APRIL 2016

Share of Migrants ReturningSource: Listening to Tajikistan

MigrationShare of Households with Migrants Q1 2015 16% F2F

Share of Households with Migrants in Latest Round 23% L2TJK

Share of Migrants that are Head of Household 20% L2TJK

RemittancesTotal Average value of remittances (TJS) 917.58 L2TJK

Bottom 40 914.31 L2TJKUpper 60 926.87 L2TJK

12% L2TJK

Source: Listening to Tajikistan from 12-May-15 to 09-Apr-16

Remittance Frequency Share of Migrants Currently WorkingSource: Listening to Tajikistan Source: Listening to Tajikistan

Household Average Real Value of Remittances Preferred Migation DestinationSource: Listening to Tajikistan Source: Listening to Tajikistan. Note: "Other" response not included.

Household Average Real Value of Remittances Average Real PC Income: by HHS with and without MigrantsSource: Listening to Tajikistan Source: Listening to Tajikistan

LISTENING TO TAJIKISTAN

MIGRATION

Average Share of HHs Receiving 1 Remittance or more (10

days)

Migrants

Remittances

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

70%

72%

74%

76%

78%

80%

82%

84%

86%

88%

90%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

In comparison to one month ago, migrant sending...

More money than before The same amount as before Less money than before

Do not know Do not know

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

All Urban Rural

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

80%

82%

84%

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

Russia (Left) Kazakhstan (Right)

Kaz

akh

stan

Ru

ssia

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

All B40 T60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

160

All Migrants Non-Migrants

ADDITIONAL INFOThe support of UK-DFID in the design phase of this instrument is gratefully acknowledged.

Project Webpage: http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/tajikistan/brief/listening2tajikistan

QUESTIONS?Contact Joao Pedro Wagner De Azavedo (jazevedo@worldbank.org), William Hutchins Seitz (wseitz@worldbank.org),

Alisher Rajabov (arajabov@worldbank.org)

Data DescriptionListening2Tajikistan is a phone-based high-frequency panel survey of households designed to

track the impact of the economic downturn in Russia on livelihoods in Tajikistan. The survey instrument includes questions on a variety of themes, including income, employment, migration, wellbeing, and services. The sample of 800 was drawn from a nationally representative face-to-face survey of 3000 households conducted in the spring of 2015, and fieldwork commenced in May 2015. Households were initially interviewed in 10-day intervals, moving to two-week intervals following the sixth wave of data collection. Responses reported in this note are weighted for representativeness and for non-response, and households that refused to participate (or otherwise drop out) were replaced with another household from the same primary sampling unit.

Reference: HH—Households L2TJK—Listening2Tajikistan F2F—Face-to-FaceT60—Top 60% B40—Bottom 40% Meta—Meta Data

55

65

75

85

95

105

115

05

-01

-20

15

05

-12

-20

15

05

-23

-20

15

06

-03

-20

15

06

-14

-20

15

06

-25

-20

15

07

-06

-20

15

07

-17

-20

15

07

-28

-20

15

08

-08

-20

15

08

-19

-20

15

08

-30

-20

15

09

-10

-20

15

09

-21

-20

15

10

-02

-20

15

10

-13

-20

15

10

-24

-20

15

11

-04

-20

15

11

-15

-20

15

11

-26

-20

15

12

-07

-20

15

12

-18

-20

15

12

-29

-20

15

01

-09

-20

16

01

-20

-20

16

01

-31

-20

16

02

-11

-20

16

02

-22

-20

16

03

-04

-20

16

03

-15

-20

16

03

-26

-20

16

04

-06

-20

16

04

-17

-20

16

04

-28

-20

16

05

-09

-20

16

Exchange Rates (1 May 2015= 100)

RUB TJS RUB USD KZT TJS

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

r1

r10

r19

r28

r37

r46

r55

r64

r73

r82

r91

r10

0

r10

9

r11

8

r12

7

r13

6

r14

5

r15

4

r16

3

r17

2

r18

1

r19

0

r19

9

r20

8

r21

7

r22

6

r23

5

r24

4

r25

3

r26

2

r27

1

r28

0

r28

9

Interviews Completed by Date and Round

12-May-15 23-May-15 04-June-15 14-June-15 26-June-15 06-July-15

16-Aug-15 3-Sept-15 20-Sept-15 6-Oct-15 21-Oct-15 10-Nov-15

21-Dec-15 31-Jan-16 03-Mar-16 09-Apr-16

Subpop 12-May-15 23-May-15 04-June-15 14-June-15 26-June-15 06-July-15 16-Aug-15 3-Sept-15 20-Sept-15 6-Oct-15 21-Oct-15 10-Nov-15 21-Dec-15 31-Jan-16 03-Mar-16 09-Apr-16

Variable

Real remittance income (Somoni) total 1077.4 1036.8 1260.3 840.8 996.8 735.7 631.8 785.1 842.3 814.2 1024.0 1181.0 774.4 768.8 1063.9 848.1

Real remittance income (Somoni) urban 1391.2 732.9 1248.8 600.2 965.7 905.4 501.3 905.8 883.8 996.6 1068.4 1881.1 701.7 538.8 1170.9 676.3

Real remittance income (Somoni) rural 1016.6 1136.2 1263.6 917.3 1004.4 706.5 679.3 750.8 833.7 758.2 1014.2 893.9 794.2 832.9 1029.1 884.2

Real remittance income (Somoni) b40 920.1 1334.8 1756.9 737.6 941.6 714.1 658.0 666.5 948.7 737.9 1178.2 855.4 583.1 827.8 1026.6 741.6

Real remittance income (Somoni) t60 1166.6 840.7 1042.4 903.5 1045.0 757.2 609.2 859.0 770.8 872.1 912.1 1411.5 894.2 740.7 1097.1 907.9

-

Received any remittances in past 10 days total 10% 10% 10% 9% 12% 13% 16% 15% 13% 18% 12% 13% 10% 9% 8% 9%

Received any remittances in past 10 days urban 6% 8% 8% 8% 9% 7% 15% 12% 8% 15% 8% 14% 8% 7% 7% 6%

Received any remittances in past 10 days rural 11% 10% 11% 10% 14% 16% 16% 17% 15% 19% 14% 13% 11% 9% 9% 11%

Received any remittances in past 10 days b40 9% 10% 8% 9% 15% 17% 18% 15% 13% 19% 13% 14% 10% 7% 10% 8%

Received any remittances in past 10 days t60 10% 10% 11% 10% 11% 11% 14% 16% 13% 17% 12% 13% 11% 10% 7% 10%

-

Total remittances received over entire survey total 3748.8 3760.7 3728.1 3782.4 3756.6 3798.8 3844.3 3857.5 3868.9 3877.4 3922.3 3934.2 4002.8 3978.2 3989.1 3988.4

Total remittances received over entire survey urban 3645.2 3761.2 3684.1 3759.5 3737.3 3725.2 3521.3 3544.5 3591.0 3597.3 3660.0 3721.4 3700.1 3677.4 3711.6 3719.7

Total remittances received over entire survey rural 3778.5 3760.5 3743.0 3789.9 3762.9 3822.9 3953.2 3961.8 3961.4 3970.2 4007.4 4004.0 4101.3 4077.3 4080.6 4076.9

Total remittances received over entire survey b40 3500.7 3430.1 3448.6 3569.3 3587.7 3639.8 3686.5 3687.2 3703.1 3714.4 3755.1 3723.8 3824.2 3753.1 3779.3 3784.5

Total remittances received over entire survey t60 3922.0 3997.2 3924.5 3931.2 3878.5 3914.0 3963.1 3985.6 3993.7 3998.5 4047.8 4093.5 4137.4 4149.2 4147.2 4141.2

Current Migrants

Age 31.20 31.51 31.62 32.18 31.64 31.43 32.71 32.68 31.54 31.90 31.94 31.27 30.63 30.81 31.62 0.00

Married 68% 62% 59% 60% 61% 62% 62% 62% 61% 61% 61% 58% 53% 53% 53% 0%

Head of Household 19% 20% 19% 20% 20% 19% 22% 21% 20% 21% 21% 19% 16% 15% 19% 0%

Employed in Tajikistan at Baseline 5% 4% 3% 4% 6% 5% 8% 7% 7% 8% 6% 5% 8% 6% 10% 0%

Out of Labor Force in Tajikistan at Baseline 17% 20% 18% 20% 21% 21% 22% 23% 22% 22% 24% 21% 19% 20% 22% 0%

Source: Listening to Tajikistan

KEY INDICATORS