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    Lecture 3: Consumer

    Behavior and Welfare

    Professor: David Cheong

    MicroeconomicsSAIS Johns Hopkins

    Bologna Center

    (PreTerm 2010)

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    Lecture Outline

    Case Study: Food Stamps

    Individual Demand

    Case Study: A Two-Part Tariff

    Income and Substitution Effects

    Case Study: Labor Supply

    Measuring the Welfare of Consumers

    Case Study: The US Sugar Import Quota

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    Case Study: Food Stamps

    Using the consumer-choice framework:

    The Budget Line

    IIs household money income

    PF and PA are prices of food and all other goods

    S is amount of food stamps. Each stamp is redeemable for 1

    unit of food. Stamps cannot be exchanged for cash. Preferences

    Typical downward-sloping indifference curves.

    What does the model predict regarding:1. The change in food consumption given foods stamps?

    2. Whether

    a household prefers foods stamps or an equivalent cashtransfer?

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    Case Study: Food Stamps

    Food (units)

    O

    All OtherGoods(units) R

    FCASH

    CCASH

    A1

    What happens to the budget line

    given food stamps, S?What is the consumers new optimal

    choice?

    What happens to thebudget line given a cash-equivalent transfer of S*PF?

    Optimal choice?

    F1

    A2

    Consider a differentconsumer who has moreof a preference for othergoods than food. How dothe effects of food stamps

    differ from the cash-equivalent transfer?

    F2

    FKIND

    FKIND

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    Individual Demand or The Effects ofPrice Changes on Quantity

    Each price leads todifferent amounts of

    food purchased5

    U3

    D

    4

    U2

    B

    12 20

    Assume: I =$20 PC = $2 PF =$2, $1, $0.50

    Food (unitsper month)

    Clothing

    6 A

    U1

    4

    10

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    Individual Demand or The Effects ofPrice Changes on Quantity

    Each price leads todifferent amounts of

    food purchased5

    U3

    D

    4

    U2

    B

    12 20

    Assume: I =$20 PC = $2 PF =$2, $1, $0.50

    Food (unitsper month)

    Clothing

    6 A

    U1

    4

    10

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    Effect of a Price Change

    By changing pricesand showing what theconsumer will

    purchase, we cancreate a demandschedule and demandcurve for the individual

    From the previousexample:

    Demand Schedule

    P Q

    $2.00 4

    $1.00 12

    $0.50 20

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    Effect of a Price Change

    Demand Curve

    Individual Demand relatesthe quantity of a good thata consumer will buy to the

    price of that good.

    Food (unitsper month)

    Priceof Food

    H

    E

    G

    $2.00

    4 12 20

    $1.00

    $.50

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    The Cobb-Douglas Utility Function

    A widely-used mathematical representation of

    consumer preferences.

    Fulfils the 3 assumptions of rationality.

    On a graph, this utility function comes out as

    indifference curves that are convex to the origin In general, the Cobb-Douglas utility function is:

    U(X,Y) = CXaYb , where a, b, and Care positive

    constants. Ifa + b= 1, then one special property of this

    function is that the consumer will always spendthe same share of her budget on a good

    regardless of income level or prices.

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    n xamp e o aCobb-Douglas Utility Function

    Suppose that a consumers utility function is

    U(X,Y) = X0.6Y0.4 MUX = (U/ X) = 0.6X

    -0.4Y0.4

    MUY = (U/ Y) = 0.4Y-0.6X0.6

    Therefore, the MRS = 0.6X

    -0.4

    Y

    0.4

    / 0.4Y

    -0.6

    X

    0.6

    = 3Y/2XAt the optimal choice, MRS = Px/Py 3Y/2X = Px/Py

    The optimal choice must also be on the budget

    line, i.e. PxX+PyY = I or Y=(I PxX)/Py

    Substitute for Y in the eq. above to get:

    PxX = 3I/5 = 0.6I

    Note the share of income spent on X is constant.

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    n xamp e o aCobb-Douglas Utility Function

    Rearranging the previous equation, the optimal

    choice of X is: X = 0.6I/Px Suppose the consumers income is $1000, then the

    consumers demand for good X is X = 600/Px Note the consumers demand for good X does not

    involve the price of Y.

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    0 50 100 150

    Price

    Quantity

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    Estimating aCobb-Douglas Utility Function Given

    Observed Expenditure Shares

    Suppose we observe that a consumer spends40% of his income on mobile communication andthe rest on other goods.

    Assuming that the consumers preferences canbe represented by a Cobb-Douglas utility functionwith parameters that sum to 1, what is the

    consumers utility function?

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    There are many goods (e.g. phone plans, health clubs, barswith cover charges) for which a consumer must pay a fixedaccess(or entry) charge and a unit charge for each unit bought.

    Consider phone plans. Suppose: (i) plan A has no accesscharge but a unit charge of $0.05 while plan B has a certainfixed access charge (F) and a unit charge of $0.01.

    If a firm had information about a consumers demand, the firmcould extract the maximum fixed access charge. How would itdo so?

    Suppose (i) Other goods cost $1 per unit, (ii) The consumer

    has $1000 as income, and (iii) The consumers utility function isU(M,G) = M0.4G0.6

    Solving for the optimal choice under plan A,

    M = 0.4*1000/0.05 = 8,000 and G = 0.6*1000/1 = 600

    This bundle yields a total utility of 8,0000.46000.6 = 673

    Case Study: A Two-Part Tariff

    C ti th M i Fi d F i

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    Computing the Maximum Fixed Fee in aTwo-Part Tariff

    The maximum access fee that can be imposed for

    plan B is when the consumer is indifferent betweenplan A and plan B (i.e., total utility must be the same).If the consumer prefers plan B to A, then the accessfee can be increased. If the consumer prefers plan Ato B, then the access fee is too much.

    As computed, utility under plan A is 673 Solving for the optimal choice under plan B, M = 0.4*(1000-F)/0.01 = 40,000-40F and G = 0.6*(1000-

    F)/1= 600 0.6F

    Plugging these into the consumers utility function andsetting it equal to 673 yieldsM0.4G0.6 = (40,000-40F)0.4(600 0.6F )0.6 = 673 This is a scary equation in F. So, well use Excel to

    help us solve for F.

    C ti th M i Fi d F i

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    Fixed Fee Utility786$ 689

    787$ 686

    788$ 682

    789$ 679

    790$ 676

    791$ 673

    792$ 670

    793$ 666

    794$ 663

    795$ 660

    796$ 657797$ 653

    798$ 650

    799$ 647

    800$ 644

    Computing the Maximum Fixed Fee in aTwo-Part Tariff

    Excel Formula

    ((40000-40*F)^0.4)*((600 -0.6*F)^0.6)

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    Income and Substitution Effects

    A change in the price of a good has twoeffects:

    Substitution Effect

    Income Effect

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    Income and Substitution Effects

    Substitution Effect

    The substitution effect is the change in anitems consumption associated with a changein the price of the item, with the level of utilityheld constant

    When the price of an item declines, thesubstitution effect always leads to an increase

    in the quantity demanded of the good

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    Income and Substitution Effects

    Income Effect

    The income effect is the change in an itemsconsumption brought about by the increase inpurchasing power, with the price of the itemheld constant

    When a persons real income increases, thequantity demanded for the product may

    increase or decrease

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    Income and SubstitutionEffects: Normal Good

    Food (units

    per month)O

    Clothing(units per

    month) R

    F1

    S

    C1 A

    U1

    The income effect, EF2,(from Dto B) keeps relativeprices constant butincreases purchasing power.

    Income Effect

    C2

    F2

    T

    U2

    B

    When the price of food falls,consumption increases by F1F2as the consumer moves from Ato B.

    ETotal Effect

    SubstitutionEffect

    D

    The substitution effect, F1E,(from point A to D), changes therelative prices but keeps utility constant.

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    Food (units

    per month)

    O

    R

    Clothing(units per

    month)

    F1 SF2 T

    A

    U1

    E

    SubstitutionEffect

    D

    Total Effect

    Since food is aninferior good, theincome effect is

    negative. However,the substitution effect

    is larger than theincome effect.

    B

    Income Effect

    U2

    Income and SubstitutionEffects: Inferior Good

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    Income and Substitution Effects

    A Special Case: The Giffen Good

    The income effect may theoretically be largeenough to cause the demand curve for a good

    to slope upward

    This rarely occurs and is of little practicalinterest

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    The Lump Sum Principle

    Lump-sum principle holds that taxes imposed onincome will have smaller welfare costs than taxesimposed on commodities.

    Suppose an individual initially hasI0dollars to spend andchooses to consume F0 and C0 , yielding U0 utility.

    Tax on Food raises its price, resulting in a pivoted budget lineI1

    and consumption reduced to F1, C1 and utility level U1.An income tax that generates same total tax revenue is

    represented by budget constraintI2 that must goes though F1,C1. With an income tax, the consumers optimal choice is F2, C2.

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    Lump-Sum Principle

    Food (unitsper month)O

    Clothing(units per

    month)

    Income Effect

    F0

    U0

    A

    Total Effect

    SubstitutionEffect

    R

    F1

    C1 B

    U1

    C0C

    U2

    C2

    F2

    Assume: Food andClothing are Normal

    GoodsB

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    The Lump Sum Principle

    Intuitive explanation of lump-sum principle: single-commodity tax affects consumers in two ways:

    Reduces purchasing power,

    Directs consumption away from good being taxed.

    The lump-sum tax only has first of these two effects.

    Therefore, the consumer is better off with the lump-sum tax rather than the commodity tax.

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    Case Study: Labor Supply

    For most households, the most important source of income is from

    work. The work decision is a choice of how to allocate timebetween labor and leisure (and/or household production).

    We can use the consumption choice framework to analyze thisdecision:

    The consumer chooses a stylized bundle that containsconsumptions goods (C) and leisure hours (N).

    To simplify, the price of a unit of C is $1. Let the hourly wage be wper hour.

    Recall that the budget equation makes total expenditure equal

    total income. The consumers total expenditure on consumption issimply C. Total income depends on the number of hours worked.Suppose that the consumer has 16*7=112 hours in a week toallocate between laborand leisure. So, the consumers totalincome is (112-N)w.

    The budget line equation: C = w(112-N) or 1C + wN = w*112

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    Case Study: Labor Supply

    From previous slide, the budget-line equation: C = w(112-N)or 1C + wN = w*112

    The second equation shows us:The price of an hour of leisure is the opportunity cost, which is the

    hourly wage, w.

    The total cost of the consumers chosen bundle of consumption andleisure must equal the value of his/her time endowment (which is theproduct of the wage rate and the total hours to be allocated betweenlabor and leisure).

    The consumers preferences over consumption goods and

    leisure can be represented by downward-sloping indifferencecurves that are convex to the origin (i.e., the typicalindifference curves that we have used so far). We assume thatleisure and consumption goods are normal goods.

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    Case Study: Labor Supply

    Leisure (hoursin a week)O

    ConsumptionGoods(units) R

    N1

    C3

    C1

    T=112

    The slope of the budget line = -W/1.Suppose that the wage rate rises,

    what happens to the budget line?

    What happens to theoptimal choice of leisurehours? Work hours?

    N2

    C2

    Suppose that the wage

    rate rises again, whathappens to the budgetline? What happens to theoptimal choice of leisurehours? Work hours?

    N3

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    Leisure (hoursin a week)O

    ConsumptionGoods(units) R

    T=112

    The Decision Not to Workis a Corner Solution

    Note the shape of theindifference curves. Whatdoes this imply about theconsumers marginal rate

    of substitution between

    consumption goods andleisure?

    At a corner solution like theone in the diagram, theMRS is not equal to the

    price ratio. What is therelationship between thetwo? How do we interpretthis relationship?

    ase u y: o am es w

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    ase u y: o am es wDependent Children (AFDC)

    Leisure (hoursin a week)O

    ConsumptionGoods(units) R

    NR1

    CR1

    10

    T=112

    These programs provide cash to families withdependent children and an absent or incapacitated

    parent. They have been used in the US, Europe, andother countries.

    In the US version, the aidrecipient would get a grant,say $10, but the grantwould be reduced by $1 for

    each $1 earned by working.How do we draw theconsumers budget under

    this program?

    NG

    CGWhat are the work

    incentives of thisprogram?

    102

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    Price Changes andConsumer Welfare

    We have seen that price changes take theconsumer from one indifference curve toanother

    Can we say something quantitative aboutthe effect of a given price change on theconsumers welfare?

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    Consumer Welfare

    Can we measure in monetary terms the effect of aprice change on the consumers utility (well-being)?

    Economists use three concepts:Compensating variation: what change in income would

    restore the consumers utility to what it was before theprice change

    Equivalent variation: what change in the consumers

    income would have an equal effect on the consumersutility as the price change

    Change in consumer surplus

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    Quantifying A Change in Welfare:The Problem

    x

    A

    Suppose the consumer'soptimal choice is now A

    let the Price of good X

    fall...after a price fall, theconsumer is better off at B,but by how much?

    U'

    B

    y

    U0

    How do we

    quantify this gap?

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    The Compensating Variation (CV)

    x

    B

    A

    U0

    The Price of good x falls

    The original utility level isthe reference point

    Original

    prices

    New

    price

    CV is reduction in incometo make consumer just aswell off as before price fall

    y

    CV

    C

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    The Equivalent Variation (EV)

    x

    B

    A

    U1

    The Price of good x falls

    The new utility level is nowthe reference point

    Original

    prices

    New

    price

    EV is increase in income that

    raises utility to as much as theprice fall would have.

    y

    EV

    E

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    Consumer Surplus

    It can be shown that, given a change in price,the monetary measure of a change inconsumer surplus is between themeasures of compensating and equivalent

    variations.As such, consumer surplus is an approximate

    measure of changes in consumer welfare butuseful because it is easily applied.

    To apply it, all we need to have is the demandfunction whereas with CV and EV we wouldneed individual consumer preferences.

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    Price ($/unit)

    15

    An IndividualsDemand

    Quantity(units)

    Consumer Surplus

    11

    9

    1510 20

    7

    On each unit of the good, there is a surplus that is thedifference between the maximum amount a consumer iswilling to pay for that unit and the amount actually paid(i.e. market price).

    Consumer Surplus is thus calculated as the area underthe demand curve and above the market price. What is

    consumer surplus if the market price is $9? $7?

    The concept also applies in the same wayto market demand

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    Case Study:The US Sugar Import Quota

    1. Consider a supply and demand model of the US market for raw sugar.Draw one supply curve involving only domestic supply and anothersupply curve that combines both domestic supply and imports of 1.2million metric tons under the quota. To simplify, ignore above-quotaimports and non-quota imports from Mexico.

    2. The articles states that the US price of raw sugar is about 35 cents perpound. 1 metric ton corresponds to 2204.6 lbs. So, the US price of rawsugar is about $772 per metric ton. Indicate this price in your diagramin (1).

    3. 85% of the US raw sugar market is supplied by domestic producerswith the other 15% imported. Suppose that the 15% corresponds to the1.2 million metric tons of imported sugar (i.e., ignore above-quota andnon-quota imports). This implies that the total quantity traded of rawsugar in the US is 8 million metric tons with US producers supplying 6.8million metric tons. Indicate the total quantity traded, the quantitysupplied by only US producers, and the quantity imported in yourdiagram in (1).

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    Case Study:The US Sugar Import Quota

    4. The global price of sugar is at about 20 cents per pound, whichcorresponds to $441 per metric ton. If US raw sugar consumersfaced the global price instead of the domestic price, show thequantity demanded of raw sugar on your diagram. Does thisexceed the current quantity traded?

    5. The article states that, Imperial Sugar Co., the nation's secondlargest buyer of sugar behind Domino Foods Inc., wants thegovernment to almost double the quota to 2.2 million tons.Suppose that US demand for raw sugar has an insignificanteffect on the global price. What effect will an increase in theimport quota have on the domestic price of raw sugar in the US?

    6. What effect will an increase in the sugar import quota have on

    domestic sugar production?

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    Case Study:The US Sugar Import Quota

    7. Suppose that the new quota requested by Imperial Sugar Co.results in a quantity supplied (combining domestic supply andimports) that equals quantity demanded at the global price. Whymust this market equilibrium quantity be less than 9.2 million

    tons?

    8. Suppose that the market equilibrium quantity is 9 million tons.Indicate this in your diagram in (1) and compute the increase inconsumer surplus.

    9. Given the assumptions in (4) and (6) above, will relaxing thesugar import quota to allow more than 2.2 million tons of importshave an effect on the US market for raw sugar?