mike splinter november 4th 2015 - wisc partners€¦ · november 4th 2015 ! agenda • career and...
TRANSCRIPT
MikeSplinterNovember4th2015
!
Agenda• CareerandBackground
• TheWorldhaschanged
• WhoandWhatisWISCPartners?
• CompanyandProductLeadership?
• ConclusionsandChallenge
CareerSnapshotGee40yearsgoesbyfast!!
• GeneralPartneratWISCPartners
• ChairmanandCEOofAppliedMaterials(AMAT)
• ExecuOveVPIntelCorporaOon(INTC)
• BSEE/MSEE/HonoraryPhDUniversityofWisconsin
• RaisedinHoricon,Wisconsin
TheWorldhasChangedLet’stakealook
118
The Big 20-Year Change =
People Connected 24/7 with Mobile Devices
4
<1%to39%PopulaOonPenetraOonGlobally
Source: Euromonitor, ITU, US Census.
10%
23%
28%
19%
21%
USA China Asia (ex. China) Europe Rest of World
1995 35MM+ Internet Users 0.6% Population Penetration
2014 2.8B Internet Users 39% Population Penetration
61%
22%
12%
0%
5%
6 Source: Morgan Stanley, Capital IQ, Bloomberg.
Global Public Internet Companies, Ranked by Market Capitalization
As of December, 1995 Home
Market Cap.
As of May, 2015 Home
Market Cap. Company Country ($MM) Company Country ($MM)
1 Netscape USA $5,415 1 Apple USA $763,567 2 Apple USA 3,918 2 Google USA 373,437 3 Axel Springer Germany 2,317 3 Alibaba China 232,755 4 RentPath USA 1,555 4 Facebook USA 226,009 5 Web.com USA 982 5 Amazon.com USA 199,139 6 PSINet USA 742 6 Tencent China 190,110 7 Netcom On-Line USA 399 7 eBay USA 72,549 8 IAC / Interactive USA 326 8 Baidu China 71,581 9 Copart USA 325 9 Priceline Group USA 62,645
10 Wavo Corporation USA 203 10 Salesforce.com USA 49,173 11 iStar Internet Canada 174 11 JD.com China 47,711 12 Firefox Communications USA 158 12 Yahoo! USA 40,808 13 Storage Computer Corp. USA 95 13 Netflix USA 37,700 14 Live Microsystems USA 86 14 LinkedIn USA 24,718 15 iLive USA 57 15 Twitter USA 23,965
Total Market Cap of Top 15 $16,752 Total Market Cap of Top 15 $2,415,867
Note: Market capitalizations are as of May 22, 2015 and December 31, 1995, respectively
Top15CompaniesbyMarketCapitalizaOon=1995@$17Billionà 2015@$2.4Trillion
76
1) Housing 2) Transportation 3) Food 4) Insurance / Pensions 5) Healthcare... Average Annual Expenditure of USA Household, 2013 – 2014
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Expenditure Survey. Survey results based on mid-year 2014 and 2013 data. Pension / Personal Insurance includes deductions for private retirement accounts, social security, and life insurance. Healthcare costs include healthcare insurance, drugs, out-of-pocket medical expenses, etc.
Total ($)
Spend Category 2013 2014
% of Total
2013 2014
Y/Y
Growth (%)
Housing $17,041 $17,377 33% 33% 2%
Transportation 8,999 9,104 18% 18% 1% Food 7,047 7,115 14% 14% 1% Personal Insurance / Pensions 5,573 5,551 11% 11% (0%) Healthcare 3,520 3,919 7% 8% 11% Entertainment 2,586 2,560 5% 5% (1%) Cash Contributions 1,949 1,790 4% 3% (8%) Apparel and Services 1,706 1,674 3% 3% (2%) Education 1,212 1,143 2% 2% (6%) Miscellaneous / Other 1,776 1,701 3% 3% (4%)
Total $51,409 $51,934 100% 100% 1%
ImpactofInternetHasBeenExtraordinary&Broad...ButthereissOllhugeopportunity
Sector of Economy / Society, USA
Internet Impact, to Date
Consumer
Business
Security / Safety / Warfare
Education
Healthcare
Government / Regulation / Policy Thinking
Note: Harvey Balls estimate degree to which Internet has changed behavior / outcomes in selected sectors of economy / society, 4/15. 8
HealthcarepercentbyacOvity
2007 2012 2025
FutureofHealth,WellnessandWellbeing
11
Ten Years from Now, When We Look Back at
How This Era of Big Data Evolved...
12
We Will Be Stunned at How Uninformed We Used to Be When We Made Decisions
– Billy Bosworth, DataStax CEO (2015)
74
...‘JustinTime’Products+ServicesEnabledbyMobiles+Sensors+Humans
Dining
Travel
Selected On-Demand Company Fulfillment Time Estimates Transportation Food Delivery
Within minutes
Within minutes
~10 min
~20 min
<20 min
Typically within 1 hour
15 min
Typically within 20-40 minutes
Instant booking
Instant booking
Instant booking
Typically within 1 hour
Entertainment
Instant booking
Groceries
Typically within 1-2 hours
174
$3 $3 $8 $7 $5 $14
$26 $19
$28
$89
$157
$58
$28 $22 $36 $40 $36 $42
$34 $25
$33
$48 $50 $44
$105
$32
$0
$50
$100
$200
Technology IPO Volume ($B)
$150 Technology Private Financing Volume ($B)
NASDAQ 33% Below
April 24, 2015 = Technology Market Peak,
NASDAQ @ 5,092
Annu
al T
echn
olog
y IP
O a
nd
Tech
nolo
gy P
rivat
e Fi
nanc
ing
Vol
ume
($B
)
March 10, 2000 = NASDAQ @ 5,049
Global US-Listed Technology IPO and Global Technology Venture Capital Financing
VC Funding per Company ($MM)
$3 $3 $2 $5 $4 $4 $5 $5 $6 $8 $14 $18 $11 $8 $8 $9 $8 $9 $8 $9 $7 $7 $10 $8 $9 $13 $14
*Facebook ($16B IPO) = 75% of 2012 IPO $ value. **Alibaba ($25B IPO) = 69% of 2014 IPO $ value. Source: Thomson ONE, 2015YTD as of 5/22/15. VC Funding per Company ($MM) calculated as total venture financing per year divided by number of companies receiving venture financing. Morgan Stanley Equity Capital Markets, 2015YTD as of 05/21/15. All global U.S.-listed technology IPOs over $30MM, data per Dealogic, Bloomberg, & Capital IQ.
Let’sgetbacktotalkingabout
UniqueValueProposiOon– Ourmissionistocreatewealthbyhelpingaporholioofwell-chosenentrepreneursbuildgreatcompanies
– OurStrategicOpera:ngCapitalcouplesfundingwithcompanybuildingexperience,productandmarketexperOseandexecuOvesupport
– OurteambringstoourinvestorsandinvestmentsaperspecOveandtrackrecordhonedinSiliconValley
– WeseektoleadinvestmentsandlookforhighpotenOal,capitalefficientinvestmentopportuniOes
– WithourporholiocompanieswedevelopacustomizedbusinessAccelera:onPlan
WhyInvestinWisconsin?
• Thereisoutstandingresearchthatneedstobecommercialized
• Therearegreatstart-upcompanies• GrowingEntrepreneurship• Valueopportunityforourinvestors• Valueaddwebringtoourcompanies• OurteamallhaveOestoWisconsin
Wearelookingforcompaniesthat:• BroadTechnologybased
• HaveaproductnearcompleOonandarereadytoenterthemarketorlater
• Needfundingpostangelrounds
• Opentoworkwithusinapartnershiptobuildagreatcompany
Howdowejudge?
• Wewantcompaniesthathaveproductsthatare– DifferenOatedfromthecompeOOon– Valuabletothecustomers– Sustainable
• Ateamthatis– PassionateHungryandDriventocreateSuccessfulproduct/s– SelfCriOcalandwillingtochange…fast– Fiscallyresponsible– Theleadershipintangible
EffecOveDecisionMaking
• Diversityofopinionmapers…getinput
• ConsultaOvedecisionmakingiseffecOve
• Theremustbea“DECIDER“tomovequickly
Knowwhereyougoing!
• AclearlydefinedMission
• DefiniOonofWinning…nowandlater
• ClearmeasurableobjecOvesandtacOcs
• Becashfrugal
Howtowin!
• CompaniesthatwindrivefreecashflowoverOme
• Value of a business, is the present value of its future cash flows
OurTeam
CraigJohnsonAllenDinesCameronAckburyChrisWheeler
MikeSplinter DavidGuinther
Conclusion
• Technologyhaschangedalmosteverything• CreaOngincredibleopportunityforinvenOon• DifferenOaOon,ValueandSustainability• Freecashflowwins