mics-asia phase iii - htap › meetings › 2013 › 2013_04 › files... · mics-asia iii •...
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MICS-Asia Phase IIIWork Plan - 2013 +
GREG CARMICHAEL, ZIFA WANG, AND HAJIME AKIMOTO
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MICS-Asia III • Evaluate the capabilities and uncertainties
of current air quality models in Asia simulations and provide multi-model estimates of pollution distributions.
• Develop and test anthropogenic emission inventories in Asia.
• Evaluate predicted aerosol-weather-climate interactions.
• Prediction of future pollution levels for future emission scenarios.
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MICS-III TOPICS• Topic 1: Model Intercomparison
(Leaders: Z. Wang, K. Yamaji and J. Fu)
• Topic 2: Inter-comparison of emission inventory (Leaders: J. Woo, T. Ohara, and Q. Zhang)
• Topic 3: Air Quality/Weather/Climate Interactions
(Leaders: Greg Carmichael, ZW Han, Yafang Cheng)
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Topic 1: Model Intercomparison
1.1 ObjectiveTopic 1 (model inter-comparison) aims to evaluate strengths and weaknesses of current air quality models for air quality simulation and prediction and to provide techniques to reduce uncertainty and improve performance over Asia.
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1.2 Key Topics(1) Assess the capabilities of current models
to reproduce pollutant concentrations under highly polluted conditions (Regional Haze and High Ozone);
(2) Quantify uncertainties due to physical and chemical processes) and model resolution (horizontal and vertical) in air quality predictions;
(3) Investigate the predicted responses in pollution levels to specific emissions perturbations.
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1.3 Activities 2013+(1) To submit inputs for all the participated
models;(2) To submit base year model simulations
participants and compare models to the best available observational data;
(3) To perform model simulation for air quality responses in various areas to specific emission perturbations by all participants: Source-receptor relationship and future projections;
(4) To perform model simulation for sensitivity analysis and future projection by all the participants.
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(1) Participant models (committed as of 3/10/2013)
Global models: CHASER (Sudo), GEOS-Chem (Yuxuan), GEATM(Zifa), GEM-MACH(Sunling), CAM-chem(Loues), CUCTUS (Hong Liao), expect others …..Regional models: CMAQ(Yamaji 4.7.1, Fu 5.0.1, Narisara [Southest Asia domain nested 2]), CAMx(Zifa), NAQPMS(Zifa),TAQM (Lin and Genhui), WRF-Chem(Greg, Chuan-yao), STEM-2011(Xuemei), CUACE(Sunling), GEOS-chem nested , LOTUS -TNO, PATH (Fung, HK), RAMS-CMAQ (Meigen), CMAQ(Hung, Southeast Asia domain with Narisara), expect others
Full year of 2010: First Due Date - August 31, 2013. Priority periods for further analysis: January 2013January, March , July, December, 2010; Due: August 31, 2013
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Model domain and simulation period Model domain
GlobalNortheast Asia & Southeast – Megacities
Region domains: East Asia, including Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia (15S—70N; 70E—160E). Smaller domain: including the main megacities (Beijing, Tokyo, Guangzhou). Boundary conditions: provided by Global model
Simulation periodFull period 2008-2010: simulated by some models, first priority 2010
Severe pollution case in January 2013: all models considering influences of emission variation (e.g. heating period) and meteorological condition.
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Domains
D1 : 185*183 (45km)
D2 : 220*202(15km)
D3 : 226*283(5km)
Vert: 40 layers with 20 < 2000m
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• Gridded emissionAnthropogenic emissions: March 31, 2013Mosaic national emission inventories of China, Japan, Korea, India ,Thailand.Other anthropogenic emission, such as aircraft and shipping emissions
Natural emissions datasets: April 30, 2013Biomass burning, Biogenic, Volcano, Dust, Sea-salt, Soil NOxand HONO, Lightning NOx
(2) Inputs for all the participated models
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Components of MIX inventory Qiang Zhang, Meng Li, Jun-ichiKurokawa, Toshimasa Ohara, and Jung-Hun Woo - with contribution from Kebin He, Zbigniew Klimont, Zifeng Lu, Yu Song, and David Streets
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• Meteorological fields (evaluated)Reference meteorology provided using the same WRF)
• Boundary conditionsTo be prepared by a global model,
CHASER or GEOS-chem.• Observation data (still being compiled/finalized)
Lidar monitoring data in IAP and other sites ; Pollution concentration observed data in Beijing and area (24 sites) in 2010 (By Prof. Yuesi Wang) ; EANET data for 2008-2010CMA, others…
(2) Inputs for all the participated models
April 30, 2013
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Capacity• ACAP-IAP Joint Center (JICAM) SupportJoint International Center on Air Quality Modeling Studies (JICAM)
• Two Staff (data analysis technician, secretary) ,1 post Doc (April, 2013) and two Master Students
• IPCC technique (Ftp site) to exchange the data
• LAPC Super-computer (25 TFLOPS, 25万亿次),192T to be ready on March 31, 2013
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Collaboration with ABC modeling group (1)
ID: abcmemberPW: Nov18abc
Description of modelincluding 12 models
View model results(Using browser)
How to participate this work
Configuration of server
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Building web system for ABC modeling group (2)
Select one model
Select (several) parameters with the range
Select domain and period
Snapshot or Average?
Start to make figures
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Synergetic work system• Check data collection system
– Agreements; data format; servers; calibrations• Paths from Observations to Impact Studies
– servers; requests to/from Impact Study G. and Observatory G.• IAP: Intensive Analysis Period (from August 2011)
– Target periods; which parameters• Inventory construction
Data Center(ROAP)
Data Analysis Center(SNU)
Modeling G. Data Collection
(UT)
Impact Study Groups
Observatories
variablesmappingsimpact studies
formats
1st analysis
2nd analysis
archive and distribution
comparison
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This week – how to maximize coordination with HTAP
• Encourage wide participation – will send out website with final description/details.
• Coordinate with other HTAP tasks to define additional experiments/analysis &/or model outputs from the MICS runs.
• What global models may be used for BCs.• Discuss S/R activities.• Coordinate/utilize HTAP IT for model/obs
evaluation, etc.
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