michigan tact program and evaluation · program outcome evaluation- 3 changes in truck/car crashes...
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Michigan TACT Program and Evaluation
Nicole Zanier, UMTRI Traffic Safety Conference, San Antonio
May 14, 2014
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UMTRI Research Team
Lidia Kostyniuk, PhD PE Daniel Blower, PhD David Eby, PhD
Lisa Molnar, PhD Nicole Zanier, BA Renee St. Louis, MPH
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Background
TACT Program –
High visibility enforcement and PI&E program Funded (in part) through grants from Federal Motor Carrier Safety
Administration (FMCSA) OBJECTIVE - decrease traffic deaths and injuries from large
truck/car crashes Make general driving public more aware of the safe ways to interact with
large vehicles Give large trucks more room and maneuverability.
Pilot program – Washington State -2004 – Successful FMCSA encouraged more States to implement TACT programs
Alabama, Georgia, N. Carolina, Nevada, Indiana, Rhode island, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Texas, Washington, Kentucky, Oregon, S. Dakota, N. Jersey, Maine
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2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011PDO 14,939 14,092 13,897 14,058 13,170 10,946 11,639 11,453 8,591 8,807 8,909Injury 3,217 3,264 3,184 3,216 2,959 2,493 2,509 2,405 1,777 1,829 1,903Fatal 134 137 117 132 122 127 126 104 74 93 73
0
20
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60
80
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2,000
4,000
6,000
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12,000
14,000
16,000
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PDO Injury Fatal
Large Truck Involvements in Michigan by Crash Severity, 2001-2011*
* Source: Blower and Kostyniuk, Strategies to Reduce CMV-Involved Crashes, Fatalities, and Injuries in Michigan: 2013 Update
Large Truck Crash Involvements in Michigan decreasing
But, there is room for improvement TACT Program
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MI OHSP receives grant for TACT implementation program
from FMCSA in FY2013 – UMTRI to conduct the
evaluation portion Process evaluation-
- How was the program conducted?
OHSP Grant to UMTRI to assist in developing TACT
implementation grant application to FMCSA -
Involves crash analysis to identify TACT program
locations, evaluation design
Michigan OHSP TACT Planning Grant from
FMCSA - FY 2012
Michigan TACT Program Enforcement on TACT corridors
Media and public outreach campaigns Three 2-week waves in Oct, Nov, Dec
2013.
Program outcome evaluation - What did the program
accomplish?
Evaluation
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Selecting TACT Program and Comparison Sites
UMTRI reviewed previous
TACT programs (reports, interviews)
UMTRI selected a study design - before/after comparisons at TACT program sites and similar sites with no TACT program
Examined locations of two-vehicle crashes in Michigan 2006-2010 of trucks and cars that involved aggressive action of either driver
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Selecting TACT Program and Comparison Sites
Selected 2 pairs of corridors based on comparisons of:
• Road type • Crash rate • Traffic volumes • % Large truck traffic • Large truck volume • Location in state
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MI TACT Program
3 Waves - Oct 7-18, Nov 4-15, Dec 2-13 High Visibility Enforcement on TACT Corridors
• M-F, 7 am – 7 pm • 6 law enforcement agencies (Michigan State
Police, Kent County Sheriff, Ottawa County Sheriff, Grand Rapids, Walker, and Wyoming Police Departments)
• Targeting – passenger vehicles and trucks – Improper lane use, careless and reckless driving, – Following too closely, failure to yield right of way.
Media and PI&E Campaigns
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Enforcement Results
Enforcement hours: 2,061 Stopped nearly 3,000 vehicles Issued over 2,500 citations –
mostly speeding and following too closely Approximately 14% of cited were commercial
motor vehicle drivers.
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Media and PI&E Events Press conference kick-off, interviews reporter ride-alongs
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Billboards, Public Event at Walmart, TV news stories, reporter ride-alongs, interviews, radio spots, newspapers
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Evaluation
Process Evaluation
Program Evaluation Design - Before/After with Comparisons
What changed in TACT sites after program in comparison to similar sites where TACT was not implemented?
• Changes in Knowledge & Awareness • Changes in Unsafe Driving Behaviors • Changes in Truck/Car Crashes
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Process Evaluation How was the program conducted?
Enforcement - A record of all activities related to TACT enforcement effort, including dates, location, agencies involved, levels of effort, etc.
Structured in-person interviews with police agencies
Communications – A record of all activities/outcomes of TACT-related communications effort, including dates, venues, media mode, level of effort, etc.
UMTRI received OHSP records of the TACT enforcement, communications and outreach activities
STATUS - tallying the counts, finishing interviews, developing report
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Program Outcome Evaluation-1
Changes in Knowledge and Awareness
Method: Before and After Surveys
Driver population: Telephone survey – random sample of drivers in program and comparison areas
Truck drivers: Paper/pencil questionnaires at trucking firms
Analysis: statistical survey analysis methods Status: all survey data collection completed. analyses- not completed.
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Status – all survey data collection completed. analyses- not completed.
Truck driver survey responses 184 before, 132 after
General public survey responses 404 before, 402 after
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Program Outcome Evaluation-2 Changes in Unsafe Driving Behaviors
Method - Observational study of selected driving behavior -- passing and merging maneuvers near large trucks On TACT and Comparison corridors Before TACT – September 2013 After TACT – January 2014 (Feb, March) Protocols
• UMTRI observer rides in large truck • Identify, classify maneuver (safe, unsafe, maybe
unsafe) Analysis – statistical comparative analysis Status – data collection completed, initial tabulations of data completed
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Two UMTRI observers rode along with MI State police from Niles Post to get familiar with police procedures (what do police see, when do they stop/ticket vehicle?) Observers tested protocols in UMTRI trucks (from Connected Vehicle project) along comparison corridor in August 2013 Achieved high inter-observer reliability
Observer Training
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TACT Program Corridors
TACT Comparison Corridors
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Observations Each site (TACT 1&2, Comparison 3&4)
Two 8-hr days of observations in each study period. Observers alternated – so each observer was at each of the 4 sites once in each study period September observation schedule
SEPTEMBER 2013
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13 14
15
16 Site 1,3 10 am -
7 pm
17 Site 2,4 7 am- 4 pm
18 Site 3 7 am- 4 pm
19 Site 2,4 10 am -
7 pm
20 Site 1 7 am- 4 pm
21
22 23 24 25 26 27 28
29 30
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Second set of observations (after completion of TACT program) scheduled for week of January 6.
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Observation dates January, February, March
FEBRUARY 2014 Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
16
17 Site 3 10am-7 pm
18 19 20 21 22
23
24 Site 1
10 am- 7 pm
25 Site 2 7am- 4 pm
26
27 Site 2
10 am-7 pm
28 Site 1 7 am- 4 pm
MARCH 2014 Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
16 17 18
19 Site 4 10 am – 7 pm
20 Site 4
7 am – 4 pm
21 Site 3 7 am- 4 pm
22
23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
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Comparison of Lane Change Maneuver
Corridor Time Period
Number and classification of lane change maneuvers
All Safe Unsafe/Maybe Using Signal
TACT Before
1199 (100%)
1164 (97%)
35 (3%)
684 (57%)
After 1004
(100%) 956
(95%) 48
(5%) 599
(60%)
Comparison Before 945
(100%) 857
(91%) 88
(9%) 584
(62%)
After 665
(100%) 627
(94%) 38
(6%) 465
(70%)
Safe lane change TACT sites 97% 95% Comparison sites 91 % 94%
Used signal in lane change TACT sites 57% 60% Comparison sites 62% 70%
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Comparison of Merge Maneuver
Corridor Time Period
Number and classification of merge maneuvers
All Safe Unsafe/Maybe Using Signal
TACT Before
203 (100%)
184 (91%)
19 (9%)
146 (72%)
After 132
(100%) 116
(88%) 16
(12%) 95
(72%)
Comparison Before
97 (100%)
85 (88%)
12 (12%)
48 (49%)
After 69
(100%) 66
(95%) 3
(4%) 35
(51%)
Safe Merge TACT sites 91% 88% Comparison sites 88% 95%
Used signal in merge TACT sites 72% 72% Comparison sites 49% 51%
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Program Outcome Evaluation- 3 Changes in Truck/Car Crashes
Data Michigan crash data Program and Comparison corridors Monthly crash data through 6 months
after TACT program Analysis – Statistical comparison using time series models Present Status - adding current monthly crash records to analyze data files of all crashes and CMV-involved crashes - for state and on TACT and comparison corridors.
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Our “Still to Do” List (mostly - complete analyses and write report)
Complete analysis of telephone survey data Complete analysis of pencil/paper truck driver survey Finish interviews with law enforcement Complete analysis of observational data of passing and merging
behavior Conduct crash data analysis Document the study Final Report due date – Sept 30, 2014
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Thank you!
Questions?