016 1Q 2016 1Q 2015 1Q
612,300
868,400
454,100
1,934,800
9.5%
5.7%
9.9%
8.4%
2015 1Q
$32.9
$34.3
$33.6
$33.6
2015 1Q
*Data in square meters
Secretaría de Economía Torre Reforma Latino
16,000 Relocation
Johnson & JohnsonTorre Reforma
2,300 Relocation
International Finance CorpTorre Reforma 2,200 Relocation
IZA Business Center Torre Concreta 2,000 Pre - lease
Mizuho Bank Torre NYL 1,800 Relocation
2014 2015 2016e 2017e
Lomas Palmas 71,500 6,600 10,500 18,000
Polanco 178,600 54,700 106,600 112,800
Reforma - 170,300 152,100 -
Total 250,100 231,600 269,200 130,800
2018e
8,800
49,700
56,900
115,400
One Marina Park 65,000 m2 - Torre Diana 64,000 m2 - Torre Reforma 40,200 m2 - Torre Cuarzo 40,000 m2 - Miyana Fase I 38,000m2 - Bayer 34,000 m2 - Torre del Ángel II 30,000 m2 - CityZite Polanco32,000 m2 - Latitud Polanco 29,000 m2 - Chapultepec UNO 27,000 m2 -CS169 19,000 m2 - Lago Alberto 375 18,000 m2 - Palmas 78118,000 m2 - Torre Concreta 11,000 m2 - Altezza II 9,000 m2 - Torre Ónix8,500 m2 - FC689 - 7,000 m2 - Qúbica 7,000 m2 - DEK 5,000 m2
Historical Gross Absorption Class A+ & A
Q to Q Market Indicators
Notable 1Q 2016 Lease Transactions (sq m)
Submarket Inventory Construction Pipeline Vacancy Rate Absorption Average Asking Rent Construction Activity
Buildings under Construction
SBD By Numbers
Total Inventory Vacancy Rate Average Asking Rent
SBD Office Overview 1Q2016Average Asking Rent Class A+ & A
Historical Vacancy Rate Class A+ & A
2015 1Q 2016 1Q
299,400 299,400 2.2% 3.3% $27.3 $26.8
99,900 99,900 4.3% 1.3% $21.7 $18.4
Bosques
Interlomas
Lomas Altas
Santa Fe
85,700 85,700 18.0% 14.9% $24.3 $23.3
Total 1,597,300 1,597,300 7.1% 5.7% $22.9 $23.0
2015 1Q 2016 1Q 2015 1Q 2016 1Q
1,112,300 1,112,300 4.0% 3.1% $23.0 $23.5
Servicios Broxel SAPI Torre Acuario
4,100 Relocation
HolcimQuad Campus Corp II
3,200 Relocation
NissanPunta Santa Fe A 1,700 Sub-Lease
Symantec Arcos Torre I 1,400 Renewal
México ProyectosCorporativo Blu 1,300 Relocation
Bosques - - - - -
Interlomas 7,000 - - - -
Lomas Altas - - - 4,500 -
Total 44,000 - 65,400 70,900 58,500
Santa Fe 37,000 - 66,400 58,500
2014 2015 2016e 2017e 2018e
65,400
Park Plaza Torre III 37,000 m2 - DownTown Santa Fe III 26,000 m2
- Quad Torre II 21,700 m2 - Torre Vasco de Quiroga 21,500 m2
- DownTown Santa Fe I 21,400 m2 - Corporativo Corner 19,100 m2
- Prolongación Reforma 627 14,400 m2 - Quad Torre I 11,800 m2 - Vascode Quiroga 621 7,800 m2 - Corporativo Vista Hermosa 5,600m2 - Corporativo DENN 4,400 m2 - Santa Fe Hills 4,100 m2
*Data in square meters
Historical Gross Absorption Class A+ & A
Q to Q Market Indicators
Notable 1Q 2016 Lease Transactions (sq m)
Submarket Inventory Construction Pipeline Vacancy Rate Absorption Average Asking Rent Construction Activity
Buildings under Construction
SBD By Numbers
Total Inventory Vacancy Rate Average Asking Rent
ABD Office Overview 1Q2016Average Asking Rent Class A+ & A
Historical Vacancy Rate Class A+ & A
2015 1Q 2016 1Q
565,800 659,000 3.4% 6.5% $28.0 $26.2
197,600 319,900 21.5% 41.3% $21.3 $20.9
Insurgentes
Norte
Periférico Sur 373,500 391,900 8.6% 3.7% $23.0 $25.1
Total 1,137,000 1,370,800 11.2% 17.2% $24.1 $24.1
2015 1Q 2016 1Q 2015 1Q 2016 1Q
*Data in square meters
Mapfre Tepeyac Torre Evolución
14,500 Relocation
Comisión Reguladora de EnergíaTorre Element 12,200 Relocation
CCSI-Compucom GSC Insurgentes 1431
10,500 Relocation
Centro Nacional de Control de Energía Magna Sur
4,400 Expansion
Iliosson TecnoParque B
4,000 Relocation
2014 2015 2016e 2017e 2018e
93,100 59,500 75,500 87,000
41,700 143,100 -
24,900 97,600 73,800
113,600
44,800
-T otal 109,400 159,700 300,200 149,300 245,400
66,500
24,400
Insurgentes
Norte
Periférico Sur 18,500
Gran Patio Revolución 80,000 m2 - Toreo Torre A 62,900 m2 - Torre Skala 47,500 m2 - Centro Insurgentes Reforma 46,000 m2 - Torre Manacar 46,000 m2 - Carracci 44,400 m2 - Artz Pedregal 1 y II 29,300 m2 - Ford Nasa 36,000 m2 - Corp. Jaime Nuno 33,100 m2 - Torre Cuatro Caminos 30,100 m2 - Insurgentes 929 26,500 m2 - Alfonso Caso 26,300 m2 - IS 1431 25,000 m2 - Corp. Pedregal 3042 22,400 m2 - Torre Boston 21,500 m2 - News Pedregal 18,500 m2 - Insurgentes 700 15,000 m2 - Torre Evolución 12,400 m2 - SJ 2950 12,000 m2 - Insur 1425 11,100 m2 - Distrito Sur 8,300 m2 - Corp. Enlace 6,300 m2
© 2016 Avison Young Commercial Real Estate (Ontario) Inc., Brokerage
E. & O.E.: The information contained herein was obtained from sources which we deem reliable and, while thought to be correct, is not guaranteed by Avison Young.Acknowledgement: Data for graphs, charts and tables used in this report are sourced from Avison Young and Altus InSite. Some of the data in this report has been gathered from third party sources and has not been independently verified by Avison Young. Avison Young makes no warranties or representations as to the completeness or accuracy thereof.
avisonyoung.comFor more information on this report, please contact Avison Young:
Tania Sánchez
Market Research Director México
Avison Young MéxicoProlongación Paseo de la Reforma No. 1015 Piso 4 Torre A Santa FeT 55.4123.7576 M 55.4835.1720