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Social Physics in Health December 2014 Erez Shmueli, PhD

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Social Physics in Health

December 2014

Erez Shmueli, PhD

Social PhysicsSociety enabled by Big-Data

Social physics deals with the question of how to create organizations that are more cooperative, productive, and creative?

The engine that drives social physics is the newly ubiquitous digital data that is becoming available about all aspects of human life.

By using these data to build a predictive, computational theory of human behavior we can hope to engineer better social systems.

Sensing (Datsets):

Call Data Records (CDRs)

Spending data (Credit and Debit cards)

Trading network (eToro)

Reality Mining (Living Labs)

Understanding (Predicting):

Decision making

Popularity vs. quality

Ties (e.g. trust relationships, reciprocity)

Team performance

Network dynamics

Emergencies

Shaping…

Sensing, Understanding and Shaping Social BehaviorSome examples…

The Friends and Family Living LabReality Mining

A revolution in social sciences

Longer duration

Higher measurement rate

Larger sample size

Richer data

Passive collection!!!

Data: 65 young families for one year, every 5 minutesOpen Source System: 1500+ research teams around the world

Social Influence incentive mechanism is 3.5 times as efficient as standard incentive mechanism

65 young families, 3 months data

StandardIncentive

View peer performance

Peer rewardincentive

FunfItUsing social incentives

The SMARTCATCH Living Lab

HistoryPushed questionnairesPassive collection

Eat Healthy

Feedback

Social Signals of EngagementIt’s not what you say. It’s how you say it!

Agent Desktop Not Engaged

Engaged

Low

Dynamism

Halting Speech

High

Dynamism

Balanced and Fluid Interaction

Lots of

Speech

High

Flow

High

Overlap

Low

Flow

Little

Speech

Health SignalsThe sooner the better!

80% accuracy classification

Ginger.io

The 2013 D4D Challenge – Ivory Coast

Orange contributed the 1st Data Commons

90 Research teams from around the world

20% reduction in infectious disease

Medical Teams’ Social BehaviorSensing, Understanding and Shaping

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OpenPDSThe new deal on data

Guiding principles:

You have the right to possess, control and dispose your data

Anonymization is hard

Share answers, instead of raw data

Open-source and Auditable

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Sharing Social Health Data

Field trial application exploring the capacity for personal data to predict mental illnesses

Social health metrics calculated from fine-grained sensor data (calls, SMS, accelerometer, device state)

Collaboration with DARPA and Cogito

Diagnosing veterans with PTSD

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