michel pons_existing space access for small satellites

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  • 8/10/2019 Michel Pons_Existing Space Access for Small Satellites

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    Existing Space Access for small satellites

    Future technical trends and possibilities

    CNES, Launchers Directorate (Evry, France) M. Pons, C. Talbot

    Space Economy in the Multipolar World SEMW2010

    1st Internation al Con ference, Vilni us , Lith uan ia, Octo ber 6-8, 2010

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    All rights reserved CNES (2010)SEMW2010

    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 2

    1 Launchers

    - Existing launchers

    - Some projects - quick zoom on MLA project

    2 Future trends

    - Market analysis

    - Future opportunities

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    All rights reserved CNES (2010)SEMW2010

    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 3

    Europe will soon operate from French Guiana a newfamily of launchers :

    Ariane 5, in its last version (A5ECA) using a 14tcryogenic upper stage propelled by HM7

    Soyuz, in its 1a version, will be first launched

    from Guiana in 2011 Vega, the new developed rocket, will be

    launched from Kourou by end 2011

    This family is adapted to European institutional andcommercial needs with a complete coverage of thepayloads between small to heavy payloads.

    European launchers

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    All rights reserved CNES (2010)SEMW2010

    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 4

    5T2TLEO

    Mini

    10 kg

    Nano Micro

    500 kg100 kg

    Small

    3T400 kg

    1.5T200 kg

    200 kg

    Vega+ project

    20T

    Medium Heavy

    5T

    10T

    5T1.5T

    Vega

    1.4t SSO

    MEO

    GTO

    Escape

    A5ME, BBL & NGL projects

    Ariane 5

    9.5t GTO

    20t ISS5t Mars

    Soyuz/G

    3t GTO

    4.5t SSO1.5t Mars

    Current European offer :

    Performance ranges of Europeanlaunchers and projects in relationto satellite masses.

    Very Heavy

    ?

    Very Small

    PERSEUS

    Project

    European launchers

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    All rights reserved CNES (2010)SEMW2010

    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 5

    European launchersHow to launch very small sats

    Ariane 5 : ASAP-A58x 120 kg (600x600x710mm)

    Soyuz : ASAP-S4x

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    All rights reserved CNES (2010)SEMW2010

    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 6

    Minotaur family (OSC) : LVderived from decommissionedballistic missiles (minutemanII, Peacekeeper), operational(M4&5 in development)

    Performances :M1 500 kg LEOM2 et M3 : Target LV M4 1500kg LEO,M5: GTO compatible

    Pegasus family (OSC) :operational airborne LV(ORS version : Raptor-1).Ground variant (Taurus)

    Performances 200-400kg LEO (Pegasus-XL)

    Falcon-1 (Space-X) : low cost launcher ?

    Performance 200-400 kgLEO, and until 700 kg LEO(Falcon-1E)

    Falcon-1 price < 10M$

    US launchersHow to launch very small sats

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    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 7

    US Responsive Space

    US ORS office vision

    Operationally Responsive Space (USA)

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    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 8

    Quickreach (Air LaunchLLC, FALCON program):Air launch concept

    (internally carried in aC-17 globalstar) indevelopment

    Performance : 400 kgLEO

    Numerous projects more or lessambitious many airborne ideas.

    Scorpius (Microcosm)

    very low cost LV(modular and simpleconception usingadvancedtechnologies)Performance : 250 kgLEO (Sprite)

    US launchers projectsHow to launch very small sats

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    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 9

    Russia Asia, Isral, .. India

    Japan : M5, Epsilon 2013 ?,1300 kg LEO

    Korea, Israel : severalairborne concepts in

    project

    China : projects in

    development ?

    PSLV Core Alone1 100 kg to SSO

    Several airborne projects(Air launch with Antonov,Ishim under Mig-31, etc.)

    No known development

    Numerousconverted Missiles

    (SS18),operational :Dnepr, Rokot,Volna, Shtil ...

    Existing or future projects of launchers

    How to launch very small sats

    April 2008 flight with 10 satellites

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    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 11

    Airborne Launcher - initial mass function of drop conditions

    (same orbit and performance obective)

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

    Flight Path Angle []

    InitialLauncherMass[t]

    Mach 0.0 (0, 5, 10, 15, 20 km)

    Mach 0.8 - 10 km

    Mach 0.8 - 15 km

    Mach 0.8 - 20 km

    Mach 2.0 - 15 km

    Mach 2.0 - 20 km

    Mach 3.0 - 20 km

    under

    Airline

    planes

    on-top Airline planes

    Subsonic sep.

    Fighter aircraft type

    Supersonic sep.

    Fighter Aircraft type

    From Cargo Hold

    Ground ref.

    under

    drones

    balloons

    Virtual planes considered

    Gain on the initial mass of an airborne launcher compared

    to a classical ground take off (objective 300 kg in SSO)

    -25%

    -30%

    -35%

    -40%

    -45%

    -55%

    Pegasus

    Quickreach

    Dedalus

    Shuttle

    MLA

    Ishim

    interest for airborne concepts

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    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 12

    ALD demonstratorPerformance ~ 0

    MLA compact

    Performance ~ 20-50 kgMLA Trimaran

    Performance ~ 150 kgHorus / Falcon*Performance ~ 100-150 kg

    Flex (1st stg reusable)Performance ~ 100 kg

    P2-C0.6

    P9-P2-C0.6 H12-P2-C0.6

    2P3.8-P2-C0.6

    4p0.3-P2-C0.6

    Zoom on MLA concept

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    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 13

    recent multiplication of micro satellite platformsincreasing success of the associated applications

    - Numerous successful technology experiences based on microsats, forScience or Defense with gradual increase in instrument performance- Constant improvement of quality / price ratio- Rebirth of interest for constellations (Rapid eyes, Orbcomm2, numerous

    project worldwide) and formation flying,

    - Increasing number of operational applications accessible :

    communications, intelligence gathering, early warning, space surveillance,different type of observation, etc.,- Evidence of the vulnerability of the big space systems,- Increasing interest for the Responsive Space approach in the USA and

    other countries (China, etc.), which prefer small size in order to reduceglobal costs et delays, and facilitate the implementation of new

    technologies

    Tacsat-1 (USA, ORS)100 kg, conception &

    construction for 10M$ andless than 1 year

    Microsat 70-100 (SSTL, GB):more than 20 satellites ordered

    (70-130 kg), now replaced by anew platform more flexible

    Myriade (Astrium/TAS): more

    than 15 satellites ordered (100-150 kg) et numerous projects

    Market Study

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    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 14

    Euroconsult pour la DLA du CNES Etude prospective du march mondial des petits satellites en orbite basse.

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

    Resolution des petits satellites dobservation lancs (1996-2006) et

    lancer (2007-2009) par masses

    Masses des satellites (kg)

    Resolution au sol (m)

    1996-2006 2007-2009

    Worldview 1 & 2GEOeye-1

    Pleiades

    Rapideye

    Razaksat

    (MACSAT)

    Cartosat-2

    Svea

    Resolution of small observation satellites launched (1996-2006)and to be launched (2007-2009) by mass

    Ground resolution (m)

    Satellite masses (kg)

    Euroconsult for CNES/DLA Prospective study of world market for small LEO satellites

    Market Study

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    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 15

    Mini / Micro sats (10-500 kg)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    # satellites

    Institutionnels Non Europens

    InstitutionnelsEuropens

    Commercial

    Acadmiques

    ralis prvu

    x 2

    46% accessible to European services

    World Market

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    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 16

    First observations

    Offer for access to space for small satellites exists worldwide (Space-XFalcon-1, Pegasus, Taurus, Minotaur, Dnepr, Rockot, Volna, Shtill, PSLVand others ), with known pros and cons.

    Solutions exist in Europe too (Vega, Soyuz via ASAP), less flexible but

    more economic.

    The small satellites market is growing year after year but it remains smalland uncertain in Europe :

    if the accessible market is 10-12 / year, the probable part for a dedicatedEuropean LV is less than 50% (3-4 for

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    SEMW2010

    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 18

    What could create a new impulse ?

    => Potential new capacities exist with new system conceptsGEO / constellation GEO / UAV communication

    split of functions in between GEO, micro-sat, ground

    highly elliptical orbits possibilities

    .

    => For new services which would take advantage of the specificitiesof small satellites

    => In which the need for launch may be different from the existing offer

    are micro-satellites only a smaller replica of bigger satellites ?

    small satellites are an enabling technology for future space systems

    => Need of a long term strategy

    Future trends

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    SEMW2010

    1st International Conference, Vilnius, Lithuania, October 6-8, 2010 Page 19

    Computer analogywith Space ?

    Market Study

    1960 1980 2010

    Performance

    Size

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    SEMW2010P 20

    Existing launch capacities for small satellites are globally notsatisfactory

    The reproduction of the existing bigger satellites at smallerscale is not enough for developing a new adapted launcherservice: many small launchers have been studied, nodevelopment has really started

    Break-through innovation could be brought by thinking thewhole space system in which the micro-satellite becomesan enabling technology for new societal services, togetherwith GEO / ground systems => long term strategy to prepare

    Re-thinking the global space system includes re-defining alsothe launcher functions.These two separate worlds can communicate better

    Conclusions